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A hierarchical model of HIV-1 protease drug resistance.

A hierarchical model of HIV-1 drug therapy may be used to evaluate new inhibitors and test new treatment strategies that address the problem of drug resistance. The model includes an atomic representation of drug-protease interaction, evaluation of viral fitness based on cleavage of polyprotein substrates during viral maturation, evolutionary modelling of drug resistance mutations in the face of selection pressures by drug and a mathematical description of viral population dynamics in infected individuals. These techniques have been used for the design of resistance-evading inhibitors by computational coevolution techniques and for the optimisation of existing protease inhibitors for improving their robustness in the face of resistance mutation.

Catalytic Domain↗

The correlation between intron length and recombination in drosophila. Dynamic equilibrium between mutational and selective forces.

Intron length is negatively correlated with recombination in both Drosophila melanogaster and humans. This correlation is not likely to be the result of mutational processes alone: evolutionary analysis of intron length polymorphism in D. melanogaster reveals equivalent ratios of deletion to insertion in regions of high and low recombination. The polymorphism data do reveal, however, an excess of deletions relative to insertions (i.e., a deletion bias), with an overall deletion-to-insertion events ratio of 1.35. We propose two types of selection favoring longer intron lengths. First, the natural mutational bias toward deletion must be opposed by strong selection in very short introns to maintain the minimum intron length needed for the intron splicing reaction. Second, selection will favor insertions in introns that increase recombination between mutations under the influence of selection in adjacent exons. Mutations that increase recombination, even slightly, will be selectively favored because they reduce interference among selected mutations. Interference selection acting on intron length mutations must be very weak, as indicated by frequency spectrum analysis of Drosophila intron length polymorphism, making the equilibrium for intron length sensitive to changes in the recombinational environment and population size. One consequence of this sensitivity is that the advantage of longer introns is expected to decrease inversely with the rate of recombination, thus leading to a negative correlation between intron length and recombination rate. Also in accord with this model, intron length differs between closely related Drosophila species, with the longest variant present more often in D. melanogaster than in D. simulans. We suggest that the study of the proposed dynamic model, taking into account interference among selected sites, might shed light on many aspects of the comparative biology of genome sizes including the C value paradox.

Animals↗

Population dynamics in a spin-glass model of chemical evolution.

We introduce a simple model describing the evolution of a population of information-carrying macromolecules. We discuss the asymptotic dependence of the variability of the population on different parameters, representing the severity or the fluctuations of the environment. We show the existence of a transition separating a neutralist evolutionary regime from a trapped one. We investigate the dependence of the evolutionary behavior of the population on the correlation properties of the fitness landscape.

Biological Evolution↗

Simulations of a mortality plateau in the sexual Penna model for biological aging.

The Penna model is a strategy to simulate the genetic dynamics of age-structured populations, in which the individual genomes are represented by bit strings. It provides a simple metaphor for the evolutionary process in terms of the mutation accumulation theory. In its original version, an individual dies due to inherited diseases when its current number of accumulated mutations, n, reaches a threshold value T. Since the mean number of diseases increases with age, the probability to die is zero for very young ages (n < T) and equals 1 for the old ones (n > or = T). Here, instead of using a step function to determine the genetic death age, we test several other functions that may or may not slightly increase the death probability at young ages (n < T), but that decrease this probability at old ones. Our purpose is to study the oldest old effect, that is, a plateau in the mortality curves at advanced ages. By imposing certain conditions, it has been possible to obtain a clear plateau using the Penna model. However, a more realistic one appears when a modified version, that keeps the population size fixed without fluctuations, is used. We also find a relation between the birth rate, the age structure of the population, and the death probability.

Aging↗

Deterministic and stochastic regimes of asexual evolution on rugged fitness landscapes.

We study the adaptation dynamics of an initially maladapted asexual population with genotypes represented by binary sequences of length L. The population evolves in a maximally rugged fitness landscape with a large number of local optima. We find that whether the evolutionary trajectory is deterministic or stochastic depends on the effective mutational distance d(eff) up to which the population can spread in genotype space. For d(eff) = L, the deterministic quasi-species theory operates while for d(eff) < 1, the evolution is completely stochastic. Between these two limiting cases, the dynamics are described by a local quasi-species theory below a crossover time T(x) while above T(x) the population gets trapped at a local fitness peak and manages to find a better peak via either stochastic tunneling or double mutations. In the stochastic regime d(eff) < 1, we identify two subregimes associated with clonal interference and uphill adaptive walks, respectively. We argue that our findings are relevant to the interpretation of evolution experiments with microbial populations.

Adaptation, Biological↗

[Structural dynamics, stability and folding of proteins].

The present concepts of protein folding in vitro are reviewed. According to these concepts, amino acid sequence of protein, which has appeared a result of evolutionary selection, determines the native structure of protein, the pathway of protein folding, and the existence of free energy barrier between native and denatured states of protein. The latter means that protein macromolecule can exist in either native or denatured state. And all macromolecules in the native state are identical but for structural fluctuations due to Brownian motion of their atoms. Identity of all molecules in native state is of primary importance for their correct functioning. The dependence of protein stability, which is measured as the difference between free energy of protein in native and denatured states, on temperature and denaturant concentration is discussed. The modern approaches characterizing transition state and nucleation are regarded. The role of intermediate and misfolded states in amorphous aggregate and amyloid fibril formation is discussed.

Amyloid↗

Exterior site occupancy infers chloride-induced proton gating in a prokaryotic homolog of the ClC chloride channel.

The ClC family of anion channels mediates the efficient, selective permeation of Cl(-) across the biological membranes of living cells under the driving force of an electrochemical gradient. In some eukaryotes, these channels are known to exhibit a unique gating mechanism, which appears to be triggered by the permeant Cl(-) anion. We infer details of this gating mechanism by studying the free energetics of Cl(-) occupancy in the pore of a prokaryotic ClC homolog. These free energetics were gleaned from 30 ns of molecular dynamics simulation on an approximately 133,000-atom system consisting of a hydrated membrane embedded StClC transporter. The binding sites for Cl(-) in the transporter were determined for the cases where the putative gating residue, Glu(148), was protonated and unprotonated. When the glutamate gate is protonated, Cl(-) favorably occupies an exterior site, S(ext), to form a queue of anions in the pore. However, when the glutamate gate is unprotonated, Cl(-) cannot occupy this site nor, consequently, pass through the pore. An additional, previously undetected, site was found in the pore near the outer membrane that exists regardless of the protonation state of Glu(148). Although this suggests that, for the prokaryotic homolog, protonation of Glu(148) may be the first step in transporting Cl(-) at the expense of H(+) transport in the opposite direction, an evolutionary argument might suggest that Cl(-) opens the ClC gate in eukaryotic channels by inducing the conserved glutamate's protonation. During an additional 20 ns free dynamics simulation, the newly discovered outermost site, S(out), and the innermost site, S(int), were seen to allow spontaneous exchange of Cl(-) ions with the bulk electrolyte while under depolarization conditions.

Algorithms↗

Diversity in times of adversity: probabilistic strategies in microbial survival games.

Population diversification strategies are ubiquitous among microbes, encompassing random phase-variation (RPV) of pathogenic bacteria, viral latency as observed in some bacteriophage and HIV, and the non-genetic diversity of bacterial stress responses. Precise conditions under which these diversification strategies confer an advantage have not been well defined. We develop a model of population growth conditioned on dynamical environmental and cellular states. Transitions among cellular states, in turn, may be biased by possibly noisy readings of the environment from cellular sensors. For various types of environmental dynamics and cellular sensor capability, we apply game-theoretic analysis to derive the evolutionarily stable strategy (ESS) for an organism and determine when that strategy is diversification. We find that: (1) RPV, effecting a sort of Parrondo paradox wherein random alternations between losing strategies produce a winning strategy, is selected when transitions between different selective environments cannot be sensed, (2) optimal RPV cell switching rates are a function of environmental lifecycle asymmetries and environmental autocorrelation, (3) probabilistic diversification upon entering a new environment is selected when sensors can detect environmental transitions but have poor precision in identifying new environments, and (4) in the presence of excess additive noise, low-pass filtering is required for evolutionary stability. We show that even when RPV is not the ESS, it may minimize growth rate variance and the risk of extinction due to 'unlucky' environmental dynamics.

Bacteria↗

The behavior of a Daphnia pulex transposable element in cyclically and obligately parthenogenetic populations.

Using Southern blot analysis, we have characterized restriction fragment patterns of a transposable element. Pokey, in obligately and cyclically parthenogenetic populations of the cladoceran crustacean Daphnia pulex. We show that the element is most likely active in cyclically parthenogenetic populations but is, for the most part, inactive in obligate parthenogens. This result is consistent with theory suggesting that transposable element dynamics are likely to change with a change in reproductive mode. Such changes could have important consequences for the long-term evolutionary potential of obligate parthenogens and may also be informative with regard to the underlying mechanisms that regulate transposable element frequencies in sexual organisms.

Animals↗

Longevity, stability and DNA repair.

The functional capacity of a cell, tissue, organ, or organism is dependent upon its ability to maintain the stability of its unit components. The higher the differentiated state of the system, the greater the amount of stability required to maintain that state as a function of time. Stability can be achieved via either redundancy or repair. Redundancy while easily achievable in biological systems is both costly and limited by thermodynamic considerations. Repair, in its general sense, has no such limitations. Repair at the cellular and macromolecular level is multiple in its forms and varies as a function of species, tissue, and stage of the cell cycle. The repair of DNA damage is a dynamic process with many components and subcomponents, each interacting with one another in order to achieve a balance between individual stability and evolutionary diversity. Thus, between internal and external factors which damage DNA and the subsequent expression of alterations in the functional stability of DNA lie the multi-functional pathways which attempt to maintain DNA fidelity. A strong correlation between ulta-violet light induced excision or pre-replication repair, as measured by autoradiogrphy and maximum species lifespan has been reported within different strains of the same species, between related species (e.g. Mus musculus and Peromyscus leucopus), between five orders of mammals, and most recently within members of the primate family. As has been demonstrated by the authors and others, differences in excision repair between species and tissues may relate to the turning off of portions of the repair processes during embryogenesis. Regardless of why such correlations exist or the nature of their mechanisms, it is naive to either assert or deny a causal role for DNA repair in longevity assurance systems. For example, while species-related differences in DNA repair may reflect the turning off of such repair processes during fetal development this does not mean that rates of accumulation of DNA damage are not altered by such changes. Indeed, such a phenomena might well explain the rapid evolution of lifespan within the primates without a concurrent input of new genes.

Aging↗

Food webs: experts consuming families of experts.

Food webs of habitats as diverse as lakes or desert valleys are known to exhibit common "food-web patterns", but the detailed mechanisms generating these structures have remained unclear. By employing a stochastic, dynamical model, we show that many aspects of the structure of predatory food webs can be understood as the traces of an evolutionary history where newly evolving species avoid direct competition with their relatives. The tendency to avoid sharing natural enemies (apparent competition) with related species is considerably weaker. Thus, "experts consuming families of experts" can be identified as the main underlying food-web pattern. We report the results of a systematic, quantitative model validation showing that the model is surprisingly accurate.

Animals↗

Stability in N-species coevolutionary systems.

Stability criteria have recently been developed for coevolutionary Lotka-Volterra systems where individual fitness functions are assumed to be linear in the population state. We extend these criteria as part of a general theory of coevolution (that combines effects of ecology and evolution) based on arbitrary (i.e. nonlinear) fitness functions and a finite number of individual phenotypes. The central role of the stationary density surface where species' densities are at equilibrium is emphasized. In particular, for monomorphic resident systems, it is shown coevolutionary stability is equivalent to ecological stability combined with evolutionary stability on the stationary density surface. Also discussed is how our theory relates to recent treatments of phenotypic coevolution via adaptive dynamics when there is a continuum of individual phenotypes.

Biological Evolution↗

Human ribonuclease P: subunits, function, and intranuclear localization.

Catalytic complexes of nuclear ribonuclease P (RNase P) ribonucleoproteins are composed of several protein subunits that appear to have specific roles in enzyme function in tRNA processing. This review describes recent progress made in the characterization of human RNase P, its relationship with the ribosomal RNA processing ribonucleoprotein RNase MRP, and the unexpected evolutionary conservation of its subunits. A new model for the biosynthesis of human RNase P is presented, in which this process is dynamic, transcription-dependent, and implicates functionally distinct nuclear compartments in tRNA biogenesis.

Cell Nucleus↗

Exploiting the past and the future in protein secondary structure prediction.

MOTIVATION: Predicting the secondary structure of a protein (alpha-helix, beta-sheet, coil) is an important step towards elucidating its three-dimensional structure, as well as its function. Presently, the best predictors are based on machine learning approaches, in particular neural network architectures with a fixed, and relatively short, input window of amino acids, centered at the prediction site. Although a fixed small window avoids overfitting problems, it does not permit capturing variable long-rang information. RESULTS: We introduce a family of novel architectures which can learn to make predictions based on variable ranges of dependencies. These architectures extend recurrent neural networks, introducing non-causal bidirectional dynamics to capture both upstream and downstream information. The prediction algorithm is completed by the use of mixtures of estimators that leverage evolutionary information, expressed in terms of multiple alignments, both at the input and output levels. While our system currently achieves an overall performance close to 76% correct prediction--at least comparable to the best existing systems--the main emphasis here is on the development of new algorithmic ideas. AVAILABILITY: The executable program for predicting protein secondary structure is available from the authors free of charge. CONTACT: pfbaldi@ics.uci.edu, gpollast@ics.uci.edu, brunak@cbs.dtu.dk, paolo@dsi.unifi.it.

Algorithms↗

The hydrophobicity of vertebrate elastins.

An evolutionary trend towards increasing hydrophobicity of vertebrate arterial elastins suggests that there is an adaptive advantage to higher hydrophobicity. The swelling and dynamic mechanical properties of elastins from several species were measured to test whether hydrophobicity is associated with mechanical performance. Hydrophobicity was quantified according to amino acid composition (HI), and two behaviour-based indices: the Flory-Huggins solvent interaction parameter (chi1), and a swelling index relating tissue volumes at 60 and 1 degrees C. Swelling index values correlated with chi1 and, for most species studied, with HI, suggesting that the different approaches used to quantify hydrophobicity are equally valid. Dynamic mechanical properties were measured both in a closed system, to control the effects of water content, and in an open system, to determine whether the increased swelling of hydrophobic materials at low temperatures offsets the direct stiffening effect of cold. There were no biologically significant differences in mechanical behaviour in either open or closed systems that could be attributed to hydrophobicity. Therefore, although the original function of hydrophobicity in an ancestral elastin may have been to produce molecular mobility, mechanical performance did not drive a subsequent increase in hydrophobicity. Higher hydrophobicities may have arisen to facilitate the manufacture of the elastic fibre.

Alligators and Crocodiles↗

Adaptive dynamics of Lotka-Volterra systems with trade-offs: the role of interspecific parameter dependence in branching.

We determine the adaptive dynamics of a general Lotka-Volterra system containing an intraspecific parameter dependency--in the form of an explicit functional trade-off between evolving parameters--and interspecific parameter dependencies--arising from modelling species interactions. We develop expressions for the fitness of a mutant strategy in a multi-species resident environment, the position of the singular strategy in such systems and the non-mixed second-order partial derivatives of the mutant fitness. These expressions can be used to determine the evolutionary behaviour of the system. The type of behaviour expected depends on the curvature of the trade-off function and can be interpreted in a biologically intuitive manner using the rate of acceleration/deceleration of the costs implicit in the trade-off function. We show that for evolutionary branching to occur we require that one (or both) of the traded-off parameters includes an interspecific parameter dependency and that the trade-off function has weakly accelerating costs. This could have important implications for understanding the type of mechanisms that cause speciation. The general theory is motivated by using adaptive dynamics to examine evolution in a predator-prey system. The applicability of the general theory as a tool for examining specific systems is highlighted by calculating the evolutionary behaviour in a three species (prey-predator-predator) system.

Algorithms↗

Infinite populations and counterfactual frequencies in evolutionary theory.

One finds intertwined with ideas at the core of evolutionary theory claims about frequencies in counterfactual and infinitely large populations of organisms, as well as in sets of populations of organisms. One also finds claims about frequencies in counterfactual and infinitely large populations--of events--at the core of an answer to a question concerning the foundations of evolutionary theory. The question is this: to what do the numerical probabilities found throughout evolutionary theory correspond? The answer in question says that evolutionary probabilities are 'hypothetical frequencies' (including what are sometimes called 'long-run frequencies' and 'long-run propensities'). In this paper, I review two arguments against hypothetical frequencies. The arguments have implications for the interpretation of evolutionary probabilities, but more importantly, they seem to raise problems for biologists' claims about frequencies in counterfactual or infinite populations of organisms and sets of populations of organisms. I argue that when properly understood, claims about frequencies in large and infinite populations of organisms and sets of populations are not threatened by the arguments. Seeing why gives us a clearer understanding of the nature of counterfactual and infinite population claims and probability in evolutionary theory.

Animals↗

The shapes of neutral gene genealogies in two species: probabilities of monophyly, paraphyly, and polyphyly in a coalescent model.

The genealogies of samples of orthologous regions from multiple species can be classified by their shapes. Using a neutral coalescent model of two species, I give exact probabilities of each of four possible genealogical shapes: reciprocal monophyly, two types of paraphyly, and polyphyly. After the divergence that forms two species, each of which has population size N, polyphyly is the most likely genealogical shape for the lineages of the two species. At approximately 1.300N generations after divergence, paraphyly becomes most likely, and reciprocal monophyly becomes most likely at approximately 1.665N generations. For a given species, the time at which 99% of its loci acquire monophyletic genealogies is approximately 5.298N generations, assuming all loci in its sister species are monophyletic. The probability that all lineages of two species are reciprocally monophyletic given that a sample from the two species has a reciprocally monophyletic genealogy increases rapidly with sample size, as does the probability that the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) for a sample is also the MRCA for all lineages from the two species. The results have potential applications for the testing of evolutionary hypotheses.

Computer Simulation↗