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Relative importance of preoperative health status versus intraoperative factors in predicting postoperative adverse outcomes in geriatric surgical patients.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence and predictors of adverse postoperative outcomes in older surgical patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of consecutive patients undergoing noncardiac surgery in 1997. SETTING: A medical school-affiliated teaching community hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Patients age 70 and older undergoing noncardiac surgery. Patients presenting for surgery requiring only local anesthesia or monitored anesthesia care were excluded. MEASUREMENTS: Potential pre- and intra-operative risk factors were measured and evaluated for their association with the occurrence of predefined in-hospital postoperative adverse outcomes. Univariate predictors of postoperative outcomes were first measured using the chi-square or Fisher's exact tests followed by multivariate logistic regression. Odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI), and two-sided P-values were reported. RESULTS: Five hundred forty-four consecutive patients were studied. Overall, 21% of patients developed one or more postoperative adverse outcomes and 3.7% died during the in-hospital postoperative period. Of all the adverse outcomes, cardiovascular complications (10.3%) were the leading cause of morbidity, followed by neurological (7.7%) and pulmonary complications (5.5%). By multivariate logistic regression analysis, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification (OR = 2.7, CI = 1.6-4.4), emergency surgery (OR = 2.0, CI = 1.1-3.4), and intraoperative tachycardia (OR = 3.8, CI = 1.9-7.6) were the most important predictors of postoperative adverse outcomes. Of all the preoperative physical symptoms and signs, decreased functional status (OR = 3.0, CI = 1.4-6.4) and clinical signs of congestive heart failure (OR = 2.1, CI = 1.1-5.1) were the two most important predictors of postoperative adverse neurological and cardiac outcomes, respectively. The median hospital stay was 4 days. The patients who developed postoperative adverse outcomes had significantly longer median hospital stays (9 days) than those without complications (3 days), (P < .0001). CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates that the postoperative mortality rate in geriatric surgical patients undergoing noncardiac surgery is low. Despite the prevalence of preoperative chronic medical conditions, most patients do well postoperatively. The ASA classification (a reflection of the severity of preoperative comorbidities), emergency surgery, and intraoperative tachycardia increase the odds of developing any postoperative adverse events. Future studies aimed at modifying some of the potentially reversible risk factors, such as preoperative heart function and intraoperative heart rate are warranted.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Predicting outcome following reoperation for medically intractable epilepsy.

The purpose of this study was to determine predictors of probable outcome following reoperation for medically intractable partial epilepsy. We reviewed outcome at least 1 year after reoperation in 21 patients with intractable seizures, for whom an earlier operation had failed. We examined age of onset of epilepsy, duration of seizures, gender, details of the history and clinical examination, pre-operative magnetic resonance (MRI) findings, electroencephalographic (EEG) studies obtained before and after the failed surgery, presence or absence of lateralizing neuro-psychological deficits, sites of operation and pathology of resected tissue to identify the factors associated with outcome. We found two factors that were significantly related to outcome: (1) no individual with a history of central nervous system (CNS) infection which predated the onset of epilepsy had a seizure-free outcome after reoperation (P = 0.04). (2) Reoperations that extended previous resections, based on new ictal EEG recordings that were concordant with both EEG ictal onsets and MRI findings obtained before the first, failed surgery resulted in a seizure-free outcome or >95% reduction in seizures for 100% (7/7) of such patients. This compares to 29% (4/14) of the remaining individuals without such concordance who had a similar outcome (P = 0.009). Site of operation (temporal or extratemporal) did not, in and of itself, predict outcome. A portion of patients who fail surgery for intractable partial seizures will achieve significant improvement following reoperation. Furthermore, we may be able to identify those individuals most likely to have an excellent result from a second operation.

Adolescent↗

Analysis of risk factors for the outcome of primary retinal reattachment surgery in phakic and pseudophakic eyes.

BACKGROUND: To compare the preoperative risk profiles of phakic and pseudophakic eyes with primary retinal detachment and to assess their impact on the outcome of primary reattachment surgery. PATIENTS AND METHODS: 220 consecutive patients with primary retinal detachment, 165 phakic and 55 pseudophakic eyes were operated with scleral buckling alone or additional vitrectomy and followed up for 6 months. Pre-, intra- and postoperative risk factors were recorded and their impact on anatomical outcome after primary surgery in phakic and pseudophakic eyes was then compared in a multivariate regression analysis. RESULTS: The cumulative probability of anatomical success 6 months after surgery was similar in phakic (88.5 %) and pseudophakic eyes (86.3 %; log rank = 0.340). The most important risk factor for a different surgical outcome between phakic and pseudophakic eyes was the size of retinal detachment (p = 0.035). In phakic eyes the size of retinal detachment had no significant impact on surgical outcome (1 vs. 4 quadrants; log rank = 0.135); whereas in pseudophakic eyes a significant impairment on surgical outcome was found (1 vs. 4 quadrants; log rank < 0.001). The relative risk for failure of primary surgery due to retinal detachment of at least 3 quadrants was in phakic eyes 1.22 (CI: 0.71 - 1.70), in pseudophakic ones 1.81 (CI: 0.88 - 2.59). CONCLUSIONS: The outcome of primary retinal reattachment surgery in phakic and pseudophakic eyes is similar for retinal detachments up to 3 quadrants. In retinal detachments of more than 9 clock times, the size of retinal detachment impairs the surgical outcome in pseudophakic eyes more than in phakic ones. The combination of extraocular surgery with vitrectomy in pseudophakic eyes with retinal detachment of more than 9 clock times contributes to a better outcome.

Adult↗

Interaction between anesthesia, gender, and functional outcome task following diffuse traumatic brain injury in rats.

A number of experimental and clinical studies have demonstrated that functional outcome following traumatic brain injury differs between males and females. Some studies report that females have a better outcome than males following trauma while others report the opposite. In experimental studies, some of the contradictory results may be due to the different experimental conditions, including type of anesthesia and the outcome measures employed. In the present study we have used three different anesthetic protocols and four different outcome measures to determine how these parameters interact and affect functional outcome following traumatic brain injury in male and female rats. Diffuse traumatic brain injury was induced in adult male and female animals using the impact-acceleration brain injury model. Mortality in female animals was no different than males when using halothane anesthesia, slightly better than males when using isoflurane anesthesia, but significantly worse than males under pentobarbital anesthesia. Female animals always performed better than males on rotarod tests of motor outcome, with this effect being unrelated to anesthetic effects. Conversely, in cognitive tests using the Barnes Maze, only isoflurane-anesthetized females performed better than their male counterparts. Similarly, in an open field activity task, females always performed better than males after trauma, with isoflurane-anesthetized females also performing significantly better than the halothane-anesthetized female group after injury. Our results suggest that female animals do better than males after diffuse traumatic brain injury, although this observation is dependent upon the type of anesthesia and the functional task employed. Isoflurane is particularly protective in females, pentobarbital is deleterious to female outcome, while halothane anesthesia has the least influence on gender-related outcome.

Anesthesia↗

The association between APOE epsilon4, age and outcome after head injury: a prospective cohort study.

Previous preliminary studies have suggested that possession of the APOE epsilon4 allele is associated with a poor outcome after head injury. This study was designed to confirm and extend those observations in a larger study with examination of additional variables. We prospectively identified admissions to a Neurosurgical Unit for head injury, collected demographic and clinical data, determined APOE genotypes and obtained follow-up information at 6 months. A total of 1094 subjects were enrolled (age range: 0-93 years, mean 37 years). Outcome was assessed using the Glasgow Outcome Scale. There was no overall association between APOE genotype and outcome, with 36% of APOE epsilon4 carriers having an unfavourable outcome compared with 33% of non-carriers of APOE epsilon4. However, there was evidence of an interaction between age and APOE genotype on outcome (P = 0.007) such that possession of APOE epsilon4 reduced the prospect of a favourable outcome in children and young adults. The influence of APOE genotype in younger patients after head injury can be expressed as, at age <15 years, carriage of APOE epsilon4 being equivalent to ageing by 25 years. This finding is consistent with experimental data suggesting that the effect of APOE genotype on outcome after head injury may be expressed through the processes of repair and recovery.

Adolescent↗

Prospective study of course of illness in schizophrenia: Part II. Prediction of outcome.

In a prospective study of the course of illness of 86 schizophrenic patients (ICD 9), outcome data were obtained for 86 percent 1 year after clinic discharge. The Strauss-Carpenter Outcome Scale (frequency of social contacts, employment duration, symptomatology, and duration of rehospitalization) and the Clinical Global Impressions were used to assess outcome. The prognostic scales developed by Vaillant, Stephens, Phillips (in the abbreviated version by Harris), and Strauss-Carpenter were used as potential outcome predictors at the time of index admission. The findings were as follows: The outcome criteria used correlated at best moderately with one another. Between 60 and 90 percent of the sample were judged to have an unfavorable prognosis on the Vaillant and Stephens scales. In contrast, the outcome was relatively favorable for 50 to 60 percent of the patients. In prognostic validity, the Strauss-Carpenter scale was superior to all of the other scales investigated. However, a prognostic relationship was only established for social outcome. Social outcome dimensions showed the highest prognostic validity (e.g., employment and social contacts). The amount of variance explained by the best predictors was between 12 percent (symptomatology) and 55 percent (employment duration).

Adolescent↗

Is it time to use evoked potentials to predict outcome in comatose children and adults?

OBJECTIVE: To determine the value of multimodality-evoked potential recordings in predicting outcome in comatose children. DESIGN: Prospective series and literature review. SETTING: Pediatric ICU in a university hospital. PATIENTS: Forty-one children with a Glasgow Coma Scale score of less than 8, who were admitted to the pediatric ICU between 1984 and 1989. INTERVENTIONS: Forty-one patients underwent brainstem auditory-evoked potential testing within 72 hrs of admission. Of these patients, 37 also had somatosensory-evoked potential testing at the same time. Four patients did not receive somatosensory-evoked potential testing for various nonmedical reasons. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Multimodality-evoked potential recordings were used to predict outcome in these comatose children. Outcomes were categorized as bad (death or chronic vegetative state) or good (all other outcomes). Survivor outcomes were determined at discharge and on subsequent follow-up visits from 1 to 3 yrs later. There were no false pessimistic predictions, and two false optimistic predictions in this series. A comprehensive literature review of coma outcome prediction, using multimodality-evoked potential recordings, revealed 20 series with 982 additional patients in whom the predictive errors of false optimism and false pessimism could be determined. Five cases of false pessimism and 99 cases of false optimism were identified in the 982 additional patients. If neonates are excluded, the false pessimism number is reduced to three. CONCLUSIONS: A bad outcome can be reliably predicted using multimodality-evoked potential recordings with little chance of a false pessimistic prediction. The acceptable error of false optimism occurs frequently, since patients often die of progressive neurologic and nonneurologic problems that may or may not be present at the time of the evoked potential recordings. Thus, in comatose children, multimodality-evoked potential recordings are a useful adjunct to clinical examination and other diagnostic aids in predicting outcome and in making decisions regarding the degree of intervention to offer.

Adolescent↗

Elevated initial blood glucose levels and poor outcome following severe brain injuries in children.

To determine whether elevations in blood glucose levels were related to neurologic outcomes following severe brain injuries in children, 54 patients 16 years of age or younger admitted to a regional trauma center with a Glasgow Coma Scale score of 8 or less over a 2-year period were retrospectively reviewed. The mean initial blood glucose level on hospital admission was significantly higher in the 16 patients with outcomes of death or vegetative state in comparison with that of the 38 patients with outcomes of good recovery, moderate disability,or severe disability (288 mg/100 mL vs. 194 mg/100 mL, t = -2.74, p = 0.01). Blood glucose levels correlated significantly with indicators of the severity of the brain injury, which were also related to outcome. In contrast, blood glucose levels did not correlate with indicators of the severity of the extracranial injuries, although the latter were significantly related to outcome. Logistic regression analysis resulted in a model for prediction of outcome which included the Glasgow Coma Scale score on admission and the initial blood glucose level. The odds ratio of a poor outcome in this model in patients with blood glucose levels greater than or equal to 250 mg/100 mL relative to those with lower levels was 8.3 (95% confidence interval 1.3-53.6). A simple prognostic score was derived from the logistic regression which improved upon the prediction of outcome using the Glasgow Coma Scale score alone in those patients with initial blood glucose levels greater than or equal to 250 mg/100 mL.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Adolescent↗

The influence of apolipoprotein E genotype on outcome after spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage: a preliminary study.

OBJECTIVE: Possession of an apolipoprotein E (APOE)epsilon4 allele has been shown to be associated with a poor outcome after closed head injury and spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage but not after ischemic stroke. This study assessed the influence of the APOE genotype on outcome in patients admitted to a neurosurgical unit with spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage. METHODS: A total of 100 patients with spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage were studied. Four patients were excluded because the diagnosis of subarachnoid hemorrhage was not confirmed. The incidence of rehemorrhage and delayed ischemia and the outcome at 6 months were determined using the Glasgow Outcome Scale. APOE genotypes were determined by polymerase chain reaction and restriction enzyme digestion. RESULTS: Allele frequencies in this patient group were 0.04 for epsilon2, 0.86 for epsilon3, and 0.1 for epsilon4. Of 96 patients, 72 had an aneurysmal hemorrhage and 1 had a hemorrhage from an arteriovenous malformation. In 14 patients, the results of angiography were negative, and in 9, no angiogram was performed. Of the 96 patients, 20 had one or more epsilon4 allele. Outcome at 6 months was no worse in patients with one or more epsilon4 allele than in those with no epsilon4 allele (odds ratio, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.35-2.74). None of the 12 patients who experienced delayed ischemic deterioration had an epsilon4 allele. Of the 20 patients with an epsilon4 allele, 3 had a rehemorrhage, as compared with 6 of 76 patients without an epsilon4 allele. CONCLUSION: There was underrepresentation of the epsilon4 allele in this group when compared with previously studied cases of subarachnoid hemorrhage with a fatal outcome and with the general population. This suggests that patients with the epsilon4 allele who have a subarachnoid hemorrhage are less likely to be admitted to a neurosurgical unit. This study does not support an association between possession of an epsilon4 allele and poor outcome in patients admitted to a neurosurgical unit with spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage, although the wide confidence interval does not preclude a clinically relevant association between APOE genotype and outcome. The findings indicate that an association between genotype and the development of delayed ischemic complications after subarachnoid hemorrhage may be possible.

Adult↗

Effects of coping on health outcome among women with gastrointestinal disorders.

BACKGROUND: Studies have shown that the nature and quality of coping may positively or negatively affect health outcome; however, this relationship has not been well studied among patients with gastrointestinal (GI) disorders. OBJECTIVES: The primary objective was to study the effect of different coping strategies on the health outcome of women with GI disorders and how these coping strategies may modify the effects of education, GI disease type, neuroticism, and abuse severity on health outcome. METHODS: We followed 174 patients in a referral GI clinic for 12 months to assess their health status as a derived variable of daily pain, bed disability days, psychological distress, daily dysfunction, number of visits to physicians, and number of surgeries and procedures. We obtained at baseline their GI diagnosis (functional vs. organic), neuroticism score (NEO Personality Inventory), sexual and/or physical abuse history, and scores on two coping questionnaires. Regressions analyses were used to determine the relative effect of the coping measures on health outcome and their modifying effects on education, GI disease type, neuroticism, and abuse severity. RESULTS: A higher score on the Catastrophizing scale and a lower score on the Self-Perceived Ability to Decrease Symptoms scale (Coping Strategies Questionnaire) predicted poor health outcome. Less education, a functional GI diagnosis, a higher neuroticism score, and greater abuse severity also contributed to poor health status. However, the effect of GI disease type and neuroticism on health outcome was significantly reduced by the coping measures. CONCLUSIONS: Maladaptive coping (eg, catastrophizing) and decreased self-perceived ability to decrease symptoms may adversely affect health outcome and may modify the effect of GI disease type and neuroticism on health outcome.

Adaptation, Psychological↗

Patient-oriented outcomes from low back surgery: a community-based study.

STUDY DESIGN: This study used a prospective cohort design. OBJECTIVE: To examine factors associated with favorable self-reported patient outcomes 1 year after elective surgery for degenerative back problems. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Many previous studies addressing the results of low back surgery have been conducted in academic institutions or by single surgeons. As part of a quality improvement effort, surgeons in private practice led a community-based outcomes management project in Washington State. METHODS: Patients ages 18 and older with the following diagnoses were eligible for the study: degenerative changes, herniated disc, instability, and spinal stenosis. Nine orthopedists and neurosurgeons enrolled a total of 281 patients. Participants were asked to complete baseline and 1-year follow-up surveys. Data concerning diagnoses, clinical signs, and operative procedures were provided by the surgeons. The researchers examined sociodemographic characteristics, self-reported symptoms before surgery, preoperative clinical signs, diagnoses, and operative procedures associated with three primary outcomes: better functioning, improved quality of life, and overall treatment satisfaction. RESULTS: Follow-up surveys were completed by 236 (84%) of the enrolled patients. Approximately two thirds of the study participants reported much better functioning (65%), a great quality of life improvement (64%), and a very positive perspective about their treatment outcome (68%). The following variables were associated with worse patient outcomes: older age, previous low back surgery, workers' compensation coverage, and consultation with an attorney before surgery. Patients undergoing a fusion procedure were more likely to report good outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The authors' experience indicates that community-based outcomes data collection efforts are feasible and can be incorporated into usual clinical practice. The study results indicate that compensation payments and litigation are two important predictors of poor outcomes after low back surgery in community practice. Because of small numbers, varied diagnoses, and possible selection bias, the findings with respect to fusion should be interpreted cautiously.

Adult↗

The use of collaboration in personal outcomes.

PURPOSE: As part of its restructuring and commitment to collaboration and advances in healthcare, the author's organisation has recently adopted personal outcomes to ensure that services are aligned to meet patient needs more effectively. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate this advancement in healthcare in the light of recent research findings, changing policies and the author's own understanding. DESIGN/METHDODOLOGY/APPROACH: The paper introduces the concept of collaboration as a means of achieving personal outcomes. In addition, the paper puts forward suggestions as to how the nurse can foster interdisciplinary/multidisciplinary teamwork, utilising the core concepts of the advanced nurse practitioner, namely transformational leadership, in support of this. FINDINGS: While success stories of personal outcomes abound much of it anecdotal based. Therefore, the need to initiate research in this area is of paramount importance as the latter would be helpful in examining meaningful quality outcomes. Reform in structure, finance and policy will also be necessary, as these are vital ingredients to the success of personal outcomes. Despite the overlapping conflict of Irish government policy, the extra finance announced in the 2005 Budget can only serve to assist organisations in achieving accreditation through initiatives like personal outcomes. Central to the success of personal outcomes, is to engage in collaborative practice by way of fostering interdisciplinary/multidisciplinary team working. RESEARCH LIMITATIONS/IMPLICATIONS: Further study of the impact on patient outcomes of collaboration is warranted. ORIGINALITY/VALUE: The paper examines organisational, professional and interpersonal challenges.

Cooperative Behavior↗

Impact of irbesartan, blood pressure control, and proteinuria on renal outcomes in the Irbesartan Diabetic Nephropathy Trial.

BACKGROUND: It is important to know the reliability of early changes in proteinuria in predicting late renal outcomes. The IDNT was a trial in which treatment assignment, baseline and follow-up blood pressure determinations, and albumin/creatinine ratios (ACR), and renal outcomes were recorded. METHODS: Risk of renal outcomes in the IDNT was assessed by proportional hazards modeling as a function of treatment assignment, and achieved systolic blood pressure (SBP) both without, and then with, inclusion of values for baseline proteinuria and early changes in proteinuria. RESULTS: In models without ACR variables, both treatment with irbesartan and achieved SBP during follow-up were significantly predictive of the risk of renal outcomes. Addition of ACR variables to the models reduced the apparent impact of assignment to irbesartan by 52% to 81%, and irbesartan was no longer a significant predictor of renal outcomes. Conversely, addition of ACR variables to the models attenuated the effect of achieved follow-up SBP by only 32% to 46%, and follow-up BP remained a highly significant predictor of renal outcomes. CONCLUSION: The ability of early changes in proteinuria to predict the impact of treatment on renal outcomes is a function of the specific treatment. One must use caution in using early changes in proteinuria as a surrogate for longer-term renal outcomes.

Antihypertensive Agents↗

Glomerular monocytes predict worse outcomes after acute renal allograft rejection independent of C4d status.

BACKGROUND: Both peritubular capillary (PTC) C4d deposition and macrophage/monocyte (MO) infiltration in acute rejection (AR) have separately been shown to be associated with reduced graft survival and recently were demonstrated to be closely correlated in AR. Whether MO infiltration is an independent predictor of graft outcome is uncertain. METHODS: All patients with biopsy-proven AR (over a 3-year period) were included (N= 96). All biopsies (N= 121) were graded according to the Banff 97 criteria and immunohistochemically stained for C4d and MO (CD68). The primary outcome was glomerular filtration rate (GFR) <30 mL/min 1-year posttransplant as estimated by the Modified Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) Formula. Secondary outcomes at 2 and 4 years' posttransplant were also explored. A variety of clinical and biopsy variables were statistically analyzed to establish univariate predictors of graft outcome. Stepwise multivariate logistic regression modeling was applied to determine independent predictors of outcomes. RESULTS: There was a close correlation between PTC C4d and glomerular MO infiltration (P < 0.001). Univariate predictors of primary outcome (GFR <30 mL/min 1-year posttransplant) included mean glomerular MO count > or =1.0 MO/glomerulus (P= 0.014), female sex (P= 0.02), higher peak (P= 0.005), and pretransplant (P= 0.003) panel-reactive antibody levels, cadaveric donor (P= 0.006), transplant glomerulitis (P= 0.004), and longer cold ischemic time (CIT) (P= 0.002). Mean MO/glomerulus > or =1.0 [OR 10.3 (1.23, 87.1)], female sex [OR 5.27(1.31, 21.1)], and CIT [OR 1.14 (1.06, 1.25)] were identified as independent predictors of adverse graft outcome. Furthermore, mean MO/glomerulus > or =1.0 independently predicted poor renal function at 2 years [OR 3.89 (1.19, 12.70)] and 4 years [OR 4.03 (1.22, 13.28)] posttransplant. CONCLUSION: The results demonstrate that glomerular MO infiltration is an independent predictor of worse outcomes posttransplant following acute renal allograft rejection.

Acute Disease↗

Correlation of adverse neurological outcomes with increasing volumes and delayed administration of autologous epidural blood patches for postdural puncture headaches.

INTRODUCTION: Epidural blood patches (EBPs) usually afford rapid and successful treatment outcomes for postdural puncture headaches (PDPH) with few adverse sequelae. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In order to identify potential risk factors for any adverse outcomes of EBP, a Medline search, 1966 to the present, of case reports and series of any adverse outcomes following EBP for PDPH was conducted. The literature search identified 26 patient cases with 21 cases defined as adverse neurological outcomes, and further stratified as compression or noncompression syndromes, and five cases defined as persistent cranial nerve (CN) palsies. Cases were also stratified by age, sex, and blood volumes of EBP or delays in administration, and compared for statistically significant differences in continuous variables by unpaired, two-tailed t-tests and for significant correlations between predictor variables, including EBP volumes and delays in administration, and adverse neurological outcomes, by simple linear regression analysis. RESULTS: There were no statistically significant sex differences in the mean ages or weights of the study population, or in the total volumes of autologous blood injected in EBPs. When the study population was compared for adverse neurological outcomes by compression or noncompression syndromes, patients experiencing compression syndromes received significantly more EBP volumes (35.36 mL) than patients experiencing noncompression (17.46 mL) syndromes (P = 0.025). Regression analysis confirmed a significant direct linear relationship between increasing EBP volumes and worsening adverse neurological outcomes (P = 0.008). In patients with CN palsies associated with PDPH and unrelieved by EBP, regression analysis again confirmed significant direct linear relationships between increasing days waited to perform EBP and increasing duration of CN palsies in months (P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Epidural blood patches for the management of PDPH, especially PDPH associated with CN palsies, should be administered as soon as the diagnosis of PDPH is made with lower volumes of autologous blood (< or =20 mL) to assure the best treatment outcomes.

Journal Article↗

Predicting long-term outcome in schizophrenia.

Prediction of 14- to 17-year outcome from symptoms present at admission and psychological and personality data was attempted among the 92 survivors of a group of 110 first-admitted schizophrenic patients. Three different outcome criteria were used and the correlations between these varied from low to high. Using a discriminant analytical approach where all 107 predictor variables were used to predict a combination of outcome criteria, 23% of outcome variance could be explained, which should be compared with 49% in a previous 5- to 9-year outcome study on the same material. At least one outcome variable--economic self-support--could not at all be predicted. "Atypical" symptoms were associated with favourable outcome and longitudinal variables indicative of "high-risk personality", or duration and severity of illness, were related to bad prognosis. Overt psychotic symptoms had no significant correlation with outcome.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Are cytokine gene polymorphisms associated with outcome in patients with idiopathic intermediate uveitis in the United Kingdom?

BACKGROUND/AIM: Competing levels of cytokines, either locally within the eye or systemically, may influence the eventual outcome of ocular inflammation. Polymorphism in the promoter part of the genes controlling cytokine production may result in either higher or lower production of the relevant cytokine to a given stimulus. The authors hypothesised that such polymorphisms may relate to visual outcome in patients with idiopathic intermediate uveitis. METHODS: DNA was obtained from 125 patients with idiopathic intermediate uveitis and analysed for the interleukin 10 IL-10-1082G/Alpha and IL-10-819C/T, and interferon gamma IFNgamma 874T/A gene polymorphisms. Associations with disease were calculated by both allelic frequency and haplotype analysis, and associations between ocular disease outcomes and the presence of polymorphisms were identified. A bad outcome was defined as loss of vision <6/12 Snellen in both eyes at 5 years from presentation when the eyes were quiet. RESULTS: An initial screen showed that the 874T allele of the IFNgamma gene was more prevalent in patients than controls (chi2= 7.9; p = 0.004 OR 1.7; 95% CI 1.2 to 2.6 (Pc = 0.02), whereas the IL-10-1082/-819 AT haplotype of the interleukin 10 (IL-10) gene was not. Analysis of disease outcome showed an association between IL-10-1082 AA homozygosity and bad outcome (chi2= 13; p = 0.0003). Moreover, the two cytokine polymorphisms taken together showed that up to 75% of patients with a poor visual outcome had the combined IFNgamma 874TA or TT genotype together with the IL-10-1082AA genotype (chi2= 13.2 p = 0.0008 OR 6.4; 95% CI 1.85 to 23.6 Pc = 0.1). CONCLUSION: These results show that disease outcome in intermediate uveitis may be partly determined by a complex interplay between cytokine genes and these results may have implications for future treatment with biological agents that target these cytokines.

Adult↗

Outcome of elective prostatectomy.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the symptomatic and urodynamic outcome of elective prostatectomy and to establish whether the outcome is influenced or can be predicted by preoperative urodynamic measurements. DESIGN: Prospective non-randomised study with follow up at a mean of 11 months after operation. Most men were assessed jointly by a urologist and a general practitioner. SETTING: Department of urology in a teaching hospital serving a large district population. PATIENTS: 253 Men listed for elective prostatectomy because of symptoms and low urinary flow rates (less than 15 ml/s) and excluding those already on a waiting list or with acute urinary retention, clinically apparent prostatic cancer, and neurological or cerebrovascular disease; 217 (86%) were followed up. INTERVENTION: Elective prostatectomy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Classification on the basis of relief of symptoms assessed by patients and urologist and general practitioner and of symptom scores obtained by questionnaire. RESULTS: Of the 217 men followed up, 171 (79%) had a satisfactory subjective review and 155 (72%) had a satisfactory review and also low symptom scores. An unsatisfactory outcome was associated with preoperative symptoms of urge incontinence, small prostatic size and resected weight, low voiding pressures, and low urethral resistance. Preoperative maximum urinary flow rates did not predict outcome. Men with poor outcome could be classified into two groups: those with irritative symptoms who were more likely before operation to have had urge incontinence and detrusor instability and men with symptoms of poor urinary flow who were more likely before operation to have had a small prostate, low voiding pressures, and low urethral resistance. In patients in the second group flow rates or voiding pressures improved little after operation. Men with stable detrusors and either low urethral resistance or low voiding pressures were less likely to do well after prostatectomy, but despite these associations preoperative urodynamic measurements were unable to predict outcome accurately. CONCLUSIONS: Prostatectomy was satisfactory in relieving symptoms and improving urodynamic measurements in most men, but even in those with classic symptoms and low urinary flow rates a substantial minority experienced little improvement afterwards and urodynamic measurements did not accurately predict outcome in individual patients.

Follow-Up Studies↗