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PubMed1997

Looking and Weighting in Judgment and Choice

A sampling model was proposed in which the weight given to a piece of information corresponds to the amount of sampling of that information in either a continuous, discrete or strategic manner. These three sampling processes were related to process tracing measures of initial and additional time per acquisition and frequency of acquisition. The applicability of the sampling model was tested in three experiments in which students uncovered information corresponding to verbal and math aptitude scores of hypothetical applicants and either judged the likelihood of success in a designated major or chose which of a pair of applicants was more likely to succeed in the major. Task focus was manipulated by altering the designated major. In Experiment 1, analysis of judgment data demonstrated large effects of task focus on the weighting of verbal and math scores and corresponding increases in number of acquisitions and time per acquisition on the information receiving more weight. In Experiments 2 and 3, analyses of choice proportions revealed effects of task focus on weight and bias parameters. Looking data in choice provided strong support for two of the stages of processing described by Russo and Leclerc (1994). Initial looks reflected orientation and screening functions and additional looks reflected more evaluative processes. Experiment 3 also explored similarities and differences among groups of participants who were classified as following different identifiable choice strategies.

Journal Article↗
PubMed1998

Cross-Cultural Variations in Probability Judgment Accuracy: Beyond General Knowledge Overconfidence?

Previous studies have revealed surprising and persistent cross-cultural variations in overconfidence, whereby respondents in some Asian cultures (e.g., Chinese) exhibit markedly higher degrees of overconfidence than respondents in other cultures (e.g., in the United States and Japan). Most of those demonstrations have entailed general knowledge tasks (e.g., answering questions such as whether Europe is larger than Australia). The present studies sought to determine whether such cross-cultural variations extend to judgments about the kinds of events that bear upon more common practical decisions and to aspects of accuracy other than overconfidence. Subjects in Taiwan, Japan, and the United States made probabilistic differential diagnoses of fictional diseases in a stochastic artificial ecology. Results revealed that previously observed cross-cultural variations do indeed generalize. The data were also informative about several potential accounts for such variations, e.g., arguing against a proposal that they rest on different emphases on discrimination rather than calibration, but consistent with the influences of culture-specific cognitive customs, including responsiveness to explicitly displayed information, regardless of its presumed validity. Copyright 1998 Academic Press.

Journal Article↗
PubMed1999

Order Effects in Preference Judgments: Evidence for Context Dependence in the Generation of Preferences.

This paper explores the cognitive processes at work in preference generation. It tests the hypothesis that the evaluation process relies on a comparative context of alternatives. Participants in two experiments reviewed pairs of options that included one superficially attractive option and another that was normatively superior in some way but superficially unattractive. Experiment 1 (N = 116) found that when the superficially attractive option was rated first, reported preferences for both options were higher than when the less attractive alternative was rated first. Experiment 2 (N = 177) replicated this order effect on preferences using six pairs of options. I obtained process measures that suggest the effect is attributable to the process by which people generate judgments of preference. Options are rated more positively to the extent that they compare favorably to other real or imagined alternatives; options are rated more negatively to the extent that they compare poorly to their alternatives. These two experiments contribute to the literature on preference generation by specifying a process by which people generate preferences. Copyright 1999 Academic Press.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2000

Information Technology Support For Debiasing Group Judgments: An Empirical Evaluation.

Human judgments, made by either individuals or groups, have been found to contain biases. One of the most prevalent biases identified is the availability bias, associated with the phenomenon that events which are more available to human memory are correspondingly judged as occurring more frequently or as being more important. This paper is concerned with how to reduce the availability bias in the group context. It reports an experiment in which two computer-based support facilities, electronic brainstorming and electronic mail, were tested for their contributions to reducing the availability bias. A 2 x 2 experimental design was used: electronic brainstorming (available or not) and communication mode (electronic or verbal). Forty teams of three members each were asked to work on a task involving the rating of the importance of a number of items associated with a secretary's task. Both electronic brainstorming and electronic communication helped reduce the availability bias. In both cases, the reduction in bias was due to increased attention paid to items that were found to have low availability in the absence of these support tools. Copyright 2000 Academic Press.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2001

Calibration of Subjective Probability Judgments in a Naturalistic Setting.

Results of previous calibration studies are used to identify features of the decision maker and the decision environment which might be expected to result in good calibration. Racetrack bettors and, in particular, the UK parimutuel betting market are identified as possessing such characteristics. In order to explore calibration in this setting, an analysis is undertaken of bets placed on 19,396 horses. A close correlation is observed between the subjective probability judgments of horses' success, implicit in the bettors' wagering activities, and the objective probability of success of the horses concerned. Explanations for the results are offered in terms of characteristics of racetrack bettors and the naturalistic setting, with particular reference to the operation of the betting market. The results contribute to an emergent school of thought which advocates naturalistic enquiry as a complement to laboratory-based experiments in further developing the understanding of decision making. Copyright 2001 Academic Press.

Journal Article↗
PubMed1986

Judgment and control of velocity in rapid voluntary movements.

Control of velocity in rapid flexion movements of the interphalangeal joint of the thumb was investigated by examining movement trajectories and patterns of activity in the extensor pollicis longus (EPL) and flexor pollicis longus (FPL) muscles. Although velocity was controlled with considerable accuracy, it was not sensed with the same precision. Consistent errors were made when subjects attempted to match the peak velocities under conditions in which the relationship between muscle activity and joint acceleration had been altered, i.e. changing the angle from which movement was initiated or varying the load. Rather than relying on afferent feedback from peripheral sensory receptors for information about velocity during rapid movements, it is suggested that subjects were more likely to base their judgment of velocity on sensations evoked by the voluntary motor command.

Adult↗
PubMed1993

Judgments of moving and intending to move in a timed-response task.

Subjects performed a timed-response task in which they attempted to synchronize a rapid flexion of the index finger of their preferred hand with the last of a train of four regularly spaced acoustic clicks. The task was used to stabilize the execution time of a simple voluntary response in order to facilitate psychophysical judgments about the subjects' perception of having responded and of having intended to respond. In the first experiment, male subjects (N = 6) adjusted the appearance time of a reference stimulus (a brief percutaneous pulse to the responding finger) until it appeared to be simultaneous with their perception of having made the response. All subjects adjusted the reference stimulus to appear after response onset during the latter half of the force impulse. This finding suggests that the perception of having responded is based on peripheral feedback from the response. In the second experiment, male subjects (N = 6) performed the same motor task, but adjusted the time of the reference stimulus so that it appeared to be simultaneous with their intention to respond. Two subjects were not able to do the task successfully; the remaining four subjects adjusted the reference stimulus to appear from 101 to 145 ms before response onset. This finding suggests that the intention to respond is perceptually separable from the response itself and occurs at a measurable time before response onset.

Adult↗
PubMed1993

Differential effects of visual-spatial attention on response latency and temporal-order judgment.

Theorists from both classical structuralism and modern attention research have claimed that attention to a sensory stimulus enhances processing speed. However, they have used different operations to measure this effect, viz., temporal-order judgment (TOJ) and reaction-time (RT) measurement. We report two experiments that compared the effect of a spatial cue on RT and TOJ. Experiment 1 demonstrated that a nonmasked, peripheral cue (the brief brightening of a box) affected both RT and TOJ. However, the former effect was significantly larger than the latter. A masked cue had a smaller, but reliable, effect on TOJ. In Experiment 2, the effects of a masked cue on RT and TOJ were compared under identical stimulus conditions. While the cue had a strong effect on RT, it left TOJ unaffected. These results suggest that a spatial cue may have dissociable effects on response processes and the processes that lead to a conscious percept. Implications for the concept of direct parameter specification and for theories of visual attention are discussed.

Adult↗
PubMed1990

Temporal-order judgments and reaction time for stimuli of different modalities.

Reaction times and the relative latency evaluated by the temporal-order-judgment method for two stimuli of different modalities (visual and auditory) were measured. The difference between reaction times for visual and auditory stimuli was about 40 ms. The relative latency was slightly shorter, however; in conflict with Rutschmann and Link's (1964) previous result, the auditory stimulus must be delayed to be perceived simultaneously with the visual one.

Adult↗
PubMed1992

Temporal-order judgment and reaction time for short and long stimuli.

The effect of intensity on visual latency was investigated. Visual latency was measured by two methods: simple motor reaction time (RT) and temporal-order judgment (TOJ). It was found, in accordance with previous studies, that the changes in RT were larger than TOJ latency when measured in the same range of intensity. Moreover, the relationship between TOJ latency and intensity was compared in two conditions: under so-called "with-offset", the information about offset order was available for the subject, while under "without-offset" conditions it was not. It was hypothesized on the ground of Jáskowski's 1991 study that the TOJ latency-intensity relation should differ for these two conditions because of the effect of intensity on visual persistence. We were unable to find any such effect.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Temporal, but not spatial, context modulates a masked prime's effect on temporal order judgment, but not on response latency.

Three experiments investigated a dissociation originally described by Neumann, Esselmann, and Klotz. Stimuli were geometric shapes, preceded by similar shapes that were masked by metacontrast. Each experiment consisted of three parts. In the reaction time (RT) part, participants saw an array of geometric shapes, one of which was marked by bars, and had to respond to the marked shape's position by pressing an appropriate button. A prime (a similar, but smaller stimulus) preceded either the marked or an unmarked stimulus. In the temporal order judgment (TOJ) part, the task was to judge the temporal order of the marked and the unmarked stimulus. In the detection part, detectability of the prime was tested. Although its detectability was zero or close to zero, the prime affected both RT and the apparent onset as measured by TOJ. The effect on RT was significantly larger than the effect on TOJ (Exp. 1). Increasing the spatial context (number of non-target stimuli in the display) did not affect this pattern (Exp. 2). By contrast, reducing the temporal context (range of stimulus onset asynchronies) abolished the prime's effect in the TOJ task, although the prime affected RT under identical conditions. It is concluded that partially different mechanisms mediate the prime's effect in the two tasks and that the effect of stimulus context on TOJ found in the Neumann et al. study was due to temporal, not spatial context.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

The role of spatial disparity and hemifields in audio-visual temporal order judgments.

We explored whether sensitivity to audio-visual temporal order judgments (TOJs) was affected by the amount of spatial separation between a sound and light, and by whether the sound and light were presented in the same or in different hemifields. Participants made TOJs about noise bursts and light flashes, and judged whether the stimuli came from the same location or not. Flashes were presented either in the left or right hemifield (at +/-10 degrees from central fixation), and sounds either came from the same location as the lights, or at small or large disparities (20 or 40 degrees from the light, respectively), thereby crossing the hemifields or not. TOJs became more accurate (i.e., the just noticeable difference, JND, became smaller) when spatial disparity increased and when hemifields were crossed. Location discrimination of the sound and light was affected similarly. These results demonstrate that audio-visual TOJs are critically dependent on both the relative position from which stimuli are presented and on whether stimuli cross hemifields or not.

Acoustic Stimulation↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Mimetic muscles and emotions: Hans Memling's fifteenth century masterpiece, "Last judgment," as a study for aesthetic surgery.

As the most recognizable part of the body, the face has always interested, not only artists, but doctors as well. Each has had their own perception of facial beauty. The task for plastic and aesthetic surgery regarding the face is to reconstruct, not only traumatic lesions, but also to prevent the effects of facial tissue aging. It is also important to preserve the aesthetic values of the face in different emotional conditions. Those conditions are partially represented by mimetic or facial muscles. One might suggest that the perception of human beings portrayed by the artists could be very helpful in the realm of plastic and aesthetic surgery. Take, for example, Hans Memling, a fifteenth century Flemish artist whose masterpiece "Last Judgment" is exhibited at Gdańsk National Museum in Poland. The fortunate individuals on the left side of the painting are queuing at heaven's gate to receive their reward. Their faces are smooth with smiles, displaying blessings and happiness. The right-hand side of the painting exemplifies the expression of fear and the drama of the situation. These sinners have been damned and sentenced to hell by evil creatures. The fear, pain, and tragedy of condemnation fill their faces. For plastic and cosmetic surgeons, studying the works of great artists has not been as valuable as using the emotionless and intangible figures of an anatomy book. Undoubtedly, the only useful paintings and sculptures are those that are full of expression with the face displaying a plethora of emotions. In all surgical approaches where mimetic muscles are concerned, one has to remember and be conscious of the fact that the face is a very significant part of our body.

Belgium↗
PubMed2003

Comparative and categorical spatial judgments in the monkey: "high" and "low".

Adult human subjects can classify the height of an object as belonging to either of the "high" or "low" categories by utilizing an abstract concept of midline that divides the vertical dimension into two halves. Children lack this abstract concept of midline, do not have a sense that these categories are directional opposites, and their categorical and comparative usages of high(er) or low(er) are restricted to the corresponding poles. We investigated the abilities of a rhesus monkey to perform categorical judgments in space. We were also interested in the presence of the congruity effect (a decrease in response time when the objects compared are closer to the category pole) in the monkey. The presence of this phenomenon in the monkey would allow us to relate the behavior of the animal to the two major competing hypotheses that have been suggested to explain the congruity effect in humans: the analog and semantic models. The monkey was trained in delayed match-to-sample tasks in which it had to categorize objects as belonging to either a high or low category. The monkey was able to generate an abstract notion of midline in a fashion similar to that of adult human subjects. The congruity effect was also present in the monkey. These findings, taken together with the notion that monkeys are not considered to think in propositional terms, may favor an analog comparison model in the monkey.

Animals↗
PubMed2001

Predicting tuberculosis among HIV-infected patients admitted to hospital: comparison of a model with clinical judgment of infectious disease specialists.

The aim of this prospective study was to compare a model based on clinical variables with the clinical judgment of infectious disease specialists to identify HIV-infected patients requiring isolation at admission in order to prevent the nosocomial transmission of tuberculosis. Clinical, epidemiological and radiological variables available at admission were recorded for 362 admissions of 274 HIV-infected patients. Using multiple logistic regression analysis, a model to identify patients with tuberculosis was developed based on four clinical variables (node enlargement, constitutional symptoms, intravenous drug use, history of previous correct therapy for tuberculosis) and a positive auramine sputum stain. This model was applied to each of the 362 admissions studied. The decision made by the infectious disease specialist at admission was also recorded. The results indicate that application of the model would have allowed physicians to correctly identify and isolate 24 of 27 patients with tuberculosis, while 5.4 patients without tuberculosis would have been unnecessarily isolated for every patient with tuberculosis. The results for the infectious disease specialists were slightly better, with 26 of 27 patients with tuberculosis being identified and isolated correctly and only 3.2 patients being isolated unnecessarily for every patient with tuberculosis. Thus, a simple model based on clinical variables may be useful in helping physicians identify tuberculosis carriers among HIV-infected patients, but infectious disease specialists are able to identify them more efficiently.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗
PubMed1981

Velocity judgments of continuously moving and stroboscopically presented stimuli using magnitude and category scaling.

An experiment was conducted to determine whether perceived velocities of continuously moving targets and stimuli presented stroboscopically (in successively different positions) are processed by two different motion-sensitive mechanisms: one substitutive (metathetic), the other additive (prothetic). Male subjects made category scale and magnitude scale judgments of targets presented continuously and stroboscopically at five different velocities. When the magnitude scale data were plotted against the category scale data, linear relationships emerged, suggesting that in both conditions velocity perception is due to a substitutive process. The results are discussed in view of previous research and theoretical implications.

Adult↗
PubMed1996

The effects of variation of an irrelevant dimension on same-different visual judgments.

In a series of experiments observers judged whether two visual tachistoscopically presented shapes were the same or different in a relevant dimension, and had to ignore the graded variation on an irrelevant dimension that appeared concurrently with the relevant dimension. Experimental results from judgments in orientation, size and brightness failed to support the normalization hypothesis. The hypothesis predicts a monotonous increase in RTs with the increasing degree of disparity in the irrelevant dimension in same as well as in different comparisons. The results were interpreted in terms of the type of dimensions used to construct the shapes. It was suggested that with separable stimulus dimensions normalization would not be necessary. However, interference might appear when the stimuli to be compared were generated from a combination of more integral dimensions.

Adult↗
PubMed1983

Variations in "same"-"different" judgments in patients with unilateral cortical lesions.

Five subject groups (normal controls, left anterior lesion patients, left posterior lesion patients, right anterior lesion patients, right posterior lesion patients) were tested on two perceptual matching tasks. All groups performed comparably accurately, although right hemisphere lesion patients demonstrated longer RT scores for "same" than for "different" judgments, whereas left hemisphere lesion patients demonstrated the reverse effect. Increased perceptual complexity of "same" target produced higher RT scores for "different" responses in right (but not left) hemisphere lesion groups. Finally, high-prototypicality "same" targets yielded lower RT scores than low-prototypicality "same" targets for all groups.

Brain Damage, Chronic↗