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Mortality experiences among 15+ year survivors of childhood and adolescent cancers.

BACKGROUND: Studies of childhood and adolescent cancer survivorship have tended to focus on limited survival intervals (e.g., 5 and 10 years). Our report evaluates gender-specific overall mortality, as well as mortality by age group, and by cause, among 15+ year survivors of cancer diagnosed during childhood or adolescence. PROCEDURE: This was a retrospective cohort study of 565 15+ year childhood cancer survivors from Roswell Park Cancer Institute's Long-Term Follow-Up Project. Sex- and age-specific person-years at risk were accumulated and applied to age-specific mortality rates for New York State, excluding New York City. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), and 95% confidence intervals, were calculated and compared to mortality risks of the general population. RESULTS: Second malignancy was the leading cause of death among male and female survivors (15/38 deaths, 39%). Excess overall mortality was noted among both males (SMR = 284) and females (SMR = 371). Significant mortality excesses were seen in both genders for deaths due to primary malignant neoplasms and secondary malignancies, as well as cardiac deaths among males. Excess mortality was noted across most age strata. In the scenario of no cancer relapse, overall mortality in both genders did not differ significantly from the general population. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term survivors of childhood and adolescent cancers continue to demonstrate significant excess mortality. However, overall mortality among 15+ year survivors without a relapse appears to be comparable to the general population. The leading cause of death among 15+ year survivors is second malignancy in this study, which represents a novel and important finding in terms of long-term follow-up.

Adolescent↗

Morbidity and mortality of discordant twins up to 34 weeks of gestational age.

UNLABELLED: The combination of weight discordance and prematurity implies a high perinatal morbidity and mortality for the affected twins. Several pathomechanisms may be responsible for the weight difference in twins including a different genetic growth potential in dizygotic twins, placenta insufficiency in one twin, and chronic feto-fetal transfusion (CFFT). Little is known about neonatal morbidity and mortality of discordant twins. Therefore, a retrospective, case-controlled study on preterm discordant twins up to 34 weeks gestation was carried out. Twenty-seven (27,3%) of 99 twin pairs born in our clinic had a birth weight difference of more than 20%. The control group consisted of 27 non-discordant twins matched for gestational age. Discordant twins showed a significantly higher mortality (19%) than the control twins (2%). Severe intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) and persistent ductus arteriosus Botalli (PDA) were found more often in discordant twins than in the control group. The increased mortality and morbidity of discordant twins compared with concordant twins matched for gestational age indicates that the increased morbidity and mortality of preterm weight discordant twins is not only due to prematurity, but is also related to the discordance itself. Thirteen (48.1%) of the weight discordant twin pairs fulfilled the criteria for CFFT. Twins with CFFT differed significantly from controls with respect to the incidence of mortality and the rate of severe ICH, PDA, and the necessity of postnatal cardiopulmonary resuscitation. By contrast, no significant differences were found between discordant twins without CFFT and controls. Thus, CFFT appears to be a major contributing factor for increased mortality and morbidity of weight discordant twins. Intra-twin pair analysis revealed a higher rate of postnatal hypoglycaemia in the smaller twins only, probably caused by insufficient glycogen storage due to intra-uterine malnutrition. Mortality was the same for both the larger and the smaller twins. It may be concluded that neonatal outcome of smaller twins who have survived intra-uterine malnutrition is the same as in larger twins. Intra-twin pair analysis in twins with CFFT revealed no significant differences except for a higher rate of ICH grade 2-4 in the larger twins which might be explained by hypervolaemia of the recipient. CONCLUSION: Morbidity and mortality of weight discordant twins are increased. CFFT appears to be a major contributing factor for the increased mortality and morbidity. Postnatal mortality was the same in acceptor and donor; however, the acceptor had a higher postnatal morbidity.

Birth Weight↗

Nosocomial bacteremia in very old patients: predictors of mortality.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Nosocomial Bacteremia (NB) is associated with high mortality in elderly patients. To determine specific prognostic factors for 7- and 30-day mortality in elderly patients with NB, we analysed the characteristics of 62 NB patients, retrospectively. METHODS: This retrospective study concerns 62 cases of NB diagnosed within a 3-year period in a geriatric department. Bacteremia is described according to CDC definitions. Epidemiological characteristics, co-morbidities, clinical (activities of daily living (ADL) before NB) and biological findings (neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, albuminemia before NB) were collected for each patient. A systemic clinical reaction was defined by the presence of one of the following parameters: chills, hypothermia <36 degrees C or hyperthermia >38.5 degrees C, or shock. Types of micro-organism and source of NB were also collected. All variables were analysed for mortality at day 7 (7-day mortality) and at day 30 (30-day mortality). RESULTS: The 7-day mortality rate was 21% and the 30-day rate was 45%. In multivariate analysis, 7-day mortality was only associated with the absence of systemic clinical reaction [OR 9.7 (3.7-25.7)]. Again, in multivariate analysis, 30-day mortality was associated with an ADL score <2 [OR 8.3 (4.3-16.4)] and cocci gram positive NB [OR= 3.6 (1.9-6.9)]. CONCLUSIONS: The absence of any systemic clinical reaction as a single independent predictor for 7-day mortality suggests either a poorer immune response to nosocomial bacteremia or a delay in diagnosis. Functional status was the strongest predictor for 30-day mortality. In this population, further prospective studies need to include these factors to evaluate predictors of mortality for serious infectious diseases.

Aged↗

Mortality and causes of death in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We aimed to examine the mortality rates, excess mortality and causes of death in diabetic patients from ten centres throughout the world. METHODS: A mortality follow-up of 4713 WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD) participants from ten centres was carried out, causes of death were ascertained and age-adjusted mortality rates were calculated by centre, sex and type of diabetes. Excess mortality, compared with the background population, was assessed in terms of standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) for each of the 10 cohorts. RESULTS: Cardiovascular disease was the most common underlying cause of death, accounting for 44 % of deaths in Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and 52 % of deaths in Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus. Renal disease accounted for 21% of deaths in Type I diabetes and 11% in Type II diabetes. For Type I diabetes, all-cause mortality rates were highest in Berlin men and Warsaw women, and lowest in London men and Zagreb women. For Type II diabetes, rates were highest in Warsaw men and Oklahoma women and lowest in Tokyo men and women. Age adjusted mortality rates and SMRs were generally higher in patients with Type I diabetes compared with those with Type II diabetes. Men and women in the Tokyo cohort had a very low excess mortality when compared with the background population. CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: This study confirms the importance of cardiovascular disease as the major cause of death in people with both types of diabetes. The low excess mortality in the Japanese cohort could have implications for the possible reduction of the burden of mortality associated with diabetes in other parts of the world.

Cardiovascular Diseases↗

A study of excess mortality during influenza epidemics in the Czech Republic, 1982-2000.

Influenza related mortality rates have been established in many countries; nevertheless, studies focusing on the Central European population have been rare to date. We assess mortality attributable to influenza by comparing all cause mortality and mortality due to diseases of the circulatory system during influenza epidemic and non-epidemic periods, as defined by acute respiratory infection surveillance data. Data on total mortality, mortality due to diseases of the circulatory system and surveillance data for influenza and other respiratory infections were used in a general linear model with a logarithmic link for dependence of left censored mortality data over time, and week as a categorical factor. Results of the analysis show statistically significant (p <0.001) differences in excess mortality rates between influenza epidemic and non-epidemic periods in the Czech Republic between 1982 and 2000. We estimate that 2.17% of all cause mortality, and 2.57% of mortality due to diseases of the circulatory system throughout the study period was attributable to influenza, with an estimated annual average of 2661 and 1752 deaths respectively. The highest numbers of deaths were reported during seasons when influenza A/H3N2 was the predominant circulating strain. Improving vaccination coverage against influenza is considered to be the primary strategy for prevention of influenza associated mortality.

Adolescent↗

Medical and surgical management of early Q wave myocardial infarction. II. Effects on mortality and global and regional left ventricular function at 10 or more years of follow-up.

To determine the long-term effect of surgical reperfusion on survival and left ventricular function of patients with anterior and inferior Q wave myocardial infarction, 387 patients were followed up for greater than or equal to 10 years after early Q wave infarction. In the anterior infarction group, 102 received conventional therapy and 101 underwent surgical reperfusion. The overall hospital mortality rate in the medically and surgically treated patients was different (16.7% [17 of 102] versus 6.9% [7 of 101], p less than 0.05). The cumulative 13 year actuarial mortality rate widened between the anterior medical and surgical groups (54% versus 31%, p = 0.0003) by the adjusted Cox proportional hazards model. The hospital mortality rate with early reperfusion (that is, less than or equal to 6 h of symptom onset) was 2% (1 of 51), whereas the mortality rate with late reperfusion was 12% (6 of 50). The 13 year actuarial cumulative mortality rate was significantly lower in both the early and late reperfusion groups (30% and 33%, respectively) than in the conventional therapy group (54%, p = 0.0006). The mortality rate in patients receiving surgery after surviving initial medical therapy was 50% (15 of 30). In the survivors of anterior Q wave myocardial infarction, improved global ejection fraction was seen in the patients undergoing early (54 +/- 13%) and late (50 +/- 10%) surgery relative to those receiving conventional therapy (43 +/- 11%, p less than 0.05). Only the early reperfusion group had better regional function of the anterior wall than that of the conventional therapy group. Thus, ventricular function correlated with improved long-term survival. In the patients with inferior Q wave myocardial infarction, the overall hospital mortality rate in the medical and surgical groups was not different (6.1% [6 of 98] versus 4.6% [6 of 86], p = NS). Likewise, the 13 year actuarial cumulative mortality rate was not different between the medical and surgical groups overall (32% versus 30%, p = 0.29) by the adjusted Cox proportional hazards model. The hospital mortality rate in the early reperfusion group was lower than that in the late reperfusion group (2.0% [1 of 49] versus 8.1% [3 of 37], p = NS). The 13 year actuarial cumulative mortality rate was lower in the early surgical group compared with that in the medical group (19% versus 32%, p = 0.04). The late surgical group had a similar 13 year actuarial cumulative mortality rate to that of the medical group (47% versus 32%, respectively, p = 0.47).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Cardiac Catheterization↗

A three decade analysis of factors affecting burn mortality in the elderly.

This study's objective was to identify variables that affect the mortality of elderly burn patients and to assess their changes over time. A retrospective review was conducted on all patients 75 or older (n=201) admitted to a university-based burn center between 1972 and 2000. Variables examined were age, sex, TBSA, ABSI, inhalation injury, timing from burn to operative intervention, the number of surgical procedures, the number of pre-morbid conditions, and mortality. There were 95 fatalities. TBSA strongly correlated with mortality (p<0.0001). Adjusting for TBSA and inhalation injury, mortality significantly decreased (p=0.04, odds ratio=0.58). Mortality significantly increased with inhalation injury (p<0.01). Fatality risk increased by 400% with inhalation injury. Absence of inhalation injury was not significant with respect to mortality in the 1970s, however there was a significant decrease (p=0.02) in mortality without an inhalation injury in the 1980s and 1990s. ABSI was strongly predictive of mortality (p<0.0001). On average there was a 200% increase in mortality per unit increase of ABSI. The elderly are 58% less likely to die from burns now as compared to the 1970s. Although mortality rose with increasing TBSA equally in each decade, the absolute risk of mortality decreased over time. This data suggests major strides have been made in burn care, however similar success has not been achieved with inhalation injuries.

Age Factors↗

Inequalities in lung cancer mortality by the educational level in 10 European populations.

Previous studies have shown that due to differences in the progression of the smoking epidemic European countries differ in the direction and size of socioeconomic variations in smoking prevalence. We studied differences in the direction and size of inequalities in lung cancer mortality by the educational level of subjects in 10 European populations during the 1990's. We obtained longitudinal mortality data by cause of death, age, sex and educational level for 4 Northern European populations (England/Wales, Norway, Denmark, Finland), 3 continental European populations (Belgium, Switzerland, Austria), and 3 Southern European populations (Barcelona, Madrid, Turin). Age- and sex-specific mortality rates by educational level were calculated, as well as the age- and sex-specific mortality rate ratios. Patterns of educational inequalities in lung cancer mortality suggest that England/Wales, Norway, Denmark, Finland and Belgium are the farthest advanced in terms of the progression of the smoking epidemic: these populations have consistently higher lung cancer mortality rates among the less educated in all age-groups in men, including the oldest men, and in all age-groups in women up to those aged 60-69 years. Madrid appears to be less advanced, with less educated men in the oldest age-group and less educated women in all age-groups still benefiting from lower lung cancer mortality rates. Switzerland, Austria, Turin and Barcelona occupy intermediate positions. The lung cancer mortality data suggest that inequalities in smoking contribute substantially to the educational differences in total mortality among men in all populations, except Madrid. Among women, these contributions are probably substantial in the Northern European countries and in Belgium, but only small in Switzerland, Austria, Turin and Barcelona, and negative in Madrid. In many European countries, policies and interventions that reduce smoking in less educated groups should be one of the main priorities to tackle socioeconomic inequalities in mortality. In some countries, particularly in Southern Europe, it may not be too late to prevent women in less educated groups from taking up the smoking habit, thereby avoiding large inequalities in mortality in the future in these countries.

Adult↗

Dietary restriction, mortality trajectories, risk and damage.

Restriction of food intake extends lifespan in evolutionarily diverse organisms, including mammals. Dietary restriction (DR) also delays the appearance of ageing-related damage and pathology and keeps organisms in a youthful state for longer. DR has hence been suggested to lower the rate of ageing. Analysis of mortality rates can be used to test this idea. During ageing, mortality rates in general increase, approximately exponentially. Lifespan can be extended either by a reduction in the rate of increase in mortality rate with age or a lowering of the initial rate of mortality. A reduction in the slope of a mortality trajectory has generally been taken to indicate that the rate of ageing has been lowered. Data on the effects of temperature on mortality in Drosophila are in accordance with this idea. Lowered temperature extends lifespan solely by lowering the slope of the mortality trajectory and flies with a hotter thermal history have permanently elevated death rates. In contrast, lowering of the initial rate of mortality has been taken to leave the rate of ageing unaffected. In Drosophila and in mice, but not in rats, DR extends lifespan by lowering the initial mortality rate. In Drosophila, the effect of DR is acute, and mortality rate switches rapidly between DR and control values with the corresponding changes in nutritional regime. DR in Drosophila therefore has no impact upon the rate of ageing. Possible mechanisms by which DR can both delay damage and pathology and yet act acutely to determine mortality rates are discussed. In rodents, some phenotypes associated with DR, including microarray profiles, show rapid switching with changed nutritional regime, pointing to potentially acute effects of DR in mammals.

Animals↗

Analysis of mortality within the first six months after coronary reoperation.

BACKGROUND: Identify risk factors associated with mortality following repeat coronary revascularization (redoCABG) within the first 6 months following surgery. METHODS: Five hundred forty-one redoCABG patients (1987 to 1998) were studied by univariant and multivariant analysis. Mortality was assessed at three different points: hospital mortality (A) (36/541, 6.7%); mortality at 6 months (C) (75/541, 13.9%); and outpatient perioperative mortality, which is a death occurring from the time of hospital discharge to 6 months postoperatively (B) (39/541, 7.2%). RESULTS: Diabetes, hypertension, peripheral vascular disease, renal insufficiency, lung disease, myocardial infarction (MI) before the first operation, MI between the first and redoCABG, lack of sinus rhythm, no IMA graft, acute/emergency operation, perfusion time, and perioperative MI were all identified as risk factors related to early mortality. MI before the first operation, antegrade cardioplegia, and the time period 1987 to 1992 all influenced hospital mortality (A). Diabetes, hypertension, renal insufficiency, lung disease, and valvular heart disease all influenced the outpatient mortality up to 6 months. Independent predictive factors for early mortality were: age more than 69 years; diabetes; vascular insufficiency; chronic lung disease; MI between first and redoCABG; no IMA-graft; acute preoperative MI; emergency operation; perfusion time; perioperative MI; and the time period 1987 to 1992. Risk factors for in-hospital death included MI between the first and redoCABG, cardiopulmonary bypass time, and the time period 1987 to 1992. Diabetes is an important risk factor during the outpatient perioperative phase. Emergency surgery and perioperative MI predict mortality regardless of the time period (A, B, or C). CONCLUSIONS: Early mortality after redoCABG is influenced by many variables during the first 6 months following surgery. Understanding these factors and their time course may better help to assess the true risk associated with reoperation for recurrent coronary insufficiency.

Age Factors↗

Additional risk factors influence excess mortality in heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia.

Life expectancy of patients with familial hypercholesterolaemia is decreased. Some untreated patients reach a normal life span and, therefore, additional risk factors and the type of mutation in the low-density lipoprotein (LDL) receptor gene are likely to influence the clinical outcome. We determined all cause mortality in kindreds with the disorder, who were untreated, in order to study (a) additional risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD) and (b) the types of LDL receptor gene mutations that may contribute to a poor prognosis. The mortality in all 855 first-degree relatives of 113 unrelated patients was compared to the Dutch population after standardisation for age, gender, and calendar period. Analyses restricted to affected relatives could have underestimated the mortality risk due to lack of information about severe cases, who died prematurely. Therefore, all first-degree relatives were analysed and as a result the standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) exhibit only 50% of the excess mortality from familial hypercholesterolaemia. We observed 190 deaths in 32048 person-years leading to an overall SMR of 1.34 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1. 16-1.55, P=0.001). High excess mortality occurred in males between age 40 and 54 (SMR 2.34, 95% CI 1.60-3.31, P<0.001). The excess mortality decreased during the last decades. This change of mortality over calendar time shows that additional risk factors modulate the mortality from the disorder. The SMR of 62 families referred with premature CAD was 1.62 (95% CI 1.32-1.93, P<0.001) and the SMR was 1.10 (95% CI 0.86-1.34, P=0.4) in 51 families without premature CAD. The mortality risk of kindreds with null alleles was similar to that of kindreds with other mutations. In conclusion, the burden of the untreated disorder occurred mainly among middle-aged males and was not influenced by the type of mutation. Additional risk factors increased excess mortality significantly and are highlighted by the presence of premature CAD among first-degree relatives. This underscores the need for active identification of all hypercholesterolaemic relatives of such patients.

Adolescent↗

[Trends in cancer mortality in Catalonia (1975-1998)].

BACKGROUND: Aimed at assessing recent trends of cancer mortality in Catalonia (Spain), we analysed mortality rates for main tumour locations in men and women between 1975 and 1998. MATERIAL AND METHOD: Mortality data were obtained from the Mortality Registry of Catalonia. For each sex, age-standardized (standard world population) mortality rates were determined by means of the direct method, and generalized lineal models with Poisson distribution were adjusted to obtain annual change percentages. RESULTS: In men, the overall cancer mortality (except skin non-melanoma) was highest within 1991-1992 (age-standardized rate: 181.39/100,000) and decreased thereafter until 169.47/100,000 in 1995-1996. Lung cancer was the main cause of cancer mortality, displaying a 4% annual increase until 1989-1990, and a subsequent stabilization (-0.5% annual between 1989 -1990 and 1997 - 1998); Colorectal cancer was the second cause of cancer death, both in men and women, with a mortality rate stabilization since the 1990s. Prostate cancer became the third cause of cancer death in 1997-1998. In women, overall cancer (except skin non-melanoma) mortality rate was of 77.98/100,000 in 1997-98, showing a 0.9% annual decrease since 1989-1990. Breast cancer was the chief cause of cancer death within 1997-1998: after a sustained increase since 1975-1976, mortality started to decline (-2.0% annual) since 1989-1990. Lung cancer became the third cause of cancer death among women within 1997-1998, just after breast cancer and colorectal cancer, while gastric and uterine cancer became the fourth and fifth cancer death causes during this period, respectively. CONCLUSION: After years of a steady increase, mortality rates for main cancer types stabilized since 1989-1990 in Catalonia.

Adolescent↗

Association between premature mortality and hypopituitarism. West Midlands Prospective Hypopituitary Study Group.

BACKGROUND: Four retrospective studies have reported premature mortality in patients with hypopituitarism with standard mortality ratios (SMRs) varying between 1.20 and 2.17. Patients with hypopituitarism have complex endocrine deficiencies, and the mechanisms underpinning any excess mortality are unknown. Furthermore, the suggestion has emerged that endogenous growth-hormone deficiency might account for any excess mortality. We aimed to clarify these issues by doing a large prospective study of total and specific-cause mortality in patients with hypopituitarism. METHODS: We followed up 1014 UK patients (514 men, 500 women) with hypopituitarism from January, 1992, to January, 2000. 573 (57%) patients had non-functioning adenomas, 118 (12%) craniopharyngiomas, and 93 (9%) prolactinomas. SMRs were calculated as the ratio of observed deaths to the number of deaths in an age-matched and sex-matched UK population. FINDINGS: The number of observed deaths was 181 compared with the 96.7 expected (SMR 1.87 [99% CI 1.62-2.16], p<0.0001). Univariate analysis indicated that mortality was higher in women (2.29 [1.86-2.82]) than men (1.57 [1.28-1.93], p=0.002), in younger patients, in patients with an underlying diagnosis of craniopharyngioma (9.28 [5.84-14.75] vs 1.61 [1.30-1.99], p<0.0001), and in the 353 patients treated with radiotherapy (2.32 [1.71-3.14] vs 1.66 [1.30-2.13], p=0.004). Excess mortality was attributed to cardiovascular (1.82 [1.30-2.54], p<0.0001), respiratory (2.66 [1.72-4.11], p<0.0001), and cerebrovascular (2.44 [1.58-4.18], p<0.0001) causes. There was no effect of hormonal deficiency on mortality, except for gonadotropin deficiency, which, if untreated was associated with excess mortality (untreated 2.97 [2.13-4.13] vs treated 1.42 [0.97-2.07], p<0.0001). Multiple regression analyses identified age at diagnosis, sex, a diagnosis of craniopharyngioma, and untreated gonadotropin deficiency as independent significant factors affecting mortality. INTERPRETATION: Patients with hypopituitarism have excess mortality, predominantly from vascular and respiratory disease. Age at diagnosis, female sex, and above all, craniopharyngioma were significant independent risk factors. Specific endocrine-axis deficiency, with the exception of untreated gonadotropin deficiency, does not seem to have a role.

Adenoma↗

Estimation of potential global pandemic influenza mortality on the basis of vital registry data from the 1918-20 pandemic: a quantitative analysis.

BACKGROUND: The threat of an avian influenza pandemic is causing widespread public concern and health policy response, especially in high-income countries. Our aim was to use high-quality vital registration data gathered during the 1918-20 pandemic to estimate global mortality should such a pandemic occur today. METHODS: We identified all countries with high-quality vital registration data for the 1918-20 pandemic and used these data to calculate excess mortality. We developed ordinary least squares regression models that related excess mortality to per-head income and absolute latitude and used these models to estimate mortality had there been an influenza pandemic in 2004. FINDINGS: Excess mortality data show that, even in 1918-20, population mortality varied over 30-fold across countries. Per-head income explained a large fraction of this variation in mortality. Extrapolation of 1918-20 mortality rates to the worldwide population of 2004 indicates that an estimated 62 million people (10th-90th percentile range 51 million-81 million) would be killed by a similar influenza pandemic; 96% (95% CI 95-98) of these deaths would occur in the developing world. If this mortality were concentrated in a single year, it would increase global mortality by 114%. INTERPRETATION: This analysis of the empirical record of the 1918-20 pandemic provides a plausible upper bound on pandemic mortality. Most deaths will occur in poor countries--ie, in societies whose scarce health resources are already stretched by existing health priorities.

Age Distribution↗

[Mortality among steel workers of the Basque Country].

Most of mortality studies among steelworkers pointed out an increased frequency on cancer mortality, above all by lung cancer, and, in a lower proportion, by cancers of digestive and genitourinary systems. In Spain mortality rates are not published by occupation and economic activity to contrast these observations. It was carried out a proportionate mortality study among active or retired workers from an steel mill, Altos Hornos de Vizcaya, died from 1986 to 1993, to make a preliminary death risk assessment associated with job in the steel industry. A sample of 1553 men was drawn from the mortality register of a private Insurance Company. Death causes within the sample and in general population of the Autonomous Community of the Basque Country were compared using a proportionate analysis. Mortality odds ratios (OR) were also computed. The results show an excess of cancer mortality (OR = 1.26, IC: 1.11-1.42), stomach cancer (OR = 1.50, IC: 1.14-1.98) and renal cancer (OR = 1.89; IC: 1.14-3.14) as it has been stated by other authors. It has not been found an increased mortality risk from lung cancer (OR = 1.13, IC: 0.91-1.40), bladder cancer (OR = 1.13, IC: 0.74-1.72) and chronic respiratory disease (OR = 0.94, IC: 0.73-1.20). There is also an excess of liver cancer (OR = 1.56, IC: 1.06-2.28) and cancer of non specified location (OR = 1.85, IC: 1.45-2.36). This can be due to classification bias that affects the study. On the other hand, these and other selection bias, discussed in this paper, could underestimate the lung cancer mortality. We can not conclude that, among the workers of the study, the mortality from several kind of cancer is not associated to occupational exposure. Furthermore, this excess of stomach and kidney cancer mortality may lead us to pose the hypothesis of cause-effect relationship with some not well identified carcinogens present at the steel working place.

Adult↗

Mortality in chronic schizophrenia during decreasing number of psychiatric beds in Finland.

Mortality, especially mortality due to suicides, is higher among patients suffering from schizophrenia than among the general population. Little is known about the factors predicting the mortality of schizophrenia patients. It has also been suggested that mortality among psychiatric patients increases as the number of beds in mental hospitals decreases. These questions were studied in 4338 schizophrenia patients discharged in 1982, 1986, 1990 and 1994 from mental hospitals in Finland. During this period, the number of beds in mental hospitals in Finland decreased from 3.8 to 1.3 per 1000 inhabitants. During the three-year follow-up, 226 patients or 5.2% died. There were no statistically significant differences in mortality between the cohorts. The total mortality was higher in males than in females. Age, physical illness and number of hospital days predicted increased mortality due to natural causes. Mortality due to unnatural causes (suicides and accidents) was predicted by number of prescribed psychosedatives, number of hospitalisations and short duration of illness. Mortality due to unnatural causes was higher in the first year after index discharge from hospital. The reduction in number of beds in mental hospitals does not seem to be associated with increased mortality in chronic schizophrenia. The high mortality of schizophrenia patients indicates the need for careful medical examinations and treatment of physical illnesses, as well as counselling for a healthy lifestyle. Need for psychosedative medication at discharge from hospital and multiple previous hospitalisations may indicate an increased suicide risk and thus requires special attention. In outpatient treatment, it is important to remember that the risk of unnatural death increases during the first years after discharge from hospital.

Adolescent↗

Neurologic and non-neurologic predictors of mortality in ischemic stroke patients admitted to the intensive care unit.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Patients with severe strokes may have different associated medical comorbidities from those with mild strokes. This study evaluated the neurologic and non-neurologic medical predictors of mortality in patients with severe cerebral infarction in the acute stage. METHODS: Patients admitted to a neurologic intensive care unit (ICU) due to cerebral infarction were included. Neurologic and non-neurologic predictors for in-unit mortality were determined by logistic regression analyses. Two models using (A) neurologic factors and (B) combined neurologic and non-neurologic factors as mortality predictors were developed. The performance of the models in predicting overall, neurologic and non-neurologic mortalities was compared by areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUC) of the derived regressive equations. RESULTS: Of 231 patients with cerebral infarction admitted to the ICU, 34 (14.7%) died during ICU stay. Conscious state and acute physiologic abnormalities were significant predictors of mortality. The length of ICU stay in patients with non-neurologic mortality was longer than in those with neurologic mortality (p = 0.044). The AUC of Model B was larger than that of Model A in predicting overall (0.768 +/- 0.045 vs. 0.863 +/- 0.033, p = 0.005) and non-neurologic mortalities (0.570 +/- 0.073 vs. 0.707 +/- 0.074, p = 0.009), while there was no difference in predicting death from neurologic causes (0.858 +/- 0.044 vs. 0.880 +/- 0.032, p = 0.217). CONCLUSION: Impaired consciousness and acute physiologic abnormalities are independent predictors of mortality for severe ischemic stroke during the acute stage. Neurologic factors predict early mortality from intrinsic cerebral dysfunction, while non-neurologic factors, especially the associated physiologic abnormalities, predict late mortality from medical complications.

Adult↗

Racial disparities in CHD mortality from 1968-1992 in the state economic areas surrounding the ARIC study communities. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities.

PURPOSE: This study examined racial variations in CHD (coronary heart disease) mortality rates (1968-1992) of residents aged 35-84 in the state economic areas (SEAs) surrounding the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study. The quarter century of CHD mortality rates are discussed in relation to racial and gender differences in baseline risk factors measured in the ARIC cohort and to the incidence of hospitalized myocardial infarction and case fatality rates obtained from the community surveillance component of the ARIC study between 1987 and 1994, inclusive. METHODS: Five-year average annual, gender- and age-specific CHD mortality rates were compared across race groups, based on National Vital Statistics data for state economic areas. RESULTS: Five-year average annual CHD mortality declined 2.6% for white men and women and 1.6% and 2.2% for black men and women, respectively. The black-white mortality rate ratio increased over time for men and women. The black-white mortality age crossover (higher black than white mortality in young men, lower black than white mortality at older ages) had disappeared by the end of the observation. CHD mortality was markedly greater in black than white women at all ages and time periods. The black disadvantage in CHD mortality was increasingly greater in the ARIC SEAs than in the United States as a whole. CONCLUSIONS: Persistent and increasing racial disparities in CHD mortality occurred in the ARIC SEAs concurrently with racial differences in risk factors, the incidence of myocardial infarction, and case fatality rates.

Adult↗