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Transfer Learning across Material Properties Using Center-Environment Features: From Energetics to Mechanical Properties in Multicomponent Mo Alloys.

Transfer learning (TL) provides a viable approach to mitigate data scarcity in materials informatics. While conventional TL focuses on predicting identical properties across different systems, this work demonstrates a cross-property extension of TL from energy to mechanical properties via end-to-end model weight pre-training and fine-tuning: knowledge learned from predicting substitution energies is transferred to predict distinctly different mechanical properties, substantially improving computational efficiency given the typically higher cost of acquiring target-domain data. To accelerate computational alloy design, machine learning models using center-environment (CE) features were first developed to predict substitution energies of alloying elements in molybdenum (Mo)-based alloys. The Random Forest models achieved the optimal performance and transferability-R2 = 0.97, 〈MAE〉 = 0.11 eV, and 〈RMSE〉 = 0.16 eV-against the density functional theory (DFT) benchmark. The model dependency of feature selection and importance analysis was discussed. The transferability of the energy models was validated on unknown systems with new elements. Subsequently, the energy models were fine-tuned using limited mechanical property data to construct energy-to-property (E2P) TL models capable of predicting elastic properties, including bulk modulus, Young's modulus, shear modulus, and elastic constants, achieving an improved accuracy over the non-transferred ML by ∼10-30%, with its transferability verified by additional DFT calculations. This cross-property E2P transfer learning framework opens a new avenue for accelerating computational materials discovery and may be extended to other multiproperty predictions governed by similar physical principles.

center-environment feature↗

Two-sample comparison based on prediction error, with applications to candidate gene association studies.

To take advantage of the increasingly available high-density SNP maps across the genome, various tests that compare multilocus genotypes or estimated haplotypes between cases and controls have been developed for candidate gene association studies. Here we view this two-sample testing problem from the perspective of supervised machine learning and propose a new association test. The approach adopts the flexible and easy-to-understand classification tree model as the learning machine, and uses the estimated prediction error of the resulting prediction rule as the test statistic. This procedure not only provides an association test but also generates a prediction rule that can be useful in understanding the mechanisms underlying complex disease. Under the set-up of a haplotype-based transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT) type of analysis, we find through simulation studies that the proposed procedure has the correct type I error rates and is robust to population stratification. The power of the proposed procedure is sensitive to the chosen prediction error estimator. Among commonly used prediction error estimators, the .632+ estimator results in a test that has the best overall performance. We also find that the test using the .632+ estimator is more powerful than the standard single-point TDT analysis, the Pearson's goodness-of-fit test based on estimated haplotype frequencies, and two haplotype-based global tests implemented in the genetic analysis package FBAT. To illustrate the application of the proposed method in population-based association studies, we use the procedure to study the association between non-Hodgkin lymphoma and the IL10 gene.

Adult↗

Multimodal features and prognostic risk assessment in locally advanced gastric cancer patients following neoadjuvant therapy based on machine learning algorithms: a multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) is recommended for locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC), but some patients respond poorly. We aimed to construct a multimodal model integrating CT images, transcriptomic sequencing, and clinicopathological data to assess prognosis in LAGC patients receiving NAT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This multicenter study included 505 LAGC patients who underwent NAT. Radiomic features were extracted from preoperative CT images of 505 patients. RNA-seq was performed on 277 post-NAT specimens, with additional data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;804). Patients were divided into training (168 cases), internal validation (72 cases), and external validation cohorts. Machine learning algorithms identified key radiomic, molecular, and clinical features associated with NAT response, which were then integrated into a multimodal model to predict overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). RESULTS: Six radiomic and three molecular features significantly associated with NAT response were selected. Radiomic risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 4.0, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and molecular risk (HR: 7.1, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) were independent prognostic factors. By integrating radiomic risk, molecular risk, and clinical characteristics, a multimodal model (MuMo) was constructed.The C-index results (OS, C-index&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.855; DFS, C-index&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.786) demonstrated that MuMo outperformed the single-modality models and ypTNM staging.Mechanistic analysis suggested that the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy was significantly enriched in immune-inflammatory pathways. CONCLUSIONS: MuMo can effectively predict postoperative survival risk in LAGC patients receiving NAT, serving as a powerful tool for optimizing prognostic assessment.

Humans↗

Proteomics-enabled learning machine algorithms enhance the prediction of cardiovascular diseases in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Estimating the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) complications in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients is critical in the medical decision-making process. This study aimed to use a machine learning technique combined with proteomics to develop personalized models for predicting CVD in patients with T2DM. METHODS AND RESULTS: In total, 874 patients with T2DM and 2,920 Olink proteins obtained from the UK Biobank were used in this study. Proteins were screened using Cox regression and LASSO regression. A basic model containing clinical features and a full model combining proteome and clinical features were constructed using the random survival forest algorithm. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the predictive performance of the models and compare them with other CVD predictive models. Compared with the basic model, the full model performed better in predicting CVD, with time-dependent AUCs of 0.81 (3&#x2009;years), 0.74 (5&#x2009;years) and 0.74 (10&#x2009;years) (0.77, 0.69 and 0.67). We calculated the risk scores of the Framingham, ASCVD and Score2-Diabetes models. The results revealed that the prediction performance of the full model was also better than that of the abovementioned models. In terms of differentiation accuracy, the results of the net reclassification improvement index and integrated discrimination improvement index showed that the full model can identify high-risk individuals more accurately (accuracy rate: 79% vs. 69%). CONCLUSIONS: Proteomics can be used to predict cardiovascular complications in diabetic patients. It is also necessary to consider the applicability of the model due to the limitations of the sample size and the constraints of proteomics in clinical applications.

Humans↗

Machine learning techniques in disease forecasting: a case study on rice blast prediction.

BACKGROUND: Diverse modeling approaches viz. neural networks and multiple regression have been followed to date for disease prediction in plant populations. However, due to their inability to predict value of unknown data points and longer training times, there is need for exploiting new prediction softwares for better understanding of plant-pathogen-environment relationships. Further, there is no online tool available which can help the plant researchers or farmers in timely application of control measures. This paper introduces a new prediction approach based on support vector machines for developing weather-based prediction models of plant diseases. RESULTS: Six significant weather variables were selected as predictor variables. Two series of models (cross-location and cross-year) were developed and validated using a five-fold cross validation procedure. For cross-year models, the conventional multiple regression (REG) approach achieved an average correlation coefficient (r) of 0.50, which increased to 0.60 and percent mean absolute error (%MAE) decreased from 65.42 to 52.24 when back-propagation neural network (BPNN) was used. With generalized regression neural network (GRNN), the r increased to 0.70 and %MAE also improved to 46.30, which further increased to r = 0.77 and %MAE = 36.66 when support vector machine (SVM) based method was used. Similarly, cross-location validation achieved r = 0.48, 0.56 and 0.66 using REG, BPNN and GRNN respectively, with their corresponding %MAE as 77.54, 66.11 and 58.26. The SVM-based method outperformed all the three approaches by further increasing r to 0.74 with improvement in %MAE to 44.12. Overall, this SVM-based prediction approach will open new vistas in the area of forecasting plant diseases of various crops. CONCLUSION: Our case study demonstrated that SVM is better than existing machine learning techniques and conventional REG approaches in forecasting plant diseases. In this direction, we have also developed a SVM-based web server for rice blast prediction, a first of its kind worldwide, which can help the plant science community and farmers in their decision making process. The server is freely available at http://www.imtech.res.in/raghava/rbpred/.

Agriculture↗

Prediction of P-glycoprotein substrates by a support vector machine approach.

P-glycoproteins (P-gp) actively transport a wide variety of chemicals out of cells and function as drug efflux pumps that mediate multidrug resistance and limit the efficacy of many drugs. Methods for facilitating early elimination of potential P-gp substrates are useful for facilitating new drug discovery. A computational ensemble pharmacophore model has recently been used for the prediction of P-gp substrates with a promising accuracy of 63%. It is desirable to extend the prediction range beyond compounds covered by the known pharmacophore models. For such a purpose, a machine learning method, support vector machine (SVM), was explored for the prediction of P-gp substrates. A set of 201 chemical compounds, including 116 substrates and 85 nonsubstrates of P-gp, was used to train and test a SVM classification system. This SVM system gave a prediction accuracy of at least 81.2% for P-gp substrates based on two different evaluation methods, which is substantially improved against that obtained from the multiple-pharmacophore model. The prediction accuracy for nonsubstrates of P-gp is 79.2% using 5-fold cross-validation. These accuracies are slightly better than those obtained from other statistical classification methods, including k-nearest neighbor (k-NN), probabilistic neural networks (PNN), and C4.5 decision tree, that use the same sets of data and molecular descriptors. Our study indicates the potential of SVM in facilitating the prediction of P-gp substrates.

ATP Binding Cassette Transporter, Subfamily B, Mem↗

Machine learning-based analysis of the impact of 5'&#xa0;untranslated region on protein expression.

The 5' untranslated region (5'UTR) plays a crucial regulatory role in messenger RNA (mRNA), with modified 5'UTRs extensively utilized in vaccine production, gene therapy, etc. Nevertheless, manually optimizing 5'UTRs may encounter difficulties in balancing the effects of various cis-elements. Consequently, multiple 5'UTR libraries have been created, and machine learning models have been employed to analyze and predict translation efficiency (TE) and protein expression, providing insights into critical regulatory features. On the one hand, these screening libraries, based on TE and mean ribosome load, struggle to accurately quantify protein expression; on the other hand, a precise method for quantifying 5'UTRs necessitates a significantly costlier library. To resolve this dilemma, we constructed a library utilizing firefly luciferase as the reporter to measure accurate protein expression. In addition, we optimized the library construction method by clustering mRNA sequences to reduce redundant data and minimize the size of the dataset. This dual strategy by increasing accuracy and reducing dataset size was found to be effective in predicting the 5'UTRs from the PC3 cell line.

5' Untranslated Regions↗

dsRNAscan maps human dsRNAome, revealing conservation, intermolecular dsRNA, and correlates of ADAR dependency.

The human transcriptome contains millions of A-to-I editing sites arising from an unclear number of poorly characterized dsRNAs. Editing sites reveal the presence of dsRNA, but this method is limited by transcription levels, read depth, and ADAR expression and cannot identify unedited dsRNA. To address these limitations, we developed dsRNAscan. Applying dsRNAscan to the human genome predicted 5 million dsRNAs, mostly in repetitive and intergenic regions. Machine learning models trained on A-to-I editing and RNA structure-probing data identified &#x223c;2.4 million high-confidence predictions, which were enriched at dsRNA-binding protein binding sites. Additionally, we predicted hundreds of dsRNAs conserved across vertebrates and observed thousands of editing-enriched regions suspected to arise from intermolecular dsRNAs formed with sense-antisense transcripts. Quantifying expression of intramolecular and intermolecular dsRNAs accessible to cytoplasmic immune sensors revealed that their ratio correlated with ADAR dependency across cancer cell lines. The human dsRNAome is available as a resource at https://dsrna.chpc.utah.edu/.

A-to-I RNA editing↗

A comparative study highlights superiority of LSTM in crop genomic prediction.

We systematically evaluated three key determinants affecting prediction accuracy and the algorithm performance differences based on fifteen state-of-the-art GP methods, and found LSTM suitable for capturing additive and epistatic effects. Genomic prediction (GP) has been developed as an important method supporting crop breeding. By utilizing the phenotype values result from GP, breeders could make decisions in the seedling stage that consequently benefit for cost saving. In recent years, machine learning emerged as an efficient technology to solve modeling problems in many fields, including crop breeding. However, numerous modeling approaches have hindered the application of GP since breeders struggle to choose. Therefore, a comprehensively methodological research with guiding significance is extremely necessary. In the present study, we systematically evaluated three key determinants affecting prediction accuracy and the algorithm performance differences based on fifteen state-of-the-art GP methods. As for genomic feature processing, we found feature selection (SNP filtering approach) performed better than feature extraction (PCA method). Specifically, the feature relationship dependent methods (GBLUP, RNN, and LSTM) as well as DNN architecture showed superior performance with feature selection. Marker density analysis showed positive correlation with prediction accuracy in a limited threshold. Comparison on effect of population size demonstrated a positive correlation between trait genetic complexity and the optimal population size required. By testing fifteen modeling methods, we found LSTM network displayed superior performance, achieving the highest average STScore (0.967) across six datasets. Further research using all cell states or the latest cell states of LSTM inputs demonstrated its architecture particularly adept with capturing additive and epistatic QTL effects among SNPs. In conclusion, our findings provide basic principles for implementing GP in breeding project to maximize prediction accuracy while maintaining cost-effectiveness.

Plant Breeding↗

Analysis of end-stage renal disease mediated by cuproptosis-related genes.

OBJECTIVE: The complex pathophysiological mechanism of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) has not been fully understood. Cuproptosis is a newly discovered type of programmed cell death. Therefore, this study attempts to clarify the relationship between cuproptosis-related genes (CRGs) and the phenotype of ESRD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The National Center for Biological Information Gene Expression Omnibus database was applied to obtain the GSE37171 dataset comprising whole-genome microarray analysis of peripheral blood samples. A 3&#xa0;:&#xa0;1 case-control design was employed with 75 ESRD patients and 20 healthy controls who were frequency-matched for age, sex, and ethnicity. Based on differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and genes related to cuproptosis, CRGs were identified. Thereafter, we explored two different subpopulations based on the cuproptosis gene and analyzed their expression and immune infiltration. Genes specific to the CRG cluster were identified through the weighted gene co-expression network analysis algorithm, and the best prediction model was determined and verified by four machine learning methods. RESULTS: The study identified 14 differentially expressed CRGs, among which ATP7B, SLC31A1, LIAS, LIPT1, DLD, MTF1, CDKN2A, DBT, and DLST had relatively high expression levels in the ESRD samples. Compared with the control group, expression levels of FDX1, DLAT, PDHA1, PDHB, and GLS were significantly lower in the ESRD group, and CRGs played a key role in the regulation of immune infiltration in ESRD. Two cuproptosis-related molecular clusters were identified in the ESRD samples. Cluster2 was more correlated with the immune infiltration of ESRD. By analyzing the intersection points between CRG cluster and key genes of ESRD, a total of 888 specific DEGs were identified. Functional differences related to specific DEGs were further explored using gene set variation analysis. Five significant genes (SMC5, USP47, USP53, AGA, and DMXL1) were identified by the support vector machine model as key predictors for ESRD disease risk, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 1.00 in internal validation. However, external validation in independent cohorts is required prior to clinical application. Individual gene analysis showed an AUC >&#xa0;0.81 in discriminating ESRD patients from healthy controls, and the expression of all 5 genes in ESRD patients was significantly lower than in the control group. CONCLUSION: This study clarified the relationship between CRGs and the phenotype of ESRD, analyzed their specific roles in the immune microenvironment, and obtained a predictive model, providing new insights for the study of its potential therapeutic targets.

Humans↗

CaXML: Chemistry-informed machine learning explains mutual changes between protein conformations and calcium ions in calcium-binding proteins using structural and topological features.

Proteins' flexibility is a feature in communicating changes in cell signaling instigated by binding with secondary messengers, such as calcium ions, associated with the coordination of muscle contraction, neurotransmitter release, and gene expression. When binding with the disordered parts of a protein, calcium ions must balance their charge states with the shape of calcium-binding proteins and their versatile pool of partners depending on the circumstances they transmit. Accurately determining the ionic charges of those ions is essential for understanding their role in such processes. However, it is unclear whether the limited experimental data available can be effectively used to train models to accurately predict the charges of calcium-binding protein variants. Here, we developed a chemistry-informed, machine-learning algorithm that implements a game theoretic approach to explain the output of a machine-learning model without the prerequisite of an excessively large database for high-performance prediction of atomic charges. We used the ab initio electronic structure data representing calcium ions and the structures of the disordered segments of calcium-binding peptides with surrounding water molecules to train several explainable models. Network theory was used to extract the topological features of atomic interactions in the structurally complex data dictated by the coordination chemistry of a calcium ion, a potent indicator of its charge state in protein. Our design created a computational tool of CaXML, which provided a framework of explainable machine learning model to annotate ionic charges of calcium ions in calcium-binding proteins in response to the chemical changes in an environment. Our framework will provide new insights into protein design for engineering functionality based on the limited size of scientific data in a genome space.

Machine Learning↗

Dissecting genetic architecture and improving machine learning&#x2011;based genomic prediction of flowering time in Osmanthus fragrans by integrating structural variants.

Sweet osmanthus (Osmanthus fragrans), a traditional ornamental plant in China, exhibits substantial variation in autumn flowering time, which significantly affects landscape application and cultivation efficiency. Here, we performed a genome-wide association study on 127 resequenced accessions classified into early, intermediate, and late flowering types, using a set of 2,325,410 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and 246,824 structural variants (SVs). By integrating SNP/insertion and deletion (Indel) and SV data with weighted gene co-expression network analysis, machine learning, and genomic prediction, we dissected the genetic architecture of flowering time. We identified 24 associated SNP/Indels and six SVs, mapping to 30 candidate genes, including known flowering regulators FLK, LOS1, Y14, MIF2, and GID1B. These genes showed tissue-specific expression, with some responding to low temperature. The two hub genes, GUX1 and LYG027904, were located within modules of the co-expression network associated with low-temperature treatment. Haplotype analysis revealed a specific three-SNP haplotype associated with late flowering and linked to LOS1, and epistatic interactions among combined genotypes contributed to phenotypic variation. Notably, integrating SVs with SNP/Indels improved genomic prediction accuracy; the gradient boosting decision tree model outperformed other machine learning algorithms, achieving a mean accuracy of 0.859 and an AUC&#xa0;>&#xa0;0.8 (where AUC is area under receiver operating characteristic curve) for all flowering types. These findings provide insights into the genetic mechanisms underlying flowering time variation in O. fragrans, offer candidate genes and haplotypes for molecular breeding, and highlight the value of integrating SVs with machine learning for genomic prediction in woody ornamentals.

Machine Learning↗

ABC stenosis morphology classification and outcome of coronary angioplasty: reassessment with computing techniques.

BACKGROUND: The American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) stenosis morphology classification (MC) stratifies coronary lesions for probability of success and complications after coronary angioplasty (PTCA). Modern computing techniques were used to evaluate the individual predictive value of MC in random PTCA cases. METHODS AND RESULTS: MC was attributed to the target lesions by consensus of 2 observers. The predictive value regarding procedural success (PS) and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) of MC was analyzed by conventional logistic regression analyses and by inductive machine learning models. The study was adequately powered for the methods applied with 325 target lesions of 250 cases. Overall, PS decreased and MACE increased from type A to type C lesions. Regression analysis identified no single factor as predictive. Logistic regression showed an error rate of 42%. Machine learning techniques achieved an individual predictive error of only 10%, which could be further reduced to 2% by addition of parameters. For PS, MC parameters showed a high ranking for building the model. For MACE, variables of the medical history showed more impact. CONCLUSIONS: MC per se cannot individually predict PS or MACE. However, when all MC parameters are integrated together with additional lesion-specific and history variables, a high individual predictive value can be achieved. This technique may be clinically helpful for risk stratification in the catheterization laboratory and improvement of classification systems in interventional cardiology.

Algorithms↗

Metagenomic polymorphic toxin effector and immunity profiling predicts microbiome development and disease-related dysbiosis.

Bacteria use antagonistic interbacterial weapons, such as polymorphic toxin secretion systems (TSS), to compete for niches in the human gut microbiome. We hypothesized that TSS influence gut microbiome development and disease-related dysbiosis. We developed a bioinformatic marker gene approach (PolyProf) to quantify TSS including ~200 effector and immunity genes and applied it to ~15,000 publicly available human metagenomes. PolyProf alpha and beta diversity readily distinguished 12 different human disease states and enabled the construction of highly accurate linear regression classifier machine learning models. Elastic net machine learning models integrating bacterial taxonomy with PolyProf had strong predictive value for 12 disease states, outperforming models utilizing taxonomy alone. During microbiome development in the first year of life, PolyProf alpha diversity increases, and beta diversity becomes increasingly like the maternal microbiome, influenced by vertical transfer, delivery mode, and breastfeeding. PolyProf is related to strain sharing among adults through social interactions. In summary, TSS genes strongly correlate with microbiome development and interpersonal strain sharing, suggesting roles for interbacterial antagonism. Since PolyProf distinguishes diverse adult disease statuses, these dynamics may contribute to non-genetic inheritance.IMPORTANCEPrevious research has demonstrated that bacteria compete within the gut microbiome using toxin secretion systems (TSS). How TSS contribute to human microbiome development and the microbiome alterations observed in human diseases is not known. This study develops a new bioinformatic tool for profiling TSS-related genes in metagenomic data. Application of this approach to large-scale human fecal metagenomic data demonstrates the dynamic association of TSS during microbiome development, including the exchange of strains among social contacts. TSS gene abundance patterns are highly predictive of 12 disease states. This study advances the field by enabling TSS profiling in metagenomes and by identifying disease and microbiome development biomarkers that provide hypotheses for future mechanistic studies and may be useful for disease diagnosis.

Dysbiosis↗

Data mining and machine learning techniques for the identification of mutagenicity inducing substructures and structure activity relationships of noncongeneric compounds.

This paper explores the utility of data mining and machine learning algorithms for the induction of mutagenicity structure-activity relationships (SARs) from noncongeneric data sets. We compare (i) a newly developed algorithm (MOLFEA) for the generation of descriptors (molecular fragments) for noncongeneric compounds with traditional SAR approaches (molecular properties) and (ii) different machine learning algorithms for the induction of SARs from these descriptors. In addition we investigate the optimal parameter settings for these programs and give an exemplary interpretation of the derived models. The predictive accuracies of models using MOLFEA derived descriptors is approximately 10-15%age points higher than those using molecular properties alone. Using both types of descriptors together does not improve the derived models. From the applied machine learning techniques the rule learner PART and support vector machines gave the best results, although the differences between the learning algorithms are only marginal. We were able to achieve predictive accuracies up to 78% for 10-fold cross-validation. The resulting models are relatively easy to interpret and usable for predictive as well as for explanatory purposes.

Algorithms↗

Uncertainty Modeling Outperforms Machine Learning for Microbiome Data Analysis.

Microbiome sequencing measures relative rather than absolute abundances, providing no direct information about total microbial load. Normalization methods attempt to compensate, but rely on strong, often untestable assumptions that can bias inference. Experimental measurements of load (e.g., qPCR, flow cytometry) offer a solution, but remain costly and uncommon. A recent high-profile study proposed that machine learning could bypass this limitation by predicting microbial load from sequencing data alone. To evaluate this claim, we assembled mutt, the largest public database of paired sequencing and load measurements, spanning 35 studies and over 15,000 samples. Using mutt, we show that published machine learning models fail to generalize: on average they perform worse than a naive baseline that always predicted the training set mean. These failures stem from covariate shift-limited shared taxa between studies, differences in community composition, and differences in preprocessing pipelines-that silently derail model inputs. In contrast, Bayesian partially identified models do not attempt to impute microbial load, but instead propagate scale uncertainty through downstream analyses. Across 30 benchmark datasets, Bayesian partially identified models consistently outperformed normalization and machine learning approaches, providing a principled and reproducible foundation for microbiome inference.

16S rRNA-seq↗

SMIREP: predicting chemical activity from SMILES.

Most approaches to structure-activity-relationship (SAR) prediction proceed in two steps. In the first step, a typically large set of fingerprints, or fragments of interest, is constructed (either by hand or by some recent data mining techniques). In the second step, machine learning techniques are applied to obtain a predictive model. The result is often not only a highly accurate but also hard to interpret model. In this paper, we demonstrate the capabilities of a novel SAR algorithm, SMIREP, which tightly integrates the fragment and model generation steps and which yields simple models in the form of a small set of IF-THEN rules. These rules contain SMILES fragments, which are easy to understand to the computational chemist. SMIREP combines ideas from the well-known IREP rule learner with a novel fragmentation algorithm for SMILES strings. SMIREP has been evaluated on three problems: the prediction of binding activities for the estrogen receptor (Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA's) Distributed Structure-Searchable Toxicity (DSSTox) National Center for Toxicological Research estrogen receptor (NCTRER) Database), the prediction of mutagenicity using the carcinogenic potency database (CPDB), and the prediction of biodegradability on a subset of the Environmental Fate Database (EFDB). In these applications, SMIREP has the advantage of producing easily interpretable rules while having predictive accuracies that are comparable to those of alternative state-of-the-art techniques.

Algorithms↗

Evaluating the C-section rate of different physician practices: using machine learning to model standard practice.

The C-section rate of a population of 22,175 expectant mothers is 16.8%; yet the 17 physician groups that serve this population have vastly different group C-section rates, ranging from 13% to 23%. Our goal is to determine retrospectively if the variations in the observed rates can be attributed to variations in the intrinsic risk of the patient sub-populations (i.e. some groups contain more "high-risk C-section" patients), or differences in physician practice (i.e. some groups do more C-sections). We apply machine learning to this problem by training models to predict standard practice from retrospective data. We then use the models of standard practice to evaluate the C-section rate of each physician practice. Our results indicate that although there is variation in intrinsic risk among the groups, there also is much variation in physician practice.

Artificial Intelligence↗