Association of risk and prognostic factors in breast cancer.
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BACKGROUND: Because of the rarity of hilar cholangiocarcinoma, its prognostic risk factors have not been sufficiently analyzed. This retrospective study was undertaken to evaluate various pathologic risk factors which influenced survival after curative hepatic resection or transplantation. METHODS: Between 1981 and 1996, 72 patients (43 males and 29 females) with hilar cholangiocarcinoma underwent hepatic resection (34 patients) or transplantation (38 patients) with curative intent. Medical records and pathologic specimens were reviewed to examine the various prognostic risk factors. Survival was calculated by the method of Kaplan-Meier using the log rank test with adjustment for the type of operation. Survival statistics were calculated first for each kind of treatment separately, and then combined for the calculation of the final significance value. RESULTS: Survival rates for 1, 3, and 5 years after hepatic resection were 74%, 34%, and 9%, respectively, and those after transplantation were 60%, 32%, and 25%, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that T-3, positive lymph nodes, positive surgical margins, and pTNM stage III and IV were statistically significant poor prognostic factors. Multivariate analysis revealed that pTNM stage 0, I, and II, negative lymph node, and negative surgical margins were statistically significant good prognostic factors. For the patients in pTNM stage 0-II with negative surgical margins, 1-, 3-, and 5-year survivals were 80%, 73%, and 73%, respectively. For patients in pTNM stage IV-A with negative lymph nodes and surgical margins, 1-, 3-, and 5-year survivals were 66%, 37%, and 37%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Satisfactory longterm survivals can be obtained by curative surgery for hilar cholangiocarcinoma either with hepatic resection or liver transplantation. Redefining pTNM stage III and IV-A is proposed to better define prognosis.
PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The optimal management for clinical stage I nonseminomatous testicular germ-cell tumors is still a subject open to controversy. The main options of standard-care surveillance and primary nerve-sparing retroperitoneal lymph node dissection result in the same high cure rate (close to 100%). It is the purpose, here, to present a critical review of recent developments concerning primary therapy for clinical stage I nonseminomatous testicular germ-cell tumors and to identify potential new prognostic risk factors predicting occult metastatic retroperitoneal lymph node disease. RECENT FINDINGS: In accordance with the primary goal to improve quality of life, to protect fertility and to reduce long-term toxicity in survivors of testicular cancer, the major advantage of surveillance protocols is that adjuvant therapy will be administered only to those patients who require therapy. This advantage has to be balanced against a constant psychological threat and a relapse rate of 20-25% necessitating extensive polychemotherapy. Primary nerve-sparing retroperitoneal lymph-node dissection has diagnostic and therapeutic capabilities in low-volume disease; as local relapses are extremely rare, an effective and cost-saving follow-up concentrating on pulmonary recurrences can be initiated. Nerve-sparing retroperitoneal lymph node dissection represents the initial approach for mature teratomas; patients with purely embryonal carcinoma have a high risk for systemic relapses and might be better served by primary chemotherapy. The advantages of nerve-sparing retroperitoneal lymph-node dissection have to be balanced against surgery-related complications, which develop in about 17% of the patients. With regard to prognostic risk factors, the percentages of embryonal carcinoma and vascular invasion remain the most significant predictors for lymph node metastases. SUMMARY: Surveillance and primary nerve-sparing retroperitoneal lymph-node dissection result in the same high cure rate (approaching 100%). The advantages and disadvantages of both treatment modalities must be discussed extensively with the patient, and it will be basically his decision as to which therapeutic approach is chosen.
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the significance of pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (pPSA) levels as a predictor of overall survival simultaneously with previously established prognostic factors. The pPSA level is a major predictor of treatment failure after radiotherapy and surgery, but to date has not been shown to predict survival. METHODS: This analysis was based on data from 927 patients with clinically localized prostate cancer treated with radiotherapy alone between 1987 and 1998. These patients were stratified into four prognostic risk groups, and multivariate analysis was used to determine the independent impact of pPSA level on PSA failure, progression-free survival (death from any cause after PSA failure), and overall survival (death from any cause). RESULTS: In a multivariate analysis simultaneously considering the prognostic risk group, a pPSA level greater than or equal to 20 ng/mL was associated with a higher risk of PSA failure and worse progression-free and overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: The pPSA level is an independent predictor of survival in patients initially treated with radiotherapy alone.
PURPOSE: Identification of prognostic risk factors in paediatric head injury. METHOD: Long-term follow-up of 318 children with severe head injuries with a mean follow-up period of 8 years and 9 months. The neurological and mental outcome was classified by the Glasgow Outcome Scale and the Frankfurt Mental Outcome Scale. RESULTS: Prognostic risk factors were a primary post-traumatic vigilance disturbance longer than 24 hours, less than seven points on the Glasgow Coma Scale, an increased intracranial pressure with cerebral perfusion pressure below 50 mmHg, age at accident younger than 2 years, physical abuse and the development of post-traumatic epilepsy. CONCLUSIONS: The infant brain is more vulnerable to lasting deficits and is more prone to post-traumatic seizure development. Post-traumatic epilepsy itself causes a deterioration in outcome because of the developmental disturbance at epilepsy onset and often unfavourable course. Physically abused children with their often multiple and repeated head injuries are predestined for poor outcome.
PURPOSE: To assess the impact of short-term and long-term androgen suppression on the disease-specific and overall survival of 2200 men treated with radiotherapy on one of 5 prospective randomized trials when stratified by prognostic risk groups. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Between 1975 and 1992, 2742 men were treated for clinically localized prostate cancer on one of 5 consecutive prospective Phase III randomized trials. Patients were selected for this analysis if they were deemed evaluable and eligible for the trial, and if follow-up information was available. For this analysis patients were stratified into four previously described prognostic risk groups: Group 1 patients had a Gleason score (GS) = 2-6, and T1-2Nx; Group 2: GS = 2-6, T3Nx; or GS = 2-6, N+, or GS = 7, T1-2Nx; Group 3: T3Nx, GS = 7; or N+, GS = 7, or T1-2Nx, GS = 8-10; and Group 4 patients were T3Nx, GS = 8-10, or N+, GS = 8-10. The median pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) was 25 ng/ml for the 434 evaluable patients for whom this information was available. The median follow-up times for patients treated on early studies exceeded 11 years, and for more recent studies 6 years. RESULTS: Risk group 2 patients with "bulky" or T3 disease appeared to have a disease-specific survival benefit at 8 years with the addition of 4 months of goserelin and flutamide. Group 3 and 4 patients were noted to have an approximately 20% higher survival at 8 years with the addition of long-term hormonal therapy (p < or =0.0004). CONCLUSIONS: Based on this meta-analysis of RTOG trials, subsets of patients can be identified who either do not appear to benefit from the use of hormonal therapy, benefit from short-term hormonal therapy, or who benefit only from long-term hormonal therapy. These observations should be confirmed by prospective randomized trials before they can be considered conclusive. In the meantime, however, these observations provide rational guidelines for deciding who should receive hormonal therapy and for how long.
This study aims to investigate the prognostic significance and potential biological functions of the MTORC1 signaling pathway-associated gene POLR3G in Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A prognostic risk model for HCC was developed by integrating HCC-related datasets and associated clinical data obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The GSVA website was employed to analyze the model genes across pan-cancer datasets, focusing on copy number variations (CNV), single nucleotide variations (SNV), methylation differences, drug sensitivity and immune cell infiltration profiles. Subsequently, we examined the expression levels and prognostic significance of POLR3G in HCC. Utilizing Spearman correlation analysis, we identified genes associated with POLR3G. Furthermore, Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) was employed to elucidate the potential signaling pathways in which POLR3G may be involved. The relationship between POLR3G expression and immune cell abundance in HCC samples was assessed using the ssGSEA algorithm. Finally, the impact of POLR3G on HCC cell proliferation was validated through CCK-8 and EDU cell proliferation assays. Through univariate Cox regression analysis and LASSO regression analysis, we established a prognostic risk model for HCC comprising 13 genes. The analysis revealed that individuals categorized in the low-risk group had a markedly improved overall survival probability relative to those in the high-risk group. POLR3G exhibited a markedly elevated expression in HCC tissues when compared to adjacent normal tissues. The expression of POLR3G was correlated with tumor grade, and elevated POLR3G expression was associated with poor prognosis in HCC patients. Furthermore, the expression level of POLR3G was found to be correlated with the level of immune cell infiltration. Knockdown of POLR3G significantly inhibited the proliferative capacity of hepatocellular carcinoma cells. The findings suggest that POLR3G may serve as a potential biomarker influencing the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients by modulating the tumor immune microenvironment.
Neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapies are used adjunctively with surgery or radiation and are among the treatment options that are now employed for reducing treatment failure in early-stage cervical cancers with high-risk prognostic factors. Adjuvant therapies have been reported to significantly improve survival than would otherwise be possible with surgery or radiotherapy alone. However, for advanced cervical cancers, sequential or concurrent chemo-radiotherapy does not appear to significantly increase survival. The combination of radiotherapy with IFN-a2a and RA in the treatment of patients with locally advanced cervical cancer showed high response rates, however this should be confirmed in larger studies. Recent reports show that postoperative adjuvant radiotherapy has no benefit in survival, but that postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy has improved survival. Toxicities and the optimum number of cycles of neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy, as well as biologic therapy, will follow along with individualized treatment based on high-risk prognostic factors. Although more comprehensive studies and longer follow up will be required for complete evaluation of these adjuvant therapies, preliminary results are promising.
BACKGROUND: Several 3-stage Ann Arbor classification-derived prognostic systems were constructed since 1980 to identify the prognosis of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL). Modern statistical tools were applied to 955 patients treated between 1981 and 1996 to build a 3-stage prognostic scoring system (PSS). METHODS: Each variable associated with 10-year overall survival (10-year OS) was assigned to 2 (0 or 1) or 3 (0, 1 or 3) values. By summing the values attributed to each variable, 3 stages were defined. 10-year OS, 5-year event-free survival (5-year EFS), and freedom from progression (5-year FFP) rates of the PSS and of other existing systems were then compared. RESULTS: Four variables were associated with 10-year OS: age (<40 = 0, >or=40 = 1), number of involved lymphoid areas (1-2 = 0, 3-4 = 1, >or=5 = 2), visceral disease (no = 0, yes = 1), and systemic symptoms (no = 0, yes = 1). Scores 0 and 1, 2 and 3, and >or=4 were attributed to 59.7%, 30.9%, and 9.4% of the patients who had 10-year OS rates of 93.5, 75.7, and 53.4% and 5-year EFS / 5-year FFP rates of 91.2%/90.3%, 78.1%/76.3%, and 54.1%/52.6%, respectively. The discrimination and prediction abilities of the PSS were better than those of the other systems tested; moreover, the PSS adequately identified the few patients with a worse prognosis without resorting to the International Prognostic Score for advanced stages. The PSS was also highly predictive for 489 patients treated between 1997 and 2002. CONCLUSION: PSS is a useful alternative to the existing prognostic systems for evaluating HL patients.
UNLABELLED: Familial Mediterranean fever (FMF) is a genetically transmitted disease characterized by recurrent attacks of fever and serositis. The most important complication of this disease is the development of amyloidosis. We present our analysis of 425 FMF patients without and 180 with amyloidosis (123 FMF having amyloidosis type 1 and 57 FMF having amyloidosis type II). The male female ratio was higher in the amyloidosis population (111/69) when compared to the FMF population (225 200) (P = 0.048). Consanguinity rate was the same among FMF and amyloidosis groups. However, a family history of amyloidosis was significantly more frequent in the amyloidosis group (P = 0.00001). Multivariate analysis has revealed that in FMF patients, the presence of a family history of amyloidosis plus consanguinity has a 6.04 fold increased risk of amyloidosis (P < 0.0001). The 5-year chronic renal failure free survival was 43.1% and 18.7% in type I and type II amyloidosis, respectively. The time interval to develop chronic renal failure after the development of amyloidosis was 4.8 in type I and 3.0 years in type II. respectively. We found ten cases of Henoch-Schönlein Purpura and nine of polyarteritis nodosa among our patients. The significance of the association between FMF and vasculitis awaits to be clarified. Among the FMF patients put on colchicine therapy (435), only 10 (2.3%) have developed amyloidosis confirming that this drug protects from amyloidosis. CONCLUSION: Since the presence of a familial history of amyloidosis has been defined as the most important risk factor in the development of amyloidosis, we suggest that additional genetic factors may be operative in the development of amyloidosis.
Episodes of adult bacterial meningitis (ABM) at a Danish hospital in 1991-2000 were identified from the databases of the Department of Clinical Microbiology, and compared with data from the Danish National Patient Register and the Danish National Notification System. Reduced penicillin susceptibility occurred in 21 (23%) of 92 cases of known aetiology, compared to an estimated 6% in nationally notified cases (p < 0.001). Ceftriaxone plus penicillin as empirical treatment was appropriate in 97% of ABM cases in the study population, and in 99.6% of nationally notified cases. The notification rate was 75% for penicillin-susceptible episodes, and 24% for penicillin-non-susceptible episodes (p < 0.001). Cases involving staphylococci, Pseudomonas spp. and Enterobacteriaceae were under-reported. Among 51 ABM cases with no identified risk factors, nine of 11 cases with penicillin-non-susceptible bacteria were community-acquired. Severe sequelae correlated independently with age, penicillin non-susceptibility, mechanical ventilation and non-transferral to a tertiary hospital (p < 0.05; logistic regression). Other factors that correlated with severe sequelae by univariate analysis only were inappropriate clinical handling, abnormal consciousness, convulsions and nosocomial infection. Overall, the data indicated that neither age alone, community-acquired infection nor absence of identified risk factors can predict susceptibility to penicillin accurately. Recommendations for empirical antibiotic treatment for ABM should not be based exclusively on clinical notification systems with possible unbalanced under-reporting.
BACKGROUND: Aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphomas (NHL) in patients under the age of 60 have a very poor prognosis when the international prognostic index (IPI) is high, with an age-adjusted (Aa)-IPI score at 3. In such patients, conventional chemotherapy results in a low complete response (CR) rate of 46%, a five-year survival and disease-free survival (DFS) of 32% and 58%, respectively. For this report we have analyzed whether front-line high-dose chemotherapy could influence the outcome of this group of patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From 1992 onwards we conducted two pilot clinical trials of intensive sequential chemotherapy (ISC) with growth factors and blood stem cell support as initial treatment in 62 poor-risk patients with aggressive NHL. Of these patients, 33 were considered to be a high-risk group based on the Aa-IPI. RESULTS: The median age was 42 years (range 21-60). The treatment was completed in 88% of patients, 86% receiving greater than 75% or more of the projected dose-intensity. Twenty patients (61%) achieved a CR. At a median follow-up of 48 months (range 26-86), the estimated five-year survival and DFS was 51% (95% confidence interval (CI): 34%-68%) and 70% (95% CI: 50%-90%), respectively. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that primary treatment using high-dose therapy supported by both growth factors and peripheral blood stem cells can cure up to 50% of high-risk patients with malignant lymphomas.
OBJECTIVE: To analyze retrospectively the causes of death in gestational trophoblastic neoplasia (GTN) patients. The prognostic risk factors were also discussed. METHODS: One thousand one hundred and thirty GTN patients were hospitalized and treated at Peking Union Medical College Hospital from 1985 to 2004. Sixty-four of them died later and retrospective analyses were carried out on these patients. RESULTS: Fifty-eight out of the 64 patients died during initial treatment. The other six died from disease relapse and progression of the disease (PD). The major causes of death were multi-organ failure, intracranial haemorrhage, cerebral herniation, side-effects of chemotherapy, and PD after relapse. The result of multivariate analysis indicated the adverse prognostic factors included the interval between antecedent pregnancy and chemotherapy treatment (OR = 2.857, P < 0.01), the titer of beta subunit of human chorionic gonadotropin (beta-hCG, P < 0.05), the diagnosis of choriocarcinoma (OR = 3.635, P < 0.05), clinical stage (P < 0.05), multiple metastases (OR = 2.201, P < 0.01) and drug resistance (OR = 0.181, P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: A proper evaluation of a GTN patient before initial treatment is important. More attention should be paid to the death-related prognostic risk factors to improve the prognosis of high risk GTN patients.
OBJECTIVES: We compared the results of primary total hip arthroplasty (THA) with those of early salvage THA following failure of internal fixation for acute displaced femoral neck fractures in elderly patients. METHODS: Patients with displaced femoral neck fractures (Garden type III, IV) were treated with either early salvage arthroplasty following failure of internal fixation (n=34; mean age 68 years) or THA (n=34; mean age 67.5 years). Both groups consisted of 8 men and 26 women with the same age range (60 to 75 years). Uncemented THA was performed in both groups. All patients were physiologically and socially active before the initial trauma. The hips were evaluated with the use of the Merle D'Aubigne scoring system. Prognostic risk factors were determined on radiographs obtained before or shortly after internal fixation. The mean follow-up was 5.2 years in the secondary and 5 years in the primary THA groups. RESULTS: During the first year of THA, there were 21 complications in 16 patients and nine complications in six patients in the secondary and primary THA groups, respectively (p<0.05). The results with respect to pain were worse and reoperation rate was higher in the revision group (p<0.05). The mean Merle D'Aubigne hip scores for pain, mobility, and walking were higher in the primary THA group. Radiographs taken before or after internal fixation showed prognostic risk factors in 32 patients (94.1%). CONCLUSION: Primary THA is a good choice of treatment for femoral neck fractures in physiologically and socially active elderly patients with a high life expectancy and cognition level.
Type 2 diabetes causes premature morbidity and mortality due to the complications of atherosclerosis and diabetic nephropathy (DN). Polymorphism of Apo E gene is known to influence lipid metabolism. Apo E is polymorphic, consisting of three common isoforms (epsilon2, epsilon3 and epsilon4) encoded by three alleles (2, 3 and 4) in exon 4 on chromosome 19. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of Apo E polymorphism as a prognostic risk factor for the development of DN. A total of 108 NIDDM patients were recruited from the Nephrology and Endocrinology Departments of our hospital. All subjects were divided into three groups: Group I: diabetes with nephropathy (n:37), group II: diabetes without nephropathy (n:71), group III: controls (n:46). Apo E genotypes were determined by real-time PCR. The epsilon4 allele frequency was significantly higher in-group I (10.8%) than in-group III (2.2%), (p < 0.05). In diabetics without nephropathy, the total cholesterol and LDL cholesterol levels were significantly lower in subjects with epsilon2 alleles than epsilon3 and epsilon4 alleles. In conclusion, the present prospective study indicates that the epsilon4 allele of the Apo E polymorphism is one of the prognostic risk factors involved in the development of DN with type 2 diabetes mellitus.
In the present study we carried out allogeneic bone marrow transplantation (BMT) in 14 leukemia children with high risk prognostic factors. Six patients with acute nonlymphocytic leukemia (ANLL), four with acute lymphocytic leukemia (ALL), two with chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML), and two with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). Among these patients, six with ANLL, two with ALL, one with CML and one with MDS were alive in complete remission 8 to 58 months post-BMT. Four patients died of relapse (one with ALL, and one with MDS), and chronic GVHD (one with ALL and one with CML). In six patients recombinant granulocyte colony stimulating factor (rG-CSF) was used to shorten the period of granulocytopenia. The mean time of recovery to granulocyte count of 500/mm3 was 13.2 days in the rG-CSF+ group, being 15.9 days faster than that in the rG-CSF- group. In light of these results, allogeneic BMT is shown to be a choice of treatment for leukemia children with high risk prognostic factors and rG-CSF may be an effective reagent to prevent infectious episodes in BMT.
Creatine kinase-MB (CK-MB) enzyme elevations were shown to affect cardiac prognosis following percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs). This study examined whether recurrent episodes of CK-MB elevation following repeated PCIs may be associated with a cumulative adverse prognostic risk. We studied 767 consecutive patients (age, 64 +/- 11 years; 69% male) who underwent two consecutive PCI procedures on two separate hospitalizations (mean interval, 121 +/- 110 days). Patients were stratified into four groups according to number of episodes of any (> 4 ng/ml) postinterventional CK-MB rise (no elevation, previously elevated, currently elevated, or elevated at the time of both procedures; n = 403, 107, 153, and 104 patients, respectively). In-hospital clinical outcomes (death, Q-MI, and repeat revascularization) and up to 1-year follow-up events were obtained. Recurrent episodes of CK-MB elevation were associated with increased in-hospital mortality (3.8% vs. 0.9% vs. 0% vs. 0%, P = 0.0003), increased cumulative mortality (18.9% vs. 5.9% vs. 4.3% vs. 4.3%, P = 0.0003) and cumulative Q wave MI (8.0% vs. 4.9% vs. 1.0% vs. 0.8%, P = 0.005) at 1 year, and lower overall cardiac event-free survival at follow-up (66.8% vs. 80.5% vs. 88.8% vs. 88.8%, P = 0.0001 for patients with twice, current, previous, and no CK-MB elevation, respectively). By multivariate analysis, CK-MB elevated at the time of both procedures, was the strongest independent predictor for cumulative mortality (OR 3.4, 95% CI 1.6-7.1, P = 0.001) or any adverse cardiac events (OR 2.6, 95% CI 1.6-4.3, P = 0.0002). We conclude that cumulative episodes of periprocedural CK-MB elevation are associated with an incremental adverse prognostic risk including mortality and Q-wave MI. Thus, measures aimed at reducing subsequent CK-MB rise may be warranted in particular among patients with a prior history of PCI related CK-MB elevation.
Prognostic risk factors were statistically analyzed from the histopathologic data obtained from 90 Japanese women with stages I and II endometrial carcinoma treated surgically, including systemic retroperitoneal lymph node dissection, between June 1979 and June 1989. In stage Ia endometrial carcinoma, pelvic and paraaortic nodes metastasis were seen in 13.8(4/29)% and 0.0(0/19)% of patients, respectively. In stage Ib, the incidence of pelvic and paraaortic node metastasis was 25.6(11/43)% and 9.7(3/31)%, respectively. In stage II, the incidence was 38.9(7/18)% and 13.3(2/15)%, respectively. Prognosis of patients even with deep myometrial invasion (greater than or equal to 2/3) or G3 tumor was fairly good (5-year survival rate: 87.5% and 85.7%, respectively) if the disease was histologically confined to the uterine corpus. Once the tumor spread outside the corpus uteri, the survival rate of patients was strongly affected by the grade of the tumor, moderate to marked lymph-vascular space invasion of tumor cells, or tumor invading middle or outer third of myometrium (P less than 0.05 for each factor). In summary, endometrial cancer frequently metastasize to pelvic and paraaortic lymph nodes even in the early stages, and lymph node metastasis and other extracorporeal spread of disease have a serious impact on patient survival. Prognosis of patients with extracorporeal spread of disease seems to be determined by the high grade of tumor and lymph-vascular space invasion. These results suggest that surgical exploration including paraaortic lymph node dissection to accurately evaluate the extent of the disease is essential to estimate the patient's prognostic risk and to individualize the treatment schedule.