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[Intra-urban mortality differentials in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais State, Brazil, 1994: revisiting the debate on demographic and epidemiological transitions].

Demographic and epidemiological transition models have seldom been debated within the Brazilian scientific community. This study aims to critically review the studies based on such transition models, analyzing their contributions and limitations for health research in Brazilian cities. Data from the city of Belo Horizonte were used to illustrate the theoretical issues raised in this paper. A total of 10,558 death certificates from 1994 were classified according to underlying cause of death and place of residence (75 geographical areas). Areas were classified according to the proportion of heads of households with low formal education. Population age structures and age- and sex-adjusted mortality rates in the areas were compared. Mortality rates indicate that Belo Horizonte is experiencing a multiple and unequal epidemiological transition process. In the poorer areas, infectious diseases have been replaced by homicides as cause of death in adulthood. The findings suggest that large Brazilian cities have mortality patterns that vary according to social and economic differentials.

Adolescent↗

Spanish surname and Anglo infant mortality: differentials over a half-century.

Using a half-century of death records from San Antonio/Bexar County, Texas, we examine the timing and cause structure of Spanish surname and Anglo infant mortality. Our findings show that despite the substantial disparities between ethnic-specific infant mortality rates in the early years of the study, there have been consistent declines in overall, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality for both groups, as well as a major convergence of mortality rates between Spanish surname and Anglo infants. Further, we demonstrate that the convergence is of relatively recent origin and is due primarily to shifts in postneonatal mortality. Finally, we examine the transition reflected in the cause structure of ethnic-specific infant mortality and show that the convergence was largely the result of reductions in deaths from exogenous causes. Implications for research into the "epidemiologic paradox" are discussed.

Colitis↗

The British-Norwegian migrant study: 5-year mortality differentials due to cigarette smoking.

Cigarette smoking and 5-year survivorship of 20,017 British and 10,016 Norwegian migrants to the United States were compared with 17,696 British and 26,155 Norwegian nonmigrants. The highest mortality ratios for 5-year age-adjusted death rates observed were of cigarette smokers to nonsmokers, ranging from 1.40 to 1.60 for men and from 1.18 to 1.36 for women. Mortality ratios of nonmigrants to migrants ranged from 1.07 to 1.19 for men and from 1.22 to 1.36 for women. Mortality ratios for British to Norwegian groups ranged from 1.13 to 1.27. Some differences in mortality ratios for cardiovascular diseases contrasted with mortality ratios for noncardiovascular diseases were noted. The most important of these differences was the apparent lack of any consistent difference between nonmigrants and migrants in their 5-year cardiovascular mortality rates, although there were consistent differences for noncardiovascular diseases.

Adult↗

Mortality differentials in the Czech Republic during the post-1989 socio-political transformation.

The Czech Republic, together with Slovakia and Poland, forms a region within Central-Eastern Europe in which the values of life expectancy at birth have been increasing during the period of transformation. However, the tempo of mortality reduction has differed spatially within the territory of the Czech Republic, as have other outcomes of the transformation process. This paper discussed possible socio-economic explanations of regional differences in the tempos of mortality change between 1990/91 and 1995/96. Standardized mortality rates for males aged 0-64 years specified for the three most frequent causes of death were examined by means of the regression and correlation analysis.

Adolescent↗

The British-Norwegian migrant study--analysis of parameters of mortality differentials associated with angina.

The prevalence of selected cardiorespiratory symptoms was ascertained by a common mail questionnaire for 73,884 men and women in the United States, Great Britain and Norway. The study groups were identified in the early 1960's and included 30,033 British and Norwegian migrants to the United States and 43,851 non-migrants who resided in Great Britain and Norway. The main study objectives were to contrast the morbidity and mortality experience of the migrant and non-migrant groups in the light of known national differences in mortality from cardiorespiratory diseases in the early 1960's. At that time, the U.S. had the highest death rates from coronary heart disease while Great Britain had the highest rates for lung cancer and for chronic non-specific lung disease. Norway had the lowest rates for all three rubrics. The prevalence of "angina" and other symptoms was ascertained for each of the study groups. Contrary to expectation, angina was reported much more frequently by persons remaining in Britain and Norway than by migrants to the United States. Mortality rates during the five years and responding to the symptoms questionnaire were determined and mortality patterns were evaluated according to the presence or absence of angina. Angina was found to be a strong predictor of cardiovascular mortality. In the absence of angina, it was observed that migrants had similar mortality rates to non-migrants regardless of country of origin. However, the British had higher mortality rates from cardiovascular and from non-cardiovascular causes than the Norwegians. The primary determinant of angina prevalence was found to be migration status. It is believed that this differential was determined primarily by selection of those who migrate, with the migrants to the U.S. being a healthier group than their counterparts remaining in the native country.

Adult↗

The impact on prevalence of dementia in the oldest age groups of differential mortality patterns: a deterministic approach.

BACKGROUND: Until recently relatively little data have been available on the prevalence of dementia in the oldest age groups, and yet it is these age groups which are expanding fastest. It is therefore important to understand whether the prevalence of dementia rises inexorably with age ('age-dependent'), or, as some suggest, levels off or even declines in the very oldest age groups ('age-related'). Combined analysis of the many prevalence studies now available has led to modelled curves which do suggest a slowing of rise in prevalence at these great ages, and has been interpreted as meaning that dementia is age-related. This interpretation does not take into account the differential survival of individuals with cognitive impairment compared with normals of the same age. METHOD: Flexible prevalence-incidence-duration models were generated using a deterministic approach applied to published combined analyses of prevalence rates, population death rates and mortality odds ratios. RESULTS: The variation in observed prevalence patterns with age is explained to a great extent by the mortality observed in the cognitively impaired. Simple examination of age patterns in prevalence does not answer the fundamental question surrounding the age-dependence of cognitive impairment. CONCLUSION: Inferring biological meaning from these observed curves is not valid without examining the mathematical phenomena of the relationship of incidence, mortality and prevalence. This approach allows an examination of the impact of varying mortality and incidence on the prevalence of dementia and cognitive impairment and will be useful in determining the potential impact of preventive strategies on the population.

Age Distribution↗

Mortality differentials by marital status: an international comparison.

Although the greater longevity of married people as compared with unmarried persons has been demonstrated repeatedly, there have been very few studies of a comparative nature. We use log-linear rate models to analyze marital-status-specific death rates for a large number of developed countries. The results indicate that divorced persons, especially divorced men, have the highest death rates among the unmarried groups of the respective genders; the excess mortality of unmarried persons relative to the married has been generally increasing over the past two to three decades; and divorced and widowed persons in their twenties and thirties have particularly high risks of dying, relative to married persons of the same age. In addition, the analysis suggests that a selection process is operating with regard to single and divorced persons: the smaller the proportion of persons who never marry or who are divorced, the higher the resulting death rates.

Adult↗

The importance of the political and the social in explaining mortality differentials among the countries of the OECD, 1950-1998.

This article analyzes (within the conceptual frame defined in the previous article) the impact of political variables such as time of government by political parties (social democratic, Christian democratic or conservative, liberal, and ex-dictatorial that have governed the OECD countries during the 1950-1998 period) and their electoral support on (1) redistributional policies in the labor market and in the welfare state; (2) the income inequalities measured by Theil and Gini indexes; and (3) health indicators, such as infant mortality and life expectancy. This analysis is carried out statistically by a bivariate and a multivariate analysis (a pooled cross-sectional study). Both analyses show that political variables play an important role in defining how public and social policies determine the levels of inequalities and affect the level of infant mortality. In general, political parties more committed to redistributional policies, such as social democratic parties, are the most successful in reducing inequalities and improving infant mortality. Less evidence exists, however, on effects on life expectancy. The article also quantifies statistically the relationship between the political and the policy variables and between these variables and the dependent variables--that is, the health indicators.

Developed Countries↗

Socio-demographic mortality differentials: new longitudinal perspectives.

Recently collected data deriving from Census and vital registration records for one per cent of the population of England and Wales followed prospectively is being used to shed light on issues which have been of central interest to epidemiologists for more than a century. This paper outlines the strengths and weaknesses of this new longitudinal approach.

England↗

Thyroxine-induced differential mortality of cleft lip mouse embryos: dose- and time-response studies of the A/WySn strain.

Pregnant A/WySn mice, 20 to 30% of whose offspring have spontaneous cleft lip, were treated with thyroxine. Following treatment, cleft lip and normal embryos died, but cleft lip embryos died at a higher rate. The increased liability of cleft lip embryos to thyroxine-induced death was considered as a possible experimental route to identify the basic genetic defect that causes cleft lip. A time-response study indicated that cleft lip embryos responded more than normals following treatment on any of days 7 to 12 of gestation, that there is no sharply defined critical period, and that normal and cleft lip embryos do not differ in time of maximum sensitivity. A dose-response study showed linear responses of normal and cleft lip embryos on a probit-log dose scale, with a common slope and LD50's of 1.9 and 1.3 mg respectively. These dose-response properties indicate that normal and cleft lip embryos are probably killed by the same mechanism, but differ in dosage tolerance. That is, they differ quantitatively, not qualitatively. Thyroxine did not significantly change the cleft lip frequency, and the difference between normal and cleft lip embryos that leads to cleft lip itself is therefore not in the same pathway as that which leads to thyroxine-induced death. A hypothetical example of the defect basic to both pathways is presented.

Animals↗