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PubMed2003

Performance on the dementia rating scale in Parkinson's disease with dementia and dementia with Lewy bodies: comparison with progressive supranuclear palsy and Alzheimer's disease.

BACKGROUND: The relation between dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) and Parkinson's disease with dementia (PDD) is unknown. OBJECTIVES: To compare the cognitive profiles of patients with DLB and PDD, and compare those with the performance of patients with a subcortical dementia (progressive supranuclear palsy) and a cortical dementia (Alzheimer's disease). DESIGN: Survey of cognitive features. SETTING: General community in Rogaland county, Norway, and a university dementia and movement disorder research centre in the USA. PATIENTS: 60 patients with DLB, 35 with PDD, 49 with progressive supranuclear palsy, and 29 with Alzheimer's disease, diagnosed by either standardised clinical procedures and criteria (all PDD and Alzheimer cases and 76% of cases of progressive supranuclear palsy), or necropsy (all DLB cases and 24% of cases of progressive supranuclear palsy). Level of dementia severity was matched using the total score on the dementia rating scale adjusted for age and education. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Dementia rating scale subscores corrected for age. RESULTS: No significant differences between the dementia rating scale subscores in the PDD and DLB groups were found in the severely demented patients; in patients with mild to moderate dementia the conceptualisation subscore was higher in PDD than in DLB (p = 0.03). Compared with Alzheimer's disease, PDD and DLB had higher memory subscores (p < 0.001) but lower initiation and perseveration (p = 0.008 and p=0.021) and construction subscores (p = 0.009 and p = 0.001). DLB patients had a lower conceptualisation subscore (p = 0.004). Compared with progressive supranuclear palsy, PDD and DLB patients had lower memory subscores (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The cognitive profiles of patients with DLB and PDD were similar, but they differed from those of patients with Alzheimer's disease and progressive supranuclear palsy. The cognitive pattern in DLB and PDD probably reflects the superimposition of subcortical deficits upon deficits typically associated with Alzheimer's disease.

Aged↗
PubMed2024

Clinicogenomic predictors of survival and intracranial progression after stereotactic radiosurgery for colorectal cancer brain metastases.

OBJECTIVE: Brain metastases (BM) from colorectal cancer (CRC) are associated with dismal prognosis. When BM-directed therapy is considered, better methods are needed to identify patients at risk of poor oncological outcomes in order to optimize patient selection for closer surveillance or escalated therapy. The authors sought to identify clinicogenomic predictors of survival and intracranial disease progression after CRC BM have been treated with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). METHODS: Patients with newly diagnosed CRC BM treated with SRS between 2009 and 2022 who had next-generation genomic sequencing data available were included. Frameless SRS was delivered in 1-5 fractions, alone or after neurosurgical resection. Outcomes included overall survival (OS) and intracranial progression (IP), evaluated per patient treated with SRS, and local progression (LP), evaluated per BM. Associations between baseline clinicogenomic features and outcomes were evaluated with Cox regression and competing risk regression, with death as a competing risk. RESULTS: This analysis included 123 patients with 299 BM. At BM diagnosis, 111 patients (90%) had progressive extracranial disease, and 79 patients (64%) had &#x2265; 3 sites of extracranial metastasis. The median (IQR) number of BM was 2 (1-3) per patient. The median (IQR) biologically effective dose (BED) was 51.3 (51.3-65.1) Gy, corresponding to a prescription of 27 Gy in 3 fractions. OS, IP, and LP estimates at 1 year after SRS were 36%, 55%, and 12%, respectively. OS was independently associated with progressive extracranial disease (HR 4.26, 95% CI 1.63-11.2, p = 0.003) and &#x2265; 3 extracranial metastatic sites (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.12-3.01, p = 0.02). LP was less likely when BM received BED &#x2265; 51.3 Gy (HR 0.24, 95% CI 0.07-0.78, p = 0.02), independent of BM diameter (HR 1.21/cm, 95% CI 0.8-1.84, p = 0.4). IP was independently associated with genomic alterations; TP53 driver alterations were associated with higher risk of IP (HR 2.71, 95% CI 1.26-5.79, p = 0.01), whereas MYC pathway alterations were associated with lower risk (HR 0.15, 95% CI 0.03-0.68, p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The authors identified clinicogenomic features associated with adverse outcomes after SRS for CRC BM. Progressive and extensive extracranial metastases predicted worse OS. Insufficient SRS doses predicted greater risk of LP. Wild-type TP53 and alterations in the MYC pathway were independently associated with lower risk of IP. Patients at high risk of IP may be considered for closer surveillance or escalated therapy.

Humans↗
PubMed2001

Environmental lead exposure and progressive renal insufficiency.

BACKGROUND: Several recent studies show that serum creatinine level or creatinine clearance is inversely associated with blood lead levels. However, the studies did not allow direct inferences about causality. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the relation between body lead burden (BLB) and progressive renal insufficiency in patients without previous heavy lead exposure. DESIGN: A prospective, longitudinal study with a controlled clinical trial. PATIENTS: One hundred ten patients with chronic renal insufficiency (serum creatinine level, 133-354 micromol/L [1.5-4.0 mg/dL]) and normal BLB (EDTA mobilization tests, <600 microg per 72-hour urine collection) and without a history of previous heavy lead exposure were divided into 2 groups according to BLB: the high-normal BLB group (BLB > or =80 microg and <600 microg) and the low BLB group (BLB <80 microg). Patients were prospectively followed up for 2 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was a 1.5 times increase in the initial creatinine level. The secondary outcome was a change over time in the value of creatinine clearance. At the end of follow-up, a 3-month clinical trial with chelation therapy for patients with high-normal BLB was performed to clarify the role of environmental lead exposure in progressive renal insufficiency. RESULTS: Fifteen patients (14 in the high-normal BLB group and 1 in the low BLB group) reached the primary outcome within 24 months. Renal outcome was significantly better in the low BLB group (P<.001). From month 12 to month 24, renal function of high-normal BLB patients had a greater rate of progressive renal insufficiency than that of low BLB patients. In the Cox multivariate regression analysis, BLB was the most important risk factor for determining the progression of renal insufficiency. After chelation therapy, significant improvement in renal function was noted. In addition, the effect of improving renal function lasted for more than 12 months in these patients. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term low-level environmental lead exposure may subtly affect progressive renal insufficiency in the general population. Progressive renal insufficiency may be improved for at least 1 year after lead chelating therapy. Further investigations are needed to clarify this observation.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2006

C-reactive protein is a marker for human immunodeficiency virus disease progression.

BACKGROUND: Limited data on acute-phase C-reactive protein (CRP) levels in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection exist. METHODS: We obtained a single measurement of CRP from 513 HIV-infected men in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study to examine the association between CRP and immune suppression and progression to AIDS. We estimated changes in CRP during the course of HIV infection in 81 of these individuals using specimens collected from October 1, 1984, to December 31, 1996. RESULTS: The cross-sectional associations between log(10) CRP were correlated inversely with CD4 lymphocyte counts (r=-0.17; P<.001) and directly with log10 HIV RNA levels (r=0.20; P<.001). Levels of CRP of more than 2.3 mg/L were associated with a decreased time to the development of AIDS (relative time to AIDS, 0.36; P<.001) compared with individuals with CRP levels of 1.2 mg/L or less, which remained significant after adjustment for CD4 lymphocyte counts and HIV RNA and hemoglobin concentrations. Levels of CRP significantly increased over time with mean slopes of 8.5% (95% confidence interval, 4.9%-12.2%) and 4.5% (95% confidence interval CI, 2.1%-6.9%) per year for individuals with and without progression to AIDS, respectively. Individuals had a geometric mean CRP level of 2.5 mg/L in the 6-month interval before progression to AIDS, which was an increase from a nadir of 1.0 mg/L at 6.5 years before progression to AIDS. CONCLUSIONS: Levels of CRP were associated with HIV disease progression independent of CD4 lymphocyte counts and HIV RNA levels. In addition, regardless of progression to AIDS, HIV-infected individuals had a significant increase in CRP over time. This may have implications for cardiovascular disease among HIV-infected individuals.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗
PubMed2005

Characterizing the mechanisms of progression in multiple sclerosis: evidence and new hypotheses for future directions.

Major advancements have been achieved in our ability to diagnose multiple sclerosis (MS) and to commence treatment intervention with agents that can favorably affect the disease course. Although MS exacerbations and the emergence of disability constitute the more conspicuous aspects of the disease process, evidence has confirmed that most of the disease occurs on a constitutive and occult basis. Disease-modifying therapies appear to be modest in the magnitude of their treatment effects, particularly in the progressive stage of the disease. Therapeutic strategies currently used for MS primarily target the inflammatory cascade. Several potential mechanisms appear to be involved in the progression of MS. Characterizing these mechanisms will result in a better understanding of the various forms of the disorder and how to effectively treat its clinical manifestations. It is our objective within this 2-part series on progression in MS to offer both evidence-based observations and hypothesis-driven expert perspectives on what constitutes the cause of progression in MS. We have chosen areas of inquiry that appear to have been most productive in helping us to better conceptualize the landscape of what MS looks like pathologically, immunologically, neuroscientifically, radiographically, and genetically. We have attempted to advance hypotheses focused on a deeper understanding of what contributes to the progression of this illness and to illustrate new technical capabilities that are catalyzing novel research initiatives targeted at achieving a more complete understanding of progression in MS.

Disease Progression↗
PubMed2004

The relation of retinal vessel caliber to the incidence and progression of diabetic retinopathy: XIX: the Wisconsin Epidemiologic Study of Diabetic Retinopathy.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the relation of retinal arteriolar and venular caliber to the incidence and progression of diabetic retinopathy in people with type 1 diabetes mellitus. DESIGN: Incidence findings in a population-based study of diabetic retinopathy in Wisconsin. Participants included 996 persons diagnosed as having diabetes mellitus before 30 years of age who took insulin and underwent the baseline examination, 891 in the 4-year follow-up, 765 in the 10-year follow-up, and 634 in the 14-year follow-up. Retinal photographs of 7 standard fields were taken at all examinations. Computer-assisted grading was performed from a digitized image of field 1 to determine the average diameter of retinal arterioles and venules and their ratio. Main outcome measures included incidence and progression of retinopathy, incidence of proliferative retinopathy, and macular edema. RESULTS: While adjusting for other factors, larger arteriolar (relative risk [RR] for the fourth vs first quartile range, 2.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.20-3.47; test of trend, P =.008) and venular diameters (RR, 2.33; 95% CI, 1.37-3.95; test of trend, P =.005) were associated with greater 4-year progression of retinopathy. Larger venular diameters (RR, 4.28; 95% CI, 1.50-12.19; test of trend, P =.006) but not arteriolar diameters were associated with greater 4-year incidence of proliferative retinopathy. In multivariable analyses, arteriolar and venular calibers were not associated with the 4-year incidence of retinopathy. While adjusting for other factors, arteriolar and venular calibers were not associated with incidence of macular edema at 4 years. There were few associations of arteriolar or venular caliber with the 10- or 14-year incidence or the progression of retinopathy. CONCLUSIONS: Larger arteriolar and venular caliber, independent of retinopathy severity level, is related to the progression of retinopathy, and larger venular caliber is associated with the 4-year incidence of proliferative retinopathy. Caliber of retinal vessels is not associated with incident retinopathy. These data suggest a quantitative measure of retinal vascular caliber provides additional information regarding risk for progression of retinopathy.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Effect of perioperative glycemic control in progression of diabetic retinopathy and maculopathy.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the contribution of perioperative glycemic control to progression of diabetic retinopathy and maculopathy. METHODS: Postoperative progression of diabetic retinopathy and maculopathy were compared in 87 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who underwent monocular phacoemulsification cataract surgery performed by a single surgeon. Twenty-seven patients had had poor glycemic control preoperatively and underwent rapid preoperative glycemic correction; 30 patients had poor control preoperatively that was not corrected postoperatively; and 30 patients had good preoperative glycemic control. The grade of diabetic retinopathy and maculopathy in the operated-on eye and the fellow eye was assessed preoperatively and for 12 months postoperatively. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in the progression rate of diabetic retinopathy among the 3 groups (P = .27). However, the progression rate of diabetic maculopathy was significantly higher in the group that underwent rapid control than in the other 2 groups (P = .02). Patients with moderate to severe nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy preoperatively in the rapid control group had significantly higher progression rates of diabetic retinopathy and maculopathy (P = .002 and .008, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Rapid preoperative glycemic control should be avoided in patients with moderate to severe nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy because it may increase the risk of postoperative progression of retinopathy and maculopathy.

Blood Glucose↗
PubMed2003

Progressive structural brain abnormalities and their relationship to clinical outcome: a longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging study early in schizophrenia.

BACKGROUND: Many studies have shown that structural brain abnormalities in schizophrenia are already present by the time of index evaluation of first-episode patients. However, whether these abnormalities progressively worsen during the subsequent course of the disorder remains unresolved. METHODS: To study the longitudinal progression of structural brain abnormalities, high-resolution multispectral magnetic resonance images obtained on 73 recent-onset schizophrenic patients and 23 controls were analyzed using state-of-the-art, well-validated, and highly reliable neuroimaging tools. The mean duration between initial and follow-up MRIs was 3 years. Repeated-measures analysis of covariance was carried out to determine (1) whether brain volume changes differed between patients and controls and (2) the significance of regional brain changes on functional outcome in schizophrenia. RESULTS: We found accelerated enlargement in cortical sulcal cerebrospinal fluid spaces early in the course of schizophrenia. Instead of the usual trajectory of volume enlargement, patients showed progressive reduction in frontal lobe white matter volume. A reciprocal increase in frontal lobe cerebrospinal fluid volume also occurred at a more rapid rate in patients than in controls. In keeping with most of our a priori hypotheses, patients with poor outcome had greater lateral ventricular enlargement over time than patients with good outcome. Progressive decrement in frontal lobe white matter volume and enlargement in frontal lobe cerebrospinal fluid volume were associated with greater negative symptom severity. Reductions in frontal lobe gray and white matter volumes correlated with poorer executive functioning. CONCLUSIONS: There are ongoing changes in the brains of schizophrenic patients during the initial years after diagnosis despite ongoing antipsychotic drug treatment. These progressive changes seem to be most evident in the frontal lobes and to correlate with functional impairment. Disruptions in neurodevelopment or neural plasticity may act alone or in combination to bring about these progressive brain deficits in schizophrenia.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

Biological determinants of cancer progression in men with prostate cancer.

CONTEXT: The recent increase in ability to diagnose prostatic adenocarcinoma has created a dilemma for treatment decisions. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether prostate cancer progression is associated with a modified version of the Gleason grading system together with selected morphologic and clinical variables. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of a cohort of patients with peripheral zone prostate cancers who underwent surgery between August 1983 and July 1992. SETTING: University hospital. PATIENTS: Radical prostatectomy specimens from 379 men treated only by surgical excision were prospectively studied for 8 morphologic variables using previously standardized techniques. Variables were percentage of each cancer occupied by Gleason grade 4/5 (% Gleason grade 4/5, the Stanford modified Gleason scale), cancer volume, vascular invasion, lymph node involvement, seminal vesicle invasion, capsular penetration, positive surgical margin, prostate weight, and preoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Biochemical progression of prostate cancer as indicated by serum PSA level of 0.07 ng/mL and increasing. RESULTS: Cancer grade expressed as % Gleason grade 4/5 and cancer volume were highly predictive of disease progression. In a Cox proportional hazards model that included % Gleason grade 4/5, the traditional Gleason score was not an independent predictor of treatment failure. Positive lymph node findings and intraprostatic vascular invasion were the only other variables that remained significant at the .01 level. CONCLUSION: The % Gleason grade 4/5, cancer volume, positive lymph node findings, and intraprostatic vascular invasion were independently associated with prostate cancer progression, defined by an increasing PSA level. Techniques to accurately measure cancer volume and % Gleason grade 4/5 are needed to better predict which patient will experience cancer progression. The commonly accepted predictors of progression-capsular penetration and positive surgical margins-were not independently predictive of failure after radical prostatectomy.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Apolipoprotein E and progression of chronic kidney disease.

CONTEXT: Apolipoprotein E (APOE) genetic variation has been implicated in diabetic nephropathy with the epsilon2 allele increasing and the epsilon4 allele decreasing risk. APOE allelic associations with chronic kidney disease beyond diabetic nephropathy are unknown, with no studies reported in high-risk African American populations. OBJECTIVE: To quantify the risk of chronic kidney disease progression associated with APOE in a population-based study including white, African American, diabetic, and nondiabetic individuals. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective follow-up (through January 1, 2003) of Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants, including 3859 African American and 10,661 white adults aged 45 to 64 years without severe renal dysfunction at baseline in 1987-1989, sampled from 4 US communities. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident chronic kidney disease progression, defined as hospitalization or death with kidney disease or increase in serum creatinine level of 0.4 mg/dL (35 micromol/L) or more above baseline, examined by APOE genotypes and alleles. RESULTS: During median follow-up of 14 years, chronic kidney disease progression developed in 1060 individuals (incidence per 1000 person-years: 5.5 overall; 8.8 in African Americans and 4.4 in whites). Adjusting for major chronic kidney disease risk factors, epsilon2 moderately increased and epsilon4 decreased risk of disease progression (likelihood ratio test, P = .03). Further adjustment for low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglycerides did not attenuate relative risks (RRs) (epsilon2: 1.08 [95% CI, 0.93-1.25] and epsilon4: 0.85 [95% CI, 0.75-0.95] compared with epsilon3; likelihood ratio test, P = .008). Epsilon4 decreased risk of end-stage renal disease (RR, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.43-0.84]). Epsilon2 was associated with a decline in renal function (RR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.02-1.53]), though not with events, such as hospitalizations or end-stage renal disease. Risks were similar stratified by race, sex, diabetes, and hypertension (all P values for interaction >.05). Excess risk of chronic kidney disease in African Americans was not explained by APOE alleles. CONCLUSIONS: APOE variation predicts chronic kidney disease progression, independent of diabetes, race, lipid, and nonlipid risk factors. Our study suggests that nonlipid-mediated pathways, such as cellular mechanisms of kidney remodeling, may be involved in the association of APOE alleles and progression of chronic kidney disease.

Apolipoproteins E↗
PubMed2000

Independent value of tumor size and DNA ploidy for the prediction of disease progression in patients with organ-confined renal cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Greater than 20% of patients with apparently localized renal cell carcinoma (RCC) present with disease progression after surgery. The objective of the current study was to improve the ability of clinicians to predict prognosis in patients with localized RCC. METHODS: The authors studied 154 patients with organ-confined RCC classified as pT1 to pT2-pN0-M0 who underwent radical nephrectomy. Follow-up ranged from 24-128 months (median, 72 months). Several morphologic parameters of the tumor were considered. DNA content was analyzed by flow cytometry and tumor size was determined from the surgical specimen. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify significant independent prognostic factors for disease progression. RESULTS: At 5 and 10 years of follow-up, disease free survival was found to be 87% and 86%, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that DNA content, Furhman grade, and tumor size had a statistically significant predictive value for disease progression, whereas, with regard to grade, the difference was significant only between patients with Grade 3 tumors and all other patients with Grade 1-2 tumors (P < 0. 0001). Although DNA content was found to correlate with tumor size (P < 0.0001), multivariate analysis showed that these were the only significant independent predictors of disease progression. The sum of DNA content and tumor size therefore was considered to distinguish separate risk groups. For a patient with diploid RCC, the risk of progression increased from 4% if the tumor size was 3 cm to 43% if the tumor size was 10 cm. For a patient with nondiploid RCC, this risk was 32% if the tumor size was 3 cm, increasing to 99% for tumors measuring 10 cm. CONCLUSIONS: Stratification of organ-confined RCC according to tumor size and DNA content could possibly provide more information that could be useful in the selection of individuals with significantly different risks of disease progression.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

HPV 16 infection and progression of cervical intra-epithelial neoplasia: analysis of HLA polymorphism and HPV 16 E6 sequence variants.

High-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) infection plays an important role in cervical intra-epithelial neoplasia (CIN), but HPV infection alone is not sufficient for progression to cervical cancer. Several lines of evidence suggest that cellular immune surveillance is important in the control of HPV infection and the development of CIN. The presentation to T cells of target viral peptides in the context of HLA molecules is influenced by the genetic polymorphisms of both HPV and HLA and thereby influences the host immune response and clinical outcome of HPV infection. HLA class I and II polymorphism in susceptibility for HPV 16 infection, development and progression of CIN was analyzed in a group of 118 patients participating in a prospective study of women with initial abnormal cytology. Patients were stratified according to HPV status and course of the disease. HLA-B*44 frequency was increased in the small group of patients with a lesion that showed clinical progression during follow-up [OR = 9.0 (4.6-17.5), p = 0.007]. HLA-DRB1*07 frequency was increased among HPV 16-positive patients compared with patients who were negative for all HPV types [OR = 5.9 (3.0-11.3), p = 0.02]. Our results are consistent with the immunogenetic factors associated with disease progression being different from those associated with susceptibility to HPV 16 infection. Sequencing of the HPV 16 E6 and E7 open reading frames of a subset of these patients (n = 40) showed the frequency of HPV 16 variants to be similar to other studies. However, there was no significant correlation between variant incidence and disease progression or viral persistence and no significant correlation with any HLA allele. It appears that multiple HLA types can influence HPV 16-associated cervical dysplasia but the role of HPV 16 variants in disease progression and susceptibility in relation to HLA polymorphism remains unclear.

Adult↗
PubMed1997

Increased apoptosis during papilloma development in mice susceptible to tumor progression.

Programmed cell death (apoptosis) is known to occur not only during normal development and tissue remodeling but also during neoplasia. Despite the suggested role of apoptosis in preventing the proliferation of malignant cells, a positive correlation between tumor progression and the presence of apoptotic cells has been found in different types of cancer, including epithelial tumors. In normal mouse skin, the role of apoptosis is not completely understood, and it has been suggested that terminal differentiation may be a special case of apoptosis. In the work reported here, we counted apoptotic cells in mouse skin tumors generated with a two-stage chemical carcinogenesis protocol. We analyzed papillomas from outbred SENCAR mice at different times during promotion, and to better determine the correlation between apoptosis and tumor progression, we compared papillomas generated from two inbred strains derived from the SENCAR stock that differ in their susceptibility to tumor progression. Our results showed that in mouse skin chemical carcinogenesis, the number of apoptotic cells was greater in papillomas that may have been in the process of progressing to squamous cell carcinomas. This conclusion is also supported by the fact that papillomas from SENCAR P/Bt. mice, a tumor progression-susceptible strain derived from outbred SENCAR mice, had more apoptotic cells than papillomas from progression-resistant SSIN mice.

Animals↗
PubMed1998

Radiographic outcome of recent-onset rheumatoid arthritis: a 19-year study of radiographic progression.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the longitudinal radiographic course of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and to identify and quantitate predictors of radiographic progression. METHODS: This prospective, longitudinal study of radiographic progression and clinical predictors of RA involved 256 patients with RA who were seen within the first 2 years of disease (mean 0.77 years) and were followed up for up to 19 years. Participants underwent a total of 6,278 clinical assessments (mean 24.5) and 934 paired radiographs (mean 3.1, range 2-6). Clinical assessments at every visit included determination of the erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), grip strength, pain scores, tender joint counts, and anxiety and depression measurements. Regression analyses utilized time-integrated predictors. RESULTS: Overall, radiographic progression rates, as measured by the summary Sharp scores, appeared constant over the course of RA. The strongest correlate of progression was the time-integrated ESR (rho=0.53). This association grew stronger with time. At 0-5 years, 5-10 years, 10-15 years, and 15-20 years, correlations were 0.40, 0.50, 0.65, and 0.74, respectively, and for the period 10-20 years, the correlation was 0.67. In multivariate models, the mean ESR, mean grip strength, rheumatoid factor positivity, and tender joint count were independent predictors of radiographic progression. CONCLUSION: Radiographic damage occurs at a constant rate in RA, and is not greater early in RA or reduced later in the course of the illness. Acute-phase reactants are, by far, the strongest determinants of progression.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Risk factors for the incidence and progression of radiographic knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Preventive strategies against knee osteoarthritis (OA) require a knowledge of risk factors that influence the initiation of the disorder and its subsequent progression. This population-based longitudinal study was performed to address this issue. METHODS: Ninety-nine men and 255 women aged > or =55 years had baseline interviews and weight-bearing knee radiographs in 1990-1991. Repeat radiographs were obtained in 1995-1996 (mean followup duration 5.1 years, median age at followup 75.8 years). Risk factors assessed at baseline were tested for their association with incident and progressive radiographic knee OA by logistic regression. RESULTS: Rates of incidence and progression were 2.5% and 3.6% per year, respectively. After adjusting for age and sex, the risk of incident radiographic knee OA was significantly increased among subjects with higher baseline body mass index (odds ratio [OR] 18.3, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 5.1-65.1, highest versus lowest third), previous knee injury (OR 4.8, 95% CI 1.0-24.1), and a history of regular sports participation (OR 3.2, 95% CI 1.1-9.1). Knee pain at baseline (OR 2.4, 95% CI 0.7-8.0) and Heberden's nodes (OR 2.0, 95% CI 0.7-5.7) were weakly associated with progression. Analyses based on individual radiographic features (osteophyte formation and joint space narrowing) supported differences in risk factors for either feature. CONCLUSION: Most currently recognized risk factors for prevalent knee OA (obesity, knee injury, and physical activity) influence incidence more than radiographic progression. Furthermore, these factors might selectively influence osteophyte formation more than joint space narrowing. These findings are consistent with knee OA being initiated by joint injury, but with progression being a consequence of impaired intrinsic repair capacity.

Aged↗
PubMed2000

Relationship between time-integrated C-reactive protein levels and radiologic progression in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: An elevated acute-phase response is associated with increased radiologic damage in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but development of damage in previously normal joints ("new joint involvement") has not previously been investigated. This study was undertaken to investigate the hypothesis that when there is suppression of disease activity as judged by the C-reactive protein level, new joint involvement is reduced to a greater extent than is progression in already damaged joints ("damaged joint progression"). METHODS: Three hundred fifty-nine patients with active RA were studied as part of a 5-year randomized, prospective, open-label study of disease-modifying antirheumatic drug therapy. Time-averaged CRP was calculated from samples obtained every 6 months, and patients were divided into groups with CRP values of <6, 6-<12, 12-<25, and > or =25 mg/liter. Radiographs of the hands and feet were scored by the Larsen method; a damaged joint was defined as one with a score of > or =2. RESULTS: The rank correlation between time-integrated CRP and increase in Larsen score was 0.50; the correlation increased to 0.59 for patients entering the study with disease duration of < or =2 years. The percentage of new joint involvement over 5 years varied markedly with time-integrated CRP, from 7.3% in the CRP <6 mg/liter group to 39.1% in the CRP > or =25 mg/liter group (5.4-fold increase). The percentage of damaged joint progression increased from 26.1% in the CRP <6 mg/liter group to 41.6% in the CRP > or =25 mg/liter group (1.6-fold increase). CONCLUSION: The results of this study provide further confirmation that high CRP levels over time are associated with greater radiologic progression. Although radiologic progression still occurred in both previously normal and damaged joints despite the presence of normal CRP levels, this consisted of proportionately less new joint involvement compared with damaged joint progression. These findings support the idea that disease-suppressive therapy should be instituted at an early stage in patients with RA, before erosive damage has occurred.

Antirheumatic Agents↗
PubMed2002

Stromelysin 1 (matrix metalloproteinase 3) and HLA-DRB1 gene polymorphisms: Association with severity and progression of rheumatoid arthritis in a prospective study.

OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis of an association between a polymorphism in the matrix metalloproteinase 3 (MMP-3) gene promoter and the susceptibility, severity, and progression of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and to further document the association between HLA-DRB1 alleles encoding the shared epitope (SE) and the severity and progression of RA. METHODS: Patients with early RA (n = 103) were included in this prospective study. A total radiographic damage score (TDS; by the Sharp/van der Heijde method) was used to quantify RA severity at baseline and after 4 years of followup. The 5A/6A biallelic polymorphism in the MMP-3 gene promoter was analyzed using fluorescence-based polymerase chain reaction (PCR). HLA-DRB1 genotyping was performed using PCR methods. Control subjects (n = 127) were unrelated healthy individuals. RESULTS: MMP-3 allele carriage rates and allele and genotype frequencies did not differ between patients and controls. The MMP-3 6A/6A genotype was associated with the highest TDS both at baseline and after a 4-year followup and with the highest progression of the TDS over the 4 years of followup. The DRB1 SE+/+ genotype was associated with the highest TDS after a 4-year followup and with the highest progression of the TDS over the 4 years of followup. Patients homozygous for MMP-3 6A and DRB1 SE had the highest progression of the TDS. CONCLUSION: This study provides the first evidence of an association between a polymorphism in the MMP-3 gene promoter and the severity and progression of RA, but not RA susceptibility. Investigation of this polymorphism could be combined with that of DRB1 gene polymorphism to improve the predictive accuracy and management strategy in early RA.

Alleles↗
PubMed2002

Uncoupling of type II collagen synthesis and degradation predicts progression of joint damage in patients with knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: The hallmark of osteoarthritis (OA) is the loss of articular cartilage. This loss arises from an imbalance between cartilage synthesis and cartilage degradation over a variable period of time. The aims of this study were to investigate the rates of these processes in patients with knee OA using two new molecular markers and to investigate whether the combined use of these markers could predict the progression of joint damage evaluated by both radiography and arthroscopy of the joints during a period of 1 year. METHODS: Seventy-five patients with medial knee OA (51 women, 24 men; mean +/- SD age 63 +/- 8 years, mean +/- SD disease duration 4.8 +/- 5.2 years) were studied prospectively. At baseline, we measured serum levels of N-propeptide of type IIA procollagen (PIIANP) and urinary excretion of C-terminal crosslinking telopeptide of type II collagen (CTX-II) as markers of type II collagen synthesis and degradation, respectively. Joint space width (JSW) on radiography and medial chondropathy at arthroscopy (assessed using a 100-mm visual analog scale [VAS]) were measured in all patients at baseline and in 52 patients at 1 year. Progression of joint destruction was defined as a decrease of > or =0.5 mm in JSW on radiography and as increased chondropathy (an increase in the VAS score of >8.0 units) between the baseline and 1-year evaluations. RESULTS: At baseline, compared with 58 healthy age- and sex-matched controls, patients with knee OA had decreased serum levels of PIIANP (20 ng/ml versus 29 ng/ml; P < 0.001) and increased urinary excretion of CTX-II (618 ng/mmole creatinine [Cr] versus 367 ng/mmole Cr; P < 0.001). The highest discrimination between OA patients and controls was obtained by combining PIIANP and CTX-II in an uncoupling index (Z score CTX-II - Z score PIIANP), which yielded a mean Z score of 2.9 (P < 0.0001). Increased baseline values in the uncoupling index were associated with greater progression of joint damage evaluated either by changes in JSW (r = -0.46, P = 0.0016) or by VAS score (r = 0.36, P = 0.014). Patients with both low levels of PIIANP (less than or equal to the mean - 1 SD in controls) and high levels of CTX-II (greater than or equal to the mean + 1 SD in controls) had an 8-fold more rapid progression of joint damage than other patients (P = 0.012 and P < 0.0001 as assessed by radiography and arthroscopy, respectively) and had relative risks of progression of 2.9 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.80-11.1) and 9.3 (95% CI 2.2-39) by radiography and arthroscopy, respectively. CONCLUSION: Patients with knee OA are characterized by an uncoupling of type II collagen synthesis and degradation which can be detected by assays for serum PIIANP and urinary CTX-II. The combination of these two new markers could be useful for identifying knee OA patients at high risk for rapid progression of joint damage.

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