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Young maternal age and infant mortality: the role of low birth weight.

In 1980, there were 562,330 babies born in the United States to teenage mothers (19 years of age or younger). The offspring of teenage mothers have long been known to be at increased risk of infant mortality, largely because of their high prevalence of low birth weight (less than 2,500 grams). We used data from the National Infant Mortality Surveillance (NIMS) project to examine the effect of young maternal age and low birth weight on infant mortality among infants born in 1980 to U.S. residents. This analysis was restricted to single-delivery babies who were either black or white, who were born to mothers ages 10-29 years, and who were born in one of 48 States or the District of Columbia. Included were 2,527,813 births and 28,499 deaths (data from Maine and Texas were excluded for technical reasons). Direct standardization was used to calculate the relative risks, adjusted for birth weight, of neonatal mortality (less than 28 days of life) and postneonatal mortality (28 days to less than 1 year of life) by race and maternal age. There was a strong association between young maternal age and high infant mortality and between young maternal age and a high prevalence of low birth weight. Neonatal mortality declined steadily with increasing maternal age. After adjusting for birth weight, the race-specific relative risks for babies born to mothers less than 16 years of age were still elevated from 11 to 40 percent, compared with babies born to mothers 25-29 years of age. Otherwise, all the relative risks were nearly equal to 1. By contrast, most of the association between young maternal age and postneonatal mortality persisted after birth weight adjustment in all maternal age groups.These results suggest that the prevention of neonatal mortality and, to a lesser extent, postneonatal mortality among babies born to teenagers depends on preventing low birth weight. The prevention of postneonatal mortality may depend more on other factors, such as assisting teenagers with better parenting. Finally, although there maybe few biological reasons to postpone childbearing,teenage childbearing continues to place the mother and her baby at a social disadvantage.

Adolescent↗

Trends in cardiovascular disease mortality in industrialized countries since 1950.

In most industrialized countries, mortality in general, and cardiovascular disease mortality in particular, have shown decreasing trends since around 1970, following stagnation or increases observed during the 1950s and 1960s. In some countries, however (e.g. in Eastern Europe), male mortality from cardiovascular diseases increased during recent years. The levels and trends of mortality from cardiovascular diseases vary considerably among countries. Measured in terms of age-standardized rates, the ratio between the highest and the lowest rates around 1985 was about 2 for total mortality but about 4 for all cardiovascular diseases combined. With further breakdowns the ratio was even greater, i.e. 4-5 for heart diseases and 6-7 for cerebrovascular disease. For ischaemic heart disease alone, the ratio reached as high as 10, though part of this wide range should be attributed to artefacts due to the varying diagnostic practices followed in different countries. The speed of mortality changes also differed among countries, ranging from a rapid decrease to a rapid increase. In general, the trends were much more favourable in females than in males. Consequently, sex differentials have been widened. The male/female ratio in mortality for ischaemic heart disease has now exceeded 3 in a number of countries. The ratio for cerebrovascular diseases, which used to be close to 1 in many countries in the early 1950s, has also increased, often reaching the level of 1.5 or higher. Differentials were observed also among different age groups in some countries. There seems to be a tendency for mortality change, either an increase or a decrease, to be quicker in younger age groups than in older ones. These varying levels and trends in cardiovascular disease mortality have no doubt been caused by a multitude of risk factors operating in each country, affecting the incidence of cardiovascular diseases and their prognosis. Much is already known about these risk factors and about the measures to be taken by the health services as well as by individuals for prevention and effective therapy. The considerable variation in mortality levels and trends observed among different countries points to the possibility for action by countries heavily affected by cardiovascular diseases. Mortality surveillance in each country and at the international level thus reveals how each country's situation and trends compare with others and provides a basis for action and further research. Progress in WHO's MONICA (MONItoring of trends and determinants in CArdiovascular disease) project will clarify various aspects of the role played by risk factors in different communities.

Adult↗

Cardiovascular disease mortality in the Americas.

Despite subregional differences, mortality profiles have undergone major changes in most countries of the Americas. While the proportion of deaths caused by noncommunicable diseases, particularly cardiovascular diseases, has increased, overall age-adjusted mortality rates attributable to all cardiovascular disease are declining in 13 of the 15 countries selected for the present study. About half the countries showed decreasing mortality rates for ischaemic heart disease; the other half had increasing rates. The mortality rates for cerebrovascular disease and hypertensive disease declined in all but four countries. The ischaemic heart disease/cerebrovascular disease mortality ratio increased as a consequence of a greater decline in deaths due to cerebrovascular disease, except in two countries that exhibited a greater decline for ischaemic heart disease. With few exceptions the male-to-female mortality ratios increased for all cardiovascular disease, ischaemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease, reflecting a greater decline in female mortality. In general there was a decline in all cardiovascular disease mortality for almost every age group in the North American, Southern Cone, English-speaking Caribbean, and Andean subregions, while there were increases in the Central American and Latin Caribbean subregions. The magnitude of the changes was related to the initial level of mortality and the date of onset of the decline. Change began earlier and the declines were largest in the countries with the highest initial mortality levels, whereas in the countries that initially had comparatively low values the mortality rates are still increasing. Insufficient information is available to permit elucidation of the determinants of the changes reported. There has been speculation about the possible role of factors such as demographic and sociocultural changes, changes in lifestyle and subsequently in the prevalence of risk factors for cardiovascular disease, and the increased utilization of advanced diagnostic and therapeutic technologies.

Adolescent↗

Serum total cholesterol and mortality. Confounding factors and risk modification in Japanese-American men.

OBJECTIVE: To further investigate the relationship between serum total cholesterol (TC) level and mortality due to major causes. In particular, is the elevated mortality among persons with low TC levels due to confounding conditions that both lower TC level and increase the risk of mortality, and is the association between low or high TC level and mortality homogeneous in the population or, alternatively, restricted to persons with other risk factors? STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Free-living population in Oahu, Hawaii. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 7049 middle-aged men of Japanese ancestry. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Age- and risk factor-adjusted mortality due to coronary heart disease, hemorrhagic stroke, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, nonmalignant liver disease, trauma, miscellaneous and unknown, and all causes. RESULTS: During 23 years of follow-up, a total of 1954 deaths were documented (38% cancer, 25% cardiovascular, and 37% other). Men with low serum TC levels (< 4.66 mmol/L [< 180 mg/dL]) were found to have several adverse health characteristics, including a higher prevalence of current smoking, heavy drinking, and certain gastrointestinal conditions. In an age-adjusted model, and in relation to the reference group (4.66 to 6.19 mmol/L [180 to 239 mg/dL]), those in the lowest TC group (< 4.66 mmol/L [< 180 mg/dL]) were at significantly higher risk of mortality due to hemorrhagic stroke (relative risk [RR], 2.41; 95% confidence interval [Cl], 1.45 to 4.00), cancer (RR, 1.41; 95% Cl, 1.17 to 1.69), and all causes (RR, 1.23; 95% Cl, 1.09 to 1.38). Adjustment for confounders in multivariate analysis (and exclusion of cases with prevalent disease at baseline and deaths through year 5) did not explain the risk of fatal hemorrhagic stroke but reduced the excess risk of cancer mortality by 51% (to 1.20 from 1.41) and reduced the excess risk of all-cause mortality by 56% (to 1.10 from 1.32) in the low TC group. In addition, there were clear differences in the patterns of risk when comparing men with and without selected risk factors (ie, smoking, alcohol consumption, and untreated hypertension). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that the excess mortality at low TC levels can be partially explained by confounding with other determinants of death and by preexisting disease at baseline, and TC-mortality associations are not homogeneous in the population. In our study, TC level was not associated with increased cancer or all-cause mortality in the absence of smoking, high alcohol consumption, and hypertension.

Alcohol Drinking↗

Maternal mortality regionalization and trend in Mexico (1937-1995)

BACKGROUND: The objectives were to establish regions by level of maternal mortality in order to evaluate its trend from 1937-1995 and to analyze characteristics of cases which occurred from 1990-1995. METHODS: Regionalization of the country by maternal mortality level was carried out using Poisson regression. Level and mortality trends were analyzed globally and compared by regions using Poisson and linear regression. Characteristics of cases were analyzed from 1990-1995 using proportions and X2 test. RESULTS: Four well-differentiated and independent regions were established. Low and medium maternal mortality rate regions were found in northern and northwestern Mexico. High and very high maternal mortality regions were found in the South and the Southeast of the country. Even when maternal mortality had descended, the speed of the descent has decreased and in the last few years, maternal mortality has increased. The quality of health care is a challenge for regions with low mortality rates, while the problem of accessibility is present in those with very high mortality rates. CONCLUSION: The employment of this regionalization approach in maternal mortality analysis would be useful to determine specific problems for each region. The establishment of programs according to this analysis could contribute to decrease in maternal mortality cases in Mexico.

Adolescent↗

[Cholesterolemia and total, cardiovascular and cancer mortality. Study of a cohort of 220,000 people].

The distribution of cholesterolemia and their relationship to total mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and cancer mortality were studied in a population of 125,513 men and 96,301 women, aged 16-90. Cholesterolemia in the population increases with age, up to age 50-60 for men and 60-70 for women. Beyond these ages, cholesterolemia decreases very significantly for men and moderately for women. Upon global examination of the entire population, the relationship between cholesterolemia and total mortality is observed as a U-shaped curve. The relationship with cancer mortality is slightly negative in men and appears as a U-shaped curve in women. The relationship with cardiovascular mortality in men is strongly positively correlated when adjusted for body mass index, blood pressure, tobacco consumption, gamma GT, and age. This relationship is not significant in women. There is a significant interaction in the relationship between cholesterolemia and mortality in men for weight, body mass index, vital capacity, maximum expiration volume per second, tobacco consumption, urea, serum albumin, hematocrit, hemoglobin, alkaline phosphatases, gamma GT, red cell volume, and sedimentation rate. Age is a fundamental variable to take into account. Thus, in men under 50 years of age at the time of inclusion, the relationship between cholesterolemia and total mortality shows a positive tendency, and the relationship with cardiovascular mortality is strongly positive. In men over 65 years of age, these relationships are negative. The same tendencies exist for cancer mortality. The reasons for these negative relationships may be related to the decreased cholesterol levels in subjects with malnutrition or diseases (essentially hepatic diseases); this is especially true in older subjects. These data push for additional in-depth analysis of these relationships and interactions, according to age categories and detailed causes of mortality. They also reinforce the idea that, in some patients, low cholesterolemia appears to be a marker for predisposition or the result, but not a cause, of cancer.

Adolescent↗

Comparison of environmental quality in the districts of the Czech Republic with mortality pattern and selected health parameters.

The aim of this study was to analyse a potential connection between the chosen parameters of the quality of the environment and the mortality pattern of residents in the Czech Republic. By means of linear regression selected parameters of the quality of the environment in the districts were compared with mortality rates and some other indices of the health status of the inhabitants of the districts. The region of Prague was excluded from our study because of a substantial gap in environmental data set. The percentage of inhabitants who live in an environment evaluated as "acceptable" served as the independent variable. The total mortality rate or some other health data were the dependent ones. An analysis of our data set has shown that the environment "influences" mortality by 30% (r2 = 29.6%) in men and even by 40% (r2 = 43.6%) in women. Standardized mortality rates by causes of death and some other parameters of the health status of the population were also compared with the chosen parameters of the quality of the environment. A statistically significant linear association was found between the quality of the environment and the standardized mortality rate of malignant neoplasm in both men (r2 = 13.8%) and women (r2 = 32.4%), the standardized mortality rate of diseases of the circulatory system in women and the incidence of TB in men. The highest correlation was found between the quality of the environment and the incidence of gonorrhoea (r2 = 51.7%). Apparently this dependence is not a causal one. It could be interpreted as a dependence between the quality of the environment and the social behaviour of its inhabitants. On the verge of significance was male mortality from injury and mortality from suicide. No association has been found between the quality of the environment and the standardized mortalities from diseases of the respiratory system, the infant mortality rate till one year of age, incidence of congenital anomalies and the incidence of diabetes mellitus.

Czech Republic↗

An alternative method for assessing early mortality in contemporary populations.

Biological anthropologists are interested in a population's early mortality rates for a variety of reasons. Early mortality (infant or juvenile) is of obvious importance to those interested in demography, but early mortality statistics are useful for life history analysis, paleodemography, and human adaptability studies, among others. In general, the form of mortality statistics is derived from demography, where chronological age is the gold standard for statistical calculation and comparison. However, there are numerous problems associated with the collection, analysis, and interpretation of early mortality statistics based on age, particularly for anthropological research, which is often conducted in small or non-calendrical-age numerate populations. The infant mortality rate (IMR), for example, is notoriously difficult to determine in populations where accurate accounting of age is not routine, and yet it is widely used in demography, public health, medicine, and social science research. Here we offer an alternative to age-based early mortality statistics that makes use of human biologists' interest in, and skill at, assessing human growth and development. Our proposal is to use developmental stages of juveniles instead of relying exclusively on age as the basis for mortality statistics. Death or survival according to a developmental stage (such as crawling or weaning) may provide more accurate data that are also more closely related to the cause of death. Developmental stages have the added advantage of putting infants and children back at the center of the discussion of early mortality by focusing on their activities in relation to their environment. A case study from the Turkana population of Kenya illustrates the use of developmental stages in describing early mortality.

Cause of Death↗

Improvement in infant and perinatal mortality in the United States, 1965--1973: I. Priorities for intervention.

Changes in United States infant and perinatal mortality in the period 1965--1973 were examined by race, age at death or length of gestation, and degree of urbanization. The decline of postneonatal mortality rates was greater than the declines of fetal and neonatal mortality rates. Other-than white infant and fetal mortality rates improved more than the white rates, except in the first day of life. Postneonatal mortality rates improved more in rural than in urban areas, while neonatal and perinatal mortality rates improved more in urban areas than in rural. These improvements in mortality rates have occurred at the same time as changes in medical techniques and the organization and availability of health services, improvements in economic conditions and standards of living, and changes in the demographic characteristics of the child-bearing population of the United States. Each of these changes was in a direction expected to have a favorable effect on infant and perinatal mortality. Nevertheless, the improvement of infant mortality rates has not changed the relative position of the United States in comparison with other countries. Programs to improve infant and perinatal mortality can use the data in this study to define high priority target groups using a method based on the size of the problem in the target group, the severity of the problem, and the amount and direction of change.

Age Factors↗

Outcome and attributable mortality in critically Ill patients with bacteremia involving methicillin-susceptible and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus.

BACKGROUND: Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia carries high mortality rates. The clinical impact of methicillin resistance remains controversial: outcome comparisons between patients with bacteremia involving methicillin-susceptible (MSSA) and methicillin-resistant (MRSA) S aureus are difficult to perform because of important differences in severity of illness. METHODS: A retrospective cohort analysis and 2 independent case-control analyses were performed to determine and compare outcomes and attributable mortality rates of MSSA (n = 38) and MRSA bacteremia (n = 47) in critically ill patients. For the case-control studies, matching (1:2 ratio) was based on the APACHE (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) II classification: APACHE II score (+/-1 point) and diagnostic category. RESULTS: Patients with MRSA bacteremia had more acute renal failure and hemodynamic instability than patients with MSSA bacteremia. They had a longer intensive care unit stay and ventilator dependency. Patients with MRSA bacteremia had a higher 30-day mortality rate (53.2% vs 18.4%) and in-hospital mortality rate (63.8% vs 23.7%) (P<.05). Multivariate survival analysis demonstrated acute renal failure, length of mechanical ventilation, age, and methicillin resistance to be independently associated with mortality (P<.05). The attributable mortality rate for MSSA bacteremia was 1.3%: mortality rates for cases and controls were respectively 23.7% and 22.4% (P =.94). The attributable mortality rate for MRSA bacteremia was 23.4%: mortality rates for cases and controls were respectively 63.8% and 40.4% (P =.02). The difference (22.1%) between both attributable mortality rates was significant (95% confidence interval, 8.8%-35.3%). CONCLUSION: In critically ill patients, after accurate adjustment for disease severity and acute illness, we found MRSA bacteremia to have a higher attributable mortality than MSSA bacteremia.

Acute Kidney Injury↗

Relationship of walking to mortality among US adults with diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Walking is associated with reduced diabetes incidence, but few studies have examined whether it reduces mortality among those who already have diabetes. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the association between walking and the risk for all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality among persons with diabetes. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of a representative sample of the US population. SETTING: Interviewer-administered survey in the general community. PARTICIPANTS: We sampled 2896 adults 18 years and older with diabetes as part of the 1990 and 1991 National Health Interview Survey. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: All-cause and CVD mortality for 8 years. RESULTS: Compared with inactive individuals, those who walked at least 2 h/wk had a 39% lower all-cause mortality rate (hazard rate ratio [HRR], 0.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.48-0.78; 2.8% vs 4.4% per year) and a 34% lower CVD mortality rate (HRR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.45-0.96; 1.4% vs 2.1% per year). We controlled for sex, age, race, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters), smoking, and comorbid conditions. The mortality rates were lowest for persons who walked 3 to 4 h/wk (all-cause mortality HRR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.29-0.71; CVD mortality HRR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.24-0.91) and for those who reported that their walking involved moderate increases in heart and breathing rates (all-cause mortality HRR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.41-0.80; CVD mortality HRR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.43-1.09). The protective association of physical activity was observed for persons of varying sex, age, race, body mass index, diabetes duration, comorbid conditions, and physical limitations. CONCLUSIONS: Walking was associated with lower mortality across a diverse spectrum of adults with diabetes. One death per year may be preventable for every 61 people who could be persuaded to walk at least 2 h/wk.

Adolescent↗

Alzheimer disease and mortality: a 15-year epidemiological study.

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer disease (AD) is considered a leading cause of death, but few studies have examined the contribution of AD to mortality based on follow-up of representative US cohorts. OBJECTIVE: To examine mortality rates, duration of survival, causes of death, and the contribution of AD to the risk of mortality in an aging community-based cohort, controlling for other predictors. DESIGN: Fifteen-year prospective epidemiological study. Mortality rates per 1000 person-years and the population-attributable risk of mortality were determined. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate relative risk of mortality due to AD, adjusting for relevant covariates. Death certificates were abstracted for listed causes of death. SETTING: A largely blue-collar rural community in southwestern Pennsylvania. PARTICIPANTS: A community-based cohort of 1670 adults 65 years and older at study enrollment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Mortality. RESULTS: In the overall cohort, AD was a significant predictor of mortality, with a hazard ratio of 1.4 after adjusting for covariates. The population-attributable risk of mortality from AD was 4.9% based on the same model. Examining the sexes separately, AD increased mortality risk only among women. Death certificates of AD subjects were more likely to list dementia/AD, other brain disorders, pneumonia, and dehydration, and less likely to include cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Alzheimer disease was responsible for 4.9% of the deaths in this elderly cohort. Alzheimer disease increased the risk of mortality 40% in the cohort as a whole and separately in women but not in men. The mean (SD) duration of survival with AD was 5.9 (3.7) years, and longer with earlier age at onset.

Age Factors↗

Benchmarks for mortality, morbidity, and length of stay for head and neck surgical procedures.

OBJECTIVE: To determine benchmarks and factors that influence morbidity, mortality, and length of stay (LOS) for head and neck surgical procedures. METHODS: A specific database for head and neck surgical procedures was extracted from the National Hospital Data Survey database for 1995 through 1997. Records of inpatient admissions for patients undergoing head and neck surgery were examined to determine demographics, incidence of medical complications, mortality, and LOS. Data were statistically examined for the influence of medical complications on mortality and LOS. RESULTS: A total of 3932 patients underwent head and neck procedures. The overall medical morbidity and mortality rates were 5.65% and 2.98%, respectively. The presence of a major medical complication increased the odds of death by 5.65 (P<.001). Postoperative pneumonia was the most common medical complication (3.26%) and was associated with a mortality rate of 10.94% (odds ratio for mortality, 4.4). Acute myocardial infarction and stroke were rare (combined incidence, 1.86%) and were not statistically associated with increased mortality. Procedures that involved the esophagus carried the highest mortality rate (8.38%). The overall mean LOS was 6.15 days. This increased to 17.7 days when a major medical complication occurred (P<.001). Increasing age was associated with increased rates of medical complications and mortality (P<.001). CONCLUSIONS: Medical complications in patients undergoing head and neck surgical procedures are associated with increased mortality rates and longer LOS. Mortality rates in head and neck surgery are low but may be improved by preventing medical complications.

Age Factors↗

Effect of hydroxyurea on mortality and morbidity in adult sickle cell anemia: risks and benefits up to 9 years of treatment.

CONTEXT: Hydroxyurea increases levels of fetal hemoglobin (HbF) and decreases morbidity from vaso-occlusive complications in patients with sickle cell anemia (SCA). High HbF levels reduce morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether hydroxyurea attenuates mortality in patients with SCA. DESIGN: Long-term observational follow-up study of mortality in patients with SCA who originally participated in the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Multicenter Study of Hydroxyurea in Sickle Cell Anemia (MSH), conducted in 1992-1995, to determine if hydroxyurea reduces vaso-occlusive events. In the MSH Patients' Follow-up, conducted in 1996-2001, patients could continue, stop, or start hydroxyurea. Data were collected during the trial and in the follow-up period. SETTING: Inpatients and outpatients in 21 sickle cell referral centers in the United States and Canada. PATIENTS: Two-hundred ninety-nine adult patients with frequent painful episodes enrolled in the follow-up. Follow-up data through May 2001 were complete for 233 patients. INTERVENTION: In the MSH, patients were randomly assigned to receive hydroxyurea (n = 152) or placebo (n = 147). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Mortality, HbF levels, painful episodes, acute chest syndrome, and blood cell counts. The randomized trial was not designed to detect specified differences in mortality. RESULTS: Seventy-five of the original 299 patients died, 28% from pulmonary disease. Patients with reticulocyte counts less than 250 000/mm3 and hemoglobin levels lower than 9 g/dL had increased mortality (P =.002). Cumulative mortality at 9 years was 28% when HbF levels were lower than 0.5 g/dL after the trial was completed compared with 15% when HbF levels were 0.5 g/dL or higher (P =.03 ). Individuals who had acute chest syndrome during the trial had 32% mortality compared with 18% of individuals without acute chest syndrome (P =.02). Patients with 3 or more painful episodes per year during the trial had 27% mortality compared with 17% of patients with less frequent episodes (P =.06). Taking hydroxyurea was associated with a 40% reduction in mortality (P =.04) in this observational follow-up with self-selected treatment. There were 3 cases of cancer, 1 fatal. CONCLUSIONS: Adult patients taking hydroxyurea for frequent painful sickle cell episodes appear to have reduced mortality after 9 of years follow-up. Survival was related to HbF levels and frequency of vaso-occlusive events. Whether indications for hydroxyurea treatment should be expanded is unknown.

Adult↗

Mortality of Carpenters' Union members employed in the U.S. construction or wood products industries, 1987-1990.

This study evaluated the mortality of 27,362 members of the U.S. Carpenters' Union who died in 1987-1990. Age-adjusted proportionate mortality ratios (PMRs) and proportionate cancer mortality ratios (PCMRs) were computed using the U.S. age-, gender-, and race-specific proportional mortality for the years of the study. For white male carpenters who were last employed while in construction industry locals, raised mortality was observed for lung cancer (PCMR = 107, CI = 103, 111), bone cancer (PMR = 181, CI = 107, 286), asbestosis (PMR = 283, CI = 158, 457), emphysema (PMR = 115, CI = 102, 130), transportation injuries (PMR = 121, CI = 109, 135), and falls (PMR = 122, CI = 104, 142). For white male carpenters who were last employed while in industrial wood products locals, significantly raised mortality occurred for stomach cancer (PMR = 187, CI = 136, 250), male breast cancer (PCMR = 469, CI = 128, 720), and transportation injuries (PMR = 136, CI = 110, 173). Excess breast cancer was associated with last employment inn wood machining trades. Nasal cancer mortality was not elevated. A total of 121 mesotheliomas were observed. Contributing cause of death analyses revealed raised mortality for these and additional causes; 4,594 (18%) death certificates mentioned occupational and other lung disease as a contributing factor, resulting in significantly elevated mortality. These data show that construction carpenters have moderately elevated mortality for the diseases caused by asbestos (lung cancer and malignant mesothelioma) and from traumatic injuries. The finding of elevated mortality for stomach, bone, and breast cancer was unexpected and requires further evaluation of possible occupational factors. This study confirms that construction carpentry is an extremely hazardous trade. The data suggest that additional preventive action guarding against asbestos exposure and occupational injury is urgently needed in this occupation.

Accidental Falls↗

Beyond randomized controlled trials: organized mammographic screening substantially reduces breast carcinoma mortality.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of mammographic screening in the reduction of breast carcinoma mortality has been demonstrated in randomized controlled trials. However, the evaluation of organized screening outside of research settings (so-called "service screening") faces unique methodologic and conceptual challenges. The current study describes the evaluation of organized mammography screening in a clinical setting and demonstrates the benefit obtained from service screening in two Swedish counties. METHODS: In the group of subjects ages 20--69 years, there were 6807 women diagnosed with breast carcinoma over a 29-year period in 2 counties in Sweden and 1863 breast carcinoma deaths. All patients were classified from patient charts based on their screening status (i.e., whether they had been invited to undergo screening and whether they actually had undergone screening). The number of women who lived in the 2 counties during the 29-year study period was provided by the Central Bureau of Statistics. Breast carcinoma-specific mortality was compared across three time periods: 1) 1968--1977, when no screening was taking place because mammography had not been introduced; 2) 1978--1987, the approximate period of the Two-County randomized controlled trial of screening in women ages 40--74 years; and 3) 1988--1996, when all women in the 2 counties ages 40--69 years were invited to undergo screening (service screening). When comparing breast carcinoma mortality in screened women with that in women diagnosed before screening was introduced, a correction for self-selection bias was incorporated to prevent overestimation of the benefit of screening. RESULTS: The mortality from incident breast carcinoma diagnosed in women ages 40-69 years who actually were screened during the service screening period (1988--1996) declined significantly by 63% (relative risk [RR] = 0.37; 95% CI, 0.30--0.46) compared with breast carcinoma mortality during the time period when no screening was available (1968--1977). The mortality decline was 50% (RR = 0.50; 95% CI, 0.41--0.60) when breast carcinoma mortality among all women who were invited to undergo screening (nonattendees included) was compared with breast cancer mortality during the time period when no screening was available (1968--1977). The reduction in mortality observed during the service screening period, adjusted for selection bias, was 48% (RR = 0.52; 95% CI, 0.43--0.63). No significant change in breast carcinoma mortality was observed over the three time periods in women who did not undergo screening. This group included women ages 20--39 years because these individuals were never invited to undergo screening, and women ages 40--69 years who did not undergo screening (not invited during the randomized trial or invited during the second and third time periods but declined). CONCLUSIONS: Regular mammographic screening resulted in a 63% reduction in breast carcinoma death among women who actually underwent screening. The policy of invitation to organized screening with mammography appears to have reduced breast carcinoma mortality by 50% in these 2 counties.

Adult↗

Cancer mortality study of employees at lead battery plants and lead smelters, 1947-1995.

BACKGROUND: This study has examined cancer mortality of a cohort of male U.S. workers exposed to lead. METHODS: The cohort consisted of 4,518 workers at lead battery plants and 2,300 at lead smelters. Vital status was ascertained between 1947 and 1995. Site-specific cancer standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), based on the mortality rates of the U.S. male population and adjusted for age and calendar time, were calculated for the total cohort as well as subcohorts stratified by various exposure parameters. In addition, a nested case-control study of stomach cancer (30 cases and 120 age-matched controls) was also conducted. RESULTS: Mortality from all cancers was as expected (897 observed deaths, SMR = 103.8, 95% CI: 97.1-110.8). Mortality was significantly raised for stomach cancer (SMR = 147.4, 95% CI: 112. 5-189.8), lung cancer (SMR = 116.4, 95% CI: 103.9-129.9), and cancer of the thyroid and other endocrine glands (SMR = 308.0, 95% CI: 133. 0-606.8). There was a nonsignificant mortality deficit from kidney cancer (SMR = 63.6, 95% CI: 33.9-108.7). For bladder cancer, mortality was significantly lower than expected (SMR = 55.5, 95% CI: 31.7-90.1). Nonsignificant mortality deficits were also reported for cancer of the central nervous system (SMR = 74.8, 95% CI: 41.9-123. 4) and lymphatic and hematopoietic cancer (SMR = 92.2, 95% CI: 72. 4-115.7). Additional analyses by type of facility (lead battery plants vs. lead smelters), length of employment, latency, and period of hire were also performed. In the nested case-control study of stomach cancer, odds ratios were calculated for various exposure indices, and none was found to be elevated. Furthermore, no exposure-response relationship between lead exposure and stomach cancer was found in the nested case-control study. CONCLUSIONS: A significant mortality increase from stomach cancer was found. However, based on the analyses in the cohort study and the nested case-control study, the increase did not appear to be related to lead exposure. A small, but statistically significant mortality increase from lung cancer was also observed. The small increase, in the absence of an exposure-response relationship, could be the result of confounding due to smoking, and was not likely causally related to lead exposure. Although the significant increase in cancer of the thyroid and other endocrine glands appeared to be consistent with an occupational interpretation, the small number of deaths (8), the lack of information on potential confounding factors, and the lack of reporting of a similar increase in other studies underscore the need to view this finding with caution. No increased mortality was found for kidney cancer, bladder cancer, cancer of the central nervous system, or lymphatic and hematopoietic cancer.

Case-Control Studies↗

Trends in cancer mortality in the USSR, 1965-1990.

Trends in age-specific and age-standardized mortality from 10 major cancer sites and total cancer mortality in the USSR were analyzed for the period 1965-1990, on the basis of the World Health Organization mortality database. Gastric cancer mortality declined substantially. Still, these rates were among the highest registered in the world, and in 1990 stomach cancer accounted for over 85,000 deaths, being the second cause of cancer death (and the first one until 1980); further, there was some indication of a levelling of the declines in gastric-cancer rates for both sexes over most recent calendar years. Likewise, uterine-cancer mortality declined between 1965 and 1985, but there was no further decline over the last 5 years. Upward trends were registered for cancers of the intestine, of the breast and of the prostate. Mortality from these neoplasms, however, was still comparatively low by worldwide standards. Leukaemia rates were stable in both sexes. Substantial rises were observed for cancers of the oral cavity and pharynx, larynx and, chiefly, lung. Even more unfavourable was lung-cancer mortality in young and middle-aged males, since the truncated rate of 121/100,000 in 1990 was higher than the values reached by countries like England and Wales or Finland even at the top of their epidemic in the 1960s, and trends in the USSR were still upwards. Thus, total cancer mortality was 176/100,000 males in 1965, declined to 170 in 1970, but increased thereafter, particularly over the last decade, to reach 203/100,000, i.e., one of the highest rates on a worldwide scale. Among females, the overall cancer mortality rate declined between 1965 and 1975, but rose thereafter to a value intermediate on a worldwide scale. These recent unfavourable trends of cancer mortality in the USSR indicate that, in the absence of adequate intervention, particularly on the tobacco-related cancer epidemic, overall cancer mortality will continue to rise in the foreseeable future.

Adult↗