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The aging of the population and the financing of local governments.

"This paper explores the residential property tax burdens faced by elderly homeowners in the United States. The results demonstrate that the use of annual data in income and property tax liabilities to calculate tax burdens overstates the regressivity of the property tax. The magnitude of the bias created by using annual income is determined by comparing tax burdens calculated from annual data with burdens calculated from tax liabilities and income data covering a 12-year period. The results indicate that while the residential property tax on the non-elderly is approximately proportional, the pattern of burdens on the elderly remains regressive."

Adult↗

A modified logistic model applied to human populations.

"The use of the logistic curve for forecasting human populations [in the United Kingdom] considered by Leach is re-examined. A modification of the use of the logistic curve is suggested, which changes the emphasis from fitting a logistic trend to providing a forecast logistic trend. The assumption, used by Leach, that the variance of the additive disturbance term is constant is replaced by a more realistic supposition that the variance of the proportional disturbance is constant. The forecasting performance of the modified logistic model is shown to be superior to that of the model used by Leach." A reply by Leach (pp. 496-7) and a response by the author (p. 498) are included.

Developed Countries↗

The use of sigmoids in modelling and forecasting human populations.

"The aim of this paper is to present a review that might justify giving further consideration to the use of sigmoids in contemporary population modelling and forecasting. To do this a brief account is given of the historical development of these models, pointing out why demographers have viewed these trend models with scepticism. Most of the paper is devoted to showing that, despite these criticisms, sigmoid-based trend models are useful practical tools for the demographer." Examples using data for various countries are presented.

Demography↗

Projections of the population in Israel up to 2005.

"The Central Bureau of Statistics presents herewith new projections of the development of the population in Israel up to 2005. The projections are for the years 1995, 2000 and 2005. At the base of these projections is the estimated population at the end of 1990, by sex, age and population group...."

Age Distribution↗

Internal migration in the Philippines during the 1960s.

"This paper presents a regression analysis describing some of the determinants of various types of migratory flows between and within urban and rural areas in the Philippines during the 1960s.... The individual characteristics of migrants are analysed independently from the effects of macro-economic variables, in consideration of the estimation problems raised if both were combined into a single equation model." A model is developed to allow for the estimation of the consequences of migration at places of origin and destination

Asia↗