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PubMed1987

Impact on mortality and fertility of a community-based malaria control programme in Saradidi, Kenya.

Mortality and fertility rates were measured from 1981 to 1983 by prospective registration of vital events as part of a community-based malaria control and health development programme in Saradidi, Kenya. There was no obvious effect of providing chloroquine phosphate for treatment of malaria in each village on mortality or fertility rates. Crude death rates were 13.1 in the year before intervention (1 May 1981 to 30 April 1982) and 12.3 after intervention (1 September 1982 to 31 August 1983). Neonatal mortality increased from 36.8 per 1000 live births pre-intervention to 49.1 during intervention. There was a slight decline in post-neonatal (one to 12 months) mortality (72.8 to 67.0) and a significant drop in early childhood mortality (25.2 to 18.2). The change in mortality rates in these two age groups were fully explained by a high rate of measles mortality in the pre-intervention period. Measles accounted for 35.7% of 284 reported deaths in infants one to 12 months of age and for 40.9% of 230 deaths in children one to four years old. There was little change in reported malaria-specific mortality rates in infants and young children most likely because of a high level of chloroquine use for treatment of presumptive illness. Perinatal mortality by area ranged between 60.4 and 81.3 pre-intervention to 79.5 to 97.2 after the control programme was instituted. Crude birth rates by area remained stable at about 40 and general fertility rates were about 200. Both pre-intervention and during intervention infants were significantly more likely to have died without medical consultation than children one to four years. However, 79.2% of 284 infants and 90.7% of 193 children died in spite of having consulted a health worker prior to death. The data suggest that a measles vaccine programme would significantly reduce mortality rates in infants and young children. The fact that the majority of infants and young children died in spite of receiving medical attention indicates both the inadequacy of curative medical services in this high mortality setting as well as the necessity for promoting preventive health measures.

Adolescent↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Long-term air medical services system performance using APACHE-II and mortality benchmarking.

OBJECTIVE: Air medical transport programs have been in existence for two decades. During this time, no outcome measures have been developed for these services. The authors examined severity scoring and mortality data from their air medical service to characterize its performance and to identify trends in acuity and mortality over a 15-year period. METHODS: APACHE-II scores derived at the time of transport and hospital mortality data have been concurrently recorded in the flight database for adult transports since 1986. The authors analyzed these data and examined the correlation between APACHE-II score at the time of transport and hospital mortality for the 15-year period 1986-2001. RESULTS: 13,808 adult transports were identified. APACHE data were available for 8,204 patients (59%) and mortality for 10,845 (79%), respectively. The number of transports increased from 935 to 1,231 per year. Mean APACHE-II for all patients was 11.6 +/- 8.4. Overall mortality was 22%. Both patient acuity and mortality were trending upward over time. The correlation between APACHE-II and mortality was close and linear (mortality = 0.018 x APACHE-II -0.0243, R2 = 0.97). CONCLUSIONS: Both severity of illness and mortality of air-transported patients appear to be increasing slowly over time in response to changes in the health care system. The strong correlation between APACHE-II performed at the time of transport and mortality validates this technique for benchmarking. The slope of this correlation is an outcome-based characteristic of system performance that may allow monitoring of a system over time and comparisons between systems.

APACHE↗
PubMed2004

The impact of route of delivery and presentation on twin neonatal and infant mortality: a population-based study in the USA, 1995-97.

OBJECTIVE: We examined whether the route of delivery for near-term (> or = 34 weeks' gestation) twins, as candidates for vaginal delivery, affected neonatal and infant mortality rates. We further evaluated whether these mortality rates were modified by fetal presentation. METHODS: A population-based retrospective cohort study based on the matched multiple births data in the USA (1995-97) was performed. Analyses were restricted to non-malformed liveborn twins delivered at (> or = 34 weeks' gestation. Twins with breech-breech and breech-vertex presentations were excluded, since they are not candidates for vaginal delivery. Neonatal mortality rates (death within the first 27 days) and post-neonatal mortality rates (death between 28 and 365 days) per 1000 twin live births, by route of delivery and fetal presentation, were derived. The associations between neonatal mortality, post-neonatal mortality and the route of delivery for vertex-breech versus vertex-vertex presentations were expressed based on relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) derived from logistic regression models based on the method of generalized estimating equations. RESULTS: Of the 177,622 twins analyzed, 87% (n = 154,531) presented as vertex-vertex. Fifty-five per cent (n = 97,692) of twins were both delivered vaginally, 41% (n = 72,825) were both delivered by Cesarean section and, of the remaining 4% (n = 7,105), the first twin was delivered vaginally and the second by Cesarean section. Twins with vertex-breech presentations delivered by Cesarean-cesarean sections, as well as those with vertex-vertex presentations delivered vaginally, had the lowest neonatal mortality rate (1.6 per 1000 live births). The highest neonatal mortality rate in the vertex-breech pairs occurred with vaginal-Cesarean deliveries (2.7 per 1000 live births). Among twins with vertex-vertex presentations, twins delivered via the vaginal-Cesarean route experienced the highest neonatal mortality (3.8 per 1000 live births). The RR for neonatal mortality in this group was 2.24 (95% CI 1.35, 3.72) compared with twins both delivered vaginally. CONCLUSION: Route of delivery and fetal presentation both confer an impact on twin infant mortality rates. Strategies to reduce discordant routes in complicated vaginal deliveries may lead to improved neonatal survival.

Cohort Studies↗
PubMed2000

The Washington University-EPRI Veterans' Cohort Mortality Study: preliminary results.

This article presents the design of and some results from a new prospective mortality study of a national cohort of about 50,000 U.S. veterans who were diagnosed as hypertensive in the mid 1970s, based on approximately 21 yr of follow-up. This national cohort is male with an average age at recruitment of 51 +/- 12 yr; 35% were black and 81% had been smokers at one time. Because the subjects have been receiving care at various U.S. Veterans Administration (VA) hospitals, access to and quality of medical care are relatively homogeneous. The health endpoints available for analysis include all-cause mortality and specific diagnoses for morbidity during VA hospitalizations; only the mortality results are discussed here. Nonpollution predictor variables in the baseline model include race, smoking (ever or at recruitment), age, systolic and diastolic blood pressure (BP), and body mass index (BMI). Interactions of BP and BMI with age were also considered. Although this study essentially controls for socioeconomic status by design because of the homogeneity of the cohort, selected ecological variables were also considered at the ZIP code and county levels, some of which were found to be significant predictors. Pollutants were averaged by year and county for TSP, PM10, CO, O3, and NO2; SO2 and Pb were considered less thoroughly. Both mean and peak levels were considered for gases. SO(4)2- data from the AIRS database and PM2.5, coarse particles, PM15, and SO(4)2- from the U.S. EPA Inhalable Particulate (IP) Network were also considered. Four relevant exposure periods were defined: 1974 and earlier (back to 1953 for TSP), 1975-1981, 1982-1988, and 1989-1996. Deaths during each of the three most recent exposure periods were considered separately, yielding up to 12 combinations of exposure and mortality periods for each pollutant. Associations between concurrent air quality and mortality periods were considered to relate to acute responses; delayed associations with prior exposures were considered to be emblematic of initiation of chronic disease. Preexposure mortality associations were considered to be indirect (noncausal). The implied mortality risks of long-term exposure to air pollution were found to be sensitive to the details of the regression model, the time period of exposure, the locations included, and the inclusion of ecological as well as personal variables. Both positive and negative statistically significant mortality responses were found. Fine particles as measured in the 1979-1984 U.S. EPA Inhalable Particulate Network indicated no significant (positive) excess mortality risk for this cohort in any of the models considered. Among the positive responses, indications of concurrent mortality risks were seen for NO2 and peak O3, with a similar indication of delayed risks only for NO2. The mean levels of these excess risks were in the range of 5-9%. Peak O3 was dominant in two-pollutant models and there was some indication of a threshold in response. However, it is likely that standard errors of the regression coefficients may have been underestimated because of spatial autocorrelation among the model residuals. The significant variability of responses by period of death cohort suggests that aggregation over the entire period of follow-up obscures important aspects of the implied pollution-mortality relationships, such as early depletion of the available pool of those subjects who may be most susceptible to air pollution effects.

Aged↗
PubMed2002

Trends in asthma mortality in Japan.

Asthma mortality has been increasing in many developed countries in recent years, so we have described the epidemiological features of asthma in Japan. Data on all certified asthma deaths from 1950 to 1997 were obtained from The National Vital Statistics, published annually by the Ministry of Health and Welfare. Trends in crude and age-adjusted asthma mortality rates, as well as age-specific mortality rates, were analyzed. Age and birth cohort effects on mortality rates were also examined using multiplicative models. Between 1950 and 1980, crude asthma mortality rates steadily decreased in both sexes and began to level off thereafter. Age-adjusted mortality rates have also decreased since 1950, and showed a persistent downward trend in both sexes even in recent years. Asthma mortality rates were higher in males than in females during the entire study period. When analysis was restricted to those aged 5 to 34 years, an upward trend since 1980 was observed. The multiplicative model showed a rapidly decreasing cohort effect on mortality among those born after 1860. However, the slope increased in the cohorts born after 1950 in both sexes. The age effect increased linearly with advancing age after 50 years in both sexes. Overall asthma mortality rates have been decreasing during the past five decades in Japan, but the mortality rate has increased among the 5-34-year-old age group since 1980. The high fatality rate stemming from the overuse of beta 2-agonists may account for the mortality increase.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2002

Temperature and mortality in 11 cities of the eastern United States.

Episodes of extremely hot or cold temperatures are associated with increased mortality. Time-series analyses show an association between temperature and mortality across a range of less extreme temperatures. In this paper, the authors describe the temperature-mortality association for 11 large eastern US cities in 1973-1994 by estimating the relative risks of mortality using log-linear regression analysis for time-series data and by exploring city characteristics associated with variations in this temperature-mortality relation. Current and recent days' temperatures were the weather components most strongly predictive of mortality, and mortality risk generally decreased as temperature increased from the coldest days to a certain threshold temperature, which varied by latitude, above which mortality risk increased as temperature increased. The authors also found a strong association of the temperature-mortality relation with latitude, with a greater effect of colder temperatures on mortality risk in more-southern cities and of warmer temperatures in more-northern cities. The percentage of households with air conditioners in the south and heaters in the north, which serve as indicators of socioeconomic status of the city population, also predicted weather-related mortality. The model developed in this analysis is potentially useful for projecting the consequences of climate-change scenarios and offering insights into susceptibility to the adverse effects of weather.

Climate↗
PubMed2005

Trends in socioeconomic disparities in stroke mortality in six european countries between 1981-1985 and 1991-1995.

This study assesses whether stroke mortality trends have been less favorable among lower than among higher socioeconomic groups. Longitudinal data on mortality by socioeconomic status were obtained for Finland, Norway, Denmark, Sweden, England/Wales, and Turin, Italy. Data covered the entire population or a representative sample. Stroke mortality rates were calculated for the period 1981-1995. Changes in stroke mortality rate ratios were analyzed using Poisson regression and compared with rate ratios in ischemic heat disease mortality. Trends in stroke mortality were generally as favorable among lower as among higher socioeconomic groups, such that socioeconomic disparities in stroke mortality persisted and remained of a similar magnitude in the 1990s as in the 1980s. In Norway, however, occupational disparities in stroke mortality significantly widened, and a nonsignificant increase was observed in some countries. In contrast, disparities in ischemic heart disease mortality widened throughout this period in most populations. Improvements in hypertension prevalence and treatment may have contributed to similar stroke mortality declines in all socioeconomic groups in most countries. Socioeconomic disparities in stroke mortality generally persisted and may have widened in some populations, which fact underlines the need to improve preventive and secondary care for stroke among the lower socioeconomic groups.

Europe↗
PubMed2005

Cause-specific mortality of grand multiparous women in Finland.

Knowledge is limited on mortality of grand multiparous women (> or =5 deliveries), whose hormonal, metabolic, and social conditions differ from the average. The authors studied overall and cause-specific mortality in 1974-2001 among 87,922 grand multiparous women including 3,678 grand grand multiparous women (> or =10 deliveries) in Finland. Standardized mortality ratios were defined as ratios of observed to expected numbers of deaths, both derived from national cause-of-death files. During follow-up, 18,870 grand multiparous women and 625 grand grand multiparous women died (standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) = 0.95 and 1.01, respectively). Decreased mortality among grand multiparous women was found for cancers of the breast (SMR = 0.64, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.59, 0.69), corpus uteri (SMR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.56, 0.80), ovary (SMR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.60, 0.75), bladder (SMR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.41, 0.82), and respiratory tract (SMR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.72, 0.88). The only malignant tumor associated with elevated mortality was kidney cancer (SMR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.21, 1.56). The standardized mortality ratio was also low for dementia (SMR = 0.78, 95% CI: 0.72, 0.84), respiratory diseases (SMR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.75, 0.85), and accidents and violent causes (SMR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.73, 0.84). Mortality from diabetes mellitus (SMR = 1.42, 95% CI: 1.29, 1.55) and ischemic heart disease (SMR = 1.10, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.13) was increased. According to this study, overall mortality among grand multiparous women is not elevated. Low mortality from cancers is offset by higher mortality from cardiovascular conditions and diabetes mellitus.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Trends in cancer mortality in the Americas, 1970-2000.

BACKGROUND: Data and statistics on cancer mortality over the last decades are available for most developed countries, while they are more difficult to obtain, in a standardized and comparable format, for countries of Latin America. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Age standardized (world population) mortality rates around the year 2000, derived from the WHO database, are presented for 14 selected cancers and total cancer in 10 countries of Latin America, plus, for comparative purposes, Canada and the USA. Trends in mortality are also given over the period 1970-2000. RESULTS: In 2000, the highest total cancer mortality for males was observed in Argentina and Chile, with rates comparable to those of Canada and the USA, i.e. about 155/100,000. For women, Chile and Cuba had the highest rates in Latin America (114 and 103/100,000, respectively), again comparable to those of North America (around 105/100,000). These reflect the comparatively high mortality from cancer of the stomach (for Chile), lung and intestines (for Argentina) in men, and of stomach and uterus (for Chile), intestines and lung (for Cuba) in women. Colombia, Ecuador and Mexico had the lowest total cancer mortality for men, due to low mortality from stomach, colorectal and lung cancer. For women, the lowest rates were in Brazil and Puerto Rico, reflecting their low stomach and cervical cancer rates. In Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica and Venezuela cancer mortality rates tended to decline, particularly in men. Rates were stable in Ecuador and Puerto Rico, and were increasing in Mexico and Cuba. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality from some common cancers (including colorectal and lung) is still low in Latin America compared with Canada and the USA, and decreasing trends have been observed in the last decades for some cancer sites (including stomach, uterus, lung and other tobacco-related cancers) in several countries. However, mortality from female lung and breast cancers has been increasing in most countries of Latin America, and several countries still show an extremely elevated mortality from cancer of the cervix. Selected neoplasms amenable to treatment, including testis and leukemias, also show unsatisfactory trends in Latin America.

Adult↗
PubMed1986

Birthweight and perinatal mortality: III. Towards a new method of analysis.

Perinatal mortality is closely related to birthweight. We propose a model that summarizes this relationship and provides a basis for the analysis of perinatal mortality. The components of this model are the frequency distribution of birthweight and the curve of weight-specific mortality. Taken together, these two curves completely describe perinatal mortality for a given population. The perinatal mortality of two populations can be meaningfully compared by plotting each weight-specific mortality curve relative to its own birthweight distribution. By this means, the excess mortality in one population can usually be expressed as the sum of two excess mortalities--one that occurs uniformly over the whole birthweight distribution, the other due to an increased number of small births. To illustrate this method, we analyse differences between white and black infants. We find that the excess mortality of black infants is chiefly due to an excess of small black births, but also to higher mortality over all (adjusted) birthweights. In contrast to other methods of analysis, the proposed method does not assume a priori that a difference in the mean birthweight of two populations is the cause of any difference in perinatal mortality. Furthermore, the proposed method is unbiased; in particular, it is preferable to direct or indirect standardization for birthweight, previously shown to be biased.

Birth Weight↗
PubMed2002

The heavier the better? Birthweight and perinatal mortality in different ethnic groups.

BACKGROUND: Mother's ethnicity is associated with her baby's birthweight and risk of perinatal mortality. Given the close relation between birthweight and perinatal mortality, we explored whether ethnic differences in birthweight explain ethnic differences in perinatal mortality. METHODS: Data on all births to mothers born in Norway (808 658), Pakistan (6854), Vietnam (3283) and North Africa (1461) from 1980 to 1995 were obtained from the Medical Birth Registry of Norway. The associations between birthweight and perinatal mortality among ethnic groups were analysed using univariate and multivariate methods. RESULTS: Mean birthweights were low for Vietnamese and Pakistani mothers (3202 g, 3244 g) and high for Norwegian and North African mothers (3530 g, 3559 g). Mean birthweights were largely unrelated to perinatal mortality, which was lowest for Vietnamese (8.2/1000, 95% CI: 5.1-11.3) and highest for Pakistanis (14.9/1000, 95% CI: 12.0-17.7). Intermediate perinatal mortality rates were found among Norwegians (9.5/1000, 95% CI: 9.3-9.7) and North Africans (9.6/1000, 95% CI: 4.6-14.6). Further comparison of weight-specific mortality rates between the two largest ethnic groups showed the low birthweight paradox, where among low-weight births, perinatal mortality was lower among Pakistani than among Norwegian babies. However, adjustment to a relative birthweight scale (units of standard deviations from population-specific mean value) revealed higher rates of weight-specific mortality among Pakistanis across the entire range of birthweights. Multivariate adjustment for relative birthweight and other factors did not change these results. CONCLUSIONS: Differences in perinatal mortality between the ethnic groups were not explained by differences in mean birthweight. Paradoxical differences in birthweight-specific mortality rates could be resolved by adjustment to a relative scale.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

The contribution of smoking to inequalities in mortality by education varies over time and by sex: two national cohort studies, 1981-84 and 1996-99.

BACKGROUND: The contributions of tobacco smoking to overall mortality and socioeconomic inequalities in mortality vary between populations and over time. We determined how these contributions varied by sex and over time in two national New Zealand cohort studies. METHODS: Poisson regression and modelling were conducted on linked census-mortality cohorts for people aged 45-74 years in 1981-84 and 1996-99 (2.0 and 2.7 million person-years, respectively). RESULTS: Contribution to socioeconomic inequalities in mortality. Adjusting for current and former smoking reduced the all-cause mortality rate ratios for men with nil educational qualifications compared with men with post-school qualifications from 1.34 to 1.29 in 1981-84 and from 1.31 to 1.25 in 1996-99, or 16 and 21% reductions in relative inequalities. Equivalent results for women were 1.42-1.41 in 1981-84 and 1.42-1.37 in 1996-99, or 3 and 11% reductions in relative inequalities. Contribution to overall mortality. Using 1996-99 data, we estimated that if all current smokers quit and became ex-smokers, mortality rates would reduce by 11% for men and 5% for women. If everyone was a never smoker (i.e. a historically smoke-free society), mortality rates would have been 26% lower for men and 25% lower for women. CONCLUSIONS: The contribution of smoking to educational inequalities in mortality was greater for males, and increased over time for both males and females, reflecting the historically differential phasing of the tobacco epidemic by sex and socioeconomic position. Complete cessation of smoking in contemporary New Zealand would reduce both overall mortality and educational inequalities in mortality.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Mortality patterns during a war in Guinea-Bissau 1998-99: changes in risk factors?

BACKGROUND: The crude mortality rate of the whole population and the mortality of children <5 years of age are the common indicators of the severity of a complex emergency situation. However, these indicators rarely take account of differences in socioeconomic conditions and vulnerability. METHODS: We followed a population in Guinea-Bissau, which fled when fighting took place in the capital during the war in 1998-99. The population stayed close to the area of conflict and returned as soon as a cease-fire was negotiated. A peace treaty was signed after half-a-year. The following 6 months was a period of returning and re-settlement, even though two outbreaks of fighting occurred. RESULTS: In the first half-year the mortality rate was 78% [mortality ratio (MR) = 1.78; 95% CI 1.61-1.97] increased and mortality for children <5 years of age doubled (MR = 2.07; 95% CI 1.79-2.38). In the last 6 months of the war, mortality was slightly increased for children and not at all for the total population. In the first half-year, households living in better houses and having members with schooling were less affected. In the 're-settlement' period two inequalities emerged; the largest ethnic group, Pepel, continued to have high mortality when the mortality of other groups declined; likewise girls continued to have an elevated mortality whereas mortality of boys declined. CONCLUSION: Whereas specific 'free' interventions reduced social inequalities for the groups affected, for the total population health-inequalities were slightly amplified during the war. Once the population returned to their urban homes, mortality fell to pre-war levels even though some fighting continued, limited humanitarian aid was available and the pre-war infra-structure had not been re-established.

Child, Preschool↗
PubMed2006

The association between cognitive ability measured at ages 18-20 and mortality during 30 years of follow-up--a prospective observational study among Swedish males born 1949-51.

OBJECTIVES: An association between childhood cognitive ability measured with IQ tests and mortality has been reported recently. It is not clear from those studies if the relative risk is increased only among those in the lower end of the IQ score scale or if there is graded increase in mortality from the lowest to the highest. This study aims to investigate the association between cognitive ability measured at age 18-20 and mortality during a 30 year period of follow-up. METHODS: Data on cognitive ability was collected from 49,323 men, born in 1949-51, who were conscripted for compulsory military training in 1969/70. Data on mortality were obtained from the Causes of Death register 1971-2000. RESULTS: Cognitive ability was a strong predictor of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD)-mortality, mortality from violent causes, and alcohol-related mortality. A striking finding was a pronounced gradient in mortality risk across all IQ score groups. Adjustment for adult socioeconomic position attenuated the increased risk somewhat [for all-cause mortality: crude hazard ratio (HR) 1.16 (1.13-1.19), adjusted HR 1.12 (1.09-1.15)]. CONCLUSION: IQ test score measured in late adolescence (only males) was a significant predictor of all-cause, as well as cause-specific (CVD and injuries), mortality during 30 years of follow-up. The risk increased from high to low IQ test score results for all outcomes.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1993

Influence of death certificate errors on cancer mortality trends.

BACKGROUND: Evaluation of mortality data is an important tool in assessing both disease time trends and differences in populations. However, the reasons for changes in cancer mortality rates have been controversial. Questions have been raised concerning whether these increases are real or simply the result of changing diagnoses and death certificate reporting. PURPOSE: Our purpose was to determine on the basis of autopsy data if death certificate reporting varies over age, time, and cancer type and to explore the effect of death certificate error on recent cancer mortality trends. METHODS: Data were analyzed from 5886 autopsies collected by the Radiation Effects Research Foundation in Hiroshima, Japan, between 1961 and 1987. Death certificates were linked to autopsy data for analyses. An adjustment factor was calculated as a ratio of the accuracy of these death certificates in identifying cancer (detection rate) and listing cancer (confirmation rate) as the cause of death. This adjustment factor measures bias in mortality rates due to death certification errors and quantifies underestimation and overestimation of cancer mortality rates. RESULTS: Our analyses focused on lymphoma, breast cancer, neoplasms of the brain, multiple myeloma, and melanoma because of reported mortality increases. For these cancers, the adjustment factor decreased significantly (P = .02) over time, implying that death certificate accuracy has improved. This change appears to account for 60% of the observed increase in these cancers during the time period of study. For total cancer, persons 75 years or older have a high adjustment factor but it decreased over time. This decrease suggests an artifactual increase in total cancer mortality rates of about 1% per year for this older group. CONCLUSIONS: The quality of death certificate reporting has generally remained constant for most groups during the period 1961-1987. In the study population, there was a consistent underestimation of total cancer mortality of about 18%. For the five types of cancer studied, there has been less underestimation of cancer mortality since 1976. For some specific cancers and for persons 75 years or older, improvements in death certificate accuracy have occurred over time. These data imply that the total death certificate error rate varies considerably by cancer type, time period, and age at death. IMPLICATIONS: The changes in death certificate reporting for some sites and the elderly appear to have artifactually created increases in cancer mortality rates. These artifacts need to be considered when using mortality data for prevention research and health care planning.

Aged↗
PubMed1992

Short- and long-term association of serum cholesterol with mortality. The 25-year follow-up of the Finnish cohorts of the seven countries study.

The association of serum cholesterol with cause-specific and all-cause mortality was assessed in a cohort of 1,426 men aged 40-59 years who were free of clinically evident heart disease at baseline (1959). A total of 748 deaths (53 percent of the participants) occurred during the 25-year follow-up period. Men with high serum cholesterol levels at baseline had high mortality due to coronary heart disease during both the early and later parts of the follow-up period. In contrast, the association of serum cholesterol with mortality due to causes other than coronary heart disease changed during follow-up (interaction of cholesterol with follow-up period: p = 0.004). During the first 10 years of follow-up, despite their high coronary mortality, men with high cholesterol levels had lower all-cause mortality (age-adjusted relative risk = 0.71 for serum cholesterol above 5.79 mmol/liter vs. below 5.80 mmol/liter; p = 0.03) because of their low cancer mortality (relative risk = 0.55, p = 0.03) and residual mortality (relative risk = 0.49, p less than 0.01). During the last 15 years of follow-up, cholesterol at baseline was no longer associated with mortality due to causes other than coronary heart disease, and consequently, because of their high coronary mortality, men with high cholesterol levels also had higher all-cause mortality (relative risk = 1.22, p = 0.05). The results suggest that to fully analyze the association of serum cholesterol with all-cause mortality, the follow-up period should be sufficiently long--possibly more than 10 years--and the possibility of a change in the direction of the association studied should always be considered.

Adult↗
PubMed1992

Differences in cause-specific infant mortality among Chinese, Japanese, and white Americans.

Although black-white differences in infant mortality have received much attention, information is limited about mortality differentials among Asian Americans. This study investigated racial differences in infant mortality in a sample of 21,288 Chinese, 11,882 Japanese, and 65,818 white resident singleton livebirths obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics 1983 and 1984 linked birth/infant death files. The crude infant mortality rates were 8.03, 6.56, and 8.46 per 1,000 livebirths for Chinese, Japanese, and white births, respectively. Cause-specific mortality varied considerably among the three racial groups. While the Japanese had lower rates of infant deaths and deaths from perinatal conditions for firstborn infants, they had higher rates of sudden infant death syndrome, as did Chinese females. The results of a logistic regression analysis indicate that the racial differences in total and cause-specific mortality persist when adjustment is made for demographic factors, use of prenatal care, infant sex, and birth weight. The effect of these latter variables on infant mortality varied by causes of death. The relations between infant mortality and variables such as marital status, maternal education, and birth interval appear indirect, operating partially through birth weight. While birth weight was the single strongest determinant of infant mortality, its relative importance varied by cause of death. The study findings suggest that policy decisions surrounding racial differences in infant mortality should not only be considered in light of specific races, but also with regard to cause-specific mortality. Moreover, additional research is needed to understand the cultural, biological, and behavioral factors that give rise to the racial differences.

Asian↗
PubMed1994

A never-ending succession of epidemics? Mortality in early-modern York.

Early-modern cities are often perceived to be centres of high mortality and under constant siege from a barrage of epidemics. However, few urban mortality rates have been calculated and by employing parish register evidence from the regional capital of York, the thesis that the city was subjected to continual sudden increases in mortality can be firmly rejected. Infant mortality was high but remained virtually constant between 1561 and 1700. About a quarter of all infants did not survive to reach their first birthday and neonatal mortality was especially severe. From the mid-seventeenth century a series of epidemics increased child mortality although overall levels of mortality were not significantly affected. Relatively little can be said about adult mortality and apart from two periods of 'crisis' mortality there is little to suggest that adults were greatly affected by epidemics. Indeed, for many adults the urban environment appears to have posed no great threat to health and most could look forward to a relatively long life in the city. York's mortality regime was very similar to that of the smaller market town of Gainsborough where high levels of mortality remained stable throughout much of the early-modern period.

Disease Outbreaks↗