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Alternative medicine in Vermont--a census of practitioners: prevalence, patterns of use, and national projections.

The number of alternative/holistic practitioners in Vermont was estimated by two methods: scanning advertisements (yellow pages, newspaper and magazine ads, brochures), and by word-of-mouth canvassing. We located 897 Vermonters who derive most of their annual income practicing at least 1 of 97 different types of alternative medicine and therapy. Most practitioners were female and most practiced more than one type of healing. Bodyworkers were the most prevalent practitioners, followed by chiropractors, acupuncturists, herbalists, and holistic psychotherapists. On a per-capita basis, there is 1 alternative practitioner per 652 Vermonters (or 153 practitioners per 100,000 population). This census nearly equals that of Vermont's M.D. population. Extrapolating this Vermont census to a nationwide estimate of alternative practitioners suggests there are over 403,000 full-time alternative/holistic healers practicing in the United States.

Complementary Therapies↗

Comparison of two fatal occupational injury surveillance systems in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: Using different methods, two national systems compile fatal occupational injury data in the United States: the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) National Traumatic Occupational Fatalities (NTOF) surveillance system, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries (CFOI). The NTOF uses only death certificates, while CFOI uses multiple sources for case ascertainment. METHODS: Through overall and case-by-case comparisons, this study compares these systems and evaluates counts for the nation and by state for worker and case characteristics. RESULTS: From 1992 through 1994, NTOF reported an average of 84% of the number of traumatic occupational fatalities reported in CFOI. This percentage changed somewhat when a case-by-case comparison was conducted--88% of the NTOF cases were matched directly to the CFOI cases. Although CFOI captured a larger number of fatalities annually, the additional fatalities did not follow a discernable pattern. IMPACT ON INDUSTRY: By understanding the distribution of fatalities, targeted efforts to reduce them will benefit all industries.

Accidents, Occupational↗

[Survival in colorectal adenocarcinoma in Cantabria. A population-based study (1989)].

PURPOSE: To analyse a population-based study of postoperative mortality and five-year survival in patients with colorectal adenocarcinoma and to compare the results to those of a previous survival study of 1970-1978 period. METHODS: Using the Register of Colorectal Cancer of Cantabria, with a population of 531.654 inhabitants according to the 1989 census, we studied 187 patients with primary colorectal adenocarcinoma. Patients with recurrence after previous excision and who were not residents of Cantabria were excluded. Postoperative mortality included 30-days postoperative period. Survival was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test was used to compare curves of probability. RESULTS: Postoperative mortality was 7.7%. Overall five-year survival was 42.4%. Specific-cancer survival was 46%. Type of surgical procedure (curative or palliative) and TNM classification showed significant differences (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: In Cantabria the five-years survival rate in patients with colorectal adenocarcinoma is similar to published data from other population-based studies but the survival rate did not change over the last decade.

Adenocarcinoma↗

[The prevalence and its screening methods of primary open angle glaucoma in defined population-based study of rural and urban in Beijing].

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the study is to determine the prevalence of primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) in persons aged 40 or above in Beijing, China. METHODS: From June 2001 to October 2001, the screening population was identified by a door-to-door census in five metropolitan resident areas in the north of Beijing and three villages in a county south to Beijing. The screening included visual acuity, frequency doubling perimetry (FDP, C-20 screening program), non-contact tonometry, slit lamp microscopy, anterior chamber depth (Van Herick method), and fundus photography. The suspect glaucoma and definite glaucoma patients were asked to have an examination of Octopus 1-2-3 perimetry (G1X TOP threshold program), repeat tonometry, gonioscopy and fundus stereo-photography at Beijing Tongren Hospital. RESULTS: There were 4451 subjects who were examined at the study sites. The response rates in rural and urban were 79.58% and 87.13%, respectively. In this 40 years-old or above population, the prevalences of POAG were 1.97% in rural men, 2.07% in urban men, 1.04% in rural women and 1.42% in urban women. In this study, 92.30% POAG patients in rural and 87.30% POAG patients in urban were new diagnosed cases. The prevalence of POAG increased with age and the change was exponential. In 50% POAG patients first IOP measurement was less than 21 mm Hg (1 mm Hg = 0.133 kPa). The prevalence of monocular eye blindness was 15.40% and 10.90% in rural and urban, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Owing to use fundus photography and integrated evaluation of optic disc, it is possible to diagnose in earlier stage of POAG. This study identifies more patients with POAG than any previous population-based studies of China, and is similar to other studies of Asia such as in India and Singapore. The reason of lower POAG prevalence in rural women than in urban may be that the anterior chamber depth of rural women is shallower than that of urban women. It may cause difficult to differentiate the chronic primary angle closure glaucoma from POAG at screening sites, so the part POAG patients may be included in primary angle closure glaucoma patients.

Adult↗

Comparison of multiple regression to two latent variable techniques for estimation and prediction.

In the areas of epidemiology, psychology, sociology, and other social and behavioural sciences, researchers often encounter situations where there are not only many variables contributing to a particular phenomenon, but there are also strong relationships among many of the predictor variables of interest. By using the traditional multiple regression on all the predictor variables, it is possible to have problems with interpretation and multicollinearity. As an alternative to multiple regression, we explore the use of a latent variable model that can address the relationship among the predictor variables. We consider two different methods for estimation and prediction for this model: one that uses multiple regression on factor score estimates and the other that uses structural equation modelling. The first method uses multiple regression but on a set of predicted underlying factors (i.e. factor scores), and the second method is a full-information maximum-likelihood technique that incorporates the complete covariance structure of the data. In this tutorial, we will explain the model and each estimation method, including how to carry out prediction. A data example will be used for demonstration, where respiratory disease death rates by county in Minnesota are predicted by five county-level census variables. A simulation study is performed to evaluate the efficiency of prediction using the two latent variable modelling techniques compared to multiple regression.

Censuses↗

Twin study using mortality data: a new sampling method.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the success of a novel approach to twin studies using death discordant twin pairs in a disease of low prevalence. METHOD: A population study based on all registered deaths at the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys of England and Wales, classified under the ICD code 335.2 (motor neuron disease [MND]) for the period 1979-1989 inclusive. From the above database of 10,872 people, individuals born after 31 December 1899 were traced in the Birth Indices for England & Wales to enable identification of possible twins. In all 131 twin pairs were found and the co-twin details were sent to the National Health Service Central Register (NHS-CR) to enable location of the relevant Family Health Services Authority and thence the co-twin's general practitioner (GP). A letter requesting access was sent to the family practitioners. If given, the co-twin can be approached and interviewed. RESULTS: The search produced: 54 living co-twins; 31 who died as adults; 29 infant deaths; 5 emigrated; 3 incorrectly diagnosed index twins; and 9 untraceable co-twins. Among the adult deaths two concordant pairs were identified. This has created the largest twin population sample worldwide for MND. CONCLUSION: This new twin study method is clearly viable, and has produced a large unbiased sample compared to that possible using traditional methods. It relies heavily on the accuracy of death certificates and zygosity reporting by living co-twins, but is possibly the only way of collecting twins in rare conditions.

Adult↗

Association of microsatellite markers near the fibrillin 1 gene on human chromosome 15q with scleroderma in a Native American population.

OBJECTIVE: To localize disease genes for scleroderma, or systemic sclerosis (SSc), in a population of Choctaw Native Americans with a high prevalence of SSc, in which there is evidence of a possible founder effect. METHODS: A candidate gene approach was used in which microsatellite alleles on human chromosomes 15q and 2q, homologous to the murine tight skin 1 (tsk1) and tsk2 loci, respectively, were analyzed in Choctaw SSc cases and race-matched normal controls for possible disease association. Genotyping first-degree relatives of the cases identified potential disease haplotypes, and haplotype frequencies were obtained by expectation-maximization and maximum-likelihood estimation methods. Simultaneously, the ancestral origins of contemporary Choctaw SSc cases were ascertained using census and historical records. RESULTS: A multilocus 2-cM haplotype was identified on human chromosome 15q homologous to the murine tsk1 region, which showed a significantly increased frequency in SSc cases compared with controls. This haplotype contains 2 intragenic markers for the fibrillin 1 (FBN1) gene. Genealogical studies demonstrated that the SSc cases were distantly related, and their ancestry could be traced back to 5 founding families in the mid-eighteenth century. The probability that the SSc cases share this haplotype due to familial aggregation effects alone was calculated and found to be very low. There was no evidence of any microsatellite allele disturbances on chromosome 2q in the region homologous to the tsk2 locus or the region containing the interleukin-1 family. CONCLUSION: A 2-cM haplotype on chromosome 15q that contains FBN1 is associated with scleroderma in Choctaw Native Americans from Oklahoma. This haplotype may have been inherited from common founders about 10 generations ago and may contribute to the high prevalence of SSc that is now seen.

Alleles↗

Elderly suicide and the 2003 SARS epidemic in Hong Kong.

BACKGROUND: Hong Kong was struck by the community outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) in 2003. In the same year, the elderly suicide rate in Hong Kong showed a sharp upturn from a previous downward trend. METHODS: Secondary analyses using Poisson Regression Models on the suicide statistics from the Census and Statistics Department of the Hong Kong Government were performed. RESULTS: In a Poisson Regression Model on the annual suicide rates in elders aged 65 and over in years 1986-2003, 2002 served as the reference year. Suicide rates in 1986-1997 were significantly higher than the reference year, with an Incident Rate Ratio (IRR) of 1.34 to 1.61. However, rates in 1998-2001 did not differ from the reference year significantly, representing stabilization of suicide rates for 4 years after 1997. The elderly suicide rate increased to 37.46/100,000 in 2003, with an IRR of 1.32 (p=0.0019) relative to 2002. Such trend is preserved when female elderly suicide rates in 1993-2003 were analyzed, while suicide rates in elderly men and younger age groups did not follow this pattern. DISCUSSIONS: Mechanistic factors such as breakdown of social network and limited access to health care might account for the findings. These factors could have potentiated biopsychosocial risk factors for suicide at individual levels, particularly in elderly. Female elders, by way of their previous readiness to utilize social and health services instituted in the past decade, are thus more susceptible to the effects of temporary suspension of these services during the SARS epidemic. CONCLUSIONS: The SARS epidemic was associated with increased risk of completed suicide in female elders, but not in male elders or the population under 65 years of age.

Age Factors↗

Older women drivers: fatal crashes in good conditions.

PROBLEM: By 2030, there will be approximately 70 million older people (65+) in the United States, more than twice their number in 2000. This increase also represents an increased percentage of older licensed drivers. Thus, it is important to understand the special circumstances of how they may be involved in traffic crashes. METHOD: This study used the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS), which is a census of all fatal crashes occurring in the United States over the last two decades maintained by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), to study the special characteristics of fatal crashes involving females older than 70 years. RESULTS: The results indicate that senior women are overrepresented in crashes that occur under the "safest" conditions, on roads with low speed limits, in daylight, when traffic is low (not at rush hour), when the weather is good, and when the roads are dry.

Accidents, Traffic↗

Are recent increases in deliberate self-harm associated with changes in socio-economic conditions? An ecological analysis of patterns of deliberate self-harm in bristol 1972-3 and 1995-6.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of deliberate self-harm (DSH) in Britain has increased markedly over the last 30 years. Reasons for this rise are not clear. We have investigated whether changes in the social and economic environment underlie any of the recent increase in DSH incidence. METHODS: An ecological analysis was used to assess associations between changes in census-based measures of the social and economic environment--the Townsend Deprivation Index and a three-factor social fragmentation index--and changes in age- and sex-specific hospital attendance rates for DSH for the 28 wards of the city of Bristol between 1972-3 and 1995-6. RESULTS: There were significant cross-sectional associations between the Townsend Index and rates of DSH in both males and females in both time periods. Increases in Townsend Index were also associated with increases in DSH. This association was statistically significant at the 5% level in 25-34 year-old females. Associations with the social fragmentation index were weak, although our index was based on rather limited data. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis suggests that changes in levels of socio-economic deprivation may influence area-specific patterns of DSH and such changes may have contributed to recent rises in DSH.

Adolescent↗

Socioeconomic status and breast cancer incidence in California for different race/ethnic groups.

OBJECTIVE: The majority of research on breast cancer risk and socioeconomic status (SES) has been conducted for blacks and whites. This study evaluates the relationship between SES and breast cancer incidence in California for four race/ethnic groups. METHODS: Principal component analysis was used to create an SES index using 1990 Census data. Untracted cases were randomly allocated to census block groups within their county of residence. A total of 97,227 female breast cancer cases diagnosed in California between 1988 and 1992 were evaluated. Incidence rates and rate ratios (RRs) were estimated and a chi2 test for trend across SES levels was performed. RESULTS: SES was positively related to breast cancer incidence, and this effect was stronger for Hispanics and Asian/others than for whites and blacks. Adjusting by SES did not eliminate the differences in breast cancer rates among race/ethnic groups. RR differences between the race/ethnic groups were greatest in the lowest SES category and attenuated with increasing SES. An increasing trend over SES was statistically significant for all race/ethnic groups. Including randomly allocated cases affected RR estimates for white women only. CONCLUSIONS: Our results are consistent with similar findings for the Los Angeles area but differ from previous results for the San Francisco Bay area.

Adolescent↗

Bladder cancer and drinking water: a population-based case-control study in Washington County, Maryland (United States).

A population-based case-control study was conducted in Washington County, Maryland (United States) to explore the association between incident bladder cancer and exposure to drinking water from chlorinated surface sources. Cancer cases were White residents, enumerated in a 1975 county census and reported to the Washington County Cancer Registry (n = 294) between 1975 and 1992. White controls, frequency matched by age (+/- 5 years) and gender, were selected randomly from the census (n = 2,326). Households receiving municipal water, which generally derived from chlorinated surface waters, were treated as having 'high exposure' and all others, as 'low exposure.' Duration of exposure to type of drinking water was based on length of residence in the census household prior to 1975. Odds ratios (OR) were calculated using logistic regression methods, adjusting for age, gender, tobacco use, and urbanicity. Bladder cancer risk was associated weakly in the general population with duration of exposure to municipal water. The association was limited to those who had smoked cigarettes. In ever-smokers compared with never-smokers with low exposure, the adjusted ORs for bladder cancer risk with increasing exposure were 1.3, 1.4, 1.4, 1.7, 2.2, 2.8, respectively, for 0, 1-10, 11-20, 21-30, 31-40, > 40 years' exposure duration. The ORs in smokers were not diminished after adjusting for smoking history and intensity.

Adult↗

Dietary fatty acids and insulin secretion: a population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: Few epidemiological studies have examined the relationship of dietary fatty acids, especially MUFA, with the interrelation between insulin secretion and insulin resistance. We assessed the relation of dietary fatty acids with insulin secretion in a free-living population. DESIGN AND SETTING: This cross-sectional, population-based study was undertaken in Pizarra, a small town in Spain. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Anthropometrical data were collected for 1226 persons selected randomly from the municipal census, 538 of whom (randomly chosen) were given a prospective, quantitative, 7-day nutritional questionnaire. The fatty acid composition of the serum phospholipids was used as a biological marker of the type of fat consumed. Beta-cell function (betaCFI) and insulin-resistance index (IRI) were estimated by the Homeostasis Model Assessment. RESULTS: To determine which factors influence the variability of the betaCFI, we analyzed the variance of the betaCFI according to sex, the presence of carbohydrate metabolism disorders and the different components of the diet, adjusting the models for age, body mass index (BMI) and IRI. The dietary MUFA and polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) contributed to the variability of the betaCFI, whereas only the proportion of serum phospholipid MUFA, but neither the saturated fatty acids nor the PUFA accounted for part of the variability of the betaCFI in a multiple regression analysis. CONCLUSION: The results of this population-based study corroborate the results of other clinical and experimental studies suggesting a favorable relationship of MUFA with beta-cell insulin secretion. SPONSORSHIP: Fondo de Investigación Sanitaria, Junta de Andalucía and the Asociación Maimónides.

Adult↗

The inverse relationship between number of steps per day and obesity in a population-based sample: the AusDiab study.

BACKGROUND: Physical activity (PA) is inversely associated with obesity but the effect has been difficult to quantify using questionnaires. In particular, the shape of the association has not yet been well described. Pedometers provide an opportunity to better characterize the association. METHODS: Residents of households over the age of 25 years in randomly selected census districts in Tasmania were eligible to participate in the AusDiab cross-sectional survey conducted in 1999-2000. 1848 completed the AusDiab survey and 1126 of these (609 women and 517 men) wore a pedometer for 2-weekdays. Questionnaire data on recent PA, TV time and other factors were obtained. The outcomes were waist circumference (in cm) and body mass index (BMI) (kg/m(2)). RESULTS: Increasing daily steps were associated with a decline in the obesity measures. The logarithmic nature of the associations was indicated by a sharper decline for those with lower daily steps. For example, an additional 2000 steps for those taking only 2000 steps per day was associated with a reduction of 2.8 (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.1,4.4) cm in waist circumference among men (for women; 2.2 (95% CI: 0.6, 3.9 cm)) with a baseline of only 2000, steps compared to a 0.7 (95% CI 0.3, 1.1) cm reduction (for women; 0.6 (95% CI: 0.2, 1.0)) for those already walking 10,000 steps daily. In the multivariable analysis, clearer associations were detected for PA and these obesity measures using daily step number rather than PA time by questionnaire. INTERPRETATION: Pedometer measures of activity indicate that the inverse association between recent PA and obesity is logarithmic in form with the greatest impact for a given arithmetic step number increase seen at lower levels of baseline activity. The findings from this study need to be examined in prospective settings.

Adult↗

Two-decade-long trends (1975-1997) in the incidence, hospitalization, and long-term death rates associated with complete heart block complicating acute myocardial infarction: a community-wide perspective.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this community-wide study was to describe a >2-decade-long experience (1975-97) in the incidence and death rates associated with complete heart block (CHB) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Limited population-based data exist describing recent, and changes with time therein, incidence and case-fatality rates associated with CHB complicating AMI. METHODS: We conducted an observational study of 9082 metropolitan Worcester, Mass, residents (1990 census = 437,000) hospitalized with validated AMI in all greater Worcester hospitals during 11 1-year periods between 1975 and 1997. RESULTS: Overall, CHB developed in 5.0% of patients with AMI. The incidence rates of CHB declined in the periods studied (6.0% in 1975/78 vs 3.1% in 1997). Declines in the occurrence of CHB were noted in patients with anterior or inferior/posterior MI. These trends remained after adjustment for other factors that might affect the risk of CHB. Patients in whom CHB developed experienced significantly higher hospital death rates than patients in whom CHB did not develop (46.8% vs 14.6%). However, improving trends in the hospital survival rate of patients with CHB were observed between 1975/78 (47.4% surviving) and 1997 (61.3% surviving). Patients in whom CHB developed during hospitalization were not at increased risk for dying after hospital discharge. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that the incidence of CHB complicating AMI has declined with time. The hospital prognosis of patients in whom CHB developed has improved, but these patients remain at an increased risk of hospital mortality. The long-term prognosis of patients with inferior MI and CHB is similar to that of patients in whom CHB did not develop. Patients with anterior MI and CHB may be at an increased risk of long-term mortality.

Acute Disease↗

Description and validation of a method for simultaneous estimation of effective population size and mutation rate from human population data.

A method is presented for utilizing population data on electrophoretic variants of proteins to estimate simultaneously the effective sizes (Ne values) of the populations in question and the rate of mutation resulting in electromorphs at the loci whose products were surveyed. The method is applied to data from 12 relatively unacculturated Amerindian tribes for whom census data and independent estimates of the number of different electrophoretic variants at 27 loci are available. Because of tribal demographic structure, Ne should be less than the current number of reproductive-aged adults. In fact, it is substantially greater for 7 tribes, most likely due to intertribal migration and a recent decrease in tribal size. Estimates of locus mutation rates for the 27 loci vary by more than a factor of 20, with an average of 1.1 x 10(-5) per locus per generation. This latter estimate is in satisfactory agreement with the results of other indirect approaches to the estimation of mutation rates in these tribes but about two times higher than the results of direct estimates based on these same loci in studies on civilized populations. This discrepancy could be due to the above-hypothesized migration and to decreases in tribal size.

Adult↗

Nasopharyngeal carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae in Gambian villagers.

BACKGROUND: To prepare for the introduction of a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine of restricted valency, we studied the nasopharyngeal carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae in Gambian villagers. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted in 21 villages after a census. We recorded demographic characteristics, information on medical history, and data on possible risk factors for carriage from subjects. We collected a nasopharyngeal swab specimen from each subject for isolation and serotyping of S. pneumoniae and for antibiotic susceptibility testing. RESULTS: The prevalence of S. pneumoniae carriage among 2872 villagers was 72%. It was highest among infants (i.e., children aged <1 year; 97%); the rate was 93% among babies aged <1 month and decreased with increasing age (P<.001). Prevalence of carriage was linked to proximity to another village. Sixty-three percent of isolates recovered from children aged <5 years were covered by the 7-valent vaccine or were of a vaccine-related serotype, compared with 43% of isolates overall. Forty-three isolates (14.3%) tested were initially penicillin resistant; none had high-level resistance, and 4 had intermediate resistance. The rates of resistance to other antibiotics were as follows: trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, 39%; tetracycline, 32.3%; chloramphenicol, 6.3%; cefotaxime, 0.3%; and erythromycin, 0%. The rates were highest for isolates of vaccine serotypes. CONCLUSIONS: Pneumococcal carriage rates among Gambian villagers are very high. A pneumococcal conjugate vaccine of restricted valency should reduce the pool of antibiotic-resistant pneumococci. The large reservoir of pneumococci of nonvaccine serotypes will require close monitoring when the vaccine is introduced.

Adolescent↗

Pharmacist involvement in antimicrobial use at rural community hospitals in four Western states.

PURPOSE: Pharmacist involvement in antimicrobial use at small rural hospitals in four Western states was studied. METHODS: Surveys were mailed in July 2000 to hospitals with a daily patient census of <150 in Idaho, Nevada, Utah, and eastern Washington. RESULTS: Seventy-seven (77%) of 100 hospitals returned completed surveys. Only 5% of the hospitals had onsite pharmacists 24 hours per day. An onsite pharmacist was present for a median of 26 hours per week in hospitals without 24-hour pharmacist coverage (range, 0-116 hr/wk). Many hospitals (71%) had policies for monitoring or controlling antimicrobial use, but only 28% had a system capable of monitoring compliance with such policies. Few hospitals had systems for recommending changes in antimicrobial selection on the basis of susceptibility test results (27%) or for monitoring physician compliance with dosage recommendations by pharmacists (21%). Onsite pharmacist hours were significantly associated with pharmacists being involved in the initial ordering of antibiotics and providing active oversight of antimicrobial use. There was a negative correlation between onsite pharmacist hours and use of third-generation cephalosporins and carbapenems. CONCLUSION: A survey showed that rural hospital pharmacists in four Western states spent relatively little time monitoring and influencing antimicrobial prescribing.

Anti-Bacterial Agents↗