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[Rule induction algorithm for brain glioma using support vector machine].

A new proposed data mining technique, support vector machine (SVM), is used to predict the degree of malignancy in brain glioma. Based on statistical learning theory, SVM realizes the principle of data dependent structure risk minimization, so it can depress the overfitting with better generalization performance, since the prediction in medical diagnosis often deals with a small sample. SVM based rule induction algorithm is implemented in comparison with other data mining techniques such as artificial neural networks, rule induction algorithm and fuzzy rule extraction algorithm based on fuzzy max-min neural networks (FRE-FMMNN) proposed recently. Computation results by 10 fold cross validation method show that SVM can get higher prediction accuracy than artificial neural networks and FRE-FMMNN, which implies SVM can get higher accuracy and more reliability. On the whole data sets, SVM gets one rule with the classification accuracy of 89.29%, while FRE-FMMNN gets two rules of 84. 64%, in which the rule got by SVM is of quantity relation and contains more information than the two rules by FRE-FMMNN. All the above show SVM is a potential algorithm for the medical diagnosis such as the prediction of the degree of malignancy in brain glioma.

Algorithms↗

A symmetry perceiving adaptive neural network and facial image recognition.

The paper deals with the forensic problem of comparing nearly from view and facial images for personal identification. The human recognition process for such problems, is primarily based on both holistic as well as feature-wise symmetry perception aided by subjective analysis for detecting ill-defined features. It has been attempted to approach the modelling of such a process by designing a robust symmetry perceiving adaptive neural network. The pair of images to be compared should be presented to the proposed neural network (NN) as source (input) and target images. The NN learns about the symmetry between the pair of images by analysing examples of associated feature pairs belonging to the source and the target images. In order to prepare a paired example of associated features for training purpose, when we select one particular feature on the source image as a unique pixel, we must associate it with the corresponding feature on the target image also. But, in practice, it is not always possible to fix the latter feature also as a unique pixel due to pictorial ambiguity. The robust or fault tolerant NN takes care of such a situation and allows fixing the associated target feature as a rectangular array of pixels, rather than fixing it as a unique pixel, which is pretty difficult to be done with certainty. From such a pair of sets of associated features, the NN searches out proper locations of the target features from the sets of ambiguous target features by a fuzzy analysis during its learning. If any of target features, searched out by the NN, lies outside the prespecified zone, the training of the NN is unsuccessful. This amounts to non-existence of symmetry between the pair of images and confirms non-identity. In case of a successful training, the NN gets adapted with appropriate symmetry relation between the pair of images and when the source image is input to the trained NN, it responds by outputting a processed source image which is superimposable over the target images and identity may subsequently be established by examining detailed matching in machine-made superimposed/composite images which are also suitable for presentation before the court. The performance of the proposed NN has been tested with various cases including simulated ones and it is hoped to serve as a working tool of forensic anthropologists.

Face↗

Protein beta-turn prediction using nearest-neighbor method.

MOTIVATION: With the emerging success of protein secondary structure prediction through the applications of various statistical and machine learning techniques, similar techniques have been applied to protein beta-turn prediction. In this study, we perform protein beta-turn prediction using a k-nearest neighbor method, which is combined with a filter that uses predicted protein secondary structure information. Traditional beta-turn prediction from k-nearest neighbor method is modified to account for the unbalanced ratio of the natural occurrence of beta-turns and non-beta-turns. RESULTS: Our prediction scheme is tested on a set of 426 non-homologous protein sequences. The prediction scheme consists of two stages: k-nearest neighbor method stage and filtering stage. Variations of the k-nearest neighbor method were used to take property of beta-turns into consideration. Our filtering method uses beta-turn/non-beta-turn estimates from the k-nearest neighbor method stage and predicted protein secondary structure information from PSI-PRED in order to get new beta-turn/non-beta-turn estimate. Our result is compared with the previously best known beta-turn prediction method on the dataset of 426 non-homologous protein sequences and is shown to give slightly superior performance at significantly lower computational complexity. AVAILABILITY: Contact the author for information on the source code of the programs used.

Algorithms↗

Clustering time-varying gene expression profiles using scale-space signals.

The functional state of an organism is determined largely by the pattern of expression of its genes. The analysis of gene expression data from gene chips has primarily revolved around clustering and classification of the data using machine learning techniques based on the intensity of expression alone with the time-varying pattern mostly ignored. In this paper, we present a pattern recognition-based approach to capturing similarity by finding salient changes in the time-varying expression patterns of genes. Such changes can give clues about important events, such as gene regulation by cell-cycle phases, or even signal the onset of a disease. Specifically, we observe that dissimilarity between time series is revealed by the sharp twists and bends produced in a higher-dimensional curve formed from the constituent signals. Scale-space analysis is used to detect the sharp twists and turns and their relative strength with respect to the component signals is estimated to form a shape similarity measure between time profiles. A clustering algorithm is presented to cluster gene profiles using the scale-space distance as a similarity metric. Multi-dimensional curves formed from time series within clusters are used as cluster prototypes or indexes to the gene expression database, and are used to retrieve the functionally similar genes to a query gene profile. Extensive comparison of clustering using scale-space distance in comparison to traditional Euclidean distance is presented on the yeast genome database.

Algorithms↗

Enzyme family classification by support vector machines.

One approach for facilitating protein function prediction is to classify proteins into functional families. Recent studies on the classification of G-protein coupled receptors and other proteins suggest that a statistical learning method, Support vector machines (SVM), may be potentially useful for protein classification into functional families. In this work, SVM is applied and tested on the classification of enzymes into functional families defined by the Enzyme Nomenclature Committee of IUBMB. SVM classification system for each family is trained from representative enzymes of that family and seed proteins of Pfam curated protein families. The classification accuracy for enzymes from 46 families and for non-enzymes is in the range of 50.0% to 95.7% and 79.0% to 100% respectively. The corresponding Matthews correlation coefficient is in the range of 54.1% to 96.1%. Moreover, 80.3% of the 8,291 correctly classified enzymes are uniquely classified into a specific enzyme family by using a scoring function, indicating that SVM may have certain level of unique prediction capability. Testing results also suggest that SVM in some cases is capable of classification of distantly related enzymes and homologous enzymes of different functions. Effort is being made to use a more comprehensive set of enzymes as training sets and to incorporate multi-class SVM classification systems to further enhance the unique prediction accuracy. Our results suggest the potential of SVM for enzyme family classification and for facilitating protein function prediction. Our software is accessible at http://jing.cz3.nus.edu.sg/cgi-bin/svmprot.cgi.

Amino Acid Sequence↗

Kernel-based machine learning protocol for predicting DNA-binding proteins.

DNA-binding proteins (DNA-BPs) play a pivotal role in various intra- and extra-cellular activities ranging from DNA replication to gene expression control. Attempts have been made to identify DNA-BPs based on their sequence and structural information with moderate accuracy. Here we develop a machine learning protocol for the prediction of DNA-BPs where the classifier is Support Vector Machines (SVMs). Information used for classification is derived from characteristics that include surface and overall composition, overall charge and positive potential patches on the protein surface. In total 121 DNA-BPs and 238 non-binding proteins are used to build and evaluate the protocol. In self-consistency, accuracy value of 100% has been achieved. For cross-validation (CV) optimization over entire dataset, we report an accuracy of 90%. Using leave 1-pair holdout evaluation, the accuracy of 86.3% has been achieved. When we restrict the dataset to less than 20% sequence identity amongst the proteins, the holdout accuracy is achieved at 85.8%. Furthermore, seven DNA-BPs with unbounded structures are all correctly predicted. The current performances are better than results published previously. The higher accuracy value achieved here originates from two factors: the ability of the SVM to handle features that demonstrate a wide range of discriminatory power and, a different definition of the positive patch. Since our protocol does not lean on sequence or structural homology, it can be used to identify or predict proteins with DNA-binding function(s) regardless of their homology to the known ones.

Amino Acids↗

Learning from imbalanced data in surveillance of nosocomial infection.

OBJECTIVE: An important problem that arises in hospitals is the monitoring and detection of nosocomial or hospital acquired infections (NIs). This paper describes a retrospective analysis of a prevalence survey of NIs done in the Geneva University Hospital. Our goal is to identify patients with one or more NIs on the basis of clinical and other data collected during the survey. METHODS AND MATERIAL: Standard surveillance strategies are time-consuming and cannot be applied hospital-wide; alternative methods are required. In NI detection viewed as a classification task, the main difficulty resides in the significant imbalance between positive or infected (11%) and negative (89%) cases. To remedy class imbalance, we explore two distinct avenues: (1) a new re-sampling approach in which both over-sampling of rare positives and under-sampling of the noninfected majority rely on synthetic cases (prototypes) generated via class-specific sub-clustering, and (2) a support vector algorithm in which asymmetrical margins are tuned to improve recognition of rare positive cases. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Experiments have shown both approaches to be effective for the NI detection problem. Our novel re-sampling strategies perform remarkably better than classical random re-sampling. However, they are outperformed by asymmetrical soft margin support vector machines which attained a sensitivity rate of 92%, significantly better than the highest sensitivity (87%) obtained via prototype-based re-sampling.

Algorithms↗

New approach to pharmacophore mapping and QSAR analysis using inductive logic programming. Application to thermolysin inhibitors and glycogen phosphorylase B inhibitors.

A key problem in QSAR is the selection of appropriate descriptors to form accurate regression equations for the compounds under study. Inductive logic programming (ILP) algorithms are a class of machine-learning algorithms that have been successfully applied to a number of SAR problems. Unlike other QSAR methods, which use attributes to describe chemical structure, ILP uses relations. This gives ILP the advantages of not requiring explicit superimposition of individual compounds in a dataset, of dealing naturally with multiple conformations, and of using a language much closer to that used normally by chemists. We unify ILP and standard regression techniques to give a QSAR method that has the strength of ILP at describing steric structure with the familiarity and power of regression methods. Complex pharmacophores, correlating with activity, were identified and used as new indicator variables, along with the comparative molecular field analysis (CoMFA) prediction, to form predictive regression equations. We compared the formation of 3D-QSARs using standard CoMFA with the use of ILP on the well-studied thermolysin zinc protease inhibitor dataset and a glycogen phosphorylase inhibitor dataset. In each case the addition of ILP variables produced statistically better results (P < 0.01 for thermolysin and P < 0.05 for GP datasets) than the CoMFA analysis. Moreover, the new ILP variables were not found to increase the complexity of the final QSAR equations and gave possible insight into the binding mechanism of the ligand-protein complex under study.

Algorithms↗

[Study on anodic oxidation and hydrothermal treatment of titanium implants with thin hydroxyapatite layers: an implantational test in rabbits].

OBJECTIVE: To learn bone response to commercially pure titanium implants with anodic oxidation followed by hydrothermal treatment in vivo. METHODS: Tweleve rabbits were averagely divided into three groups. And 36 implants (9 polished, 9 roughened by grit-blasting, 9 treated with anodic oxidation followed by heat treatment and 9 treated with anodic oxidation followed by hydrothermal treatment) were randomly implanted into femur bones of each group rabbits. Implants were harvested at 4 W, 8 W and 16 W respectively. Slice about 30 microns thick were ground with a grinding machine and stained with 1% toluidine blue. The bone-implant interface was observed with light microscopy and scanning electron microscopy. Implant surface element contents were also detected with EDAX. RESULTS: Woven bone rapidly transferred to lamellae bone at 8 weeks for anodic oxidized implants followed by hydrothermal treatment, which appeared little woven bone and no hydroxyapatite debris between the interfacial zone at 16 weeks. In addition, Ca and P contents increased much more for hydrothermal treated implants after implantation compared with polished implants. CONCLUSIONS: Anodic oxidation followed with hydrothermal treatment of a titanium fixture could speed up woven bone transferring the lamellae bone at early time of implantation, which meant thin HA layers could accelerate bone healing at the implanted site and might shorten healing time. This superiority need more research in the future.

Animals↗

Improving missing value estimation in microarray data with gene ontology.

MOTIVATION: Gene expression microarray experiments produce datasets with frequent missing expression values. Accurate estimation of missing values is an important prerequisite for efficient data analysis as many statistical and machine learning techniques either require a complete dataset or their results are significantly dependent on the quality of such estimates. A limitation of the existing estimation methods for microarray data is that they use no external information but the estimation is based solely on the expression data. We hypothesized that utilizing a priori information on functional similarities available from public databases facilitates the missing value estimation. RESULTS: We investigated whether semantic similarity originating from gene ontology (GO) annotations could improve the selection of relevant genes for missing value estimation. The relative contribution of each information source was automatically estimated from the data using an adaptive weight selection procedure. Our experimental results in yeast cDNA microarray datasets indicated that by considering GO information in the k-nearest neighbor algorithm we can enhance its performance considerably, especially when the number of experimental conditions is small and the percentage of missing values is high. The increase of performance was less evident with a more sophisticated estimation method. We conclude that even a small proportion of annotated genes can provide improvements in data quality significant for the eventual interpretation of the microarray experiments. AVAILABILITY: Java and Matlab codes are available on request from the authors. SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: Available online at http://users.utu.fi/jotatu/GOImpute.html.

Algorithms↗

Prediction of RNA binding sites in proteins from amino acid sequence.

RNA-protein interactions are vitally important in a wide range of biological processes, including regulation of gene expression, protein synthesis, and replication and assembly of many viruses. We have developed a computational tool for predicting which amino acids of an RNA binding protein participate in RNA-protein interactions, using only the protein sequence as input. RNABindR was developed using machine learning on a validated nonredundant data set of interfaces from known RNA-protein complexes in the Protein Data Bank. It generates a classifier that captures primary sequence signals sufficient for predicting which amino acids in a given protein are located in the RNA-protein interface. In leave-one-out cross-validation experiments, RNABindR identifies interface residues with >85% overall accuracy. It can be calibrated by the user to obtain either high specificity or high sensitivity for interface residues. RNABindR, implementing a Naive Bayes classifier, performs as well as a more complex neural network classifier (to our knowledge, the only previously published sequence-based method for RNA binding site prediction) and offers the advantages of speed, simplicity and interpretability of results. RNABindR predictions on the human telomerase protein hTERT are in good agreement with experimental data. The availability of computational tools for predicting which residues in an RNA binding protein are likely to contact RNA should facilitate design of experiments to directly test RNA binding function and contribute to our understanding of the diversity, mechanisms, and regulation of RNA-protein complexes in biological systems. (RNABindR is available as a Web tool from http://bindr.gdcb.iastate.edu.).

Amino Acid Motifs↗

Prediction of functional class of novel viral proteins by a statistical learning method irrespective of sequence similarity.

The function of a substantial percentage of the putative protein-coding open reading frames (ORFs) in viral genomes is unknown. As their sequence is not similar to that of proteins of known function, the function of these ORFs cannot be assigned on the basis of sequence similarity. Methods complement or in combination with sequence similarity-based approaches are being explored. The web-based software SVMProt (http://jing.cz3.nus.edu.sg/cgi-bin/svmprot.cgi) to some extent assigns protein functional family irrespective of sequence similarity and has been found to be useful for studying distantly related proteins [Cai, C.Z., Han, L.Y., Ji, Z.L., Chen, X., Chen, Y.Z., 2003. SVM-Prot: web-based support vector machine software for functional classification of a protein from its primary sequence. Nucleic Acids Res. 31(13): 3692-3697]. Here 25 novel viral proteins are selected to test the capability of SVMProt for functional family assignment of viral proteins whose function cannot be confidently predicted on by sequence similarity methods at present. These proteins are without a sequence homolog in the Swissprot database, with its precise function provided in the literature, and not included in the training sets of SVMProt. The predicted functional classes of 72% of these proteins match the literature-described function, which is compared to the overall accuracy of 87% for SVMProt functional class assignment of 34582 proteins. This suggests that SVMProt to some extent is capable of functional class assignment irrespective of sequence similarity and it is potentially useful for facilitating functional study of novel viral proteins.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Automated discovery of structural signatures of protein fold and function.

There are constraints on a protein sequence/structure for it to adopt a particular fold. These constraints could be either a local signature involving particular sequences or arrangements of secondary structure or a global signature involving features along the entire chain. To search systematically for protein fold signatures, we have explored the use of Inductive Logic Programming (ILP). ILP is a machine learning technique which derives rules from observation and encoded principles. The derived rules are readily interpreted in terms of concepts used by experts. For 20 populated folds in SCOP, 59 rules were found automatically. The accuracy of these rules, which is defined as the number of true positive plus true negative over the total number of examples, is 74% (cross-validated value). Further analysis was carried out for 23 signatures covering 30% or more positive examples of a particular fold. The work showed that signatures of protein folds exist, about half of rules discovered automatically coincide with the level of fold in the SCOP classification. Other signatures correspond to homologous family and may be the consequence of a functional requirement. Examination of the rules shows that many correspond to established principles published in specific literature. However, in general, the list of signatures is not part of standard biological databases of protein patterns. We find that the length of the loops makes an important contribution to the signatures, suggesting that this is an important determinant of the identity of protein folds. With the expansion in the number of determined protein structures, stimulated by structural genomics initiatives, there will be an increased need for automated methods to extract principles of protein folding from coordinates.

Algorithms↗

Support vector machine learning from heterogeneous data: an empirical analysis using protein sequence and structure.

MOTIVATION: Drawing inferences from large, heterogeneous sets of biological data requires a theoretical framework that is capable of representing, e.g. DNA and protein sequences, protein structures, microarray expression data, various types of interaction networks, etc. Recently, a class of algorithms known as kernel methods has emerged as a powerful framework for combining diverse types of data. The support vector machine (SVM) algorithm is the most popular kernel method, due to its theoretical underpinnings and strong empirical performance on a wide variety of classification tasks. Furthermore, several recently described extensions allow the SVM to assign relative weights to various datasets, depending upon their utilities in performing a given classification task. RESULTS: In this work, we empirically investigate the performance of the SVM on the task of inferring gene functional annotations from a combination of protein sequence and structure data. Our results suggest that the SVM is quite robust to noise in the input datasets. Consequently, in the presence of only two types of data, an SVM trained from an unweighted combination of datasets performs as well or better than a more sophisticated algorithm that assigns weights to individual data types. Indeed, for this simple case, we can demonstrate empirically that no solution is significantly better than the naive, unweighted average of the two datasets. On the other hand, when multiple noisy datasets are included in the experiment, then the naive approach fares worse than the weighted approach. Our results suggest that for many applications, a naive unweighted sum of kernels may be sufficient. AVAILABILITY: http://noble.gs.washington.edu/proj/seqstruct

Algorithms↗

On the statistical assessment of classifiers using DNA microarray data.

BACKGROUND: In this paper we present a method for the statistical assessment of cancer predictors which make use of gene expression profiles. The methodology is applied to a new data set of microarray gene expression data collected in Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza Hospital, Foggia--Italy. The data set is made up of normal (22) and tumor (25) specimens extracted from 25 patients affected by colon cancer. We propose to give answers to some questions which are relevant for the automatic diagnosis of cancer such as: Is the size of the available data set sufficient to build accurate classifiers? What is the statistical significance of the associated error rates? In what ways can accuracy be considered dependant on the adopted classification scheme? How many genes are correlated with the pathology and how many are sufficient for an accurate colon cancer classification? The method we propose answers these questions whilst avoiding the potential pitfalls hidden in the analysis and interpretation of microarray data. RESULTS: We estimate the generalization error, evaluated through the Leave-K-Out Cross Validation error, for three different classification schemes by varying the number of training examples and the number of the genes used. The statistical significance of the error rate is measured by using a permutation test. We provide a statistical analysis in terms of the frequencies of the genes involved in the classification. Using the whole set of genes, we found that the Weighted Voting Algorithm (WVA) classifier learns the distinction between normal and tumor specimens with 25 training examples, providing e = 21% (p = 0.045) as an error rate. This remains constant even when the number of examples increases. Moreover, Regularized Least Squares (RLS) and Support Vector Machines (SVM) classifiers can learn with only 15 training examples, with an error rate of e = 19% (p = 0.035) and e = 18% (p = 0.037) respectively. Moreover, the error rate decreases as the training set size increases, reaching its best performances with 35 training examples. In this case, RLS and SVM have error rates of e = 14% (p = 0.027) and e = 11% (p = 0.019). Concerning the number of genes, we found about 6000 genes (p < 0.05) correlated with the pathology, resulting from the signal-to-noise statistic. Moreover the performances of RLS and SVM classifiers do not change when 74% of genes is used. They progressively reduce up to e = 16% (p < 0.05) when only 2 genes are employed. The biological relevance of a set of genes determined by our statistical analysis and the major roles they play in colorectal tumorigenesis is discussed. CONCLUSIONS: The method proposed provides statistically significant answers to precise questions relevant for the diagnosis and prognosis of cancer. We found that, with as few as 15 examples, it is possible to train statistically significant classifiers for colon cancer diagnosis. As for the definition of the number of genes sufficient for a reliable classification of colon cancer, our results suggest that it depends on the accuracy required.

Aged↗

Prediction of oxidoreductase-catalyzed reactions based on atomic properties of metabolites.

MOTIVATION: Our knowledge of metabolism is far from complete, and the gaps in our knowledge are being revealed by metabolomic detection of small-molecules not previously known to exist in cells. An important challenge is to determine the reactions in which these compounds participate, which can lead to the identification of gene products responsible for novel metabolic pathways. To address this challenge, we investigate how machine learning can be used to predict potential substrates and products of oxidoreductase-catalyzed reactions. RESULTS: We examined 1956 oxidation/reduction reactions in the KEGG database. The vast majority of these reactions (1626) can be divided into 12 subclasses, each of which is marked by a particular type of functional group transformation. For a given transformation, the local structures of reaction centers in substrates and products can be characterized by patterns. These patterns are not unique to reactants but are widely distributed among KEGG metabolites. To distinguish reactants from non-reactants, we trained classifiers (linear-kernel Support Vector Machines) using negative and positive examples. The input to a classifier is a set of atomic features that can be determined from the 2D chemical structure of a compound. Depending on the subclass of reaction, the accuracy of prediction for positives (negatives) is 64 to 93% (44 to 92%) when asking if a compound is a substrate and 71 to 98% (50 to 92%) when asking if a compound is a product. Sensitivity analysis reveals that this performance is robust to variations of the training data. Our results suggest that metabolic connectivity can be predicted with reasonable accuracy from the presence or absence of local structural motifs in compounds and their readily calculated atomic features. AVAILABILITY: Classifiers reported here can be used freely for noncommercial purposes via a Java program available upon request.

Algorithms↗

Evaluating machine learning approaches for aiding probe selection for gene-expression arrays.

MOTIVATION: Microarrays are a fast and cost-effective method of performing thousands of DNA hybridization experiments simultaneously. DNA probes are typically used to measure the expression level of specific genes. Because probes greatly vary in the quality of their hybridizations, choosing good probes is a difficult task. If one could accurately choose probes that are likely to hybridize well, then fewer probes would be needed to represent each gene in a gene-expression microarray, and, hence, more genes could be placed on an array of a given physical size. Our goal is to empirically evaluate how successfully three standard machine-learning algorithms-naïve Bayes, decision trees, and artificial neural networks-can be applied to the task of predicting good probes. Fortunately it is relatively easy to get training examples for such a learning task: place various probes on a gene chip, add a sample where the corresponding genes are highly expressed, and then record how well each probe measures the presence of its corresponding gene. With such training examples, it is possible that an accurate predictor of probe quality can be learned. RESULTS: Two of the learning algorithms we investigate-naïve Bayes and neural networks-learn to predict probe quality surprisingly well. For example, in the top ten predicted probes for a given gene not used for training, on average about five rank in the top 2.5% of that gene's hundreds of possible probes. Decision-tree induction and the simple approach of using predicted melting temperature to rank probes perform significantly worse than these two algorithms. The features we use to represent probes are very easily computed and the time taken to score each candidate probe after training is minor. Training the naïve Bayes algorithm takes very little time, and while it takes over 10 times as long to train a neural network, that time is still not very substantial (on the order of a few hours on a desktop workstation). We also report the information contained in the features we use to describe the probes. We find the fraction of cytosine in the probe to be the most informative feature. We also find, not surprisingly, that the nucleotides in the middle of the probes sequence are more informative than those at the ends of the sequence.

Algorithms↗

Analysis of reproductive performance of lactating cows on large dairy farms using machine learning algorithms.

The fertility of lactating dairy cows is economically important, but the mean reproductive performance of Holstein cows has declined during the past 3 decades. Traits such as first-service conception rate and pregnancy status at 150 d in milk (DIM) are influenced by numerous explanatory factors common to specific farms or individual cows on these farms. Machine learning algorithms offer great flexibility with regard to problems of multicollinearity, missing values, or complex interactions among variables. The objective of this study was to use machine learning algorithms to identify factors affecting the reproductive performance of lactating Holstein cows on large dairy farms. This study used data from farms in the Alta Genetics Advantage progeny-testing program. Production and reproductive records from 153 farms were obtained from on-farm DHI-Plus, Dairy Comp 305, or PCDART herd management software. A survey regarding management, facilities, labor, nutrition, reproduction, genetic selection, climate, and milk production was completed by managers of 103 farms; body condition scores were measured by a single evaluator on 63 farms; and temperature data were obtained from nearby weather stations. The edited data consisted of 31,076 lactation records, 14,804 cows, and 317 explanatory variables for first-service conception rate and 17,587 lactation records, 9,516 cows, and 341 explanatory variables for pregnancy status at 150 DIM. An alternating decision tree algorithm for first-service conception rate classified 75.6% of records correctly and identified the frequency of hoof trimming maintenance, type of bedding in the dry cow pen, type of cow restraint system, and duration of the voluntary waiting period as key explanatory variables. An alternating decision tree algorithm for pregnancy status at 150 DIM classified 71.4% of records correctly and identified bunk space per cow, temperature for thawing semen, percentage of cows with low body condition scores, number of cows in the maternity pen, strategy for using a clean-up bull, and milk yield at first service as key factors.

Algorithms↗