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At least 1,117 records · Page 62Linked to original sources

Preoperative risk stratification in patients undergoing elective infrarenal aortic aneurysm surgery: evaluation of five risk scoring methods.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate five risk scoring methods in predicting the immediate postoperative outcome after elective open repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). DESIGN: Retrospective evaluation of the Eagle score, Glasgow aneurysm score, Leiden score, modified Leiden score and Vanzetto score in a consecutive series of patients. PATIENTS: Two hundred and eighty-six consecutive patients undergoing elective infrarenal aortic aneurysm repair. RESULTS: Nine patients (3.1%) died in hospital and another 35 (12%) experienced severe postoperative complications. For the Glasgow aneurysm score, Leiden score, modified Leiden score and Vanzetto score receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis for prediction of in-hospital mortality showed area under the curve (AUC) of 0.749 (p=0.01), 0.777 (p=0.008), 0.788 (p=0.006) and 0.794 (p=0.005), respectively. The Eagle risk score was less accurate for predicting in-hospital mortality. The risk-scoring systems did not perform well in predicting post-operative complications, but multivariate analysis showed that the modified Leiden score was an independent predictor of postoperative complications. CONCLUSION: All scoring systems predict, with reasonable accuracy, the risk of in-hospital death in patients undergoing elective open repair of AAA, whereas the accuracy in predicting severe postoperative complications is less.

Aged↗

Ischemic heart disease in renal transplant candidates: towards non-invasive approaches for preoperative risk stratification.

This editorial refers to the paper of R. Sharma et al. entitled "Dobutamine stress echocardiography and cardiac troponin T for the detection of significant coronary artery disease and predicting outcome in renal transplant candidates". The editorial discusses different strategies for cardiac risk assessment in patients with end-stage renal disease undergoing renal transplantation.

Biomarkers↗

Risk stratification for bladder tumor recurrence, stage and grade by urinary nuclear matrix protein 22 and cytology.

PURPOSE: To test the hypothesis that voided urinary levels of nuclear matrix protein 22 (NMP22) would add to the predictive ability of urine cytology in the diagnosis, staging and grading of bladder transitional cell carcinoma (TCC), and to evaluate the diagnostic performance of different NMP22 cut-points. MATERIALS: NMP22 level and barbotage cytology were evaluated in voided urine specimens collected before cystoscopy from 302 subjects with a history of TCC, 32 subjects with benign urologic pathologies, and 10 healthy volunteers. RESULTS: 180 patients (52%) had bladder TCC. Higher levels of NMP22 and positive cytology were independently associated with an increased risk of TCC, invasive stage, and high grade. The NMP22 value with equal sensitivity and specificity for prediction of bladder cancer was 6.5U/ml; for prediction of grade 3 TCC it was 13.5U/ml; and for prediction of invasive tumor stage it was 17.4U/ml. The NMP22 cut-point of 6.5U/ml outperformed the 10U/ml cut-point in all pathologic stages and grades. The diagnostic sensitivity of the cytology and NMP22 combined was superior across all pathologic stages and grades to that of either marker alone. NMP22 and cytology stratified patients into groups with significantly different risk for TCC presence, invasive stage, and high grade. CONCLUSIONS: 6.5U/ml is a robust NMP22 cut-point for bladder cancer surveillance. The diagnostic sensitivities of the combined NMP22 and cytology for TCC presence, stage, and grade were significantly higher than those of single marker alone. The combination of urine cytology and NMP22 could be used to tailor the frequency of cystoscopic follow up.

Adult↗

Risk stratification in short QT syndrome: Findings from a pooled analysis.

BACKGROUND: In long QT syndrome, longer QT intervals indicate increased arrhythmic risk, and a rate-corrected QT interval (QTc) of ≥500 ms denotes high risk. Establishing similar associations in short QT syndrome (SQTS) remains elusive. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to demonstrate that shorter QT intervals denote a higher risk of malignant arrhythmias in SQTS and to define the "high-risk" QTc value in SQTS. METHODS: Pooled analysis of patients treated in our institutions or those reported in the literature revealed 162 patients with SQTS and known symptomatic status; 57 of them (35.2%) had arrhythmic symptoms (sudden death, cardiac arrest, or malignant syncope). RESULTS: There was a significant inverse association between the QTc and arrhythmic symptoms (with a median QTc of 315.0 ms [interquartile range 300.5-338.0] among symptomatic patients vs 330.0 ms [interquartile range 312.5-355.0] among asymptomatic patients; P = .0023). Receiver operator characteristics analysis showed that shorter QTc values were associated with a higher risk (area under the curve 0.64 ± 0.04; P = .0024). When patients were grouped by QTc range, most of those with a QTc of ≤320 ms had malignant arrhythmic symptoms, whereas the reverse was true for those with a QTc of ≥320 ms. Male patients were overrepresented in the SQTS cohort and more so in the subgroup with malignant symptoms. CONCLUSION: This pooled analysis of patients with SQTS demonstrates that, among patients with congenital SQTS, a shorter QTc is associated with a higher risk of malignant ventricular arrhythmias. A QTc shorter than 320 ms correlates with a higher arrhythmic risk. Men seem to be at higher risk.

Humans↗

Comparative analysis of risk-adjusted bypass surgery stratification models in a community hospital.

BACKGROUND: Quality improvement in health care, which relies on appropriate strategies to evaluate and compare provider performance, has spawned the propagation of many public report cards or provider profiles for cardiac surgery. These risk-adjusted prediction models allow for the computation of a provider's expected outcome event rate compared with observed outcome events. The aim of this study was to assess the accuracy and reliability of 5 risk-adjusted predictive models for mortality in an independent population of patients in a community hospital who underwent coronary artery bypass graft surgery. METHODS: Five nonproprietary models were selected for evaluation (Parsonnet, Canadian, Cleveland, New York, and the Northern New England). RESULTS: The C-statistic for the 5 models was 0.752, 0.693, 0.748, 0.735, and 0.722 for the Parsonnet, Canadian, Cleveland, New York, and Northern New England models respectively. The H-L c2 calibration statistics were 4.948, P =.763; 1.616, P =.899; 11.96, P =.035; 10.23, P =.249; and c2 = 12.14, P =.145 for the Parsonnet, Canadian, Cleveland, New York, and Northern New England models respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Comparing hospital-specific or surgeon-specific mortality/morbidity rates will remain a challenge. This analysis reaffirms the concept of risk-adjusting outcomes and emphasizes the importance of the risk-adjustment process for CABG surgery in a community hospital.

Aged↗

Acute exacerbations of chronic bronchitis: new developments concerning microbiology and pathophysiology--impact on approaches to risk stratification and therapy.

Exacerbations are a characteristic feature of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and contribute significantly to associated morbidity and mortality. Renewed interest in this common clinical problem and research using new investigative tools has enhanced substantially the understanding of the pathogenesis of exacerbations. Results of recent clinical trials and observational studies have allowed refinements in treatment of exacerbations that should im-prove patient outcomes. This article discusses a rational, stratified approach to the use of antibiotics for this condition based on these recent studies.

Acute Disease↗

Risk stratification in non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes: predictive power of troponin I, C-reactive protein, fibrinogen and homocysteine.

INTRODUCTION: In acute coronary syndromes, myocardial damage markers and acute-phase reactants predict adverse cardiac events. The aim of this study was to define the fitted prognostic value of the most widely used variables of necrosis and inflammation as well as of homocysteine. METHODS AND RESULTS: Troponin I, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, fibrinogen and homocysteine were measured in 515 consecutive patients admitted to our institution for non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome. The risk for major events (death or nonfatal myocardial infarction) through 6 months of follow-up was analysed. In the univariate analysis, all markers were related to major events (p<0.01 in all cases). In a multivariate model fitting for baseline characteristics and electrocardiographic changes, the only biomarkers related to major events were C-reactive protein >11 mg/l (2.1 [1.2-3.8] p=0.007) and troponin I >3 ng/ml (1.9 [1.1-3.4] p=0.03). Moreover, the rate of major events was significantly higher (p<0.0001) only when both C-reactive protein and troponin I were increased (31.4% vs. 9.3% if any or both markers were normal). CONCLUSION: In non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes elevated levels of troponin I, C-reactive protein, fibrinogen and homocysteine are strongly related to the risk of major events. The prognostic value of troponin I and C-reactive protein is independent and additive with respect to each other.

Aged↗

Risk stratification in a Brazilian hospital-based cohort of 1220 outpatients with heart failure: role of Chagas' heart disease.

BACKGROUND: Few studies evaluated prognostic factors of outpatients with heart failure of different etiologies including Chagas' heart disease. METHODS: We studied 1220 outpatients with heart failure in functional classes III and IV (NYHA) to evaluate prognostic factors. Patients aged 13-72 years (mean 45.5, standard deviation 11); 952 men (78%) and 268 women (22%) were followed up for 25.6+/-26 months from 1991 to 2000. Heart failure was attributed to idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy in 454 (37%) patients. Etiologies were Chagas' heart disease in 242 (20%) patients, ischemic cardiomyopathy in 212 (17%), hypertensive cardiomyopathy in 170 (14%) and others in 142 (12%). Statistical analyses were performed with Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards methods, following a strategy of noninvasive model as well as in an invasive model to identify the risk of death. RESULTS: Four hundred fifteen (34%) patients died in the follow-up period, 71 (6%) patients underwent heart transplantation and 28 (2%) underwent other surgical interventions. In the noninvasive model, Chagas' heart disease (relative risk compared with other etiologies 2.26 to 2.97), left ventricular end diastolic diameter on echocardiography (relative risk 1.13) and left ventricular ejection fraction on radionuclide angiography (relative risk 0.96) were associated with higher mortality. In the invasive model, Chagas' heart disease (relative risk compared with other etiologies 2.66 to 9.13) was the most important determinant of mortality in association with the cardiac index (relative risk 0.40). CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of patients with heart failure of different etiologies, Chagas' heart disease was the main prognostic factor for mortality.

Adolescent↗

Artificial neural networks and robust Bayesian classifiers for risk stratification following uncomplicated myocardial infarction.

OBJECTIVE: To compare artificial neural networks (ANN) and robust Bayesian classifiers (RBC) in predicting outcome following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). METHODS: Clinical, exercise ECG and stress echo variables by 496 patients with AMI were used to predict the cumulative end-point of cardiac death, nonfatal reinfarction and unstable angina. Revascularized patients were censored. Short (200 days)-, medium (400 days)- and long (1000 days)-term observation intervals, including 50%, 75% and 90% of the events, respectively, were considered. At each interval, any patient was binary assigned to the "event" or "no event" class. A multilayer feedforward ANN, trained by a back propagation algorithm, was used. RBC, using the leave-one-out technique, were derived. The accuracy of both techniques was compared to the default accuracy (DA) obtained by assigning all subjects to the largest class. RESULTS: 14 death, 27 reinfarction and 29 unstable angina were observed during a mean follow-up of 24 [95% confidence interval (CI) 19 to 22] months. The accuracy of ANN and RBC and DA were 70%, 81% and 74% at short, 67%, 73% and 56% at medium and 64%, 68% and 62% at long-term follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: (1) ANN do not improve the prognostic classification of patients with uncomplicated AMI as compared to RBC. (2) In particular, short-term prognostic accuracy seems insufficient.

Algorithms↗

Cardiovascular risk stratification by means of the SCORE system in health care workers in Veracruz, Mexico.

BACKGROUND: To assess cardiovascular disease risk by means of the SCORE system (Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation) in health care workers (HCW) from Veracruz, Mexico. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was undertaken at the Mexican Institute of Social Security from Veracruz. Seventy six HCW without physical limitations (NYHA Functional Class I) were included. All HCW answered a standardised medical history questionnaire and were evaluated by physical examination and lab tests. The cardiovascular risk was assessed through the SCORE system. RESULTS: The median age of participants was 47 years (90% range 42-57 years), female HCW had higher prevalence of obesity and lower prevalence of overweight compared to male HCW (52% vs 23% for obesity and 26% vs 63% for overweight; p=0.014). The prevalence of hypertension was 22%, type 2 diabetes 8%, hypercholesterolemia 70%, hypertriglyceridemia 47% and mixed hyperlipidemia 26%. Cardiovascular risk assessed by the SCORE system showed that 14% of all patients had a cardiovascular risk higher than 2% and 51% had a risk lower than 1%. CONCLUSIONS: In this first study of cardiovascular risk assessment by means of the SCORE system in HCW in Mexico, we found that 14% of them have a cardiac risk higher than 2% and that it is double than expected for their age but it is lower than reported in a European population. Also, we found a higher prevalence of hypercholesterolemia and mixed hyperlipidemia showing poor education and treatment for cardiovascular prevention.

Adult↗

Dobutamine stress echocardiography for noninvasive assessment and risk stratification of patients with rheumatic mitral stenosis.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to evaluate the impact of dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) in patients with known rheumatic mitral stenosis (MS) in order to assess its safety, feasibility, and prognostic correlation to well-known clinical outcomes. BACKGROUND: Noninvasive prognostic assessment of MS still represents an unresolved task in patients with clinically challenging disease. METHODS: Dobutamine stress echocardiography was performed in 53 patients with MS (8 males; age 37.4 +/- 11.3 years) with no major complications. RESULTS: During follow-up (60.5 +/- 11.0 months), 29 patients presented with clinical events: 16 hospitalizations, seven cases of acute pulmonary edema, and six symptomatic supraventricular arrhythmias. On multivariate analysis, the diastolic mitral valve mean gradient at peak DSE (DSE-MG) was the best predictor of clinical events (p < 0.008), especially in patients with moderate disease (p < 0.001). The best performance of DSE for the detection of clinical events was obtained at a cut-off value of 18 mm Hg DSE-MG (sensitivity 90%, specificity 87%, and accuracy 90%). The addition of DSE to the conventional cardiology work-up would allow a 17% increment for the detection of high-risk patients in the entire population and a 40% increment in patients with presumed moderate disease. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with MS, DSE is a safe and highly feasible stress test. A DSE-MG > or =18 mm Hg identifies a subgroup of high-risk patients in whom a more aggressive approach may be warranted; on the other hand, patients with a DSE-MG <18 mm Hg predicts an uneventful clinical course and may justify a more conservative strategy.

Adolescent↗