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PubMed2006

Visualization of ensemble activity patterns of mechanosensory afferents in the cricket cercal sensory system with calcium imaging.

The cercal sensory system of the cricket mediates the detection and analysis of low velocity air currents in the animal's immediate environment, and is implemented around an internal representation of air current direction that demonstrates the essential features of a continuous neural map. Previous neurophysiological and anatomical studies have yielded predictions of the global spatio-temporal patterns of activity that should be evoked in the sensory afferent map by air current stimuli of different directions. We tested those predictions by direct visualization of ensemble afferent activity patterns using Ca2+ -sensitive indicators. The AM ester of the fluorescent Ca2+ indicator (Oregon Green 488 BAPTA-1 AM) was injected under the sheath of a cercal sensory nerve containing all of the mechanosensory afferent axons from one cercus. Optical signals were recorded with a digital intensified CCD camera. Control experiments using direct electrical stimulation of stained and unstained nerves demonstrated that the observed Ca2+ signals within the terminal abdominal ganglion (TAG) were due to activation of the dye-loaded sensory afferent neurons. To visualize the spatial patterns of air-current-evoked ensemble activity, unidirectional air currents were applied repeatedly from eight different directions, and the optically recorded responses from each direction were averaged. The dispersion of the optical signals by the ganglion limited the spatial resolution with which these ensemble afferent activity patterns could be observed. However, resolution was adequate to demonstrate that different directional stimuli induced different spatial patterns of Ca2+ elevation in the terminal arbors of afferents within the TAG. These coarsely- resolved, optically-recorded patterns were consistent with the anatomy-based predictions.

Air Movements↗

PubMed1999

Chronic overexpression of proinflammatory cytokines and histopathology in the brains of rats infected with Trypanosoma brucei.

Overproduction of proinflammatory cytokines in the brains of transgenic animals causes brain pathology. To investigate the relationship between brain cytokines and pathology in the brains of animals with adult-onset, pathophysiologically induced brain cytokine expression, we studied rats infected with the parasite Trypanosoma brucei. Several weeks after infection, in situ hybridization histochemistry showed a pattern of chronic overexpression of the mRNAs for proinflammatory cytokines interleukin-1beta and tumor necrosis factor-alpha in the brains of the animals. Similar spatiotemporal inductions of mRNAs for inhibitory factor kappaBalpha and interleukin-1beta converting enzyme were found and quantified. The mRNAs for inducible nitric oxide synthase and interleukin-1 receptor antagonist were highly localized to the choroid plexus, which showed evidence of structural abnormalities associated with the parasites' presence there. The mRNAs for interleukin-6, interferon-gamma, and inducible cyclooxygenase showed restricted induction patterns. Another set of animals was processed for degeneration-induced silver staining, TdT-mediated dUTP-digoxigenin nick end-labeling (TUNEL) staining, glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) immunohistochemistry, and several other histological markers. Apoptosis of scattered small cells and degeneration of certain nerve fibers was found in patterns spatially related to the cytokine mRNA patterns and to cerebrospinal fluid diffusion pathways. Furthermore, striking cytoarchitectonically defined clusters of degenerating non-neuronal cells, probably astrocytes, were found. The results reveal chronic overexpression of potentially cytotoxic cytokines in the brain and selective histopathology patterns in this natural disease model. J. Comp. Neurol. 414:114-130, 1999. Published 1999 Wiley-Liss, Inc.

Animals↗

PubMed2005

Specification of neural precursor identity in the geophilomorph centipede Strigamia maritima.

Despite differences in the formation of neural precursors, all arthropod species analyzed so far generate about 30 single precursors (insects/crustaceans) or precursor groups (chelicerates/myriapods) per hemi-segment. In Drosophila, each precursor has a distinct identity conferred by segment polarity and dorso-ventral patterning genes that subdivide the ventral neuroectoderm into a grid-like structure. Temporal patterning mechanisms generate additional diversity after delamination from the neuroectoderm. Previous work shows that the genetic network involved in recruitment and specification of neural precursors is conserved in arthropods. However, comparative studies on generation of precursor diversity are few and partial. Here, we test whether aspects of the Drosophila model may apply in the geophilomorph centipede Strigamia maritima. We describe precursor formation, based on morphology and on Delta and Notch expression. We then show that in S. maritima, hunchback and Krüppel are expressed in subsets of neural precursors generating distinct temporal expression domains within the plane of the neuroectoderm. This expression pattern suggests that temporal changes in spatial patterning cues may result in the ordered production of different neural identities. We suggest that temporal patterning mechanisms were present in the last common ancestor of arthropods, although the regulatory interactions of transcription factors might have diverged in the lineage leading to insects.

Animals↗

PubMed1994

Geographic distribution of hospitalization rates, case fatality, and mortality from stroke in the United States.

We analyzed state-specific stroke-hospitalization, case-fatality, and mortality rates for the US Medicare population for 1989, using national data resources of the Health Care Financing Administration (HCFA), the National Center for Health Statistics, and the Bureau of the Census. State-specific hospital admission rates for stroke ranged from 0.66 to 1.26%, compared with the national value of 0.94%. Both hospital-usage rates and deviations of observed rates from predicted values (based on statistical models of the HCFA) showed significant spatial autocorrelation, with high rates clustered in the southeastern United States and low rates clustered in the Mountain census division of the West and also somewhat in the Northeast. Case-fatality rates increased nationally from 14.9% at 15 days after hospital admission to 31.2% at 180 days after hospital admission. State-level case-fatality rates showed relatively little interstate variation and no clear or consistent spatial pattern, although there was statistically significant spatial autocorrelation at several intervals after hospital admission. Admission rates and case-fatality rates were not significantly associated at any interval after admission to 180 days, suggesting that variation in case-fatality rates was not simply a result of differences in severity-of-illness thresholds for hospital admission. State-specific stroke-mortality rates ranged from 294.5 to 523.5 per 100,000 population, compared with the national value of 415.3 per 100,000 population. State-specific mortality rates for stroke showed significant spatial autocorrelation, with high rates clustered in the South and low rates clustered in the Northeast and the Mountain census division of the West. The spatial distribution of stroke-mortality rates strongly resembled the spatial distribution of hospitalization rates but did not resemble the spatial distribution of case-fatality rates at any interval from 15 to 180 days after hospital admission. Indeed, in univariate spatial-regression models fitted to the data using a maximum likelihood procedure and weighted for non-constant variances, the best predictor of state-level stroke-mortality rates was the hospital-utilization rate for stroke; attempts to improve the model by including case fatality at various intervals and interaction terms did not yield a significant improvement. These data suggest that factors determining stroke occurrence and hospital utilization are more important than factors determining case fatality in terms of explaining the long-standing distribution of stroke mortality in the United States. Factors affecting only case fatality but not hospitalization, such as the quality of medical care provided in the hospital, cannot explain the geographic distribution of stroke mortality in the United States.

Aged↗

PubMed1997

Spatial and temporal expression of cone opsins during monkey retinal development.

The primate retina requires a coordinated series of developmental events to form its specialized photoreceptor topography. In this study, the temporal expression of cone photoreceptor opsin was determined in Macaca monkey retina. Markers for mRNA and protein that recognize short wavelength (S) and long/medium wavelength (L/M) opsin were used to determine (1) the temporal and spatial patterns of opsin expression, (2) the spatial relationship between S and L/M cones at the time of initial opsin expression, and (3) the relative time of cone and rod opsin expression (Dorn et al. [1995] Invest. Ophthalmol. Vis. Sci. 36:2634-2651). Adult cone outer segments were recognized by either L/M or S opsin antiserum. Of all adult cone inner segments, 88-90% contained L/M opsin mRNA, whereas 10-12% contained S opsin mRNA. Fetal cones initially showed cell membrane as well as outer segment labeling for opsin protein, but cell membrane labeling disappeared by birth. No cones at any age contained markers for both S and L/M opsin mRNA or protein. S and L/M opsin protein appeared in the fovea at fetal day 75. Once opsin expression progressed beyond the fovea, both mRNA and protein for S opsin were consistently detected more peripherally than L/M opsin. Cones at the peripheral edge of S opsin expression had basal telodendria that appeared to reach toward neighboring cones. Because interactions between cone populations could organize the cone mosaic, the spatial relationship between S cones and the first cones to express L/M protein was analyzed quantitatively by using double-label immunocytochemistry. No consistent relationship was found between these two cone populations. Cones are generated at least 1 week before rods across monkey retina. However, rod opsin protein appears in and around the fovea at fetal day 66, 1 week before cone opsin protein. This suggests that independent local factors control differentiation in these two photoreceptor populations.

Aging↗

PubMed2026

Spatial clustering and transmission networks of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Rwanda: a national retrospective genomic and spatial epidemiological study.

BACKGROUND: Approximately 96% of rifampicin resistance/multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (RR/MDR-TB) cases in Rwanda result from direct transmission rather than acquired resistance. However, the nationwide spatial distribution and transmission dynamics of RR/MDR-TB remain poorly characterised. This study aims to analyse spatial patterns of RR/MDR-TB in Rwanda and explore relationships between spatial proximity and RR/MDR-TB strains' genetic relatedness. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 249 confirmed RR-TB cases across Rwanda from 2017 to 2024, using the known geolocations of patients' residences. Spatial and space-time clustering was assessed using Kulldorff's scan statistics. Demographic and socioeconomic determinants were evaluated using multivariable regression. For 201 cases with whole-genome sequencing data, we performed transmission analysis using a 5-SNP threshold to define recent transmission clusters and investigated spatial relationships within genetically related strains. RESULTS: Significant spatial clustering of RR/MDR-TB was identified in 21 sectors, mainly in Nyarugenge, southern Gasabo and western Kicukiro (relative risk: 10.06; p<0.001). Our multivariable analysis showed that population density is positively associated with case notification rates. Molecular analysis revealed 88.5% of cases belonged to genotype clusters defined using a 12-SNP threshold, with 73.6% forming clusters at a strict 5-SNP threshold. Spatial K-function analysis of the six major clusters revealed heterogeneous transmission patterns, characterised by both tightly clustered outbreaks and regional transmission networks that spanned administrative boundaries. Most clusters (5/6) extended beyond Kigali, indicating that transmission networks operate across administrative divides. CONCLUSION: RR/MDR-TB in Rwanda shows significant spatial clustering with transmission occurring through both localised and regional networks. Integrating genomic and spatial data reveals transmission patterns that extend beyond household contacts and administrative boundaries. These findings underscore the need to implement geographically targeted interventions that address community-level transmission to control RR/MDR-TB in Rwanda effectively.

Rwanda↗

PubMed1998

Spatially induced speciation prevents extinction: the evolution of dispersal distance in oscillatory predator-prey models.

In a discrete-generation, individual-oriented model of predator-prey interactions that exhibits oscillations, we show that the self-structuring of the populations into spiral waves induces a selection pressure for ever-increasing dispersal distances in both populations. As the dispersal distances increase, the sizes of the spatial patterns increase, until they are too large to fit into the limited space. The patterns are then lost and the predators go extinct. This scenario, is, however, not the only outcome. A second selection pressure induced by the spatial boundary can cause reduction of the dispersal distances. Depending on the relative strengths of the two selection pressures, the predators and prey may speciate to give coexistence between short-dispersing boundary quasi-species and far-dispersing spiral quasi-species. Now, when pattern loss occurs, the predators switch to predating on the boundary prey quasi-species and do not go extinct. Also, if the populations reproduce sexually, local gene flow can inhibit the evolution of increasing dispersal distances, and hence the spatial patterns are not lost. Speciation and coexistence can also occur in the sexually reproducing species.

Biological Evolution↗

PubMed2000

Spatial scale of visual analysis for vernier acuity does not vary over time.

The visual system filters spatial pattern through a range of narrowly tuned spatial mechanisms, but the rules by which the outputs of these mechanisms are combined across time to extract precise geometrical information are not yet clear. One hypothesis is that spatial analysis shifts over time from coarse to finer spatial scales, in order to extract fine spatial information. An alternative hypothesis is that thresholds are determined by the signal-to-noise ratio within an optimal spatial scale. In this study, we measured vernier acuity across exposure duration for equally visible long lines and short lines and found no improvement in spatial precision with time. Using a simultaneous spatial-masking paradigm, we determined the active spatial scales at 100 and 1000 ms. The results show no significant changes in spatial scale, or in the size-range of active scales, for the two exposure durations. Furthermore, whereas vernier thresholds vary markedly with line contrast, we find only modest shifts in spatial scale. Taken together, our results suggest that for vernier acuity, spatial scale is selected very early, and that vernier thresholds are predominantly limited by signal strength within that spatial scale.

Humans↗

PubMed1992

Effect of pattern adaptation on spatial frequency discrimination.

The effect of pattern adaptation on spatial frequency discrimination was examined in two experiments. In the first experiment delta f/f was measured (with and without adaptation) as a function of stimulus contrast; in the second experiment the contrast required to discriminate a fixed delta f/f was measured (with and without adaptation) as a function of the value of delta f/f. Maximum precision, as measured by the asymptotic value that delta f/f approaches at medium and high contrasts, was not altered by adaptation. Rather, the effect of adaptation was to translate the functions relating delta f/f and contrast along the log-contrast axis, i.e., to increase by a constant factor the contrast required to achieve a given precision of discrimination. This factor agreed closely with the factor by which adaptation raised the contrast threshold for detection of the test stimuli. The largest effects were observed when the reference and the adapting stimuli had the same spatial frequency (5 cycles/deg). Smaller or negligible effects were observed when reference and adapting frequencies differed by an octave.

Adaptation, Ocular↗

PubMed1989

Component analysis of spatial and spectral patterns in multispectral images. II. Entropy minimization.

In Part I [J. Opt. Soc. Am. A 4, 2101 (1987)] of this series, we developed a method for estimating both spatial patterns and spectral curves of components in a multispectral scene. This method does not need spatial and spectral information about the components but only multispread imagery data. The estimation is given as a feasible solution set satisfying the nonnegativity constraint for density and spectral response for all components at all pixels. In this paper, we estimate unique solutions for both the component patterns and the spectra from the feasible solution set. The solution is given by optimizing an entropy minimization criterion. This criterion enhances the spectral or spatial features of individual components. Two experimental results are shown to demonstrate the effectiveness of this method with biological and cytochemical specimens. The limitations of this method for unique pattern estimation are also discussed.

Algorithms↗

PubMed2000

The pattern of acropetal and basipetal cytoplasmic streaming velocities in Chara rhizoids and protonemata, and gravity effect on the pattern as measured by laser-Doppler-velocimetry.

The spatial pattern of acropetal and basipetal cytoplasmic streaming velocities has been studied by laser-Doppler-velocimetry (LDV) in the positively gravitropic (downward growing) rhizoids of Chara globularis Thuill. and for the first time in the negatively gravitropic (upward growing) protonemata. The LDV method proved to be precise and yielded reproducible results even when tiny differences in velocities were measured. In the apical parts of the streaming regions of both cell types, acropetal streaming was faster than basipetal streaming. Starting at the apical reversal point of streaming, the velocity increased basipetally with the distance from that point and became fairly constant close to the basal reversal point; subsequently, the velocity decreased slightly acropetally as the apical reversal point was again approached. There was no change in velocity at the basal reversal point. However, at the apical reversal point there was an abrupt decrease in velocity. The pattern of the ratio of acropetal to basipetal streaming velocity (VR) was a function of the relative distance of the site of measurement from the apical reversal point rather than a function of the absolute distance. Upon inversion of the rhizoids, the VR decreased on average by 3.8% (+/- 0.4%), indicating that the effect of gravity on the streaming velocity was merely physical and without a physiological amplification. Rhizoids that had developed on the slowly rotating horizontal axis of a clinostat, and had never experienced a constant gravity vector, were similar to normally grown rhizoids with respect to VR pattern. In protonemata, the VR pattern was not significantly different from that in rhizoids although the direction of growth was inverse. In rhizoids, oryzalin caused the polar organization of the cell to disappear and nullified the differences in streaming velocities, and cytochalasin D decreased the velocity of basipetal streaming slightly more than that of acropetal streaming. Cyclopiazonic acid, known as an inhibitor of the Ca2+-ATPase of the endoplasmic reticulum, also reduced the streaming velocities in rhizoids, but had slightly more effect on the acropetal stream. It is possible that the endogenous difference in streaming velocities in both rhizoids and protonemata is caused by differences in the cytoskeletal organization of the opposing streams and/or loading of inhibitors (like Ca2+) from the apical/subapical zone into the basipetally streaming endoplasm.

Cytochalasin D↗

PubMed2004

Micropatterning of proteins and mammalian cells on biomaterials.

Controlling the spatial organization of cells is vital in engineering tissues that require precisely defined cellular architectures. For example, functional nerves or blood vessels form only when groups of cells are organized and aligned in very specific geometries. Yet, scaffold designs incorporating spatially defined physical cues such as microscale surface topographies or spatial patterns of extracellular matrix to guide the spatial organization and behavior of cells cultured in vitro remain largely unexplored. Here we demonstrate a new approach for controlling the spatial organization, spreading, and orientation of cells on two micropatterned biomaterials: chitosan and gelatin. Biomaterials with grooves of defined width and depth were fabricated using a two-step soft lithography process. Selective attachment and spreading of cells within the grooves was ensured by covalently modifying the plateau regions with commercially available protein resistant triblock copolymers. Precise spatial control over cell spreading and orientation has been observed when human microvascular endothelial cells are cultured on these patterned biomaterials, suggesting the potential of this technique in creating tissue culture scaffolds with defined chemical and topographical features.

Biocompatible Materials↗

PubMed1991

Spatial interactions in apparent contrast: inhibitory effects among grating patterns of different spatial frequencies, spatial positions and orientations.

Suppression of the apparent contrast of a small 4 cycle wide suprathreshold sine wave grating patch by a high contrast sine wave grating surround pattern was studied as a function of the spatial frequency, orientation and spatial extent of the surround. The data are consistent with the existence of a complex network of inhibitory interconnections among mechanisms that mediate contrast perception. These connections must extend over spatial distances equivalent to more than 12 cycles of the central grating patch.

Adaptation, Physiological↗

PubMed2003

Shrub spatial aggregation and consequences for reproductive success.

To link spatial patterns and ecological processes, we analysed the distribution of two shrub species (one large and dominant, the other smaller) and estimated the reproductive consequences of their distribution for the smaller species. We tested the significance of the spatial distribution pattern of the two shrubs by second-order bivariate point pattern analysis (Ripley's K function). Performance of Asparagus albus, the smaller shrub, was measured as (1) survival of transplanted seedlings in two contrasting habitats: patches of the dominant shrub (Ziziphus lotus), and open interspaces; and (2) reproductive output of plants naturally occurring in both habitats. The two species were significantly aggregated. Transplanted Asparagus albus seedlings had higher survival rates in patches than in the open. Plants produced more flowers, fruits, and showed a higher mass of seeds when living in aggregates than when isolated. The mechanisms responsible for this facilitative effect seem to be related to soil enrichment in patches. These results suggest that the spatial aggregation of species can be indicative of a positive interaction among them, directly affecting fitness of at least one of the species. Facilitation, by inducing variations in the reproductive performance may play a major role in the demography and dynamics of plant populations.

Asparagus Plant↗

PubMed2001

Spatio-temporal pattern formation on spherical surfaces: numerical simulation and application to solid tumour growth.

In this paper we examine spatio-temporal pattern formation in reaction-diffusion systems on the surface of the unit sphere in 3D. We first generalise the usual linear stability analysis for a two-chemical system to this geometrical context. Noting the limitations of this approach (in terms of rigorous prediction of spatially heterogeneous steady-states) leads us to develop, as an alternative, a novel numerical method which can be applied to systems of any dimension with any reaction kinetics. This numerical method is based on the method of lines with spherical harmonics and uses fast Fourier transforms to expedite the computation of the reaction kinetics. Numerical experiments show that this method efficiently computes the evolution of spatial patterns and yields numerical results which coincide with those predicted by linear stability analysis when the latter is known. Using these tools, we then investigate the rĵle that pre-pattern (Turing) theory may play in the growth and development of solid tumours. The theoretical steady-state distributions of two chemicals (one a growth activating factor, the other a growth inhibitory factor) are compared with the experimentally and clinically observed spatial heterogeneity of cancer cells in small, solid spherical tumours such as multicell spheroids and carcinomas. Moreover, we suggest a number of chemicals which are known to be produced by tumour cells (autocrine growth factors), and are also known to interact with one another, as possible growth promoting and growth inhibiting factors respectively. In order to connect more concretely the numerical method to this application, we compute spatially heterogeneous patterns on the surface of a growing spherical tumour, modelled as a moving-boundary problem. The numerical results strongly support the theoretical expectations in this case. Finally in an appendix we give a brief analysis of the numerical method.

Animals↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Spatial and temporal patterns in the occurrence of peritrich ciliates as epibionts on calanoid copepods in the Chesapeake Bay, USA.

We investigated temporal and spatial patterns of distribution in two peritrich ciliates (i.e. Zoothamnium intermedium and Epistylis sp.) living as epibionts on calanoid copepods (i.e. Acartia tonsa and Eurytemora affinis) in Chesapeake Bay. Net tow samples collected along the main axis of the Bay were analyzed to estimate the occurrence of epibionts on copepods and to explore relationships among infestation prevalence, host abundance, and environmental variables. Zoothamnium intermedium and Epistylis sp. colonized populations of A. tonsa during spring and summer months, while only Z. intermedium colonized E. affinis during spring. Occurrence of epibionts on copepods showed high interannual variation, marked seasonality, and geographic heterogeneity. Extensive statistical analyses rejected simple scenarios of interactions between epibiosis, environmental variables, and host density, suggesting a more complex dynamics for the system. Analyses of epibiont colonies and zooids per host area (i.e. the sum of width and length of the body including antennae and swimming legs calculated assuming a cylindrical shape) were also performed. Overall, epibiont infestation prevalence (i.e. colonies/host area) and load (i.e. zooids/host area) were higher on copepodites than on adults for both host species, suggesting a preferential attachment to juveniles, or a higher predation pressure on adult stages. Infestation density and loads of both epibiont species were higher on the cephalothorax and abdomen of A. tonsa and E. affinis in comparison to the antennae and swimming legs, suggesting that ciliates can more easily colonize less active parts of the host.

Animals↗

PubMed1999

Neuroimage of voluntary movement: topography of the Bereitschaftspotential, a 64-channel DC current source density study.

The Bereitschaftspotential (BP) was recorded at 56 scalp positions when 17 healthy subjects performed brisk extensions of the right index finger. Aim of the study was to contribute to our understanding of the physiology underlying the BP and, in particular, to specify the situation at BP onset. For this purpose, the spatial pattern of the BP was analyzed in short time intervals (35 and/or 70 ms) starting 2.51 s before movement onset. For each time segment a spherical model of the BP was calculated by using spline interpolation. Then the spatial distribution of the electric potential at the scalp surface was transformed into a spatial distribution of current source densities (CSD map). Onset times of the BP and onset times of initial CSD-activity ranged between 2.23 and 1.81 s before movement onset. We selected a time window between 1.6 and 1.5 s before movement onset in order to analyze the spatial CSD pattern in each subject. In 10 subjects there was a significant current sink in the scalp area located over medial-wall motor areas (pre-SMA, SMA proper and anterior cingulate cortex: electrode positions C1, C2, FCz, Cz) in the absence of a significant current sink over the primary motor cortex (MI: electrode positions C3, CP3, and CP5). In three subjects significant current sinks were present at both sites and in another three subjects a current sink only over the lateral motor cortex was observed. In one subject no significant current sinks were measured. It is concluded that there is a large group of subjects (13/17) in whom BP at onset is associated with a current sink over medial-wall motor areas. At a later time interval (0.6 to 0.5 s before movement onset), significant current sinks were found in 13 subjects in medial and in 10 subjects in lateral recordings. These data were considered to be consistent with the hypothesis that, at least in a majority of subjects, medial-wall motor areas are activated earlier than lateral motor areas when organizing the initiation of a simple self-paced movement. Surface-recordings of the EEG do not allow further specification of cortical areas, which contribute to the current sinks. But in context with the current literature of the electrophysiology of nonhuman primates and of brain imaging in humans it is suggested that SMA and anterior cingulate cortex contribute to the current sink, the fronto-central midline, and that the primary motor cortex (MI) contributes to the current sink in the scalp area, which is located above MI and closely posterior to it.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

Land-use dynamics in a southern Illinois (USA) watershed.

The Cache River of southernmost Illinois is used as a case study for developing and demonstrating an approach to quantitatively link (1) national agricultural policy and global agricultural markets, (2) landowner's decisions on land use, (3) spatial patterns of land use at a watershed scale, and (4) hydrologic impacts, thus providing a basis to predict, under a certain set of circumstances, the environmental consequences of economic and political decisions made at larger spatial scales. The heart of the analysis is an estimation, using logistic regression, of the affect of crop prices and Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) rental rates on farmland owner's decisions whether to reenroll in the CRP or return to crop production. This analysis shows that reasonable ranges for crop prices (80%-150% of 1985-1995 values) and CRP rental rates (0-125% of 1985-1995 rates) result in a range of 3%-92% of CRP lands being returned to crop production, with crop prices having a slightly greater effect than CRP rental rates. Four crop price/CRP rental rate scenarios are used to display resulting land-use patterns, and their effect on sediment loads, a critical environmental quality parameter in this case, using the agricultural non point source (AGNPS) model. These scenarios demonstrate the importance of spatial pattern of land uses on hydrological and ecological processes within watersheds. The approach developed can be adapted for use by local governments and watershed associations whose goals are to improve watershed resources and environmental quality.

Agriculture↗