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PubMed2004

Divergent patterns of total and cancer mortality in ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease patients: the Florence IBD study 1978-2001.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Two divergent patterns of mortality for smoking related diseases in ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease patients were suggested in a previous population based study in Florence, Italy. Long term follow up (median 15 years) was completed to re-evaluate mortality in this Mediterranean cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Overall, 920 patients with inflammatory bowel disease were followed until December 2001 or death, with seven patients (0.8%) lost to follow up. A total of 14 040 person years were available for analysis; 118 deaths were observed (81/689 in ulcerative colitis and 37/231 in Crohn's disease). Expected deaths were estimated using age, sex, and calendar specific national and local mortality rates; standardised mortality ratios (SMR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated. RESULTS: Among Crohn's disease patients, mortality was strongly increased for gastrointestinal diseases (SMR 4.49 (95% CI 1.80-9.25)), all cancers (SMR 2.10 (95% CI 1.22-3.36)), and lung cancer (SMR 4.00 (95% CI 1.60-8.24)), leading to a significant 50% excess total mortality. Ulcerative colitis patients showed a significantly reduced total mortality because of lower cardiovascular (SMR 0.67 (95% CI 0.45-0.95)) and lung cancer (SMR 0.32 (95% CI 0.07-0.95)) mortality. No significant excess for colorectal cancer mortality was evident in this extended follow up. CONCLUSIONS: These clearly divergent patterns of mortality correlate with documented differences in smoking habits between Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis patients. Family doctors and gastroenterologists should consider stopping cigarette smoking a specific priority for Crohn's disease patients; the latter should be offered free participation in structured programmes for smoking cessation, with the aim of reducing smoking related excess mortality. Overall, no evidence of an increased mortality for large bowel cancer emerged in this series.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Crohn's disease: increased mortality 10 years after diagnosis in a Europe-wide population based cohort.

BACKGROUND: No previous correlation between phenotype at diagnosis of Crohn's disease (CD) and mortality has been performed. We assessed the predictive value of phenotype at diagnosis on overall and disease related mortality in a European cohort of CD patients. METHODS: Overall and disease related mortality were recorded 10 years after diagnosis in a prospectively assembled, uniformly diagnosed European population based inception cohort of 380 CD patients diagnosed between 1991 and 1993. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated for geographic and phenotypic subgroups at diagnosis. RESULTS: Thirty seven deaths were observed in the entire cohort whereas 21.5 deaths were expected (SMR 1.85 (95% CI 1.30-2.55)). Mortality risk was significantly increased in both females (SMR 1.93 (95% CI 1.10-3.14)) and males (SMR 1.79 (95% CI 1.11-2.73)). Patients from northern European centres had a significant overall increased mortality risk (SMR 2.04 (95% CI 1.32-3.01)) whereas a tendency towards increased overall mortality risk was also observed in the south (SMR 1.55 (95% CI 0.80-2.70)). Mortality risk was increased in patients with colonic disease location and with inflammatory disease behaviour at diagnosis. Mortality risk was also increased in the age group above 40 years at diagnosis for both total and CD related causes. Excess mortality was mainly due to gastrointestinal causes that were related to CD. CONCLUSIONS: This European multinational population based study revealed an increased overall mortality risk in CD patients 10 years after diagnosis, and age above 40 years at diagnosis was found to be the sole factor associated with increased mortality risk.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1992

Racial differences in ill defined cancer mortality in the United States and in the District of Columbia.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: The aim was to examine the epidemiology of unknown primary cancer mortality in the USA during 1979 to 1988 by age, sex, race, year, and geographical area. DESIGN: National (US) and state data were abstracted for deaths due to ill defined cancer (ICD-9 195.0 to 199.1) and all cancers combined (ICD-9 140.0-209.9). Age adjusted mortality rates were calculated using the 1980 USA population as the standard, and standardised rate ratios were derived. National total cancer incidence data were obtained from the surveillance, epidemiology and end results (SEER) program, and age and sex specific relative (black/white) cancer incidence rates were derived and compared to relative (black/white) mortality rates for ill defined cancer. State and regional median family income levels were obtained from the 1980 census and compared to corresponding mortality rates. SETTING: This study used data for the US population, the 50 states, and the District of Columbia. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: During 1984-1988, ill defined cancers accounted for an average of 34,921 deaths each year in the USA (13.7 per 100,000 population). The mortality rate due to ill defined cancers is greater among blacks (19.3 per 100,000) than whites (13.2 per 100,000) (RR = 1.5) and has not declined since 1979. There is considerable geographical variation in the ill defined cancer mortality rate. Thus among blacks the highest rates were clustered in the central states (23 per 100,000) and the lowest rates were seen in the mountain and western states (17 per 100,000). The District of Columbia had the highest overall rate (21.7 per 100,000) when compared to all other states. The black/white relative mortality rate due to ill defined cancer was consistently greater than the black/white relative incidence of all cancers. CONCLUSIONS: Ill defined cancer mortality is the fourth leading site of cancer mortality in the USA, and accounts for 7.4% of cancer deaths annually. The large proportion of ill defined cancer deaths may have biased the accuracy of national and local cancer incidence and mortality statistics. The higher mortality of ill defined cancer among blacks is not explained by the higher overall cancer incidence among blacks and suggests the influence of socioeconomic or cultural barriers that may result in underutilisation of health services or substandard health care. Ill defined cancer mortality may be a sentinel indicator of deficiencies in the health care delivery system as well as a measure of progress against cancer.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

The lagged effect of cold temperature and wind chill on cardiorespiratory mortality in Scotland.

AIMS: To investigate the lagged effects of cold temperature on cardiorespiratory mortality and to determine whether "wind chill" is a better predictor of these effects than "dry bulb" temperature. METHODS: Generalised linear Poisson regression models were used to investigate the relation between mortality and "dry bulb" and "wind chill" temperatures in the three largest Scottish cities (Glasgow, Edinburgh, and Aberdeen) between January 1981 and December 2001. Effects of temperature on mortality (lags up to one month) were quantified. Analyses were conducted for the whole year and by season (cool and warm seasons). MAIN RESULTS: Temperature was a significant predictor of mortality with the strongest association observed between temperature and respiratory mortality. There was a non-linear association between mortality and temperature. Mortality increased as temperatures fell throughout the range, but the rate of increase was steeper at temperatures below 11 degrees C. The association between temperature and mortality persisted at lag periods beyond two weeks but the effect size generally decreased with increasing lag. For temperatures below 11 degrees C, a 1 degrees C drop in the daytime mean temperature on any one day was associated with an increase in mortality of 2.9% (95% CI 2.5 to 3.4), 3.4% (95% CI 2.6 to 4.1), 4.8% (95% CI 3.5 to 6.2) and 1.7% (95% CI 1.0 to 2.4) over the following month for all cause, cardiovascular, respiratory, and "other" cause mortality respectively. The effect of temperature on mortality was not observed to be significantly modified by season. There was little indication that "wind chill" temperature was a better predictor of mortality than "dry bulb" temperature. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to cold temperature is an important public health problem in Scotland, particularly for those dying from respiratory disease.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

Decline in US stroke mortality: an analysis of temporal patterns by sex, race, and geographic region.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Although stroke mortality rates have declined rapidly over the past 30 years, the decline has slowed to a plateau. Here, we assess whether the race-sex-region groups have participated equally in this decline and whether there are groups in which stroke mortality rates are still declining, and we predict how these rates will eventually differ. METHODS: Data on stroke mortality in the United States between 1968 and 1996 were analyzed in a 3-step procedure: (1) we calculated "crude" age-adjusted stroke mortality rates by race, sex, and county; (2) we "smoothed" the rates across counties and years; and (3) we fit a model to describe the temporal pattern. From this model we calculated the percent decline in stroke mortality, the anticipated additional decline (thereby identifying regions that will continue to decline), and the anticipated eventual stroke mortality rates. RESULTS: Maps by race-sex-region group describe the above parameters. White men have experienced the largest decline in stroke mortality, and black men have seen the smallest. Generally, stroke mortality appears to still be slowly declining for blacks but not for whites. Geographic differences in stroke mortality are predicted to persist. CONCLUSIONS: The analysis suggests that the Deep South (Alabama and Mississippi) will fall from the stroke belt and be replaced by other regions (notably Oregon, Washington, and Arkansas). New York City and southern Florida had low stroke mortality rates in 1968, have experienced large declines, and continue to experience declines, resulting in even larger relative heterogeneity of stroke mortality rates. The reasons for these differences in the pattern of the decline in stroke mortality are not understood.

Black People↗
PubMed1995

Risk factors for cardiorespiratory and all cause mortality in men and women in urban Scotland: 15 year follow up.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To describe the relationship between risk factors, risk behaviours, symptoms and mortality from cardiorespiratory diseases in an urban area with high levels of socioeconomic deprivation. A cohort study of 15,411 men and women aged 45-64, comprising 80% of the general population of Paisley and Renfrew, Scotland. OUTCOMES: Mortality after 15 years from coronary heart disease(ICD 410-4), stroke(ICD 430-8), respiratory disease(ICD 460-519) and all causes. MAIN RESULTS: Mortality rates from all causes were 19% in men aged 45-49, 31% in men aged 50-54, 42% in men aged 55-59 and 57% in men aged 60-64. The rates are considerably higher than those reported in previous UK prospective studies. For women the rates were 12%, 18%, 25% and 38% respectively. In general men and women showed similar relationships between risk factor levels and mortality rates. People in manual occupations had higher mortality rates. Raised levels of systolic and diastolic blood pressure were associated with increased coronary, stroke and all cause mortality rates. Plasma cholesterol had no such association with all cause mortality rates. High and low levels of body mass index were associated with higher mortality rates than intermediate levels. A relationship between short stature and increased mortality rates was observed in men and women. FEV1 expressed as a percentage of the expected value showed the strongest relationship with mortality rates, particularly for respiratory disease, but also for deaths from coronary heart disease, stroke and all causes. CONCLUSIONS: A similar pattern of relationship between risk factor levels and mortality rates exists in men and women in Renfrew and Paisley. Respiratory impairment as measured by FEV1% predicted appears to be the most likely explanation of the observed high all cause mortality rates in this population.

Blood Pressure↗
PubMed2004

A parsimonious explanation for intersecting perinatal mortality curves: understanding the effects of race and of maternal smoking.

BACKGROUND: Neonatal mortality rates among black infants are lower than neonatal mortality rates among white infants at birth weights <3000 g, whereas white infants have a survival advantage at higher birth weights. This finding is also observed when birth weight-specific neonatal mortality rates are compared between infants of smokers and non-smokers. We provide a parsimonious explanation for this paradoxical phenomenon. METHODS: We used data on births in the United States in 1997 after excluding those with a birth weight <500 g or a gestational age <22 weeks. Birth weight- and gestational age-specific perinatal mortality rates were calculated per convention (using total live births at each birth weight/gestational age as the denominator) and also using the fetuses at risk of death at each gestational age. RESULTS: Perinatal mortality rates (calculated per convention) were lower among blacks than whites at lower birth weights and at preterm gestational ages, while blacks had higher mortality rates at higher birth weights and later gestational ages. With the fetuses-at-risk approach, mortality curves did not intersect; blacks had higher mortality rates at all gestational ages. Increases in birth rates and (especially) growth-restriction rates presaged gestational age-dependent increases in perinatal mortality. Similar findings were obtained in comparisons of smokers versus nonsmokers. CONCLUSIONS: Formulating perinatal risk based on the fetuses-at-risk approach solves the intersecting perinatal mortality curves paradox; blacks have higher perinatal mortality rates than whites and smokers have higher perinatal mortality rates than nonsmokers at all gestational ages and birth weights.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2006

Update: cohort mortality study of workers highly exposed to polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) during the manufacture of electrical capacitors, 1940-1998.

BACKGROUND: The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health previously reported mortality for a cohort of workers considered highly exposed to polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) between 1939 and 1977 at two electrical capacitor manufacturing plants. The current study updated vital status, examined liver and rectal cancer mortality previously reported in excess in this cohort and evaluated mortality from non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) and cancers of the stomach, intestine, breast, prostate, skin (melanoma) and brain reported to be in excess in other cohort and case-control studies of PCB-exposed persons. METHODS: Mortality was updated through 1998 for 2572 workers. Age-, gender-, race- and calendar year-adjusted standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using U.S., state and county referent rates. SMRs using U.S. referent rates are reported. Duration of employment was used as a surrogate for exposure. RESULTS: Consistent with the previous follow-up, mortality from biliary passage, liver and gall bladder cancer was significantly elevated (11 deaths, SMR 2.11, CI 1.05 - 3.77), but mortality from rectal cancer was not (6 deaths, SMR 1.47, CI 0.54 - 3.21). Among women, mortality from intestinal cancer (24 deaths, SMR 1.89, CI 1.21 - 2.82) and from "other diseases of the nervous system and sense organs", which include Parkinson's disease and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, (15 deaths, SMR 2.07, CI 1.16 - 3.42) were elevated. There were four ALS deaths, all women (SMR 4.35, CI 1.19-11.14). Mortality was elevated for myeloma (7 deaths, SMR 2.11, CI 0.84 - 4.34), particularly among workers employed 10 years or more (5 deaths, SMR 2.80, CI 0.91 - 6.54). No linear associations between mortality and duration of employment were observed for the cancers of interest. CONCLUSION: This update found that the earlier reported excess in this cohort for biliary, liver and gall bladder cancer persisted with longer follow-up. Excess mortality for intestinal cancer among women was elevated across categories of duration of employment; myeloma mortality was highest among those working 10 years or more. The small numbers of deaths from liver and intestinal cancers, myeloma and nervous system diseases coupled with the lack of an exposure-response relationship with duration of employment preclude drawing definitive conclusions regarding PCB exposure and these causes of death.

Aged↗
PubMed1998

Mortality and cancer incidence in acromegaly: a retrospective cohort study. United Kingdom Acromegaly Study Group.

Patients with acromegaly have a reduced life expectancy, with the accepted causes for premature death being vascular and respiratory disease. Increased mortality from malignant disease has also been reported. We, therefore, performed a multicenter retrospective cohort study of 1362 patients with acromegaly and investigated the relationships of mortality and cancer incidence with GH levels, duration of disease, and age at diagnosis. The overall cancer incidence rate [standardized incidence ratio, 0.76; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.60-0.95] was lower than that in the general population of the United Kingdom, and there was no significant increase in site-specific cancer incidence rates. The overall cancer mortality rate was not increased, but the colon cancer mortality rate (standardized mortality ratio, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.31-4.22) was higher than expected. Mortality rates due to colon cancer, all malignant disease, cardiovascular disease and overall mortality were increased with higher posttreatment GH levels (P for trends, <0.02, <0.05, <0.02, and <0.0001). The overall mortality rate in patients with acromegaly with posttreatment GH levels less than 2.5 ng/mL (5 mU/L) was comparable to that in the general population of the United Kingdom (standardized mortality ratio, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.89-1.35). We conclude that high posttreatment GH levels are associated with an increased overall mortality rate and increased mortality rates due to colon cancer, cardiovascular disease, and all malignant disease. Posttreatment GH levels less than 2.5 ng/mL (5 mU/L) result in an overall mortality rate similar to that in the general population.

Acromegaly↗
PubMed2000

The biphasic pattern of age-specific malignant brain tumor mortality rates.

Many aging-associated neurologic disorders, including primary malignant brain tumors (MBT), share a common biphasic age-specific mortality rate pattern: initially increasing exponentially with age, and then declining. A modeling study using MBT mortality was conducted to determine if the observed biphasic pattern of MBT age-specific mortality rates emerges if one assumes that there exists a population subset that is inherently susceptible to MBT, and that the risk of mortality from MBT in that susceptible population subset continues to increase exponentially with age. A hypothetical population was subjected to 1988 general mortality risks. A population subset susceptible to MBT was subjected to both exponentially increasing 1988 general and MBT mortality risks. Expected MBT age-specific mortality rates in the total population (both general and MBT susceptible subsets) were determined. Expected MBT age-specific mortality rates in the total population initially increase exponentially with age, and then decline. Moreover, when the size of the MBT-susceptible population subset was set at 1/125 of the size of the general population size, the modeled pattern of age-specific MBT mortality rates closely mimicked the observed pattern of age-specific MBT mortality rates. The observed biphasic pattern of age-specific MBT mortality rates can be explained by the existence of an MBT-susceptible population subset in whom the risk of MBT mortality increases exponentially with age and population subset depletion occurs.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2002

[Estimation of excess mortality associated with influenza-epidemics by age and cause specific death in Japan, 1975-1999].

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to assess the effects of recent influenza epidemics on mortality in Japan. METHODS: We applied a new definition of excess mortality associated with influenza epidemics and a new estimation method (new method) proposed in our previous paper to the national vital statistics for 1975-1999 (ICD8-ICD10 had been adopted) in Japan. This new method has the advantages of removing a source of random variations in excess mortality and of being applicable to shifting trends in mortality rates from different causes of death in response to the revision of ICD. The monthly rates of death from all causes other than accidents (all causes) and some cause-specific deaths such as pneumonia, malignant neoplasm, heart disease, cerebrovascular disease(C.V.D) and diabetes(D.M.) were analyzed by total and by five age groups: 0-4 years, 5-24 years, 25-44 years, 45-64 years, and 65 years old or older. RESULTS: The following findings were noted: 1. For each epidemic in every other year since 1993, large-scale excess mortality of over 10,000 deaths was observed and the effect of those epidemics could be frequently detected in mortality even among young persons, i.e., 0-4 years or 5-25 years. 2. Excess mortality associated with influenza epidemics influenced mortality by some chronic diseases such as pneumonia, heart disease, C.V.D., D.M., etc. For some epidemic years since 1978, excess mortality rates were detected even in mortality by malignant neoplasm. CONCLUSIONS: It has been definitely shown by applying the new method to the national vital statistics for 1975-1999 in Japan that influenza epidemics in recent years exerted an influence on overall mortality, increasing the number of deaths among the elderly and the younger generation. Monitoring of the trends in excess mortality associated with influenza epidemics should be continued.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2004

[Trends in mortality from ischemic heart disease and acute myocardial infarction in Costa Rica, 1970-2001].

OBJECTIVE: To describe epidemiologic trends in mortality from cardiovascular diseases (CVD), ischemic heart disease (IHD), and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in Costa Rica, by sex and geographic region, between 1970 and 2001. METHODS: We performed a descriptive study of mortality from CVD, IHD, and AMI in Costa Rica between 1970 and 2001. Information was obtained from the Central American Population Center's database. Mortality data for IHD and AMI between 1970 and 2001 were analyzed in accordance with the latest revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD). Costa Rica's territory was divided into the following regions: the metropolitan area (8 cantons), the semi-urban area of Valle Central (18 cantons), the rural area of Valle Central (17 cantons), the semi-urban lowlands (12 cantons), and the rural lowlands (26 cantons). Mortality trends by quinquennia (between 1970 and 1999) and for the 2000-2001 biennium were examined in the form of crude mortality rates per 100 000 inhabitants for each cause or group of causes, by age, sex, and year of death. All rates were adjusted for sex, age, year of death, and geographic region through the direct method of standardization, using the population of Latin America in 1960 as the standard population. RESULTS: Mortality from CVD dropped by an average of 33% (46.6% among women and 20.2% among men), while mortality from IHD rose by an average of 18.4% (6.1% among women and 28.4% among men). The adjusted mortality rate for AMI among men rose by 12.8% over the study period and dropped slightly by 4.4% among women. Mortality from CVD, IHD, and AMI was greater in men than in women during the entire study period. Mortality rates for IHD and AMI rose in semi-urban and urban areas, especially in the rural lowlands, where they increased with respect to the 1995-1999 rates by 123.9% and 76.9%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A reduction in mortality from CVD was noted. The largest rates were seen among men and in persons 75 years of age or older. The largest increases in mortality rates from IHD and AMI were seen in semi-urban and rural areas, among men, and in persons 75 years of age or older. Special attention should be paid to risk factors for CVD, such as smoking, arterial hypertension, overweight and obesity, sedentary habits, and an unhealthy diet.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

[Trends in mortality from lung cancer in Mexico, 1980-2000].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze trends in age-adjusted lung cancer mortality rates in Mexico for the period of 1980 through 2000. METHOD: The trends were assessed using the adjusted rates of mortality from lung cancer, year of death, year of birth, age at death, state, and standard population. The standardized mortality rate and the index of potential years of life lost were used to compare incidence and premature deaths. The standardized mortality rate was analyzed by age groups according to the age at death (30-74 years), five-year observation period (1980-1999), and birth cohort (1910-1950). Nonparametric Spearman correlations were calculated for per capita tobacco consumption, social marginalization, and emigration. RESULTS: The adjusted mortality rate from lung cancer declined from 7.91 per 100 000 in 1989 to 5.96 per 100 000 in 2000. This pattern correlated with the reduction in per capita tobacco consumption, from 2.145 kg in 1959 to 0.451 kg in 1982. The latent period for the appearance of lung cancer in Mexico was 30 years. The male:female ratio was 2.4:1. The highest adjusted mortality rate was found in men who were 70-74 years old at the time of death. The adjusted mortality rates were low among the cohorts of persons born in 1945 or later, and those rates declined over the 1980-2000 period. The index of potential years of life lost and the incidence of premature death were greater among men. The mortality rates for the cohorts of men born between 1915 and 1940 showed a slight decline over the 1980-2000 period; beginning with men born in 1944 the rates increased slightly, mainly among men 30-34 and 35-39 years old at the time of death. For women the adjusted mortality rates were highest among those 75 or older; the rates gradually declined among the women born between 1945 and 1960, with the largest decrease among women 30-34 years old. The adjusted mortality rates varied according to the five-year observation period, the year of death, and birth cohort and gender. The correlation coefficient for the adjusted mortality rate by state and social marginalization was -0.70 (P = 0.00). There was no statistically significant correlation with the index of emigration (P = 0.56). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality from lung cancer has declined in Mexico. Morbidity and premature death due to lung cancer are greater in the states of northern Mexico.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Early mortality after hip fracture: is delay before surgery important?

BACKGROUND: Hip fracture is associated with high mortality among the elderly. Most patients require surgery, but the timing of the operation remains controversial. Surgery within twenty-four hours after admission has been recommended, but evidence supporting this approach is lacking. The objective of this study was to determine whether a delay in surgery for hip fractures affects postoperative mortality among elderly patients. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, observational study of 2660 patients who underwent surgical treatment of a hip fracture at one university hospital. We measured mortality rates following the surgery in relation to the delay in the surgery and the acute medical comorbidities on admission. RESULTS: The mortality following the hip fracture surgery was 9% (246 of 2660) at thirty days, 19% at ninety days, and 30% at twelve months. Of the patients who had been declared fit for surgery, those operated on without delay had a thirty-day mortality of 8.7% and those for whom the surgery had been delayed between one and four days had a thirty-day mortality of 7.3%. This difference was not significant (p = 0.51). The thirty-day mortality for patients for whom the surgery had been delayed for more than four days was 10.7%, and this small group had significantly increased mortality at ninety days (hazard ratio = 2.25; p = 0.001) and one year (hazard ratio = 2.4; p = 0.001). Patients who had been admitted with an acute medical comorbidity that required treatment prior to the surgery had a thirty-day mortality of 17%, which was nearly 2.5 times greater than that for patients who had been initially considered fit for surgery (hazard ratio = 2.3, 95% confidence interval = 1.6 to 3.3; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The thirty-day mortality following surgery for a hip fracture was 9%. Patients with medical comorbidities that delayed surgery had 2.5 times the risk of death within thirty days after the surgery compared with patients without comorbidities that delayed surgery. Mortality was not increased when the surgery was delayed up to four days for patients who were otherwise fit for hip fracture surgery. However, a delay of more than four days significantly increased mortality.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Cardiovascular mortality in Korea: a country experiencing epidemiologic transition.

BACKGROUND: The pattern of morbidity and mortality of cardiovascular disease (CVD) changes with epidemiologic transition. An understanding of this pattern in rapidly developing countries might provide important clues for the understanding of the epidemiological trends in CVD mortality. The objective of this paper was to address the changing pattern of CVD mortality in Korea during the period 1984-1999, and to examine the significant changes in associated major risk factors for CVD over a similar period. METHODS: For the purpose of this study, three main categories in CVD were reviewed: hypertensive heart disease, ischaemic heart disease, and cerebrovascular disease (stroke). The analyses of mortality were based on nationwide mortality data published by the National Statistical Office from 1984 to 1999. All the mortality rates were adjusted for age using the direct method. Changes in major CVD risk factors (blood pressure, cigarette smoking, serum total cholesterol and diet) were also reviewed during similar periods. FINDINGS: During the 15-year period investigated, the age-adjusted mortality from CVD decreased markedly. It decreased by 57% in males (from 172.2 to 73.0/100,000) and 48% in females (from 135.5 to 70.2/100,000). The age-adjusted mortality from stroke decreased while the proportion of ischaemic strokes among total stroke deaths increased. The proportion increased about 5.2 times in men and 4.9 times in women. The age-adjusted mortality from hypertensive heart disease decreased markedly. It decreased by 92% in men (from 51.6 to 4.1/100,000) and 84% in women (from 34.1 to 5.3/100,000). Also the age-adjusted mortality from ischaemic heart disease increased significantly. In 1999, the rates for men and women were 11.9 and 7.5/100,000, respectively. These rates were 3.8 and 3.6 times higher than the rates in 1984 for men and women, respectively. The changes of CVD risk factors in Korea observed during a similar period were a decrease in hypertension prevalence, although still present at a high level, an increase in serum total cholesterol level and intake of total fat along with a high, although decreasing, prevalence of cigarette smoking. INTERPRETATION: The mortality changes in Korea are consistent with the change that occurs during the transition from the age of receding pandemics to the age of degenerative and man-made diseases. This study has indicated that the change of CVD mortality was closely associated with the change in CVD risk factors. In order to avert the ongoing epidemic of CVD in developing countries, prevention and treatment of modifiable risk factors must become a high health priority.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

Factors related to high levels of ostrich chick mortality from hatching to 90 days of age in an intensive rearing system.

Ostrich chick mortality was studied in 2522 chicks that were hatched artificially during the 1999/2000 breeding season. High levels of mortality were observed, with 1978 (78.4 %) of these chicks dying before 90 days after hatching. A total of 46.7 % (1,177) of these chicks died before 28 days of age, and a further 30.7% (801) died between 28 and 90 days post-hatching. Chick mortality to 28 days of age could not be conclusively related to sex, day of external pipping or breeder diet. Mortality rates were higher (P< 0.05) at the beginning and end of the breeding season than in the middle months. Differences in mortality levels of chicks incubated in different incubators could be related to the time of the breeding season during which the incubator was mostly used. The regression of chick mortality to 28 days of age on day-old chick mass followed a 2nd-degree polynomial. Chicks with day-old masses below 762.5 g were particularly at risk of dying before 28 days after hatching. Chicks hatching from eggs where excessive water loss to 35 days of incubation (>18%) was recorded were also at risk of succumbing before 28 days of age. Chick mortality percentages for the period from 28 to 90 days of age exceeded 80 % in chicks weighing an average of 1.050 g at 28 days. Mortality percentages declined sharply at higher live masses, to between 20 and 30 % in chicks weighing > or = 1,950 g. This 'core' level of mortality remained throughout, even in the heaviest chicks. It was concluded that the high levels of chick mortality could be related to stress in chicks, resulting from an inability to adapt to the rearing environment. The high subsequent mortality percentages of low live mass chicks that survived to 28 days after hatching could probably be attributed to residual setbacks suffered earlier. Abetter understanding of the underlying principles involved in ostrich chick mortality in intensive rearing environments is required for progress in this field, resulting in more predictable survival rates under these conditions.

Age Factors↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Gender differences in the cross-sectional and cohort age dependence of cause-specific mortality: the United States, 1962 to 1995.

OBJECTIVE: Gender- and age-specific mortality rates were calculated to determine the role of behavioral and biologically based differences in health. DESIGN: Changes in age-specific mortality rates were calculated for males and females across select time periods, in addition to gender- and cause-specific mortality age trajectories for birth cohorts for heart disease, stroke, and lung and breast cancer. Differences between cohort mortality age trajectories and the age pattern of mortality rates were related to socioeconomic differences between genders and to biological risk factors. SUBJECTS: U.S. males and females aged 30 to 95+ over the 34-year period 1962 to 1995. METHODS: Gender- and age-specific mortality rates were computed and displayed using the logarithmic transform of the rates for five-year age categories. RESULTS: Major gender cross-sectional mortality differences were found for heart disease, stroke, and lung cancer, with males being disadvantaged except for stroke. Less variation was found for lung cancer in recent male cohorts compared to large rates of change for recent female cohorts. Female breast cancer mortality showed modest variation, with most of the cohort differential in risk in postmenopausal breast cancer risk. Relative risk of lung cancer with age was greater for females. CONCLUSION: Differences in male and female cohort mortality rates underlie many of the period changes for heart disease, stroke, and lung cancer. Cohort differences were largest for lung cancer, although the cohort-specific smoking patterns these rates imply could also be responsible for some of the heart disease and mortality differences. The breast cancer mortality rates showed consistency with the concept of two distinct etiologies for breast cancer: premenopausal and postmenopausal. Large cohort increases in female lung cancer mortality may be alterable by behavioral measures and education.

Cause of Death↗
PubMed2002

[Mortality in patients with proximal femoral fractures during the first year after the injury].

PURPOSE OF THE STUDY: The authors present an overview of mortality of patients with proximal femur fractures treated at the authors' Department in 1997 in dependence on different factors relating to the preinjury condition and the treatment itself. The aim of the work was to determine the impact of these factors on the risk of mortality and compare the findings with the data published by other authors dealing with the same issue. MATERIAL: In the given year 244 patients with 248 proximal femur fractures, 58 men (24%), 186 women (76%), average age 77 years were treated. There were 115 (47%) fractures of femoral neck, 117 (47%) pertrochanteric fractures and 16 (6%) intertrochanteric (high subtrochanteric) fractures. Thirty-nine fractures (16%) were treated conservatively, internal fixation was performed in 116 fractures (47%), i.e. 6 times by a plate, 94 times by a DHS, 16 times by the Gamma nail, and 93 fractures (37%) were treated by arthroplasty (62 times by hemiarthroplasty and 31 times by total hip arthroplasty). METHODS: The following data was recorded in all patients of the monitored group: age, sex, social environment and physical activities of the patient prior to the injury, mechanism of the injury, type of fracture, surgical risk expressed by the respective class of the ASA score, therapeutic procedure, type of anesthesia and interval between the injury and operation. Recorded was also the number of mortality in the course of primary hospitalisation and one year after the injury or operation. At the end of the one-year monitoring statistical evaluation was made of the relation between mortality and the above mentioned monitored factors and the results were compared with those published in similar types of study. RESULTS: In the period of one year after the injury or operation 85 patients died of the total number of 244 (56 women and 29 men). The number of decreased patients was increasing in individual age decades and the highest number was recorded in case of men in 9th decade (80%) and 10th decade (100%). The lowest number of mortality related to patients who lived with their families prior to the injury (26.5%) and the highest number was in patients from social care institutes (43.8%). Patients with impaired mobility already prior to the injury and not leaving their homes accounted for 46.7% of mortality. In the course of one year after the injury 33.0% died of fracture of femoral neck, 30.7% of pertrochanteric and 35.7% of intertrochanteric (high subtrochanteric) fracture. Dependence of mortality on ASA score was as follows: ASA I-0%, ASA II-4.3%, ASA III-21.3%, ASA IV-42.1%, ASA V-68.9%. The highest number of mortality of operated on patients was in the group treated by hemiarthroplasty (41.1%). After spinal anesthesia 26.6% of patients died within one year and after general anesthesia 26.7% of them. There was an evident increase in the number of mortality in patients operated on in the interval longer than 3 days after the injury. DISCUSSION: The mortality in the followed up group was statistically significantly influenced by the age (p = 0.003), sex (p < 0.01) and ASA score (p < 0.001). This corresponds to the results of other studies. The dependence of mortality on environment and mobility prior to the injury, type of the fracture, type of surgical treatment and type of anesthesia has not been proved. CONCLUSION: Based on the evaluation of the data monitored in the group a conclusion was made that absolute mortality risk in the first year after the injury related to patients with pathological fractures due to metastasis. A higher risk related to male patients older than 80 years with the surgical risk of ASA IV and higher and this risk rate was the highest in the time interval within 3 months after the injury or operation.

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