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PubMed2006

Prediction of postoperative mortality in elderly patients with colorectal cancer.

PURPOSE: This study was designed to develop a model for predicting postoperative mortality in elderly patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer. METHODS: This multicenter study was conducted by using routinely collected clinical data, assessing patients older than aged 80 years, with 30-day operative mortality as the primary end point. Data were collected from The Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland database, encompassing 8,077 newly diagnosed colorectal cancer patients undergoing resectional surgery in 79 hospitals between April 2000 to March 2002, The Association of Coloproctology Malignant Bowel Obstruction Study, encompassing 1,046 patients with malignant bowel obstruction in 148 hospitals, between April 1998 to March 1999, and The Wales-Trent audit, encompassing 3,522 newly diagnosed colorectal cancer patients, between July 1992 to June 1993. A multilevel logistic regression model was developed to adjust for case-mix and to accommodate the variability of outcomes between the three study populations. The model was internally validated using a Bayesian resampling technique and tested using measures of discrimination, calibration, and subgroup analysis. RESULTS: A total of 2,533 patients satisfied the inclusion criteria, with a 30-day mortality of 15.6 percent. Multivariate analysis identified the following independent risk factors: age (odds ratio for 85-90, 90-95, >95 vs. 80-85 = 1.1, 1.8, 2.9), American Society of Anesthesiology grade (odds ratio for Grade III, IV vs. I-II = 2.7, 6.1), operative urgency (odds ratio for emergency vs. elective = 1.9), no cancer excision vs. resection (odds ratio = 1.2), and metastatic disease (odds ratio for metastases vs. no metastases = 1.9). The model offered adequate discrimination (area under receiver operator curve = 0.732) and excellent agreement between observed and predicted outcomes during eight colorectal procedures (P = 0.885). CONCLUSIONS: The elderly colorectal cancer model can accurately estimate 30-day mortality in patients older than aged 80 years undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer. Because the mortality can be considerable, this may have important implications when determining management for this group of patients.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2006

Identifiability assumptions for missing covariate data in failure time regression models.

Methods in the literature for missing covariate data in survival models have relied on the missing at random (MAR) assumption to render regression parameters identifiable. MAR means that missingness can depend on the observed exit time, and whether or not that exit is a failure or a censoring event. By considering ways in which missingness of covariate X could depend on the true but possibly censored failure time T and the true censoring time C, we attempt to identify missingness mechanisms which would yield MAR data. We find that, under various reasonable assumptions about how missingness might depend on T and/or C, additional strong assumptions are needed to obtain MAR. We conclude that MAR is difficult to justify in practical applications. One exception arises when missingness is independent of T, and C is independent of the value of the missing X. As alternatives to MAR, we propose two new missingness assumptions. In one, the missingness depends on T but not on C; in the other, the situation is reversed. For each, we show that the failure time model is identifiable. When missingness is independent of T, we show that the naive complete record analysis will yield a consistent estimator of the failure time distribution. When missingness is independent of C, we develop a complete record likelihood function and a corresponding estimator for parametric failure time models. We propose analyses to evaluate the plausibility of either assumption in a particular data set, and illustrate the ideas using data from the literature on this problem.

Humans↗
PubMed1994

Multidrug therapy and eye disease in leprosy: a cross-sectional study in the People's Republic of China.

BACKGROUND: Factors associated with leprosy-related eye disease in a multidrug therapy (MDT) treated population in China were assessed to determine if status prior to inclusion in the MDT programme (newly diagnosed leprosy patient or leprosy patient on prior dapsone monotherapy) contributed to the prevalence of ocular pathology. METHODS: Trained leprosy paramedical workers in Sichuan Province examined 974 leprosy patients in a standardized fashion. Univariate analyses and multiple logistic regression were used to assess the contribution of demographic and clinical parameters to leprosy-related eye disease. RESULTS: In both groups (prior dapsone and new MDT) leprosy-related eye disease was associated with a longer distance to leprosy health worker or health centre. Among patients with a history of prior dapsone monotherapy, age and duration on dapsone monotherapy were also associated with leprosy-related ocular morbidity. Among newly diagnosed leprosy patients the prevalence of ocular morbidity remained between 8% and 11% regardless of when the patient started MDT. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that, even when case detection is good, ocular pathology will still occur in MDT treated leprosy patients. There remains an important role for health workers in the prevention of ocular morbidity. Our data also demonstrated that pooling of results from all patients (newly diagnosed and on prior dapsone monotherapy) in a leprosy control programme will likely give rise to inadequate estimates of risk of ocular disease due to variable clinical disease histories in these groups.

Adult↗
PubMed1992

Chlamydia trachomatis infection in women: a need for universal screening in high prevalence populations?

Chlamydia trachomatis is the most prevalent sexually transmitted bacterial pathogen. Nevertheless, selective, rather than universal, screening for chlamydia has been recommended, largely because testing is expensive and requires considerable technical expertise. A total of 1,348 women in four family planning clinics in San Francisco, California, were screened from March 1987 to January 1988 to identify criteria for selective screening. Of these, 9.2% had a positive chlamydia test using direct fluorescence. Logistic regression analysis identified five factors associated with infection: age less than 25 years, cervical friability, single marital status, a new sexual partner within the past 3 months, and lack of barrier contraceptive use. No single risk factor or combination of risk factors had both a high sensitivity and a high positive predictive value for infection. While screening all women who were unmarried would detect 93% of those with chlamydia, the positive predictive value of 10.7% was not much higher than the overall prevalence. Conversely, screening all women with cervical friability, which had a positive predictive value of 23.2%, would only detect 11% of those with chlamydia. On the basis of the authors' findings, selective screening should not be used in high prevalence populations in which all women are at risk and should be screened for chlamydia.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1989

Risk factors and 10-year breast cancer survival in northern Alberta.

1,121 women in northern Alberta diagnosed as having breast cancer between 1971-74 were followed for 10 years. Risk factors for breast cancer were studied with respect to their possible influence on survival by comparing survival curves, using both Logrank and Cox's regression model, and controlling for intercurrent death, stage and axillary node status. A complex interaction was found between age and menopausal status and survival rates. Premenopausal women aged 45-55 had a better survival rate than postmenopausal women of the same age. However, one subgroup of premenopausal women aged 35-39 had a significantly worse prognosis than those aged 40-44 as did a group of post menopausal women aged 70-74. No cause was found other than the effect of age. There was a significant trend to worsening survival with heavier weight at time of diagnosis and with breast feeding. Parity of five or more and family history of breast cancer were less consistently associated with worse survival. Oral contraceptive use was only associated with worsened prognosis significantly when stage was controlled for; there was no overall effect. Age at menarche and age at first birth did not influence prognosis. Theories to explain the findings are discussed.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Additive and multiplicative covariate regression models for relative survival incorporating fractional polynomials for time-dependent effects.

Relative survival is used to estimate patient survival excluding causes of death not related to the disease of interest. Rather than using cause of death information from death certificates, which is often poorly recorded, relative survival compares the observed survival to that expected in a matched group from the general population. Models for relative survival can be expressed on the hazard (mortality) rate scale as the sum of two components where the total mortality rate is the sum of the underlying baseline mortality rate and the excess mortality rate due to the disease of interest. Previous models for relative survival have assumed that covariate effects act multiplicatively and have thus provided relative effects of differences between groups using excess mortality rate ratios. In this paper we consider (i) the use of an additive covariate model, which provides estimates of the absolute difference in the excess mortality rate; and (ii) the use of fractional polynomials in relative survival models for the baseline excess mortality rate and time-dependent effects. The approaches are illustrated using data on 115 331 female breast cancer patients diagnosed between 1 January 1986 and 31 December 1990. The use of additive covariate relative survival models can be useful in situations when the excess mortality rate is zero or slightly less than zero and can provide useful information from a public health perspective. The use of fractional polynomials has advantages over the usual piecewise estimation by providing smooth estimates of the baseline excess mortality rate and time-dependent effects for both the multiplicative and additive covariate models. All models presented in this paper can be estimated within a generalized linear models framework and thus can be implemented using standard software.

Breast Neoplasms↗
PubMed1994

Risk factors for invasive cervical cancer in Kenyan women.

BACKGROUND: Few epidemiological investigations of invasive cervical cancer have been conducted in Sub-Saharan African populations. METHODS: Using information collected as part of the hospital-based World Health Organization (WHO) Collaborative Study of Neoplasia and Steroid Contraceptives, we examined potential risk factors for invasive cervical cancer among Kenyan women. In all 112 women with histologically confirmed invasive cervical cancer diagnosed at the Kenyatta National Hospital, Nairobi, Kenya, between June 1981 and September 1988 and 749 control subjects were included in the present analyses. All women were interviewed regarding their medical and reproductive history, methods of birth control, and history of sexual relationships and sexually transmitted infections. Multiple logistic regression procedures were used to derive maximum likelihood estimates of adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: After adjusting for age, several factors were found to be associated with invasive cervical cancer. These include multiple sexual partners, early age at first sexual intercourse (OR = 1.9 and 2.6 for women reporting first intercourse at age 16-17 years and < 15 years, respectively, compared to women with first intercourse > or = 18 years), history of abnormal vaginal discharge (OR = 13.8, 95% CI: 8.3-23.0), and history of gonorrhoeal infection (OR = 3.2, 95% CI: 1.6-6.2). Low educational attainment and multiparity were also associated with the risk of invasive cervical cancer. Although the Papanicolaou smear has been extensively used as a screening method for cervical cancer in many countries, only three cases and four controls reported ever having a Papanicolaou smear (2.6% cases and 0.5% of controls). CONCLUSIONS: As has been observed in other parts of the world, cervical neoplasia in Kenya appears to be a late consequence of venereally transmitted carcinogenic agents.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2000

Retrospective analysis of the accuracy of conversion equations and multiple-trait, across-country evaluations of Holstein bulls used internationally.

In 1995, the multiple-trait across country genetic evaluation procedure replaced regression-based conversion equations as the preferred method for international genetic comparisons of dairy bulls. In the present study, February 1999 estimated breeding values of 632 foreign Holstein bulls that were used in Canada, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Sweden, and the US were compared with January 1995 predictions from home country data only. January 1995 predicted breeding values for each importing country were calculated using three methods: the multiple-trait, across-country evaluation procedure; conversion equations based on the multiple-trait, across-country evaluations; and conversion equations based on the Wilmink method. Mean correlations between 1999 estimated breeding values in the importing countries and 1995 predictions from international data were from 0.76 to 0.81 for all methods. The multiple-trait, across-country evaluation procedure is expected to lead to selection of different bulls, because bulls were allowed to be ranked differently in each country, but no significant increase in accuracy of selection was observed. The lack of improvement in accuracy of prediction was most likely due to limitations in data structure. International genetic comparisons are largely driven by data from a relatively small number of evaluated bulls with exported semen. Data from siblings and more distant relatives provide only weak, indirect genetic links between countries, and inclusion of such data seems to provide a minimal improvement in accuracy. Limitations in data structure might be alleviated by methods that define environments by climate or management factors rather than country borders.

Animals↗
PubMed1994

Neonatal size and infant mortality at high altitude in the western Himalaya.

A prospective study was undertaken in Ladakh, India, a high-altitude region of the Himalaya, to investigate the effects of small average birth size on neonatal mortality. While such studies exist from high-altitude regions of the New World and shed light on the adaptive status of high-altitude-dwelling populations there, this is the first to examine this relationship in the Himalaya. In a sample of 168 newborns, birthweight and other anthropometric measurements were reduced relative to Andean and Tibetan newborns. Logistic regression and hazard analysis showed that neonatal biological characteristics such as weight, fatness, and circumferences were important predictors of survival probabilities of infants, especially in the neonatal period. Low Rohrer's Ponderal Index (PI) was particularly strongly related to poor survival outcome. Males and females showed no significant differences in mortality risk. Data derived from reproductive histories revealed that neonatal mortality accounted for 70-80% of total infant mortality in Ladakh. Compared to other high-altitude studies, small newborn size in Ladakh was associated with much higher mortality risks; mortality risk rose dramatically with birthweights below the mean (2,764 grams), which characterized 50% of all newborns. It is argued that newborns in Ladakh are subject to strong directional selective forces that favor higher birthweights that incur lower risks of neonatal mortality, while Andean infants are subject to relatively mild selection pressure at both ends of the birthweight distribution. Given the overall small size at birth of Ladakhi newborns and the poor survival outcomes of newborns below the mean, it is suggested that this population is less well adapted in a biological sense to the stresses inherent in this high-altitude environment than are Andean populations, perhaps due to the relatively recent colonization of the area and the substantial genetic admixture that has occurred in the past.

Altitude↗
PubMed1987

Reproductive history and breast cancer in a population of high fertility, Costa Rica, 1984-85.

The relationship between breast cancer and women's reproductive history in Costa Rica was analyzed using logistic regression methods on data from 171 breast cancer cases and 826 population-based controls aged 25-58 years. The risk of breast cancer in nulliparous women under age 45 was 3 times that for parous women in the same age group. Women over 44 years of age with a parity greater than 4 had a risk of breast cancer of 0.3 compared to women of the same age but with a parity of 1-4. Neither breast-feeding nor birth interval showed an overall association with breast cancer independent of parity. Women with early age at first birth had a lower relative risk of breast cancer than women aged 20-24 at first birth, but only in two subgroups--women aged 45 and over and women with parity 1-4. Women without a completed pregnancy in the last 20 years had an elevated relative risk. However, results are not conclusive because some information is probably distorted by recall errors. Declines in fertility rates in the 1960s and 1970s may result in an increase of 30% in breast cancer incidence in Costa Rica between 1980 and the year 2000, according to the relative risks found in this study. In contrast, the effect of childlessness will probably not produce significant changes in national breast cancer trends.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Cortical bone remodeling rates in a sample of African American and European American descent groups from the American Midwest: comparisons of age and sex in ribs.

This study employs regression analysis to explore population and sex differences in the pattern of age-associated bone loss, as reflected by histomorphometric variables that are measures of intracortical and endocortical bone remodeling. A comparison of an African American sample from the Washington Park Cemetery in St. Louis, Missouri, and a European American rib sample composed of cadavers, autopsies, and forensic cases from Missouri reveals the existence of complex age-associated patterns for differences in measures of intracortical remodeling and cortical area. Females from the two samples express similar bone dimensions and dynamics. The African American females appear to lose more bone than their male counterparts, but this difference is absent in the European American sample. When age-associated patterns are considered, it is in the younger cohorts that African Americans exhibit greater relative cortical area than European Americans, but this is reversed in the older ages, when the latter group manifests greater bone mass. The European American males consistently differ in the slopes and intercepts for the variables compared to the other groups, and differences are highly significant with African American females, with the former group maintaining bone mass while the latter exhibit a more rapid bone loss. Achieving larger relative cortical area due to smaller endosteal area, coupled with better bone quality due to lower intracortical porosity early in life, may be a mechanism by which African Americans, especially females, maintain adequate bone mass in older ages, which buffers them from bone loss and related fragility fractures despite higher rates of intracortical remodeling and endosteal expansion later in life. These results suggest that both genetic and environmental factors are responsible for the differences in bone remodeling and bone mass observed between these samples.

Adolescent↗
PubMedDate not supplied

[Perception of risk for infection with the human immunodeficiency virus].

Prevention of AIDS is very complex and requires, apart from basic knowledge about modes of transmission and protection, individual awareness of personal risk of infection and modification of one's risky behavior. Perception of risk has been suggested as an important element of sexual behavior change among people who engage in behaviors that place them at risk of HIV infection. This study investigates perceived risk of an HIV infection among inhabitants of municipality of Palilula. The purpose of this study was to determine the relative accuracy of risk assessment, especially for those with high-risk sexual behavior and to assess the factors related to self perception of developing AIDS. The survey was conducted as a household survey in Belgrade municipality "Palilula". The design of the survey was based on a two-stage stratified random sample. The population of Palilula municipality was divided in two stratums and 840 households were selected from each stratum. All members of selected households aged 15-49 years were interviewed. Total of 2659 persons was interviewed. Self administered questionnaire, developed by WHO and described in the Evaluation of National AIDS Programme: A Methods Package 1. Prevention of HIV infection, Geneva, 1994, was translated and adapted for local application. For analysis of findings methods of descriptive statistics, chi square test and logistic regression were used. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS/PC. The results showed that most of the respondents (1662, 62.5%) do not perceive themselves to be at risk of HIV infection. Interestingly, almost one quarter of the sample couldn't estimate personal chances of being HIV infected. Significantly larger proportion of respondents living in urban area than those living in rural area perceived themselves at risk (17.1% of urban vs. 7.7% from rural area, chi square = 54.06, Ir0.00). Significant differences between age groups were found for perception of personal risk. Respondents up to 19 and those older than 25 in more than 60 percent and only a half of those between 20 and 24 believed that there was no chance they could become HIV infected. Almost 16% of respondents between 20 and 24 believed that they had some chances of contracting HIV, also approximately one third of them couldn't estimate personal risk of contracting HIV infection (chi square = 2.10, p = 0.00)(Graphe 1). Those who engaged in sex with irregular partners were found to perceive themselves in higher risk then those who were engaged in sex only with regular partners in previous 12 months. One fifth of those with irregular partners estimated their chances as good versus only 10% of those with only regular partners. A logistic regression analysis found that those who believed they were personally at risk knew someone with HIV, had more irregular sexual partners in last 12 months, were younger, and lived in urban area (Table 1). People correctly perceived the risk of HIV infection as being minimal as most of them didn't engage in risk behavior. Risk perception was higher among those who had more irregular partners, younger and those from urban area. Most important predictor of risk perception was knowledge of HIV positive individual.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1984

Cardiorespiratory effects of pneumatic trousers in critically ill patients.

Although pneumatic antishock trousers (PT) are widely used in prehospital and emergency care, little is known about their cardiorespiratory effects in critically ill patients. To examine this issue, we measured hemodynamic and oxygen metabolism variables in ten critically ill patients. All patients were studied with PTs uninflated, after five minutes of PT inflation to 40 mm Hg, and five minutes after PT deflation. Significant increase in mean arterial pressure, systemic vascular resistance, and pulmonary artery pressures were present after PT inflation. No significant changes in cardiac index, stroke index, arterial or mixed venous blood gas values, or oxygen delivery were found. There was a downward trend in VO2 that was on the border of statistical significance. Regression analysis of cardiorespiratory variables on blood volume demonstrated no physiologic effects of external counterpressure in hypovolemic, hypervolemic, or normovolemic patients. We concluded that PT inflation increases BP through its effects on peripheral resistance. No significant autotransfusion effect was present, and there was a suggestive impairment in oxygen metabolism.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Intensity and amount of physical activity in relation to insulin sensitivity: the Insulin Resistance Atherosclerosis Study.

CONTEXT: Exercise training is associated with improved insulin sensitivity (SI), but the potential impact of habitual, nonvigorous activity is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether habitual, nonvigorous physical activity, as well as vigorous and overall activity, is associated with better SI. DESIGN: A multicultural epidemiologic study. SETTING: The Insulin Resistance Atherosclerosis Study, conducted in Oakland, Calif; Los Angeles, Calif; the San Luis Valley, Colo; and San Antonio, Tex. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1467 men and women of African American, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic white ethnicity, aged 40 to 69 years, with glucose tolerance ranging from normal to mild non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Insulin sensitivity as measured by an intravenous glucose tolerance test. RESULTS: The mean SI for individuals who participated in vigorous activity 5 or more times per week was 1.59 min(-1) x microU(-1) x mL(-1) x 10(-4) (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.39-1.79) compared with 0.90 (95% CI, 0.83-0.97) for those who rarely or never participated in vigorous activity, after adjusting for potential confounders (P<.001). When habitual physical activity (estimated energy expenditure [EEE]) was assessed by 1-year recall of activities, the correlation coefficient between SI and total EEE was 0.14 (P<.001). After adjustment for confounders, vigorous and nonvigorous levels of EEE (metabolic equivalent levels > or = 6.0 and <6.0, respectively) were each positively and independently associated with SI (P< or =.01 for each). The association was attenuated after adjustment for the potential mediators, body mass index (a measure of weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters), and waist-to-hip ratio. Results were similar for subgroups of sex, ethnicity, and diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Increased participation in nonvigorous as well as overall and vigorous physical activity was associated with significantly higher SI. These findings lend further support to current public health recommendations for increased moderate-intensity physical activity on most days.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Racial and ethnic differences in serum cotinine levels of cigarette smokers: Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988-1991.

CONTEXT: Cotinine, a metabolite of nicotine, is a marker of exposure to tobacco smoke. Previous studies suggest that non-Hispanic blacks have higher levels of serum cotinine than non-Hispanic whites who report similar levels of cigarette smoking. OBJECTIVE: To investigate differences in levels of serum cotinine in black, white, and Mexican American cigarette smokers in the US adult population. DESIGN: Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988-1991. PARTICIPANTS: A nationally representative sample of persons aged 17 years or older who participated in the survey. OUTCOME MEASURES: Serum cotinine levels by reported number of cigarettes smoked per day and by race and ethnicity. RESULTS: A total of 7182 subjects were involved in the study; 2136 subjects reported smoking at least 1 cigarette in the last 5 days. Black smokers had cotinine concentrations substantially higher at all levels of cigarette smoking than did white or Mexican American smokers (P<.001). Serum cotinine levels for blacks were 125 nmol/L (22 ng/mL) (95% confidence interval [CI], 79-176 nmol/L [14-31 ng/mL]) to 539 nmol/L (95 ng/mL) (95% CI, 289-630 nmol/L [51-111 ng/mL]) higher than for whites and 136 nmol/L (24 ng/mL) (95% CI, 85-182 nmol/L [15-32 ng/mL]) to 641 nmol/L (113 ng/mL) (95% CI, 386-897 nmol/L [68-158 ng/mL]) higher than for Mexican Americans. These differences do not appear to be attributable to differences in environmental tobacco smoke exposure or in number of cigarettes smoked. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, this study provides the first evidence from a national study that serum cotinine levels are higher among black smokers than among white or Mexican American smokers. If higher cotinine levels among blacks indicate higher nicotine intake or differential pharmacokinetics and possibly serve as a marker of higher exposure to cigarette carcinogenic components, they may help explain why blacks find it harder to quit and are more likely to experience higher rates of lung cancer than white smokers.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1996

Modelling irregularly sampled profiles of non-negative dog triglyceride responses under different distributional assumptions.

General methodology for modelling series of non-negative data observed at unequally spaced times is developed. The parameterization enables both the importance of the serial association, as well the 'order' of this dependence to be expressed. An example is given where the effects of three fibre based diets on dog triglyceride profiles are analysed and compared. Many different types of models based on common distributions such as the normal, exponential, gamma, Weibull and log-normal observations are presented. Comparison of possibly non-nested models fitted on the same data set is made using the Akaike criterion.

Animals↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Design considerations for estimation of exposure effects on disease risk, using aggregate data studies.

Previously we proposed an aggregate data study design for estimation of exposure effects from population-based disease rates and covariate data from risk factor surveys in each population group. A basic relative rate model specified for individuals is aggregated to produce a random effects relative rate model for the disease rates. Relative rate parameter estimates from aggregate data studies target the same parameters as individual-level studies but use between-group information in the data. We distinguish aggregate data studies from ecologic studies. Considerations in the design of aggregate studies are motivated by the need to gain clearer understanding of the role of diet in cancer aetiology. Simulation studies show that increasing the number of populations included in an aggregate data study from about 20 to 30-40 gives greater improvement in power than corresponding increases in the size of the survey sample in each population over an initial size of 100 individuals.

Aged↗
PubMed1999

Trichloroethene degradation in a two-step system by methylosinus trichosporium OB3b. Optimization of system performance: use of formate and methane.

The breakdown of dissolved TCE in a two-step bioremediation system is described. In the first reactor, the organism Methylosinus trichosporium OB3b is grown; in the second reactor, consisting of three 17-L column reactors in series, the cells degrade TCE. A special design allowed both for the addition of air (uG,s = 0.01-0. 04 mm s-1) in the conversion reactor to prevent oxygen limitation while minimizing stripping of TCE, and for the use of methane as exogenous electron donor. In two-step systems presented thus far, only formate was used (excess, 20 mM). We found formate additions could be reduced by 75% (15 degrees C), whereas small amounts of methane (0.02-0.04 mol CH4/g cells) could replace formate and led to equally optimal results. Example calculations show that up to 90% reduction in operating cost of chemicals can be obtained by using methane instead of formate. A model was developed to describe each of the conditions studied: excess formate and optimal methane addition, suboptimal formate addition and suboptimal methane addition. Using parameters obtained from independent batch experiments, the model gives a very good description of the overall TCE conversion in the two-step system. The system presented is flexible (oxygen/methane addition) and can easily be scaled up for field application. The model provides a tool for the design of an effective and low-cost treatment system based on methane addition in the conversion reactor.

Biodegradation, Environmental↗