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PubMed2026

Effectiveness of Internet-Delivered Cognitive Behavioural Therapy (ICBT) in Improving Weight-Loss and Psychosocial Well-Being Among Adults With High BMI: A Systematic Review.

AIM: To examine the effectiveness of Internet-delivered Cognitive Behaviour Therapy (ICBT) in improving psychosocial well-being and promoting weight-loss in adults ≥ 18 years with BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2. BACKGROUND: Global obesity engenders significant physical and psychosocial health consequences. Second-wave ICBT focused on restructuring negative thoughts and behaviours has been explored as a potential intervention for elevated BMI and mental health concerns, but its effectiveness remains to be fully established, making further evaluation essential. METHODS AND DATA SOURCES: Eight databases were searched from inception to January 2025 for randomised controlled trials (RCTs), including participants ≥ 18 years with BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 and second-wave ICBT evaluating BMI, weight, depression, eating behaviours, and self-esteem. This review followed PRISMA 2020. Study quality was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias (ROB 2) and GRADE. Data were extracted using a modified Cochrane form. Random-effects meta-analysis calculated Standardised Mean Differences (SMD) with 95% confidence intervals, with subgroup analyses exploring heterogeneity. RESULTS: Nine trials with 2278 participants were included. Significant improvements were seen in BMI, weight, and depressive symptoms while self-esteem effects were small and non-significant. Compared with passive controls, ICBT showed greater improvements in BMI and weight, whereas differences versus active control were smaller and inconsistent. Face-to-face CBT demonstrated superior outcomes for depression and self-esteem. Male-tailored interventions showed greater improvements. Shorter programmes yielded larger short-term weight loss, while longer programmes supported more sustained effects. Narrative synthesis indicated improvements in emotional and external eating, with increased mindful and restrictive eating behaviours. CONCLUSION: ICBT improved weight, BMI, and depressive symptoms, with limited evidence for self-esteem. Male-tailored interventions and longer programmes may enhance sustainable outcomes. IMPACT: Future ICBT programs should integrate strategies targeting sustainable weight loss and psychosocial well-being to support long-term outcomes. NO PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: Patients or members of the public were not involved, as this study synthesised previously published data. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO registration number: CRD42024497961.

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PubMed2026

Association of time-averaged systemic immune-inflammation indices with in-hospital mortality after intracerebral hemorrhage: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammation plays a central role in secondary brain injury following intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Although inflammatory indices such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) are linked to poor outcomes, their associations with mortality are commonly assumed to be linear, potentially overlooking nonlinear patterns where mortality risk rises steeply at higher levels. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using the MIMIC-IV database, including 440 patients with non-traumatic ICH who were alive and remained in the ICU for at least 72 h after admission. Mean NLR, SII, and SIRI were calculated from measurements obtained during this period. Multivariable logistic regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were applied to assess their independent and nonlinear associations with in-hospital mortality. Model discrimination and calibration were internally validated using 1,000 bootstrap resamples. RESULTS: The in-hospital mortality rate was 26.1%. After multivariable adjustment, NLR and SIRI remained independently associated with mortality. Patients in the highest SIRI quartile had the highest risk of death (aOR = 5.12; 95% CI: 2.57-12.24; p < 0.001). RCS analysis revealed a significant nonlinear association between SIRI and mortality (p-nonlinearity < 0.05), showing a steep risk increase at higher SIRI levels. Adding SIRI to the base model provided a modest improvement in discrimination (AUC 0.762 to 0.785, p = 0.045) and significantly improved risk reclassification (cNRI = 0.4778, p < 0.001; IDI = 0.0240, p = 0.0151). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with ICH who met the 72-hour eligibility criterion, higher 72-hour average SIRI was independently associated with in-hospital mortality. As a time-averaged measure, SIRI should be interpreted as a dynamic marker integrating the initial inflammatory state and the early clinical course rather than as a purely baseline prognostic factor. Although adding SIRI to the base model modestly improved discrimination and risk reclassification, it should be considered a candidate prognostic marker requiring external validation before clinical application.

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PubMed2026

ALID score for treatment-effect heterogeneity of adjunctive low-voltage area ablation in persistent atrial fibrillation: A post hoc analysis of SUPPRESS-AF.

BACKGROUND: In persistent atrial fibrillation (AF), the incremental benefit of adjunctive low-voltage area (LVA) ablation beyond pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) remains inconsistent. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether a simple clinical score characterizes treatment-effect heterogeneity of adjunctive LVA ablation among patients with mapped LVA > 5 cm2 and to perform an exploratory supportive analysis in an independent randomized cohort. METHODS: In this post-hoc analysis of SUPPRESS-AF, which included patients with persistent AF and mapped LVA > 5 cm2 after PVI, four variables-age ≥ 75 years, left atrial diameter > 44 mm, estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and absence of diabetes-were combined into the ALID score (0-4). Patients were stratified into low (0-1), intermediate (2), and high (3-4) score groups. Because EARNEST-PVI did not use LVA-guided ablation or select patients based on mapped LVA, it was analyzed as an exploratory supportive cohort rather than as an external validation cohort. RESULTS: In SUPPRESS-AF (n = 336), a significant treatment-by-score interaction was observed (P < 0.001). Adjunctive LVA ablation was associated with increased recurrence in the low-score stratum (HR 3.92; 95% CI 1.50-10.20) and reduced recurrence in the high-score stratum (HR 0.48; 95% CI 0.26-0.86). In EARNEST-PVI (n = 494), a qualitatively similar interaction pattern was observed for additional ablation beyond PVI (interaction P = 0.029), although the ablation strategy differed from LVA-guided ablation. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with persistent AF and mapped LVA >5 cm2, the ALID score identified heterogeneity in response to adjunctive LVA ablation. These hypothesis-generating findings require prospective validation before clinical implementation.

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PubMed2026

Machine learning-based prediction of unplanned readmission and construction of an online calculator for elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To screen for independent risk factors for unplanned readmission in elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke, and to construct and validate an online risk prediction calculator based on an interpretable machine learning model, thereby providing a promising practical tool for accurate clinical assessment of 30‑day all‑cause unplanned readmission risk in this population. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted, including 1050 patients aged ≥ 60 years with mild ischemic stroke admitted between August 2023 and September 2024. Participants were randomly divided into a training set (840 cases) and a test set (210 cases) at a ratio of 8:2. Risk factors were screened by univariate analysis and multivariable Logistic regression. Four machine learning models, namely LightGBM, XGBoost, Random Forest, and K‑Nearest Neighbors (KNN), were developed and their performance was evaluated using AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity as metrics. The SHAP framework was used for interpretability analysis, and an online calculator was subsequently developed based on the optimal model. RESULTS: Univariate analysis showed significant differences (P < 0.05) in 13 factors including age, smoking, AIP, TyG index, HALP score, etc. Multivariable Logistic regression identified age (OR = 9.752), smoking (OR = 5.171), AIP (OR = 6.691), TyG index (OR = 4.393), HALP score (OR = 2.831), and ≥ 2 comorbidities (OR = 3.664) as independent risk factors. All four machine learning models demonstrated good predictive performance. Based on a comprehensive evaluation of multiple metrics and computational efficiency, the LightGBM model exhibited the best predictive performance (AUC = 0.884, accuracy = 0.829, sensitivity = 0.812, specificity = 0.875). SHAP analysis showed that age, AIP, TyG index, smoking, and HALP score were key predictors. An online calculator developed based on this model enables individualized risk predictions. CONCLUSION: Key risk factors associated with 30‑day unplanned readmission in elderly patients with mild ischemic stroke were identified. The LightGBM model demonstrated high predictive accuracy, and together with the interpretability analysis and online calculator, offers a practical tool to support clinical risk assessment. However, this tool requires future external validation.

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PubMed2026

Once-weekly IcoSema versus once-daily insulin glargine U100 in type 2 diabetes management (COMBINE 4): an open-label, multicentre, treat-to-target, randomised, phase 3b trial.

BACKGROUND: Stepwise treatment intensification is recommended for managing type 2 diabetes, including insulin initiation when non-insulin glucose-lowering medications are insufficient. Guidelines recommend combining a GLP-1 receptor agonist with basal insulin to improve glycaemic efficacy while reducing weight gain and hypoglycaemia risk. COMBINE 4 evaluated the efficacy and safety of IcoSema, a once-weekly combination therapy of basal insulin icodec and semaglutide (a GLP-1-receptor agonist) versus insulin glargine U100 (glargine U100) in people with type 2 diabetes on oral glucose-lowering medications. METHODS: COMBINE 4 was a 40-week, randomised, open-label, treat-to-target, phase 3b trial conducted across 97 sites in nine countries. Adults (aged ≥18 years) with type 2 diabetes (HbA1c ≥8·0%) receiving oral glucose-lowering medications were randomly allocated in a 1:1 ratio without stratification to IcoSema or once-daily glargine U100. The titration target was 3·9-5·0 mmol/L (70-90 mg/dL). The primary endpoint was change in HbA1c and the secondary confirmatory endpoint was change in bodyweight, both from baseline to week 40, evaluated in all randomly allocated participants. Adverse events were recorded during weeks 0-45. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT06269107) and is complete. FINDINGS: Of 653 individuals screened between Feb 15 and Aug 6, 2024, 151 did not meet screening criteria and 17 withdrew before initiating treatment; 243 were randomised to IcoSema and 242 to glargine U100. Of the 485 randomly allocated participants, 286 (59%) were male and 199 (41%) were female, and median age was 58 years (range 26-82). For HbA1c, from baseline (9·57% for IcoSema and 9·50% for glargine U100), mean change to week 40 was greater with IcoSema versus glargine U100 (-3·32 vs -2·44 percentage points; estimated treatment difference [ETD] -0·88 percentage points [95% CI -1·12 to -0·63]), confirming superiority of IcoSema (p<0·001). From baseline to week 40, mean bodyweight decreased with IcoSema and increased with glargine U100 (-0·79 vs 3·81 kg; ETD -4·61 kg [95% CI -5·46 to -3·75]), confirming superiority of IcoSema (p<0·001). Rate of combined clinically significant (blood glucose <3·0 mmol/L [<54 mg/dL], confirmed with a blood glucose meter) or severe hypoglycaemia (severe cognitive impairment requiring external assistance for recovery) was statistically significantly lower with IcoSema versus glargine U100 (0·29 vs 0·59 episodes per person-year of exposure; estimated rate ratio 0·56 [95% CI 0·32 to 0·97]; p=0·04). Gastrointestinal disorders were the most frequently reported adverse events with IcoSema. INTERPRETATION: Once-weekly IcoSema demonstrated superior HbA1c reduction and bodyweight change, with lower rates of clinically significant or severe hypoglycaemia, versus glargine U100, suggesting that IcoSema might be an effective once-weekly treatment option for insulin-naive individuals with type 2 diabetes inadequately controlled on oral glucose-lowering medications. FUNDING: Novo Nordisk.

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