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PubMed2026

Skin cell suspension autograft as an evidence-based innovation in burn and wound treatment: A systematic review of global evidence across two decades.

BACKGROUND: Skin cell suspension autograft (SCSA) is a point-of-care approach to wound management facilitating epithelialization while reducing burden associated with conventional autografting. Despite growing clinical use of SCSA across diverse wound etiologies, the global clinical evidence describing its use has not yet been comprehensively synthesized. METHODS: A systematic review was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyzes (PRISMA) guidelines to identify studies between January 2000 and December 2024 reporting clinical use of SCSA for wound closure. Data on patient demographics, wound characteristics, and treatment methods were extracted. Clinical, safety, and health economic outcomes were extracted for comparative studies evaluating SCSA against control treatments. RESULTS: Ninety-nine studies across 13 countries were included. Across the overall dataset, SCSA was used alone or in combination with autografting for burns, surgical wounds, traumatic injuries, inflammatory conditions, and chronic wounds. Among comparative studies (n=27), SCSA consistently reduced donor skin, and healing outcomes favored SCSA in 61%, while 39% reported equivalent outcomes. Pain and esthetic outcomes more frequently favored SCSA, while safety outcomes were generally similar, with some studies favoring comparators. Health-economic outcomes suggested potential reductions in length of stay and resource utilization, although findings were variable across studies. CONCLUSION: The available global evidence supports SCSA as a versatile modality for supporting epidermal coverage across wound types and clinical contexts. However, the findings should be interpreted in the context of the limitations of this review, which include heterogenous study designs, variable outcome reporting, predominance of non-randomized data, and the absence of a formal quantitative analysis. Nevertheless, the demonstrated clinical and economic benefits in comparative studies reinforce the role of SCSA as an evidence-based innovation for burn and wound treatment.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Association of time-averaged systemic immune-inflammation indices with in-hospital mortality after intracerebral hemorrhage: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammation plays a central role in secondary brain injury following intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Although inflammatory indices such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) are linked to poor outcomes, their associations with mortality are commonly assumed to be linear, potentially overlooking nonlinear patterns where mortality risk rises steeply at higher levels. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using the MIMIC-IV database, including 440 patients with non-traumatic ICH who were alive and remained in the ICU for at least 72 h after admission. Mean NLR, SII, and SIRI were calculated from measurements obtained during this period. Multivariable logistic regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were applied to assess their independent and nonlinear associations with in-hospital mortality. Model discrimination and calibration were internally validated using 1,000 bootstrap resamples. RESULTS: The in-hospital mortality rate was 26.1%. After multivariable adjustment, NLR and SIRI remained independently associated with mortality. Patients in the highest SIRI quartile had the highest risk of death (aOR = 5.12; 95% CI: 2.57-12.24; p < 0.001). RCS analysis revealed a significant nonlinear association between SIRI and mortality (p-nonlinearity < 0.05), showing a steep risk increase at higher SIRI levels. Adding SIRI to the base model provided a modest improvement in discrimination (AUC 0.762 to 0.785, p = 0.045) and significantly improved risk reclassification (cNRI = 0.4778, p < 0.001; IDI = 0.0240, p = 0.0151). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with ICH who met the 72-hour eligibility criterion, higher 72-hour average SIRI was independently associated with in-hospital mortality. As a time-averaged measure, SIRI should be interpreted as a dynamic marker integrating the initial inflammatory state and the early clinical course rather than as a purely baseline prognostic factor. Although adding SIRI to the base model modestly improved discrimination and risk reclassification, it should be considered a candidate prognostic marker requiring external validation before clinical application.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Pulmonary artery catheters or central venous catheters for cardiac surgery: the PUMA Pilot randomised clinical trial.

INTRODUCTION: Pulmonary artery catheters are used widely in cardiac surgery despite observed associations with worse outcomes and guidelines that recommend against their routine use. No adequately powered randomised trials are available. METHODS: The PUMA Pilot was a multicentre, randomised, parallel assignment, open-label, pilot and feasibility trial conducted at three tertiary cardiac surgery centres. Eligible patients were adults undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting, aortic valve replacement or surgery on the aortic root or ascending aorta with or without aortic valve replacement, with a predicted surgical mortality of < 2%. Patients were allocated randomly to receive a pulmonary artery catheter or a central venous catheter inserted immediately before surgery. The primary feasibility outcome was protocol compliance, defined as receiving the assigned intervention without crossover. Secondary feasibility outcomes were eligibility rate; recruitment proportion and rate; data completeness; and rate of clinician refusal. RESULTS: We screened 480 patients and 206 (43%) were eligible; 150/203 (74%) approached provided informed consent. Three of 206 (1%) eligible patients were not included due to clinician refusal. Of 149 patients who were randomised, 76 were assigned to the pulmonary artery catheter group and 73 to the central venous catheter group. For the primary feasibility outcome, 147 patients (99%) received the allocated intervention. Data were complete for 144 (97%) patients. Median (IQR [range]) days alive and at home at 30 days was 23.7 (21.9-24.7 [7.0-26.0]) in the pulmonary artery catheter group and 22.9 (20.8-23.9 [8.6-25.8]) in the central venous catheter group. Acute kidney injury occurred in 26/76 (34%) patients in the pulmonary artery catheter group and 14/73 (19%) in the central venous catheter group. DISCUSSION: A randomised trial of pulmonary artery catheters compared with central venous catheters in low-risk cardiac surgery is feasible. Such a trial would address significant practice variability and inform international guidelines.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Intravenous Nicorandil in Patients With ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction Undergoing Primary PCI: The CLEAN Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Nicorandil, an adenosine triphosphate-sensitive potassium-channel opener with nitrate-like properties, may reduce reperfusion injury and microvascular obstruction in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), but large-scale randomized evidence on long-term clinical outcomes is inconclusive. OBJECTIVES: The CLEAN trial aimed to assess whether adjunctive intravenous nicorandil improves 12-month clinical outcomes in patients with STEMI undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention. METHODS: In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial conducted at 49 hospitals in China, patients aged 18 to 80 years with STEMI within 12 hours of symptom onset were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive intravenous nicorandil (6 mg bolus before reperfusion followed by 6 mg/h infusion for 48 h) or matching placebo. Oral nicorandil was prohibited during follow-up. The primary outcome was a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, target vessel revascularization, or unplanned hospitalization for heart failure within 12 months. RESULTS: Between January 2021 and December 2023, 1,503 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to nicorandil (n = 748) or placebo (n = 755). The primary composite outcome occurred in 98 patients (13.1%) in the nicorandil group (113 events over 717.2 person-years) and 99 (13.1%) in the placebo group (136 events over 710.3 person-years), with no significant difference between groups (rate ratio: 0.869; 95% CI: 0.650-1.162; P = 0.3429). Among secondary outcomes, nominal reductions were observed in cardiovascular death (1.9% vs 3.6%; HR: 0.515; 95% CI: 0.269-0.983) and target-vessel revascularization (1.1% vs 3.0%; HR: 0.322; 95% CI: 0.143-0.727), whereas rates of nonfatal myocardial infarction and unplanned hospitalization for heart failure were similar between groups. Adverse events did not differ between groups. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with STEMI undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention, adjunctive intravenous nicorandil did not significantly reduce the 12-month primary composite outcome. These findings do not support routine use of intravenous nicorandil in unselected patients with STEMI. (Clinical Efficacy and sAfety of Intravenous Nicorandil; NCT04665648).

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Effects of Photobiomodulation Therapy in Lateral Luxation of Anterior Permanent Teeth: A Randomized, Double-Blind Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Among the traumatic dental injuries (TDIs), lateral luxation may present poor prognosis due to frequent root resorption and consequent tooth loss. Photobiomodulation therapy (PBMT) modulates cellular activities (proliferation, differentiation, growth factor secretion) and may improve outcomes. OBJECTIVE: This randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial evaluated PBMT (660 vs. 808 nm) for post-operative pain and pulp sensitivity recovery in lateral luxation of permanent anterior teeth. METHODS: Initially, 41 patients were included, with a total of 63 teeth traumatized by lateral luxation and were allocated to G1 (n = 21): Splinting + sham PBM (placebo), G2 (n = 21): Splinting + 808 nm infrared PBM and G3 (n = 21): Splinting + 660 nm red PBM. Four weekly sessions (3 J/point, 3 points) were administered. Pain (by numeric rating scale) and pulp sensitivity (by cold test) were assessed weekly. Pain was analyzed using the Kruskal-Wallis test, followed by multiple comparisons using Dunn's method with Bonferroni correction, and pulp sensitivity by a logistic regression model (p < 0.05). RESULTS: Three participants (total of 5 teeth) were excluded due to loss to follow-up. Fifty-eight teeth were analyzed (G1 = 21, G2 = 17, G3 = 20). Pain: All groups showed a significant reduction in pain over time (p < 0.001). Both G2 and G3 demonstrated a significantly greater reduction in pain compared to G1 (p < 0.001 and p = 0.026, respectively). No significant difference in pain reduction was observed between G2 and G3. Pulp sensitivity: G2 showed a significant improvement over time (p < 0.001), despite starting from a more unfavorable baseline. In contrast, no significant change in pulp sensitivity was observed for G1 or G3 between the initial and final assessments. CONCLUSION: Within the limitations of this clinical study, all intervention groups were effective in reducing pain in lateral luxation of permanent anterior teeth, with superior results for laser groups compared to the placebo. However, only the 808 nm laser irradiation protocol demonstrated a significant improvement in pulp sensitivity, suggesting it may offer a more complete therapeutic response.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Colchicine to prevent cardiovascular events in thoracic surgery patients with or without coronary artery disease: a secondary analysis.

OBJECTIVES: This exploratory post hoc secondary analysis of the Colchicine for the Prevention of Perioperative Atrial Fibrillation (COP-AF) randomised controlled trial evaluated the association between coronary artery disease (CAD) and postoperative ischaemic outcomes after non-cardiac thoracic surgery and assessed whether colchicine had differential effects by CAD status. METHODS: Patients were randomised to colchicine 0.5 mg or placebo two times per day for 10 days. Follow-up was 14 days. The primary outcome was myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery (MINS). A key secondary outcome was the composite of death, MINS and stroke. Cox proportional hazards models assessed the association between CAD and outcomes, with interaction terms to explore whether colchicine had differential effects by CAD status. RESULTS: Of 3209 patients enrolled, 331 (10.3%) had CAD. MINS occurred in 29.3% (n=97) and 18.2% (n=523) of patients with and without CAD, adjusted HR (aHR) 1.53 (95% CI 1.22 to 1.92; p<0.001). For colchicine versus placebo, the HR for MINS was 0.82 (95% CI 0.55 to 1.22) in CAD versus 0.91 (95% CI 0.77 to 1.08) in non-CAD patients (p for interaction=0.61). Death, stroke or MINS occurred in 30.2% (n=100) vs 18.6% (n=535), respectively (aHR 1.53, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.91; p<0.001). Colchicine HRs were 0.77 (95% CI 0.52 to 1.14) vs 0.91 (95% CI 0.76 to 1.07; p for interaction=0.45). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with CAD undergoing thoracic surgery had a higher risk of MINS and other ischaemic outcomes than non-CAD patients. There was no evidence that the effect of colchicine differed between patients with and without CAD; however, these analyses were limited by sample size and do not exclude modest differences between subgroups.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Multi-omics reveals that burdock seed aglycone alleviates renal fibrosis by restoring mitochondrial oxidative phosphorylation function.

Renal fibrosis (RF), a common pathological process driving chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression to end-stage renal failure, is closely associated with oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS). Arctigenin (ATG), the main active component of burdock seed, exhibits anti-inflammatory and anti-fibrotic activities, but its mechanisms in RF treatment remain unclear. Here, we performed integrated transcriptomic and proteomic analyses to identify key targets and pathways of ATG in a unilateral ureteral obstruction-induced rat RF model. Multi-omics enrichment analysis revealed that NDUFS8 and NDUFS2 were the core targets of ATG, with the OXPHOS pathway as the central intersecting pathway. Our results suggest that ATG exerts anti-renal fibrosis effects by targeting the OXPHOS pathway to inhibit excessive reactive oxygen species production and oxidative stress. SIGNIFICANCE: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) continues to impose an escalating global health and socioeconomic burden, while renal fibrosis (RF), as the convergent pathological endpoint of virtually all progressive nephropathies, remains the principal determinant of irreversible renal failure and adverse clinical outcomes. Despite extensive efforts to develop antifibrotic therapies, effective clinical interventions remain elusive, largely due to the complex and multifactorial nature of RF pathogenesis. In this study, we employed an integrated multi-omics framework encompassing transcriptomics, proteomics, and metabolomics to systematically decipher the antifibrotic mechanism of arctigenin (ATG), a bioactive natural compound derived from traditional Chinese medicine. Our findings identify mitochondrial oxidative phosphorylation as the pivotal regulatory axis underlying the renoprotective effects of ATG and further establish key catalytic subunits of mitochondrial complex I as its direct molecular targets. Mechanistically, ATG not only restores complex I activity and reprograms mitochondrial energy metabolism but also preserves the intracellular stability and localization of these subunits, thereby preventing their aberrant release-mediated inflammatory activation and disrupting the self-perpetuating cycle linking metabolic dysfunction, inflammation, and fibrosis progression. Beyond revealing a previously unrecognized dual mechanism integrating metabolic and inflammatory regulation, this study provides compelling evidence that mitochondrial dysfunction is not merely a secondary consequence of tissue injury but a fundamental driver of fibrotic remodeling. Importantly, our work highlights the translational potential of natural product-based mitochondrial interventions for CKD treatment and supports a broader conceptual shift toward metabolism-centered therapeutic strategies for chronic fibrotic diseases. Given the central role of mitochondrial dysfunction across multiple organs, these findings may also have far-reaching implications for the treatment of systemic fibrosis-related disorders beyond the kidney.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

Bi-compartmental CSF-serum analysis of NfL and GFAP differentiates central and peripheral pathology in neuroinfectious diseases: A monocentric real-world cohort study.

Neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), established biomarkers of neuroaxonal injury and astroglial pathology, are frequently only assessed in blood, which limits conclusions regarding their origin. Bi-compartmental analyses of CSF and serum may help differentiate central or peripheral origin of biomarker elevation. Moreover, studies on NfL and GFAP in distinct neuroinfectious disease (NID) phenotypes, particularly those based on real-world cohorts, are limited. This retrospective monocentric study analyzed CSF and serum from patients with (meningo-)encephalitis/myelitis (TI+; n = 48), meningitis (TI-; n = 80), (cranial) nerve palsies/polyradiculitis (PND; n = 61), and 113 non-neuroinflammatory/non-neurodegenerative controls. A bi-compartmental model using scatter plots and simple linear regression was applied to assess the origin of blood biomarker levels and discriminate between central and peripheral pathology. CSF and serum NfL and GFAP z-scores were significantly higher in TI+ compared with TI- (CSF-GFAP p < 0.001/sGFAP p = 0.0083; CSF-NfL p = 0.003/sNfL p = 0.0004). TI+ and PND differed only in GFAP levels, which were higher in TI+ (CSF-GFAP p = 0.0049/sGFAP p = 0.003). The overall group effect (p ≤ 0.003) and principal findings remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, QAlb, and time since (symptom) onset to LP. Bi-compartmental analysis revealed simultaneous elevation of CSF and serum NfL in TI+, indicating predominantly central origin, whereas PND demonstrated a shift toward higher sNfL levels suggesting peripheral origin. Higher clinical severity (modified Rankin Scale 3-5) was associated with elevated serum and CSF GFAP and NfL (sGFAP p = 0.012/sNfL p = 0.002; CSF-GFAP p < 0.0001/CSF-NfL p = 0.0001), which also predicted unfavorable outcome at discharge (sGFAP p = 0.006/sNfL p = 0.004; CSF-GFAP p = 0.003/CSF-NfL p = 0.012). NfL and GFAP were associated with brain/myelon involvement in NID, predominantly reflecting central pathology. Despite strong CSF-serum correlations, bi-compartmental approaches provide additional insight into biomarker origin and disease compartment.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

A standardised risk-stratified approach to the urological management of children with spina bifida.

BACKGROUND: The establishment of a multidisciplinary spina bifida (SB) clinic in 2006 resulted in a review of the literature and an audit of renal outcomes based on then management practices. The audit showed 17% new onset renal scarring over a mean 5.8-year follow-up period. This prompted the development of a local protocol based on risk stratification combining serial ultrasound and non-invasive bladder function assessments, with invasive urodynamic studies reserved for high-risk patients. OBJECTIVE: This study sought to assess the impact of a risk stratified protocol on renal scarring and continence outcomes in children with SB. METHODS: A single centre, retrospective case review of SB patients treated after the introduction of the protocol was conducted. Electronic medical records were used to access patient demographics, continence status and the results of investigations and adherence to the local management protocol. Management that deviated from the protocol was deemed non-adherence. Renal scarring was determined by the presence of scarring on DMSA renogram. Continence was defined as having no urinary incontinence or no more than a single episode of incontinence in a month in patients above the age of 5. For statistical analysis, descriptive statistics in percentages were used, for comparisons of dichotomous variables the Students t-test was performed and to calculate statistical significance a Fisher exact test was done. RESULTS: 167 SB patients were identified with a mean follow up of 56 months. 141 patients were considered adherent to the protocol, 26 were non-adherent. In the protocol adherent group 5 patients (3.5%) developed renal scarring compared with 6 patients (23%) managed out of protocol (p = 0.002). Overall, 49/108 patients were continent either self-voiding 8/108 (7%), with urethral CIC 19/108 (20%) and 22/108 (45%) of them required bladder augmentation. Urinary continence improved with age with 26% continence at age 10, 64% continence by age 15 and 90% continent above 15 years of age. CONCLUSION: A management approach based on risk stratification resulted in incidence of renal scarring that is better than historical controls and comparable to published outcomes. Social continence was achieved in 90% of SB patients by 15 years of age. Hostile bladder changes can be readily identified using non-invasive assessment methods. An expectant treatment approach based on risk stratification is associated with good long term renal outcome and utilises invasive urodynamic resources for SB patients at high risk of renal injury or to address urinary continence in the older child.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Prostate morcellation devices: a systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical outcomes and efficiency.

OBJECTIVE: To systematically evaluate the efficiency and safety of different prostate morcellators used during prostate enucleation for benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). METHODS: A systematic review was performed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analyses guidelines. PubMed/Medline, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched for studies published between October 2012 and May 2025. Studies reporting clinical outcomes of morcellators used during prostate enucleation were included. Primary outcome was morcellation efficiency (g/min). Secondary outcomes included intraoperative complications, device malfunction, and cost when available. Risk of bias (RoB) was assessed using the Risk Of Bias In Non-randomised Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I), RoB 2 tool, and European Association of Urology case-series criteria. Random-effects meta-analyses and multilevel meta-regression adjusted for prostate volume were conducted. RESULTS: A total of 22 studies comprising 5980 patients were included, most undergoing holmium laser enucleation of the prostate. The most frequently evaluated devices were the Piranha™ (Richard Wolf GmbH, Knittlingen, Germany) and Lumenis VersaCut™ (Lumenis Ltd., Yokneam, Israel; 12 and 13 studies, respectively), followed by DrillCut™ (Karl Storz SE & Co. KG, Tuttlingen, Germany), MultiCut™ (Asclepion Laser Technologies GmbH, Jena, Germany), and Cyber Blade™ (Quanta System SpA, Milan, Italy) systems. Unadjusted weighted mean morcellation efficiency was 7.80 g/min (95% confidence interval [CI] 6.26-9.34 g/min) for Piranha, 4.70 g/min (95% CI 3.61-5.79 g/min) for VersaCut, 5.90 g/min (95% CI 3.16-8.64 g/min) for DrillCut, and 9.59 g/min (95% CI 4.78-14.39 g/min) for MultiCut. In volume-adjusted meta-regression using Piranha as reference, VersaCut remained significantly less efficient (-2.75 g/min; 95% CI -4.58 to -0.92 g/min; P = 0.003), with an even greater difference in prostates >70 mL (-4.34 g/min). Bladder mucosal injury was the most frequently reported complication; however, relatively rare across all devices. Meta-analysis demonstrated a significantly higher risk with VersaCut compared to Piranha (risk ratio 3.22, 95% CI 1.81-5.71), with low heterogeneity. CONCLUSION: This systematic review provides a contemporary clinical benchmark of the efficiency and safety of currently available prostate morcellators. Oscillating blade systems, particularly the Piranha morcellator, demonstrated higher morcellation efficiency and a more favourable safety profile than reciprocating blade devices, with the largest performance differences observed in patients with larger prostates.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Metabolic ketosis attenuates NLRP3 inflammasome activation and is associated with improvements in hepatic steatosis and liver stiffness in MASLD: a pilot randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is increasingly recognized as a systemic metabolic-inflammatory disorder in which metabolic stress and innate immune activation, particularly through the NLRP3 inflammasome, contribute to disease progression. Metabolic ketosis, characterized by increased levels of circulating ketone bodies, especially β-hydroxybutyrate, has emerged as a promising strategy to modulate substrate utilization, inflammatory signaling, and hepatic injury. However, clinical evidence integrating molecular, metabolic, and hepatic outcomes remains limited. METHODS: In this pilot randomized controlled trial, 20 participants with newly diagnosed MASLD were randomly assigned to either a 3-month intervention with a daily C8-enriched medium-chain fatty acid formulation (m-CAP; meta-Capridin, providing approximately 20 g/day of C8) or a standardized low-carbohydrate dietary protocol. Metabolic indices, inflammatory mediators, adipokines, and hepatic enzymes were assessed. The expression of key inflammasome components (NLRP3, caspase-1, and ASC) was evaluated in peripheral blood mononuclear cells, and hepatic steatosis and liver stiffness were measured via transient elastography. RESULTS: The C8-enriched intervention was associated with increased circulating β-hydroxybutyrate levels, indicating the achievement of nutritional ketosis. Changes over time were observed in metabolic parameters, including fasting serum glucose (p < 0.05), HOMA-IR (p < 0.05), body fat percentage (p < 0.05), and BMI (p < 0.05). Alterations in inflammatory mediators and adipokine-related outcomes were also observed following the intervention. At the molecular level, changes in inflammasome-related markers were detected, including caspase-1 mRNA expression (p < 0.05) and NLRP3 expression at the transcriptional (p < 0.05) and protein levels (p < 0.01), whereas ASC expression remained unchanged. Changes in hepatic steatosis (p < 0.01) and liver stiffness measurements were observed following the intervention. Given the absence of significant Group × Time interactions for several secondary outcomes, these findings should be interpreted as exploratory and hypothesis-generating. CONCLUSIONS: Induction of metabolic ketosis was associated with changes in metabolic, inflammatory, and hepatic parameters in patients with MASLD. The observed associations between ketosis, inflammasome-related markers, and noninvasive liver outcomes warrant further investigation of ketosis-based interventions as adjunctive approaches in MASLD. Larger and longer-term clinical trials are needed to confirm these findings and to determine whether short-term changes in liver stiffness reflect sustained alterations in hepatic status rather than structural fibrosis regression. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Iranian Registry of Clinical Trials (IRCT); Unique identifier: IRCT20170315033086N12; Registration date: 19 September 2024; Registry URL: https://www.irct.ir. IRCT is a primary registry in the WHO Registry Network (https://www.who.int/tools/clinical-trials-registry-platform/network/primary-registries).

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Direct and spillover hospitalisation patterns during climate hazards across regions of different health-system resilience levels in China: a nationwide retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Health-system resilience serves as a key contributor in mitigating adverse health impacts during climate hazards. However, quantitative insights into resilience-associated health-care utilisation patterns and targeted adaptation policies remain scarce. We aimed to capture the spatiotemporal health impacts in disaster-exposed counties and their neighbouring counties in China during storms, floods, tropical cyclones, and blizzards or winter storms; understand the association between health-system resilience metrics and hazard-attributable hospitalisations; and develop evidence-based adaptation policies towards climate extremes. METHODS: In this retrospective, observational analysis of county-level aggregated hospitalisation data, we used a propensity score matching-difference-in-differences framework to assess the spatiotemporal changes of nine types of disease-specific hospitalisations in both disaster-exposed and neighbouring regions during storms, floods, tropical cyclones, and blizzards in China. We quantified the relative importance and health gains of health-system metrics during such hazards through random forest approach with interpretable partial dependence plots to derive evidence-based adaptation recommendations. FINDINGS: We included hospitalisation data from Jan 1, 2016 to Dec 31, 2023. In this period, 3241 county-hazard event combinations and 41 747 482 hospitalisations were recorded across 955 Chinese counties. The disaster-exposed regions experienced an initial decline in hospitalisation rates, followed by admission surges after disasters. For example, infectious disease admissions decreased by 11·92% (95% CI -10·53 to -13·31) during the flood-active period but increased by 7·68% (6·46-8·91) after 1-2 weeks of floods. Neighbouring zones were also affected through spillover effects, with infectious disease admissions increasing by 3·18% (1·76-4·61) after 1-2 weeks of the floods. Cardiovascular disease, injuries, infectious, respiratory, and mental disorders were more sensitive across all regions. Particularly for disaster-exposed counties, cardiovascular hospitalisations increased by 14·31% (7·34-21·29) during the tropical cyclone-active period. Notably, compared with low-resilience counties, high-resilience counties were associated with 19·48-30·03% smaller hazard-related relative changes in hospitalisation rates during the hazard-active period and 27·07-31·08% smaller hazard-related relative changes in hospitalisation rates in post-hazard periods. For instance, during the storm-active period, the increase in respiratory hospitalisations was 7·21% (0·67-13·75) in high-resilience counties versus 12·13% (5·20-19·05) in low-resilience counties. Health workforce (relative importance 14·58% during the hazard-active period and 13·80% during the post-hazard period) and service delivery (14·10% during the hazard-active period and 14·17% during the post-hazard period) were identified as key contributors of health-system resilience. Empirical synergistic effects were observed when combining interventions during the post-hazard period, with the combined effect of service delivery (individual contribution 8%) and workforce (individual contribution 4%) exceeding the sum of their individual contributions (16% reduction in cumulative excess admissions) by 33%. INTERPRETATION: Climate hazards are associated with substantial changes in hospitalisation rates in both disaster-exposed and neighbouring regions. Health-system resilience is essential in addressing disaster-health challenges. Targeted adaptation interventions should be context-appropriate and threshold-aware, thereby maximising the public health benefits relative to resilience-oriented investments in health systems. FUNDING: Gates Foundation and the National Natural Science Foundation of China.

Journal Article↗