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At least 1,063 records · Page 59Linked to original sources
PubMed2000

The correlation between spontaneous and radiation-induced apoptosis in T3B bladder cancer (histological grade G3), and the precedence between the two kinds of apoptosis for predicting clinical prognosis.

PURPOSE: The correlation between the frequency of spontaneous and radiation-induced apoptosis, and the precedence between those for predicting prognosis were studied at clinical level. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Twenty-one patients (mean age, 65.8 years; 16 men and 5 women) with bladder cancer (transitional cell carcinoma Grade 3, T3bN0M0, Stage IIIb) underwent intraoperative radiotherapy: single 30-Gy 12-MV electron beam irradiation to bladder, followed by total cystectomy 6 h after irradiation. The specimens of pretreatment and irradiated bladder cancer were assayed for apoptosis, using TUNEL staining with counter staining of hematoxylin. The apoptotic index (AI) was calculated by dividing the number of apoptotic cells by the total number of cells and multiplying by 100. The Pearson's linear fitting was used to test the correlation between spontaneous and radiation-induced apoptosis. The Kaplan-Meier product-limit estimation was used for overall survival (OS) and freedom from recurrence (FFR). The precedence between spontaneous and radiation-induced apoptosis for predicting the clinical prognosis was estimated using the proportional hazard regression. RESULTS: The mean AI of spontaneous and radiation-induced apoptosis was 1.18 +/- 0.16 and 2.63 +/- 0.45, respectively, which was significantly different. There was strong correlation between spontaneous and radiation-induced apoptosis (r(2) = 0.864, adjusted r(2) = 0.857). Radiation-induced apoptosis was estimated by equation: y (radiation-induced apoptosis) = 2.67 x (spontaneous apoptosis) -0.52. However, the proportional hazard regression test indicated that only spontaneous apoptosis was significant for predicting OS and FFR (&z.sfnc;t&z.sfnc; > 0.2), but radiation-induced apoptosis was not. CONCLUSION: Estimating AI in radiation-induced apoptosis from AI in spontaneous apoptosis is possible. However, spontaneous apoptosis is more accurate in predicting clinical prognosis.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Tumor hypoxia, p53, and prognosis in cervical cancers.

BACKGROUND: The p53 protein is involved in the regulation of initiation of apoptosis. In vitro, p53-deficient cells do not respond to hypoxia with apoptosis as do p53-normal cells, and this may lead to a relative growth advantage of cells without a functioning p53 under hypoxia. On the basis of this hypothesis, a selection of cells with a functionally inactive p53 may occur in hypoxic tumors. The development of uterine cervical carcinomas is closely associated with infections of human papilloma viruses, which may cause a degradation of the tumor suppressor gene p53, resulting in a restriction of apoptosis. Thus, cervical cancers have often a functionally inactive p53. The purpose of our clinical study was therefore to investigate the association between p53, hypoxia, and prognosis in cervical cancers in which the oxygenation status can be determined by clinical methods. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Seventy patients with locally advanced squamous cell cervical cancer Stages IIB (n = 14), IIIB (n = 49), and IVA (n = 7) were investigated in the period from 1996 through 1999. All were treated with definitive radiotherapy with curative intent by a combination of external radiotherapy plus high-dose-rate afterloading. Before therapy, tumor oxygenation was measured with a needle probe polarographically using the Eppendorf histograph. Hypoxic tumors were defined as those with pO(2) measurements below 5 mm Hg (HF5). Pretreatment biopsies were taken and analyzed immunohistologically for p53 protein expression with the DO-7 antibody. The DNA index was measured by flow cytometry. The statistical data analysis was done with SPSS 9.0 for Windows. RESULTS: The 3-year overall survival was 55% for the whole group of patients. Clinical prognostic factors in a multivariate analysis were pretreatment hemoglobin level (3-year survival 62% for patients with a pretreatment hemoglobin > or =11 g/dl vs. 27% for hemoglobin <11 g/dl, p = 0.006) and FIGO stage (Stage IIB: 65%; Stage IIIB: 60%; Stage IVA: 29%, p = 0.01). Sixty of the 70 tumors showed positive immunohistologic staining for p53 protein (transformed p53 = tp53), and 10/70 were negative (wild-type p53 = wtp53); p53 expression had no significant impact on survival (50% for tp53 vs. 79% for wtp53, p = 0.11). FIGO stage and anemia had no impact on p53 expression. Forty-nine of 70 tumors were hypoxic (HF5+), and 21 showed no hypoxia (HF5-). Hypoxic carcinomas were more frequently positive for p53 as compared to nonhypoxic tumors (27% vs. 13%, p = 0.011) and showed a trend toward a lower survival (48% vs. 70%, p = 0.07). In a further multivariate analysis, the impact of a combination of p53 expression and hypoxia on survival was examined. After adjusting for FIGO stage and pretreatment anemia, patients with wtp53 tumors had the best prognosis (3-year survival 79%) followed by tp53-HF5(-) patients (57%), and the most unfavorable prognosis was observed for tp53-HF5(+) patients (47%). The DNA index was higher in tp53 carcinomas compared to wtp53 tumors, 1.97 +/- 0.4 vs. 1.67 +/- 0.1, p = 0.05. The highest DNA index was found in hypoxic tumors with transformed p53 (2.2 +/- 3.1). CONCLUSIONS: Advanced stage and pretreatment hemoglobin level are independent prognostic factors in cervical carcinomas. The immunohistologic detection of (a functionally inactive) p53 and the presence of hypoxia had no prognostic impact, if analyzed as single parameters. However, the combination of both parameters was able to discriminate different prognostic subgroups. Moreover, hypoxic cancers were more often immunohistologically positive for tp53 protein and had a higher DNA index with the highest DNA index in tumors with both hypoxia and tp53 protein expression. These findings in summary support the theory that the tumor's microenvironment may influence the biologic behavior via hypoxia.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Radiosurgery for brain metastases: a score index for predicting prognosis.

PURPOSE: To analyze a prognostic score index for patients with brain metastases submitted to stereotactic radiosurgery (the Score Index for Radiosurgery in Brain Metastases [SIR]). METHODS AND MATERIALS: Actuarial survival of 65 brain metastases patients treated with radiosurgery between July 1993 and December 1997 was retrospectively analyzed. Prognostic factors included age, Karnofsky performance status (KPS), extracranial disease status, number of brain lesions, largest brain lesion volume, lesions site, and receiving or not whole brain irradiation. The SIR was obtained through summation of the previously noted first five prognostic factors. Kaplan-Meier actuarial survival curves for all prognostic factors, SIR, and recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) (RTOG prognostic score) were calculated. Survival curves of subsets were compared by log-rank test. Application of the Cox model was utilized to identify any correlation between prognostic factors, prognostic scores, and survival. RESULTS: Median overall survival from radiosurgery was 6.8 months. Utilizing univariate analysis, extracranial disease status, KPS, number of brain lesions, largest brain lesion volume, RPA, and SIR were significantly correlated with prognosis. Median survival for the RPA classes 1, 2, and 3 was 20.19 months, 7.75 months, and 3. 38 months respectively (p = 0.0131). Median survival for patients, grouped under SIR from 1 to 3, 4 to 7, and 8 to 10, was 2.91 months, 7.00 months, and 31.38 months respectively (p = 0.0001). Using the Cox model, extracranial disease status and KPS demonstrated significant correlation with prognosis (p = 0.0001 and 0.0004 respectively). Multivariate analysis also demonstrated significance for SIR and RPA when tested individually (p = 0.0001 and 0.0040 respectively). Applying the Cox Model to both SIR and RPA, only SIR reached independent significance (p = 0.0004). CONCLUSIONS: Systemic disease status, KPS, SIR, and RPA are reliable prognostic factors for patients with brain metastases submitted to radiosurgery. Applying SIR and RPA classifications to our patients' data, SIR demonstrated better accuracy in predicting prognosis. SIR should be further tested with larger patient accrual and for all patients with brain metastases subjected or not to stereotactic radiosurgery.

Adult↗
PubMed1985

Correlation between prognosis and degree of lymph node involvement in carcinoma of the head and neck.

The purpose of this report is to discover the correlation between the prognosis and the degree of lymph node involvement in carcinoma of the head and neck. Three hundred and thirty-eight cases of head and neck carcinoma who had undergone neck dissection at the National Cancer Center Hospital from 1962 through 1979 were reviewed and analyzed. The sites of the primary lesions were the oral cavity, larynx, and hypopharynx. Radical whole neck dissection had been performed in 177 cases, partial neck dissection in 97 cases, and bilateral neck dissection in 60 cases. The cervical lymph node metastases from oral cavity carcinoma were mostly confined to L1 and rare in L4 (L-classification by UICC). The prognosis of L4 cases was extremely poor, and thus oral carcinoma cases could be spared posterolateral dissection. The control rate of neck lymph nodes by neck dissection and the prognosis of the patients were influenced by the existence and number of histologically positive nodes. The cervical recurrence rates were 28% of all cases, 11% of histologically negative cases, and 39% of histologically positive cases. Recurrences in the dissected part of the neck were observed in 10% of all cases. The five-year survival rates were 75% of the cases without histologically positive nodes, 35% with histologically positive nodes, 59% with single node metastasis, and 26% with multiple node metastasis.

Carcinoma, Squamous Cell↗
PubMed2001

West syndrome: long-term prognosis and social aspects.

West syndrome (WS) is commonly associated with a poor long-term outcome including a small but significant mortality, infantile spasms that are resistant to treatment, the development of other seizure types and impaired cognitive and psychosocial functioning. It is important to understand that the families of these children also experience significant psychosocial morbidity, which is usually, but not invariably, correlated with persisting seizures beyond the first or second year of life. One of the fundamental points about the prognosis of this epilepsy syndrome is that the natural history (i.e. the outcome of spasms without any medical or surgical intervention) is not known. Numerous factors have been implicated as being important in influencing the long-term prognosis of children with WS. However, the majority of these factors have been identified from retrospective and markedly heterogeneous studies, including different populations and different treatment regimes. The most important prognostic factors are generally recognised to be the underlying aetiology of the syndrome and the presence or absence of pre-existing seizures and/or developmental abnormalities. The rapidity with which the diagnosis is made and treatment started from the onset of spasms (often termed the 'treatment lag') is a possible, though controversial and as yet unproven, factor in the prognosis of WS.

Humans↗
PubMed2001

Long-term prognosis of patients with West syndrome in Japan: social aspects.

Long-term social prognosis of 120 Japanese patients with West syndrome was surveyed using structured questionnaire at the age of 25.4 years in average. The survey revealed that ADL score remained null in one-fifth of cases; the majority entered in special education course for disabled children; only eleven cases were employed as a full-time worker. As to QOL, 60% of cases were spending daily life with joy. In summary, social prognosis of West syndrome is generally gloomy, but a proportion of patients can lead an independent social life, and an enriched social environment is the most influential factor for better prognosis

Adult↗
PubMed1986

Polygraphical study on age dependent epileptic encephalopathy--relationship between body movements during sleep and prognosis.

Body movements (BMs) during sleep in patients with age dependent epileptic encephalopathy (ADEE) were studied polysomnographically in order to clarify the underlying mechanism of intractability and the age dependent trend. Twenty patients were divided into two groups according to the prognosis of convulsions. In the good prognosis group, BMs were nearly normal except for a low frequency in some cases. In the intractable group with seizures which were uncontrollable by medication and recurred within a year, BMs showed abnormalities as follows: abnormal distribution according to sleep stages, and/or a low frequency; increased BMs on therapy with prednisolone or ACTH. Moreover, a paradoxical increase of BMs with age and recurrence of seizures concomitantly occurred in the course of the disease. Status epilepticus appeared in cases under 1-DOPA administration or with a strikingly high frequency of BMs. Since electrophysiological evidence indicates that BMs during sleep are modulated by the dopaminergic (DA) system, the present data might suggest that prognosis of convulsions in ADEE depend upon, at least in part, the DA system. And denervated supersensitivity of that system might give rise to recurrence of seizures and status epilepticus.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2000

The perfusion defect seen with SPECT in West syndrome is not correlated with seizure prognosis or developmental outcome.

We used interictal single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) on 40 patients with West syndrome to determine whether cortical perfusion abnormalities are closely related to the development of West syndrome and whether they are correlated with the long-term seizure prognosis or the developmental outcome. Localized cortical perfusion abnormalities were seen in 24 patients (60%), while 15 patients (38%) were classified as normal. The remaining patient showed hyperperfusion of the basal ganglia bilaterally. Of 24 patients with localized perfusion abnormalities, unifocal cortical hypoperfusion was present in 11, multifocal hypoperfusion in 10, multiple cortical hypo- and hyperperfusion in one, hyperperfusion of the bilateral frontal cortices and brain stem in one, and focal hyperperfusion in the residual frontal cortex in one. For statistical analysis, we focused on 26 patients (cryptogenic; 10, symptomatic; 16), who were followed for more than 2 years after the onset of tonic spasms (mean 5.0 years). The results showed that focal cortical perfusion abnormalities were not correlated with the long-term seizure prognosis, the developmental outcome, or the response to ACTH therapy. In agreement with previous reports, the results of interictal SPECT suggested that focal cortical lesions play an important role in the development of West syndrome. However, statistical analysis showed that the existence of cortical dysfunction as defined by SPECT did not predict the seizure prognosis or the developmental outcome.

Cerebral Cortex↗
PubMed2004

Prevalence, characteristics and prognosis of MEN 1-associated glucagonomas, VIPomas, and somatostatinomas: study from the GTE (Groupe des Tumeurs Endocrines) registry.

UNLABELLED: Few studies have concerned the rare functioning endocrine pancreatic tumors associated with multiple endocrine neoplasia type 1 (MEN 1). When sporadic, these tumors have a poor prognosis. AIM: To analyze the frequency, characteristics and prognosis of MEN 1-associated glucagonomas, VIPomas and somatostatinomas recorded in the GTE (Groupe des Tumeurs Endocrines) registry. METHODS: Records of the patients whose GTE registry codes included glucagonoma, VIPoma or somatostatinoma were reviewed. The diagnosis was confirmed when there were clinical signs of a functioning tumor and/or when blood levels of the peptide were higher than twice the upper limit of normal. RESULTS: Among 580 patients with MEN 1, duodeno-pancreatic involvement was present in 307 (52.9%). Five (1.6%) had a glucagonoma, 3 (0.98%) a VIPoma and 2 (0.65%) a somatostatinoma. A clinical syndrome was present in 1 patient with glucagonoma, in the 3 with VIPomas and in 1 with somatostatinoma. Tumor size was greater than 3 cm more often for these rare tumours (67%) than in patients with other type of duodeno-pancreatic involvement (28%) (P=0.02) and visceral metastases were more frequent (40% vs 15%; P=0.056). Ten-year survival of patients with glucagonomas, VIPomas or somatostatinomas (53.8%; CI95%: 15.5-92.1) was poorer than that of patients with insulinomas (91.4%; CI95%: 83.399.5; P=0.01) or gastrinomas (81.7%; CI95%: 74.9-88.5; P=0.20) and close to that of patients with non-functioning tumors (62.2%, CI95%: 41.0-83.9; NS). CONCLUSION: Glucagonomas, VIPomas and somatostatinomas, especially the functioning type, are very rare in patients with MEN 1. Prognosis is poor, probably because of large tumor size and high rate of metastasis. Survival is similar to that in patients with non-functioning tumors.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1983

Prognosis and treatment of asymptomatic coronary artery disease.

Despite the large number of studies dealing with the natural history of angiographically defined coronary artery disease, there is still a paucity of data on the prognosis of totally asymptomatic persons. From the small number of reported studies, it appears that prognosis in selected asymptomatic patients may be better than that of symptomatic patients. However, the annual mortality rate in the subgroup of asymptomatic patients with triple vessel disease was as high as 4 to 5% in some studies that included patients with prior myocardial infarction or mild symptoms, or both. This has reinforced the views of those who advocate a more aggressive medical/surgical approach to asymptomatic patients with left main and triple vessel disease, especially if they have had a prior infarction. Although several small series of surgically treated patients have been reported to have excellent short-term survival rates, the absence of adequate control groups in nearly all of these studies has left the issue of prophylactic revascularization unresolved. Until there is more knowledge of prognosis in patients not operated on, it is likely to remain unresolved.

Angina Pectoris↗
PubMed1997

Implications of prodromal angina pectoris in anterior wall acute myocardial infarction: acute angiographic findings and long-term prognosis.

OBJECTIVES: This study was undertaken to assess how prodromal angina affects long-term prognosis after acute myocardial infarction. BACKGROUND: Although it has been reported that prodromal angina occurring shortly before the onset of acute myocardial infarction has protective effects against ischemia, its implication for long-term prognosis remains unclear. METHODS: We studied consecutive 350 patients with anterior myocardial infarction who underwent coronary angiography within 24 h after the onset of chest pain. Follow-up was achieved for 340 patients (97%). RESULTS: Eighty-nine patients had one or more episodes of angina within 24 h before infarction. On initial angiography, patients with prodromal angina in the 24 h before infarction had a patent infarct-related artery more frequently than did those without prodromal angina (34% vs. 22%, p = 0.03). Among 213 patients who underwent thrombolytic therapy for an occluded infarct-related artery, reperfusion was more frequently achieved in patients with prodromal angina in the 24 h before infarction (76% vs. 56%, p = 0.01). Prodromal angina in the 24 h before infarction was associated with a lower in-hospital mortality rate (6% vs. 14%, p = 0.02) and better 5-year survival (p = 0.009). There was no significant difference in survival between patients with previous angina at any time (n = 202) and those without. Multivariate analysis showed that prodromal angina in the 24 h before infarction was an independent factor related to 5-year survival after acute myocardial infarction (odds ratio 0.49, p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Prodromal angina occurring shortly before the onset of infarction, but not previous angina itself, has a beneficial effect on long-term prognosis after infarction, suggesting a relation to ischemic preconditioning.

Aged↗
PubMed1999

Prognosis of completely asymptomatic adult patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

OBJECTIVES: We investigated the long-term prognosis of completely asymptomatic adult patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC). Diagnosis of HC was suspected because of an abnormal electrocardiogram and/or cardiac murmur and confirmed by echocardiography and/or left ventricular angiography, and hemodynamic investigation. BACKGROUND: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy shows marked heterogeneity in clinical expression and prognosis. The prognosis of asymptomatic patients with HC has not been fully defined. METHODS: Of 128 consecutive adult patients with HC, 58 asymptomatic patients (Group 1, mean age 42.8 years) and 70 symptomatic patients (Group 2, mean age 50.4 years) were studied to assess cardiac mortality. Mean follow-up periods were 11.0 years for Group 1 and 9.1 years for Group 2. RESULTS: At presentation, Group 1 patients were younger and had smaller left atrial dimensions than did Group 2 patients. The annual cardiac mortality rate and the rate for sudden death alone in Group 1 were significantly lower than in Group 2 (0.9% vs. 1.9%, p < 0.05, 0.1% vs. 1.4%, p < 0.05, respectively). Although about one-third of the survivors in Group 1 had cardiac symptoms at their most recent evaluation, only one patient died suddenly compared with eight in Group 2. The annual mortality rate due to heart failure was similar in each group. Only a syncopal episode was associated with both cardiac death and sudden death for both groups combined. CONCLUSIONS: The cardiac mortality rate for completely asymptomatic adult patients with HC was very low, significantly lower than that of symptomatic patients, and there was a disproportionately low incidence of sudden death.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

Improvement of left ventricular ejection fraction, heart failure symptoms and prognosis after revascularization in patients with chronic coronary artery disease and viable myocardium detected by dobutamine stress echocardiography.

OBJECTIVES: This study was designed to address, in patients with severe ischemic left ventricular dysfunction, whether dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) can predict improvement of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), functional status and long-term prognosis after revascularization. BACKGROUND: Dobutamine stress echocardiography can predict improvement of wall motion after revascularization. The relation between viability, improvement of function, improvement of heart failure symptoms and long-term prognosis has not been studied. METHODS: We studied 68 patients with DSE before revascularization; 62 patients underwent resting echocardiography/radionuclide ventriculography before and three months after revascularization. Long-term follow-up data (New York Heart Association [NYHA] functional class, Canadian Cardiovascular Society [CCS] classification and events) were acquired up to two years. RESULTS: Patients with > or =4 viable segments on DSE (group A, n = 22) improved in LVEF at three months (from 27+/-6% to 33+/-7%, p < 0.01), in NYHA functional class (from 3.2+/-0.7 to 1.6+/-0.5, p < 0.01) and in CCS classification (from 2.9+/-0.3 to 1.2+/-0.4, p < 0.01); in patients with <4 viable segments (group B, n = 40) LVEF and NYHA functional class did not improve, whereas CCS classification improved significantly (from 3.0+/-0.8 to 1.3+/-0.5, p < 0.01). A higher event rate was observed at long-term follow-up in group B versus group A (47% vs. 17%, p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with substantial viability on DSE demonstrated improvement in LVEF and NYHA functional class after revascularization; viability was also associated with a favorable prognosis after revascularization.

Aged↗
PubMed1996

Favourable prognosis of cystadeno- over adenocarcinoma of the pancreas after curative resection.

This report details nine patients after curative surgical resection of histologically proven mucinous cystadenocarcinoma of the pancreas and compares the prognosis with ductal adenocarcinomas. Cystadenocarcinomas represented 2.1% (10/ 466) of a total of 466 patients who underwent surgical exploration and 5.5%, of all curatively resected carcinomas of the exocrine pancreas at Hanover Medical School from 1971 to 1994. Forty percent of adenocarcinomas and 90% of cystadenocarcinomas were resectable. A curative R0 resection was possible in all patients with cystadenocarcinoma and 85 % with adenocarcinoma. Six of the patients with cystadenocarcinoma were female and three were male. Their median age was 54 +/- 12 years (range: 44 to 81 years). Four cystic neoplasms were located in the head, one in the head and body, three in the tail, and one in the body and tail of the pancreas. There was no hospital mortality in this group. The prognosis after resection of cystadenocarcinomas was significantly better compared to ductal adenocarcinomas of the pancreas. The Kaplan-Meier survival was 89% vs 52% after 1 year, and 56% vs 13% at 5 years. Our results indicate the favourable prognosis of cystadeno- over ductal adenocarcinomas of the pancreas in a cohort of patients with curative tumour resection.

Adult↗
PubMed1996

Male breast cancer: clinico-pathological features, immunocytochemical characteristics and prognosis.

A series of 30 cases of male breast cancer in the North-East of Scotland is reviewed. The aims of the study were to document clinico-pathological and immunocytochemical features (available for 25) of these patients and to establish which factors could predict prognosis. Tumours were studied for the expression of oestrogen receptors (ERs), the oestrogen-dependent proteins pS2 and cathepsin D, the oncoprotein products of c-erb-B2 and the p53 tumour-suppressor-gene derived protein. Clinico-pathological features documented were in agreement with those reported by other authors. The overall 5-year survival was 53%. Tumour grade and lymph-node status influenced prognosis. In this series, 64% of the tumours expressed ERs, 50% pS2, 46% cathepsin D, 42% the c-erb-B2 transmembrane oncoprotein and 54% p53. In contrast to female breast cancer, the presence of either substantial amounts of ERs or the oestrogen-dependent protein pS2 correlated with poorer prognosis in males. This correlation has not previously been documented.

Breast Neoplasms, Male↗
PubMed1998

Prognosis in anoxic and traumatic coma.

This article presents a systematic review of the prognostic factors in coma caused by hypoxia and anoxia, and traumatic head injury. In the case of anoxic coma, poor prognosis can be determined very accurately at the bedside by the lack of brainstem reflexes assessed at day three post-insult. Electroencephalogram (EEG) and evoked potentials (i.e., auditory and somatosensory) detect additional patients with poor prognosis. Clinical examination is not as helpful in the case of traumatic coma. Evoked potentials performed within the first week detect approximately half of patients with a poor prognosis. EEG adds only a small amount of prognostic information.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Clinical prognosis, pre-existing conditions and the use of reperfusion therapy for patients with ST segment elevation acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Some evidence-based therapies are underused in patients with a poor prognosis despite the fact that the survival gains would be highest among such patient subgroups. The extent to which this applies for acute, life-saving therapies is unknown. The impact of prognostic characteristics and pre-existing conditions on the use of reperfusion therapy among eligible patients with acute ST segment elevation myocardial infarction is examined. METHODS: Of 2829 acute myocardial infarction patients prospectively identified in 53 acute care hospitals across Ontario, 987 presented with ST segment elevation within 12 h of symptom onset and without any absolute contraindications to reperfusion therapy. The baseline prognosis for each patient was derived from a validated risk-adjustment model of 30-day mortality. Multiple logistical regression was used to examine the relationships among reperfusion therapy, prognosis and the number of pre-existing chronic conditions after adjusting for factors such as age, sex, time since symptom onset and socioeconomic status. RESULTS: Of the 987 appropriate candidates, 725 (73.5%) received reperfusion therapy (70.8% fibrinolysis, 2.6% primary angioplasty). The adjusted odds ratio of reperfusion therapy fell 4% with each 1% increase in baseline risk of death (adjusted OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.00, P=0.04) and fell 18% with each additional pre-existing condition (adjusted OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.90, P<0.001). The number rather than the type of pre-existing conditions inversely correlated with the use of reperfusion therapy. While the impact of baseline risk and pre-existing conditions was additive, pre-existing conditions exerted a greater impact on the nonuse of reperfusion therapy than did baseline risk. CONCLUSIONS: A treatment-risk paradox is demonstrable even within a cohort of lower risk patients with ST segment elevation myocardial infarction. These findings are consistent with the view that these clinical decisions are more likely to be attributable to concerns about patient frailty or side effects than to a misunderstanding of treatment benefits.

Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary↗
PubMed1998

The effect of socio-demographic and crash-related factors on the prognosis of whiplash.

Whiplash injury, common after a motor vehicle crash, has a variable prognosis that is difficult to predict. To assess the role of various factors on this prognosis, we assembled a historical cohort of 3014 individuals who sustained a whiplash injury resulting from a motor vehicle crash in the Province of Quebec, Canada, in 1987 and were followed for 6 years. The data were obtained from the computerized databases created by the province's universal automobile insurance plan and police accident reports. The recovery time from whiplash, as measured by duration of compensation, was the primary outcome. Socio-demographic and crash-related factors measured at the time of the crash were investigated. The median recovery time for the cohort was 31 days, with 22% recovering within a week and 3% still not recovered after 1 year. For the 1551 subjects with a whiplash injury only, the socio-demographic factors that were found to be independently associated with a slower recovery from whiplash in this cohort are female gender, older age, having dependents, and not having full-time employment. The significant crash-related factors are occupancy in a truck or bus, being a passenger in the vehicle, colliding with a moving object, and being in a head-on or perpendicular collision. We classified the subjects according to a prediction score ranging from 0 to 11, devised from these factors. Subjects with a score of 0 to 2, that is those who had at most two risk factors present, had the fastest median recovery time of 19 days compared with 71 days for subjects who had a score of 6 or more. We conclude that several sociodemographic and crash-related factors are independently associated with a slow and costly recovery from whiplash injury. They are easily measurable at the time of the crash and combined so as to be simply incorporated in intervention programs aimed at early identification and management of whiplash patients with a poor prognosis.

Accidents, Traffic↗