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PubMed1985

Medical demography in Denmark. I. From a deficit to a surplus of doctors.

In the 1970s and beginning of the 1980s Denmark like other western countries has experienced a substantial growth in the number of medical doctors. Throughout the country, the doctor population ratio has improved considerably, a number of new specialised methods of examination and treatment have been started, and the need for doctors to work overtime has largely been abolished. At the same time, however, the growth in the number of doctors has also given rise to problems of postgraduate education, unemployment, the emigration. Furthermore, there has been political anxiety about the impact of an ever growing supply of new doctors on the continuous growth in health expenditure. This article briefly describes the development in the number of doctors through the last decades and the status of the current employment of doctors. Problems created by the growth in the number of doctors, and various initiatives to solve the problems and limit the growth in the supply of doctors are examined. A subsequent article will discuss and elucidate the future development in supply and demand on the employment market for doctors. The article begins with a short outline of the Danish health care system.

Denmark↗
PubMed1985

Medical demography in Denmark. II. Prognoses--how to achieve equilibrium?

In keeping with efforts made during the 1970s to achieve a better balance between supply and demand on the employment marker for doctors, several detailed prognoses have been produced for the future development of supply with regard to sex and age structure, mortality, early retirement, frequency of emigration, specialist distribution etc. On the demand side, the prognoses are of a more evaluating character partly because there has not been sufficiently effective methods developed to predict the growth of the demand, partly because the future demand is dependent on a wide range of health, technological, economic and political factors which can hardly be predicted. This article is an account of the main tendencies anticipated in the expansion of the supply of medical doctors in the coming decades. Further, the possibilities for achieving equilibrium between supply and demand in the future employment market will be discussed.

Denmark↗
PubMed1979

Demography, morbidity and mortality in Israel: changes over 30 years.

The last 30 years have seen vast changes in the size and composition of the Jewish and Arab populations of Israel. The Jewish population has increased 4 1/2 times but the proportion of aged has increased 10-fold. Infant mortality has decreased considerably and life expectancy has increased for both sexes and both populations. Patterns of morbidity and mortality have changed from those characteristic of the Middle East to those commonly seen in developed countries, with ischemic heart disease, cancer and stroke the leading causes of death.

Adolescent↗