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BISON: bi-clustering of spatial omics data with feature selection.

MOTIVATION: The advent of next-generation sequencing-based spatially resolved transcriptomics (SRT) techniques has reshaped genomic studies by enabling high-throughput gene expression profiling while preserving spatial and morphological context. Understanding gene functions and interactions in different spatial domains is crucial, as it can enhance our comprehension of biological mechanisms, such as cancer-immune interactions and cell differentiation in various regions. It is necessary to cluster tissue regions into distinct spatial domains and identify discriminating genes (DGs) that elucidate the clustering result, referred to as spatial domain-specific DGs. Existing methods for identifying these genes typically rely on a two-stage approach, which can lead to the phenomenon known as double-dipping. RESULTS: To address the challenge, we propose a unified Bayesian latent block model that simultaneously detects a list of DGs contributing to spatial domain identification while clustering these DGs and spatial locations. The efficacy of our proposed method is validated through a series of simulation experiments, and its capability to identify DGs is demonstrated through applications to benchmark SRT datasets. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: The R/C++ implementation of BISON is available at https://github.com/new-zbc/BISON.

Software↗

Utilizing evolutionary information and gene expression data for estimating gene networks with bayesian network models.

Since microarray gene expression data do not contain sufficient information for estimating accurate gene networks, other biological information has been considered to improve the estimated networks. Recent studies have revealed that highly conserved proteins that exhibit similar expression patterns in different organisms, have almost the same function in each organism. Such conserved proteins are also known to play similar roles in terms of the regulation of genes. Therefore, this evolutionary information can be used to refine regulatory relationships among genes, which are estimated from gene expression data. We propose a statistical method for estimating gene networks from gene expression data by utilizing evolutionarily conserved relationships between genes. Our method simultaneously estimates two gene networks of two distinct organisms, with a Bayesian network model utilizing the evolutionary information so that gene expression data of one organism helps to estimate the gene network of the other. We show the effectiveness of the method through the analysis on Saccharomyces cerevisiae and Homo sapiens cell cycle gene expression data. Our method was successful in estimating gene networks that capture many known relationships as well as several unknown relationships which are likely to be novel. Supplementary information is available at http://bonsai.ims.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~tamada/bayesnet/.

Bayes Theorem↗

Statistical inversion for medical x-ray tomography with few radiographs: I. General theory.

In x-ray tomography, the structure of a three-dimensional body is reconstructed from a collection of projection images of the body. Medical CT imaging does this using an extensive set of projections from all around the body. However, in many practical imaging situations only a small number of truncated projections are available from a limited angle of view. Three-dimensional imaging using such data is complicated for two reasons: (i) typically, sparse projection data do not contain sufficient information to completely describe the 3D body, and (ii) traditional CT reconstruction algorithms, such as filtered backprojection, do not work well when applied to few irregularly spaced projections. Concerning (i), existing results about the information content of sparse projection data are reviewed and discussed. Concerning (ii), it is shown how Bayesian inversion methods can be used to incorporate a priori information into the reconstruction method, leading to improved image quality over traditional methods. Based on the discussion, a low-dose three-dimensional x-ray imaging modality is described.

Algorithms↗

Optimized sampling and parameter estimation for quantification in whole body PET.

Whole-body positron emission tomography (PET) has recently emerged as an important imaging tool for cancer detection and staging. Initial applications of the technique have been primarily qualitative. One of the major reasons is the limits imposed by kinetically undersampled data over the whole body, as opposed to the standard method of continuous dynamic sampling in one body location. In this paper, a new estimation method using weighted nonlinear least squares (WNLS) for the first bed position and Bayesian regression (BR) for subsequent positions is proposed. A general criterion for designing optimal sampling schedules which maximizes the measurement information with multiple bed positions is developed. The overall approach is illustrated with the problem of estimating the metabolic rate of glucose (MRGLu) in tumors at different axial positions (image bed positions) in the body by using computer simulations and patient data. The results show that estimates of MRGLu using sparse data and the optimized Bayesian approach are comparable with those obtained by standard methods and fully sampled data. This study demonstrates the potential of the technique described for quantification where several bed positions have to be used to image all the regions of interest (ROI).

Abdominal Muscles↗

On the consistency of Bayesian variable selection for high dimensional binary regression and classification.

Modern data mining and bioinformatics have presented an important playground for statistical learning techniques, where the number of input variables is possibly much larger than the sample size of the training data. In supervised learning, logistic regression or probit regression can be used to model a binary output and form perceptron classification rules based on Bayesian inference. We use a prior to select a limited number of candidate variables to enter the model, applying a popular method with selection indicators. We show that this approach can induce posterior estimates of the regression functions that are consistently estimating the truth, if the true regression model is sparse in the sense that the aggregated size of the regression coefficients are bounded. The estimated regression functions therefore can also produce consistent classifiers that are asymptotically optimal for predicting future binary outputs. These provide theoretical justifications for some recent empirical successes in microarray data analysis.

Bayes Theorem↗

A Bayesian partition model for case-control studies on highly polymorphic candidate genes.

We present a new statistical model for the analysis of case-control or cohort studies examining a highly polymorphic candidate disease susceptibility gene. Many genotypes are possible for such a gene. Consequently, the average number of subjects having each genotype will be modest. If analyzed separately, the risks associated with most genotypes will be estimated imprecisely. Our Bayesian partition model clusters genotypes according to risk, only allowing partitions that satisfy a particular assumption about the joint effect of the two alleles making up a genotype. This assumption is genetically plausible, imposes structure on the set of genotype risks, and still leaves a highly flexible model. By Bayesian model averaging over partitions, the model becomes, in effect, a semiparametric model for genotype risk. It allows borrowing of strength, i.e., estimates of risk for one genotype are informed by the risk estimates of all the genotypes. We present the results of fitting the model to two datasets, one simulated and one genuine case-control study of the NAT1 gene and lung cancer, and compare it in a simulation study with a haplotype relative risk model. The partition model enables genotype risks to be estimated more accurately and the alleles to be ranked according to risk.

Bayes Theorem↗

Dynamic causal modeling of evoked responses in EEG and MEG.

Neuronally plausible, generative or forward models are essential for understanding how event-related fields (ERFs) and potentials (ERPs) are generated. In this paper, we present a new approach to modeling event-related responses measured with EEG or MEG. This approach uses a biologically informed model to make inferences about the underlying neuronal networks generating responses. The approach can be regarded as a neurobiologically constrained source reconstruction scheme, in which the parameters of the reconstruction have an explicit neuronal interpretation. Specifically, these parameters encode, among other things, the coupling among sources and how that coupling depends upon stimulus attributes or experimental context. The basic idea is to supplement conventional electromagnetic forward models, of how sources are expressed in measurement space, with a model of how source activity is generated by neuronal dynamics. A single inversion of this extended forward model enables inference about both the spatial deployment of sources and the underlying neuronal architecture generating them. Critically, this inference covers long-range connections among well-defined neuronal subpopulations. In a previous paper, we simulated ERPs using a hierarchical neural-mass model that embodied bottom-up, top-down and lateral connections among remote regions. In this paper, we describe a Bayesian procedure to estimate the parameters of this model using empirical data. We demonstrate this procedure by characterizing the role of changes in cortico-cortical coupling, in the genesis of ERPs. In the first experiment, ERPs recorded during the perception of faces and houses were modeled as distinct cortical sources in the ventral visual pathway. Category-selectivity, as indexed by the face-selective N170, could be explained by category-specific differences in forward connections from sensory to higher areas in the ventral stream. We were able to quantify and make inferences about these effects using conditional estimates of connectivity. This allowed us to identify where, in the processing stream, category-selectivity emerged. In the second experiment, we used an auditory oddball paradigm to show that the mismatch negativity can be explained by changes in connectivity. Specifically, using Bayesian model selection, we assessed changes in backward connections, above and beyond changes in forward connections. In accord with theoretical predictions, there was strong evidence for learning-related changes in both forward and backward coupling. These examples show that category- or context-specific coupling among cortical regions can be assessed explicitly, within a mechanistic, biologically motivated inference framework.

Auditory Pathways↗

Modeling fatigue.

The American Board of Family Practice is developing a patient simulation program to evaluate diagnostic and management skills. The simulator must give temporally and physiologically reasonable answers to symptom questions such as "Have you been tired?" A three-step process generates symptom histories. In the first step, the simulator determines points in time where it should calculate instantaneous symptom status. In the second step, a Bayesian network implementing a roughly physiologic model of the symptom generates a value on a severity scale at each sampling time. Positive, zero, and negative values represent increased, normal, and decreased status, as applicable. The simulator plots these values over time. In the third step, another Bayesian network inspects this plot and reports how the symptom changed over time. This mechanism handles major trends, multiple and concurrent symptom causes, and gradually effective treatments. Other temporal insights, such as observations about short-term symptom relief, require complimentary mechanisms.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Probability and the patient state space.

This paper describes work to develop a model-based system to support clinical decision-making. In previous articles, we have developed (from 695 measurement sets obtained from 148 patients) a physiologic state classification based on a set of 11 cardiovascular and metabolic measurements. There is an R or reference state, for stable ICU patients. Patients under (operative, traumatic, or compensated septic) stress, or with (septic or hepatic) metabolic, respiratory, or cardiac insufficiency are in the A, B, C, or D states, respectively. We wished to make the state easier to measure and eventually available continuously, automatically, and noninvasively, as well as reflecting a wider group of bodily systems. The 5 centers define a 4 dimensional affine subspace, designated the cardiovascular state space. Using eigenvector analysis, we have found four new derived physiologic variables CV1, CV2, CV3, and CV4 that span the state space. We have fit sets of linear regression equations that allow the patient's position in the state space, and therefore his state, to be determined from more easily obtainable sets of measurements. Further, we selected 1966 measurement sets from 512 patients at two hospitals. We used the data from 250 of these patients to define 13 prototypical types, namely survivors and deaths from various combinations of sepsis, cardiogenic decompensation, cirrhosis, and pneumonitis, following trauma or general surgery. For any future patient, the statistical theory of Bayesian inference allows one to infer back from the measurements observed to the probability of his being of any of these types and of surviving or dying. We used this method to predict the outcome of the other 262 patients, prospectively. Statistically, the predictions of survival or death were not significantly different from the actual. For individual patients, the method predicts a clinical course that closely follows the actual episodes in their history. These results confirm and explain the validity of the concept of the patient state and make the state easier to compute. The patient state and the probability plot together help to stage, select, and evaluate therapy. They do not replace the clinician's judgement, but rather are tools that help the clinician to exercise judgement.

Adult↗

A method for estimating occupational radiation doses subject to minimum detection levels.

Occupational radiation exposure is often coded as zero when the exposure dose is below the minimum detection level. This leads to an underestimation of the doses received by individuals and can lead to overestimates of risk in occupational epidemiologic studies. The extent of the dose underestimation is increased with the magnitude of the minimum detection level and the frequency of monitoring. The paper proposes a Bayesian approach to estimate the actual dose and the dose distribution parameter when the observed dose is subject to censoring due to minimum detection level. A Gibbs sampling algorithm is developed to implement the method. Simulation studies are used to evaluate the performance of the estimators. The method is applied to a sample of historical occupational radiation exposure data from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory.

Bayes Theorem↗

Assessment and monitoring in clinical trials when survival curves have distinct shapes: a Bayesian approach with Weibull modelling.

The comparison of Weibull distributions with unequal shape parameters, in the case of right censored survival data obtained from independent samples, is considered within the framework of Bayesian statistical methodology. The procedures are illustrated with the example of a mortality study where a new treatment is compared to a placebo. The posterior distributions about relevant parameters, which may provide support for a conclusion of clinical superiority of the treatment, and the predictive distributions, which may guide decision about early stopping at an interim analysis, are considered for a class of appropriate priors.

Amiodarone↗

A nucleotide substitution model with nearest-neighbour interactions.

MOTIVATION: It is well known that neighbouring nucleotides in DNA sequences do not mutate independently of each other. In this paper, we introduce a context-dependent substitution model and derive an algorithm to calculate the likelihood of sequences evolving under this model. We use this algorithm to estimate neighbour-dependent substitution rates, as well as rates for dinucleotide substitutions, using a Bayesian sampling procedure. The model is irreversible, giving an arrow to time, and allowing the position of the root between a pair of sequences to be inferred without using out-groups. RESULTS: We applied the model upon aligned human-mouse non-coding data. Clear neighbour dependencies were observed, including 17-18-fold increased CpG to TpG/CpA rates compared with other substitutions. Root inference positioned the root halfway the mouse and human tips, suggesting an approximately clock-like behaviour of the irreversible part of the substitution process.

Algorithms↗

Bayesian analysis of in vivo dynamic 13C-edited 1H images.

We propose an application of a Bayesian methodology to dynamic MR images of protons J-coupled to 13C nuclei for monitoring the in vivo 13C-glucose uptake of mouse brain. The very low population of these protons and the random noise make the analysis of these images extremely difficult. The proposed method restores the images and provides an "activation" map of the mouse brain by means of a hypothesis testing procedure. The restoration step is performed in the Bayesian framework so that among the other advantages of a stochastic approach, it is possible to model spatial and temporal information about neighboring pixels. This leads to a restoration procedure able to reduce the noise level while preserving the information about the edges of signal areas. Based on the restored images, the testing procedure provides us with a reliable map of pixels characterized by the 13C-glucose uptake.

Animals↗

Bayesian analysis of the neuromagnetic inverse problem with l(p)-norm priors.

Magnetoencephalography (MEG) allows millisecond-scale non-invasive measurement of magnetic fields generated by neural currents in the brain. However, localization of the underlying current sources is ambiguous due to the so-called inverse problem. The most widely used source localization methods (i.e., minimum-norm and minimum-current estimates (MNE and MCE) and equivalent current dipole (ECD) fitting) require ad hoc determination of the cortical current distribution (l(2)-, l(1)-norm priors and point-sized dipolar, respectively). In this article, we perform a Bayesian analysis of the MEG inverse problem with l(p)-norm priors for the current sources. This way, we circumvent the arbitrary choice between l(1)- and l(2)-norm prior, which is instead rendered automatically based on the data. By obtaining numerical samples from the joint posterior probability distribution of the source current parameters and model hyperparameters (such as the l(p)-norm order p) using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, we calculated the spatial inverse estimates as expectation values of the source current parameters integrated over the hyperparameters. Real MEG data and simulated (known) source currents with realistic MRI-based cortical geometry and 306-channel MEG sensor array were used. While the proposed model is sensitive to source space discretization size and computationally rather heavy, it is mathematically straightforward, thus allowing incorporation of, for instance, a priori functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) information.

Adult↗

Bayesian inference and attentional modulation in the visual cortex.

The responses of neurons in cortical areas V2 and V4 can be significantly modulated by attention to particular locations within an input image. We show that such effects emerge naturally when perception is viewed as a probabilistic inference process governed by Bayesian principles and implemented in hierarchical cortical networks. The proposed model can explain a rich variety of attention-related responses in cortical area V4 including multiplicative modulation of tuning curves, restoration of neural responses in the presence of distracting stimuli, and influence of attention on neighboring unattended locations. Our results suggest a new interpretation of attention as a cortical mechanism for reducing perceptual uncertainty by combining top-down task-relevant information with bottom-up sensory inputs in a probabilistic manner.

Animals↗

PGMC: a framework for probabilistic graphic model combination.

Decision making in biomedicine often involves incorporating new evidences into existing or working models reflecting the decision problems at hand. We propose a new framework that facilitates effective and incremental integration of multiple probabilistic graphical models. The proposed framework aims to minimize time and effort required to customize and extend the original models through preserving the conditional independence relationships inherent in two types of probabilistic graphical models: Bayesian networks and influence diagrams. We present a four-step algorithm to systematically combine the qualitative and the quantitative parts of the different models; we also describe three heuristic methods for target variable generation to reduce the complexity of the integrated models. Preliminary results from a case study in heart disease diagnosis demonstrate the feasibility and potential for applying the proposed framework in real applications.

Algorithms↗

Spatiotemporal noise covariance estimation from limited empirical magnetoencephalographic data.

The performance of parametric magnetoencephalography (MEG) and electroencephalography (EEG) source localization approaches can be degraded by the use of poor background noise covariance estimates. In general, estimation of the noise covariance for spatiotemporal analysis is difficult mainly due to the limited noise information available. Furthermore, its estimation requires a large amount of storage and a one-time but very large (and sometimes intractable) calculation or its inverse. To overcome these difficulties, noise covariance models consisting of one pair or a sum of multi-pairs of Kronecker products of spatial covariance and temporal covariance have been proposed. However, these approaches cannot be applied when the noise information is very limited, i.e., the amount of noise information is less than the degrees of freedom of the noise covariance models. A common example of this is when only averaged noise data are available for a limited prestimulus region (typically at most a few hundred milliseconds duration). For such cases, a diagonal spatiotemporal noise covariance model consisting of sensor variances with no spatial or temporal correlation has been the common choice for spatiotemporal analysis. In this work, we propose a different noise covariance model which consists of diagonal spatial noise covariance and Toeplitz temporal noise covariance. It can easily be estimated from limited noise information, and no time-consuming optimization and data-processing are required. Thus, it can be used as an alternative choice when one-pair or multi-pair noise covariance models cannot be estimated due to lack of noise information. To verify its capability we used Bayesian inference dipole analysis and a number of simulated and empirical datasets. We compared this covariance model with other existing covariance models such as conventional diagonal covariance, one-pair and multi-pair noise covariance models, when noise information is sufficient to estimate them. We found that our proposed noise covariance model yields better localization performance than a diagonal noise covariance, while it performs slightly worse than one-pair or multi-pair noise covariance models - although these require much more noise information. Finally, we present some localization results on median nerve stimulus empirical MEG data for our proposed noise covariance model.

Algorithms↗

Spline-based non-parametric regression for periodic functions and its application to directional tuning of neurons.

The activity of neurons in the brain often varies systematically with some quantitative feature of a stimulus or action. A well-known example is the tendency of the firing rates of neurons in the primary motor cortex to vary with the direction of a subject's arm or wrist movement. When this movement is constrained to vary in only two dimensions, the direction of movement may be characterized by an angle, and the neuronal firing rate can be written as a function of this angle. The firing rate function has traditionally been fit with a cosine, but recent evidence suggests that departures from cosine tuning occur frequently. We report here a new non-parametric regression method for fitting periodic functions and demonstrate its application to the fitting of neuronal data. The method is an extension of Bayesian adaptive regression splines (BARS) and applies both to normal and non-normal data, including Poisson data, which commonly arise in neuronal applications. We compare the new method to a periodic version of smoothing splines and some parametric alternatives and find the new method to be especially valuable when the smoothness of the periodic function varies unevenly across its domain.

Action Potentials↗