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Seasonality in suicide: a study of farming suicides in England and Wales.

Seasonality in suicide rates has long been reported. Spring peaks in suicide deaths have been positively correlated with the proportion of the workforce engaged in agriculture. Some studies have indicated that suicides using violent methods are more likely to show seasonality. Recent research has suggested that seasonal patterns have diminished. This study examined deaths in male farmers, an occupational group which might be expected to be more vulnerable to seasonal influences because of the nature of their work and the relatively high proportion of farmers using violent methods for suicide. Data on suicides between 1982 and 1999 by males in England and Wales aged 15 years and over were provided by the Office for National Statistics. Seasonal patterns of suicide in farmers and nonfarmers were examined by nonparametric tests and harmonic analysis. No significant seasonal variation was found for farmers. For nonfarmers, although a chi-square test showed significant variation in monthly distribution, this was not found when a harmonic analysis was applied. There was no significant difference in the variation of violent suicides throughout the year. This study reinforces recent findings that seasonal variation in suicide appears to be diminishing, even in an occupational group where this might be expected.

Adolescent↗

Suicide prevention in New South Wales Correctional Centres.

The New South Wales Department of Corrective Services has introduced a number of suicide prevention measures in order to deal with the problem of inmate suicides. This article describes the measures. The article also shows that the characteristics of the incarcerated population differ greatly from those in the community. Findings from the self-harm database 1991-1995 show that, nevertheless, there are some unique characteristics of the group of self-harmers and fatal self-harmers. These findings are discussed in relation to the preventive measures that are introduced in the NSW correctional centers.

Adult↗

Birth cohort effects in New South Wales suicide, 1865-1998.

OBJECTIVE: To examine birth cohort effects in New South Wales (NSW) suicide data (1865-1998). METHOD: Aggregate suicide data were examined after controlling for age and period using descriptive statistics and Poisson regression modelling. Three approaches were applied to address the non-identification of age, period and cohort in age-period-cohort (APC) models of suicide. RESULTS: Apparent cohort effects in male and female suicide using a minimum constraints APC model of age, period and cohort were no longer present in female suicide when a surrogate period APC model was used, and were absent in both male and female suicide when identifiable cohort effects were isolated using a 'drift' adjusted approach to APC modelling. CONCLUSION: Increases in youth suicide rates in NSW occurring since the 1960s cannot be attributed to cohort effects, such as family influences on development. The causes of youth suicide are thus effects operating contemporaneously.

Age Factors↗

Systemic and local antimicrobial use in periodontal therapy in England and Wales.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The aim of this study was to investigate antimicrobial use during periodontal therapy in dental practice in England & Wales. METHOD: This was a postal questionnaire survey of 800 dentists, 400 general dental practitioners (GDP) in National Health Service practice and 400 members of the British Society of Periodontology (Periodontal Society) primarily in dental practice. We designed and piloted a questionnaire to evaluate both systemic and local antibiotic use with periodontal therapy as well as factors affecting their prescription. In addition, we also investigated the potential use of antibiotic sensitivity testing, since this has been recommended prior to prescribing antibiotics. Two follow-up mailings were used to encourage non-responders. RESULTS: The useable return rate for the questionnaires was 587/800 (73%). Systemic antibiotics were used by 7.4% Periodontal Society members and 18.4% GDP for untreated adult periodontitis patients (p<0.001). Antimicrobials were prescribed more frequently by Periodontal Society members in early onset (52.7%) and refractory periodontitis patients (49.6%), and this was highly statistically significantly greater usage than GDP (p<0.001). Regarding local antimicrobials, usage for untreated adult periodontitis was Periodontal Society 8.9% and GDP 5.4%. Higher usage of local antimicrobials was found both for the treatment of recurrent pocketing in adult periodontitis (Periodontal Society 26.3%, GDP 14.8%, p<0.014) and refractory periodontitis (Periodontal Society 30.8%, GDP 15.2%, p<0.001). As reasons for using local antimicrobials, more than 80% of all respondents stated superiority over root debridement alone. Barriers to use included cost, no perceived need and lack of supporting research data. The percentage of responders considering diagnostic microbiology either theoretically or at a cost of pound 60 were by group, Periodontal Society 83% & 70.4% and GDP 76% & 51.2%. 33% of Periodontal Society members and 3.8% of GDP spent at least 45 min per quadrant on root planing and Periodontal Society members had a greater exposure to lectures on both systemic and local drug therapy compared with GDP (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Systemic antimicrobial use was infrequent for adult periodontitis and generally in line with current recommendations for other disease types. Whilst local antimicrobial therapy for periodontitis was not widespread, a substantial minority of dentists use this form of therapy and most believe that it is more effective than root debridement alone.

Adult↗

A comparison between England and Wales and Sweden in the incidence and mortality of malignant skin tumours.

Although the population lives in a higher latitude, the incidence of and death rate from skin cancer is approximately the same in Sweden as it is in England and Wales. The proportion of malignant melanoma is higher in the Swedish deaths and the death rate from malignant melanoma is higher in Sweden than in England and Wales.The ratios of male to female cases and deaths from malignant melanoma are higher in Sweden than in England and Wales.These differences do not appear likely to be due to differences in the statistical or medical care systems, and suggest important genetic and occupational effects.Total skin cancer rates and rates summarizing all ages may be poor indicators of the real variations between populations in the epidemiology of malignant skin tumours.

Adult↗

Mortality trends for stomach cancer in England and Wales.

Despite a decline in mortality rates since about 1931 stomach cancer remains a major cause of death in England and Wales. National death rates from 1916 to 1979 are presented by sex, age and 2 broad social-class groups covering manual and non-manual occupations. In both sexes the decline in rates has been most rapid in the young and has slowed progressively with advancing age. The ratio of male/female rates is currently 1.3 at ages 25-34, increases to a peak of 2.7 at ages 55-64 and then declines again but the pattern was different before 1931. Among both men and married women, rates are consistently higher in manual than in non-manual classes, but the difference is greater among men. Rates for men in non-manual occupations, and for both classes of married women, declined markedly between 1931 and 1951, but for male manual workers the decline was relatively slight until after 1951.

Adult↗

Mortality from mesothelioma of the pleura during 1968-78 in England and Wales.

The geographical distribution of mortality from mesothelioma of the pleura during the years 1968-78 in England and Wales has been studied using extracts from the death records held by the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys. Using the national death rate as standard, Local Authority areas with raised mortality are identified. The patterns are somewhat different for each sex. In men the high-mortality areas are mainly the major ports where shipbuilding and repairing have been concentrated, whereas in women areas where gas masks are manufactured are predominant. In both sexes there are also high death rates on the eastern side of London. Nearly all the areas of high mortality are known to have had a major asbestos-using industry in the past. Over the 11-year period the annual number of deaths from pleural mesothelioma rose by approximately 75%. This marked increase was virtually confined to men, in whom the number of deaths had reached almost 200 per annum by 1978. The indications are that the effect of past high exposures, in particular to amphibole asbestos, have not yet reached a peak in terms of mortality. On the other hand imports and usage of amphiboles, particularly crocidolite, have decreased rapidly since the mid-1960s, and dust levels in the working environment have improved even more radically.

Adolescent↗

Cancer mortality in small areas around nuclear facilities in England and Wales.

Cancer mortality trends were examined for the small areas around fourteen nuclear and five non-nuclear facilities in England and Wales. Using routine OPCS mortality data, standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) for these areas were computed for selected causes of death. Changes in the SMRs were then sought by comparing the SMRs for the five years before the facility opened with the period 10 (in some cases 15) years after start-up, and by computing the weighted regression of the SMRs on calendar year. These analyses indicate no overall pattern of increasing cancer SMRs around nuclear facilities.

Adolescent↗

Mesothelioma of the peritoneum during 1967-82 in England and Wales.

The time-trend and geographical distribution of mesothelioma of the peritoneum during the years 1967-82 in England and Wales have been studied from the Mesothelioma Register held by the Medical Division of the Health and Safety Executive. Over the 16-year period the annual number of cases registered rose from about 15-20 to about 30-50. Although the number occurring in men was double that in women, the trend was similar for both sexes. There is likely to be some further increase before any improvement due to the recent diminished usage of asbestos is seen. Local Authority areas with raised rates have been identified, and the geographical pattern is similar to that of the distribution of the asbestos-using industry in the past. In both sexes there are high registration rates on the east side of London but, in contrast to mesothelioma of the pleura, a concentration of cases among men in the major ports where shipbuilding and ship repairing were carried out is not so apparent.

Adult↗

The epidemiology of polycythaemia rubra vera in England and Wales 1968-1982.

The epidemiology of polycythaemia rubra vera (PV) has not been studied extensively in the past. In 1968 PV became subject to cancer registration in England and Wales. The mortality rates and registration rates for PV were abstracted for 1968-1982. The average annual mortality rates were 3.0/million/y (men, 1068 cases) and 2.3/million/y (women, 886 cases), there being no significant increase over the time period. The average annual registration rates were 10.7/million/y (men, 3321 cases) and 6.7/million/y (women, 2207 cases) and showed a large increase from 1968 to 1974 with a stable rate subsequently. This increase was concentrated in the 65+ age groups. The median age of registration was 60--64 y with a peak of mortality and incidence between ages 75 and 84 y. The data suggest some degree of overdiagnosis for PV registrations, however the rates are comparable with those seen in other studies in developed countries. The routine data sources require further validation, but they appear to provide useful information for the study of the epidemiology of PV.

Adolescent↗

Interpretation of England and Wales cancer mortality data: the effect of enquiries to certifiers for further information.

For some death certificates in England and Wales the cause information coded and published in national data is not that initially submitted by the certifier, but instead derives from a subsequent enquiry to the certifier for further information. These enquiries can lead to substantial artefacts in secular mortality data, and also to substantial non-comparability between mortality data for special study groups, such as subjects in cohort studies, and published mortality data. A description of current enquiry policy relevant to cancers, and changes in this policy over recent years is given to aid interpretation of mortality data. The effects on secular data of changes in enquiry policy are illustrated. At 4-digit level of the ICD, changes in enquiry policy can alter published mortality rates by several hundred per cent. At 3-digit level the greatest effects of enquiries at present are to increase the number of deaths coded to cancer of the eye by 35% and cancer of the body of the uterus by 31%; cancers of the thymus, heart and mediastinum are increased by 18%, and pleural cancer by 17%, while decreases of more than 10% are caused for several 'other' and 'unspecified' rubrics, and a decrease of 6% for deaths coded to melanoma.

Data Interpretation, Statistical↗

Geographical variation in mortality from leukaemia and other cancers in England and Wales in relation to proximity to nuclear installations, 1969-78.

The distribution of mortality from 11 causes of death (lymphoid leukaemia, other leukaemia, leukaemia of all types, Hodgkin's disease, other lymphomas, all lymphomas, multiple myeloma, lung cancer, other malignancies, all malignancies and all other causes) has been examined in three age groups throughout England and Wales over the period 1969-78. The reorganisation of local authority administration in 1974 meant that the smallest areas that could be examined were 400 county districts or (in some cases) approximate county districts formed by aggregating pre-1974 local authority areas. The variation in the numbers of deaths observed about the numbers expected was assessed using log-linear models to estimate the effect on the relative risk in each district associated with social class, rural status, population size, health authority region and proximity to one of 15 nuclear installations. Trends in risk with increasing proximity to an installation (as judged by the proportion of the population resident within 10 miles) were examined after adjustment for the other four variables. The results showed that in districts near to an installation there were significant excess mortalities in persons under 25 years of age from leukaemia (RR = 1.15, P = 0.01) and especially from lymphoid leukaemia (RR 1.21, P = 0.01) and from Hodgkin's disease (RR 1.24, P = 0.05) and a significant deficiency of mortality from lymphoid leukaemia in persons aged 25-64 years. No significant trends were observed with an increasing proportion of the population near to the installations and the greatest excess mortality from lymphoid leukaemia in young persons was observed in the districts with the intermediate proportion of the population (10.0-65.9%) near an installation.

Adolescent↗

Thymus cancer epidemiology in England and Wales.

Thymus cancer epidemiology has been little investigated, but recent clinical studies have suggested an association with the Epstein-Barr virus. We studied thymus cancer incidence 1963-83 and mortality 1959-86 in England and Wales, using data from the National Cancer Register and national mortality files. Mean age-standardised incidence rates of the tumour were 0.72 per million per annum for males and 0.64 for females; mortality rates were about half of this: 0.43 for males and 0.29 for females. There was no significant change in rates over time, nor any consistent pattern of risk by region of residence. Birth cohort analysis of mortality showed in each sex, lowest risk for persons born during the Second World War. The age distribution of the tumour was unusual: a progressive rise in both incidence and mortality rates occurred in each sex at ages up to 60-69, at which there was a striking peak, more marked for males and for incidence data, with a sharp decline thereafter. Immigrants from China and Cyprus had significantly high proportional registration ratios, but based on small numbers.

Adolescent↗

Completeness of cancer and death follow-up obtained through the National Health Service Central Register for England and Wales.

For the last 20 years the National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) has been used as the principal source of follow-up for mortality, and often for cancer incidence, in many cohort and clinical follow-up studies in England and Wales. Completeness of notification of childhood cancer registrations and deaths from the NHSCR was investigated by comparison between cancers and deaths notified to the Childhood Cancer Research Group (CCRG) from this source and notifications received directly from regional cancer registries and the national death registry. Six thousand, seven hundred and seventy-six (91.8%) of 7,379 cancers incident 1971-84, and 588 (95.8%) of 614 deaths occurring 1953-88, were successfully notified. Failures in cancer notification occurred mainly between the regional cancer registries and the National Cancer Register (3.3%), and between the National Cancer Register and the NHSCR (3.0%). An additional 1.9% of cancer notifications failed between the NHSCR and the CCRG. Incompleteness of registration of childhood cancers by regional cancer registries was estimated to be 4.7%. A total of 12.5% of incident childhood cancers were not notified by NHSCR. Incompleteness of notification may be greater for adults, for whom registration and record linkage may be more difficult. Failures in death notifications occurred mostly because deaths entered on the NHSCR were not notified to the CCRG (3.3%). This incompleteness of notification needs to be taken into account in the interpretation of published studies and in the analysis of studies using NHSCR flagging. It also implies similar incompleteness in published national cancer survival data, which use the same system of flagging. Nevertheless it is a notable achievement that NHSCR has successfully monitored such a high proportion of a population of 50 million people, by entirely clerical procedures, for 40 years.

Adult↗

Completeness of cancer registration in England and Wales: an assessment based on 2,145 patients with Hodgkin's disease independently registered by the British National Lymphoma Investigation.

Records of 2,145 cases of Hodgkin's disease in England and Wales treated by the British National Lymphoma Investigation during 1970-84 were sought in the national and regional cancer registers. One thousand eight hundred and eight-six (88%) were recorded in the national register, either as Hodgkin's disease (86%) or as other or unspecified lymphoma (2%) and 2 (0.1%) were recorded as other cancers. A further 69 (3%) cases were registered by regional cancer registries but had not reached the national register. Adjusting for the distribution of the study cases by region of incidence, we estimate completeness of registration of cases of Hodgkin's disease in the national register at 89.7%, and in the regional registers overall at 92.9%. Completeness did not vary appreciably by age or sex or calendar period. There was however, substantial variation in completeness between regional registries. Estimates were made for all regions except North Western; the lowest estimated completeness were under 90% in Wessex, and the Thames registry regions, and the greatest were 95% or more in Northern, Trent, East Anglia, Oxford, South Western, West Midlands and Mersey. Because these results are confined to one malignancy treated by a particular collaborative network of physicians (although a large and widespread one), and because the patients are restricted to those seen in hospitals, caution must be exercised in extrapolation of the findings to cancer registration generally, but other studies and sources of information lead to similar conclusions about completeness of cancer registration nationally and regionally.

Adolescent↗

Recent trends in incidence of and mortality from breast, ovarian and endometrial cancers in England and Wales and their relation to changing fertility and oral contraceptive use.

Reproductive-related factors play a major role in the aetiology of cancers of the breast, ovary and endometrium. Pregnancy history influences the risk of each of these cancers, and oral contraceptive use modifies the risks of ovarian and endometrial cancers, although its effect on breast cancer risk is less certain. We analysed recent time trends in the incidence and mortality of these cancers in England and Wales and assessed whether they can be explained by changes in fertility and oral contraceptive use. During 1962-87, there were significant increases in the overall incidence of breast cancer (0.95% increase per annum) and ovarian cancer (0.76% per annum) but little increase in endometrial cancer (0.13% per annum). At young ages incidence of each of the cancers has declined in recent years, whereas at older ages there have been substantial increases. Mortality data show similar time trends. In analyses by birth cohort, incidence of each of the cancers increased steeply for successive cohorts born before the turn of the century, and more slowly for cohorts thereafter, reaching a maximum for those born in the 1920s, and decreased for those born subsequently. The increases in incidence for women born before the turn of the century paralleled marked declines in their fertility. The fall in risk for women born after the 1920s was not accompanied by significant increases in their fertility, but coincided with the introduction and increase in use of oral contraceptives. For ovarian and endometrial cancers this accords with strong evidence from person-based studies of the protective effect of oral contraceptives. For breast cancer, the reasons for the recent decline are not clear. It would accord with recent suggestions of a long-term protective effect of oral contraceptives, on which further studies are needed. It is also possible, however, that changes in other risk factors such as dietary fat intake and menarcheal age might have contributed to the recent declines in the risk of these cancers.

Adolescent↗

Trends in mortality from primary liver cancer in England and Wales 1975-92: influence of oral contraceptives.

Numerous case-control studies have suggested a link between the oral contraceptive pill and liver cancer. The secular trends in liver cancer mortality rates for England and Wales from 1975 to 1992 were examined to determine whether an effect of the pill was apparent. Liver cancer mortality has remained constant in women in the age groups that have had major exposure to the pill.

Adult↗

Cancer incidence in Asian migrants to New South Wales, Australia.

Cancer incidence during 1972-90 in Asian migrants to New South Wales, Australia, is described. Overall cancer incidence was lower than in the Australia born in most migrant groups, and this reached significance in migrants born in China/Taiwan, the Philippines, Vietnam and India/Sri Lanka, and in male migrants born in Indonesia. For the majority of cancers, rates were more similar to those in the Australia born than to those in the countries of birth. For cancers of the breast, colorectum and prostate, rates were relatively low in the countries of birth, but migrants generally exhibited rates nearer those of the Australia born. For cancers of the liver and cervix and, in India/Sri Lanka-born migrants, of the oral cavity, incidence was relatively high in the countries of birth but tended to be lower, nearer Australia-born rates, in the migrants. For these cancers, environmental factors related to the migrant's adopted country, and migrant selection, appeared to have a major effect on the risk of cancer. For certain other cancers, incidence was more similar to that in the countries of birth. Nasopharyngeal cancer, and lung cancer in females, had high rates in both the countries of birth and in migrants to Australia. Nasopharyngeal cancer rates were highest in China/Taiwan and Hong Kong-born migrants, and were also significantly high in migrants from Malaysia/Singapore, Vietnam and the Philippines. Rates of lung cancer were significantly high in women born in China/Taiwan, and the excess was greater for adenocarcinoma than for squamous cell carcinoma. Melanoma had low rates in both the migrants and in the countries of birth. For these cancers, it was probable that genetic factors, or environmental factors acting prior to migration, were important in causation.

Adolescent↗