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Exposure to carbon disulphide and ischaemic heart disease in a viscose rayon factory.

The cohort of viscose rayon workers previously described by Tiller et al has been reconstructed and followed up to the end of 1982. The pattern of mortality at ages 45 to 64 for the extended period 1950-82 is similar to that described by Tiller et al for 1950-64. The spinners, the workers most heavily exposed to carbon disulphide, have a significantly higher mortality from all causes than the least exposed group. The excess mortality is largely accounted for by ischaemic heart disease (IHD) for which the spinners have an SMR of 172. When mortality is related to an exposure score in the same group, both all cause (p less than 0.01) and IHD (p less than 0.001) mortality increase with increasing exposure level. When this analysis is repeated covering all ages these trends become much less strong and only that for IHD remains significant (p less than 0.05). Over the age of 65 there is a tendency for mortality to decline with increasing exposure. This is contrary to expectation under the usual hypothesis that carbon disulphide promotes atherosclerosis. Instead it suggests that carbon disulphide has some type of reversible, direct cardiotoxic or thrombotic effect. This is supported by the findings that there is a strong trend (p less than 0.01) for IHD mortality to increase with increasing exposure in the previous two years. Further, both IHD (p less than 0.001) and total (p less than 0.01) mortality show highly significant trends with exposure among current workers but no such trends among workers who have left the industry.

Carbon Disulfide↗

Incidence and late prognosis of cushing's syndrome: a population-based study.

The main purpose was to assess the incidence and late outcome of Cushing's syndrome, particularly in Cushing's disease. Information for all patients diagnosed with Cushing's syndrome during an 11-yr period in Denmark was retrieved. The incidence was 1.2-1.7/million.yr (Cushing's disease), 0.6/million.yr (adrenal adenoma) and 0.2/million.yr (adrenal carcinoma). Other types of Cushing's syndrome were rare. In 139 patients with nonmalignant disease, 11.1% had died during follow-up (median, 8.1 yr; range, 3.1-14.0), yielding a standard mortality ratio (SMR) of 3.68 [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.34-5.33]. The SMR was partly attributable to an increased mortality within the first year after diagnosis. Eight patients died before treatment could be undertaken. The prognosis in patients with malignant disease was very poor. Patients in whom more than 5 yr had elapsed since initial surgery were studied separately, including a questionnaire on their perceived quality of health. In 45 patients with Cushing's disease who had been cured through transsphenoidal neurosurgery, only 1 had died (SMR, 0.31; CI, 0.01-1.72) compared with 6 of 20 patients with persistent hypercortisolism after initial neurosurgery (SMR, 5.06; CI, 1.86-11.0). In patients with adrenal adenoma, SMR was 3.95 (CI, 0.81-11.5). The perceived quality of health was significantly impaired only in patients with Cushing's disease and appeared independent of disease control or presence of hypopituitarism. It is concluded that 1) Cushing's syndrome is rare and is associated with increased mortality, in patients with no concurrent malignancy also; 2) the excess mortality was mainly observed during the first year of disease; and 3) the impaired quality of health in long-term survivors of Cushing's disease is not fully explained.

Adolescent↗

Narrowing social inequalities in health? Analysis of trends in mortality among babies of lone mothers (abridged version 1).

OBJECTIVES: To examine trends in mortality among babies registered solely by their mother (lone mothers) and to compare these with trends in infant mortality for couple registrations overall and couple registrations subdivided by social class of father. DESIGN: Analysis of trends in infant death rates from 1975 to 1996 for the three groups. The data source was the national linked infant mortality file, containing all records of infant death in England and Wales linked to the respective birth records. SETTING: England and Wales. PARTICIPANTS: All live births (n=14.3 million) from 1975 to 1996; all deaths of infants from birth to 12 months of age over the same period (n=135 800). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Death rates in the perinatal, neonatal, and postneonatal periods and for infancy overall. RESULTS: For the babies of lone mothers infant mortality has fallen to less than a third of the 1975 level, with a clear reduction in the gap between the mortality in these babies compared with all couple registrations: the excess mortality in solely registered births was 79% in 1975 reducing to 33% in 1996. Most of the narrowing of the sole-couple differential was associated with the neonatal period, for which there is now no appreciable gap. For couple registrations analysed by social class of father, infant death rates have more than halved in each social class from 1975 to 1996. The reductions in mortality were greater in the late 1970s and early 1990s. Infant death rates in classes IV-V remained between 50% and 65% higher than in classes I-II. Differentials between social classes were largest in the postneonatal period and smallest in the perinatal and neonatal periods. The gap in perinatal and neonatal mortality between the babies of lone mothers and couple parents in social classes IV-V has disappeared. CONCLUSIONS: The differential in infant mortality between social classes still exists, whereas the differential between sole and couple registrations has decreased, showing positive progress in the reduction of inequalities. As the reduction in the differential was confined to the neonatal period these improvements may be more a reflection of healthcare factors than of factors associated with lone mothers' social and economic circumstances.

England↗

Narrowing social inequalities in health? analysis of trends in mortality among babies of lone mothers (abridged version 2)

Objectives: To examine trends in mortality among babies registered solely by their mother (lone mothers) and to compare these with trends in infant mortality for couple registrations overall and couple registrations subdivided by social class of father. Design: Analysis of trends in infant death rates from 1975 to 1996 for the three groups. The data source was the national linked infant mortality file, containing all records of infant death in England and Wales linked to the respective birth records. Setting: England and Wales. Participants: All live births (n=14.3 million) from 1975 to 1996; all deaths of infants from birth to 12 months of age over the same period (n=135 800). Main outcome measures: Death rates in the perinatal, neonatal, and postneonatal periods and for infancy overall. Results: For the babies of lone mothers infant mortality has fallen to less than a third of the 1975 level, with a clear reduction in the gap between the mortality in these babies compared with all couple registrations: the excess mortality in solely registered births was 79% in 1975 reducing to 33% in 1996. Most of the narrowing of the sole-couple differential was associated with the neonatal period, for which there is now no appreciable gap. For couple registrations analysed by social class of father, infant death rates have more than halved in each social class from 1975 to 1996. The reductions in mortality were greater in the late 1970s and early 1990s. Infant death rates in classes IV-V remained between 50% and 65% higher than in classes I-II. Differentials between social classes were largest in the postneonatal period and smallest in the perinatal and neonatal periods. The gap in perinatal and neonatal mortality between the babies of lone mothers and couple parents in social classes IV-V has disappeared. Conclusions: The differential in infant mortality between social classes still exists, whereas the differential between sole and couple registrations has decreased, showing positive progress in the reduction of inequalities. As the reduction in the differential was confined to the neonatal period these improvements may be more a reflection of healthcare factors than of factors associated with lone mothers' social and economic circumstances.

Journal Article↗

The impact of influenza-associated respiratory illnesses on hospitalizations, physician visits, emergency room visits, and mortality.

OBJECTIVES: Although the increased risk of hospitalization and mortality during influenza seasons has been documented extensively, there is a relative paucity of research on the impact of influenza-related illnesses on other health care use indicators, such as physician use. The purpose of this study was to examine the impact of influenza-associated respiratory illnesses on the Winnipeg health care system, including hospitalizations, physician visits and emergency room visits. Their impact on mortality was also examined. METHODS: Administrative data were used to track health care use and mortality over four influenza seasons (1995-96 to 1998-99). Excess health care use and deaths were calculated by subtracting rates during influenza seasons from those during weeks when influenza viruses were not circulating. RESULTS: Significant excess hospitalization, physician visit, and emergency room visit rates emerged for influenza and pneumonia, acute respiratory diseases, and chronic lung disease, especially among children and adults aged 65 and over. Considerable excess mortality due to influenza and pneumonia and chronic lung disease among individuals aged 65 and over also emerged, particularly among nursing home residents. DISCUSSION: Influenza-associated respiratory illnesses have a substantial impact on the health care system. Given the burden of illness among children during influenza seasons, the study further suggests that influenza vaccination might be considered for this age group.

Adolescent↗

Mortality patterns among workers in three Texas oil refineries.

The cause-specific mortality experience of 2,509 active and retired members of the Oil, Chemical, and Atomic Workers International Union (OCAW) who worked at three oil refineries in the Beaumont/Port Arthur area of Texas was examined to determine whether there might be unusual patterns of fatal disease related to workplace exposures. Deaths that occurred between 1943 and 1979 were identified from membership records of the OCAW headquarters in Denver and from the records of union locals in Texas which represent workers at the three refineries. Death certificates were obtained from state vital records offices for the decedents. Cause-specific Proportionate Mortality Ratios (PMRs) were calculated using the mortality experience of the U.S. general population as a standard. Excess mortality from stomach cancer occurred among active union members who worked at Refinery A and among active and retired members who worked at Refineries B and C. PMRs for leukemia, multiple myeloma, and other lymphomas were elevated, especially among retired workers. Relative frequencies of brain tumor deaths were significantly elevated among active members at all three refineries and slightly elevated among retirees at Refineries A and C. Findings suggest that oil refinery workers may have elevated risks of these cancers and indicate that more definitive studies are necessary.

Adult↗

Postservice mortality in Vietnam veterans: 30-year follow-up.

BACKGROUND: During the 1980s, the postservice mortality component of the Vietnam Experience Study was conducted to examine the health effects of the Vietnam experience. This study was limited by the relatively short follow-up and the young age of the veterans. Thus, a follow-up mortality investigation on this cohort was undertaken to further assess the impact of the Vietnam experience on chronic conditions. METHODS: Vital status and underlying cause-of-death data on the Vietnam Experience Study cohort (18 313 male US Army veterans) were retrospectively ascertained from the end of the original study through 2000. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate crude and adjusted rate ratios (RRs) for all-cause and cause-specific mortality, comparing Vietnam and non-Vietnam veterans. RESULTS: All-cause mortality was 7% higher in Vietnam vs non-Vietnam veterans during 30-year follow-up (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97-1.18). The excess mortality among Vietnam veterans was isolated to the first 5 years after discharge from active duty and resulted from an increase in external causes of death (RR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.16-2.26). Cause-specific analyses revealed no difference in disease-related mortality. Vietnam veterans, however, experienced excess unintentional poisoning (RR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.12-4.57) and drug-related (RR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.01-2.86) deaths throughout follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Vietnam veterans continued to experience higher mortality than non-Vietnam veterans from unintentional poisonings and drug-related causes. Death rates from disease-related chronic conditions, including cancers and circulatory system diseases, did not differ between Vietnam veterans and their peers, despite the increasing age of the cohort (mean age, 53 years) and the longer follow-up (average, 30 years).

Cause of Death↗

Secondary pancreatic infections.

Infectious complications account for 80 per cent of the deaths resulting from acute pancreatitis. Future progress in the mortality of severe acute pancreatitis requires that we turn our attention toward the management of secondary pancreatic infections--abscess, infected pseudocyst and IPN. Review of 1,100 reported instances of secondary pancreatic infections reveals a pressing need for precise definitions of the individual infectious complication. In view of the marked discrepancy in definitions of disease between previous investigators, prior data must be seriously questioned, and doubt is cast upon long-standing recommendations for treatment. Recent advances in knowledge of the physiopathologic nature and diagnosis of secondary pancreatic infections promise improved surgical results. In particular, current diagnostic methods offer opportunities for more timely surgical intervention, avoiding the excessive mortality rate attendant upon delayed recognition. Furthermore, the use of condition-specific procedures, such as transcutaneous drainage for infected pseudocysts, débridement and sump drainage for pancreatic abscess and open drainage for IPN, may prove useful in combating the excessive morbidity and mortality rates caused by these conditions.

Abscess↗

Mortality after the 2003 invasion of Iraq: a cross-sectional cluster sample survey.

BACKGROUND: An excess mortality of nearly 100 000 deaths was reported in Iraq for the period March, 2003-September, 2004, attributed to the invasion of Iraq. Our aim was to update this estimate. METHODS: Between May and July, 2006, we did a national cross-sectional cluster sample survey of mortality in Iraq. 50 clusters were randomly selected from 16 Governorates, with every cluster consisting of 40 households. Information on deaths from these households was gathered. FINDINGS: Three misattributed clusters were excluded from the final analysis; data from 1849 households that contained 12 801 individuals in 47 clusters was gathered. 1474 births and 629 deaths were reported during the observation period. Pre-invasion mortality rates were 5.5 per 1000 people per year (95% CI 4.3-7.1), compared with 13.3 per 1000 people per year (10.9-16.1) in the 40 months post-invasion. We estimate that as of July, 2006, there have been 654 965 (392 979-942 636) excess Iraqi deaths as a consequence of the war, which corresponds to 2.5% of the population in the study area. Of post-invasion deaths, 601 027 (426 369-793 663) were due to violence, the most common cause being gunfire. INTERPRETATION: The number of people dying in Iraq has continued to escalate. The proportion of deaths ascribed to coalition forces has diminished in 2006, although the actual numbers have increased every year. Gunfire remains the most common cause of death, although deaths from car bombing have increased.

Adolescent↗

Impact of procedure-related complications on patient outcome on a general medicine service.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the importance of procedure-related complications on a general medical service. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study with one-to-one matching. Complications were identified through chart review by nurse-technicians using standard definitions. SETTING: The internal medicine service of a 900-bed university hospital. PATIENTS: One hundred seven cases with noninfectious, procedure-related complications and 107 closely matched controls who underwent the same procedures without complication. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The mortality rate was 28% for cases compared with 11% for controls, resulting in an excess mortality rate of 17% (p = 0.02). Cases who survived to discharge had an excess length of stay of seven days (p = 0.001). The excess cost per case was $12,913. Importantly, median reimbursement was only $2,064 higher for cases than for controls. Adjusting for age and APACHE II (severity of illness) score, procedure-related complications were associated with a 3.4-fold increase in the relative risk of in-hospital mortality (95% CI: 1.5 to 7.7). Surveillance data were useful in directing quality improvement activities that resulted in a 66% reduction in the rate of pneumothorax following thoracentesis. CONCLUSIONS: Procedure-related complications were associated with prolonged and expensive hospitalization and were a marker for patients at high risk for in-hospital mortality. Programs to reduce complications on the general medical service have an enormous potential to benefit both patients and hospitals.

Cause of Death↗

Factors associated with mortality and functional disability after hip fracture: an inception cohort study.

Hip fracture results in excess mortality and functional disability. This study sought to identify predictors of mortality and limited functional ability 1 year after hip fracture. We conducted a 1-year follow-up of a prospective population-based inception cohort of 218 hip fracture patients who had been consecutively admitted and discharged from hospital during the previous year. Mortality was observed to be independently associated with poor mental status (relative risk [RR]=6.96; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.73-28.00), prefracture limited functional ability (RR=4.35; 95% CI, 1.32-14.36), institutionalized disposition at discharge (RR = 2.92; 95% CI, 1.02-8.38), and male gender (RR = 2.44; 95% CI, 1.01-5.93). Independent predictors of limited functional ability were prefracture functional disability (RR = 34.14; 95% CI, 3.13-372.33), poor mental status (RR = 9.71; 95% CI, 1.57-59.82), age >80 years (RR = 4.03; 95% CI, 1.48-11.00), and female gender (RR = 3.57; 95% CI, 0.08-0.98). On discharge, special attention and care should thus be given to all patients displaying any of the above predictive factors.

Age Factors↗

High body mass index does not predict mortality in older people: analysis of the Longitudinal Study of Aging.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the excess mortality associated with obesity (defined by body mass index (BMI)) in older people, with and without adjustment for other risk factors associated with mortality and for demographic factors. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort analysis of the Longitudinal Study of Aging (LSOA). SETTING: Nationally representative sample of community-dwelling older people. PARTICIPANTS: Seven thousand five hundred and twenty-seven participants age 70 and older in 1984. MEASUREMENTS: We used Cox regression to calculate proportional hazards ratios for mortality over 96 months. We tested the hypothesis that increased BMI (top 15%) increased mortality rates in older people. RESULTS: Death occurred in 38% of the cohort: 54% of the thin (lowest 10% of the population, BMI <19.4 kg/m(2)), 33% of the obese (highest 15%, BMI> 28.5 kg/m(2)), and 37% of the remaining participants (normal) died. Adjustment for demographic factors, health services utilization, and functional status still demonstrated reduced mortality in obese older people (hazard ratio 0.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.77-0.97) compared with normal. After adjustment, thin older people remained more likely to die (hazard ratio 1.46, 95% CI = 1.30-1.64) than normal older people. Sensitivity analyses for income, mortality during the first two years of follow-up, and medical comorbidities did not substantively alter the conclusions. CONCLUSION: Obesity may be protective compared with thinness or normal weight in older community-dwelling Americans.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Dementia and physical disability as competing risks for mortality in a community-based sample of the elderly Japanese.

To examine whether an excess mortality due to dementia is independent of coexisting physical disability, a probability-sample of the non-institutionalized elderly (n = 3,308) living in Sendai City, Japan was followed between 1988 and 1991. Of those, 128 were diagnosed as dementia in 1988 by psychiatrists, using Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Third Edition-Revised as a diagnostic standard. Information on the ability to perform activities of daily living (ADL) was collected by self-report of the study subjects in 1988 baseline survey. The survival status was investigated three years later. The risks of dementia and co-existing ADL disability for mortality was examined by Cox proportional hazard models. The results indicated that the relation between dementia and mortality was two-fold, depending upon the physical functions. Dementia increased the risk for mortality among those without ADL disability, but it did not so among those with ADL disability, rather ADL function was a stronger predictor for mortality among the latter individuals. Prevention and treatment of physical disability would be important for improving the survival of the demented people.

Aged↗

Mortality among male farmers licensed to use pesticides.

The mortality experience of 4,580 male farmers licensed to buy and use pesticides in Northern Italy was examined from 1974 to 1987. The historical cohort was determined from the registers of the agricultural inspectorate offices. The vital status at the end of the study period was ascertained by municipality records and only 4 subjects were lost to follow-up. Death certificates were obtained for 100% of the 565 identified deaths. External comparison on to the Italian male population was supplemented by regional comparison. Mortality deficits were observed for all causes, all neoplasms and most specific malignancies. A non-significant mortality excess due to brain cancer, compared both to national and regional populations, was found (11 cases, Standardized Mortality Ratio 169 and 139, respectively). The excess of brain cancer became statistically significant in the age group 65-75 years. Caution must be used in the interpretation of our findings. Nevertheless, it seems reasonable to hypothesize an association of the observed excess of brain cancer with the occupational and/or environmental exposure of the cohort.

Age Factors↗

Motor-vehicle crash fatalities among American Indians and non-Indians in Arizona, 1979 through 1988.

OBJECTIVES: This study evaluated the contributions of rural residence, alcohol use, and pedestrian fatalities to the high American Indian motor-vehicle crash mortality rate in Arizona. METHODS: Records from the Fatal Accident Reporting System were used to examine mortality rates between 1979 and 1988. RESULTS: American Indians had increased relative risks in all motor-vehicle crash categories in all residence-gender groups. The percentage of excess mortality associated with alcohol varied from 36.8% to 66.7%, and the percentage associated with pedestrian deaths ranged from 27.2% to 55.4%. CONCLUSIONS: Efforts to reduce excess motor-vehicle crash mortality among American Indians should concentrate on preventing pedestrian and alcohol-related fatalities.

Accidents, Traffic↗

Mortality follow-up of the 1942 epidemic of hepatitis B in the U.S. Army.

The hypothesis that adult infection with the hepatitis B virus in the United States leads to a carrier state with a high risk of primary liver cancer was tested in two ways: (a) a cohort mortality study of U.S. Army veterans given yellow fever vaccine contaminated with hepatitis B virus in 1942 and controls and (b) a case-control study comparing veterans with hepatocellular carcinoma in Veterans Affairs hospitals with matched controls with respect to receipt of contaminated vaccine in 1942. Three groups totaling 69,988 men were the subjects of the cohort study: group 1 comprised men hospitalized with hepatitis in 1942, group 2 comprised men subclinically infected in 1942 and group 3 comprised controls who entered service after the contaminated vaccine was discontinued. Hepatocellular carcinoma cases (n = 24) and control subjects (n = 63) derived from Veterans Affairs hospital discharge files were the subjects of the case-control study. Group comparisons of death rates from liver cancer were refined by expert review of records to select hepatocellular carcinoma from among all causes of death so diagnosed in the cohort study. Slightly excess mortality was found for hepatocellular carcinoma in group 2 (subclinical hepatitis B) but not for group 1 (overt hepatitis B) compared with group 3 (controls) (p = 0.08). Mortality from nonalcoholic chronic liver disease was less in group 2 than in group 3. In the case-control study, the relative risk for hepatocellular carcinoma conferred by receipt of contaminated vaccine was estimated as 3.3 (p = 0.06). We conclude from the cohort study that immunocompetent adult males rarely become carriers after hepatitis B virus infection, probably far less often than the frequently assumed rate of 5% to 10%. The small excess liver cancer mortality seen in the cohort study and the results of the case-control study are consistent, nevertheless, with the now well-established etiological role of hepatitis B virus infection in liver cancer.

Adult↗

[Morbidity and mortality of influenza in Japan].

Influenza is reportable in Japan since 1947. The current sentinel surveillance system for influenza started in 1987. Influenza morbidity is clearly correlated with increased influenza and pneumonia mortality and mortality from other major underlying diseases, which results in an increased overall mortality. The expected mortality was calculated from a seasonal ARIMA model for influenza and pneumonia. Excess mortality is defined as the number of deaths exceeding the upper confidence limit that was calculated from the model. During the 1998/1999 season, the estimated number of excess deaths from pneumonia and influenza was about 10,000 and from all causes about 40,000. More than 90% of these deaths occurred among elderly.

Humans↗

Relationship between low cholesterol and disease. Evidence from epidemiological studies and preventive trials.

This review has addressed the concern that the reduction of the risk of coronary heart disease and other cardiovascular disorders by means of reducing serum cholesterol levels might, at the same time, increase the risk of developing noncardiovascular conditions. This concern is justified because, at face value, prospective epidemiological studies indicate that total mortality and mortality from a number of specific causes of death increase below a threshold value of serum cholesterol (the J-shaped curve phenomenon) and intervention studies to date have mostly failed to show a decrease of total mortality in the experimental group, despite a fall in coronary heart disease mortality (suggesting an increase in noncardiac mortality). Detailed scrutiny of the evidence from prospective studies provides no convincing evidence that low cholesterol levels are associated with an excess of deaths from cancer, except possibly to a minor degree; excess mortality from other causes which account for only a minority of all deaths, are in all likelihood confounded by influences that, in themselves, increase the probability of dying. Preventive trials that have been designed to test whether reduction of serum cholesterol will lower heart disease risk have, so far, provided insufficient numbers of noncardiovascular deaths to test, in addition, whether serum cholesterol lowering is accompanied by an increase in such deaths. According to available evidence, both the apparent excess of noncardiac deaths and total mortality could be attributable to chance. In the light of these findings from prospective studies and preventive trials, as well as the cross-cultural, ecological data that have been summarized, the total evidence provides no justification for depriving either high-risk individuals or populations at high risk as a whole of the benefits of serum cholesterol reduction for preventing heart disease on the grounds that such reduction may increase the risk of noncardiovascular conditions. This latter risk is far from being established and, if present, from all the available evidence is much smaller than the risk of withholding protection from persons and populations exposed to elevated coronary heart disease risk. In addition to the conclusions from epidemiological and intervention studies, a paramount question relates to the biological plausibility of causal connections between low or lowered cholesterol and the hazard of noncardiovascular disorders. Assessment of currently available data provides no evidence for the existence of mechanisms that might explain such a link. Countries in which average serum cholesterol levels are still low, as in Japan, face a different problem.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Arteriosclerosis↗