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Towards a capitation formula for competing health insurers. An empirical analysis.

In many countries the concept of capitating health care insurers is receiving increasing attention. The main reason is, that capitation may induce health care insurers in a competitive environment to concentrate more on cost containment. However, if the adjusters on which capitation payments are based, are too global, there may be ample room for risk selection by the insurers whilst also an unfair distribution of funds over the insurers may result, thereby undermining the objectives of capitation. The prime motivation for the present study is, that the Dutch government, as part of proposals for a new, market oriented structure of health care system, is considering to capitate insurers on the basis of global parameters like age, gender and location. Our analysis based on panel data of some 35,000 individuals, shows that the proportion of variance in annual health care expenditures that can be predicted (R2) by such a global capitation formula, is only 0.024. This is less than 1/5 of our estimate of the theoretically maximum achievable R2 which amounts to 0.138, implying the existence of abundant selection opportunities, e.g. on the basis of past expenditures or other health indicators. Alternative capitation formulae incorporating prior-year's costs and reaching about 3/5 of the maximum obtainable R2, effectively remove the profitableness of selection on the basis of past expenditures. The findings suggest, however, that selection via (chronic) health status may still be profitable to some extent. Therefore, we also analyzed data from the Dutch Health Interview Survey (N approximately 20,000) which comprised better health indicators. It appeared that a capitation formula based on the global adjusters mentioned above as well as three health status indicators and several background characteristics, yields an R2 of about 0.114, which probably accounts for 3/4 of our estimate of the maximum obtainable R2. The main conclusion is, that in the short term information on prior expenditures, which is available in the files of most insurers and thus may be used for risk selection, should be included in the capitation formula. For the more distant future, the formula should be expanded with indicators of chronic health status, possibly based on diagnostic information from previous, non-discretionary hospitalizations.

Age Factors↗

Review of the professional medical liability insurance crisis: lessons from Missouri.

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to document and generalize the professional liability insurance (PLI) crisis. STUDY DESIGN: Data analysis from physician surveys, Missouri Department of Insurance, and court records. RESULTS: In 2001-2002, many insurers stopped writing new and existing PLI. A survey found 1 in 7 physicians had their PLI terminated and/or application for new insurance denied. Average premiums increased 22% in 2001 and 60% in 2002. Accordingly, 50% of surveyed obstetricians took salary cuts, 18% secured loans, 9% liquidated assets, and 55% significantly limited their clinical services. An adverse court ruling caused insurers to double reserves. Incomplete data led the Missouri Department of Insurance to erroneously conclude a decrease in claim frequency and severity. In contrast, courthouse records and missing data sources revealed increased malpractice filings. PLI premiums continue to rise. CONCLUSION: Many life-saving specialists are being forced out of business. Specialists are less willing to care for emergency and indigent patients for fear of liability exposure. Legislative enactments leading to meaningful tort reform, public support, and judicial restraint must occur to save health care.

Defensive Medicine↗

Health insurance coverage and the macroeconomy.

This paper investigates the relationship between the macroeconomy and health insurance coverage for non-elderly Americans. We find that, for men, state unemployment rate is positively correlated with the probability of health insurance coverage in general and through an employer in particular, and that these correlations are only partly explained by changes in employment status. In contrast, the insurance coverage of women and children appears to be insulated from fluctuations in the unemployment rate by public health insurance programs like Medicaid and State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP). We estimate that 984,000 Americans, nearly all of whom were adult men, lost health insurance due to macroeconomic conditions alone during the 2001 recession.

Adult↗

Private insurance and the utilization of chemical dependency treatment.

This study examines how different types of health coverage influence the likelihood of entering treatment for an alcohol problem, and the extent that people in treatment are able to use their insurance to help cover the costs of care. Survey data are analyzed from a sample of problem drinkers drawn from the general population and chemical dependency treatment programs in the same community. We find that, in comparison to being on Medicaid and being uninsured, having private coverage does not significantly alter the odds of treatment entry. Being in a private managed care plan, as compared to traditional indemnity coverage, also does not appear to impact the chances of treatment entry. However, having private coverage, as compared to being on Medicare, doubles the odds of treatment entry. For problem drinkers who obtain treatment, those with private coverage are as or more likely than other insured groups to report that insurance helped to pay treatment expenses. Even so, 10% of those privately insured report having paid for all of their treatment costs out of pocket. We conclude that, while prior studies have rarely found that having insurance significantly impacts alcohol treatment entry, the type of coverage one possesses may matter in some cases. Our results concerning Medicare coverage may point to potential problems with making treatment affordable to some problem drinkers outside the private insurance system.

Adult↗

Impact of family health insurance and other environmental factors on universal hearing screen program effectiveness.

OBJECTIVE: The study objective was to evaluate the relationship among health insurance type, other demographic factors, and newborn hearing screen compliance and outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: The cohort consisted of 39,153 infants screened in Rhode Island between July 1, 1995 and June 30, 1998. Multivariate analyses were completed to evaluate relationships between health insurance type and completion of the in-hospital hearing screen and the rescreen, if indicated. RESULTS: Successful newborn screen rates ranged from 98.1% to 99.8%. Infants with traditional Medicaid insurance were more likely to not be screened (p<0.0001) and to not return for a rescreen (p<0.0001). Infants in families with managed care Medicaid had screen compliance similar to infants with commercial health insurance. Multivariate analyses revealed that Medicaid insurance, no insurance, neonatal intensive care unit status, and out-of-state address predicted no initial screen (p<0.001) and no rescreen (p<0.0001). CONCLUSION: In population-based health services, it is important that the effects of socioeconomic and demographic variables on outcomes be evaluated.

Female↗

Health insurance status and cardiovascular disease risk factors among 50-64-year-old U.S. women: findings from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.

To examine the cardiovascular disease risk factors profile and use of preventive health services for cardiovascular disease among uninsured women aged 50-64 years, we studied data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III (NHANES III), conducted from 1988 to 1994. Insured women (n = 1308) and uninsured women (n = 303) had similar levels of blood pressure and lipids, but uninsured women were more likely to be current smokers, sedentary, and overweight and to consume less fiber, vitamin C, folate, calcium, and potassium than insured women. Compared with insured women, uninsured women were less likely to have had their blood pressure checked during the previous 6 months, to have had their cholesterol level checked, and to be aware of hypercholesterolemia. Insured women (24.9%) were three times more likely to use estrogen replacement therapy than uninsured women (7.9%). NHANES III data suggest that women without health insurance have a worse cardiovascular disease risk factor profile and use healthcare services less frequently than women with health insurance.

Cardiovascular Diseases↗

The cost of coverage: rural health insurance in China.

China has undergone great economic and social change since 1978 with far reaching implications for the health care system and ultimately for the health status of the population. The Chinese Medical Reform of the 1980s made cost recovery a primary objective. The urban population is mostly protected by generous government health insurance. A high share government budget is allocated to urban health care. Rural cooperative health insurance reached a peak in the mid-1970s when 90% of the rural population were covered. In the 1980s rural cooperative health insurance collapsed and present coverage is less than 8%. The decline has been accompanied by reports of growing equity problems in the financing of and access to health care. This article is the first in a four-year study of the impact on equity of the changes in Chinese health care financing. The article examines the relationship between rural cooperative health insurance as the explanatory variable and health care expenditure, curative vs. preventive expenditure and tertiary curative care expenditure as dependent variables using a natural experimental design with a 'twin' county as a control. The findings support the hypothesis that cooperative health insurance will induce higher growth of health care expenditure. The findings also support the hypothesis that cooperative health insurance will lead to a shift from preventive medicine to curative medicine and to a higher level of tertiary curative care expenditure. The empirical evidence from the Chinese counties is contradicting World Bank health financing policies.

China↗

Health insurance status, cost-related medication underuse, and outcomes among diabetes patients in three systems of care.

BACKGROUND: Chronically ill patients often experience difficulty paying for their medications and, as a result, use less than prescribed. OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this study were to determine the relationship between patients with diabetes' health insurance coverage and cost-related medication underuse, the association between cost-related underuse and health outcomes, and the role of comorbidity in this process. RESEARCH DESIGN: We used a patient survey with linkage to insurance information and hemoglobin A1C (A1C) test results. PATIENTS: We studied 766 adults with diabetes recruited from 3 Veterans Affairs (VA), 1 county, and 1 university healthcare system. MAIN OUTCOMES: Main outcomes consisted of self-reported medication underuse as a result of cost, A1C levels, symptom burden, and Medical Outcomes Study 12-Item Short-Form physical and mental functioning scores. RESULTS: Fewer VA patients reported cost-related medication underuse (9%) than patients with private insurance (18%), Medicare (25%), Medicaid (31%), or no health insurance (40%; P <0.0001). Underuse was substantially more common among patients with multiple comorbid chronic illnesses, except those who used VA care. The risk of cost-related underuse for patients with 3+ comorbidities was 2.8 times as high among privately insured patients as VA patients (95% confidence interval, 1.2-6.5), and 4.3 to 8.3 times as high among patients with Medicare, Medicaid, or no insurance. Individuals reporting cost-related medication underuse had A1C levels that were substantially higher than other patients (P <0.0001), more symptoms, and poorer physical and mental functioning (all P <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Many patients with diabetes use less of their medication than prescribed because of the cost, and those reporting cost-related adherence problems have poorer health. Cost-related adherence problems are especially common among patients with diabetes with comorbid diseases, although the VA's drug coverage may protect patients from this increased risk.

Aged↗

Insurance coverage, usual source of care, and receipt of clinically indicated care for comorbid conditions among adults living with human immunodeficiency virus.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Associations of insurance coverage and source of care with use of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related health, mental health, and substance abuse services are examined in a large, diverse, highly active antiretroviral therapy-era cohort. METHODS: Adults who were infected with HIV (n = 3818) were interviewed in clinics and community agencies in Los Angeles, Milwaukee, New York, and San Francisco regarding drug use behaviors, health status, and health care utilization. RESULTS: Most participants were insured by Medicaid. During the previous 3 months, 90% of privately insured, 87% of publicly insured, and 78% of uninsured participants had visited any provider. Publicly and privately insured participants were similar in receipt of antiretrovirals, prophylaxis against Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia, substance abuse services, and antidepressants. Uninsured participants were less likely to receive antiretrovirals but were more likely to use substance abuse services. Participants with no usual source of care were less likely to receive PCP prophylaxis. CONCLUSIONS: A lack of insurance is associated with barriers to care, but the advantage of private over public coverage appears smaller than in previous studies. PCP prophylaxis, substance abuse treatment, and antidepressants remain markedly underutilized. Educational initiatives about these treatments targeting providers and patients are indicated.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗

Health insurance coverage and the risk of decline in overall health and death among the near elderly, 1992-2002.

BACKGROUND: Although individuals' health insurance coverage changes frequently, previous analyses have not accounted for changes in insurance coverage over time. OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine the independent association between lack of insurance and the risk of a decline in self-reported overall health and death from 1992 to 2002, accounting for changes in self-reported overall health and insurance coverage. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Health and Retirement study, a prospective cohort study of a national sample of community-dwelling adults age 51-61 years old at baseline. Major decline in self-reported overall health and mortality was determined at 2-year intervals. RESULTS: People who were uninsured at baseline had a 35% (95% confidence interval [CI] 12-62%) higher risk-adjusted mortality from 1992 to 2002 compared with those with private insurance. However, when we analyzed outcomes over 2-year intervals, individuals who were uninsured at the start of each interval were more likely to have a major decline in their overall health (pooled adjusted relative risk 1.43, 95% CI 1.28-1.63), but they were equally likely to die (pooled adjusted relative risk 0.96, 95% CI 0.73-1.27). Of the 1512 people who were uninsured at baseline, 220 (14.6%) died; of those who died, only 70 (31.8%) were still uninsured at the HRS interview prior to death. CONCLUSIONS: Death does not appear to be a short-term consequence of being uninsured. Instead, higher long-term mortality among the uninsured results from erosion in this population's health status over time and the attendant higher mortality associated with this. Most deaths among the uninsured occur after individuals have gained either public or private health insurance.

Cohort Studies↗

Firearm counseling by physicians: coverage under medical liability insurance policies.

BACKGROUND: Physicians who offer firearms counseling may increase their legal liability, depending on the attitudes of their medical malpractice insurance carriers. METHODS: A survey was mailed to the 100 largest medical malpractice insurers. Requested data included their experience with claims involving allegations of negligent firearm counseling by physicians, their opinion regarding whether firearm counseling by physicians would be covered under their medical malpractice policies, and their prediction of how their insurance group or company would handle such claims. RESULTS: Fourteen surveys were returned. No respondents reported having dealt with a case involving an allegation of negligent firearm counseling by a physician. Eight respondents (57%) thought that such counseling would not be covered under their medical malpractice policy, whereas six respondents (43%) said that it would. CONCLUSION: A majority of responding insurers thought that physician firearm counseling would not be covered under their medical malpractice policies. Physicians wishing to counsel their patients about the risks and benefits of owning and using firearms are advised to seek assurance of medical malpractice insurance coverage from their insurers or the annexation of a rider to their current policies.

Costs and Cost Analysis↗

The role of independent agents in the success of health insurance market reforms.

The impact of reforms on the health insurance markets cannot be understood without more information about the role played by insurance agents and a closer analysis of their contribution. An in-depth, qualitative study of insurance-market reforms in seven illustrative states forms the basis for this report on how agents help to shape the efficiency and fairness of insurance markets. Different types of agents relate to insurers in their own ways and are compensated differently. This study shows agents to be almost uniformly enthusiastic about guaranteed-issue requirements and other components of market reforms. Although insurers devise strategies for manipulating agents in order to avoid undesirable business, these opportunities are limited and do not appear to be seriously undermining the effectiveness of market reforms. Despite the layer of cost that agents add to the system, they play an important role in making market reforms work, and they fill essential information and service functions for which many purchasers have no ready substitute.

Health Care Reform↗

[Profile of members and non members of mutual health insurance system in Rwanda: the case of the health district of Kabutare].

The establishment of mutual health insurance systems is one of the priorities of the Rwandan government. Pilot studies have been conducted in three districts of the country. Nonetheless, after 4 years of implementation (1999-2003), the population coverage by these insurance systems remains relatively low. A cross-sectional study of 1042 households in the Kabutare health district allowed for a comparison of socio-economic and demographic variables, and the medical, surgical, gynaecological, and obstetrical history of health insurance scheme members and non-members. The results of the study demonstrate that the distribution of members and non-members is similar in terms of sex, marital status, professional status and medical history. However, larger households (more than five members) and those having a relatively higher income (more than USD 230 per annum) are more likely to be insured than other households. Members of the mutual health insurance use more the health services than non-members, spend less on health care and increasingly maintain membership. The study emphasizes the relevance to further promote mutual health insurance, but also points to the need for mechanisms to ensure financial access for the poor rural population.

Cross-Sectional Studies↗

Out-of-pocket financial burden for low-income families with children: socioeconomic disparities and effects of insurance.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether socioeconomic disparities exist in the financial burden of out-of-pocket (OOP) health care expenditures for families with children, and whether health insurance coverage decreases financial burden for low-income families. DATA SOURCE: The Household Component of the 2001 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional family-level analysis. We used bivariate statistics to examine whether financial burden varied by poverty level. Multivariate regression models were used to assess whether family insurance coverage was associated with level of financial burden for low-income families. The main outcome was financial burden, defined as the proportion of family income spent on OOP health care expenditures, including premiums, for all family members. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION: We aggregated annual OOP expenditures for all members of 4,531 families with a child <18 years old. Family insurance coverage was categorized as follows: (1) all members publicly insured all year, (2) all members privately insured all year, (3) all members uninsured all year, (4) partial coverage, or (5) mix of public and private with no uninsured periods. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A regressive gradient was noted for financial burden across income groups, with families with incomes <100 percent of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL) spending a mean of 119.66 US dollars OOP per 1,000 US dollars of family income and families with incomes 100-199 percent FPL spending 66.30 US dollars OOP per 1,000 US dollars, compared with 37.75 US dollars for families with incomes >400 percent FPL. For low-income families (<200 percent FPL), there was a 785 percent decrease in financial burden for those with full-year public coverage compared with those with full-year private insurance (p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Socioeconomic disparities exist in the financial burden of OOP health care expenditures for families with children. For low-income families, full-year public coverage provides significantly greater protection from financial burden than full-year private coverage.

Adolescent↗

Will insured citizens give up benefit coverage to include the uninsured?

OBJECTIVE: To describe the willingness of insured citizens to trade off their own health benefits to cover the uninsured. DESIGN: Descriptive study of individual and group decisions and decision making using quantitative and qualitative methods. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Twenty-nine groups of citizens (N = 282) residing throughout Minnesota. INTERVENTIONS: Groups participated in Choosing Healthplans All Together (CHAT), a simulation exercise in which participants choose whether and how extensively to cover health services in a hypothetical health plan constrained by limited resources. We describe individual and group decisions, and group dialogue concerning whether to allocate 2% of their premium to cover uninsured children in Minnesota, or 4% of their premium to cover uninsured children and adults. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: While discussing coverage for the uninsured, groups presented arguments about personal responsibility, community benefit, caring for the vulnerable, social impact, and perceptions of personal risk. All groups chose to insure children; 22 of 29 groups also insured adults. More individuals chose to cover the uninsured at the end of the exercise, after group deliberation, than before (66% vs 54%; P < .001). Individual selections differed from group selections more often for the uninsured category than any other. Nevertheless, 89% of participants were willing to abide by the health plan developed by their group. CONCLUSION: In the context of tradeoffs with their own health insurance benefits, groups of Minnesotans presented value-based arguments about covering the uninsured. All 29 groups and two thirds of individuals chose to contribute a portion of their premium to insure all children and most groups chose also to insure uninsured adults.

Adult↗

New directions for health insurance design: implications for public health policy and practice.

National attention on issues of public health preparedness necessarily brings into sharp focus the question of how to assure adequate, community-wide health care financing for preventive, acute care, and long-term medical care responses to public health threats. In the U.S., public and private health insurance represents the principal means by which medical care is financed. Beyond the threshold challenge of the many persons without any, or a stable form of, coverage lie challenges related to the structure and characteristics of health insurance itself, particularly the commercial industry and its newly emerging market of consumer-driven health plans. States vary significantly in how they approach the regulation of insurance and in their willingness to support various types of insurance markets. This variation is attributable to the size and robustness of the insurance market, the political environment, and regulatory tradition and custom. Reconciling health insurance markets with public health-related health care financing needs arising from public health threats should be viewed as a major dimension of national health reform.

Disaster Planning↗

Relationship between type of health insurance and time to inpatient rehabilitation placement for surgical subspecialty patients.

A significant proportion of patients on a neurosurgical service require inpatient rehabilitation placement after discharge. The relationship between the type of health insurance of the patient at the time of admission and the time to placement of patients has not previously been addressed. We prospectively studied all patients on the adult neurosurgical service at our hospital to determine whether the type of health insurance carried by patients is related to the time necessary to arrange acceptance into inpatient rehabilitation facilities. Ninety-one patients (51 men, 40 women; mean age, 56 years) admitted to the neurosurgery service during a 6-month period required inpatient rehabilitation placement after discharge. The time in days between the request for placement into a rehabilitation facility and the acceptance of the patient was examined. The mean time for placement of patients with and without health insurance at the time of admission was 0.8 days and 2.1 days, respectively (overall mean, 1.1 days) (P < .002). No statistically significant associations were found between age, sex, or race of the patient and the time to placement. In addition, there was no difference in the time to placement between those patients admitted as a result of trauma and those patients admitted for reasons other than trauma. These results indicate that among patients on a neurosurgical service, patients with private health insurance are accepted into inpatient rehabilitation approximately 1 day sooner than patients without private health insurance. Patients without private health insurance are delayed in their transfer to inpatient rehabilitation facilities and more aggressive inpatient rehabilitation. How this finding translates into an increase in cost of care or a decrease in patient outcomes is unknown.

Adolescent↗

Health insurance and family structure: the case of adolescents in skipped-generation families.

Since 1970, both the number and proportion of children being parented by a grandparent without the help of a parent has increased substantially. The increase in skipped-generation households has generated much concern from policy makers because such households are, on average, disadvantaged compared with most other household types. One important challenge facing grandparents with parenting responsibilities is securing health insurance for their dependent grandchildren. In this study, the authors investigate the extent to which grandparents raising their grandchildren were able to secure health insurance for their dependent grandchildren. They find that adolescents living in skipped-generation families in 1995 were more often uninsured, more often publicly insured, and less often privately insured compared with adolescents in other family types. Even after controlling for income, work status, and education, adolescents in skipped-generation families were still more likely to have public insurance and less likely to have private insurance compared with other adolescents.

Adolescent↗