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Endoscopic therapy of chronic pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Endoscopic therapy of chronic obstructive pancreatitis is an indubitable contribution to patients which brings immediate pain relief, enables an increased caloric food intake and improves the quality of patient's life. The authors describe their experience in a set of 42 subjects, in whom endoscopic papillotomy of the pancreatic duct was carried out after diagnosis of chronic obstructive pancreatitis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Endoscopic papillotomy was performed in 42 patients. In 17 patients, papillotomy was followed by the drainage of the pancreatic duct. RESULTS: The treatment led to disappearance or significant decrease of the epigastric pain in 85.7% patients shortly after the treatment; in 47.1% of patients the painless period lasted for further 24 months after the therapy. Increase in body weight of about 2 kg occurred in 53% of treated subjects during the 2 years since the therapy. Complications in treatment, such as acute pancreatitis in 3 patients and bleeding in 2 were mastered conservatively. CONCLUSION: Endoscopic therapy of chronic pancreatitis is an alternative approach of managing the algic form of chronic obstructive pancreatitis. Changes in the area of Vater papilla, pathological content of pancreatic duct, structure or complications of chronic pancreatitis could be solved endoscopically with a minimum burden on patient. According to the experience of the authors, endoscopic papillotomy of pancreatic duct with contingent drainage led to the pain disappearence nearly in 50% of patients in the set of 42 subjects 24 months after the performance. This fact was followed with an increase in body weight in more than 50% of treated subjects. Minimum of complications put the endoscopic therapy among relatively safe and at the same time effective approach to chronic pancreatitis.

Adult↗

Optic nerve sheath fenestration with endoscopic accessory instruments versus the free electron laser (FEL).

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The free electron laser (FEL) can efficiently produce an optic nerve sheath fenestration using an endoscopic approach. To develop a surgical protocol, this study compared effectiveness of available accessory endoscopic instruments to endoscopic FEL delivery effectiveness in producing optic nerve sheath fenestrations. STUDY DESIGN/MATERIALS AND METHODS: An endoscope was used to perform optic nerve sheath fenestrations on goat optic nerves. Accessory endoscopic instruments and glass-hollow waveguides (250 and 320 microm in diameter) were inserted into the instrument channel for comparison. FEL energy (6.45 microm, 30 Hz) was delivered to the tissue through the waveguides and histological analysis was performed. RESULTS: The endoscopic instruments alone were unable to incise the optic nerve sheath. The FEL successfully incised the sheath and the biopsy forceps extricated the circular flap. CONCLUSIONS: Endoscopic optic nerve sheath fenestration using FEL energy followed by biopsy forceps for sheath extrication produced good results, thereby creating a feasible protocol for optic nerve sheath fenestration.

Animals↗

Endoscope-controlled microneurosurgery for the treatment of intracranial fluid cysts.

OBJECTIVE: This study assessed the role of endoscope-controlled microneurosurgery (ECM) in the treatment of intracranial cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) cysts. METHODS: Twelve patients affected by symptomatic arachnoid cysts (11 in the sylvian fissure and 1 in the cerebellopontine angle) underwent ECM, in which the endoscope is used to view the operating field while microsurgical instruments can be passed alongside the endoscope for surgical maneuvers. All the cysts were superficially located and could be reached directly through a burr hole on their surface, so that the endoscope was inserted into the cyst without passing through the brain parenchyma. We used a rigid endoscope, performing a wide fenestration of the cyst in the basal cisterns (cystocisternostomy). The excellent endoscopic vision facilitated the surgical procedure with safe maneuvers through a minimally invasive approach. In 11 patients, we observed the resolution of symptoms. A radiological reduction in the cyst was observed in 7 cases. No mortality or major complications were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Endoscope-controlled microsurgery is a valid minimally invasive procedure for treating superficially located intracranial arachnoid cysts.

Adolescent↗

Serious Pseudomonas infections associated with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography.

After observing a single case of Pseudomonas aeruginosa bacteremia following endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), six other P. aeruginosa infections that were temporally related to ERCP were retrospectively found over one year (August 1985 through July 1986) at LDS Hospital. In all seven patients, infection developed within five days after an ERCP. Five patients had bacteremia and two had cholangitis. All five of the Pseudomonas isolates available for testing were serotype 010. Cultures from the ERCP endoscope and several other endoscopes also yielded P. aeruginosa serotype 10, as did environmental cultures from equipment used to clean endoscopes. Among 167 ERCPs performed during the outbreak period, no other patient acquired P. aeruginosa infection. Each of the patients in the outbreak received the first scheduled ERCP of the day. The mean duration between the cleaning of the ERCP endoscope and its subsequent use was significantly longer in cases than in matched controls, a factor that may have permitted contaminating organisms to achieve high inocula in the inadequately cleaned endoscope. Epidemic control measures included improved disinfection of endoscopes, ongoing surveillance, and appropriate antimicrobial prophylaxis. This experience suggests that exogenous infection with Pseudomonas is associated with ERCP, that protracted and insidious outbreaks may occur, and that the occurrence of even a single case of Pseudomonas infection after ERCP should stimulate an epidemiologic investigation.

Cholangiopancreatography, Endoscopic Retrograde↗

Pseudomonas infection of the biliary system resulting from use of a contaminated endoscope.

Pseudomonas aeruginosa was present in bile cultures from 10 patients who had undergone previous endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in 1984. After environmental cultures and review of instrument disinfection, we traced the infections to a single endoscope contaminated with P. aeruginosa, serotype 10. Although the instrument had been cleaned repeatedly with an automatic endoscope cleaning machine, P. aeruginosa survived on residual moisture left in the channels of the endoscope. Contamination ended only after we began to manually suction alcohol through the endoscope before air drying. In 5 of 10 patients, P. aeruginosa caused clinical infections including gangrenous cholecystitis, abscesses, and death. We could identify no factor that distinguished symptomatic from asymptomatic patients. In asymptomatic patients, P. aeruginosa was recovered from gallbladder bile up to 2 mo after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography. As this P. aeruginosa epidemic was discovered retrospectively because we monitor bile cultures, we advocate this practice as part of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography procedures.

Bile↗

Automated washing with the Reliance Endoscope Processing System and its equivalence to optimal manual cleaning.

BACKGROUND: Manual cleaning of flexible endoscopes is prone to error. To date, attempts to automate this process have been unsuccessful. The aim of this project was to compare the efficacy of the washing phase in the new Reliance EPS (STERIS Corp, Mentor, OH) with that of optimal manual cleaning. METHODS: Using simulated-use testing, all channels in 3 different flexible endoscopes, including a bronchoscope (Pentax, Pentax Medical Company, Miami, FL), a side-viewing duodenoscope (Olympus, Olympus Corporation), and a colonoscope (Fujinon, Fujinon Corporation, Wayne, NJ) were evaluated. All of the channels in the flexible endoscope were soiled with artificial test soil (ATS) (test soil that mimics the worst case levels of hemoglobin, protein, carbohydrate, and endotoxin from patient-used flexible endoscopes) containing 10(8) cfu/mL of Enterococcus faecalis and Pseudomonas aeruginosa The soiled scopes were allowed to dry for 1 hour prior to processing. Hemoglobin, protein, and viable organism counts for the flexible endoscopes were determined before and after cleaning. RESULTS: Both the Reliance EPS washing phase and optimal manual cleaning achieved >90% reduction of hemoglobin and protein, resulting in <6.4 microg/cm2 after the cleaning cycle. The reduction factor for viable organisms was not significantly different between the 2 methods, which ranged from 2.06 to 6.21 for manual cleaning and from 2.1 to 5.93 for the Reliance EPS washing phase. The mean reduction factor (all tests) was 4.32 +/- 1.03 for manual cleaning compared with 4.24 +/- 1.11 for Reliance EPS washing phase. CONCLUSION: The efficacy of the Reliance EPS washing phase for flexible endoscopes was equivalent to optimal manual cleaning for all the makes and models of flexible endoscopes tested.

Bronchoscopes↗

Endoscopic removal of the wireless pH monitoring capsule in patients with severe discomfort.

BACKGROUND: Few patients have significant symptoms during wireless esophageal pH monitoring, and the capsule typically sloughs spontaneously. Severe discomfort during monitoring can occur that requires endoscopic dislodgement of the capsule. OBJECTIVE: To determine the frequency with which endoscopic capsule dislodgement is required and the outcomes of the intervention. DESIGN: Chart review. SETTING: University-based outpatient endoscopy facility. PATIENTS: A total of 452 consecutive patients undergoing wireless pH monitoring over a 3.5-year period. INTERVENTIONS: Endoscopic dislodgement of the capsule by using nudging with the endoscope tip and cold snare techniques. RESULTS: Eight subjects (1.8%) required endoscopic capsule dislodgement because of severe chest pain or odynophagia (n = 7) or severe foreign-body sensation (n = 1). Chest pain was the initial indication for pH monitoring in 5 (62.5%) of the subjects. Initial nudging with the endoscope tip successfully dislodged 2 capsules; continued nudging produced mucosal stripping in 3 subjects, which required hemostasis in 1. A cold snare was used successfully, without complication, to separate the capsule from stripped mucosa and as a primary removal method in the remainder of subjects. Capsule removal uniformly resulted in marked improvement of discomfort. CONCLUSIONS: Endoscopic removal of the capsule was required in <2% of subjects who underwent wireless pH monitoring. Separation of the capsule from the mucosa with a cold snare may be the preferred method of accomplishing uncomplicated removal.

Adult↗

Usefulness of endoscopic ultrasonography in patients with "idiopathic" acute pancreatitis.

PURPOSE: No underlying cause is found in as many as 30% of patients with acute pancreatitis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the usefulness of endoscopic ultrasonography in the diagnosis of biliary tract pathology or chronic pancreatitis in these patients. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We evaluated 168 patients who were referred with idiopathic pancreatitis. Diagnoses obtained by endoscopic ultrasonography were prospectively compared with those obtained at surgery in 101 patients, by endoscopic cholangiopancreatography in 49 patients, or by bile crystal analysis and medical follow-up in 18 patients. RESULTS: Endoscopic ultrasonography was abnormal in 135 (80%) patients, 124 of whom had biliary tract disease. When the results of endoscopic ultrasonography were compared with those made after multidisciplinary investigations, endoscopic ultrasonography correctly identified the cause-most commonly biliary tract disease-of the "idiopathic" pancreatitis in 155 (92%) of the 168 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Endoscopic ultrasonography is valuable in determining the cause of acute pancreatitis in patients initially considered to have idiopathic pancreatitis.

Acute Disease↗

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography after laparoscopic cholecystectomy.

We assessed the use of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) after laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) at our hepatobiliary referral center. This assessment included patients from outside institutions with post-LC problems. Between May 1990 and September 1992, we performed 522 LCs and 1,723 ERCP examinations. There were 78 patients who underwent 143 ERCP examinations after LC, 65% of whom were referred. ERCP findings were categorized as follows: normal results (8%), problems inherent to stone disease (65%), and iatrogenic injury (27%). The types of inherent problems were common bile duct (CBD) stones, pancreatitis, and papillary stenosis/microlithiasis. Within the CBD stone group, 5 of 26 patients also had papillary stenosis, and, within the pancreatitis group, 9 of 11 patients also had papillary stenosis, making papillary stenosis the most frequent observation (55%). Almost all of these patients (96%) required endoscopic papillotomy for successful treatment. The iatrogenic injury group was comprised of 21 patients, 16% of whom had cystic duct leak and 84% of whom had CBD injury. These patients required a variety of endoscopic procedures including endoscopic papillotomy (67%), CBD endoscopic stenting (76%), percutaneous drainage of biloma (29%), and percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage (24%). Open surgical procedures after endoscopic assessment or treatment were required in only three patients in the iatrogenic group and in none in the inherent group. At this time, long-term follow-up is not possible with regard to biliary stricture. We conclude that the majority of problems after LC are either due to papillary stenosis/microlithiasis with or without CBD stones or to biliary injury. Both can be successfully diagnosed and treated with endoscopic techniques.

Cholangiopancreatography, Endoscopic Retrograde↗

Non-surgical treatment of biliary liver abscesses: efficacy of endoscopic drainage and local antibiotic lavage with nasobiliary catheter.

BACKGROUND: It is universally recognized that the most frequent cause of hepatic abscess is biliary disease. The aim of this study was to determine the efficacy of endoscopic drainage and local antibiotic lavage via nasobiliary catheter in the treatment of liver abscesses of biliary origin. METHOD: From January 1994 to December 1995, twenty-two cases of pyogenic liver abscess were treated. Diagnosis was established with ultrasound, computed tomography, endoscopic retrograde cholangiography, and laboratory tests. All patients were assigned prospectively to endoscopic or other non-surgical forms of therapy, depending on the etiology of the pyogenic process. Patients in whom this treatment failed underwent surgical drainage. Twenty patients had hepatic abscesses of biliary origin. In this subgroup, a nasobiliary catheter was placed into the biliary tree for continuous antibiotic lavage (infusion technique: 1 to 1.5 mL/min for 8 to 10 days) after endoscopic sphincterotomy. Two patients had hepatic abscesses of hematogenous and amebic origin, respectively. They were treated only with the appropriate systemic antibiotics. RESULTS: Nineteen patients of the biliary subgroup (95%) and the two patients with non-biliary disease (100%) had complete resolution of the abscesses. "Salvage" surgical drainage was required in only one patient (4.5%). There was no treatment related mortality. CONCLUSION: Endoscopic sphincterotomy and local antibiotic lavage via an endoscopically placed nasobiliary catheter is a safe and effective treatment for biliary liver abscesses. It should be considered as first-line treatment in this subgroup of patients with liver abscesses. Percutaneous or surgical drainage modalities should be reserved for patients in whom endoscopic treatment fails.

Aged↗

Endoscopic therapy of anastomotic bile duct strictures occurring after liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Optimal therapy for anastomotic biliary strictures occurring after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) remains to be defined. We reviewed our experience with endoscopic therapy for such strictures and contrasted it with reported data. METHODS: Endoscopic therapy was performed with balloon dilation alone; no patients received an endoprosthesis. Responses were characterized as good if the patient improved clinically and no subsequent procedures were required after one or more dilations within a 3-month period; partial if clinically significant obstruction resolved but cholestasis persisted or there was a need for further endoscopic management beyond the initial 3 months; poor if subsequent surgery or percutaneous procedures were required; and failed if endoscopic access or dilation could not be accomplished. RESULTS: Fifteen patients underwent 23 endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatographies for post-OLT anastomotic strictures. Postprocedure follow-up averaged 25.2 months. Cholangiography was successful in all 23 procedures; free duct access was achieved in 22 of 23 procedures. The strictures were successfully accessed for dilation in 11 of 15 patients and in 19 of 23 procedures. Outcome was deemed good in 4 (27%), partial in 3 (20%), and poor in 5 (33%) patients. Endoscopic therapy failed in 3 (20%). Poor outcomes were due to the early recognition of severe lesions (2 treated surgically) or to short-term responses to dilation alone (3). The procedural complication rate of 17.4% included 3 episodes of transient cholangitis (i.e., elevation of liver enzymes associated with fever that lasted less than 3 days) and 1 self-limited episode of postsphincterotomy bleeding, which required the transfusion of 2 units packed red blood cells. In published series the combined success rate of balloon dilation alone for treatment of anastomotic strictures is 41%, whereas for dilation plus stent placement it is 75%. CONCLUSION: Endoscopic balloon dilation alone is not a reliable method of therapy for anastomotic strictures occurring after OLT. Dilation followed by short- to intermediate-term stent placement appears to provide a more durable result.

Adolescent↗

Impact of endoscopic therapy on the survival of patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic measures such as balloon dilation can relieve obstruction and improve symptoms in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). However, the influence of repeated endoscopy to maintain biliary patency on the survival of patients with PSC is unclear. METHODS: This study evaluated the impact of endoscopic therapy on the survival of consecutive patients with PSC undergoing endoscopic therapy. During a 6-year period 63 patients underwent endoscopic therapy. After initial therapy, patients were followed for a median of 34 months. Endoscopic therapy primarily consisted of repeated balloon dilation of dominant biliary strictures. The observed survival of this cohort was estimated (Kaplan-Meier). The predicted survival of the cohort was estimated by using the Mayo Clinic survival model based on clinical information obtained within 3 months before first endoscopic therapy. The Mayo Risk Score was calculated by using the equation R = (0.03 Age, years) + (0.54 log(e) Bilirubin mg/dL) + (0.54 log(e) Aspartate aminotransferase U/mL) + (1.24 Bleed history) - (0.84 Albumin gm/dL). RESULTS: The observed survival over 5 years was significantly higher than the predicted 5-year survival (83% vs. 65%, respectively; p = 0.027). CONCLUSION: These data suggest that repeated endoscopic attempts to maintain biliary patency may improve the survival of patients with PSC and dominant strictures.

Adult↗

Endoscopic treatment of sphincterotomy-associated distal common bile duct strictures by using sequential insertion of multiple plastic stents.

BACKGROUND: A rare, late complication of endoscopic biliary sphincterotomy is the occurrence of short strictures extending from the papillary orifice to the distal parts of the extraduodenal common bile duct. METHODS: We evaluated the efficacy of the sequential insertion of multiple stents in the treatment of endoscopic biliary sphincterotomy associated common bile duct strictures. The design of the study is a prospective, single-arm observational study at a university-affiliated teaching hospital of 20 patients with distal common bile duct strictures because of choledocholithiasis-related endoscopic biliary sphincterotomy. Endoscopic treatment consisted of the sequential insertion of an increasing number of plastic stents with ever-larger diameters in 3-month follow-up intervals until stricture resolution. The primary outcome of the study was the rate of resolution of the stricture. The parameters measured were the duration of placement of stents, the maximum diameter, the total number of stents, and the total number of endoscopic sessions required for dilation of the strictures. RESULTS: After a median of 9.0 months of stent placement (range 3-22 months) and a median of 20F maximum stent diameter (range 10F-30F), 18 patients (90%) remained stent-free for a median of 14.5 months (range 6-38 months). Two patients (10%) had stricture recurrences at 10 and 24 months. Multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that the time elapsed after endoscopic biliary sphincterotomy was significantly associated with the stent-placement time (however, significance was removed by correction for multiple testing) and the number of ERCPs required for dilation. The initial common bile duct size was significantly associated with the total stent number and diameter needed for stricture resolution (however, significance was removed by correction for multiple testing). Limitations are the low case number and the single-arm, noncontrolled study design. CONCLUSIONS: Sequential insertion of an increasing number of biliary stents affords effective treatment of the distal biliary strictures that develop as a late complication of endoscopic biliary sphincterotomy.

Adult↗

Endoscopic ultrasonography in the diagnosis of colorectal cancer invasion.

Endoscopic ultrasonography was pre-operatively performed in 164 patients with colorectal cancer, and the resected specimens confirmed to be cancerous histologically. Normal colorectal wall was visualized by endoscopic ultrasonography as a five-layered structure. The first, third, and fifth layers were hyperechoic, and the second and fourth layers were hypoechoic. The first and second layers comprised the mucosa, the third layer the submucosa, the fourth layer the muscularis propria, and the fifth layer the subserosa and serosa (adventitia). By this technique, cancer of the colon appeared as a hypoechoic mass with an intermediate echo level between the third hyperechoic and fourth hypoechoic layers. Endoscopic ultrasonographic determination of the depth of tumor invasion was based on abnormal changes of these layered structures and adjacent organs. Overall, the accuracy rate of endoscopic ultrasonography in the diagnosis of the depth of colorectal cancer was 83%. A hypoechoic round mass adjacent to the cancer was interpreted as a metastatic lymph node. The sensitivity and specificity of endoscopic ultrasonography in the diagnosis of lymph node metastasis were 68% and 70%, respectively. The overall accuracy rate of tumor staging by endoscopic ultrasonography according to Dukes' classification was 62%. Endoscopic ultrasonography is a valuable tool in the management of colorectal cancer. It has a high accuracy rate in determining the depth of tumor invasion. The pre-operative information obtained with this tool may influence the choice of therapy.

Colon↗

Intraductal papillary tumors of the pancreas: evaluation with endoscopic ultrasonography.

BACKGROUND: We retrospectively analyzed the endoscopic ultrasonographic characteristics of intraductal papillary tumors of the pancreas and identified signs indicative of malignant tumors. METHODS: Twenty-eight patients with intraductal tumors and 38 with other pancreatic cystic lesions underwent endoscopic ultrasonography, conventional ultrasonography, and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). RESULTS: Intraductal tumors were classified into three subtypes, and endoscopic ultrasonographic characteristics were assessed. In main duct type tumors, the main pancreatic duct showed a segmental or diffuse moderate-to-marked dilatation, often associated with intraductal nodules. Pancreatic parenchymal atrophy was frequently recognized. Branch duct type tumors consisted of multiple 5 to 20 mm cysts with the appearance of a cluster of grapes. The main duct was mildly dilated or nondilated. Combined type tumors had features of both main duct and branch duct types. Endoscopic ultrasonography (92%) differentiated pancreatic cystic lesions more precisely than ultrasonography (82%) and ERCP (89%). Main duct or combined type tumors, large tumors (> or = 30 mm for branch duct type), marked dilatation of the main pancreatic duct (> or = 10 mm for other types), and mural nodules suggested malignancy. Endoscopic ultrasonography demonstrated these signs more accurately than ultrasonography or ERCP. CONCLUSION: Endoscopic ultrasonography is useful for diagnosing intraductal papillary tumors, particularly for predicting malignancy.

Aged↗

Endoscopic vein harvest for coronary artery bypass grafting: technique and outcomes.

BACKGROUND: The greater saphenous vein is a common conduit for coronary revascularizations. Traditional vein harvesting uses long incision(s) that can lead to significant morbidities. A minimally invasive technique has been developed that allows the harvest of much of the saphenous vein with one incision and fewer morbidities. METHODS: Our technique and outcomes on 110 patients with minimally invasive harvest (endoscopic vein harvesting) is presented. Comparisons are made with an equivalent retrospective group within the same hospital and to a smaller (n = 28) prospective group at other hospitals. RESULTS: Endoscopic vein harvesting has evolved to one above-knee incision of 3 cm length that allows for the harvest of 35 cm of vein. Harvest times were longer for endoscopic vein harvesting, showed a learning curve, and appeared to reach a baseline of 35 minutes. Incision closure times were less for the endoscopic vein harvesting group. Total skin to skin operating times for the entire cardiovascular procedure did not differ between the groups. In relatively homogeneous populations, leg infection rates did not differ, but other leg morbidities were less for the patients who underwent endoscopic vein harvesting. Hospital readmissions for leg wound care were low in both groups although the number of office visits required for leg care was higher for patients undergoing traditional vein harvesting. Pain perception by the patients was much less for the endoscopic vein harvesting and remained lower for up to 4 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Although endoscopic vein harvesting is a relatively new procedure, it is safe, effective, and less painful for the patient and carries fewer morbidities.

Coronary Artery Bypass↗

Touch allodynia following endoscopic (single portal) or open decompression for carpal tunnel syndrome.

We investigated if single-portal endoscopic carpal tunnel decompression equipment (Agee, 3M, USA) would cause increased carpal tunnel pressure during the release and if endoscopic release would reduce postoperative touch allodynia. Measurements on cadavers of the pressure produced during endoscopic release showed similar pressures to those produced during maximal range of motion. One hundred patients underwent either open or endoscopic decompressions. Twenty normal individuals served as controls. At 1 month after surgery both groups had significant allodynia compared with the controls, but at 3 months the endoscopic group had returned to normal though the open group was still significantly abnormal. The reported endoscopic release may therefore be of particular advantage to patients who would seriously be disadvantaged if postoperative touch allodynia should develop. The Agee endoscope is unlikely to cause disturbance of the nerve function due to increased carpal pressure during the release.

Carpal Tunnel Syndrome↗

Mathematical model for predicting biliary therapeutic endoscopic retrograde pancreatography (ERCP).

INTRODUCTION: Magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography is as sensitive as endoscopic retrograde pancreatography in the evaluation of biliary tract diseases but does not offer therapeutic options. The aim of the present study was to develop a mathematical model to predict 'therapeutic endoscopic retrograde pancreatography' using clinical variables so that patients with low probability could be more appropriately investigated by magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography in future. METHODS: Endoscopic retrograde pancreatography cases between January 1996 to December 1997 were retrospectively reviewed (before introduction of magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography). Clinical, biochemical and radiological variables were analysed and a model was developed using multiple logistic regression. RESULTS: Case notes for 573 patients were successfully reviewed. A total of 330 patients underwent therapeutic endoscopic retrograde pancreatography (sphincterotomy or stent insertion). Clinical indications of obstructive jaundice and cholangitis, ultrasonographic findings of dilated common bile duct, and raised liver function tests (two or more elevated parameters) were each found to be predictive for 'therapeutic' endoscopic retrograde pancreatography. Using these variables, the mathematical model in the present study has specificity of 77% and sensitivity of 75% at the probability level of 50% or higher. This model has been tested in a separate group of endoscopic retrograde pancreatography cases carried out in 1998 and was found to have sensitivity 77.6%, specificity 80.3%, positive predictive value 68.5% and negative predictive value 86.6%. CONCLUSIONS: The model reported in the present study can help clinicians to identify cases for therapeutic endoscopic retrograde pancreatography and diagnostic magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography.

Adolescent↗