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PubMed1990

Alcohol intake in the healthy elderly. Changes with age in a cross-sectional and longitudinal study.

Several cross-sectional studies have shown a decline in alcohol intake with increasing age. Longitudinal studies have failed to confirm this trend, which suggests that cohort effects may account for the reported decline. To address this, both cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses of alcohol use in 270 healthy elderly persons over a seven-year period (1980-1987) were performed. Alcohol consumption was assessed by three-day diet records. One hundred sixty-five subjects (61.1%) remained in the study until 1987; 143 (53%) completed diet records for every year. Longitudinal analysis showed a statistically significant decline in the percent of subjects consuming any alcohol over time (slope = -2% per year; 95% confidence interval -2.8, -1.1%). A cross-sectional analysis of the 1980 data revealed a similar decline in percent drinkers with increasing age (slope = -2.7% per year; 95% confidence interval -4.4, -1.1%). Mean alcohol intake for those who continued to drink did not change over time except among heavy drinkers (consumption of greater than 30 g per day in 1980), who did show a significant decline in mean alcohol intake (P = .02). Thus, in our population the decline in percent of drinkers with age found by a cross-sectional analysis was confirmed in longitudinal analyses, suggesting that this represents a true age-related decline rather than a cohort effect.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2000

Effects of genital tract inflammation on human immunodeficiency virus type 1 V3 populations in blood and semen.

We have examined cell-free viral populations in the blood plasma and seminal plasma compartments of men infected with subtype C human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) using the V3-specific heteroduplex tracking assay (V3-HTA). We studied two cohorts of subjects who had visited either a sexually transmitted disease (STD) clinic for genital tract inflammation in the form of urethritis (n = 43) or a dermatology clinic (controls, n = 14) in Malawi. We have previously shown that the presence of urethritis is associated with an eightfold increase in virus load in the seminal plasma compartment (M. S. Cohen et al., Lancet 349:1868-1873, 1997). The purpose of this study was to determine whether genital tract inflammation and its treatment caused genetic instability in cell-free HIV-1 populations. In a cross-sectional analysis at study entry, three-fourths of the STD and control subjects had multiple V3 populations in their blood while 60% of the STD subjects and 79% of the control subjects had multiple V3 populations in their semen. Overall, one-fourth of all of the subjects showed discordance between results with blood and semen specimens when samples were compared for the presence and absence of subpopulations. When differences in the relative levels of abundance of bands were also taken into account, two-fifths of all of the subjects showed discordance between the compartments. Among the subset of subjects in whom multiple virus populations could be detected, half showed discordance between the compartments. There were no differences between STD and control cohorts for these comparisons of the compartments in this cross-sectional analysis at study entry. Longitudinal analysis of the viral populations from two separate clinic visits over 1 to 4 weeks showed that the complexity of each V3 population as measured by Shannon entropy was different in blood and semen at the two time points, indicating that the blood and semen constitute different compartments for HIV-1. The seminal plasma compartment was more dynamic than the blood plasma compartment for the STD subjects who were treated for urethritis, with changes being noted in the presence or absence of V3-HTA bands in the semen of 29% of these subjects but in the blood of only 9% of these subjects. However, the changes were generally small. Overall, our results suggest that 40% of male subjects show discordance between seminal and blood viral populations and that the complexity of each V3 population was different between the two compartments. Both of these results point to the partial independence of the seminal compartment as a viral niche within the body.

Base Sequence↗
PubMed2006

Analysis of longitudinal data: the integration of theoretical model, temporal design, and statistical model.

This article argues that ideal longitudinal research is characterized by the seamless integration of three elements: (a) a well-articulated theoretical model of change observed using (b) a temporal design that affords a clear and detailed view of the process, with the resulting data analyzed by means of (c) a statistical model that is an operationalization of the theoretical model. Two general varieties of theoretical models are considered: models in which the time-related change of primary interest is continuous, and those in which it is characterized by movement between discrete states. In addition, two general types of temporal designs are considered: the longitudinal panel design and the intensive longitudinal design. For each general category of theoretical models, some of the analytic possibilities available for longitudinal panel designs and for intensive longitudinal designs are discussed. The article concludes with brief discussions of two issues particularly relevant to longitudinal research--missing data and measurement--and a few words about exploratory research.

Humans↗
PubMed2000

Brain atrophy in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: longitudinal quantitative analysis.

PURPOSE: To determine annual rates of volumetric changes in the whole-brain parenchyma of patients with relapsing-remitting and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) and test the hypothesis that these changes correlate with clinical disability. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A computer-assisted segmentation technique with thin-section magnetic resonance (MR) imaging was used in 36 patients with MS (27 relapsing-remitting, nine secondary progressive) and in 20 control subjects to quantify brain and cerebrospinal fluid volumes. To determine the degree of brain atrophy, the percentage brain parenchyma volume (PBV) relative to that of intracranial contents was calculated. RESULTS: At the beginning of the study, the PBV was smaller in the MS group than in the control group (P = .007); brain parenchyma volumes were similar. The median rate of brain volume loss was 17.3 mL per year in patients with relapsing-remitting MS and 23.6 mL per year in those with secondary progressive MS. There was a negative correlation between brain atrophy and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score in patients with secondary progressive MS (r = -0.69, P = .004) and no correlation in patients with relapsing-remitting MS. T2 lesion volume did not correlate with brain atrophy in either group. CONCLUSION: The correlation between brain atrophy and EDSS score was better in patients with secondary progressive MS than in those with relapsing-remitting MS.

Adult↗
PubMed1986

Radial and longitudinal compartmental analysis of gas transport during high-frequency ventilation.

A model of gas exchange by low-tidal-volume (VT), high-frequency ventilation (HFV) is presented, based on the physical principles of dispersion. These are the nonuniformity of the velocity profile and the nonreversible mixing of fluid components in a diffusive manner. A numerical method was used to incorporate these principles into a quantitative model. The airways of a symmetrically bifurcating bronchial-tree model were partitioned in the radial direction into two concentric layers representing the kinematic dispersion by nonuniformity of the velocity profile. Mixing between the layers was invoked in proportion to the diffusivity and local dimensions. The effects of frequency (f), VT, shape of the velocity profile, and bronchial-model configuration were tested in the model, with favorable comparison to available experimental data. The model predicts that for a frequency-dependent velocity profile, the rate of tracer exchange is proportional to the square root of f and to the square of VT-V0, where V0 is a constant small volume under which gas exchange was nil. Intracycle asymmetric mixing is predicted to have a stronger effect on gas exchange than asymmetric velocity profile. Gas exchange when turbulent-flow regime is assumed is predicted to be less for the higher VT values than with laminar flow and with mixing by molecular diffusivity. This model was found to be didactic, flexible, and capable of modeling combinations of factors affecting either one of the two fundamental processes of dispersion.

Animals↗
PubMed2004

Longitudinal phenotypic analysis in patients with connexin 26 (GJB2) (DFNB1) and connexin 30 (GJB6) mutations.

In 15 Belgian subjects with prelingual sensorineural hearing impairment, the connexin 26 (GJB2) gene and the connexin 30 (GJB6) gene were analyzed for the presence of the 35delG mutation and the delta(GJB6-D13S1830) deletion first described by del Castillo et al in 2002. Seven patients were found to be homozygous for the 35delG mutation; 7 were combined heterozygotes for the 35delG mutation and the GJB6 deletion. In 11 subjects, phenotype and genotype were correlated. Significant, transient progression, in the range of 1.7 to 2.7 dB/y, was only found in 2 patients in the first part of the second decade of life. Hearing impairment was otherwise stable, with mean thresholds of 75, 90, and 100 dB at 0.125, 0.25, and 0.5 kHz, respectively, and 100 dB or higher at 1 to 4 kHz. There was no significant difference in hearing impairment between the patients with the homozygous 35delG mutation in GJB2 and those who are heterozygous for both the 35delG mutation and the deletion encompassing part of GJB6.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2006

Linkage analysis of longitudinal data and design consideration.

BACKGROUND: Statistical methods have been proposed recently to analyze longitudinal data in genetic studies. So far, little attention has been paid to examine the relationship among key factors in genetic longitudinal studies including power, the number of families or sibships, and the number of repeated measures per individual subjects. RESULTS: We proposed a variance component model that extends classic variance component models for a single quantitative trait to mapping longitudinal traits. Our model includes covariate effects and allows genetic effects to vary over time. Using our proposed model, we examined the power, pedigree structures, and sample size through simulation experiments. CONCLUSION: Our simulation results provide useful insights into the study design for genetic, longitudinal studies. For example, collecting a small number of large sibships is much more powerful than collecting a large number of small sibships or increasing the number of repeated measures, when the total number of measurements is comparable.

Computer Simulation↗
PubMed2002

Isolated premature pubarche: ultrasonographic and color Doppler analysis--a longitudinal study.

Twenty-seven girls with premature pubarche were studied by ultrasonographic and color Doppler analyses to determine the incidence of polycystic ovaries (PCO), to longitudinally assess their evolution, and to search for any hormonal correlation. The girls were submitted to auxological, clinical, and hormonal evaluation, and 21-hydroxylase deficiency was ruled out by an ACTH test. Furthermore, the girls underwent ultrasonographic and color Doppler ovarian and uterine analyses. Among girls with premature pubarche, the prevalence of PCO was 41%. Advanced skeletal maturation, tall stature, and increased hair distribution were constant in these patients. In patients with ultrasonographic and color Doppler evidence of PCO, the ovarian volume, the number of small-sized subcapsular follicles, the stromal echogenicity, and the ovarian stromal vascularization progressively increased during the study. In the whole studied population, ovarian volume correlated with the number of small-sized follicles (r = 0.719; P < 0.0001). Furthermore, a slight and inverse correlation has been found between ovarian volume and ovarian stromal artery pulsatility index (r = -536; P = 0.048). In conclusion, we affirm that PCO are greatly represented among girls with premature pubarche and progressively evolve.

Arteries↗
PubMed1994

Analysis of longitudinal distribution of pulmonary vascular resistance by use of a five element lumped model.

To analyze longitudinal distribution of pulmonary vascular resistance, we proposed a five element lumped model which partitioned pulmonary circulation into pulmonary arterial, middle and pulmonary venous segment. The validity and anatomical correlation of the model were tested in an isolated, perfused, canine lung lobe preparation with inflow/outflow occlusion techniques. With arterial occlusion, pulmonary arterial pressure fell rapidly and then exponentially. With venous occlusion, pulmonary venous pressure rose suddenly and then exponentially. Theoretical pressure profiles produced by computer simulation of the model well approximated the general characteristics of the experimental traces. Serotonin increased the pressure gradient across the pulmonary arterial segment (delta Pa), whereas histamine increased the gradient across the pulmonary venous segment (delta Pv). Neither drug altered the gradient across the middle segment (delta Pm). The results suggest that the lumped model is a useful concept to understand the longitudinal distribution of pulmonary vascular resistance, and that delta Pa, delta Pm and delta Pv reflect the resistance distribution of anatomical pulmonary arteries, alveolar vessels and pulmonary veins, respectively.

Animals↗
PubMed2004

Transition models to assess risk factors for new and persistent trypanosome infections in cattle-analysis of longitudinal data from the Ghibe Valley, southwest Ethiopia.

The objective of this study was to apply transition models to distinguish between factors associated with both incident and persistent trypanosome infections. Data collected from 1561 cattle were analyzed from a long-term study involving 8 herds in which both trypanosome infections (a total of 56,931 cattle sampling-months) and tsetse (Glossina spp.) challenge were monitored monthly from March 1986 to March 1998. Both pour-on and insecticide-target tsetse control programs and mass treatment with diminazene aceturate before tsetse control were associated with significant decreases in both incidence and persistence of trypanosome infection relative to noncontrol periods, as were seasonal and sex effects. The magnitudes of the effects were, however, often different for new and persistent infections. For persistence of infection, there were 2 trends. In general, the duration of infection increased during the study, despite the regular treatment with diminazene aceturate. The transition model had 2 major benefits. The first was to identify an increasing duration of infections with time, taking into account other factors associated with increasing infection risk. The second was to highlight different patterns in the effects of certain factors on new and persistent trypanosome infections.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1987

Correlative analysis of longitudinal changes in bronchoalveolar lavage, 67gallium scanning, serum angiotensin-converting enzyme activity, chest X-ray, and pulmonary function tests in pulmonary sarcoidosis.

Despite the relatively high cost and complicated procedures, Gallium-67 (67Ga) scanning and bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) are increasingly advocated as more sensitive indicators of disease activity in sarcoidosis than chest X-ray and serum angiotensin-converting enzyme activity (SACE). To evaluate the clinical usefulness of 67Ga scanning and BAL, we followed 31 patients with pulmonary sarcoidosis, using these four parameters, at 9- to 24-month intervals over periods of 9 to 48 months. We obtained 68 complete evaluations. Close correlations were observed among chest X-ray, 67Ga scanning, SACE, and the percentage of lymphocytes in BAL fluid (p less than 0.1 to 0.001). Longitudinal changes were also well correlated in these four parameters (p less than 0.001) and paralleled the changes in vital capacity (p less than 0.01 to 0.001). However, we were unable to predict the patients' outcome from the initial evaluation of these four parameters. These results suggest that, in terms of their usefulness for estimating disease activity, the differences among these four indicators are negligible. We therefore conclude that chest X-ray and SACE sufficiently reflect disease activity and that, at present, routine evaluation by 67Ga scanning and BAL are not necessarily indicated in the long-term management of pulmonary sarcoidosis.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Genetic analysis of longitudinal trajectory of clinical mastitis in first-lactation Norwegian cattle.

Clinical mastitis records for 36,178 first-lactation daughters of 245 Norwegian Cattle (NRF) sires were analyzed with a Bayesian longitudinal threshold model. For each cow, the period going from 30 d before calving to 300 d after calving was divided into 11 intervals of 30 d length each. Absence or presence of clinical mastitis within each interval was scored as "0" or "1", respectively. A Bayesian threshold model consisting of a set of explanatory variables plus Legendre polynomials on time of order four was used to describe the trajectory of liability to clinical mastitis. Heritability ranged between 0.07 and 0.13 before calving, from 0.04 to 0.15 during the first 270 d after calving, and increased sharply thereafter, as a consequence of the form of the polynomial. Genetic correlations between adjacent days were close to 1, and decreased when days were further apart. Most genetic correlations were moderate to high. A measure of probability of future daughters contracting clinical mastitis during lactation was computed for each sire. A typical curve had a peak near calving followed by a decrease thereafter. The best sires had a low peak around calving and a low expected probability of mastitis among daughters throughout lactation. Expected fraction of days without mastitis was derived from the probability curves and used for ranking of sires. Rank correlations with genetic evaluations of sires obtained from cross-sectional models were high. However, sire selection was affected markedly, especially at high selection intensity. An advantage of the longitudinal model for clinical mastitis is its ability to take multiple treatments and time aspects into account.

Animals↗