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Physician's perceptions of fever in children. Facts and myths.

OBJECTIVE: To ascertain the knowledge and attitude of physicians, regarding fever in children. METHODS: A self-administered questionnaire was mailed to 600 randomly selected pediatricians, family practice physicians, emergency medicine physicians and general practitioners, who practice in Saudi Arabia. Appropriateness of responses to questions was determined on the basis of current medical literature. A rectal temperature of 38.0 degrees C is generally accepted as indicative of fever in children. RESULTS: Of the 600 physicians surveyed, 419 (70%) completed and returned the questionnaire; 17% of the physicians were consultants, 28% specialists and 55% general practitioners. Fifty-eight percent of the physicians had 10 years or more of experience. A rectal temperature of less than 38.0 degrees C was considered to indicate fever by 38% of physicians. Nearly 84% of physicians would initiate antipyretic therapy at a temperature of 38.5 degrees C or less and 56% cited a temperature of 40.0 degrees C or less to be dangerous. Only 5% believed that fever was not dangerous, while the remaining cited the principal danger of fever to be convulsions (69%), brain damage (35%), or death (8%). The responses to the main purpose of antipyretic treatment were to prevent convulsions (70%), to make the child comfortable (55%) and to prevent brain damage (29%). Approximately 53% of physicians reported that the most serious consequences of febrile convulsions were brain damage, learning disability, epilepsy, or death. Only 26% of physicians agreed that a sleeping child with fever should be left undisturbed. Approximately 25% advised inappropriate dosage or administration intervals of paracetamol. Almost all physicians recommended sponging or bathing to reduce fever. All respondents try to educate parents regarding fever and its management. CONCLUSION: A significant number of the surveyed physicians have demonstrated a serious lack of knowledge of the nature, dangers and management of an extremely common health problem. Physicians differ substantially in their knowledge of, and attitude toward fever in children, which is perhaps attributed to their different background in medical education and clinical training.

Adult↗

Atypical manifestations of typhoid fever.

BACKGROUND: High fever, toxaemia, constipation during first week of fever, complicated by encephalopathy and perforation during third week of fever are the typical manifestations of typhoid fever. However, the classical presentation of typhoid fever has considerably changed now. AIM: To study atypical presentations of typhoid fever. SETTING: A teaching unit of a hospital in South India METHOD: All culture-positive adult patients of typhoid fever admitted over a period of seven years were studied RESULTS: Thirty-two adult patients were admitted. Fifteen (46.9%) patients presented with atypical manifestations. Atypical manifestations observed were burning micturition with normal urine examination (n= 5, 15.6%) diarrhoea in first week (6.2%), encephalopathy in first week (3.1%), isolated hepatomegaly (6.2%), pneumonitis (3.1%) and bone marrow depression (6.2%). Out of 32 Salmonella typhi culture positive patients, 10 (31.3%) patients had multidrug resistant (MDR) strain. Patients with MDR strains had atypical manifestations (5/10=50%) not significantly more often than patients having multidrug sensitive strains (10/22=45.5%) (Z <2). All patients responded to treatment. CONCLUSION: It appears atypical manifestations do not necessarily mean a worse prognosis in typhoid fever. Patients having high fever presenting with pneumonia, early encephalopathy, early diarrhoea or bone marrow depression in a typhoid endemic area, should be suspected for this disease.

Adolescent↗

[Analysis on diagnosis, treatment and influential factors in fever patients during epidemic of severe acute respiratory syndrome].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the etiology, therapy and influential factors in fever patients during the epidemic of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), so as to define early and differential diagnosis for SARS from other disease with fever. METHODS: The epidemiological and the clinical data of 4060 patients with fever admitted to the emergency department of the Third Hospital affiliated to Peking University from March 5th to May 10th in 2003 were analyzed, and their influential factors were evaluated. RESULTS: Of 4060 patients with fever 275 cases were admitted to the isolated ward, 145 cases were diagnosed as SARS (3.75 percent), 29 belonged to suspected cases, and in 101 cases SARS was ruled out. Ninety-three cases were non-SARS-pneumonia, 2 were epidemic encephalitis, 8 were epidemic cerebrospinal meningitis, and 3 cases were epidemic hemorrhagic fever. CONCLUSION: During epidemic of SARS, the etiology of fever is influenza or other virus infection in 90 percent of patients. Non-SARS-pneumonia and infectious diseases with fever accounted for certain proportion of patients with fever. Our diagnostic level should be improved. SARS could not be ruled out only by a high white blood cells count. Chest X-ray examination have to be repeated, because abnormal chest X-ray do not always appear at the same time with fever.

Adolescent↗

Fever in pheochromocytoma.

BACKGROUND: Fever is an infrequently reported finding in patients with pheochromocytoma. Fever in patients with pheochromocytoma may be caused by the tumor, an infection or other factors, each of which will dictate different treatment strategies. METHODS: To determine the incidence, cause, and significance of fever in patients with pheochromocytoma, we reviewed the medical records of 50 hospitalizations of 48 patients. Patients were categorized by the presence or absence of fever. Body temperature elevation, duration of hospitalization in the period prior to surgery or death, age, sex, race, other conditions that could have been responsible for the febrile episode (comorbid events), location, gross and microscopic features of the tumors, and plasma and urine hormone levels were tabulated. The results were compared between the two groups of patients. RESULTS: Fever was present in 14 (28%) of 50 hospitalizations, seven patients (50%) of whom had pheochromocytoma multisystem crisis. Patients with fever and pheochromocytoma were significantly more likely to have a comorbid event, larger tumor, necrosis within the tumor, higher urinary metanephrine levels, longer duration of hospitalization prior to surgery, and to be non-white. Comorbid events included both infectious and noninfectious potential causes of fever. CONCLUSIONS: Fever is common in patients with pheochromocytoma. The causes may be multifactorial and often include an associated illness. A thorough search for coexisting disease is indicated. While fever may prolong hospitalization, it does not portend a disastrous outcome.

Adrenal Gland Neoplasms↗

[A prospective study of clinical characteristics of fever after flexible fiberoptic bronchoscopy].

OBJECTIVE: To assess the incidence and clinical characteristics of fever after fiberoptic bronchoscopy (FOB). METHODS: Between May 2004 and April 2005, the clinical characteristics of fever in immunocompetent and hospitalized patients undergoing FOB were prospectively studied. RESULTS: One hundred and seventy-two hospitalized patients underwent FOB in this period, and 37 cases (22%) developed fever following FOB; in 32 (19%) the fever subsided within 24 h with a mean fever onset time of (3.5 +/- 1.7) h and mean fever duration of (10.8 +/- 6.7) h. There were significant increases in total leukocyte and neutrophil counts in the peripheral blood at 6 h after FOB compared to levels prior to FOB (all P < 0.01), but the numbers of leukocytes and neutrophils in patients with fever were significantly higher than those in patients without fever (all P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Fever after FOB occurs relatively frequently but transiently in immunocompetent adults. No special treatment is needed.

Adult↗

Acute Q fever in Israel: clinical and laboratory study of 100 hospitalized patients.

BACKGROUND: Q fever is endemic in Israel, yet a large series describing the clinical spectrum of inpatients with acute Q fever in Israel is lacking. OBJECTIVES: To report on the clinical characteristics and outcome of hospitalized patients with acute Q fever in Israel. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of 100 patients hospitalized in six medical centers, in whom acute Q fever was diagnosed by the presence of immunoglobulin G and M antibodies to phase II Coxiella burnetti antigens. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 42.7 +/- 17.3 years with a male to female ratio of 1.6:1. Acute Q fever occurred throughout the year but was more common during the warm season. The most common clinical presentation was acute febrile disease (98%, mean length of fever 15.5 +/- 8.6 days), followed by hepatitis (67%) and pneumonia (32%). The prominent laboratory findings included: accelerated erythrocyte sedimentation rate, normal or low white blood count with many band forms, thrombocytopenia, and abnormal urinalysis. Although the diagnosis of acute Q fever was not known during the hospitalization in the majority of patients, about 80% of our patients received appropriate antibiotic therapy and all patients recovered. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with acute Q fever present with a typical clinical picture that enables clinical diagnosis and empiric therapy in most cases. The prognosis of hospitalized patients with acute Q fever is excellent.

Acute Disease↗

Effect of antibiotic treatment on outcome of fevers in institutionalized Alzheimer patients.

Fever episodes in 104 institutionalized patients with Alzheimer's disease were prospectively evaluated to determine the impact of antibiotic treatment on fever outcomes. During the 34-month observation period, 75 patients developed 172 episodes of fever and 29 patients had no fevers. Patients who developed fevers had more advanced disease than patients who did not. Patients who received diagnostic workup of all fevers and treatment with antibiotics (Antibiotic Group) were compared with patients who received comfort measures only (Palliative Group). The incidence of fever was similar in the Antibiotic and Palliative groups. Survival analysis revealed that, for the more severely affected patients, there was no difference in survival between the groups. Among less severely affected patients, survival was higher for the Antibiotic than the Palliative Group. These results suggest that treatment of fever with antibiotics does not alter the outcome of fever in patients with advanced Alzheimer's disease.

Age Factors↗

Antipyresis and fever.

While understanding of the mechanisms of fever has progressed in recent years, much uncertainty remains as to whether fever in itself (as distinct from its cause) is beneficial or harmful, and what circumstances warrant antipyretic therapy. This review was designed to identify studies providing information on the effects of fever and of pharmacologic and physical therapy. Fever or analogous behavioral thermal upregulation apparently has positive effects on defense against infection in some animal models. Retrospective studies in humans suggest that failure to mount a febrile response is associated with poor outcome in certain infections but do not establish a causal relationship. Induction of fever apparently had therapeutic value in infections such as syphilis before specific antimicrobials were developed. Fever may have deleterious effects in the context of borderline cardiovascular or neurologic function or pregnancy, but data in most instances cannot separate effects of fever per se from that of underlying disease. Antipyretic drugs are effective in diminishing fever, but they have significant side effects and may suppress signs of ongoing infection. Physical cooling is important when physiologic thermoregulatory mechanisms are overwhelmed, but may sometimes increase discomfort and metabolic stress in fever. Antipyretic therapy should not be instituted routinely for every febrile episode but should be based on evaluation of relative risks in the individual case and reassessed if anticipated benefits are not achieved.

Animals↗

The electroencephalogram in adult patients with fever.

In order to determine if adult patients have reversible EEG abnormalities concurrent with fever, EEGs were recorded during fever in patients without neurologic disease or systemic disease capable of involving the central nervous system, and these were compared blindly with EEGs from the same patients taken at least 30 days after the febrile illness had disappeared. Fourteen patients completed the study, 10 men and 4 women, between the ages of 24 and 56 years, with fever secondary to localized infection. The global frequency of abnormal EEGs was high compared with the general population, since only 6 patients had both records completely normal; in 4 of these 6 cases during fever there were sleep patterns, mainly the first phase of slow wave sleep. Patients with localized abnormalities during fever showed the same abnormality in the EEG taken without fever, with two exceptions, one in which the abnormal finding disappeared and one in which another abnormality replaced the first one. Two patients had normal EEGs during fever and paroxysmal theta waves with predominance in their EEGs taken one month later. Fever in adults seems not to provoke rapidly reversible EEG changes. The high proportion of abnormal EEGs in these patients, and the appearance of new abnormalities in two cases after fever, deserves further research concerning the long-term effects of febrile illness on the EEG in adult patients.

Adult↗

Ventromedial preoptic prostaglandin E2 activates fever-producing autonomic pathways.

Fever is thought to be initiated by pyrogenic cytokines inducing the production of prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) in the preoptic area (POA); PGE2 may act as a paracrine mediator that stimulates the neural pathways that raise body temperature. This essential role for prostaglandins in fever first was proposed 25 years ago, but the specific preoptic cell groups at which PGE2 acts and the pathways through which fever is produced remain poorly understood. To better define the role of preoptic PGE2 in fever, we developed a new method for combining acute brain injections with Fos immunohistochemistry. We microinjected a threshold dose of PGE2 to construct an anatomically detailed map of fever-producing preoptic sites. The most pyrogenic preoptic sites were clustered along the ventromedial aspect of the POA, surrounding and just anterior to the organum vasculosum of the lamina terminalis. We then used Fos immunohistochemistry to identify the pattern of neural activation induced by fever-producing preoptic injections of PGE2 and compared it with the Fos pattern seen after systemic immune stimulation. PGE2 fever was accompanied by Fos induction in the ventromedial POA and the parvicellular subnuclei of the paraventricular nucleus of the hypothalamus (PVH). In contrast to the Fos pattern seen after intravenous lipopolysaccharide administration, PGE2 injection did not induce Fos in the circumventricular organs or the magnocellular subnuclei of the PVH. These observations establish a potential site of PGE2 action during fever and help define candidate pathways through which fever occurs.

Animals↗

Fever, C-reactive protein, and other acute-phase reactants during treatment of infective endocarditis.

BACKGROUND: Fever and sustained elevations of levels of C-reactive protein, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and other inflammatory markers are common problems during treatment of infective endocarditis. We studied the value of these measurements during an 8-year period in all episodes of infective endocarditis treated in 1 university-affiliated institution. METHODS: A total of 193 consecutive episodes that fulfilled the criteria for infective endocarditis were prospectively enrolled during 2 periods, 1984 through 1988 and 1993 through 1995. Fever and results of serial measurements of C-reactive protein, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, white blood cell counts, and platelet counts were related to the clinical course of infective endocarditis. RESULTS: Fever persisted or recurred in 108 episodes (57%) despite appropriate antibiotic treatment. The causes of persistent fever and recurrent fever were different. Persistent fever that lasted 7 days or longer was caused by a complicating cardiac infection in 56% of these episodes. Recurrent fever, noted in 31% of all episodes and the major cause of fever during the third and fourth treatment weeks, was caused most often by hypersensitivity reactions to beta-lactams. Elevations in C-reactive protein levels were significantly prolonged in the episodes with complicated courses compared with the episodes with uncomplicated courses, while mean erythrocyte sedimentation rate remained unchanged during treatment, not differentiating between complicated and uncomplicated episodes. CONCLUSIONS: Fever during treatment must be analyzed in terms of persistence and recurrence to provide a basis for clinical decisions. Serial measurements of C-reactive protein are useful to monitor the response to antimicrobial therapy and to detect complications, while serial determinations of erythrocyte sedimentation rate are of no value.

Acute-Phase Proteins↗

Rheumatic Fever and Long-term Sequelae in Children.

Rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease continue unabated, affecting young individuals in most of the developing nations. Focal outbreaks of smaller magnitude have also been reported since the mid-1980s from industrialized western nations, where this disease had almost disappeared. The introduction of penicillin in the mid-1940s has markedly changed the natural history of rheumatic fever, although the incidence of rheumatic fever declined in developed nations even before that, mainly due to better living conditions. Treatment of rheumatic fever chiefly involves the use of antibiotics (penicillin) and anti-inflammatory drugs, like salicylates or corticosteroids, to eradicate Streptococci. Patients with severe carditis, congestive heart failure, or pericarditis are best treated with corticosteroids because these are more potent anti-inflammatory agents than salicylates. Salicylates may be sufficient for cases with mild or no carditis. The treatment must be continued for 12 weeks. Several studies have shown that valvular regurgitation, and not myocarditis, is the cause of congestive heart failure in active rheumatic carditis. Therefore, surgery with mitral valve replacement or repair is indicated in cases with intractable hemodynamics due to mitral regurgitation. The development of chronic valvular lesion after an episode of rheumatic fever is dependent upon the presence or absence of carditis in the previous attack and compliance with secondary prophylaxis. Recurrences due to inadequate penicillin prophylaxis are responsible for hemodynamically significant chronic valvular lesions requiring surgery. Primary prevention of rheumatic fever is fraught with difficulties and may not be feasible in most of the countries where the disease is rampant. Secondary prevention, ie, preventing recurrence of rheumatic fever, is the appropriate strategy with proven efficacy. A repository form of penicillin, benzathine penicillin G, given as an intramuscular injection at 3 weekly intervals in the dose of 1,200,000 U, remains the treatment of choice for secondary prevention of rheumatic fever. Alternative antibiotics may be used in those allergic to penicillin. An effective and safe vaccine against rheumatic fever is not yet available.

Journal Article↗

Hay fever--a Finnish nationwide study of adolescent twins and their parents.

BACKGROUND: Like other atopic diseases, hay fever is known to cluster in families. This clustering is due either to effects of a shared family environment or to genetic inheritance. By comparing the occurrence of hay fever among monozygous (MZ) and dizygous (DZ) twin pairs, we were able to estimate the contribution of genetic and environmental factors in the development of hay fever. METHODS: A questionnaire mailed to a nationwide sample of 2483 families with 16-year-old twins furnished data for the cumulative incidence of physician-diagnosed hay fever among these adolescents and their parents. RESULTS: Among the 1765 twin pairs with data available for analysis, hay fever was reported for 14.1% of boys (95% CI=12.4-15.8%) and 10.0% of girls (95% CI=8.6-11.4%). The MZ twin pairs (probandwise concordance rate=60.3%, 95% CI =52-68%) were significantly more concordant for hay fever than were DZ twin pairs (31.5%, 95% CI=26-36%). Genetic factors accounted for 74-82% of the interindividual variability in liability to hay fever, variation in shared family environment for 7% at most, and unique (individual) environment for 18%. CONCLUSIONS: Familial occurrence of hay fever is mainly due to genes predisposing to the trait. Environmental exposures shared in common by family members but varying between families appear to account for at most a modest proportion of the variability in risk of developing hay fever.

Adolescent↗

Serological evidence of exposure to tick fever organisms in young cattle on Queensland dairy farms.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the features of farms on which the exposure of young cattle to tick fever organisms is sufficient to ensure that immunity is high and the risk of clinical disease is low (endemic stability) with those of farms on which exposure is insufficient to induce widespread immunity (hence without endemic stability); to examine the relationships between the management of ticks and tick fever, and endemic stability to Babesia bovis, B. bigemina and Anaplasma marginale. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study of 874 cattle between the ages of 6 and 15 months on 64 dairy farms, from three centres in south-eastern Queensland (Mutdapilly, Dayboro and Kenilworth) and one centre in far-north Queensland (Malanda). PROCEDURE: Blood samples collected from between 5 and 20 calves from each farm were submitted for serological assay to determine exposure to B. bovis, B. bigemina and A. marginale. A questionnaire about the farm characteristics and the management of ticks and tick fever was completed with each farmer. RESULTS: On 73% of farms, confirmed clinical cases of tick fever were recalled by the farmer, indicating that tick fever was a threat on most farms. The majority of herds in the study (54 of 64) did not have sufficient numbers of seropositive animals aged between 6 and 15 months to have a low risk of tick fever. Region had an effect on the likelihood of endemic stability for all tick fever organisms. Cattle near Malanda in Far-north Queensland were more likely to be seropositive to B. bovis and B. bigemina. The method, strategy and intensity of tick control were not related to the likelihood of endemic stability when the effect of region was considered. The decision to leave a few ticks on cattle in an effort to induce endemic stability did increase the likelihood of endemic stability to A. marginale. However, in practical terms, it was ineffective, because only 26% of these farms had endemic stability against all three organisms. CONCLUSIONS: Given the low proportion of farms that have endemic stability to the tick fever organisms and the high likelihood of clinical disease, vaccination is recommended to protect dairy cattle from tick fever throughout the tick infested area of Queensland. However, further work is required to determine the economic value of vaccination, taking into account the costs of vaccination, of outbreaks and the protective value of vaccination.

Anaplasma marginale↗

Dengue and dengue hemorrhagic fever.

Dengue fever, a very old disease, has reemerged in the past 20 years with an expanded geographic distribution of both the viruses and the mosquito vectors, increased epidemic activity, the development of hyperendemicity (the cocirculation of multiple serotypes), and the emergence of dengue hemorrhagic fever in new geographic regions. In 1998 this mosquito-borne disease is the most important tropical infectious disease after malaria, with an estimated 100 million cases of dengue fever, 500,000 cases of dengue hemorrhagic fever, and 25,000 deaths annually. The reasons for this resurgence and emergence of dengue hemorrhagic fever in the waning years of the 20th century are complex and not fully understood, but demographic, societal, and public health infrastructure changes in the past 30 years have contributed greatly. This paper reviews the changing epidemiology of dengue and dengue hemorrhagic fever by geographic region, the natural history and transmission cycles, clinical diagnosis of both dengue fever and dengue hemorrhagic fever, serologic and virologic laboratory diagnoses, pathogenesis, surveillance, prevention, and control. A major challenge for public health officials in all tropical areas of the world is to develop and implement sustainable prevention and control programs that will reverse the trend of emergent dengue hemorrhagic fever.

Dengue↗

Role of ultrasound in dengue fever.

This study was performed to find out whether ultrasound is an important adjunct to clinical and laboratory profile in diagnosing dengue fever or dengue haemorrhagic fever and to further determine whether ultrasound is useful in predicting the severity of the disease. Ultrasound was performed on 128 patients (2-9 years) with clinical suspicion of dengue fever. Serological tests were performed to confirm the diagnosis. 40 patients were serologically negative for dengue fever and later excluded from the study. Of the remaining 88 serologically positive cases, 32 patients underwent ultrasound on second to third day, repeated on fifth to seventh day of fever and in 56 patients ultrasound was done only on fifth to seventh day of fever. Of the 32 patients who underwent the study on second to third day of fever, all showed gall bladder wall thickening and pericholecystic fluid, 21% had hepatomegaly, 6.25% had splenomegaly and right minimal pleural effusion. Follow-up ultrasound on fifth to seventh day revealed ascites in 53% left pleural effusion in 22% and pericardial effusion in 28%. Of the 56 patients who underwent the study on fifth to seventh day of fever for the first time all had gall bladder wall thickening, 21% had hepatomegaly, 7% had splenomegaly, 96% had ascites, 87.5% had right pleural effusion, 66% had left pleural effusion and 28.5% had pericardial fluid. To conclude, in an epidemic of dengue, ultrasound features of thickened gall bladder wall, pleural effusion and ascites should strongly favour the diagnosis of dengue fever.

Ascitic Fluid↗

Concentrations of apolipoprotein C-III in healthy cows during the peripartum period and cows with milk fever.

Apolipoprotein (apo) C-III is a low-molecular-mass protein mainly distributed in the high-density lipoprotein fraction in cattle serum. We have recently shown that the apoC-III concentration is decreased in cows with fatty liver, ketosis, left displacement of the abomasum, retained placenta and milk fever. The decrease was most distinct in milk fever, thereby suggesting that apoC-III is particularly relevant to the development of milk fever and also that apoC-III is a candidate diagnostic marker for this disease. The purpose of the present study was to examine whether the apoC-III concentration in healthy cows is altered during the peripartum period, to assess the usefulness of apoC-III as a marker for milk fever. ApoC-III concentrations in 17 cows were monitored during the peripartum period (-48 to +12 days from parturition). Of the 17 cows, 14 were apparently healthy during the period. The apoC-III concentrations in the 14 healthy cows were unaltered during the period from -48 to -21 days, but thereafter showed individual variations. Compared with values during the period from -48 to -21 days, the apoC-III concentration was increased (137%) in 5 cows during the period from +1 to +12 days, whereas it decreased (60.7%) in 9 cows. Three cows suffered from milk fever at -3 to +10 days. Decreased apoC-III concentrations in diseased cows (15 to 37% of controls) were more distinct than in the 9 healthy cows. The apoC-III concentration was correlated with lecithin:cholesterol acyltransferase activity in cows with milk fever, but not in healthy cows. Correlation analysis also indicated that apoC-III and apoB-100 concentrations were negatively correlated in 5 healthy cows with increased apoC-III concentrations, but positively in 9 healthy cows with decreased concentrations and cows with milk fever. Determination of the apoC-III concentration during the peripartum period is suggested to be helpful in diagnosing milk fever. The possible relevance of apoC-III and apoB-100 in the development of milk fever is also implied.

Animals↗

Incidence and prevalence of asthma among adult Finnish men and women of the Finnish Twin Cohort from 1975 to 1990, and their relation to hay fever and chronic bronchitis.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To examine the prevalence of asthma and hay fever, and the incidence and temporal relationships of asthma, hay fever, and chronic bronchitis among adult twins during a 15-year period. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: A population of 11,540 Finnish adult men and women, initially 18 to 45 years of age, who returned a health questionnaire in 1975, 1981, and 1990 as part of the Finnish Twin Cohort study. METHODS: Age-standardized prevalences and cumulative incidences among individuals were calculated for asthma, hay fever, and chronic bronchitis. The incidence of asthma among subjects with and without hay fever or chronic bronchitis was analyzed in the entire cohort as well as in twin pairs discordant for incident asthma. RESULTS: The prevalence of asthma increased slightly from 1975 (2.0% in men and 2.2% in women) to 1990 (2.9% in men and 3.1% in women). The prevalence of hay fever showed a larger increase in men and women (from 6.8% and 9.8% to 11.8% and 15.3%, respectively). Compared with figures for 1976 to 1981, no significant increase in asthma incidence occurred from 1982 to 1990, whereas the incidence of hay fever was lower during the latter period among men (incidence rate ratio, 0.7; 95% confidence interval, 0.6 to 0.9) as was the incidence of chronic bronchitis among women (incidence rate ratio, 0.7; 95% confidence interval, 0.6 to 0.9). Hay fever and chronic bronchitis were usually diagnosed before asthma. Both diseases increased the risk of asthma significantly on the basis of analyses of all individuals and of discordant twin pairs. CONCLUSIONS: The pattern of increase in asthma and hay fever prevalence with time was similar, and hay fever was a strong predictor of asthma. These diseases showed no significant increase in incidence.

Adolescent↗