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PubMed1990

A community-oriented primary care project in a rural population: reducing cardiovascular risk.

A controlled community-oriented primary care (COPC) program designed to reduce cardiovascular risk was conducted in two towns in a poor, rural area of New York State that have populations with high levels of cardiovascular mortality. In both towns, house-to-house visits were used to screen for blood pressure, gather information about cardiovascular risk knowledge and behavior, and provide a cardiovascular educational program. Persons with elevated blood pressure were advised to seek follow-up. Additional interventions, carried out in the study town only, included ongoing follow-up for those with elevated blood pressure and their providers, and sliding-fee medical services for those with financial barriers to care. At rescreening 2 years later, residents of the study population had an adjusted systolic blood pressure 3.1 mm Hg lower than those in the control population (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.9, 5.3). Furthermore, those who were screened at both rounds had an adjusted systolic blood pressure 2.7 mm Hg lower than those who had not previously been screened (95% CI = 0.6, 4.8). Although knowledge of cardiovascular risk factors increased among those who were surveyed in both rounds, there was little demonstrable effect on cardiovascular risk behaviors. Difficulties were encountered in engaging the participation of all medical providers, and less use was made of the sliding-scale program than expected. While it appears feasible to implement the technical methodology of a COPC model in a rural setting, it is crucial to engage the support of the local and medical community.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2002

Teaching the quality improvement process to junior medical students: the Nebraska experience.

To teach the continuous quality improvement (CQI) process to junior medical students at the University of Nebraska during their rural family medicine preceptorship, we designed and implemented a population health project in 1998. This project requires students to select a problem affecting a population in their preceptor's practice, analyze that problem, and suggest a solution or remediation using CQI principles. Support for the students during their project includes Web-based examples and readings. Results of this project have included national presentations and changes in several preceptors' practice patterns. This project has been well accepted by preceptors and students.

Curriculum↗
PubMed1997

Stroke incidence and mortality correlated to stroke risk factors in the WHO MONICA Project. An ecological study of 18 populations.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the present study was to determine the extent to which the variation in conventional risk factors contributed to the variation in stroke incidence among these populations. METHODS: Within the WHO MONICA Project, stroke has been recorded in 18 populations in 11 countries. In population surveys, risk factors for cardiovascular diseases have been examined in the age group 35 to 64 years. Over a 3-year period, 12,224 acute strokes were registered in men and women within the same age range. RESULTS: The highest stroke attack rates were found in Novosibirsk in Siberia, Russia, and Finland, with a more than three-fold higher incidence than in Friuli, Italy. The mean diastolic blood pressure among the populations differed by 15 mm Hg between Novosibirsk (highest) and Denmark (lowest). In multiple regression analyses, the presence of conventional cardiovascular risk factors (smoking and elevated blood pressure) explained 21% of the variation in stroke incidence among the population in men and 42% in women. In Finland, in China, and in men in Lithuania, the stroke incidence rates were higher than expected from the population risk factor levels. CONCLUSION: Prevalence of smoking and elevated blood pressure explain a substantial proportion of the variation of stroke attack rates between populations. However, other risk factors for stroke that were not measured in the present study also contribute considerably to interpopulation differences in stroke rates.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

A field-based population model for the sediment toxicity test organism Leptocheirus plumulosus: II. Model application.

A stage-structured population model has been developed for the estuarine amphipod Leptocheirus plumulosus to provide interpretive guidance for sediment toxicity tests with this species. This time-varying, field-based model includes several matrices to reflect seasonal changes in demographics. In this paper, we conduct sensitivity analysis of the model to identify which life history parameters have the greatest potential impact on population growth rate (lambda). Results indicate seasonal variability in the relative demographic importance of vital rates. Over winter, annual population growth is most sensitive to the persistence of juveniles and adults and growth from the juvenile to the adult stage. In spring and fall, changes in fecundity are likely to have large effects on population dynamics. In addition, we demonstrate the applicability of the model by using it to interpret toxicological data from an assessment of sediment contamination in Baltimore Harbor, MD. The model was parameterized with survival data from acute toxicity tests with L. plumulosus to project effects on population growth rate (lambda). Results of these model simulations indicate that relatively small changes in survival can result in large changes in lambda, indicating high risk to benthic populations. Furthermore, population projections mirror observed abundances of L. plumulosus at the test sites. These analyses provide a first indication of the usefulness of the Leptocheirus population model as a tool for exploring ecological effects of sediment contamination.

Animals↗
PubMed1998

Changes in estimated coronary risk in the 1980s: data from 38 populations in the WHO MONICA Project. World Health Organization. Monitoring trends and determinants in cardiovascular diseases.

The World Health Organization (WHO) MONICA Project is a 10-year study monitoring trends and determinants of cardiovascular disease in geographically defined populations. Data were collected from over 100,000 randomly selected participants in two risk factor surveys conducted approximately 5 years apart in 38 populations using standardized protocols. The net effects of changes in the risk factor levels were estimated using risk scores derived from longitudinal studies in the Nordic countries. The prevalence of cigarette smoking decreased among men in most populations, but the trends for women varied. The prevalence of hypertension declined in two-thirds of the populations. Changes in the prevalence of raised total cholesterol were small but highly correlated between the genders (r = 0.8). The prevalence of obesity increased in three-quarters of the populations for men and in more than half of the populations for women. In almost half of the populations there were statistically significant declines in the estimated coronary risk for both men and women, although for Beijing the risk score increased significantly for both genders. The net effect of the changes in the risk factor levels in the 1980s in most of the study populations of the WHO MONICA Project is that the rates of coronary disease are predicted to decline in the 1990s.

Adult↗
PubMed1997

Blood pressure levels in the 41 populations of the WHO MONICA Project.

In the early to mid 1980s, the WHO MONICA Project conducted cardiovascular risk factor surveys in 41 study populations in 22 countries. Study populations aged 35-64 years comprised 32,422 men and 32,554 women. Blood pressures (BP) and body mass index (BMI) were measured according to a standard protocol. Participants were asked about antihypertensive medication. In men, the average age-standardized BPs ranged among the populations from 124 to 148 mm Hg for systolic (SBP) and from 75 to 93 mm Hg for diastolic (DBP). The corresponding values in women were 118-145 mm Hg for SBP and 74-90 mm Hg for DBP. In all populations, women had lower SBP than men in the age group 35-44. However, SBP in women rose more steeply with age so that in 34 of 41 populations women had higher SBP than men in the age group 55-64. The proportion of participants with untreated major elevation of BP ranged from 4.5% to 33.7% in men and from 1.9% to 22.3% in women. The proportions of participants receiving antihypertensive medication were 4.3-17.7% for men and 6.0-22.0% for women. These proportions were not correlated with the prevalence of untreated hypertensives. Age-adjusted BMI was associated with SBP and accounted for 14% of the SBP variance in men and 32% in women. We found a large difference in SBP among the MONICA study populations and conclude that the results represent a valid estimate of the public health problem posed by elevated BP. We also have shown that almost universally the problem of elevated BP is more prevalent in women than in men, especially in the older age groups.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

Correction of refractive error in the Victorian population: the feasibility of "off the shelf" spectacles.

AIMS: To assess the feasibility of providing a stock of ready made spectacles for correction of refractive error in the general population. METHODS: Data were collected in the Visual Impairment Project, a population based survey of Victorian residents aged 40 years or older in randomly selected urban and rural sample areas. This included a refractive eye examination and the proportion of subjects with hypermetropia, emmetropia (defined as -1.0 to +1.0D spherical equivalent), and myopia documented in the 40-60 year age group. RESULTS: 2595 (54.8%) participants were aged between 40 and 60 years. Those with a best corrected visual acuity of less than 6/12, astigmatism of more than 1.25D, and anisometropia of more than 0.5D were excluded. 516 participants had refractive error which was deemed suitable for correction by "off the shelf" spectacles. This represents 19.9% of all participants between 40 and 60 years of age. Provision of spectacles in 0.5D increments would provide suitable stock spectacles for 85.5% of a -3.0 to +3.0D range or 89.2% of a -3.50 to +3.50D range. CONCLUSIONS: Ready made "off the shelf" spectacles could significantly alleviate visual morbidity due to refractive error in up to 20% of an urban population in Australia. This approach may also be useful in developing countries with poor access to optometric services.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Population trends in BMD testing, treatment, and hip and wrist fracture rates: are the hip fracture projections wrong?

UNLABELLED: A worldwide epidemic of hip fractures has been predicted. Time trends in BMD testing, bone-sparing medications and hip and wrist fractures in the province of Ontario, Canada, were examined. From 1996 to 2001, BMD testing and use of bone-sparing medications increased each year, whereas despite the aging of the population, wrist and hip fracture rates decreased. INTRODUCTION: If patients with osteoporosis are being diagnosed and effective treatments used with increasing frequency in the population, rates of hip and wrist fractures will remain stable or possibly decrease. We report here time trends in BMD testing, prescriptions for bone-sparing medications, hip and wrist fracture rates, and population projections of fracture rates to 2005 in the province of Ontario, Canada. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Ontario residents have universal access to Medicare. To examine time trends in BMD testing, all physician claims for DXA from 1992 to 2001 were selected from the Ontario Health Insurance Plan (OHIP) database. Trends in prescribing were examined from 1996 to 2003 using data from the Ontario Drug Benefit plan, which provides coverage to persons > or = 65 years of age. Actual numbers of hip and wrist fractures were determined for 1992-2000 and population projections for 2001-2005 using time-series analysis. Wrist fractures were identified in the OHIP database and hip fractures through hospital discharge abstracts. RESULTS: From 1992 to 2001, the number of BMD tests increased 10-fold. There has been a steady increase in the number of persons filling prescriptions for antiresorptives (12,298 in 1996 to 225,580 in 2003) and the majority were for etidronate. For women, the rate of decline for wrist fractures is greater than that for hip fractures. The rate of hip fracture was fairly constant around 41 per 10,000 women > or = 50 years between 1992 and 1996. In 1997, the hip fracture rate began to decrease, and the population projections suggest that this downward trend will continue to a rate of 33.1 per 10,000 in 2005. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that fracture rates may be on the decline, despite the aging of the population, because of increased patterns of diagnosis and treatment for osteoporosis.

Aged↗
PubMed2004

The impact of visual impairment on functional vision of children in rural South India: the Kariapatti Pediatric Eye Evaluation Project.

PURPOSE: To determine the impact of visual impairment on functional vision of children in a rural population of south India. METHODS: A visual function questionnaire (LVP-VFQ) was administered to 1194 children aged 7 to 15 years identified through a systematic random sampling technique from 144 hamlets of Kariapatti in rural south India as part of a larger population-based project. Visual acuity estimations and clinical examinations for morbidity were performed in these 1194 children. A Rasch analysis was performed to validate the use of the instrument in this population. Bootstrap estimates (95% confidence intervals) of the regression coefficients were used to compare visual function scores between children with normal sight and children with uncorrected monocular and binocular visual impairment. RESULTS: The mean age of children was 10.3 +/- 2.1 years. The reliability estimates were 0.82 for person ability and 0.88 for item difficulty parameters, according to the Rasch analysis. A separation index of 2.15 was obtained for person measures and 2.74 for item measures, and the mean square infit and outfit statistics were 1.03 (Z(STD) 0.1) and 0.99 (Z(STD) -0.1), respectively. Children with monocular visual impairment (bootstrap estimate [95%CI] -0.05 [-0.08 to -0.01]) and binocular visual impairment (bootstrap estimate [95%CI] -0.09 [-0.11 to -0.07]) were more likely to have functional visual deficits than were normally sighted peers. CONCLUSIONS: Monocular or binocular visual impairment impacts on the functional vision of children in this rural population. Further studies are needed to determine the impact of treatment of visual impairment on functional vision in children of this population.

Adolescent↗