Search PubMed⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search PubMed

Results for “severity prediction”

Search indexed PubMed citations on genomics, clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health. Explore titles, authors and supplied subject terms, then open the PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources
PubMed2006

Heart rate variability predicts severe hypotension after spinal anesthesia.

BACKGROUND: Hypotension due to vasodilatation after spinal anesthesia (SA) may be harmful. Heart rate variability, an indirect measure of autonomic control, may predict hypotension. METHODS: One hundred patients were studied. Retrospectively, heart rate variability was analyzed in 30 patients, classified depending on the lowest systolic blood pressure (SBP) after SA. Seventy patients were studied prospectively, assigned to one of two groups by their low to high frequency ratio (LF/HF) before SA. Sensitivity and specificity of LF/HF for prediction of decrease of SBP greater 20% of baseline were tested. RESULTS: Retrospective analysis showed differences of LF/HF depending on the degree of hypotension after SA. Prospective analysis demonstrated significant differences of SBP after SA depending on baseline LF/HF (mean +/- SD): low LF/HF (1.3 +/- 0.7) = > SBP: 91 +/- 8% of baseline versus high LF/HF (5.5 +/- 2.4) = > SBP: 66 +/- 10% of baseline (P < 0.05). Baseline LF/HF as well as high frequency and proportional decrease of SBP after SA correlated significantly, in contrast to baseline hemodynamic parameters heart rate and SBP. A receiver operator curve characteristic analysis showed a sensitivity and specificity of LF/HF > 2.5 of 85% to predict SBP decrease of greater than 20% of baseline after SA. CONCLUSIONS: Heart rate variability analysis before SA may predict hypotension after SA with high sensitivity and specificity. LF/HF may be a tool to detect patients at high risk of hypotension due to SA. This indicates that the predictive value of LF/HF is superior to established predictors.

Aged↗
PubMed2004

Value of nucleated red blood cells in predicting severity and outcome of perinatal asphyxia.

The objective of the study was to assess nucleated red blood cell counts in cord blood in a group of asphyxiated infants, and to determine its predictive value for short-term outcome. A prospective case control study was undertaken on cord blood samples collected from fifty six term neonates with perinatal asphyxia and an equal number of normal appropriately matched controls for cord blood pH and nucleated RBC counts. Babies were followed up in nursery till discharge. Statistical analysis employed were ANOVA test, logistic and linear regression analysis. There was a significant increase in the number of nucleated red blood cells in cases as compared to controls. Low Apgar, cord blood pH and neonatal outcome correlated well with nucleated RBC counts. Nucleated red blood cell count at birth is a useful predictor of severity and short-term outcome of perinatal asphyxia.

Apgar Score↗
PubMed2000

Simplified admission criterion for predicting severe complications of gallstone pancreatitis.

HYPOTHESIS: Simple admission criteria (white blood cell count, > or =14. 5 x 10(9)/L; blood urea nitrogen level, > or =4.3 mmol/L [> or =12 mg/dL]; heart rate, > or =100 beats per minute; and serum glucose level, > or =8.3 mmol/L [> or =150 mg/dL]) are better predictors of severe complications of gallstone pancreatitis than an Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score of 5 or greater, a modified Imrie (Glasgow) score of 3 or greater, and a biliary Ranson score of 3 or greater. DESIGN: A prospective consecutive case study. SETTING: A university-affiliated, urban, public hospital. PATIENTS: Ninety-two consecutive patients (77 women and 15 men, aged 18 to 76 years [mean age, 39 years]) with gallstone pancreatitis. Seventy-seven patients were Hispanic. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Major local and systemic complications requiring intensive care unit care, and death. RESULTS: Fourteen patients (15%) had severe complications with a mortality of 2%. On univariate analysis, a white blood cell count of 14.5 x 10(9)/L or more (P =.03), a serum glucose level of 8. 3 mmol/L or more (> or =150 mg/dL) (P<.001), an APACHE II score of 5 or greater (P =.008), a modified Imrie score of 3 or greater (P<.001), and a biliary Ranson score of 3 or greater (P =.03) were statistically associated with the development of severe complications; whereas a blood urea nitrogen level of 4.3 mmol/L or more (> or =12 mg/dL) and a heart rate of 100 beats per minute or more were not. On multivariate analysis, only a serum glucose level of 8. 3 mmol/L or more (> or =150 mg/dL) was predictive of adverse events (P<. 001). CONCLUSIONS: Glucose level (> or =8.3 mmol/L [> or =150 mg/dL]) is the best single admission predictor of severe complications of gallstone pancreatitis and is superior to an APACHE II score of 5 or greater, a modified Imrie score of 3 or greater, and a biliary Ranson score of 3 or greater.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed2005

[Efficacy of AST to platelet ratio index in predicting severe hepatic fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B virus infection].

BACKGROUND/AIMS: An ideal noninvasive diagnostic test for hepatic fibrosis should be simple, inexpensive, and accurate. We aimed to find the simple marker for predicting hepatic fibrosis and to compare the accuracy of AST, platelet, AST/ALT ratio and AST to platelet ratio index (APRI) in chronic hepatitis B patients without clinical evidence of cirrhosis. METHODS: A total of one hundred and twenty-six chronic hepatitis B patients who underwent liver biopsy at the Ajou University Hospital from August 1998 to December 2003 were enrolled. Hepatic fibrosis was assessed using the Ludwig classification. Significant fibrosis was defined as fibrosis score of 3 or more. The AST/ALT ratio and APRI were calculated and correlations with hepatic fibrosis were analyzed. RESULTS: APRI showed a significant correlation (r=0.501, p=0.000) with hepatic fibrosis, and was superior to AST, AST/ALT ratio and platelet in predicting fibrosis. Patients with significant fibrosis (fibrosis stage 3, 4) can be identified to have APRI = 1 with sensitivity 71.2% and specificity 70.3%. The sensitivity and specificity of an APRI = 1.5 for cirrhosis (stage 4) were 83.3% and 75.0%. CONCLUSIONS: Simple index using AST and platelet value can predict the presence of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B patients without clinical evidence of cirrhosis.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Predicting severity of cochlear hair cell damage in adult chickens using DPOAE input-output functions.

Distortion product otoacoustic emissions (DPOAE) were recorded from the ear canal of aged broiler chickens which have been shown to present with age-related cochlear degeneration [Hear. Res. 166 (2002) 82]. We describe the relationship between the shape of the DPOAE input-output (I/O) function and the type of hair cell damage present at and between the cochlear frequency places of the DPOAE primary tones (f1 and f2). The mid stimulus level compressive growth of the mean DPOAE I/O functions is reduced in a graded fashion relative to the severity of hair cell damage. However, individual DPOAE I/O functions within most hair cell damage groups show large variability from this characteristic. Various least squares regression models were used to predict hair cell density from indices derived from the DPOAE I/O function (area, threshold and slope). The results showed that no simple linear relationship exists between hair cell density and the DPOAE I/O function indices. Multivariate binary logistic regression used DPOAE I/O function indices to predict membership in hair cell damage groups. The logistic model revealed that DPOAE threshold can be used to predict the occurrence of severe/total hair cell damage with good specificity though poor sensitivity.

Aging↗
PubMed1999

A functional lesion in developmental dyslexia: left angular gyral blood flow predicts severity.

Functional imaging studies have shown reduced regional cerebral blood flow (rCBF) in temporal and inferior parietal regions in dyslexia. To relate such abnormalities to the severity of dyslexia, correlations between reading skill and rCBF during a series of reading tasks and visual fixation were mapped for 17 right-handed dyslexic men, ages 18-40, and 14 matched controls. These correlations uniquely identified the left angular gyrus as the most probable site of a functional lesion in dyslexia: Here, higher rCBF was associated with better reading skill in controls (p <.01), but with worse reading skill in dyslexia (p <.01). This suggests that greater reliance on this region normally facilitates reading, but impairs reading in dyslexia. Thus, developmental dyslexia may share a common localization with alexia.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2002

Right atrial size and tricuspid regurgitation severity predict mortality or transplantation in primary pulmonary hypertension.

Primary pulmonary hypertension (PPH) is a fatal illness. In advanced stages only transplantation is able to increase survival. Echocardiography is useful for the assessment of these patients, but there is limited information about its prognostic value. With this goal, 25 consecutive patients, age: 36.7 +/- 12.7 years, were studied and followed up for a mean period of 29 months (range: 0.2-84). Eleven echocardiographic parameters of cardiac anatomy, function, and hemodynamics were assessed. Age and sex were also analyzed. Death and heart-lung transplantation were considered end-points. Thirteen events (Death: 8; transplantation: 5) occurred in the follow-up (11 of 13 in the first year). Kaplan-Meier estimated survival free from transplantation at 5 years was 40% (95% CI: 23%-70%). In the univariate analysis, RAA (HR: 1.1, P =.0004), TR (HR: 2.7, P =.02), and RVET (HR: 0.98, P =.02) showed statistically significant relation with survival free from transplantation. Multivariate analysis showed that RAS (HR: 1.10, 95% CI: 1.04-1.17, P =.001) and TR (HR: 2.52, 95% CI: 1.01-6.3, P =.047) were independent risk factors of transplantation and death. The use of these findings on the management of patients with PPH should be tested in larger studies.

Acceleration↗
PubMed1997

Urinary trypsinogen activation peptide (TAP) predicts severity in patients with acute pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS: Urinary TAP obtained within the first 48 h of the onset of symptoms can distinguish patients with severe acute pancreatitis. BACKGROUND: Urinary trypsinogen activation peptide (TAP) has recently been described as an early marker of severity in acute pancreatitis. METHODS: In a multicenter study, urine samples were collected for TAP concentration at 6-12, 24, and 48 h after admission from 139 patients with acute pancreatitis (99 with mild disease, 40 with severe disease) and from 50 control patients. Severity of acute pancreatitis was defined by the presence of organ failure and/ or pancreatic necrosis on dynamic contrast-enhanced computed tomography. RESULTS: Median urinary TAP in the 139 patients with acute pancreatitis compared to the 50 control patients was significantly higher at admission, 4.6 vs 0.8 ng/mL (p < 0.001), and 6-12 h, 1.9 vs 0.55 ng/mL (p = 0.04). Among patients who presented within 48 h of the onset of symptoms, the median urinary TAP for severe pancreatitis (9 patients) compared to mild pancreatitis (40 patients) was significantly higher at admission, 29.6 vs. 3.6 ng/mL (p = 0.001). Also, when obtained within 48 h of the onset of symptoms, all patients with severe pancreatitis had an admission urinary TAP level > 10 ng/mL. The sensitivity and specificity of an admission urinary TAP > or = 10 for severe pancreatitis was 100 and 85%, respectively. Given a cutoff of 10 ng/mL for an admission urinary TAP obtained within 48 h of the onset of symptoms, the negative predictive value was 100% for mild pancreatitis.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed2001

Usefulness of peak mitral inflow velocity to predict severe mitral regurgitation in patients with normal or impaired left ventricular systolic function.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the reliability of peak mitral inflow (E-wave) velocity, which was thought to be easier and more practical than qualitative and quantitative methods used to grade mitral regurgitation (MR) in patients both with normal and low left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (EF). It is known that peak E-wave velocity increases in MR. But correlation of this increase with regurgitant fraction (RF), its usefulness in grading MR, and the effect of EF on peak E-wave velocity have not been studied in detail. METHODS: We prospectively examined 135 consecutive patients with varying grades of MR with echocardiography. MR was evaluated both qualitatively and quantitatively, and concordance of these 2 methods was determined. Peak E-wave velocity, A-wave velocity, and E-wave deceleration time were measured and the E/A ratio was calculated. LV isovolumetric relaxation and contraction times were measured. Different MR groups classified by RF were compared with each other. RESULTS: Concordance of quantitative and qualitative evaluation was low in patients with low EF (kappa 0.37 vs 0.65). Peak E-wave velocity and E/A ratio showed significant differences between MR groups. Peak E-wave velocity correlated with the RF and EF (r = 0.47, r = 0.33, respectively, P <.001). Sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value of peak E-wave velocity >1.2 m/s suggesting severe MR were found to be different in patients with normal and low EF (96% vs 66%, 78% vs 83%, 97% vs 78%, respectively). E-wave deceleration, LV isovolumetric relaxation, and contraction time did not show a correlation with RF. CONCLUSION: Peak E-wave velocity is a screening method that could be used in common for determining severity of MR semiquantitatively, especially in patients with normal EF.

Adult↗
PubMedDate not supplied

'Neural network' algorithm to predict severity in epidermolysis bullosa simplex.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: There are various genotypic variations known for the four phenotypic presentations of epidermolysis bullosa simplex (EBS). A neural network algorithm may be used to find the relationship between the various factors responsible for a particular phenotypic presentation. We assessed the value of neural network to predict the prognosis of epidermolysis bullosa simplex. METHODS: Cases of EBS in which sequencing had been performed to identify the position and type of mutation were collected by literature search and the resulting data was analyzed using neural network algorithm. RESULTS: The statistical prediction had an accuracy rate of 78%. CONCLUSION: Neural networks can identify hidden patterns in a huge database without the intervention of a skilled statistician. It has the potential to change the way we analyze clinical and experimental data at present.

Algorithms↗
PubMed2001

Hypoperfusion of Wernicke's area predicts severity of semantic deficit in acute stroke.

Based on earlier findings that the presence of word comprehension impairment (a deficit in the meaning of words, or lexical semantics) in acute stroke was strongly associated with the presence of hypoperfusion or infarct in Wernicke's area, we tested the hypothesis that the severity of word comprehension impairment was correlated with the magnitude of delay in perfusion of Wernicke's area on magnetic resonance perfusion-weighted imaging. Eighty patients were prospectively studied within 24 hours of onset or progression of acute left hemisphere stroke symptoms, with diffusion-weighted imaging, perfusion-weighted imaging, and detailed language tests. For 50 patients without infarct in Wernicke's area, we found a strong Pearson correlation between the rate of errors on a word comprehension test and the mean number of seconds of delay in time-to-peak concentration of contrast in Wernicke's area, relative to the homologous region on the right. These results add further evidence for the crucial role of Wernicke's area (Brodmann's area 22) in word comprehension and indicate that the magnitude of delay on PWI may be a gross indicator of tissue dysfunction.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

[Contribution of magnetic resonance spectroscopy in predicting severity and outcome in traumatic brain injury].

Nuclear magnetic spectroscopy (MRS) is a useful method for noninvasively studying intracerebral metabolism. Proton MRS can identify markers of the neuronal viability (N-acetyl-aspartate, NAA), of the metabolism of cellular membranes (choline), of the cellular energy metabolism (creatine, lactate). In Phosphorus MRS, the peaks most readily identified are involved in the high-energy cellular metabolism (ATP, phosphocreatine, inorganic phosphate), and intracellular pH (pHi) can be determined using this method. MRS has been used in experimental models of traumatic brain injury (TBI), primarily to study the cellular metabolism and the relation between biochemical and histological changes after trauma. In trauma patients, significant changes in NAA, choline and pHi were found in both grey and white matter comparing with controls, and these alterations correlated with injury severity. Correlations have been reported between these biochemical changes (reduction in NAA, increase in choline) measured at 1 to 6 months after TBI and the clinical outcome of the patients. However, there are methodological issues which still impede to recommend MRS as a tool for predicting neurological outcome in the clinical setting.

Animals↗