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Extent and determinants of error in doctors' prognoses in terminally ill patients: prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe doctors' prognostic accuracy in terminally ill patients and to evaluate the determinants of that accuracy. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Five outpatient hospice programmes in Chicago. PARTICIPANTS: 343 doctors provided survival estimates for 468 terminally ill patients at the time of hospice referral. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Patients' estimated and actual survival. RESULTS: Median survival was 24 days. Only 20% (92/468) of predictions were accurate (within 33% of actual survival); 63% (295/468) were overoptimistic and 17% (81/468) were overpessimistic. Overall, doctors overestimated survival by a factor of 5.3. Few patient or doctor characteristics were associated with prognostic accuracy. Male patients were 58% less likely to have overpessimistic predictions. Non-oncology medical specialists were 326% more likely than general internists to make overpessimistic predictions. Doctors in the upper quartile of practice experience were the most accurate. As duration of doctor-patient relationship increased and time since last contact decreased, prognostic accuracy decreased. CONCLUSION: Doctors are inaccurate in their prognoses for terminally ill patients and the error is systematically optimistic. The inaccuracy is, in general, not restricted to certain kinds of doctors or patients. These phenomena may be adversely affecting the quality of care given to patients near the end of life.

Clinical Competence↗

The Medicare Hospice Benefit: ten years of federal policy for the terminally ill.

The Medicare Hospice Benefit has served terminally ill persons and their families since 1983. The political and social development of this policy combined both humanitarian and cost-saving strategies. Although this federal hospice program has mainstreamed care of the terminally ill and provided multiple services, four major constraints of the benefit package are identified and explored. As the United States draws closer to health care reform, it is important that we analyze this policy before we devise new ways to care for the dying and their families.

Federal Government↗

Depression: diagnosis and management in terminal illness.

Depressive illness is often not recognized in terminally ill patients, because it is seen as an 'understandable' reaction. However, treating depression in such patients can significantly improve the quality of their remaining life. The diagnosis and management of depression in terminally ill patients will be discussed in this article.

Chronic Disease↗

Response of paramedics to terminally ill patients with cardiac arrest: an ethical dilemma.

BACKGROUND: In an environment characterized by cuts to health care, hospital closures, increasing reliance on home care and an aging population, more terminally ill patients are choosing to die at home. The authors sought to determine the care received by these patients when paramedics were summoned by a 911 call and to document whether do-not-resuscitate (DNR) requests influenced the care given. METHODS: The records of a large urban emergency medical services system were reviewed to identify consecutive patients with cardiac arrest over the 10-month period November 1996 to August 1997. Data were abstracted from paramedics' ambulance call reports according to a standardized template. The proportion of these patients described as having a terminal illness was determined, as was the proportion of terminally ill patients with a DNR request. The resuscitative efforts of paramedics were compared for patients with and without a DNR request. RESULTS: Of the 1534 cardiac arrests, 144 (9.4%) involved patients described as having a terminal illness. The mean age of the patients was 72.2 (standard deviation 14.8) years. Paramedics encountered a DNR request in 90 (62.5%) of these cases. Current regulations governing paramedic practice were not followed in 34 (23.6%) of the cases. There was no difference in the likelihood that cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) would be initiated between patients with and those without a DNR request (73% v. 83%; p = 0.17). In patients for whom CPR was initiated, paramedics were much more likely to withhold full advanced cardiac life support if there was a DNR request than if there was not (22% v. 68%; p < 0.001). INTERPRETATION: Paramedics are frequently called to attend terminally ill patients with cardiac arrest. Current regulations are a source of conflict between the paramedic's duty to treat and the patient's right to limit resuscitative efforts at the time of death.

Adolescent↗

Differences between terminally ill patients who know, and those who do not know, that they are dying.

Four GPs each selected 6 patients, 2 terminally ill with knowledge of diagnosis and prognosis, 2 terminally ill without knowledge, and 2 chronically ill. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with the patients, and the transcripts' content was analyzed. There were large group differences in the predicted direction in frequency of utterances that indicated knowledge, which both validated the content analysis and verified the GPs' capacity to categorize patients according to knowledge. Terminally ill patients with knowledge produced significantly longer transcripts than the other two groups. Groups did not differ significantly on state or trait anxiety scales. Differences due to demographic variables could not account for the main effects. There were significant associations that involved age, anxiety, and the dependent variables of the content analysis, especially among the terminally ill patients without knowledge.

Age Factors↗

Twenty years beyond medical school: physicians' attitudes toward death and terminally ill patients.

BACKGROUND: In response to consumer demands and recent changes in health care, the American Medical Association and the Association of American Medical Colleges have expressed concern about how physicians relate to patients, especially those who are seriously ill. OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of 20 years of medical practice on the attitudes of physicians toward terminally ill patients and their families. METHODS: Data were gathered from questionnaires mailed in 1976 and again in 1996 to physicians who graduated from medical school between 1972 and 1975. RESULTS: Responses were received from 71% and 63% of the 1664 and 1109 physicians surveyed in 1976 and 1996, respectively. Using a t test for paired variables, statistically significant differences were noted for physicians' responses to all of the 11 Likert-type attitudinal statements on death and terminally ill patients and their families. Physicians in 1996 were more willing to inform terminally ill patients of their prognosis and in general seemed more confident with dying patients than they were in 1976. CONCLUSIONS: After 2 decades of practicing medicine, physicians' attitudes toward terminally ill patients seem to have changed; physicians appear to be more open to communicating with terminally ill patients and their families on issues concerning death and dying.

Attitude of Health Personnel↗

Attitudes of hospital doctors in Wales to use of intravenous fluids and antibiotics in the terminally ill.

Decisions concerning the use of intravenous fluids and antibiotics in terminally ill patients are regularly made by hospital doctors, but there is little record of staff attitudes and current practice in Britain. A questionnaire was therefore distributed to 833 Welsh hospital doctors, citing the case of a hypothetical terminally ill patient and asking questions about medical management. Of the 448 (54%) doctors who replied, 346 (77%) had managed a similar patient recently. Intravenous fluids would be administered by 238 (53%), with 206 of these (87%) resiting the cannula as required and 62 (26%) resorting to a central venous line if there was no alternative. With increasing age and seniority doctors become conservative in their approach. Nearly all claimed that 'ensuring the patient's comfort' was the reason for their decision. Only 72 (16%) would use antibiotics if the patient became pyrexial. The results suggest that British doctors are divided in their approach to the medical management of terminally ill patients and there is a need for greater discussion and training so that all the issues involved are fully appreciated.

Anti-Bacterial Agents↗

End-of-life care for terminally ill participants in clinical research.

Efforts to improve end-of-life care in the United States have paid little attention to the unique concerns of participants in clinical research who are terminally ill. In this paper we focus attention on and offer an analysis of how to meet the needs of these individuals. To address their concerns, we consider how to reconcile two important tasks: providing optimal end-of-life care and conducting clinical research. First, we examine the inherent tension between the goals of medicine and the goals of science. Second, we focus more specifically on the tensions between a good death and conducting clinical research in patients with a short life expectancy. We examine six domains that have been suggested for measuring a good death: physical symptoms; psychological and cognitive symptoms; economic and caregiving needs; social relationships; spiritual beliefs; hopes and expectations. For each of these domains we examine how the goals of clinical research may conflict or coincide with taking care of a patient with a terminal illness. Finally, we offer suggestions to address these tensions: (1) modify the informed consent discussion for terminally ill participants in research; (2) build a palliative care component into clinical trials; (3) attend to the needs of family caregivers of terminally ill research subjects; (4) arrange for continuity of care so that dropping out of a trial does not jeopardize medical care; (5) train clinical investigators in end-of-life care; (6) develop a counseling strategy for terminally ill participants in clinical research.

Clinical Trials as Topic↗

Factors associated with length of survival among 1081 terminally ill cancer patients.

To improve their ability to estimate the survival of terminally ill cancer patients, palliative care physicians require accurate information on prognostic factors. The objective of this study was to assess the extent to which variables such as patient characteristics and primary tumor site affect the length of survival of terminally ill cancer patients. The study population consisted of 1081 cancer patients admitted for terminal care to a 15-bed palliative care unit from 1985 to 1991. Univariate Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to examine the relationship between patient characteristics at admission and survival time. The factor most strongly associated with shorter survival was poor performance status; this strong relationship was not altered by taking into account sex and primary cancer site in the multivariate analysis. For patients who were bedridden at admission, the death rate was 5.5 times higher (95% confidence interval (Cl) 3.4-9.0) than that for ambulatory patients during the first four days of stay, and it was 2.8 times higher (95% Cl 2.0-3.9) subsequently (up to 19 days). The other prognostic factors significantly but slightly associated with poorer survival in the univariate analysis were primary lung cancer, male sex, and living with a spouse. These findings indicate that performance status is the main prognostic factor for accurately estimating the survival time of terminally ill cancer patients.

Aged↗

Longitudinal changes in attitudes of offspring concerning life-sustaining measures for their terminally ill parents.

OBJECTIVES: To define longitudinal changes in the attitudes of offspring concerning life-sustaining measures for their older, terminally ill parents and to determine whether experience of a "life event" influences such decisions. DESIGN: An attitudinal survey of three groups. SETTING: The geriatric department of a university-affiliated general hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Fifty-one subjects who had been interviewed regarding life-sustaining treatment for their terminally ill parents were reinterviewed 6 years later. In addition, a control group composed of 116 participants was generated from patients visiting hospital outpatient clinics. The control group had no prior experience involving hospitalization of a first-degree relative as a result of a life-threatening situation. INTERVENTIONS: Each subject took part in a personal interview. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Attitudes regarding life-sustaining measures were assessed, and the subjects' sociodemographic and religious characteristics were noted. RESULTS: The attitudes of offspring in the acute phase situation and after the passage of 6 years were strikingly consistent. Twenty-one percent had requested the initiation of resuscitation in the acute phase ("real time"), and 27.4% said the same 6 years later. The provision of nutrition and medication was requested by approximately 70% of participants both at the acute phase and 6 years later. When comparing each individual's personal views at the interviews with all others, consistency in attitude was found among answers to most questions. When comparing the acute phase group with the control group, a significantly higher percentage of the former requested the initiation of resuscitation (48.3% vs 25%), whereas a smaller percentage preferred that the decision be made by the physician (3.5% vs 21.3%). Active euthanasia was requested by 6.5% of the acute phase group and 12.9% of the control group. CONCLUSIONS: The decisions made by offspring regarding life-sustaining measures for their terminally ill parent at real time remain unchanged 6 years after the event. Exposure to a life event significantly affects the decision-making of the offspring of a terminally ill parent. However, the subject's attitude toward extreme solutions--opposing active euthanasia and requesting the administration of nutrition and medication--was not influenced by the fact that the subject had undergone a life event.

Adult Children↗

Talking with terminally ill patients and their caregivers about death, dying, and bereavement: is it stressful? Is it helpful?

BACKGROUND: Discussing end-of-life issues with terminally ill patients is often considered distressing and harmful. This study was conducted to assess whether interviewing terminally ill patients and their caregivers about death, dying, and bereavement is stressful and/or helpful. METHODS: Patients from 6 sites in the United States who were estimated to have 6 months or less to live were interviewed in person and reinterviewed 2 to 6 months later. Their caregivers were interviewed separately. At the end of the interviews, patients and caregivers were asked how stressful and how helpful the interview had been. Of 1131 eligible patients, 988 (87.4%) were interviewed, and of 915 eligible caregivers, 893 (97.6%) were interviewed. RESULTS: At the end of the first interview, 1.9% of the patients reported having experienced a great deal of stress, 7.1% some stress, and 88.7% little or no stress from the interview. Among the caregivers, 1.5% reported a great deal of stress, 8.4% some stress, and 89.7% little or no stress. Slightly more stress was reported to have been caused by the reinterview. Overall, 16.9% of the patients reported the initial interview as very helpful, 29.6% as somewhat helpful, and 49.6% as offering little or no help. Among the caregivers, 19.1% reported the initial interview as very helpful, 34.3% as somewhat helpful, and 44.9% as offering little or no help. The reported helpfulness of the second interview was slightly less. Patients experiencing pain (odds ratio [OR], 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.56), more personal meaning in dying (OR, 3.05; 95% CI, 2.02-4.59), and less ease with talking about the end of life (OR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.09-1.60) were significantly more likely to report stress. Patients who were from an ethnic minority (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.31-2.63), anxious about the end of their life (OR, 1.39; 95% CI 1.16-1.67), more spiritual (OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.06-1.61), and serene (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.08-1.45) were significantly more likely to report the interview helpful. There was no relationship between stress and helpfulness. CONCLUSIONS: Terminally ill patients and their caregivers can discuss death, dying, and bereavement in a structured interview with minimal stress and report that the interview was helpful. Institutional review boards should not preemptively restrict surveys with terminally ill patients without reliable evidence that they will be stressful or otherwise harmful.

Adolescent↗

The attitudes of cancer patients and their families toward the disclosure of terminal illness.

PURPOSE: To ascertain the attitude of cancer patients and their families toward disclosure of terminal illness to the patient. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We constructed a questionnaire that included demographic and clinical information and delivered it to 758 consecutive individuals (433 cancer patients and 325 families that have a relative with cancer) at seven university hospitals and one national cancer center in Korea. RESULTS: 380 cancer patients and one member from each of 281 families that have a relative with cancer completed the questionnaire. Cancer patients were more likely than family members to believe that patients should be informed of the terminal illness (96.1% v 76.9%; P <.001). Fifty percent of the family members and 78.3% of the patients thought that the doctor in charge should be the one who informs the patient. Additionally, 71.7% of the patients and 43.6% of the family members thought that patients should be informed immediately after the diagnosis. Stepwise multiple logistic regression indicated that the patient group was more likely than the family group to want the patient to be informed of the terminal illness (odds ratio [OR], 9.76; 95% CI, 4.31 to 22.14), by the doctor (OR, 4.00; 95% CI, 2.61 to 6.11), and immediately after the diagnosis (OR, 3.64; 95% CI, 2.45 to 5.41). CONCLUSION: Our findings indicated that most cancer patients want to be informed if their illness is terminal, and physicians should realize that the patient and the family unit may differ in their attitude toward such a disclosure. Our results also reflect the importance of how information is given to the patient.

Adult↗

Staff-assisted home hemodialysis in debilitated or terminally ill patients.

End stage renal disease (ESRD) patients who are diagnosed to have a terminal illness or severe debility have limited options for their continued care. This results in a frequent decision to withdraw dialysis support. Due to their tenuous condition, continued transportation to the dialysis facility further aggravates the emotional, financial and physical burden to the patient and family. We would like to present our data on 28 patients with severe debilitating and terminal illnesses. The mean age was 69 years with a (+/-) 11.8 SD and range of 44-87 years. Nine of them were males and 19 females. All of these were considered terminally ill as most of these patients had multi-organ failure. Ten had stroke, 16 had cardiac failure, 2 had severe vascular insufficiency, one resulting in bilateral leg amputation, 5 had debilitating pulmonary disease needing oxygen therapy and 8 had cancer. These patients were dialyzed at their home by a registered nurse (RN) according to a dialysis prescription provided by an attending nephrologist. Twenty-three patients died at home, one transferred to acute care facility and 3 to hospice care after a mean staff-assisted home hemodialysis (SAHD) duration of 14.1+/-2.9 weeks. ESRD patients with severe disability can continue dialysis in a more convenient and comfortable setting at home, and yet be relatively cost-effective.

Adult↗

Service preferences among family caregivers of the terminally ill.

OBJECTIVE: The ability of families to assume caregiving responsibilities is contingent on material, social, and professional support. Inadequate or inappropriate support to the terminally ill and their family caregivers can result in the misuse of resources and add burden to the family. In this report, we describe service preferences among informal caregivers of the terminally ill. DESIGN: Three hundred seventy-three caregivers participated in telephone interviews at two points in time: when the terminally ill person was designated as palliative and 5 months subsequent to the first interview. In the case that the care recipient died during the study period, the caregiver participated in the interview three months after the death. MEASURES: After reviewing possible services received by the care recipients and caregivers, caregivers were asked to identify the five services they found most valuable and which services they would have liked to have had or received more of when caregiving. RESULTS: The five services caregivers reported as most valuable included: in-home nursing care, (90.7%); family physicians, (45.6%); medical specialists, (46.4%); housekeeping, (23.6%); and, religious support, (11.3%). The five most frequently reported services that family caregivers would have liked to have received or had more available included: housekeeping, (13.1%); caregiver respite, (10.2%); in-home nursing care, (8.0%); personal support workers, (4.6%); and, self-help/support groups, (3.8%). Analyses revealed that most (64.8%) perceived service needs were of a supportive nature for caregivers. Caregiver perceptions of the value and perceived need of services were consistent over time and into bereavement. Logistic regression analyses suggested that younger caregivers who were not employed, reported higher levels of burden and cared for someone with a diagnosis of cancer had greater perceived service needs. CONCLUSIONS: The findings reported in this paper provide important insights into caregiver perceptions of valued services when caring for a terminally ill family member. These finding also highlight the stability of caregiver service perceptions over time and into bereavement.

Adult↗

Caring for the terminally ill: communicating with patients and family.

Caring for terminally ill patients requires effective communication skills. It is important that medical personnel understand appropriate ways to communicate with the patient in order to inform him about his illness, throughout its duration. Physicians must develop an understanding of how patients communicate and ways to respond to that communication. Furthermore, the physician needs to communicate with the family of the terminally ill patient. Effective communication must become a regular part of the treatment.

Communication↗

Successful treatment of Wernicke encephalopathy in terminally ill cancer patients: report of 3 cases and review of the literature.

Although Wernicke encephalopathy has been reported in the oncological literature, only one terminally ill cancer patient with Wernicke encephalopathy has been reported. Wernicke encephalopathy, a potentially reversible condition, may be unrecognized in terminally ill cancer patients. In this communication, we report three terminally ill cancer patients who developed Wernicke encephalopathy. Early recognition and subsequent treatment resulted in successful palliation of delirium. Two of the three patients did not show the classical triad of Wernicke encephalopathy. Common clinical symptoms were delirium and poor nutritional status. Intravenous thiamine administration dramatically improved the symptoms of delirium in all three patients. In terminally ill cancer patients, clinicians must remain aware of the possibility of Wernicke encephalopathy when patients with a poor nutritional status present with unexplained delirium. Early intervention may correct the symptoms and prevent irreversible brain damage and the quality of life for the patient may improve.

Aged↗

Determinants of congruence between the preferred and actual place of death for terminally ill cancer patients.

UNLABELLED: A prospective cohort study was conducted to explore the extent of congruence and to identify the determinants of congruence between the preferred and actual place of death of terminally ill cancer patients. A total of 180 terminally ill cancer patients were enrolled (87% response rate) and 127 died during the one-year study period. Nearly 90% of the subjects preferred to die at home. One-third achieved their preference for place of death. The kappa value of congruence (kappa = 0.11, 95% confidence interval = 0.05-0.17) indicated poor to slight agreement between the preferred and actual place death. Important determinants of congruence between the preferred and actual place of death for terminally ill cancer patients included rehospitalisation and receiving hospice home care during the final days of life, perceived ability for family to help achieve preferred place of death, and residence in New Haven County. CONCLUSIONS: This study directly confirms that the degree of congruence between the preferred and actual place death is unsatisfactory. Clinical interventions and health policies need to be developed to assist terminally ill cancer patients who may not be able to achieve their preference for place of end-of-life care and death.

Adult↗

Indicators of quality medical care for the terminally ill in nursing homes.

PURPOSE: To identify medical care indicators for nursing home terminal care. DATA SOURCES: Studies examining care of terminally ill patients were identified using computer, bibliography, and expert searches; input from nursing home medical directors in Maryland; and input from expert geriatricians. STUDY SELECTION: More than 900 articles, books, and abstracts from meetings covering medical care for terminally ill patients were reviewed. Information from more than 100 publications is included. DATA EXTRACTION: Indicators of medical care for terminally ill patients, which can be used to quantify performance with respect to standards, guidelines, and options, were identified initially through review of the literature. DATA SYNTHESIS: Indicators were refined by input from medical directors of Maryland long-term care facilities and subsequent review by expert geriatricians. CONCLUSIONS: Minimum standards for which 100% performance is expected are communication of advance directives, attention to pain control, and attention to relief of dyspnea. Performance indicators for medical care guidelines and options in terminal care of nursing home patients are also described.

Home Care Services↗