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Estimation of past seepage volumes from calcite distribution in the Topopah Spring Tuff, Yucca Mountain, Nevada.

Low-temperature calcite and opal record the past seepage of water into open fractures and lithophysal cavities in the unsaturated zone at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, site of a proposed high-level radioactive waste repository. Systematic measurements of calcite and opal coatings in the Exploratory Studies Facility (ESF) tunnel at the proposed repository horizon are used to estimate the volume of calcite at each site of calcite and/or opal deposition. By estimating the volume of water required to precipitate the measured volumes of calcite in the unsaturated zone, seepage rates of 0.005 to 5 liters/year (l/year) are calculated at the median and 95th percentile of the measured volumes, respectively. These seepage rates are at the low end of the range of seepage rates from recent performance assessment (PA) calculations, confirming the conservative nature of the performance assessment. However, the distribution of the calcite and opal coatings indicate that a much larger fraction of the potential waste packages would be contacted by this seepage than is calculated in the performance assessment.

Calcium Carbonate↗

Uncertainties in coupled thermal-hydrological processes associated with the Drift Scale Test at Yucca Mountain, Nevada.

Understanding thermally driven coupled hydrological, mechanical, and chemical processes in unsaturated fractured tuff is essential for evaluating the performance of the potential radioactive waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. The Drift Scale Test (DST), intended for acquiring such an understanding of these processes, has generated a huge volume of temperature and moisture redistribution data. Sophisticated thermal-hydrological (TH) conceptual models have yielded a good fit between simulation results and those measured data. However, some uncertainties in understanding the TH processes associated with the DST still exist. This paper evaluates these uncertainties and provides quantitative estimates of the range of these uncertainties. Of particular interest for the DST are the uncertainties resulting from the unmonitored loss of vapor through an open bulkhead of the test. There was concern that the outcome from the test might have been significantly altered by these losses. Using alternative conceptual models, we illustrate that predicted mean temperatures from the DST are within 1 degrees C of the measured mean temperatures through the first 2 years of heating. The simulated spatial and temporal evolution of drying and condensation fronts is found to be qualitatively consistent with measured saturation data. Energy and mass balance computation shows that no more than 13% of the input energy is lost because of vapor leaving the test domain through the bulkhead. The change in average saturation in fractures is also relatively small. For a hypothetical situation in which no vapor is allowed to exit through the bulkhead, the simulated average fracture saturation is not qualitatively different enough to be discerned by measured moisture redistribution data. This leads us to conclude that the DST, despite the uncertainties associated with open field testing, has provided an excellent understanding of the TH processes.

Forecasting↗

An inventory of long-lived radionuclides residual from underground nuclear testing at the Nevada test site, 1951-1992.

An inventory of long-lived radionuclides produced by 828 underground nuclear tests conducted at the Nevada test site (NTS) from 1951 to 1992 includes residual tritium, fission products, actinides, and activation products. Recently, the US Department of Energy approved the declassification of the NTS radionuclide inventory by principal geographic test centers. This permits unclassified publication of radionuclide totals for the Yucca Flat, Pahute Mesa-Area 19, Pahute Mesa-Area 20, Frenchman Flat, and Rainier Mesa/Shoshone Mountain testing locations. Activities are reported as of September 23, 1992, the date of the last underground nuclear test conducted at the NTS, and September 23, 2492, after 500 years of radioactive decay. The availability of these data affords an opportunity for the analysis of the radiologic source term within the boundaries of local hydrogeologic units and provides insight to where radionuclides are sited relative to potential exposure pathways.

Forecasting↗

A system dynamics model to facilitate public understanding of water management options in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Water managers increasingly are faced with the challenge of building public or stakeholder support for resource management strategies. Building support requires raising stakeholder awareness of resource problems and understanding about the consequences of different policy options. One approach that can help managers communicate with stakeholders is system dynamics modeling. Used interactively in a public forum, a system dynamics model can be used to explain the resource system and illustrate the effects of strategies proposed by managers or suggested by forum participants. This article illustrates the process of building a strategic-level system dynamics model using the case of water management in Las Vegas, Nevada. The purpose of the model was to increase public understanding of the value of water conservation in Las Vegas. The effects of policies on water supply and demand in the system are not straightforward because of the structure of the system. Multiple feedback relationships lead to the somewhat counterintuitive result that reducing residential outdoor water use has a much greater effect on water demand than reducing indoor water use by the same amount. The model output shows this effect clearly. This paper describes the use of the model in research workshops and discusses the potential of this kind of interactive model to stimulate stakeholder interest in the structure of the system, engage participant interest more deeply, and build stakeholder understanding of the basis for management decisions.

Cities↗

Nineteenth century mercury: hazard to wading birds and cormorants of the Carson River, Nevada.

Contemporary mercury interest relates to atmospheric deposition, contaminated fish stocks and exposed fish-eating wildlife. The focus is on methylmercury (MeHg) even though most contamination is of inorganic (IoHg) origin. However, IoHg is readily methylated in aquatic systems to become more hazardous to vertebrates. In response to a classic episode of historical (1859-1890) IoHg contamination, we studied fish-eating birds nesting along the lower Carson River, Nevada. Adult double-crested cormorants (Phalacrocorax auritus), snowy egrets (Egretta thula) and black-crowned night-herons (Nycticorax nycticorax) contained very high concentrations of total mercury (THg) in their livers (geo. means 134.8 microg/g wet weight (ww), 43.7 and 13.5, respectively) and kidneys (69.4, 11.1 and 6.1, respectively). Apparently tolerance of these concentrations was possible due to a threshold-dependent demethylation coupled with sequestration of resultant IoHg. Demethylation and sequestration processes also appeared to have reduced the amount of MeHg redistributed to eggs. However, the relatively short time spent by adults in the contaminated area before egg laying was also a factor in lower than expected concentrations of mercury in eggs. Most eggs (100% MeHg) had concentrations below 0.80 microg/g ww, the putative threshold concentration where reproductive problems may be expected; there was no conclusive evidence of mercury-related depressed hatchability. After hatching, the young birds were fed diets by their parents averaging 0.36-1.18 microgMeHg/g ww through fledging. During this four to six week period, accumulated mercury concentrations in the organs of the fledglings were much lower than found in adults, but evidence was detected of toxicity to their immune (spleen, thymus, bursa), detoxicating (liver, kidneys) and nervous systems. Several indications of oxidative stress were also noted in the fledglings and were most apparent in young cormorants containing highest concentrations of mercury. This stress was evidenced by increased thiobarbituric acid-reactive substances, low activities of enzymes related to glutathione metabolism and low levels of reduced thiols, plus an increase in the ratio of oxidized to reduced glutathione. At lower concentrations of mercury, as was found in young egrets, we observed elevated activities of protective hepatic enzymes, which could help reduce oxidative stress. Immune deficiencies and neurological impairment of fledglings may affect survivability when confronted with the stresses of learning to forage and the ability to complete their first migration.

Animals↗

Nutrition education curriculum at the University of Nevada School of Medicine.

This article describes a developing nutrition education curriculum for the University of Nevada School of Medicine, a small and progressive, community-based medical school. The curriculum has been planned to reflect the longitudinal, interdisciplinary, and comprehensive integration of nutrition into new required and existing courses so that timely delivery of knowledge and development of skills will occur in the basic science years followed by direct application in the clinical clerkships. The availability of the "Nutrition and Cancer Education Objectives" is timely and provides overall direction and curricular goals for the simultaneous development of nutrition-cancer education. The coordination of the four-year curriculum of the entire medical school can be specifically targeted for the incorporation of this needed information synergistically at a most opportune time.

Chronic Disease↗

Air particulate pollution and hospital admissions for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Reno, Nevada.

This study assessed the association between ambient PM(10) pollution and daily hospital admissions for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in Reno-Sparks, Nevada, for the period 1990-1994. All three hospitals in the region were included. There was a total of 3115 admissions for COPD during this period. Daily ambient PM(10) values were available from one of seven air monitoring stations in this region. Weather variables including temperature and wind speed were also collected from this station. The daily average concentration of PM(10) was 36.55 microg/m(3). The generalized additive model (GAM) was used in the whole analysis. After adjusting for the effects of weather variables, day of week, seasons, and time trend, the results show that PM(10) is a statistically significant predictor for daily hospital admissions for COPD. The relative risk (RR) of hospital admissions for COPD for an interquartile increase (26.6 microg/m(3)) of the 24-h average level of PM(10) is 1.049 (95% CI 1.011-1.087).

Air Pollutants↗

Air pollution and birth weight in northern Nevada, 1991-1999.

This study examined the association between particulate matter < or =10 microm in aerodynamic size (PM(10)), carbon monoxide (CO), and ozone (O(3)), and birth weight in Washoe County, NV, from 1991 through 1999. In total, 39,338 single births were included in this study. The mean birth weight was 3383 +/- 460 g and prevalence of low birth weight (LBW) was 2.46% for single births with a gestational age of 37-44 wk. After controlling for cofactors including infant sex, maternal residential city, education, medical risk factors, active tobacco use, drug use, alcohol use, prenatal care, mother's age, race and ethnicity of mothers, and weight gain of mothers, we found PM(10) exposure in the third trimester of pregnancy to be a significant predictor of birth weight of newborns. A 10-microg/m(3) increase in the 24-h PM(10) level in the third trimester of pregnancy can be associated with a birth-weight reduction of 11 g (95% CI: 2.3-19.8 g) using multiple linear regression; however, PM(10) was not found to be related with the risk of LBW from logistic regression. CO and O(3) were not found to be associated with birth weight or risk of LBW of newborns by the same modeling procedure. The results suggest PM(10) could be a risk factor associated with birth-weight reduction of newborns in urban northern Nevada; however, the current level of PM(10) is not a risk factor to increase the chance of LBW newborns.

Air Pollution↗

Thyroid cancer rates and 131I doses from Nevada atmospheric nuclear bomb tests.

BACKGROUND: We examined data on death from thyroid cancer across the continental United States and data on incidence from selected areas of the country for evidence of an association between this disease and exposure to radioactive iodine (131I) from nuclear tests in Nevada in the 1950s. METHODS: Analyses involving 4602 thyroid cancer deaths (1957-1994) and 12 657 incident cases of thyroid cancer (1973-1994) were performed. Excess relative risks (ERRs) per Gray (Gy) of radiation were estimated by relating age-, calendar year-, sex-, and county-specific rates to estimates of dose to the thyroid that take age at exposure into account. RESULTS: Analyses of cumulative dose yielded negative ERRs that were not statistically significant. An association was suggested for dose received by children under 1 year of age for both mortality data (ERR per Gy = 10.6; 95% confidence interval [CI] = -1.1 to 29) and incidence data (ERR per Gy = 2.4; 95% CI = -0.5 to 5.6); no association was found for dose received at older ages. For mortality data, but not incidence data, there was an elevated ERR in the 1950-1959 birth cohort of 12.0 (95% CI = 2.8 to 31) per Gy. CONCLUSIONS: Risk of thyroid cancer from exposure to 131I from atmospheric nuclear tests did not increase with cumulative dose or dose received at ages 1-15 years, but associations were suggested for individuals exposed under 1 year of age and for those in the 1950-1959 birth cohort. The absence of increased risk from dose received at ages 1-15 years is not consistent with studies of children exposed to external radiation sources. This inconsistency may result from the limitations and biases inherent in ecologic studies, including the error introduced when studying a mobile population. These problems preclude making a quantitative estimate of risk due to exposure; however, given such limitations, it is perhaps remarkable that any evidence of the effects of 131I emerges from this study.

Adolescent↗

Case-control study of waterborne giardiasis in Reno, Nevada.

An outbreak of Giardia lamblia gastroenteritis occurred in Reno, Nevada, in 1982, during which 324 laboratory-confirmed infections were reported. During the outbreak, Reno was supplied in part by surface water that was chemically coagulated, settled, and chlorinated, but was not filtered. Giardia cysts were recovered from the water supply, and a beaver infected with Giardia was found in one of the reservoirs. A case-control study indicated that, during the outbreak but not afterwards, persons with giardiasis drank more municipal water than did controls. Corrective measures, which included removing the infected beaver and increasing the chlorine concentration, were followed by a rapid decrease in reports of giardiasis.

Adolescent↗

Gene frequencies in the domestic cats of Reno, Nevada: confirmation of a recent hypothesis.

On the basis of a sample of 156 animals, allele frequencies for the cat population of Reno, Nevada have been estimated. Comparison of this population with populations of 22 other cities shows that Reno's cats are more similar to those of northeastern North America than to those in the southwest. This is consistent with a recent hypothesis that suggests there were two distinct European sources of North American cats, and that present gene pools in North American cities depend primarily on their history of early settlement.

Animals↗

Results of a surveillance program for persons living around the Nevada Test Site--1971 to 1980.

A continuing program has been conducted since 1970 to determine levels of radioactive nuclides in adults and children from families residing in communities and ranches surrounding the Nevada Test Site. Twice each year these persons receive a whole-body count and physical examination; a urine sample from each is also submitted for radionuclide analyses. The only fission-product radionuclide routinely found in whole-body counting has been 137Cs at concentrations similar to those in persons living in other areas of the United States. The physical examinations reveal a generally healthy population, and urine samples have shown no remarkable radionuclide content.

Adolescent↗

Results of a cleanup and treatment test at the Nevada test site: evaluation of vacuum removal of Pu-contaminated soil.

We have conducted experiments to evaluate the effectiveness of removing contaminated soils from the Nevada Test Site with a large truck-mounted vacuum cleaner. Our results show that this method is effective, relatively easy, and safe for equipment operators. With four passes of the truck-mounted vacuum, 92% of the 241Am (and the accompanying 239 + 240Pu) was removed and resuspension rates were reduced by more than 99%. The ecological impact was, however, serious in terms of soil erosion and destruction of small animal habitats. Compared to standard earth-moving techniques, vacuuming permits a significant reduction in the volume of soil collected to achieve the desired level of decontamination, and the volume reduction could result in cost savings for packaging, shipment, and burial. This cost savings would only be realized for projects involving decontamination of the top 5 cm of soil.

Americium↗

Ground-based air-sampling measurements near the Nevada Test Site after atmospheric nuclear tests.

Historical air-sampling data measured within 320 km (200 mi) of the Nevada Test Site (NTS) have been reviewed for periods following atmospheric nuclear tests, primarily in the 1950s. These data come mostly from high-volume air samplers, with some from cascade-impactor samplers. Measurements considered here are for beta radiation from gross fission products. The resulting air-quality data base is comprised of almost 13,000 samples from 42 sampling locations downwind of the NTS. In order to compile an accurate air-quality data base for use in estimating exposure via inhalation, raw data values were sought where possible, and the required calculations were performed on a computer with state-of-the-art algorithms. The data-processing procedures consisted of (1) entry and error checking of historical data; (2) determination of appropriate background values, air-sampling volumes, and net air concentrations; and (3) calculation of integrated air concentration (C) for each sample (considering fallout arrival times). Comparing C values for collocated high-volume and cascade-impactor samplers during the Upshot-Knothole series showed similar lognormal distributions, but with a geometric mean C for cascade impactors about half that for the high-volume air samplers. Overall, the uncertainty in C values is about a factor of three. In the past, it has been assumed that C could be related to ground deposition by a constant having units of velocity. In our data bases, simultaneous measurements of air concentration and ground deposition at the same locations were not related by a constant; indeed, there was a great amount of scatter. This suggests that the relationship between C and ground deposition in this situation is too complex to be treated adequately by simple approaches.

Air Pollutants, Radioactive↗

Meteorological modeling of arrival and deposition of fallout at intermediate distances downwind of the Nevada Test Site.

A three-dimensional atmospheric transport and diffusion model is used to calculate the arrival and deposition of fallout from 13 selected nuclear tests at the Nevada Test Site (NTS) in the 1950s. Results are used to extend NTS fallout patterns to intermediate downwind distances (300 to 1200 km). The radioactive cloud is represented in the model by a population of Lagrangian marker particles, with concentrations calculated on an Eulerian grid. Use of marker particles, with fall velocities dependent on particle size, provides a realistic simulation of fallout as the debris cloud travels downwind. The three-dimensional wind field is derived from observed data, adjusted for mass consistency. Terrain is represented in the grid, which extends up to 1200 km downwind of NTS and has 32-km horizontal resolution and 1-km vertical resolution. Ground deposition is calculated by a deposition-velocity approach. Source terms and relationships between deposition and exposure rate are based on work by Hicks. Uncertainty in particle size and vertical distributions within the debris cloud (and stem) allow for some model "tuning" to better match measured ground-deposition values. Particle trajectories representing different sizes and starting heights above ground zero are used to guide source specification. An hourly time history of the modeled fallout pattern as the debris cloud moves downwind provides estimates of fallout arrival times. Results for event HARRY illustrate the methodology. The composite deposition pattern for all 13 tests is characterized by two lobes extending out to the north-northeast and east-northeast, respectively, at intermediate distances from NTS. Arrival estimates, along with modeled deposition values, augment measured deposition data in the development of data bases at the county level; these data bases are used for estimating radiation exposure at intermediate distances downwind of NTS. Results from a study of event TRINITY are also presented.

Computer Simulation↗

External exposure estimates for individuals near the Nevada Test Site.

Individuals living near the Nevada Test Site were exposed to both beta and gamma radiations from fission products and activation products resulting from the atmospheric testing of nuclear devices. These exposures, and the resultant doses, were functions of the amount of material deposited, the time of arrival of the debris, and the amount of shielding afforded by structures. Results are presented for each of nine generic life-styles. These are representative of the living patterns of people residing in the area. For each event at each location for which data exist, a representative of each life-style was closely followed for 30 d. The results of these detailed calculations were then extrapolated to the present, employing a stochastic model. Results displayed are the geometric means and standard deviations derived from 25 independent determinations of the various quantities shown. For each determination, required parameters were randomly selected from appropriate distributions. Calculations yielded estimates for: 1) whole-body and skin dose due to gamma rays from material on the ground; 2) skin dose due to beta particles from material deposited directly on the skin; and 3) skin dose due to beta particles from material deposited on the ground. Organ dose estimates were established from the whole-body dose using appropriate conversion factors. For the homemaker life-style, the uterus dose was also calculated as a function of time for 9 mo. This assisted in estimating fetal dose as a function of gestation.

Beta Particles↗

Individual external exposures from Nevada Test Site fallout for Utah leukemia cases and controls.

External gamma-ray exposures from fallout originating at the Nevada Test Site (NTS) have been assigned to 6,507 individual subjects (1,177 leukemia cases and 5,330 control subjects) who died as Utah residents between 1952 and 1981. Leukemia cases were identified, confirmed, and classified by cell type from the Utah Cancer Registry, Utah State vital records, and medical records. Residential histories were obtained from the Deceased Membership File (DMF) of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (LDS), supplemented by information from the LDS Church Census Records that were taken in 1950, 1955, and 1960-62. Control subjects were selected randomly within age strata from the DMF and were frequency-matched to the cases by age at death and for sex. Individual radiation exposures were assigned as a function of residence location and time interval for each residence during the fallout period (1951-1958) using geographic exposure data taken from the literature. Temporal distribution of exposure for subjects who resided in more than one locality or who were born or died during the fallout period was determined from data of other investigators. Calculated gamma-ray exposures for each place of residence were summed for each subject to yield the exposure to fallout from the NTS.

Case-Control Studies↗

Thermoluminescence measurements of gamma-ray doses attributable to fallout from the Nevada test site using building bricks as natural dosimeters.

During the 1950's, the U.S. Government conducted an intensive atmospheric nuclear testing program in Nevada. Fallout from these atmospheric tests was measured throughout the U.S. with some of the heaviest concentrations to populated areas falling east of the test site in Washington County, UT. External exposures from 6.5 x 10(-4) C kg-1 to 26 x 10(-4) C kg-1 (2.5-5.0 R) were reported for this region. This study provides an independent measurement of fallout radiation doses to selected communities in Utah using a thermoluminescence technique originally developed for the dating of ancient pottery. The application of the predose thermoluminescence technique to fallout dosimetry is described. A mean dose of 38 +/- 15 mGy (4.4 +/- 1.7 R), attributed to fallout radiation, was measured in quartz grains extracted from the outer centimeter of bricks removed from six communities in Washington and Kane Counties in Utah.

Construction Materials↗