The demographic response to economic crisis in historical and contemporary populations.
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Hunger and malnutrition in Africa have been on the increase since 1960's reaching a climax in the 1980's when over 150 million people were affected by one form or another. Methods so far used to solve the problem do not seem to succeed, but the scientists and leaders in Africa could now take the opportunity to consider and act on the problem in their own way. The formation of an African food and nutrition group to work with others on the problems, could give an impetus to this kind of initiative. A call is made to all African food and nutrition workers to combine efforts to harness Africa resources, which have not been fully utilized in solving the problem.
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Since 1980, over 2 million people have died as an immediate result of natural and man-made disasters and by 1992, the refugee population registered nearly 16 million people. This article reviews the human impact of disasters as a composite of two elements: the catastrophic event itself and the vulnerability of people. It also examines the specific case of women and children in the current world emergency context. It identifies four broad policy areas that affect women and children in disaster situations and discusses them with examples and field evidence. The first policy area addresses humanitarian assistance and armed conflicts, and armed conflict and international humanitarian law, the use of food as instrument of war, mines and civilian disability, and rape and sexual violence are discussed within this context. The second problem discussed is the issue of unaccompanied and abandoned children in terms of its magnitude and implications for relief response. Thirdly, the article examines the differential risks in emergencies for mortality and morbidity, specifically for women and children. Finally, it addresses certain policies and approaches to disaster rehabilitation which effectively mirror and reinforce inherent inequities in the affected society. The article notes that: (i) the largest proportion of disaster victims today arise from civil strife and food crises and that the majority of those killed, wounded and permanently disabled are women and children; and (ii) the ability of any country to respond effectively to disasters depends on the strength of its health and social infrastructure, and its overall developmental status. It concludes by identifying seven areas where concrete measures could be taken to improve the current situation.
OBJECTIVE: Ethiopian Government guidelines on nutritional survey data and relief provision call for intervention once mean weight-for-length (W/L) in an area falls below 90% of reference, on the basis that mortality is unlikely to rise until this level is reached. In this paper the appropriateness of the 90% cut-off is examined using data from Wolayita, southern Ethiopia. SURVEY DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: Fifteen to 25 villages are selected at random for survey each year, with all children 70-110 cm in length being followed up every 2 months. During the 3 years covered by these analyses 21,701 W/L measurements were made on 5455 children from 65 villages. 126 of the children died. RESULTS: In the first and third survey years, rapid declines in mean W/L were recorded, with mortality increasing very roughly three-fold (compared to year 2, P < 0.01), even though mean W/L remained at or above 90% of reference at all times. A logistic regression analysis relating mortality to W/L indicates that between 20% and 35% of the greater mortality in years 1 and 3 can be explained by the observed changes in W/L. The remainder occurred because of an increase in underlying or background risk (which might perhaps be expected in the circumstances of generally deteriorating nutritional status). CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that child mortality is likely to increase before area mean W/L falls to 90% of reference, indicating that emergency interventions should be triggered earlier than at present.