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Intensive diabetes treatment and cardiovascular disease in patients with type 1 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Intensive diabetes therapy aimed at achieving near normoglycemia reduces the risk of microvascular and neurologic complications of type 1 diabetes. We studied whether the use of intensive therapy as compared with conventional therapy during the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial (DCCT) affected the long-term incidence of cardiovascular disease. METHODS: The DCCT randomly assigned 1441 patients with type 1 diabetes to intensive or conventional therapy, treating them for a mean of 6.5 years between 1983 and 1993. Ninety-three percent were subsequently followed until February 1, 2005, during the observational Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications study. Cardiovascular disease (defined as nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, death from cardiovascular disease, confirmed angina, or the need for coronary-artery revascularization) was assessed with standardized measures and classified by an independent committee. RESULTS: During the mean 17 years of follow-up, 46 cardiovascular disease events occurred in 31 patients who had received intensive treatment in the DCCT, as compared with 98 events in 52 patients who had received conventional treatment. Intensive treatment reduced the risk of any cardiovascular disease event by 42 percent (95 percent confidence interval, 9 to 63 percent; P=0.02) and the risk of nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, or death from cardiovascular disease by 57 percent (95 percent confidence interval, 12 to 79 percent; P=0.02). The decrease in glycosylated hemoglobin values during the DCCT was significantly associated with most of the positive effects of intensive treatment on the risk of cardiovascular disease. Microalbuminuria and albuminuria were associated with a significant increase in the risk of cardiovascular disease, but differences between treatment groups remained significant (P< or =0.05) after adjusting for these factors. CONCLUSIONS: Intensive diabetes therapy has long-term beneficial effects on the risk of cardiovascular disease in patients with type 1 diabetes.

Adolescent↗

Hyperinsulinemia does not increase the risk of fatal cardiovascular disease in elderly men or women without diabetes: the Rancho Bernardo Study, 1984-1991.

The relation of fasting and 2-hour serum insulin to the risk for fatal cardiovascular disease was examined in men and women without diabetes. Between 1984 and 1987, 80% of all surviving local members of the Rancho Bernardo Study cohort had measures of insulin and glucose levels obtained before and after a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test. Over the next 5 years, there were 24 cardiovascular disease deaths among 538 men and 21 cardiovascular disease deaths among 705 women. Fasting insulin was unrelated to cardiovascular disease death in men or women; 2-hour insulin was significantly lower in men (but not in women) who died from cardiovascular disease. In men, a 1-standard deviation increase in 2-hour insulin was associated with a 36% reduction in cardiovascular disease mortality (p = 0.01). The significant inverse association of 2-hour insulin with cardiovascular disease death persisted in multiply adjusted models (relative hazard = 0.68; 95% confidence interval 0.47-0.96). Patterns were similar when the analysis was repeated, including men with non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus or heart disease at baseline. These findings were not explained by antihypertensive drug use or cigarette smoking. Hyperinsulinemia was not a risk factor for cardiovascular disease in these older men or women. The role of insulin as a cardiovascular disease risk factor requires further investigation.

Age Factors↗

Augmentation index is associated with cardiovascular risk.

OBJECTIVES: Augmentation index is a parameter measured by pulse wave analysis (PWA) and is used as a surrogate measure of arterial stiffness. The aim of this study was to assess whether augmentation index is associated with cardiovascular risk, as well as to evaluate whether the determinants of augmentation index are different in patients with cardiovascular disease compared to healthy subjects. DESIGN AND METHODS: We related augmentation index to risk scores in 216 subjects with or without a cardiovascular disease. Subjects without cardiovascular disease were classified according to the 'coronary risk chart' of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC), and those with cardiovascular disease were classified using the SMART (Second Manifestations of ARTerial disease) score and the EPOZ (Epidemiological Prevention study Of Zoetermeer) function. Augmentation index was derived by PWA using carotid applanation tonometry. Augmentation index was also correlated to age, blood pressure, heart rate, smoking history, cholesterol, height, body mass index and gender in subjects categorized as healthy or with cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: Augmentation index significantly increased with increasing risk scores (P < 0.0001) and was significantly correlated to cardiovascular risk (ESC: P < 0.0001; SMART: P < 0.0001; EPOZ: P < 0.0001). In subjects with and without cardiovascular disease, augmentation index was correlated with diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, height and gender. Age was found to be significantly correlated with augmentation index only in healthy subjects but not in those with atherosclerotic disease. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that augmentation index may be a useful marker of cardiovascular risk. Further studies are required to investigate the relationship between age and augmentation index in subjects with atherosclerotic disease.

Adult↗

Postmenopausal status and early menopause as independent risk factors for cardiovascular disease: a meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Loss of ovarian function and subsequent deficiency of endogenous estrogens is suggested to enhance cardiovascular disease risk and related death after menopause. The aim was to obtain valid estimates of the cardiovascular disease risk associated with postmenopausal status and early menopause. DESIGN: A literature search of observational studies was performed using PubMed and EMBASE (1966 to May 1, 2004). Eighteen studies on postmenopausal status and age at menopause in relation to cardiovascular disease were selected. Six studies investigated menopausal status, nine studies investigated menopausal age, and three studied both. General variance-based methods were used to pool relative risk estimates and corresponding 95% confidence intervals. Stratification was performed for study design, type of menopause, outcome, and adjustment for age and smoking. RESULTS: The pooled relative risk estimate for postmenopausal versus premenopausal status and cardiovascular disease was 1.36 (95% CI, 1.15-1.60). In the stratified analysis, the pooled effect was 0.96 (95% CI, 0.77-1.21) after controlling for age and smoking. The pooled effect of bilateral oophorectomy on cardiovascular disease was 2.62 (95% CI, 2.05-3.35). For early menopause and cardiovascular disease, with the menopausal age category containing 50 years as a reference, the pooled relative risk estimate was 1.25 (95% CI, 1.15-1.35). In the stratified analysis, the pooled effect was 1.38 (95% CI, 1.21-1.58) after controlling for age and smoking. The pooled effect of bilateral oophorectomy on cardiovascular disease was 4.55 (95% CI, 2.56-8.01). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, there was no convincing relationship between postmenopausal status and cardiovascular disease. However, there was a modest effect of early menopause on cardiovascular disease. The effect was more pronounced for women with an artificial menopause than for women with a natural menopause.

Age Factors↗

N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide predicted cardiovascular events stronger than high-sensitivity C-reactive protein in hypertension: a LIFE substudy.

BACKGROUND: N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) are cardiovascular risk markers in various populations, but are not well examined in hypertension. Therefore, we wanted to investigate whether high Nt-proBNP or hsCRP predicted the composite endpoint of cardiovascular death, non-fatal stroke or non-fatal myocardial infarction independently of traditional cardiovascular risk factors and the urine albumin: creatinine ratio (UACR), which is a well established cardiovascular risk factor in hypertension. METHODS: In 945 hypertensive patients from the LIFE study with electrocardiographic left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy, we measured traditional cardiovascular risk factors including electrocardiography, morning UACR, hsCRP by immunoturbidimetry assay and Nt-proBNP by immunoassay after 2 weeks of placebo treatment. During 55 months' follow-up 80 patients suffered a composite endpoint. RESULTS: HsCRP as well as Nt-proBNP above the median values of 3.0 mg/l and 170 pg/ml, respectively, was associated with a higher incidence of composite endpoint (13.1 versus 3.8%, P < 0.01, and 11.5 versus 5.4%, P < 0.01). In Cox regression analyses, standardized log(hsCRP)/SD predicted a composite endpoint [hazard ratio (HR) 1.3 per SD = 0.47 log(mg/l), P < 0.05] after adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, but not after further adjustment for UACR. Standardized log(Nt-proBNP)/SD predicted a composite endpoint after adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors [HR 1.9 per SD = 0.49 log(pg/ml), P < 0.05] as well as after further adjustment for UACR [HR 1.5 per SD = 0.49 log(pg/ml), P < 0.01]. Log(Nt-proBNP) added significantly to the Cox regression models using traditional cardiovascular risk factors with and without UACR (both P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Nt-proBNP predicted a composite endpoint after adjustment for traditional risk factors, UACR and a history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease and added significantly to the prediction of composite endpoint, whereas hsCRP did not.

Aged↗

Depressive symptoms as risk factor of cardiovascular mortality in older European men: the Finland, Italy and Netherlands Elderly (FINE) study.

BACKGROUND: Depressive symptoms have been suggested to increase the risk of cardiovascular diseases, but this may reflect reversed causality. We investigated to what extent depressive symptoms are a true risk factor for cardiovascular mortality in elderly men. DESIGN: The Finland, Italy and Netherlands Elderly (FINE) study is a prospective cohort study conducted in Finland, Italy and The Netherlands. METHODS: Depressive symptoms were measured with the Zung self-rating Depression Scale in 799 elderly men, aged 70-90 years, free from cardiovascular diseases. Using Cox models, hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated for specific cardiovascular mortality endpoints. The analyses were adjusted for potential confounders, stratified on country and repeated after exclusion of men who died from cardiovascular diseases up to 5 years after baseline. RESULTS: During 10-years of follow-up 224 (28%) men died from cardiovascular diseases. The adjusted hazard for a five-point increase in depressive symptoms was 1.15 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08-1.23] for cardiovascular mortality. This risk was stronger for mortality from stroke (HR 1.35; 95% CI 1.19-1.53) and heart failure (HR 1.16; 95% CI 1.00-1.35) in comparison with mortality from coronary heart disease (HR 1.08; 95% CI 0.97-1.20) and other degenerative heart diseases (HR 1.06; 95% CI 0.91-1.23). Exclusion of men who died from cardiovascular diseases within 5 years after baseline did not change the strength of the associations. There were no significant differences in HRs between northern and southern Europe. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides further and more convincing prospective evidence for depressive symptoms as a risk factor for cardiovascular mortality in elderly men.

Adult↗

Reduction of global cardiovascular risk with nutritional versus nutritional plus physical activity intervention in Colombian adults.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease is a major cause of morbidity/mortality in non-developed countries. Reports of the effects of non-pharmacological interventions on global cardiovascular risk in Latin American adults, however, are scarce. OBJECTIVE: To compare the change in global cardiovascular risk induced by a tailored, Adult Treatment Panel-III compliant nutrition program versus the same program with addition of supervised, regular physical activity in Colombian adults. DESIGN: The study was a randomized, controlled trial. METHODS: Seventy-five Colombian patients aged 40-70 years and with Framingham-estimated global cardiovascular risk of 1% or higher were randomly assigned to a nutritional intervention program or a combined nutritional intervention-physical exercise program for 16 weeks. Patients underwent medical and anthropometric evaluation, bioelectrical impedance, lipid profile and Framingham global cardiovascular risk determination at baseline and at the end of follow-up. RESULTS: The groups were comparable at baseline; 21 persons in the nutritional intervention program group and 27 in the nutritional intervention-physical exercise program group completed the follow-up. Global cardiovascular risk modification (mean+/-SE) was -2.04+/-1.1 absolute percentage points (relative reduction 19.6%) in the nutritional intervention-physical exercise program group, compared with 0.23+/-0.9 (relative increase 2.8%) in the nutritional intervention program group. Mean difference in global cardiovascular risk modification between groups reached borderline statistical significance in ANCOVA (P=0.054). Reductions in systolic and diastolic blood pressure, waist circumference and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were similar, but the nutritional intervention-physical exercise program group achieved significantly greater improvements in body weight, body mass index, percentage body fat and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that a structured nutritional intervention-physical exercise program is more efficacious than a nutritional intervention program in the reduction of global cardiovascular risk and cardiovascular risk factors, in only 16 weeks.

Adult↗

Cardiovascular risk factors may moderate pharmacological treatment effects in major depressive disorder.

OBJECTIVE: An increased association between depression and cardiovascular disease, as well as cardiovascular risk factors, led to the "vascular depression" hypothesis. This subtype of depression is postulated to have a different clinical presentation and to be more treatment-resistant. In this study, we measured the impact of cardiovascular risk factors on the outcome of antidepressant treatment in major depressive disorder (MDD). METHOD: We enrolled 348 MDD subjects, ages 19 to 65 years, in an 8-week treatment study with 20 mg fluoxetine per day. We recorded for each subject 6 cardiovascular risk factors: age (male > or =45, female > or =55), smoking, family history, hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia; and we defined a cardiovascular risk score (range, 0-6) by the number of risk factors present. Treatment outcome was measured as response (> or =50% improvement on the 17-item Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression [Ham-D-17]) and remission (final Ham-D-17< or =7). RESULTS: In logistic regression analyses, the cardiovascular risk score was significantly associated with treatment nonresponse and lack of remission when adjusting for age of onset of MDD and baseline severity of depression. The cardiovascular risk score remained significantly associated with treatment nonresponse when we additionally controlled for overall medical burden (measured with the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale). Among individual cardiovascular risk factors, elevated total cholesterol was a significant predictor of treatment nonresponse and lack of remission. CONCLUSION: Cardiovascular risk factors may have negative effects on the course of treatment in MDD. These results support the concept of "vascular depression" in younger subjects.

Adolescent↗

Decreased renal function is a strong risk factor for cardiovascular death after renal transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease is thought to be a potential risk factor for cardiovascular death. In renal-allograft recipients, cardiovascular disease is the most significant cause of death. The purpose of this study was to investigate if renal function has a significant role in determining the risk for cardiovascular death in renal-allograft recipients. METHODS: We analyzed 58,900 adult patients registered in the United States Renal Data System who received a primary renal transplant between 1988 and 1998 and who had at least 1 year of graft survival. The primary study endpoint was death from a cardiovascular event beyond 1 year of transplantation. Secondary endpoints were death caused by infections and malignancy-related deaths. Cox proportional-hazard models were used to estimate the effect of renal function on cardiovascular death, infectious death, and malignancy-related death while correcting for potential confounding variables, such as donor and recipient age, gender, race, cause of end-stage renal disease, length of dialysis before transplantation, year of transplantation, donor source and age, delayed graft function, and immunosuppressive regimen. RESULTS: Serum creatinine values at 1 year after transplantation were strongly associated with the risk for cardiovascular death. Above a serum creatinine value of 1.5 mg/dL, there was a significant and progressive increase in the risk for cardiovascular death. The risk of cardiovascular death was significantly higher when patients who lost allograft function were included in the analysis. There was an association between worsening renal function and infectious death, but there was no association between renal function and malignancy-related death. CONCLUSION: Serum creatinine at 1 year is strongly associated with the incidence of cardiovascular death independent of known risk factors.

Cardiovascular Diseases↗

Glycated hemoglobin as a marker of cardiovascular risk.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Diabetes mellitus is an established risk factor for cardiovascular disease. This review examines glycated hemoglobin, an indicator of long-term average blood glucose concentrations, in risk prediction for cardiovascular disease. RECENT FINDINGS: Glycated hemoglobin concentrations predict cardiovascular disease risk in people with diabetes, and trial data suggest that good blood glucose control is associated with reduction in cardiovascular disease. Elevated glycated hemoglobin levels below the thresholds accepted for diabetes are also associated with increasing cardiovascular disease risk independent of classical risk factors in a continuous relationship across the whole normal distribution. A 1% increase in absolute concentrations of glycated hemoglobin is associated with about 10-20% increase in cardiovascular disease risk. The continuous relationship is most evident for coronary heart disease in men; the shape of the risk curve is less clear for women and for other cardiovascular endpoints such as stroke or peripheral vascular disease. SUMMARY: Glycated hemoglobin concentration predicts cardiovascular risk both in people with diabetes and in the general population, and may help identify individuals at higher risk of cardiovascular disease for targeted interventions, including blood pressure or cholesterol reduction. Understanding the nature of this relationship may inform new preventive and therapeutic interventions.

Biomarkers↗

Cardiovascular function and glucocorticoid replacement in patients with hypopituitarism.

OBJECTIVE: Retrospective analysis suggests an increased mortality from cardiovascular disease in hypopituitary adults; GH deficiency has been postulated to account for this. However, glucocorticoid replacement doses of 30 mg/day of hydrocortisone (HC) may be excessive, and could therefore be implicated in the increased cardiovascular mortality in this group of patients. The aims of this study were to establish whether patients with hypopituitarism have any abnormalities of the cardiovascular system compared to a control group and whether any of these parameters might be improved by reducing the replacement dose of glucocorticoid. PATIENTS AND MEASUREMENTS: A prospective analysis of cardiovascular function was carried out in 13 patients with hypopituitarism on routine replacement therapy and 20 normal controls who were matched for age and body mass index (BMI). Twenty-four-hour ambulatory blood pressure (BP), erect and supine BP, echocardiography, forearm plethysmography and cardiovascular reflexes in response to tilt, Valsalva and isometric hand grip were performed on controls and on patients taking 30 mg/day of HC and repeated following a reduction in HC dose to 15 mg/day for 3 months. Weight, plasma and urinary electrolytes, 24-hour urinary cortisol excretion, glucose, HbA1C and pituitary function were also assessed on HC 30 mg/day and 15 mg/day. RESULTS: Mean 24-hour ambulatory BP, in addition to day and night time BP, was lower in patients than in controls (achieving statistical significance in the male subgroup) and did not change significantly with a reduction in HC dose. Erect and supine BP was also lower in patients compared to controls and there was no evidence of postural hypotension following a reduction in HC dose to 15 mg/day. Systolic and diastolic left ventricular dimensions, interventricular septal thickness, ejection fraction and fractional shortening were similar in controls and patients and did not alter with a reduction in HC dose. Systolic and diastolic BP and heart rate responded appropriately to all tests of cardiovascular reflexes (tilt, Valsalva and isometric handgrip) in hypopituitary patients though again measurements of systolic BP were significantly lower in patients during these tests, independent of HC dose. Forearm plethysmography was similar in patients receiving 30 mg of HC and controls but forearm blood flow increased significantly when the HC dose was reduced to 15 mg/day. There was no change in weight, plasma and urinary electrolytes, glucose and HbA1C or pituitary function in the patient group throughout the study. CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to other studies we have failed to confirm cardiovascular dysfunction in GH deficient hypopituitary adults. Indeed, cardiovascular protection may be conferred on this group by the lower BP levels. Although a reduction in hydrocortisone dose was well tolerated in all patients, it appeared to confer no additional clinical benefit over the 3-month study period. In view of the conflicting data on cardiovascular function in hypopituitary patients, further prospective mortality studies are required in patients with adult GH deficiency.

Adult↗

The metabolic syndrome as a link between smoking and cardiovascular disease.

OBJECTIVE: Smoking is associated with a significant increase in the cardiovascular risk. The possible relationship of smoking with insulin resistance might further enhance the cardiovascular risk of the patients and is therefore of great clinical interest. DESIGN, SETTING AND SUBJECTS: We have retrospectively evaluated data of 3804 non-diabetic men attending a medical outdoor clinic. Clinical [body mass index (BMI), percentage of body fat, waist-to-hip ratio] and laboratory results were compared between smokers (n = 124) and non-smokers (n = 1915) without cardiovascular disease, as well as between smokers (n = 759) and non-smokers (n = 1006) with cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: Smokers without clinically manifest cardiovascular disease revealed significantly higher fasting glucose (5.8 +/- 0.6 mmol/l) and triglyceride levels (1.8 +/- 0.9 mmol/l) than non-smokers (fasting glucose: 5.1 +/- 0.7 mmol/l, p < 0.010; triglycerides: 1.5 +/- 0.8 mmol/l, p < 0.030). The adverse metabolic profile of smokers was even more pronounced in patients with cardiovascular disease. An age-matched analysis of smokers could demonstrate that cardiovascular patients revealed higher BMI values (27.3 +/- 2.4 kg/m2) and a higher percentage of body fat (25.5 +/- 5.5%) than those without cardiovascular disease (BMI: 25.7 +/- 2.2 kg/m2, p < 0.010; percentage of body fat: 23.0 +/- 5.5%, p < 0.030). CONCLUSION: In men with and without clinically manifest cardiovascular disease, smoking was associated with a metabolic profile indicating a higher degree of insulin resistance.

Adult↗

The links between diabetes and cardiovascular disease.

The aim of this study was to review current studies relevant to the link between impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. Cardiovascular disease is a major cause of the reduction in life expectancy in patients with diabetes. Seventy-five percent of diabetic patients die prematurely of cardiovascular complications. Both prediabetes and diabetes highly pre-dispose to cardiovascular alterations. IGT and even the upper-normal of nondiabetic glucose values are associated with an increased cardiovascular risk. The risk of heart disease is increased up to 15 years prior diagnosis of diabetes. Patients with chronic or acute cardiovascular disease and no previous diagnosis of diabetes frequently present with either IGT or diabetes. Patients with cardiovascular disease and no previous diagnosis of diabetes need to be screened for diabetes with an oral glucose tolerance test. In acute coronary syndromes, lowering glucose levels to the near-normal range with insulin is highly beneficial. Early and rigorous improvement of metabolic control is highly supportive in improving the cardiovascular outcome in patients with dysglycemia. Preventive treatment strategies, which include multiple approaches, are required to overcome the burden of cardiovascular disease in diabetes and IGT.

Cardiovascular Diseases↗

Serum sialic acid concentration and cardiovascular mortality.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether serum sialic acid concentration may be used to predict short and long term cardiovascular mortality. DESIGN: Prospective study on all men and women who had their serum sialic acid concentration measured as part of a general health survey in 1964 or in 1965. All were followed up for an average of 20.5 years. SETTING: Geographical part of the county of Värmland, Sweden. SUBJECTS: Residents in the area participating in a health check up in 1964-5 (27,065 men and 28,037 women), of whom 372 men (169 with incomplete data and 203 lost to follow up) and 345 women (143 and 202 respectively) were excluded; thus 26,693 men and 27,692 women entered the study. The study sample was restricted to subjects aged 40-74 during any of the 20 years' follow up. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Serum sialic acid concentration, serum cholesterol concentration, diastolic blood pressure, body mass index at the general health survey visit; cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular deaths during three periods of follow up (0-6 years, 7-13 years, and 14-20 years), according to the Swedish mortality register, in subjects aged 45-74. RESULTS: Mean serum sialic acid concentration (mg/100 ml) was 68.8 (SD 8.0) for men and 69.2 (8.0) for women; the average concentration increasing with age in both sexes. A total of 5639 (21%) men and 3307 (12%) women died during the follow up period, in whom death in 3052 (54%) men and 1368 (41%) women was from cardiovascular causes. During short (0-6 years), medium (7-13 years), and long (14-20 years) term follow up the relative risk of death from cardiovascular disease increased with increasing serum sialic acid concentration. The relative risk (95% confidence interval) associated with the highest quartile of sialic acid concentration compared with the lowest quartile was 2.38 (2.01 to 2.83) in men and 2.62 (1.93 to 3.57) in women. Similar results were found for deaths from non-cardiovascular disease with relative risks of 1.50 (1.34 to 2.68) in men and 1.89 (1.57 to 2.28) in women, but these relative risks were significantly lower than those for deaths from cardiovascular disease (p less than 0.001 and p less than 0.005 respectively). In multivariate analysis of total mortality and of cardiovascular mortality with sialic acid concentration, serum cholesterol concentration, diastolic blood pressure, and body mass index as independent variables the impact of sialic acid concentration was virtually the same as in univariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Serum sialic acid concentration is a strong predictor of cardiovascular mortality. A possible explanation of these findings is that the serum sialic acid concentration may reflect the existence or the activity of an atherosclerotic process, and this may warrant further investigation.

Adult↗

Folate and vitamin B-12 and risk of fatal cardiovascular disease: cohort study from Busselton, Western Australia.

OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that the incidence of fatal coronary heart disease and cardiovascular disease in a general population is related to serum and red cell folate and vitamin B-12 concentrations. DESIGN: Cohort study with follow up of 29 years. SETTING: Busselton, Western Australia. PARTICIPANTS: 1419 men and 1531 women aged 20 to 90 years, who were alive more than three years after their participation in the 1969 Busselton health survey. 2314 (78.4%) had no cardiovascular disease at the initial survey. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hazard ratios for fatal coronary heart disease and cardiovascular disease in men and women according to baseline concentrations of serum and red cell folate and serum vitamin B-12. RESULTS: 213 men and 159 women died from coronary heart disease, and 342 men and 302 women died from cardiovascular disease. Serum and red cell folate concentrations showed a moderate positive correlation (r=0.26, P<0.001) but otherwise serum and red cell folate and serum B-12 concentrations were not strongly correlated with each other or with other standard risk factors. After age and standard risk factors were adjusted for, there was no independent association between folate and B-12 concentrations and death from coronary heart disease or cardiovascular disease in the full cohort or the subcohort with no cardiovascular disease at baseline. The multivariate adjusted hazard ratio for death from cardiovascular disease in the lowest versus the highest category of red cell folate concentration was 1.05 (95% confidence interval 0.77 to 1.43) in men and 1.10 (0.81 to 1.51) in women. CONCLUSIONS: These findings do not support the hypothesis that lower folate and B-12 concentrations increase the risk of fatal cardiovascular disease in a general population. The routine use of these vitamins for preventing cardiovascular disease should await evidence from clinical trials.

Adult↗

Clinical value of the metabolic syndrome for long term prediction of total and cardiovascular mortality: prospective, population based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To find out if the presence of the metabolic syndrome increases the risk of subsequent total and cardiovascular mortality, taking into account established risk factors for cardiovascular disease. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: General population. PARTICIPANTS: A community based sample of 2322 men followed since 1970 for a maximum of 32.7 years, investigated at ages 50 and 70. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The relations of the metabolic syndrome defined by the national cholesterol education programme (NCEP) of the US National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute or criteria of the World Health Organization (WHO) to subsequent total and cardiovascular mortality. RESULTS: When adding the metabolic syndrome to models with established risk factors for cardiovascular disease (smoking, diabetes, hypertension, and serum cholesterol) at age 50, presence of the metabolic syndrome as defined in the NCEP significantly predicted total and cardiovascular mortality (Cox proportional hazard ratios 1.36, 95% confidence interval 1.17 to 1.58; and 1.59, 1.29 to 1.95, respectively). The metabolic syndrome added prognostic information to that of the established risk factors for cardiovascular disease (likelihood ratio tests, P < 0.0001 for both outcomes). Similar results were obtained in a subsample without diabetes or manifest cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: In a large, community based sample of middle aged men, the presence of the metabolic syndrome according to the definition of the NCEP gave long term prognostic information regarding total and cardiovascular mortality if the status of established risk factors for cardiovascular disease was known. If confirmed this may indicate clinical value in diagnosing the metabolic syndrome.

Aged↗

Adding social deprivation and family history to cardiovascular risk assessment: the ASSIGN score from the Scottish Heart Health Extended Cohort (SHHEC).

OBJECTIVE: To improve equity in cardiovascular disease prevention by developing a cardiovascular risk score including social deprivation and family history. DESIGN: The ASSIGN score was derived from cardiovascular outcomes in the Scottish Heart Health Extended Cohort (SHHEC). It was tested against the Framingham cardiovascular risk score in the same database. SETTING: Random-sample, risk-factor population surveys across Scotland 1984-87 and North Glasgow 1989, 1992 and 1995. PARTICIPANTS: 6540 men and 6757 women aged 30-74, initially free of cardiovascular disease, ranked for social deprivation by residence postcode using the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) and followed for cardiovascular mortality and morbidity through 2005. RESULTS: Classic risk factors, including cigarette dosage, plus deprivation and family history but not obesity, were significant factors in constructing ASSIGN scores for each sex. ASSIGN scores, lower on average, correlated closely with Framingham values for 10-year cardiovascular risk. Discrimination of risk in the SHHEC population was significantly, but marginally, improved overall by ASSIGN. However, the social gradient in cardiovascular event rates was inadequately reflected by the Framingham score, leaving a large social disparity in future victims not identified as high risk. ASSIGN classified more people with social deprivation and positive family history as high risk, anticipated more of their events, and abolished this gradient. CONCLUSION: Conventional cardiovascular scores fail to target social gradients in disease. By including unattributed risk from deprivation, ASSIGN shifts preventive treatment towards the socially deprived. Family history is valuable not least as an approach to ethnic susceptibility. ASSIGN merits further evaluation for clinical use.

Adult↗

Is cardiovascular disease a risk factor in the development of axonal polyneuropathy?

OBJECTIVES: To determine if cardiovascular disease may be a risk factor in the development of chronic idiopathic axonal polyneuropathy (CIAP). METHODS: In this incidence case-control study, the prevalence of cardiovascular disease and risk factors in 97 patients with CIAP (mean age 67.5 (SD 7.9) years) and the prevalence of neuropathic features in 97 patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) (mean age 67.1 (SD 7.3) years) were investigated. The results were compared with those for 96 age and sex matched controls without diagnosed PAD or polyneuropathy (mean age 67.5 (SD 9.1) years). In a randomly chosen subgroup of 23 patients with CIAP, 42 patients with PAD, and 48 controls, an electrodiagnostic investigation was performed. RESULTS: Patients with CIAP more often had manifest cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular risk factors than controls (stroke 18% v 6% of patients, odds ratio (OR) 3.2 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8 to 5.9); heart disease 29% v 15%, OR 2.4 (95% CI 1.2 to 4.9); family history of cardiovascular disease 42% v 21%, OR 2.8 (95% CI (1.5 to 5.2); hypertension 56% v 39%, OR 2.0 (95% CI 1.1 to 3.6); hypercholesterolaemia 46% v 21%, OR 3.3 (95% CI 1.5 to 7.3); current smoking 38% v 23%, OR 2.1 (95% CI 1.1 to 3.9)). The prevalence of cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular risk factors was lower than in patients with PAD. Patients with PAD more often had polyneuropathy than controls (15% v 5%, OR 3.3 (95% CI 1.1 to 10.0)). There was a trend towards lower nerve conduction velocities and lower amplitudes on electrodiagnostic investigation compared with controls. CONCLUSION: This study shows that cardiovascular disease and CIAP often coexist, and therefore cardiovascular disease may be a cofactor in the development of CIAP.

Aged↗