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PubMed1997

Understanding the state variation in Medicare home health care. The impact of Medicaid program characteristics, state policy, and provider attributes.

OBJECTIVES: During the past 7 years there has been a significant increase in the use of the Medicare home health benefit. In this article, the authors document trends in the use of the benefit and develop multivariate models to identify the factors that explain state variation in its use. METHODS: To develop quantitative models, the authors collected state information on all variables for each of 3 years: 1991, 1992, and 1993. The authors chose to focus on those variables that had been found to be significant in other research as well as those that we posited would likely influence utilization. The authors tested similar sets of explanatory variables for each year of the analysis. The unit of analysis is the "state" and depending on data availability, the number of states included in the analyses range from between 46 to 49. (Arizona does not have a state Medicaid program.) RESULTS: The authors' analysis shows that interaction exists between state policies and use of the benefit. Utilization is higher in states that face greater fiscal pressure concerning their Medicaid budgets; the lack of state personal care programs increases Medicare use, and, when Medicaid home health expenditures decline, the number of Medicare home health care users increases. There is also an inverse relationship between the number of long-term care and skilled nursing facilities in a state and the use of the benefit. Thus, for some, the benefit serves as a substitute for long-term care needs and, for others, for postacute care needs. CONCLUSIONS: The overlap between the population served and the services provided by state programs and Medicare has given states and providers an opportunity to leverage Federal dollars in lieu of state program dollars. As the Federal government attempts to control expenditure growth, policy-makers must be mindful of how state actions can influence the level and type of Federal expenditure.

Aged↗
PubMed2002

Comparing oral health care utilization estimates in the United States across three nationally representative surveys.

OBJECTIVE: To compare estimates of dental visits among adults using three national surveys. DATA SOURCES/STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional data from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), and National Health Expenditure surveys (NMCES, NMES, MEPS). STUDY DESIGN: This secondary data analysis assessed whether overall estimates and stratum-specific trends are different across surveys. DATA COLLECTION: Dental visit data are age standardized via the direct method to the 1990 population of the United States. Point estimates, standard errors, and test statistics are generated using SUDAAN. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Sociodemographic, stratum-specific trends are generally consistent across surveys; however, overall estimates differ (NHANES III [364-day estimate] versus 1993 NHIS: -17.5 percent difference, Z = 7.27, p value < 0.001; NHANES III [365-day estimate] vs. 1993 NHIS: 5.4 percent difference, Z = -2.50, p value = 0.006; MEPS vs. 1993 NHIS: -29.8 percent difference, Z = 16.71, p value < 0.001). MEPS is the least susceptible to intrusion, telescoping, and social desirability. CONCLUSIONS: Possible explanations for discrepancies include different reference periods, lead-in statements, question format, and social desirability of responses. Choice of survey should depend on the hypothesis. If trends are necessary, choice of survey should not matter however, if health status or expenditure associations are necessary, then surveys that contain these variables should be used, and if accurate overall estimates are necessary, then MEPS should be used. A validation study should be conducted to establish "true" utilization estimates.

Adult↗
PubMed1992

Reforming the Swedish health services: the international context.

This article reviews the performance of Swedish health services in the international context. It notes that Sweden stands out as a country which has made a major commitment to the welfare state. Nowhere is this more evident than in the health services. Expenditure on health care is high by international standards and over 90% of expenditure derives from public sources. Despite Sweden's achievement in providing comprehensive health care to its population, a number of problems have emerged in recent years. In response to these problems, there has been a debate about options for reform. It is suggested that management reforms may offer the best way forward in improving the performance of health services. Policy makers should take advantage of the decentralised nature of the Swedish system to initiate and evaluate different reforms in different county councils.

Canada↗
PubMed2002

The impact of ageing on expenditures in the National Health Service.

BACKGROUND: health policy makers in many countries have expressed concern over the pressures that increased numbers of older people will exert on health care costs. Previous studies have shown that, in addition to increasing size of older populations, per capita expenditures have risen disproportionately among the old compared to the middle age groups. Documentation of such trends is essential for more accurate projection of health expenditures. OBJECTIVE: we examined detailed national age-specific expenditure trends for England and Wales, comparing findings with Canada, Japan, and Australia. METHODS: we obtained total health expenditures for each age group from the UK Department of Health for time periods 1985-87 to 1996-99. We examined changes in age-specific per capita expenditure, population demographics, and the allocation of national expenditures to the different age groups. We then determined the association of changes in population, age structure, and age-specific per capita expenditure to increases in national health care expenditure for England and Wales, comparing results to Canada, Japan, and Australia. RESULTS: per capita health expenditures in England and Wales increased by 8% for ages 65 and over, compared to 31% for ages 5-64. Hence the proportion of total expenditures allocated to the population aged 65 and over decreased from 40% to 35%, a trend most noticeable for non-acute hospital costs. Demographic shifts and population growth accounted for only 18% of the observed increases in health care expenditures in England and Wales, compared to 68%, 44%, and 34% in Japan, Canada, and Australia respectively. CONCLUSIONS: in contrast to other countries, England and Wales had slower rises in per capita costs and a decreasing proportion of national expenditures allocated to older people. These differences invite future research into the actual demand drivers of these costs.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1993

An overview of health care systems: Canada and selected OECD countries.

This article presents an overview of health care systems in Canada and selected OECD countries (Australia, France, Finland, Germany, Sweden, the United States and the United Kingdom). The article discusses the organization of health care systems, health care expenditure, the availability and utilization of health services, and the health status of the population. In addition, it highlights and compares key health care indicators that are common to all health care systems. The article focuses on the relationship between health expenditure and health status in terms of life expectancy and infant mortality and shows that the United States had the highest infant mortality and second lowest life expectancy for females at birth in 1990 while it spent the most on health care as percentage of GDP. The article also shows that the overall health status indicators in some countries such as Finland and Sweden are comparable to that of Canada despite spending considerably less on health care.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Alcohol interventions for trauma patients treated in emergency departments and hospitals: a cost benefit analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if brief alcohol interventions in trauma centers reduce health care costs. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Alcohol-use disorders are the leading cause of injury. Brief interventions in trauma patients reduce subsequent alcohol intake and injury recidivism but have not yet been widely implemented. METHODS: This was a cost-benefit analysis. The study population consisted of injured patients treated in an emergency department or admitted to a hospital. The analysis was restricted to direct injury-related medical costs only so that it would be most meaningful to hospitals, insurers, and government agencies responsible for health care costs. Underlying assumptions used to arrive at future benefits, including costs, injury rates, and intervention effectiveness, were derived from published nationwide databases, epidemiologic, and clinical trial data. Model parameters were examined with 1-way sensitivity analyses, and the cost-benefit ratio was calculated. Monte Carlo analysis was used to determine the strategy-selection confidence intervals. RESULTS: An estimated 27% of all injured adult patients are candidates for a brief alcohol intervention. The net cost savings of the intervention was 89 US dollars per patient screened, or 330 US dollars for each patient offered an intervention. The benefit in reduced health expenditures resulted in savings of 3.81 US dollars for every 1.00 US dollar spent on screening and intervention. This finding was robust to various assumptions regarding probability of accepting an intervention, cost of screening and intervention, and risk of injury recidivism. Monte Carlo simulations found that offering a brief intervention would save health care costs in 91.5% of simulated runs. If interventions were routinely offered to eligible injured adult patients nationwide, the potential net savings could approach 1.82 billion US dollars annually. CONCLUSIONS: Screening and brief intervention for alcohol problems in trauma patients is cost-effective and should be routinely implemented.

Alcoholism↗
PubMed1995

The cost escalation of social health insurance plans in China: its implication for public policy.

China has been alarmed by its rapid rise in health care expenditures of social health insurance schemes. The health care expenditure per person for the 155 million people covered by the Chinese social insurance plans has been rising at an accelerative rate. We analyze why health care cost in China has risen, and show how other nations may benefit from this experience. The annual rate of increase in health expenditure per capita was only 3.1% during 1952 to 1978, the average rate rose to 8.2% during 1978 to 1985 and then 24.4% during 1985 to 1989. We found general inflation explained one-half of the high rates of increase between 1985-1989. Although China introduced patients co-payments in 1985, the residual expenditure per capita (after adjusting for general inflation and aging of the beneficiaries) increased at 7.4% per year due to the adoption of new technology, uses of more expensive drugs and increased quality of services. While we found the expenditure increases in China were largely caused by uncontrollable factors such as general inflation and aging of the population, we also found the change in Chinese hospital financing and payment policy caused rapid adoption of high-tech medicine and abusive usage of more expensive drugs which largely explained the annual increases in expenditures of 7.4% between 1985-1989. Chinese experience also shows that demand strategy (co-payment by patients) had very little effect to contain cost escalation.

China↗
PubMed1989

Towards an epidemiology of political violence in the Third World.

Political violence is distressingly widespread in many parts of the world. This paper reviews the forms and effects of political violence and devotes particular attention to experiences from Central America and Southern Africa. The forms of violence vary from those which are extensive such as civil unrest and war, to those which are intensive, such as assassinations, disappearances and torture. The effects of violence on health may be direct, such as deaths, disabilities, psychological stress and the destruction of health services, or indirect such as the erosion of innovative health policies in favour of increased military expenditure. Health workers have a role to play in opposing political violence, providing care for those affected by violence, and documenting and analysing its impact on health. Research needs include documenting the impact of different forms of violence on health, and analysing the social and political factors which promote and support political violence. It is hoped that increasing recognition of political violence and man-made violence as being of major public health concern will play a part in promoting a more peaceful world.

Developing Countries↗
PubMed2001

Challenges in identifying genetic variation affecting susceptibility to type 2 diabetes: examples from studies of the calpain-10 gene.

Type 2 diabetes is a classic example of a complex disorder. It is strongly familial, but clearly arises as a consequence of the actions and interactions of many genetic and non-genetic factors. Type 2 diabetes is a common disorder, affecting 16 million Americans. It has a major impact on public health expenditures with more than 1 in 10 health care dollars spent on treating diabetes and its complications. Although a variety of therapies can be useful in treatment of type 2 diabetes, we remain sufficiently ignorant of the genetic risk factors to believe that identifying them will lead to better understanding of the primary physiology of the disorder, as well as to more specific and effective therapies. Moreover, identification of genetic risk factors may improve our ability to characterize more specific non-genetic risk factors for this disease that could be the targets for cost-effective prevention strategies. This manuscript reviews the challenges we face in moving from the linkage mapping of susceptibility genes for type 2 diabetes toward the identification of the genetic variation that actually affects risk to this disorder. I illustrate many of the challenges in designing, conducting and interpreting these studies by reviewing recent research conducted on the calpain-10 gene, implicated in positional cloning studies as a candidate gene for type 2 diabetes.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1996

Issues in casemix funding for acute inpatient psychiatric services and their relevance to mental health nursing.

With increased recognition by government, health administrators, and clinicians of the need to simultaneously contain health expenditure, improve the productivity and efficiency of health services and maintain quality of patient care, applications of casemix funding have been advocated as an alternative means of financing acute hospital care. Currently in Australia, the Commonwealth's casemix development program is encouraging the States and Territories to participate in certain casemix initiatives. Acute psychiatric hospital care and treatment have been excluded from the initial stages of the implementation of casemix in recognition of a number of inherent obstacles or challenges affecting the utility and accuracy of casemix in funding the psychiatric sector. Despite anecdotal claims that the reduced length of stay that often occurs under casemix payment systems may negatively impact upon the quality of care and patient outcomes, to date little empirical research has been directed towards measuring the potential impact of psychiatric casemix on the quality of patient care. Psychiatry cannot afford to ignore the casemix debate on account of its current exclusion from the early phases of implementation. To do so is to run the risk of having casemix imposed at some later stage in the absence of consultation. In the meantime it is vital that mental health professionals, including nurses, participate in the development and implementation of casemix, and contribute to research aimed at increasing or maximizing the relevance of casemix to the funding of psychiatric services.

Australia↗
PubMed1999

Current and projected annual direct costs of screening asymptomatic men for prostate cancer using prostate-specific antigen.

BACKGROUND: Concern over the cost of screening for asymptomatic prostate cancer by means of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing has played an important role in PSA screening policy. However, little is known about the true costs of current PSA screening in Canada and how costs may change in the future. METHODS: The authors performed a cost identification study from the perspective of provincial ministries of health. They used data from published reports, hospital discharge data, claims data from several provinces, a laboratory survey, a national survey of knowledge, attitudes and beliefs about screening, a provincial cancer registry and expert opinion to estimate current first-year screening costs. Using demographic data from Statistics Canada and various scenarios regarding changes in screening patterns, the authors derived estimates of the future costs of PSA screening. RESULTS: In 1995 PSA screening cost an estimated $45 million (range $40 million to $84 million). Treatment accounted for over 61% of total costs, whereas screening, diagnosis and staging accounted for 35%. Screening all eligible men in Canada in 1995 would have cost $317 million (range $356 million to $691 million), more than the costs of all prostate cancer care in that year. Annual recurrent screening for all eligible men in 2005 would cost $219 million (range $208 million to $412 million). Projections from existing trends suggest that annual costs of PSA screening in 2000 are likely to increase from the estimated $45 million to approximately $66 million (range $59 million to $126 million). INTERPRETATION: PSA screening is costly, but even universal screening would consume a smaller share of national health expenditures than previous studies have suggested. Costs attributable to PSA screening may increase in the future owing to changes in utilization patterns and demographic shifts.

Aged↗
PubMed2000

Expenditure on mental health care by English health authorities: a potential cause of inequity.

BACKGROUND: The York resource allocation formula includes a calculation of the amount needed to purchase mental health services equitably in each health authority in England. However, the amount which is actually spent on services is at the discretion of the authority. AIMS: To compare expenditure on mental health services with allocation, and test the hypothesis that differences between them are to the disadvantage of services in deprived areas. METHOD: A comparison of routine expenditure and allocation data, and linear regression modelling of the ratio of expenditure to allocation. RESULTS: The ratio of expenditure to allocation varies widely. Relative underspending occurs more frequently in deprived areas, although not in the four inner-London health authorities. CONCLUSIONS: The intentions of the York formula are not achieved in practice. The implications of the formula for mental health should be made explicit to health authorities, and shortfalls in mental health expenditure relative to allocation should be justified at a local level.

Costs and Cost Analysis↗
PubMed1995

Health care costs: market forces and reform.

The cry for health care reform has diminished somewhat. Nevertheless, more changes are forthcoming. For the foreseeable future, health care will demand a rising share of resources. Earlier estimates put the proportion of health expenditures to Gross Domestic Product at almost 17% by the year 2000. Although there is no magic number regarding this proportion, its relative level in the United States strongly suggests that changes need to take place. It would appear that the population prefers that changes be instituted through the private sector, and not through extensive government involvement and regulation.

Health Care Costs↗
PubMed2003

Excess winter mortality in Europe: a cross country analysis identifying key risk factors.

OBJECTIVE: Much debate remains regarding why certain countries experience dramatically higher winter mortality. Potential causative factors other than cold exposure have rarely been analysed. Comparatively less research exists on excess winter deaths in southern Europe. Multiple time series data on a variety of risk factors are analysed against seasonal-mortality patterns in 14 European countries to identify key relations Subjects and setting: Excess winter deaths (all causes), 1988-97, EU-14. DESIGN: Coefficients of seasonal variation in mortality are calculated for EU-14 using monthly mortality data. Comparable, longitudinal datasets on risk factors pertaining to climate, macroeconomy, health care, lifestyle, socioeconomics, and housing were also obtained. Poisson regression identifies seasonality relations over time. RESULTS: Portugal suffers from the highest rates of excess winter mortality (28%, CI=25% to 31%) followed jointly by Spain (21%, CI=19% to 23%), and Ireland (21%, CI=18% to 24%). Cross country variations in mean winter environmental temperature (regression coefficient (beta)=0.27), mean winter relative humidity (beta=0.54), parity adjusted per capita national income (beta=1.08), per capita health expenditure (beta=-1.19), rates of income poverty (beta=-0.47), inequality (beta=0.97), deprivation (beta=0.11), and fuel poverty (beta=0.44), and several indicators of residential thermal standards are found to be significantly related to variations in relative excess winter mortality at the 5% level. The strong, positive relation with environmental temperature and strong negative relation with thermal efficiency indicate that housing standards in southern and western Europe play strong parts in such seasonality. CONCLUSIONS: High seasonal mortality in southern and western Europe could be reduced through improved protection from the cold indoors, increased public spending on health care, and improved socioeconomic circumstances resulting in more equitable income distribution.

Climate↗
PubMed2006

Osteoporotic fractures in older adults.

Osteoporotic fractures are emerging as a major public health problem in the aging population. Fractures result in increased morbidity, mortality and health expenditures. This article reviews current evidence for the management of common issues following osteoporotic fractures in older adults including: (1) thromboembolism prevention; (2) delirium prevention; (3) pain management; (4) rehabilitation; (5) assessing the cause of fracture; and (6) prevention of subsequent fractures. Areas for practice improvement and further research are highlighted.

Aged↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Forecasting the economic future of medical care ... and, forecasting for your department.

The growth of health-care spending in the United States depends more upon macroeconomic changes in personal income and inflation than upon changes in health-care reimbursement or regulations. Good forecasts for the next 4 years can be made using information available today. The outlook is for continued real growth of about 5% annually in the health sector, concentrated in the emerging services least subject to reimbursement controls: home health, diagnostics, long-term care, and pharmaceuticals. The long-run forecast is more speculative. International comparisons suggest that the United States will adjust spending imbalances that contribute to the federal deficit by reducing the rate of increase. Health expenditures will continue to grow, rising from the current 11% of gross national product (GNP) to 15% over the next 20 years, and are likely to exceed +15,000 per person by 2010. The article concludes by moving from a national and global perspective to focus on how to make forecasts of volume and costs within your department. Analysis of consistency and rate of change are the keys to successful and objective forecasting.

Delivery of Health Care↗