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Use of mathematical models for predicting the metabolic effect of large-scale enzyme activity alterations. Application to enzyme deficiencies of red blood cells.

There are numerous examples showing that the metabolism of cells can be severely impaired if the activity of only one of the participating enzymes undergoes large-scale alterations, resulting, for example, from spontaneous mutations (inherited or acquired enzymopathies), the administration of toxic drugs or self-inactivation of enzymes during cell aging. However, a quantitative relationship between the degree of enzyme deficiency and the extent of metabolic dysfunction is very difficult to establish by experimental means. An alternative is to tackle this problem by mathematical modelling. Our approach is based on a comprehensive mathematical model of the energy and redox metabolism for human erythrocytes. We calculate stationary states of the cell metabolism, varying the activity of each of the participating enzymes by several orders of magnitude. The metabolic states are then evaluated in terms of a performance function which relates the metabolic variables to the overall functional fitness of the cell. The performance function for the erythrocyte takes into account the homeostasis of three essential metabolic variables: the energetic state (ATP), the reductive capacity (reduced glutathione), and the osmotic state. Based on the behaviour of the performance function at varying enzyme activities, we estimate those ranges of enzyme activities, in which the metabolic alterations should be either tolerable, associated with non-chronic or chronic diseases, or lethal. For most enzymopathies, the experimental and clinical observations can be satisfactorily rationalized by the computational results. Moreover, a surprisingly high correlation is found between the range of the activity range where disease is predicted by the model and the observed number of diseased probands. Another objective of our study was to contribute to the theory of metabolic control. The well-elaborated concept of the metabolic control theory is restricted to (infinitely) small activity alterations. In order to quantify the metabolic effect of finite (large-scale) changes in the activity of an enzyme, we propose, as a control measure, the effective activity E alpha, defined as the relative activity of an enzyme (with respect to the activity in a reference state) required to bring about a change in the stationary value of a metabolic variable by the (finite) factor alpha. We demonstrate that none of the existing extrapolation methods using the conventional control coefficient is capable to provide reliable predictions of the effective activities for all enzymes of erythrocyte metabolism.

Adenosine Triphosphate↗

The use of mathematical models to simulate control options for echinococcosis.

In many parts of the world Echinococcus granulosus is a widespread infection in sheep and dogs with a consequential spill over into the human population. In the past, mathematical models have been derived to define the transmission dynamics of this parasite, principally in the sheep-dog life cycle. These models have characterized the cycles of infection as lacking in density dependent constraints in both the definitive or intermediate hosts. This suggested that there was little, if any, induced host immunity by the parasite in either host in natural infections. However, recent evidence from both Tunisia and Kazakhstan, where young dogs are the most heavily parasitised, suggests the possibility of significant definitive host immunity. This may have an effect on the control effort needed to destabilize the parasite. A preliminary computer simulation model (based on an Excel spreadsheet) to attempt to predict the results of a control programme has been written. This demonstrates that there could be significantly different results if there is indeed protective immunity in the dog than in the absence of immunity. In the former the parasite needs a greater control effort to push the parasite towards extinction than in the latter. The computer simulation is based on a mathematical model of the parasite's life cycle and is flexible so that different values of parameters can be used in different situations where the transmission of the parasite may be at different levels. Because of the flexibility of the computer simulation it is anticipated that this programme can be applied in most situations, although initial parameters for a particular location or strain of the parasite will have to be first predetermined with base line field surveys and possibly experimental infections. The programme also has an additional flexibility to enable simulations if some parameters cannot be accurately estimated through Monte-Carlo techniques. In the latter situation, worst and best case scenarios can be estimated and likely frequency distributions of the unknown parameters can be included in the model.

Animals↗

[Determination of the parameters for producing a biobinder from wood: a mathematical modeling of the transformation of lignocellulose substrate by the fungus Panus tigrinus].

A biochemical scheme for the transformation of wood lignocellulose during enzymatic hydrolysis of polysaccharides and lignin destruction in reactions involving free radicals was developed, and a corresponding mathematical model was constructed. Processing (fermentation) of wood particles by the fungus Panus tigrinus in a submerged culture for producing a biobinder of wood composites--woodchip boards and fiber-boards--is considered. The mathematical model was used to study the technological parameters that influence the production of enzymes and fungal biomass and the level of free radical accumulation in the substrate, i.e., the factors determining the production of the biobinder. The optimal values of these parameters were determined, namely: the specific surface of wood particles, amounting to 2000 cm2/g; processing time of 56 h; and an initial concentration of 3.0 g/l of fungal biomass in the submerged culture.

Cellulose↗

[How should we perform acute normovolemic hemodilution during radical prostatectomy? Comparison with a mathematical model].

BACKGROUND: Although allogenic blood transfusion has become safer than ever, there still exist some risks such as infection and immunomodulation. The importance of autologous blood transfusion is emphasized. METHODS: Fourteen cases of radical prostatectomy performed with the use of acute normovolemic hemodilution (ANH) were examined retrospectively. The efficacy of ANH was evaluated in comparison with a mathematical model. RESULTS: The average blood loss was 1321 ml and the average blood volume collected during ANH was 637 ml. In no cases, allogenic blood transfusion was necessary. According to a mathematical model, however, the actual blood loss was smaller than the calculated allowable blood loss in all the cases, which implied allogenic blood transfusion would have been avoidable even without ANH. It was also suggested that only a limited efficacy was obtained due to a relatively small blood volume collected during ANH. CONCLUSIONS: Our way of performing ANH was considered suboptimal in that no efficacy was found as to avoidance of allogenic blood transfusion and the extent of ANH was not sufficient to prepare for unexpected massive blood loss. It seemed necessary to reconsider the indications for ANH to increase the efficacy. The importance of the informed consent was also recognized.

Blood Transfusion, Autologous↗

Influence of cardiopulmonary disease on resolution of pulmonary embolism. A mathematical model to predict remaining defects at six months.

Recovery of lung perfusion after pulmonary embolism (PE) is conditioned by several factors. The aim of this study was to analyze the differences of reperfusion after PE between patients with and without preexisting cardiopulmonary disease, and to develop a mathematical model to predict, at diagnosis, the size of defects in lung perfusion scan at 6 months after treatment. We included 83 patients with diagnosis of PE in a non-concurrent cohort study (cohort I: 26 with preexisting cardiopulmonary disease, and cohort II: 57 without previous cardiopulmonary disease). Lung perfusion scan was performed at diagnosis, 7-10 days after treatment and at 6 months. The defect size was quantified following a numerical score. The recovery of perfusion after 7-10 days was 33% in cohort I and 45% in cohort II, and 50% and 72%, respectively, at the last control at 6 months. A multiple-regression analysis was performed using the final size of defects at 6 months (y) as the dependent variable, and the defect size at diagnosis (x) and the presence of preexisting cardiopulmonary disease (z) as independent variables. The regression equation was y = 1.29 + 0.15x + 2.98z. We conclude that: (1) in patients with cardiopulmonary diseases, the remaining defects at 6 months were larger; (2) at diagnosis, using a mathematical model, it is possible to predict the size of the defects in lung perfusion scan at 6 months in patients with or without previous cardiopulmonary disease.

Aged↗

Mathematical models of the transmission and control of sexually transmitted diseases.

BACKGROUND: The development of mathematical models to describe and interpret the epidemiology of sexually transmitted infections has involved the incremental addition of various forms of biological and behavioral complexity to simple mathematical templates. GOAL: To review simple and complex models used in study of observed epidemiologic pattern. STUDY DESIGN: An overview of modeling in sexually transmitted disease epidemiology identifies the function of different types of models. RESULTS: Simple models have the advantage of transparency and analytical tractability and can illustrate the relative merits of different intervention options. However, real life is replete with complexities that can have effects that are difficult to predict in the absence of a mathematical framework. CONCLUSIONS: Research should increasingly be based on robust parameterization of model structures and try to capture individual behaviors. Progress will be most rapid by interdisciplinary work where the clinician, epidemiologist, and mathematician work collaboratively to help improve our knowledge of how to best control infection and disease.

Female↗

Mathematical model of antiviral immune response. II. Parameters identification for acute viral hepatitis B.

Considering the mathematical model of antiviral immune response, we describe a method of fitting the model to the data characterizing acute viral hepatitis B. The corresponding procedure employs an idea of sequential parameter estimation to make the problem of fitting manageable. The underlying mechanisms responsible for the quantitative manifestations of the four basic phases of acute hepatitis B are used to select the model parameters. The identified model of acute hepatitis B is then tested with regard to the following situations: the effect of HBsAg-specific antibodies on HBV challenge; the vaccination and the resistance to challenge using live hepatitis B virus; the dose of viruses--the incubation time relationships. The sensitivity of the model with respect to parameters variations is then analysed. The developed model allows us to quantitatively simulate the basic features of the antiviral immune response during acute hepatitis B and some closely related phenomena.

Acute Disease↗

A mathematical model of integrin-mediated haptotactic cell migration.

Haptotactic cell migration, a directed response to gradients of cell-extracellular matrix adhesion, is an important process in a number of biological phenomena such as wound healing and tumour cell invasion. Previously, mathematical models of haptotaxis have been developed on the premise that cells migrate in response to gradients in the density of the extracellular matrix. In this paper, we develop a novel mathematical model of haptotaxis which includes the adhesion receptors known as integrins and a description of their functional activation, local recruitment and protrusion as part of lamellipodia. Through the inclusion of integrins, the modelled cell matter is able to respond to a true gradient of cell-matrix adhesion, represented by functionally active integrins. We also show that previous matrix-mediated models are in fact a subset of the novel integrin-mediated models, characterised by specific choices of diffusion and haptotaxis coefficients in their model equations. Numerical solutions suggest the existence of travelling waves of cell migration that are confirmed via a phase plane analysis of a simplified model.

Algorithms↗

Estimation of polishing and leaching behaviour of antifouling paints using mathematical modelling: a literature review.

The development of chemically active antifouling paints has traditionally been based on an empirical approach. Optimisation and evaluation of novel and existing products are frequently conducted by means of, for example, systematic paint rotary tests in the laboratory or at sea sites. In this review, the usefulness of combining rotary experiments with the development of detailed mathematical models of paint behaviour will be discussed with reference to the relevant literature. Mathematical models can generally be used in the design of suitable release systems for various active components such as proteins or biocides, as well as for the estimation of release rates from different compositions of paints under various seawater conditions. Insoluble matrix, soluble matrix and self-polishing paints will be considered. Simulations from recent publications that show the effects of dynamic changes in seawater on paint behaviour will be presented. Examples of potential uses of paint models for accelerated polishing and leaching tests and screening of novel paint components will also be discussed. Directions of future modelling work are suggested.

Materials Testing↗

[Evolution and prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis. II. A multifactorial analysis using a stepped regression mathematical model].

The multivariant approach offers best possibilities for assessment of liver function. The role of the different clinical, clinico-laboratory and combined clinical and clinicochemical indices in the prognosis of liver cirrhosis was studied in patient in ambulatory conditions. A step regressive mathematical model with the help of the program 2R of the statistical package BMDP was used. The regression of the clinical indices by 5 steps of the mathematical model showed that of greatest importance for the survival are the following indices: ascites, months since its onset, collaterals, anorexia and vascular nevi. By 4 steps of the regressive model of the clinico-chemical indices the following indices were chosen: prothrombin time, albumin, total bilirubin, cholesterol and alkaline phosphatase. The regression of the combined clinical and clinico-chemical indices pointed out as basic factors 3 clinical indices (ascites, months since its onset, collaterals) and 3 clinico-chemical indices related to the disturbed liver function (prothrombin time, total bilirubin, albumin).

Adult↗

Mathematical model predicts clinical ocular motor syndromes.

Clinical ocular motor syndromes were compared with ocular motor syndromes simulated by a mathematical model of the vestibuloocular reflex. The mathematical sensorimotor feedforward model of otolith control of three-dimensional binocular eye position is based on relevant anatomical connections of the vestibuloocular reflex from the utricles to extraocular eye muscles. This is the first attempt to simulate static ocular motor syndromes for unilateral utricular or vestibular nerve failure, lesions of the vestibular nucleus, and lesions of the ascending vestibuloocular reflex pathways. Comparison of the predicted syndromes with those found in patients with unilateral disorders of the vestibular nerve (herpes zoster neuritis), the vestibular nucleus (medullary infarction), and the medial longitudinal fasciculus (pontine infarction) showed good agreement as regards the direction of horizontal, vertical, and torsional eye deviations. The ability of the model to simulate complete or incomplete failures of single elements or entire pathways allows us to pose direct clinical questions about as yet unknown ocular motor syndromes or about the localization of the damage as well as the mechanism involved in syndromes already known.

Aged↗

A mathematical model of oscillatory insulin secretion.

Insulin is secreted in sustained oscillatory fashion from isolated islets of Langerhans. This finding has led to the assumption of an underlying synchronizing process that coordinates insulin oscillations. This assumption was tested by developing a mathematical model of oscillatory insulin secretion in which we included degree of synchrony as a parameter. We first evaluated insulin oscillations in perifused isolated rat islets, using spectral analysis to determine their regularity and frequency. A parsimonious mathematical model was developed to account for these characteristics. The model postulates a group of secretory units discharging at discrete intervals with the same underlying period. Variation from two sources, phase differences between units (synchrony) and regularity within units, is introduced by adding two normally distributed random variables with standard deviations (Sg and Si, respectively) to the secretory period. Sets of 100 simulations for different values of Sg and Si were run. Results of the simulations suggest that the system tolerates a relatively large degree of asynchrony yet still demonstrates regularity of oscillations on spectral analysis. Comparison with perifusion data suggests that a moderate degree of asynchrony between islets can best account for the pattern of insulin oscillations observed. This model provides a theoretical basis for the study of mechanisms for insulin oscillations.

Adenoma↗

[Qualitative study of a mathematical model of the open futile cycle fructose-6-P--fructose-1,6-P2].

A simple mathematical model of the open futile cycle fructose-6-P in equilibrium fructose-1,6-P2 in which the fructose bisphosphatase reaction is inhibited by excess of its substrate has been analysed. A detailed qualitative investigation of the model shows that it possesses all properties characteristic of any other dynamical system of the second order which has a hysteretic major null-cline, 1 to 3 steady states and is capable of generating self-oscillations.

Chemical Phenomena↗

Development of a mathematical model of the human circulatory system.

A mathematical lumped parameter model of the human circulatory system (HCS) has been developed to complement in vitro testing of ventricular assist devices. Components included in this model represent the major parts of the systemic HCS loop, with all component parameters based on physiological data available in the literature. Two model configurations are presented in this paper, the first featuring elements with purely linear constitutive relations, and the second featuring nonlinear constitutive relations for the larger vessels. Three different aortic compliance functions are presented, and a pressure-dependent venous flow resistance is used to simulate venous collapse. The mathematical model produces reasonable systemic pressure and flow behaviour, and graphs of this data are included.

Cardiovascular Physiological Phenomena↗

Mathematical modeling of cancer progression and response to chemotherapy.

The complex, constantly evolving and multifaceted nature of cancer has made it difficult to identify unique molecular and pathophysiological signatures for each disease variant, consequently hindering development of effective therapies. Mathematical modeling and computer simulation are tools that can provide a robust framework to better understand cancer progression and response to chemotherapy. Successful therapeutic agents must overcome biological barriers occurring at multiple space and time scales and still reach targets at sufficient concentrations. A multiscale computer simulator founded on the integration of experimental data and mathematical models can provide valuable insights into these processes and establish a technology platform for analyzing the effectiveness of chemotherapeutic drugs, with the potential to cost-effectively and efficiently screen drug candidates during the drug-development process.

Antineoplastic Agents↗

A mathematical model for the cell age-dependent decline of creatine in human cell cells.

A mathematical model is proposed to describe the decline of creatine concentration in red blood cells during the course of cell aging. It is based on experimental data concerning two processes of creatine transport across the red cell membrane: a) an active transport, and b) exchange diffusion. The model corresponds well with data obtained from density-fractionated human red cells in normal steady-state erythropoiesis as well as in acutely and chronically activated erythropoiesis. Degradation of the carrier system for active transport is postulated to be the cause of the time course of decline of the cellular creatine concentration.

Creatine↗

A mathematical model of recombinational amplification of the 2 mu plasmid in the yeast Saccharomyces cerevisiae.

A mathematical model of 2 mu plasmid recombinational amplification in Saccharomyces cerevisiae has been developed, based on mechanisms of 2 mu recombination and replication presented in the literature. A probabilistic description reveals the limits inherent in the recombinational mode of plasmid amplification. These limits correspond well with values calculated from reported results. In the model, copy number control is effected by the constitutive expression of a repressor of recombinase expression. Estimation of the model parameters is accomplished via a set of heuristic rules which restrict the feasible parameter space considerably. It is demonstrated that many parameter sets arbitrarily chosen from the feasible parameter space reproduce the observed characteristics of 2 mu plasmid amplification: rapid correction of downward copy number deviations, with a lack of strict control of steady-state copy number.

DNA Replication↗

Mathematical model of the metabolism of 123I-16-iodo-9-hexadecenoic acid in an isolated rat heart. Validation by comparison with experimental measurements.

The aim of the present study was to demonstrate that it is possible to estimate the intracellular metabolism of a fatty acid labelled with iodine using external radioactivity measurements. 123I-16-iodo-9-hexadecenoic acid (IHA) was injected close to the coronary arteries of isolated rat hearts perfused according to the Langendorff technique. The time course of the cardiac radioactivity was measured using an INa crystal coupled to an analyser. The obtained curves were analysed using a four-compartment mathematical model, with the compartments corresponding to the vascular-IHA (O), intramyocardial free-IHA (1), esterified-IHA (2) and iodide (3) pools. Curve analysis using this model demonstrated that, as compared to substrate-free perfusion, the presence of glucose (11 mM) increased IHA storage and decreased its oxidation. These changes were enhanced by the presence of insulin. A comparison of these results with measurements of the radioactivity levels within the various cellular fractions validated our proposed mathematical model. Thus, using only a mathematical analysis of a cardiac time-activity curve, it is possible to obtain quantitative information about IHA distribution in the different intracellular metabolic pathways. This technique is potentially useful for the study of metabolic effects of ischaemia or anoxia, as well as for the study of the influence of various substrates or drugs on IHA metabolism in isolated rat hearts.

Animals↗