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PubMedDate not supplied

Arbovirus infections of humans in New South Wales. Seroepidemiology of the flavivirus group of togaviruses.

A seroepidemiological study of 16 842 human sera, collected in 1981 and 1982 from all health regions of New South Wales, was carried out using the haemagglutination-inhibition (HI) test and eight Australasian flaviviruses: Murray Valley encephalitis (MVE); Kunjin (KUN); Alfuy (ALF); Stratford (STR); Kokobera (KOK); Edge Hill (EH); Sepik (SEP); and Saumarez Reef (SRE). A limited survey was also carried out with two recently discovered flaviviruses, Gadgets Gully and CSIRO 946. Antibody prevalence rates were low on the coast and tablelands (around 2%-8%), moderate on the western slopes (6%-11%) and high on the western plains (26%-42%). Some centres had higher prevalence rates, Bourke being the highest at 78%. The survey indicated that SEP and SRE viruses are unlikely to infect humans in New South Wales. Similarly, there was no evidence for Gadgets Gully and CSIRO 946 infection of humans. HI antibody prevalence rates were highest to STR, MVE, KUN and ALF in that order, these agents being closely related antigenetically. Reactions to KOK and EH occurred less frequently. Serological tests of greater specificity will be required to identify the flaviviruses that elicit these HI antibodies.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1979

Intern training in New South Wales.

The process of intern training in New South Wales is at present undergoing critical examination. This article is a brief review of the status of intern training in Australia and New Zealand as revealed by a survey of accredited hospitals and the medical boards. Also reported are the results of a questionnaire widely distributed to the medical profession in New South Wales which sought its views on the nature of, and problems with, the internship.

Attitude of Health Personnel↗
PubMed1984

Arbovirus infections in humans in New South Wales. Seroepidemiology of the alphavirus group of togaviruses.

A seroepidemiological study of the prevalence of antibodies to alphaviruses (Ross River [RRV], Sindbis [SIN] and Getah [GET] viruses) was carried out on 16 842 specimens of sera collected during 1981 and 1982 from individuals of all ages living in all health regions of New South Wales. Prevalence rates were found to be low in the major coastal cities of Sydney, Newcastle and Wollongong, and in the whole of the Tablelands. In coastal populations, the rates were highest in the far and mid North Coast zones (about 16%), and slightly lower in the south. The ratio of RRV:SIN antibodies was 62:1 in coastal populations. Antibody prevalence rates varied from 10%-20% in the Western Slopes, rising to 30%-40% in centres in the Western Plains; the RRV:SIN antibody ratio here was 11:1. The unexpectedly high infection rates, especially in the Western Plains, suggest that Ross River virus, in particular, may constitute a public health problem of hitherto unsuspected significance in New South Wales.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1995

Aspects of hernia surgery in Wales.

The management of elective inguinal herniorrhaphy in Wales was assessed by means of a postal survey of consultant general surgeons. This included technique of repair, length of inpatient stay, follow-up, use of heparin thromboprophylaxis and advice regarding driving, strenuous activities and work. In all, 54 replies (77%) were received. The views of patients on their surgery was assessed by a questionnaire sent to 80 patients treated on a single surgical unit; 60 replies (75%) were received. Waiting times were relatively short among this group, 67.5% of patients being treated within 6 months of seeking medical advice; 16.25% suffered a complication. All wound infections occurred after discharge and 15% of patients had some groin discomfort 6 months after operation. Accuracy of clinical examination of 50 inguinal hernias by different grades of surgeon was assessed. Consultants were significantly more accurate when compared with house officers (P < 0.001). There is a wide range of repair techniques and postoperative advice practised by consultant general surgeons in Wales. Patients' main complaint was that of a sparsity of postoperative advice, although there also appears to be an appreciable postoperative morbidity. Clinical experience plays a significant role in assessment of the suitability of hernias for surgery.

Elective Surgical Procedures↗
PubMed2002

Outcomes of carotid endarterectomy: how does the Australian state of New South Wales compare with international benchmarks?

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to determine the outcomes of carotid endarterectomy (CEA) in New South Wales, Australia. METHODS: This state-wide prospective audit of all public and private hospitals during a 6-month period had main outcome measures of 30-day mortality, 30-day fatal stroke, 30-day nonfatal stroke, and 30-day combined stroke and mortality. RESULTS: Fifty-three of 54 eligible surgeons participated (response rate, 98%). The audit obtained inpatient data for 689 internal CEA procedures performed on 666 patients. Of 666 first or only procedures, 462 (69.4%) were performed on patients who were symptomatic and 204 (30.6%) on patients who were asymptomatic. After adjustment for cluster by surgeon, we determined a state-wide 30-day death rate of 1.2% (95% CI, 0.3% to 2.1%), a 30-day fatal or nonfatal stroke rate of 3.0% (95% CI, 1.6% to 4.4%; ipsilateral stroke, 2.6%), a 30-day nonfatal stroke rate of 2.3% (95% CI, 1.1% to 3.4%; ipsilateral stroke, 2.0%), and a 30-day combined stroke and death rate of 3.5% (95% CI, 2.1% to 4.9%). A significant linear relationship was found between patient preoperative hypertensive status and the combined 30-day stroke and death rate (trend odds ratio, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.6 to 7.7). No association was seen between any main outcome measures and hospital volume (<10 CEAs versus > or = 10 CEAs). Four patients underwent surgery outside guideline recommendations (CEA performed for either < or = 30% stenosis or occluded carotid artery). CONCLUSION: This first comprehensive state-wide audit confirms that Australian surgeons achieve 30-day outcomes comparable with international benchmarks.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1985

Can we afford screening for neural tube defects? The South Wales experience.

Clinical and financial gains and losses accruing from five different options for screening for open neural tube defects were estimated, based principally on the results of detailed monitoring of inputs and outcomes and of process costs in the South Wales Anencephaly and Spina Bifida Study. As well as estimating the overall clinical costs of a screening service it was shown that if the prevalence, including terminations, of open neural tube defects is between 1.25 and five per 1000 births the financial cost of avoiding the birth of a seriously handicapped child who would survive for more than 24 hours is in the range 9000 pounds- 54000 pounds depending on the option adopted and the prevalence of the condition in the target population. Prevalence is the biggest determinant of cost. The data should provide a basis for assessment and discussion of resource priorities in the National Health Service.

Anencephaly↗
PubMed2004

The investigation of short stature: a survey of practice in Wales and suggested practical guidelines.

AIM: To survey the investigation of short stature in Wales and suggest guidelines to improve practice. METHODS: Questionnaires were circulated to paediatricians and consultant clinical biochemists or consultant chemical pathologists at 13 Welsh hospitals where children with short stature are investigated. RESULTS: A 100% response was obtained from laboratory and clinical staff. Clinicians screened 1-50 patients each year (median, 10). Growth hormone (GH) deficiency was subsequently diagnosed in 0-30% (median, 10%) and GH treatment started in 30-100% (median, 100%) of patients. Five paediatricians and eight laboratories had written investigative protocols. Investigation of GH secretion was initiated in some centres before a complete clinical evaluation was carried out. Various screening tests for GH deficiency, including insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1), random GH, and exercise tests were used. The clonidine stimulation test was used to assess the GH axis in most centres but eight different protocols were described. GH was measured in four Welsh laboratories using two automated immunoassay methods. However, nine different ranges of cutoff values for defining abnormal GH responses were quoted, and in three centres laboratories and paediatricians quoted different cutoffs. CONCLUSION: This survey demonstrates the need for practical guidelines for the investigation and management of short stature in children, agreed by paediatricians and their laboratory colleagues. The guidelines should encompass the initial clinical investigation, assessment of the GH-IGF-1 axis (using standardised protocols), and provision for the transition to adult management. This article presents practical guidelines based on published points for good practice.

Child↗
PubMed1991

Congenital malformations in twins in England and Wales.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: The aim was to compare congenital malformation rates in twin births with those in singleton births. DESIGN: The study was an analysis of malformation rates in singleton and twin births using data from the Office of Population Censuses and Survey's Congenital Malformation Notification Scheme. SETTING: This was a national survey of births in England and Wales in 1979-1980 and 1982-1985. PARTICIPANTS: The data comprised 95,510 reported malformations in 3.7 million singleton births, and 1925 reported malformations in 76,000 twin births. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Twin malformation ratios were calculated using maternal age specific singleton rates as standard. In comparison with singleton births, twins have significantly higher reported frequencies of indeterminate sex and pseudohermaphroditism; anencephaly; patent ductus arteriosis; exomphalos; hydrocephalus; anomalies of the umbilical vessels; atresia or stenosis of the large intestine or anus; and tracheo-oesophageal fistula, atresia or stenosis. Twins also have significant reported deficits of polydactyly and syndactyly; congenital dislocation of the hip; anomalies of the tongue, branchial cleft and auricular sinus; post-anal dimple; and Down's syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: Several major malformations were significantly more common in twins than in singletons. The excess of indeterminate sex and pseudohermaphroditism has not been described before and may be analogous to freemartinism in cattle. Most of the conditions less common in twins are minor, and the reported deficits may be due to underascertainment of the less serious conditions in twins. Down's syndrome is an exception, and the deficit may well be real.

Congenital Abnormalities↗
PubMed1981

The epidemiology of acute acetaminophen poisoning in England and Wales.

The mortality from analgesic poisoning in England and Wales has risen markedly during the last five years, but only a small increase in mortality from acetaminophen poisoning has been seen in the same period. Two separate epidemiologic studies of acetaminophen-overdose patients were undertaken during the two years from 1977 to 1978. Eighty-five percent of 1,644 patients and 95% of 341 patients arrived at the hospital within 12 hours of ingestion of an acetaminophen overdose. Although most patients who ingested hepatotoxic doses of acetaminophen were asymptomatic--347 (66%) of 667 and 26 (51%) of 51 patients--the absence of symptoms did not adversely affect the time of their arrival at the hospital.

Acetaminophen↗
PubMed1986

60 years of suicide in England and Wales. A cohort study.

In a cohort analysis of suicides recorded in England and Wales from 1921 to 1980, there was no discernible trend across the younger cohorts, but there was a fall in the suicide rates of successive older cohorts over this period. The impact of period events (eg, World War II and the detoxification of domestic gas) is demonstrated in these cohorts. In addition to the period effects, there was evidence of a more prolonged cohort effect on suicide rates of the middle-aged and elderly associated with these events. Little relationship was found between early and later suicide rates within cohorts, casting doubt on the usefulness of predicting the future rates of cohorts from their early behavior.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1998

Survey of diabetic retinopathy screening services in England and Wales.

A postal survey of diabetologists was conducted regarding the provision of diabetic retinopathy screening services in England and Wales. About 2.5 million people had no existing or planned screening service. For the rest, the perceived percentage of patients with diabetes screened varied from less than 25% to more than 90%. Multiple modes of screening were used in most units. Lack of funding was identified as the major reason for non-provision of an adequate screening service. About 18% of the units had to use research or charitable funds for screening. Only 50% of the units using optometrists for screening had standard protocols for referral. The average wait before an ophthalmologist's opinion on sight threatening retinopathy detected by screening was unacceptably high in some units. We would suggest that establishment of identical screening protocols and provision of adequate funding on a national basis ought to be the priority if incidence of blindness from diabetic retinopathy is to be reduced according to the St Vincent Declaration.

Diabetic Retinopathy↗
PubMed1996

Naevi and pigmentary characteristics as risk factors for melanoma in a high-risk population: a case-control study in New South Wales, Australia.

The relationship between risk of cutaneous malignant melanoma and total body and site-specific naevus counts and other host factors was investigated in a Caucasian population aged 15-84 years in New South Wales, Australia. The study sample comprised 244 cases with melanoma diagnosed in 1989-1993, and 276 controls. The strongest relationship was with total body naevus count. Risk of melanoma was raised 12 times in those with more than 100 naevi compared with those with less than 10. There were also strong risks, with odds ratios of 5 or more, associated with having multiple atypical naevi, multiple large naevi, high naevus counts in sun-exposed or sun-protected areas and being unable to tan on repeated sun exposure. The effect of inability to tan was stronger at younger than older ages. Lesser risks, with odds ratios of 2-3, were associated with being prone to burn on sun exposure, having many freckles as a child and having red hair. The site distribution of naevi in males compared with females resembled the distribution of melanoma by sex. Risk of melanoma of the back was significantly more closely related to back naevus count than naevus count for the remainder of the body. For other anatomical sites, naevus count was non-significantly more closely related to naevus counts at that site than counts over the remainder of the body. Naevus count declined with age in both cases and controls. In those aged under 40, having 100 or more naevi was associated with an aetiological fraction (AF) of 41%. In those aged 60 and over, however, the AF associated with this number of naevi was only 5%.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

Breast cancer in New South Wales in 1972-1995: tumor size and the impact of mammographic screening.

To examine the use of mammographic screening in women in New South Wales (NSW), we measured uptake of initial mammograms and estimated the proportions of breast cancers that were screen detected. To see if mammographic screening has been associated with reductions in advanced breast cancers and mortality from breast cancer, we analyzed trends in age-specific and age-standardized breast cancer incidence and mortality from 1972 to 1995 and tumor size in 1986, 1989, 1992 and April to September 1995. Between 1984 and the end of 1995, an estimated 72% of NSW women in their 50s and 67% in their 60s had had at least 1 mammogram and, in 1995, an estimated 39% of invasive breast cancers in women in these age groups were detected by mammography. Before 1989, breast cancer incidence increased only slightly (+1.3% annually) but then, from 1990 to 1995, increased more rapidly (+3.1% annually). Between 1986 and 1995, rates of small cancers (< 1 cm) increased steeply by 2.7 times in women 40-49 years of age and 5.6 times in women 50-69 years of age. The incidence of large breast cancers (3+ cm), after little apparent change to 1992, fell by 17% in women 40-49 years of age and 20% in those 50-69 years of age to 1995. Breast cancer mortality increased slightly between 1972 and 1989 (+0.5% annually) but then fell (-2.3% annually) from 1990 to 1995. We concluded that breast cancer rates had been influenced in expected directions by the introduction of mammographic screening in women resident in NSW. We expect that recent falls in incidence of larger breast cancers and breast cancer mortality will become steeper as screening coverage increases in the second half of the 1990s.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

Cancer mortality in migrants from the British Isles and continental Europe to New South Wales, Australia, 1975-1995.

Routinely collected data for New South Wales were used to analyse cancer mortality in migrants from the British Isles, southern Europe and eastern Europe according to duration of residence in Australia. A case-control approach compared deaths from cancer at one site with deaths from all other cancers, adjusting for age, sex and calendar period. Compared with the Australia-born, migrants had a significantly lower risk of dying from cancers of the mouth/pharynx and prostate (migrants from each region), colon/rectum (from the British Isles and southern Europe) and lung (female southern European migrants), evident from the time of migration and maintained for 30 years after migration. Whereas a deficit of deaths from colorectal cancer remained in migrants from southern Europe, a clear gradient of increasing risk with duration of stay in Australia was apparent. A similar trend was seen with respect to kidney cancer in southern European migrants. Persistent excess risks of death from stomach cancer were seen in all migrant groups, from lung cancer in British migrants and from liver cancer in southern and eastern European migrants. Although the risk of death from breast cancer increased significantly with duration in Australia in southern European migrants, the increase was not monotonic, as the relative risk in the first 10 years after migration was almost the same as that after more than 30 years. The pattern of risk for cancers of the prostate and mouth/pharynx suggests some protective role for inheritance or maintained cultural factors.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

Incidence of testicular germ-cell malignancies in England and Wales: trends in children compared with adults.

The incidence of testicular cancer has been increasing markedly in most industrialised countries. This rise is known to have affected young adults, but it is less clear whether it has affected other age groups, particularly children. We used data from the National Cancer Registry file at the Office of National Statistics (ONS) and the National Registry of Childhood Tumours to examine trends in testicular germ-cell malignancies overall in England and Wales from 1962 to 1990 and in children from 1962 to 1995. The incidence of testicular cancer at all ages rose by 3.4% (95% CI 3.3-3.6%) per annum from 1962 to 1990. A similar rise in the incidence of germ-cell malignancies occurred during the years for which histological information was available in the ONS files, 1971-1989 (3.4%; 3.1-3.6%), to which both seminomas and non-seminomas contributed equally. The incidence of non-seminomas in adults rose in men under age 55 years and declined in older men, whereas there were increases in the incidence of seminomas in both young and older men. Cohort analysis at young ages showed a marked rise in the risk of germ-cell malignancies up to the cohort born in 1955-1959 but no further rise for those born subsequently. The rise in the incidence of these tumours in young adults was paralleled by a similar trend, although less marked, in children aged under 15 years (1.3% per annum; 0.2-2.5%). The increase in risk for children in this very large data set alongside the rise in young adults is compatible with the hypothesis that childhood and adult testicular germ-cell malignancies may have some common risk factors, presumably pre-natal.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1997

A Markov model for HIV disease progression including the effect of HIV diagnosis and treatment: application to AIDS prediction in England and Wales.

Back-calculation is a widely used method to estimate HIV incidence rates, and is commonly based on times of AIDS diagnosis. Following up earlier work, we extend this method to also incorporate knowledge of times of HIV diagnosis (first positive test). This is achieved through the use of a Markov model which describes the progress of an HIV infected person through various stages, and which allows causal connections between events to be explicitly modelled. Estimation is based on maximum likelihood, the likelihood being calculated within a discretized version of the Markov model. The effect of sampling uncertainty and model uncertainty (sensitivity) is evaluated simultaneously by means of a combined bootstrap and simulation procedure. At each replication we resample both the data and the model (from a set of possible models described by randomizing one or more parameters). For instance, uncertain knowledge about the incubation distribution affects the estimates of some parameters, but not others. The Markov approach is applied to the prediction of AIDS incidence for homosexuals in England and Wales up to the year 2000.

AIDS Serodiagnosis↗
PubMed1999

Women's occupation and cancer: preliminary analysis of cancer registrations in England and Wales, 1971-1990.

BACKGROUND: In recent years increasing attention has been paid to examining the relation between women's health and their own occupation. The findings presented here relate to an analysis of 381,915 cancers in women registered in England and Wales over the 20-year period 1971-1990. METHODS: To explore the value of the data for epidemiological research, five sites (pleura, bladder, stomach, lung, and breast) and two occupations (agriculture and textile) were selected. Associations between cancer and occupation were evaluated using age and social class adjusted proportional registration ratios (PRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Pleural cancer risk was increased in a range of occupations with a potential for asbestos exposure (e.g., PRR 608, 95% CI 381-921 for craft and other production process workers), and the well-established link between bladder cancer and employment in the rubber industry was confirmed (PRR 303, 95% CI 188-464). Associations between "dusty" occupations and stomach cancer were noted (e.g., PRR 198, 95% CI 126-298 for ceramic decorators and finishers), and possible links with lung cancer and smoke in the work environment were highlighted (e.g., PRR 167, 95% CI 147-189 for publicans). As a group, agricultural workers were found to be at increased risk of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (PRR 164, 95% CI 126-211), and textile workers at increased risk of pleural cancer (PRR 145, 95% CI 111-185). No evidence for an occupational aetiology for breast cancer was found within these data. CONCLUSIONS: Occupational information collected at cancer registration in the United Kingdom can be reliably used to identify groups that may be at increased risk of disease.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Recent trends in elderly suicide rates in England and Wales.

The proportion of elderly in the population is increasing due to increased life expectancy and falling birth rate, and suicide rates increase with age. This study examined the following in England and Wales: (i) recent trends in the elderly suicide rate; (ii) recent trends in method-specific elderly suicide rate; (iii) the relationship between elderly population size and elderly suicide rate in recent years; and (iv) the sex difference in overall and method-specific elderly suicide rate. Data on the various suicide variables were ascertained from the annually published mortality data for years 1985 to 1996. The main findings of this study were: (i) there is a trend towards decline in the overall pure and combined suicide rates for elderly men and women over the 12 year study period; (ii) the main contributors to this decline are suicides due to poisoning by solid and liquid substances (E950), hanging, strangulation and suffocation (E953), drowning (E954), firearms and explosives (E955), and jumping from high places (E957); (iii) the overall pure and combined suicide rates and that for most categories of suicide was higher in men compared to women; and (iv) suicide rates decreased with an increase in the elderly population size. Suicide rates can decline due to a number of reasons. The challenge now is to ensure further decline in suicide rates to meet the Our Healthier Nations target.

Aged↗