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Gene polymorphisms associated with progression of primary open-angle glaucoma: A systematic review.

Glaucoma is the leading global cause of irreversible blindness, with primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) its most prevalent subtype. While elevated intraocular pressure is a major risk factor, glaucoma progression is multifactorial, influenced by genetic, environmental, vascular and mechanical factors. Genetic polymorphisms have been linked to both POAG susceptibility and progression, yet most studies focus on risk factors for disease onset rather than progression. We provide an overview of the current literature on gene polymorphisms associated with POAG progression. We conducted a systematic search following PRISMA guidelines in MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Scopus and Public Health Genomics and Precision Health Knowledge Base. Eligible studies investigated associations between genetic variants and structural or functional markers of glaucoma progression in adult-onset POAG patients. Eighteen articles were included. HLA class I haplotypes (A1-B8 and A2-B40) and MYOC.mt1+ carriers showed faster progression of optic nerve head damage. The APOE ε4 allele was linked to faster macular thinning in normal tension glaucoma patients. BDNF rs6265 Val/Val homozygotes exhibited accelerated retinal nerve fiber layer loss, particularly in females. TGFBR3-CDC7 (rs1192415: G) and MYOC.mt1+ carriers experienced accelerated visual field deterioration. Carriers of GAS7 (rs9913911: AA), IL1B (rs1143627: CT and rs16944: CT) and OPTN (rs2234968) had a higher likelihood of requiring surgery. Variants in ABCA1, CDKN2B-AS, eNOS and Piezo1 showed inconclusive results. These findings support a role for genetic polymorphisms in POAG progression and highlight the potential of genetic screening to identify patients at increased risk for rapid disease progression.

Disease progression↗

Intraocular pressure and progression of glaucomatous visual field loss.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the relationship between intraocular pressure and visual field progression in patients with primary open-angle glaucoma. METHODS: We prospectively followed 113 patients with early to moderate glaucomatous field damage. Conventional automated static perimetry, high-pass resolution perimetry, and intraocular pressure measurements were carried out at 6-month intervals. The mean and the highest intraocular pressure in the follow-up were compared in stable and progressing patients with each perimetric technique. RESULTS: The mean (+/- SD) follow-up was 4.5 +/- 0.9 years. The mean (+/- SD) intraocular pressure in patients remaining stable with conventional perimetry [18.2 +/- 3.3 mm Hg, n = 81 (71.7%)] was not significantly different (P =.65) from those in whom it progressed (17.9 +/- 3.3 mm Hg, n = 32 [28.3%]). The mean intraocular pressure in patients remaining stable with high-pass resolution perimetry (17. 9 +/- 3.5 mm Hg, n = 63 [55.8%]) was not significantly different (P =.33) from those in whom it progressed (18.5 +/- 3.0 mm Hg, n = 50 [44.2%]). The mean (+/- SD) of the highest (single or three highest) pressure during follow-up for stable and progressing patients with conventional perimetry was not significantly different (22.6 +/- 5.0 and 23.0 +/- 4.6 mm Hg, respectively, P =.76). However, for high-pass resolution perimetry, the difference was highly significant (21.6 +/- 4.5 and 24.1 +/- 4.9 mm Hg, respectively, P <. 01). Furthermore, patients who progressed with high-pass resolution perimetry had more damaged baseline fields compared with those who remained stable (P <.01). CONCLUSIONS: The mean level of intraocular pressure does not differentiate glaucoma patients with progressive visual field loss from ones who remained stable. Baseline visual field status and peak intraocular pressure of patients who progress with high-pass resolution perimetry are significantly different from those who remain stable.

Adolescent↗

Primary superficial bladder cancer risk groups according to progression, mortality and recurrence.

PURPOSE: We identified risk groups in primary superficial bladder cancer according to progression, mortality and recurrence rates. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The prognostic factors of progression, mortality and recurrence were identified by multivariate analysis in a cohort of 1,529 patients with primary superficial bladder cancer. Risk groups were designed by combining the relative risk of these prognostic factors. We performed survival analysis of progression, tumor mortality and recurrence by risk group using the Kaplan-Meier method. Relative risk in each group was calculated by Cox regression. We present timetables of progression, mortality and recurrence by risk group. RESULTS: Risk groups were classified as low-grade 1 stage Ta disease and a single grade 1 stage T1 tumor, intermediate-multiple grade 1 stage T1 tumors, grade 2 stage Ta disease and a single grade 2 stage T1 tumor, and high-multiple grade 2 stage T1 tumors, grade 3 stages Ta and T1 disease, and any stage disease associated with carcinoma in situ. Survival analysis of progression, mortality and recurrence revealed a statistically significant difference among the 3 risk groups. The rates of recurrence, progression and mortality were 37%, 0% and 0% in the low, 45%, 1.8% and 0.73% in the intermediate, and 54%, 15% and 9.5% in the high risk group, respectively. The relative risks of recurrence, progression and mortality in the low versus the intermediate and high risk groups were 1.37, 2.84 and 1, and 1.87, 24.76 and 14.69, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Risk group classification based on prognostic factors defines progression, mortality and recurrence rates in primary superficial bladder cancer. It may be useful for designing treatment and followup strategies.

Carcinoma in Situ↗

Response and survival in patients with progressive or recurrent serous ovarian tumors of low malignant potential.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the response to therapy and survival of patients with progressive or recurrent serous ovarian tumors of low malignant potential. METHODS: Fifty-three patients with progressive or recurrent serous ovarian tumors of low malignant potential were identified. Response was assessed and progression-free and overall survival were analyzed. The influence of clinicopathologic factors on survival was determined. RESULTS: In 49 patients with known histology of progression or recurrence, 36 (73%) had low-grade serous carcinoma, and 13 (27%) had serous ovarian tumors of low malignant potential. Forty-five patients received nonsurgical therapy and had an evaluable response. There were six (13%) patients with a complete response and six (13%) patients with a partial response. The median time to first progression or recurrence was 5.6 years. Median survival from diagnosis of first recurrence was 7.7 years. Median survival from initial diagnosis was 21 years. Nineteen (36%) patients are dead of tumor. Patients who recurred with low-grade serous carcinoma were more likely to die of tumor than those with serous ovarian tumors of low malignant potential (47% versus 0%, P =.045). Optimal cytoreduction was associated with improved survival (P =.007). CONCLUSION: Patients with progressive or recurrent serous ovarian tumors of low malignant potential have a long interval from diagnosis to progression and from progression to death, resulting in extended overall survival. Recurrence as low-grade serous carcinoma and failure to achieve optimal secondary cytoreduction were adverse prognostic factors. There were few responses to nonsurgical therapy.

Adult↗

[Treatment of progressive multiple sclerosis with monthly pulsed cyclophosphamide-methylprednisolone: predictive factors of treatment response].

INTRODUCTION: Cyclophospamide is used in the treatment of progressive multiple sclerosis. We were looking for predictive indicators of treatment response. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Forty-seven patients with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and seven others with primary progressive received monthly infusions of cyclophosphamide (750mg/m2) and methylprednisolone (500mg). During the year before cyclophosphamide the EDSS had worsened one point in all patients with or without surimposed relapses. Evaluation was based on EDSS change at 6, 12, 24 months and 5 years. RESULTS: Among secondary progressive patients, 91 per 100 (43/47) were stable or improved at 12 months, 65 per 100 (26/40) at 24 months and 22 per 100 (5/23) at 5 years. Annual relapse rate decreased from 0.81 before treatment to 0.48 during treatment and 0.12 after treatment (p<0.001). At 24 months, efficacy was correlated to a progressive phase lasting less than 5 years (p<0.01) and to a rapid increase of EDSS of at least 2 points the year before treatment (p<0.05). There were no influences of age, EDSS and surimposed relapses at the beginning of treatment, and other immunoactive drugs administrated before cyclophosphamide. There was no significant difference in quality of response to treatment between patients with primary progressive and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. CONCLUSION: Cyclophosphamide appears to be more efficient in early stage of progressive multiple sclerosis independently of age, relapses or neurological disability scale.

Adjuvants, Immunologic↗

Comparison of WHO/ISUP and WHO classification of noninvasive papillary urothelial neoplasms for risk of progression.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the relation of the World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology (WHO/ISUP) system for bladder neoplasia to prognosis. METHODS: A total of 134 patients with pTa bladder tumors were identified. We excluded cases with prior or concurrent carcinoma in situ or invasion (pT1 or pT2). Progression was defined as a tumor recurrence with either lamina propria (pT1) or muscularis propria (pT2) invasion or carcinoma in situ. Age at diagnosis, sex, tumor size, multifocality, and grade (WHO, WHO/ISUP) were entered into a Cox multivariate analysis to predict progression. RESULTS: The distribution of WHO papilloma, WHO G1, WHO G2, and WHO G3 was 5.2%, 31.3%, 59%, and 4.5%, respectively. The distribution of WHO/ISUP papilloma, tumors of low malignant potential, low-grade carcinomas, and high-grade carcinomas was 2.2%, 21.6%, 13%, and 21.6%, respectively. The mean and median follow-up was 56.2 and 50 months, respectively. The 90-month actuarial risk of progression for WHO papilloma, G1, G2, and G3 was 0%, 11%, 24%, and 60%, respectively. The corresponding progression rate for WHO/ISUP papilloma, tumors of low malignant potential, low-grade carcinoma, and high-grade carcinoma was 0%, 8%, 13%, and 51%, respectively. In separate analyses, WHO grade (P = 0.003) and tumor size (P = 0.03), as well as WHO/ISUP (P = 0.002) and tumor size (P = 0.04), independently predicted progression. CONCLUSIONS: WHO G3 has a more rapid progression rate and a slightly worse long-term progression rate compared with WHO/ISUP high-grade carcinoma. However, although only 4.5% of tumors were WHO G3, we were able to classify 21.6% as WHO/ISUP high-grade carcinoma with a poor prognosis. Use of the WHO/ISUP system allows urologists to more closely follow a larger group of patients at high risk of progression.

Carcinoma in Situ↗

Ability to predict biochemical progression using Gleason score and a computer-generated quantitative nuclear grade derived from cancer cell nuclei.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the ability to predict prostate cancer progression using shape, size, and chromatin texture nuclear grading features preselected by logistic regression analyses based on expert-selected prostate cancer cell nuclei captured using a computer-assisted image analysis system. METHODS: One hundred fifteen patients with clinically localized prostate cancer were identified at the Johns Hopkins medical institutions. The mean follow-up period was 10.4 +/- 1.7 years in 70 patients without disease progression, whereas the mean time to progression for the entire group was 3.8 +/- 2.5 years. Using 5-microns Feulgen-stained tissue sections, approximately 150 cancer cell nuclei were selected and captured for each case using a CAS-200 Image Analysis System. Thirty-eight different nuclear morphometric descriptors (NMDs) were calculated for each cell nucleus. The variance of the NMDs for each tumor was examined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses and by Cox survival analyses to assess their ability to predict prostate cancer progression. RESULTS: Postoperative Gleason scoring was significantly correlated with disease progression (P < 0.00001; sensitivity, 73%; specificity, 84%; receiver operating characteristic curve area under the curve (ROC-AUC), 83%). Using backward stepwise logistic regression at a stringency of P < 0.05, the variances of 11 of the NMDs were found to be multivariately significant for progression prediction (P < 0.00001; sensitivity, 78%; specificity, 83%; ROC-AUC, 86%). A single value, termed the quantitative nuclear grade (QNG), was created from the variances of these, 11 multivariately significant NMDs using the logistic regression function. The QNG and the postoperative Gleason score were combined to create a model for the prediction of progression having a sensitivity of 89%, specificity of 84%, and ROC-AUC of 92%. These two parameters (QNG and Gleason score) clearly separated the patient sample into three statistically distinct risk groups and predicted the time to progression on the basis of Kaplan-Meier survival probability analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The QNG, combined with the postoperative Gleason score, may assist in the more accurate stratification of patients undergoing radical prostatectomy into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups for cancer recurrence and may permit the early initiation of adjuvant therapy.

Adult↗

Microstaging of pT1 transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder: identification of subgroups with distinct risks of progression.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate microstaging by means of quantifying the depth of invasion of the subepithelial connective tissue in pT1 transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the bladder for its additional prognostic value with respect to disease recurrence and progression. METHODS: We reviewed the pathologic findings of a consecutive series of 124 patients with pT1 tumors entered in a prospective randomized multicenter trial comparing mitomycin C and bacillus Calmette-Guérin treatment, with at least 3 years of follow-up and clinical outcome hidden from reviewers. The depth of invasion was established by identifying submucosal tumor invasion up to, in, or beyond the muscularis mucosae or vascular plexus and classified as pT1a, pT1b, or pT1c, respectively. In addition to tumor grade, the presence of carcinoma in situ (CIS) near the primary tumor or in biopsy specimens taken from abnormal looking mucosa was taken into account. The risks of recurrence and progression were calculated using Kaplan-Meier curves and modeled with proportional hazard models. RESULTS: pT1 subclassification was possible in more than 90% of the specimens. The 3-year risk of recurrence was not different in any of the subgroups. By contrast, the Kaplan-Meier 3-year risk for progression was 6%, 33%, and 55% for pT1a, pT1b (hazard ratio [HR] 5.51), and pT1c (HR 12.35) tumors, respectively (log-rank test P < 0.001). The Kaplan-Meier 3-year risk of progression was 9% versus 39% (HR 5.62) for the absence or presence of CIS in the tumor (P=0.001) and 8% versus 49% (HR 6.72) for CIS in biopsy specimens (P < 0.001). Tumor grade had no statistically significant prognostic value with respect to progression, nor had tumor volume or multifocality. The combination of the parameters (pT1c and CIS) increased the risk of progression by a factor of 27 (P < 0.0001) compared with the absence of pT1c and CIS. CONCLUSIONS: These data show that the extent of lamina propria invasion (pT1a, pT1b, pT1c) is a clinically relevant prognostic factor for progression of pT1 TCC of the bladder. With the combination of this pT1 subclassification and the presence of CIS subgroups, distinct risks of progression can be identified that may give additional information for follow-up and treatment policies.

Adjuvants, Immunologic↗

The association of alcohol consumption with the incidence and progression of diabetic retinopathy.

PURPOSE: To investigate the association of alcohol consumption with the incidence and progression of diabetic retinopathy. METHODS: The population consisted of a cohort of adult younger-onset (diagnosis received before 30 years of age and taking insulin, n = 439) and older-onset (diagnosis received after 30 years of age, n = 478) persons with diabetes examined from 1984 to 1986 and again from 1990 to 1992. The outcomes were incidence of retinopathy, progression, and progression to proliferative retinopathy. Retinopathy was determined by grading of stereoscopic color fundus photographs. Alcohol consumption was determined by questionnaire and summarized as average or recent consumption. The proportion of heavier drinkers was small, 6% of younger-onset and 4% of older-onset persons. RESULTS: In the younger-onset group, progression of retinopathy occurred in 62%, 51%, 61%, and 71% of nondrinkers, light, moderate, and heavier drinkers, respectively, based on average intake (P = 0.28). Based on recent intake, 55%, 46%, 63%, and 69% of nondrinkers, light, moderate, and heavier drinkers, respectively, progressed (P = 0.10). A similar trend is seen for incidence of retinopathy, but the sample sizes are small. No association is seen with progression to proliferative diabetic retinopathy. After controlling for age, sex, and glycemia in a logistic regression model, alcohol intake is not associated with progression of retinopathy. In the older-onset group, alcohol intake is not related to the incidence or progression of retinopathy. CONCLUSION: Alcohol consumption in moderation (< or = 1 oz/day) does not appear to affect the occurrence of diabetic retinopathy.

Adult↗

Determining progressive visual field loss in serial Humphrey visual fields.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the three commercially available computerized statistical algorithms for determining progression of glaucomatous field loss in serial Humphrey fields. METHODS: Serial Humphrey fields of 102 ocular hypertensive and glaucomatous eyes were analyzed by linear regression analysis of Statpac, glaucoma change probability and Progressor Programme, and the results compared with a retrospectively determined clinical outcome. RESULTS: Linear regression analysis of Statpac identified progression in 11 field series, glaucoma change probability identified progression in 23 field series, and Progressor Programme identified progression in 27 field series. Clinical outcome identified much less-progression than any of the three algorithms, determining that only seven eyes showed deterioration. There was a wide variation of results from analysis of the same group of field series by the three different algorithms. In contrast to the other two algorithms, which detected progression in similar percentages of both ocular hypertension and glaucoma field series. Progressor Programme detected progression predominantly in glaucoma field series. CONCLUSIONS: There was a high degree of variability among the three different algorithms for determining visual field progression, and none of them correlated well with clinical impression.

Algorithms↗

Optic disc hemorrhages and progression of glaucoma.

PURPOSE: To assess progressive changes of the optic nerve head and visual fields in patients with glaucoma and ocular hypertension after optic disc hemorrhage. METHODS: The authors reviewed the charts of 91 patients with 121 disc hemorrhages who had a mean follow-up of 41.9 +/- 3.6 months. The frequency of visual field and optic nerve head changes in these patients was studied. RESULTS: The mean intraocular pressure at the examination when the disc hemorrhage was noted was 18.9 +/- 0.5 mmHg. Overall, 64 (63%) of 101 eyes showed progressive changes of visual fields after disc hemorrhage, compared with 24 (24%) of 101 control eyes (P < 0.0005). Similarly, 56 (79%) of 71 eyes showed progressive changes of optic nerve head contour by masked evaluation of stereophotographs, compared with 16 (22%) of 71 control eyes (P < 0.0005). Eyes with disc hemorrhage showed significantly greater progression of visual field defects in patients with open-angle glaucoma (P < 0.001), low-tension glaucoma (P < 0.05), and ocular hypertension (P = 0.0067) compared with control eyes matched by age, follow-up time, and diagnosis. Similarly, progressive changes of optic nerve head contour were observed more often in eyes after disc hemorrhage in patients with open-angle glaucoma (P < 0.0005), low-tension glaucoma (P < 0.025), and ocular hypertension (P < 0.005), compared with controls. The mean time interval to progression after disc hemorrhage was observed was 16.8 +/- 2.0 months for visual field changes and 23.8 +/- 2.9 months for optic nerve head changes. In eyes with disc hemorrhage, 27 (22%) of 121 had recurrent hemorrhages at a mean interval of 21.5 +/- 2.9 months after previous hemorrhage. The most common site of disc hemorrhage was the inferotemporal quadrant. Eyes with disc hemorrhage that occurred on the temporal side of the optic nerve head had a significantly lower intraocular pressure (P < 0.02) and greater progressive changes of the optic discs (P < 0.001) compared with eyes with hemorrhage on the nasal side. CONCLUSION: The authors' results indicate that disc hemorrhages in eyes with glaucoma or ocular hypertension often are associated with progressive changes of the optic nerve head and visual fields.

Adult↗

The Wisconsin Epidemiologic Study of Diabetic Retinopathy: XVII. The 14-year incidence and progression of diabetic retinopathy and associated risk factors in type 1 diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the 14-year incidence and progression of diabetic retinopathy and macular edema and its relation to various risk factors. DESIGN: Population-based incidence study. SETTING: The study was conducted in an 11-county area in southern Wisconsin. PARTICIPANTS: Six hundred thirty-four insulin-taking persons with diabetes diagnosed before age 30 years participated in baseline, 4-year, 10-year, and 14-year follow-up examinations. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The 14-year progression of retinopathy, progression to proliferative retinopathy, and incidence of macular edema were detected by masked grading of stereoscopic color fundus photographs using the modified Airlie House classification and the Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study retinopathy severity scheme. RESULTS: The 14-year rate of progression of retinopathy was 86%, regression of retinopathy was 17%, progression to proliferative retinopathy was 37%, and incidence of macular edema was 26%. Progression of retinopathy was more likely with less severe retinopathy, being male, having higher glycosylated hemoglobin or diastolic blood pressure at baseline, an increase in the glycosylated hemoglobin level, and an increase in diastolic blood pressure level from the baseline to the 4-year follow-up. Increased risk of proliferative retinopathy or incidence of macular edema was associated with more severe baseline retinopathy, higher glycosylated hemoglobin at baseline, and an increase in the glycosylated hemoglobin between the baseline and 4-year follow-up examination. The increased risk of proliferative retinopathy was associated with the presence of hypertension at baseline, whereas the increased risk of a participant having macular edema develop was associated with the presence of gross proteinuria at baseline. Lower glycosylated hemoglobin at baseline was associated with improvement in retinopathy. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest relatively high 14-year rates of progression of retinopathy and incidence of macular edema. These data also suggest that a reduction of hyperglycemia and hypertension may result in a beneficial decrease in the progression to proliferative retinopathy.

Adolescent↗

A comparison of fibrosis progression in chronic liver diseases.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: No study has compared the liver fibrosis progression rates among chronic liver diseases and the risk factors in order to better organize screening strategies. METHODS: A total of 4852 patients were retrospectively studied (chronic hepatitis C (HCV) [n=2313], human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-HCV co-infection (HIV-HCV [n=180]), hepatitis B (HBV [n=777]), alcoholic liver disease (ALD [n=701]), primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC [n=406]), genetic hemochromatosis (GH [n=383]) auto-immune hepatitis (AIH [n=57]) and delta hepatitis (n=35). The fibrosis progression rates were estimated from birth and from the date of exposure, when known, to the first biopsy. RESULTS: There were highly significant differences in the rates of fibrosis progression, the most rapid being HIV-HCV co-infection (50% cirrhosis percentile at 52 years of age) and the slowest being PBC (50% cirrhosis percentile at 81 years). There was an acceleration of fibrosis progression with aging. Fibrosis progression was slower in females compared with males for HCV, HBV, GH, and PBC. In contrast, in ALD, the fibrosis progression was more rapid in females. CONCLUSIONS: Rates of fibrosis progression differ markedly between the predominant causes of chronic liver disease, and according to age and gender. Patients with HIV-HCV co-infection are at particularly high risk of fibrosis progression.

Adult↗

Immediate treatment with bicalutamide 150mg as adjuvant therapy significantly reduces the risk of PSA progression in early prostate cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of bicalutamide ('Casodex') 150mg (in addition to standard care), on the risk of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression, in patients with early prostate cancer. METHODS: The bicalutamide 150mg Early Prostate Cancer (EPC) programme is the largest clinical trial programme in the treatment of prostate cancer to date. This paper reports the PSA progression data from the EPC programme at a median of 3years' follow-up, for the overall study population, and across the radical prostatectomy and radiotherapy primary therapy strategies. PSA progression was predefined as the earliest occurrence of PSA doubling from baseline, objective progression, or death from any cause. RESULT: Overall, bicalutamide 150 mg in addition to standard care significantly reduced the risk of PSA progression by 59% compared with standard care alone (HR 0.41; 95% CI 0.38, 0.45; p<<0.0001). Significant reductions were observed following radical prostatectomy (51%; HR 0.49; 95% CI 0.43, 0.56; p<<0.0001) and radiotherapy (58%; HR 0.42; 95% CI 0.33, 0.53; p<<0.0001). Further exploration of the data by disease stage, nodal status, Gleason score and pre-treatment PSA level revealed significant reductions in the risk of PSA progression across most prognostic risk factor subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Bicalutamide 150mg significantly reduces the risk of PSA progression, irrespective of whether patients received radical prostatectomy or radiotherapy as standard care. The EPC programme is ongoing and further progression and survival data are awaited.

Adult↗

Antibody against oxidized low density lipoprotein may predict progression or regression of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to elucidate whether an antibody against oxidized low density lipoprotein (anti-Ox-LDL) could predict short-term coronary artery atherosclerotic lesion progression. BACKGROUND: It is still controversial whether higher levels of the anti-Ox-LDL titer are associated with atherosclerotic coronary artery disease. METHODS: In 52 patients undergoing coronary angioplasty and six-month follow-up angiography, we performed quantitative coronary angiographic analysis of a lesion on a branch away from the intervention site vessel and assessed lesion progression or regression using the Progression-Regression score calculated as the baseline minimal lumen diameter minus the follow-up minimal lumen diameter. The serum anti-Ox-LDL titer was measured using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay method just before the initial angiography in all patients. RESULTS: The anti-Ox-LDL titer was 16.6+/-1.5 AcU/ml in the progression group (Progression-Regression score >0.15 mm; n = 20), which was significantly higher (p < 0.001) than the value of 9.5+/-1.2 in the regression group (< or =-0.15 mm; n = 14) and also higher (p < 0.01) than the value of 11.4+/-1.3 in the no-change group (-0.15 to 0.15 mm; n = 18). The Progression-Regression score was correlated with the antibody titer in all patients (r = 0.56, p < 0.001). Multiple regression analysis showed that the Progression-Regression score was independently correlated with the antibody titer (r = 0.44, p < 0.01) as well as lipoprotein (a) (r = 0.33, p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Anti-Ox-LDL may be an independent predictor of coronary atherosclerotic lesion progression in the short term.

Antibodies↗

Prospective blinded study of the relationship between plasma homocysteine and progression of symptomatic peripheral arterial disease.

PURPOSE: An elevated plasma homocysteine level is an established risk factor for atherosclerotic coronary heart disease (CHD), cerebrovascular disease (CVD), and lower extremity occlusive disease (LED). An elevated plasma homocysteine level can be reduced by therapy with folate and vitamins B6 and B12. An accurate evaluation of the role of vitamin therapy requires knowledge of the influence of plasma homocysteine levels on the progression of CHD, CVD, and LED. METHODS: The Homocysteine and Progression of Atherosclerosis Study is a blinded prospective study of the influence of homocysteine and of other atherosclerotic risk factors on the progression of disease in patients with symptomatic CVD, LED, or both. This study is set in a university hospital vascular surgery clinic and the General Clinical Research Center. Consecutive patients with stable symptomatic CVD or LED underwent baseline clinical, laboratory, and vascular laboratory testing for homocysteine and other risk factors and were examined every 6 months. The primary endpoints were ankle brachial pressure index, duplex scan-determined carotid stenosis, and death. The secondary endpoints were the clinical progressions of CHD, LED, and CVD. The hypothesis that was tested was whether the progression of symptomatic CVD or LED was more frequent or more rapid in patients with elevated plasma homocysteine levels. plasma homocysteine levels. RESULTS: After a mean follow-up period of 37 months (range, 1 to 78 months) for deaths from all causes (>14 micromol/L; elevated, 18.6%; normal, 9.4%; P = .022), deaths from cardiovascular disease (elevated, 12.5%; normal, 6.3%; P = .05) and the clinical progression of CHD (highest 20% of homocysteine levels, 80%; lowest 20% of homocysteine levels, 39%; P = .007) were significantly more frequent or more rapid by life-table analysis when the homocysteine levels were elevated. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model showed a significant independent and increasing relationship between the plasma homocysteine levels and the time to death (relative risk for highest one third of homocysteine values, 1.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04 to 2.56; P = 029; and relative risk for highest one fifth of homocysteine values, 3.13; 95% CI, 1.69 to 6.64; P = .0001). After an adjustment for age, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, cholesterol, and the vascular laboratory progression of CVD or LED, each 1.0 micromol/L increase in the plasma homocysteine levels resulted in a 3.6% increase (95% CI, 0.0% to 6.6%; P = .06) in the risk of death (all causes) at 3 years and a 5.6% increase (95% CI, 2.2% to 8.5%; P = .003) in the risk of death from cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSION: We conclude that elevated plasma homocysteine levels are associated significantly with death, with death from cardiovascular disease, and with the progression of CHD in patients with symptomatic CVD or LED. These results strongly mandate clinical trials of homocysteine-lowering vitamin therapy in such patients.

Aged↗

[Monoclonal gammopathies of undetermined significance and their progression over time. Retrospective study of 190 patients].

INTRODUCTION: Monoclonal gammopathies of undetermined significance (MGUS) occur in up to 1% of persons aged 50 years or older. The risk of its progression to multiple myeloma or related disorders is also approximately 1% per year. OBJECTIVES: Our study had two aims: to describe the risk of malignant progression of patients examined in our center for MGUS, and to identify predictors of this malignant progression. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients with MGUS seen in our center from 1980 through 1995. Information about progression came either from the medical file or from responses to questionnaires sent to patients' general practitioners. RESULTS: The study included 190 patients. Median follow-up was 84 months (range: 12-240 months). MGUS remained stable for 128 patients (67.37%), whose median follow-up was 96 months. Malignant transformations occurred in 41 patients (21.58%). The median interval from diagnosis of MGUS to diagnosis of a lymphoplasma cell proliferative disorder was 49 months. The cumulative probability of progression was 13.05% at 5 years and 25.14% at 10 years. The initial concentration of serum monoclonal protein was a significant predictor of progression (threshold value: 15 g/L). DISCUSSION: The cumulative probability of progression in our study is higher than that observed elsewhere. Our results may well be biased by the short follow-up period and selective referrals. CONCLUSION: The initial concentration of serum monoclonal protein is a significant predictor of malignant progression of MGUS.

Adult↗

Aeroallergen-specific IgE changes in individuals with rapid human immunodeficiency virus disease progression.

BACKGROUND: Progression of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection to the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) is associated with elevated total IgE; however, previous cross-sectional studies have differed in their assessment of concurrent changes in allergic disease prevalence. OBJECTIVE: Assessment of changes in aeroallergen-specific IgE during progression from early to late HIV disease. METHODS: Total IgE, aeroallergen-specific IgE (rye grass, ragweed, Alternaria, dust mite, and cat), IFN-gamma, IL-4, and soluble CD23 (sCD23) were measured in a longitudinal study of 20 subject who had progressed from early-HIV infection (mean CD4 lymphocyte count of 650/mm3) to AIDS (mean CD4 lymphocyte count of 40/mm3) over an average of 4 years. RESULTS: Prevalence of positive aeroallergen specific-IgE assays in early HIV disease (T1 subjects with 13 positives) decreased with progression to late disease (five subjects with nine positive, P = .057), while total IgE increased from a median of 69 to 116 IU/mL. IFN-gamma and IL-4 were unchanged, while sCD23 decreased from a median of 72 to 9 U/mL (P = .0005) with disease progression in the full cohort. In contrast to other subjects, the subgroup of individuals with total IgE > 150 IU/mL in both early and late HIV disease demonstrated an increased frequency of aeroallergen-specific IgE. CONCLUSIONS: The elevation of total IgE associated with rapid HIV-1 disease progression was unexplained by concurrent changes in aeroallergen-specific IgE, IL-4, IFN-gamma, or sCD23. Overall, aeroallergen-specific IgE expression was less prevalent with HIV-1 progression, except in those individuals with elevated total IgE both before and after progression to AIDS.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗