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Partial selfing, ecological disturbance and reproductive assurance in an invasive freshwater snail.

Although reproductive assurance (RA) might play a central role in the evolution of the selfing rate, this hypothesis has never been seriously investigated in an hermaphroditic animal. We studied the mating system of the freshwater snail Physa acuta in which the availability of mating partners might be highly variable, because this species is an efficient colonizer occupying unstable habitats. A total of 11 populations differing in ecological disturbance regime (water level, openness) and snail densities were monitored over 2 years. The outcrossing rate was estimated in ca 10 families per population using microsatellite markers and the progeny-array approach. Components of fecundity and survival were recorded for each progeny. Predominant outcrossing (t(m)=0.94) was detected, with a few individuals (4%) purely selfing. The outcrossing rate did not explain among-family variation in fitness components. None of the predictions formulated under the RA hypothesis were verified: (i) selfing was related neither to disturbed habitats, nor to temporal density fluctuations, (ii) it was positively related to population density, (iii) it co-occurred with multiple paternity, and (iv) it did not induce delayed reproduction. Explanations for these negative results are discussed in light of other arguments supporting the RA hypothesis in P. acuta, as well as alternative theories explaining the occurrence of partial selfing, as either a genetically fixed or plastic trait.

Animals↗

Population viscosity and the evolution of altruism.

The term population viscosity refers to limited dispersal, which increases the genetic relatedness of neighbors. This effect both supports the evolution of altruism by focusing the altruists' gifts on relatives of the altruist, and also limits the extent to which altruism may emerge by exposing clusters of altruists to stiffer local competition. Previous analyses have emphasized the way in which these two effects can cancel, limiting the viability of altruism. These papers were based on models in which total population density was held fixed. We present here a class of models in which population density is permitted to fluctuate, so that patches of altruists are supported at a higher density than patches of non-altruists. Under these conditions, population viscosity can support the selection of both weak and strong altruism.

Altruism↗

Studies on the epidemiology of schistosomiasis in Liberia: the prevalence and intensity of schistosomal infections in Bong County and the bionomics of the snail intermediate hosts.

Urine samples from 3548 individuals residing in six of the eight districts which comprise Bong County, Liberia, the project area of the Bong County Agricultural Development Project (BCADP), and fecal specimens from 3408 of these individuals were examined for schistosome ova. A total of 164 water sites, including rice paddies, were surveyed for schistosome vector snails and monthly changes in snail population density and infection rate were determined in selected water sites. Bulinus globosus was more widely distributed than Biomphalaria pfeifferi but the latter species showed a higher infection prevalence (12.3%) than the former one (10.3%). Snail population density and infection rate fluctuated with season, being higher in the dry season and lower during periods of heavy rainfall. Dessication and/or heat stress may have contributed to the contraction of snail population size at the end of the dry season. More water sites contained infected snails during December through February than at any other time of the year. In selected water sites examined at monthly intervals, mean snail density was higher in rice paddies than in other water contact sites but the latter showed a higher prevalence of infected snails than the former. The overall prevalence of Schistosoma mansoni (24.8%) was significantly higher than that of S. haematobium (22.7%) but the difference in prevalence rates of two species in school children was not statistically significant. The intensity of S. haematobium infection (13.2 means G) was significantly higher than that of S. mansoni (6.3 means G). Mixed infections in school children did not have a significant effect on egg output. The prevalence and intensity of S. haematobium showed a dramatic decline between the age groups 0-15 and 20-50 + years old; the differences between these age groups in S. mansoni infection were unremarkable. In Zota, Jorquelle and Kokoya Districts, prevalence rates of S. haematobium were higher than those of S. mansoni; the reverse was observed in Suakoko and Panta-Kpai Districts but relative prevalence rates varied according to specific locality in each district. A south to north stratification of schistosomal infection prevalence was observed similar to the west to east gradient reported by Saladin et al. (1980). New rice paddies developed during the three year operational period of the BCADP contained little or no vector snails and schistosomal infections in farm families of these paddies reflected the characteristic of the disease in corresponding localities.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Adolescent↗

Translational diffusion of fluorescent proteins by molecular fourier imaging correlation spectroscopy.

The ability to noninvasively observe translational diffusion of proteins and protein complexes is important to many biophysical problems. We report high signal/noise (>or=250) measurements of the translational diffusion in viscous solution of the fluorescent protein, DsRed. This is carried out using a new technique: molecular Fourier imaging correlation spectroscopy (M-FICS). M-FICS is an interferometric method that detects a collective Fourier component of the fluctuating density of a small population of fluorescent molecules, and provides information about the distribution of molecular diffusivities. A theoretical analysis is presented that expresses the detected signal fluctuations in terms of the relevant time-correlation functions for molecular translational diffusion. Furthermore, the role played by optical orientational degrees of freedom is established. We report Fickian self-diffusion of the DsRed tetramer at short timescales. The long-time deviation of our data from Fickian behavior is used to determine the variance of the distribution of the protein self-diffusion coefficient. We compare our results to the expected outcomes for 1), a bi-disperse distribution of protein species, and 2), dynamic disorder of the host solvent.

Fluorescent Antibody Technique↗

Optimal harvesting with both population and price dynamics.

We consider the effects of large inflationary price fluctuations on the computed optimal harvest strategy for a randomized Schaefer model. Both prices and population sizes are assumed random with both background (Wiener) and jump (Poisson) components. Population fluctuations are assumed to be density independent, i.e., relative changes are independent of population size. Stochastic dynamic programming is employed to find the optimal harvesting effort and economic return for a realistic set of bioeconomic data for Pacific halibut. It is found that inflationary effects have a pronounced influence on the optimal return, even in a hazardous or disastrous environment. However, optimal harvesting effort levels are much less sensitive to inflationary effects.

Animals↗

Climate and spatio-temporal variation in the population dynamics of a long distance migrant, the white stork.

1. A central question in ecology is to separate the relative contribution of density dependence and stochastic influences to annual fluctuations in population size. Here we estimate the deterministic and stochastic components of the dynamics of different European populations of white stork Ciconia ciconia. We then examined whether annual changes in population size was related to the climate during the breeding period (the 'tap hypothesis' sensu Saether, Sutherland & Engen (2004, Advances in Ecological Research, 35, 185 209) or during the nonbreeding period, especially in the winter areas in Africa (the 'tube hypothesis'). 2. A general characteristic of the population dynamics of this long-distance migrant is small environmental stochasticity and strong density regulation around the carrying capacity with short return times to equilibrium. 3. Annual changes in the size of the eastern European populations were correlated by rainfall in the wintering areas in Africa as well as local weather in the breeding areas just before arrival and in the later part of the breeding season and regional climate variation (North Atlantic Oscillation). This indicates that weather influences the population fluctuations of white storks through losses of sexually mature individuals as well as through an effect on the number of individuals that manages to establish themselves in the breeding population. Thus, both the tap and tube hypothesis explains climate influences on white stork population dynamics. 4. The spatial scale of environmental noise after accounting for the local dynamics was 67 km, suggesting that the strong density dependence reduces the synchronizing effects of climate variation on the population dynamics of white stork. 5. Several climate variables reduced the synchrony of the residual variation in population size after accounting for density dependence and demographic stochasticity, indicating that these climate variables had a synchronizing effect on the population fluctuations. In contrast, other climatic variables acted as desynchronizing agents. 6. Our results illustrate that evaluating the effects of common environmental variables on the spatio-temporal variation in population dynamics require estimates and modelling of their influence on the local dynamics.

Animal Migration↗

Generation time and temporal scaling of bird population dynamics.

Theoretical studies have shown that variation in density regulation strongly influences population dynamics, yet our understanding of factors influencing the strength of density dependence in natural populations still is limited. Consequently, few general hypotheses have been advanced to explain the large differences between species in the magnitude of population fluctuations. One reason for this is that the detection of density regulation in population time series is complicated by time lags induced by the life history of species that make it difficult to separate the relative contributions of intrinsic and extrinsic factors to the population dynamics. Here we use population time series for 23 bird species to estimate parameters of a stochastic density-dependent age-structured model. We show that both the strength of total density dependence in the life history and the magnitude of environmental stochasticity, including transient fluctuations in age structure, increase with generation time. These results indicate that the relationships between demographic and life-history traits in birds translate into distinct population dynamical patterns that are apparent only on a scale of generations.

Aging↗

Kin interactions and changing social structure during a population outbreak of feral house mice.

Populations of feral house mice (Mus domesticus L.) in Australia undergo multiannual fluctuations in density, and these outbreaks may be partly driven by some change in behavioural self-regulation. In other vertebrate populations with multiannual fluctuations, changes in kin structure have been proposed as a causal mechanism for changes in spacing behaviour, which consequently result in density fluctuations. We tested the predictions of two alternative conceptual models based on kin selection in a population of house mice during such an outbreak. Both published models (Charnov & Finerty 1980; Lambin & Krebs 1991) propose that the level of relatedness between interacting individuals affects their behavioural response and that this changes with population density, though the nature of this relationship differs between the two models. Neither of the models was consistent with all observed changes in relatedness between interacting female mice; however, our results suggested that changes in kin structure still have potential for explaining why mouse outbreaks begin. Therefore, we have developed a variant of one of these conceptual models suggesting that the maintenance of female kin groups through the preceding winter significantly improves recruitment during the subsequent breeding season, and is therefore necessary for mouse outbreaks. We provide six testable predictions to falsify this hypothesis.

Alleles↗

Time delays in density dependence are often not destabilizing

Time delays in density dependence have been associated with regular and sustained fluctuations in population size. Mathematical models have found that delays that are long enough can produce limit cycles. In experimental populations with preadult and adult phases in the life cycle and density regulation in any of the phases, it has been found that the time delay represented by maturation time can produce fluctuations in adult size. This has been corroborated by mathematical models. The present study develops mathematical models of growth in this type of population. The analysis of these models indicate that when preadult cohorts do not overlap in space, and preadult mortality is affected by the density of preadults at the present moment, the time delay does not destabilize the population. However, with spatial overlap of preadult cohorts and the same mechanism of density dependence, time delays can be destabilizing. It is concluded that time delays in density effects during preadulthood are not necessarily destabilizing, and that fluctuations in population size can also be due to delays with density effects in preadulthood and adulthood, or exogenous agents. Copyright 1998 Academic Press Limited

Journal Article↗

Transmission of urinary schistosomiasis in Sukumaland, Tanzania. 1. Snail infection rates and incidence of infection in school children.

Seasonal density fluctuations of Bulinus nasutus populations with accompanying Schistosoma haematobium infection rates in relation to rainfall and habitat water volumes were studied at Ukiriguru, Mwanza, Tanzania. Alongside the snail investigations, 50 school children initially negative for urinary schistosomiasis were examined regularly to determine seasonal incidence rates for the infection. Of the 17,646 B. nasutus collected in 2 years, 156 (0.88%) were found shedding cercariae. Snail populations fluctuated seasonally as influenced by rainfall through its effects on habitat water volume. Monthly snail infection rates ranged from 0.09% to 3.19% and were highest in February and March, at the time of the short dry period. Monthly incidence of S. haematobium in school children ranged between 2.6% and 12.5%, being highest in April and May. There was a significant linear association between monthly snail infection rates and S. haematobium incidence rates in school children (r2s = 0.65 in 1982/83; r2s = 0.87 in 1983/84) suggesting that the maximum transmission period for urinary schistosomiasis in the area occurs during the short dry period, sometime in February/March so that most of the infections in the community would be detected in April/May.

Animals↗

Extinction risk of a density-dependent population estimated from a time series of population size.

Environmental threats, such as habitat size reduction or environmental pollution, may not cause immediate extinction of a population but shorten the expected time to extinction. We develop a method to estimate the mean time to extinction for a density-dependent population with environmental fluctuation. We first derive a formula for a stochastic differential equation model (canonical model) of a population with logistic growth with environmental and demographic stochasticities. We then study an approximate maximum likelihood (AML) estimate of three parameters (intrinsic growth rate r, carrying capacity K, and environmental stochasticity sigma(2)(e)) from a time series of population size. The AML estimate of r has a significant bias, but by adopting the Monte Carlo method, we can remove the bias very effectively (bias-corrected estimate). We can also determine the confidence interval of the parameter based on the Monte Carlo method. If the length of the time series is moderately long (with 40-50 data points), parameter estimation with the Monte Carlo sampling bias correction has a relatively small variance. However, if the time series is short (less than or equal to 10 data points), the estimate has a large variance and is not reliable. If we know the intrinsic growth rate r, however, the estimate of K and sigma(2)(e)and the mean extinction time T are reliable even if only a short time series is available. We illustrate the method using data for a freshwater fish, Japanese crucian carp (Carassius auratus subsp.) in Lake Biwa, in which the growth rate and environmental noise of crucian carp are estimated using fishery records.

Animals↗

Quorum sensing in bacteria.

Quorum sensing is the regulation of gene expression in response to fluctuations in cell-population density. Quorum sensing bacteria produce and release chemical signal molecules called autoinducers that increase in concentration as a function of cell density. The detection of a minimal threshold stimulatory concentration of an autoinducer leads to an alteration in gene expression. Gram-positive and Gram-negative bacteria use quorum sensing communication circuits to regulate a diverse array of physiological activities. These processes include symbiosis, virulence, competence, conjugation, antibiotic production, motility, sporulation, and biofilm formation. In general, Gram-negative bacteria use acylated homoserine lactones as autoinducers, and Gram-positive bacteria use processed oligo-peptides to communicate. Recent advances in the field indicate that cell-cell communication via autoinducers occurs both within and between bacterial species. Furthermore, there is mounting data suggesting that bacterial autoinducers elicit specific responses from host organisms. Although the nature of the chemical signals, the signal relay mechanisms, and the target genes controlled by bacterial quorum sensing systems differ, in every case the ability to communicate with one another allows bacteria to coordinate the gene expression, and therefore the behavior, of the entire community. Presumably, this process bestows upon bacteria some of the qualities of higher organisms. The evolution of quorum sensing systems in bacteria could, therefore, have been one of the early steps in the development of multicellularity.

4-Butyrolactone↗

Attractiveness of 79 compounds and mixtures to wild Ceratitis capitata (Diptera: Tephritidae) in field trials.

Seventy-nine volatile compounds chosen from those emitted by Mediterranean fruit fly males, fruits and food baits, were tested for their attractiveness to females of Ceratitis capitata (Wiedemann) in field trials with a wild population. To correct for density fluctuations, the results were presented as a percentage of males caught in the same type of traps baited with trimedlure, a known male attractant. The mixtures of corn steep liquor with ammonia compounds and amines were the most effective attractants for females. Other compounds exhibiting C. capitata attraction were a mixture ethyl acetate+acetic acid+ethanol for both sexes, and p-cymene, 1,3-diethylbenzene and borneol for females.

Amines↗

Endemicity, seasonality and focality of transmission of human schistosomiasis in 3 communities in southwestern Nigeria.

The pattern of transmission of human schistosomiasis was studied in 3 communities in southwestern Nigeria. The prevalence of Schistosoma haematobium in school children aged 5-16 years in the 3 communities was 76.2, 70.3 and 66.4%, respectively. The percentage of infected children harbouring heavy infections (greater than 50 eggs/10 ml urine) in the 3 communities was 75.5, 69.2 and 48.1% with a prevalence of visible haematuria among the heavily infected children of 29.5, 19.4 and 24.3%, respectively. Bulinus globosus, the snail host for S. haematobium, was found in all 7 sites sampled. The population density and the seasonal fluctuations in density and in prevalence of infection with S. haematobium differed markedly among the different sites. B. pfeifferi, the snail host of S. mansoni, was encountered in 2 of the 7 sites. The pattern of occurrence of infection with S. mansoni differed markedly between the 2 sites. The lack of consistency in the transmission pattern as regards both the seasonality and focality makes a thorough knowledge on the transmission pattern essential for the incorporation of community-based focal mollusciciding into the integrated approach to control of schistosomiasis morbidity in this ecological complex and highly endemic area.

Adolescent↗

Distribution of a naturally fluctuating ungulate population among heterogeneous plant communities: ideal and free?

1. Herbivore distribution is often assumed to follow the ideal free distribution (IFD) model. This assumes that organisms are omniscient about forage quality and availability within the area available to them and are free to move, with negligible cost, throughout this environment. If this were the case we would expect that, at lowest densities, all animals would be found in the best habitat patches, with less desirable habitats being occupied stepwise as population density increases. We test this using data from a naturally fluctuating population of feral Soay sheep. 2. We show that, although the distribution of individuals is correlated positively with food quality, in line with patterns reported for hill sheep in Scotland, their distribution does not conform to the predictions of the IFD model. We argue that it is the dynamic nature of their food resource that causes this departure from the predictions of the IFD model and make the case that the IFD model, in its unmodified form, is inappropriate for use in modelling distribution among patches containing dynamic resources.

Animals↗

Visibility of the environmental noise modulating population dynamics.

Characterizing population fluctuations and their causes is a major theme in population ecology. The debate is on the relative merits of density-dependent and density-independent effects. One paradigm (revived by the research on global warming and its relation to long-term population data) states that fluctuations in population densities can often be accounted for by external noise. Several empirical models have been suggested to support this view. We followed this by assuming a given population skeleton dynamics (Ricker dynamics and second-order autoregressive dynamics) topped off with noise composed of low- and high-frequency components. Our aim was to determine to what extent the modulated population dynamics correlate with the noise signal. High correlations (with time-lag -1) were observed with both model categories in the region of stable dynamics, but not in the region of periodic or complex dynamics. This finding is not very sensitive to low-frequency noise. High correlations throughout the entire range of dynamics are only achievable when the impact of the noise is very high. Fitted parameter values of skeleton dynamics modulated with noise are prone to err substantially. This casts doubt as to what degree the underlying dynamics are any more recognizable after being modulated by the external noise.

Animals↗

Deterministic single-locus density-dependent selection.

Density-regulated selection is considered for a single, multiallele gene locus and separated generations. Characteristics resulting from the basic assumption that the average population fitness decreases with increasing density are derived. Under this assumption, it proves to be necessary to distinguish between regions of allelic frequencies which imply limited population growth, unlimited growth, or ultimate extinction when the population stays in the respective region. Particular attention is given to the investigation of the region of limited growth and the 'carrying capacity function' theta defined on it. Relationships between theta and the average fitness (adaptive surface) in the non-density dependent model are explained. Besides stability properties of equilibrium points, more general characteristics concerning the asymptotic behavior of population trajectories are treated. In this context, the problems of sudden loss of alleles and of population extinction as a result of large fluctuations in density are discussed.

Alleles↗