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PubMedDate not supplied

Factors associated with residents' attitudes toward dying patients.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Management of the dying patient often elicits anxiety in physicians. This study identified the association of physicians' personal fear of death, tolerance of uncertainty, and attachment style with physician attitudes toward dying patients. METHODS: Four psychological scales were distributed to family practice residents located in Texas, Missouri, and Maine. The scales were "Death Anxiety," "Death Attitudes," "Physicians' Reactions to Uncertainty," and "Experiences in Close Relationships." The scores from the measures and demographic data were used to determine which factors were associated with physician attitudes toward caring for terminally ill patients. RESULTS: Completed surveys were received from 157 residents. Younger residents (< 30 years) reported more stress from uncertainty and were more uncomfortable with the care of dying patients. Residents who reported higher death anxiety were also more uncomfortable with caring for dying patients. In a multivariate analysis, uncertainty, death anxiety, and age predicted 26% of the total outcome variance of the death attitudes score. CONCLUSIONS: Physician tolerance of uncertainty plays a significant role in physician attitudes toward the dying patient. Our findings suggest that decreasing physicians' stress from uncertainty by educating them in the management of the dying patient may improve their attitude toward death and may better prepare them to provide end-of-life care.

Adaptation, Psychological↗

PubMed2004

Effectiveness of a perimenopausal health education intervention for mid-life women in northern Taiwan (#MS03-21-LW).

The purpose of this quasi-experimental research was to assess the effectiveness of a perimenopausal health education intervention for mid-life women in northern Taiwan. The health education intervention included a health education brochure, one-on-one teaching. One hundred seventy-nine women were in the intervention group and 174 women were in the control group. Education effectiveness was assessed by participants' scores on four questionnaires at the beginning of the study and 3 months after initial recruitment. Both groups of women were compared on changes in their scores on health knowledge, level of perceived uncertainty, health behaviors and perceived perimenopausal disturbances. The intervention group had significantly reduced scores on perimenopausal disturbances (P < 0.005) and reported increase practice of healthy behaviors (P < 0.001) compared to the control group. However, a significant decrease of perceived uncertainty was only found in the subgroup of women recruited from the Chinese medicine clinic of the control group (t = 2.22; d.f. = 58; P < 0.05). Chinese medicine physicians assess patients based on a philosophical approach that treats all symptoms holistically. This may have helped reduce patient uncertainty.

Adult↗

PubMed2026

Characterizing the Uncertainty, Misclassification and Inconsistency of Polygenic Prediction.

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) hold promise for precision medicine, yet their clinical translation is hindered by substantial uncertainty in individual risk estimates and often limited agreement in risk stratification across multiple PRSs for the same disease. We develop a unified inferential framework to calibrate PRS point estimates and uncertainties for both quantitative traits and binary phenotypes, and to characterize how PRS accuracy, uncertainty, pairwise correlation jointly determine misclassification and classification inconsistency. We show, both theoretically and empirically, that individual- and population-level misclassification and inconsistency rates are highly predictable in independent datasets. We further evaluate PRS integration and uncertainty-aware probabilistic thresholding strategies that reduce misclassification and improve concordance in risk stratification. Together, these results demonstrate that instability in PRS-based classification is a predictable statistical consequence of uncertainty and establish a principled foundation for incorporating uncertainty into PRS-based risk interpretation, communication, and clinical decision-making.

Journal Article↗

PubMed1982

Reflex control of heart rate in normal subjects in relation to age: a data base for cardiac vagal neuropathy.

We examined the heart rate changes induced by forced breathing and by standing up in 133 healthy subjects in the age range 10-65 years in order to establish a data base for studies on parasympathetic heart rate control in autonomic neuropathy. Test results declined with age. Log-transformation was used to define the lower limit of normal (P0.10) and an uncertainty range (values between P0.10 and P0.025). The lower limit of normal decreased from 22 to 11 beats/min for forced breathing and from 26 to 16 beats/min for standing up, with age increasing from 10 to 65 years. No subject scored below and only two subjects scored in or below the uncertainty range for both tests. Lack of correlation between both tests (r = 0.17) documents the different afferent mechanisms of the reflex heart rate changes. In combination these two tests form a simple and reliable bedside method to establish cardiac vagal neuropathy.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1986

Student and faculty assumptions about the nature of uncertainty in medicine and medical education.

Clinical reasoning involves an element of uncertainty. Teaching clinical reasoning involves understanding how students view uncertainty as well as how medical problems are solved. This study uses Perry's model of intellectual development to explore changes in how medical students, residents, and instructors think about the nature of knowledge. A total of 31 medical students, residents, and instructors completed the Widick and Knefelkamp Measure of Intellectual Development revised to focus specifically on uncertainty in medicine. Consistent with Perry's theory, scores reflected increasing degrees of acceptance of the role of uncertainty in medicine with increasing experience. Based on these results, it is concluded that to improve the effectiveness of teaching problem solving in medicine, faculty must challenge the assumptions held by medical students about the certainty of medical knowledge while teaching the process of clinical diagnosis.

Attitude↗

PubMed1997

Quality of life, hope, and uncertainty of cardiac patients and their spouses before coronary artery bypass surgery.

The relationships among quality of life, uncertainty, and hope for 21 patients and their spouses before bypass surgery were examined in this study. The instruments used included: Ferrans' and Powers' Quality of Life Index, Mishel's Uncertainty in Illness Scale, and the Herth Hope Index. Greater uncertainty was associated with lower quality of life and hope scores for patients and spouses. Spouses were more uncertain about the patients' cardiac disease and had higher quality of life scores than the patients. Female patients had more uncertainty about their disease. Patients with poor left ventricle function had lower quality of life. Implications for practice include the need to incorporate the spouse into the plan of care. Also, the presence of uncertainty in the waiting period for surgery for both patients and their spouses, and its negative association with quality of life, reinforces the importance of pre-admission intervention with this population.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

A Web-based survey method for evaluating different components of uncertainty in relative health risk judgments.

Uncertainty permeates the process of risk assessment. It arises from recognized sources such as inadequacy of toxicological data, lack of exposure information, and imprecise identification of sensitive populations. In addition to these ambiguities, comparative risk exercises, which amount to risk assessment on a scale wider than that applied to single agents, also entail balancing community values, cost-benefit analyses, and other factors not directly tied to toxicology. Such exercises often convene evaluation panels to attempt a ranking of different stressors or stressor groups. The size of these panels is necessarily limited, and they usually strive to reach some form of consensus on ranking. Because ordinal assignments of risk are so difficult to achieve, they actually evolve into rating agendas in which stressors are categorized as high, medium, or low risks. Whether ranking or rating is its aim, this process, with its emphasis on agreement, usually overlooks two major components of uncertainty. One is variability among raters in assigning a score or category. The other is the degree of uncertainty they implicitly attach to their individual ratings. Both serve as guides to the scope and clarity of the available information. To gather more information about these critical but usually overlooked contributions to uncertainty, and, simultaneously, to query a broader sample of respondents, a survey method was designed to exploit the possibilities of electronic communication based on the World Wide Web. This method can secure risk ratings of selected stressors from many different samples of respondents. In addition, it can also provide information about the extent of ratings variability among risk assessors, individuals, or groups of respondents, about the bases of the ratings, and, concurrently, the confidence they place in their judgment. Comparative risk endeavors conducted in this format make their aims and content easy to modify. Data obtained by such a method can serve as pointers to new research initiatives, to regulator priorities, or to further iterations.

Data Collection↗

PubMed2003

[Scoring systems in the intensive care unit].

Scoring systems represent classification systems or point systems which have been designed for making quantitative statements regarding the severity of a disease, its prognosis, and its course. Furthermore, scores may serve the purposes of assessing therapies, of quality control and of quality assurance, and of an economic evaluation of intensive care. Like all measuring methods, scores are susceptible to failures and systematic mistakes. The clinical user should be well aware of these limitations. Generally, one would recommend only using scores which have been rigorously tested for their reliability, validity, and practicability. These include, but are not limited to, the updated versions of the APACHE, the SAPS, and the MPM. Although great strides have been made concerning development, verification, and clinical applicability, scores still exhibit a level of uncertainty which precludes their use in individual patients. Frequently, it may be of benefit to combine the more general scores with one or several organ dysfunction scores to determine the extent of functional impairment of specific organs. If, however, well-trained medical personnel apply tried and tested scoring systems, intensive care units will definitely gain a lot from it.

APACHE↗

PubMed2000

Should a Gleason score be assigned to a minute focus of carcinoma on prostate biopsy?

The grading system for prostate carcinoma devised by Gleason is a strong prognostic indicator. The primary and secondary patterns are combined to give a tumor score, referred to as Gleason score or sum. Gleason scores on biopsy correlate with the prostatectomy Gleason scores, and in combination with pretreatment serum prostate-specific antigen and digital rectal examination results, predict tumor stage and lymph node status. However, when only a minute focus of tumor is present on biopsy, the Gleason score is assigned by doubling the Gleason pattern. The goal of this study was to determine if a Gleason score assigned to a minimal focus of adenocarcinoma had predictive value. Paired biopsies and prostatectomy specimens from 963 cases of men with clinically localized prostate cancer were examined. Minimal tumor on biopsy was defined as less than 1 mm or 5% involvement of one biopsy core; excluded from this definition were biopsies where two Gleason patterns could be identified and/or tumor was seen on more than one biopsy core. Terms often used to describe these lesions include "single minute focus of carcinoma" or "adenocarcinoma, too small to give a Gleason grade." One hundred five cases (10.9%) met the above criteria for minimal carcinoma. The correlation of Gleason scores between biopsies and prostatectomy specimens overall was good with exact agreement for 57% of cases and a difference of +/-1 unit in 92% of cases. The correlation for the minimal tumors on biopsy and prostatectomy was slightly worse with exact agreement in 52.4% (55 of 105) and a difference of +/-1 unit in 87.6% (92 of 105). The majority of minimal tumors (83.8% or 88 of 105) were assigned a Gleason score of 6. A total of 31.8% of these 88 cases were upgraded and 5.7% were downgraded. Multivariate analysis on all cases looking for predictors of tumor stage found biopsy Gleason score, perineural invasion, pretreatment prostatic-specific antigen, and digital rectal examination all predicted higher tumor stage with odds ratios of 1.86 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.53-2.27; p = 0.0001), 2.06 (95% CI, 1.43-2.95; p = 0.0001), 1.08 (95% CI, 1.05-1.11; p = 0.0001), and 1.41 (95% CI, 1.04-1.91; p = 0.0289), respectively. In a model restricted to the 105 cases with minimal carcinoma, pretreatment prostatic-specific antigen was the only independent predictor of higher tumor stage with an odds ratio of 1.15 (95% CI, 1.01-1.31; p = 0.0380); Gleason score was not found to significantly predict higher tumor stage (odds ratio, 1.156; p = 0.6680). The results of this study confirm that biopsy Gleason score in most cases predicts prostatectomy Gleason score and tumor stage. However, for cases with minimal tumor on biopsy, the assigned Gleason score did not predict tumor stage. To properly convey this uncertainty to clinicians, a cautionary note should accompany Gleason scores derived from a minimal focus of carcinoma.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2005

Further signs in the evaluation of magnetic resonance mammography: a retrospective study.

PURPOSE: To increase accuracy and reliability of magnetic resonance breast imaging, a new evaluation method might be helpful. The recently suggested evaluation method (Fischer U, et al) resulted in a relevant number of equivocal cases (3 or 4 points). Additional morphologic and dynamic signs as an extension of this score were evaluated. METHOD AND MATERIALS: One hundred thirty-two histologically verified lesions were evaluated by 3 radiologists double-blinded using 2 evaluation methods: 1) method 1 (according to Fischer, et al): 2pt: initial signal increase >100%, washout, centripetal enhancement, 1pt: initial signal increase 50-100%, plateau phenomenon, centrifugal inhomogeneous enhancement, irregular borders, linear, stellar or dendritic structure; and 2) method 2 (according to Malich, et al): 3pt: hook sign (sign of pectoral invasion), 2pt: unifocal edema, blooming. 1pt: hypointensity in T2, lymph nodes >10 mm, skin thickening, adjacent vessels, a lesion's distorted inner architecture, disruption of the mamillary edge; -1pt: isointensity in T2, no edema, enhancing septations; -3pt: hyperintensity in T2, non enhancing septations. Method 1 judged a lesion to be malignant if 5 or more points were given and benign if 2 or less points were given, respectively. Method 2 (mean value of 3 radiologists) was tested in those cases in which a clear possible decision using method 1 was not sufficiently possible. RESULTS: Method 1 alone resulted in a negative predictive value of 96.8% and a positive predictive value of 90.8% (without carcinoma in situ), a sensitivity of 83.1%, a specificity of 58.8%, and revealed uncertain results (3 and 4 points) in 29 cases (out of 132; 22%). Adding the new scoring system in these 29 equivocal cases and an increase of 2 or more points by using method 2 is supposed to be a sign of malignancy; findings suggest a sensitivity of 90.9% and a specificity of 60% if an increase of maximum 1 is observed in benign lesions. In conclusion, our results show that Göttingen score alone has a sensitivity of 83.1%, a specificity of 58.8%; the second evaluation method reveals a sensitivity of 90.9% and a specificity of 60% in equivocal cases of Göttingen score. Göttingen score then reaches in all cases and second, adding the second evaluation method in equivocal cases, a sensitivity of 97% and a specificity of 76.5%. CONCLUSION: The application of a second evaluation method in those cases remaining unclear in Göttingen score can lead to a decrease of uncertainty and a higher sensitivity and specificity of diagnosis in MR mammography. In this study, Göttingen score reaches a sensitivity of 83.1% and a specificity of 58.8%, increasing to a sensitivity of 97% and a specificity of 76.5% when being extended by a second evaluation method in unclear cases.

Adolescent↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Uncertainty, anxiety, and symptoms of posttraumatic stress in parents of children recently diagnosed with cancer.

The purpose of the study was to describe relationships between uncertainty, anxiety, and symptoms of posttraumatic stress (PTS) in parents of children recently diagnosed with cancer. The study was guided by the Uncertainty in Illness Theory. The setting was a children's hospital. Participants were 15 parents of 12 children recently diagnosed with cancer. Anxiety was measured by the State-Trait Anxiety Inventory. Uncertainty was measured by the Parent Perception of Uncertainty Scale. Symptoms of PTS were measured by the Reaction Index. Total scale scores were calculated and psychometrics estimated. Differences in uncertainty, anxiety, and symptoms of PTS by parent race were assessed using analysis of variance. The correlation matrix was estimated to assess relationships between variables. The level of uncertainty was lower than expected, but was significantly higher for black parents (p < .001). The level of anxiety was comparable to that for hospitalized persons with anxiety disorders. The level of symptoms of PTS was higher than reported for parents of childhood cancer survivors. The relationship between anxiety and symptoms of PTS was significant (r =.56, p < .02). Pediatric oncology nurses should offer parents interventions to relieve high levels of anxiety and symptoms of PTS; some parents could also benefit from interventions that target uncertainty.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Sample size review in a head injury trial with ordered categorical responses.

Between 1993 and 1996, a total of 452 patients were entered into a randomized trial evaluating eliprodil (a non-competitive NMDA receptor antagonist) in patients suffering from severe head injury. The primary efficacy analysis concerned the Glasgow Outcome Score (GOS), six months after randomization. This outcome was classified into three ordered categories: good recovery; moderate disability, and the worst category made up by combining severe disability, vegetative state and dead. A sample size calculation was performed prior to the commencement of the study, using a formula which depends on the anticipated proportions of patients in the three different outcome categories, the proportional odds assumption and on the relationship between outcome and prognostic factors such as Glasgow Coma Score at entry. Owing to uncertainty about the influence of prognostic factors, and about the proportion of patients in the three GOS categories, a blinded sample size review was planned. This review was performed on the basis of the first 93 patients to respond, and this led to an increase in the sample size from 400 to 450. In this paper the pre-trial simulations showing that the type I error rate would be influenced and the power would be preserved will be presented, and the implementation of the procedure will be described.

Craniocerebral Trauma↗

PubMed2004

Association between cytochrome P450 2D6 genotype and harm avoidance.

Genetic polymorphisms within the serotonergic and dopaminergic neurotransmitter systems may be associated with heightened harm avoidance and novelty seeking. It is also conceivable that polymorphisms in enzymes that mediate the metabolism of endogenous amines within the brain may influence these components of temperament. The CYP2D6 enzyme is expressed at low levels in the brain, and has been shown to mediate the formation of the neurotransmitters serotonin and dopamine from trace amines. Some 5-10% of Caucasians are CYP2D6 deficient due to inactivating mutations in the CYP2D6 gene, and are termed poor metabolizers (PMs). In this study, we investigated whether temperament varied significantly between PMs and CYP2D6 extensive metabolizers (EMs) using the Temperament and Character Inventory (TCI). CYP2D6 genotypes were determined for 121 depressed patients. Of these patients, 113 were inferred from genotype as being EMs and eight as PMs. A significant difference in temperament was observed between inferred CYP2D6 EM and PM individuals. CYP2D6 PMs had significantly lower harm avoidance scores (P = 0.003) than EMs. Furthermore, analysis of the harm avoidance sub-scales revealed that the CYP2D6 PMs scored significantly lower on "fear of uncertainty" (P < 0.001), fatigability (P = 0.009), and shyness (P = 0.038) than EMs, but did not differ significantly from EMs on the worry/pessimism sub-scale. No significant difference in character scores was detected between inferred CYP2D6 EMs and PMs. Our findings suggest that the CYP2D6 polymorphism may impact on personality, and one potential mechanism for this would be by influencing the generation of endogenous neurotransmitters in the brain.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

SVM-BALSA: remote homology detection based on Bayesian sequence alignment.

Biopolymer sequence comparison to identify evolutionarily related proteins, or homologs, is one of the most common tasks in bioinformatics. Support vector machines (SVMs) represent a new approach to the problem in which statistical learning theory is employed to classify proteins into families, thus identifying homologous relationships. Current SVM approaches have been shown to outperform iterative profile methods, such as PSI-BLAST, for protein homology classification. In this study, we demonstrate that the utilization of a Bayesian alignment score, which accounts for the uncertainty of all possible alignments, in the SVM construction improves sensitivity compared to the traditional dynamic programming implementation over a benchmark dataset consisting of 54 unique protein families. The SVM-BALSA algorithms returns a higher area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for 37 of the 54 families and achieves an improved overall performance curve at a significance level of 0.07.

Bayes Theorem↗

PubMed1999

Psychological distress associated with waiting for results of diagnostic investigations for breast disease.

This paper presents the results of a multi-method research project investigating the psychological distress associated with waiting for results of diagnostic investigations in a delayed-results breast clinic. A cohort of 126 women completed standardized psychometric instruments to assess anxiety, mood and coping over 3 days. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 20 respondents. The findings indicate that waiting sustained but did not exacerbate psychological distress. Peri-diagnostic anxiety, depression, uncertainty and confusion were associated with anxiety levels immediately following triple assessment. Women leaving the clinic with low anxiety retained this composure throughout the peri-diagnostic period. Those in the moderate and high anxiety groups recorded sustained anxiety, depression, uncertainty and confusion, with mean scores comparable to and exceeding those reported by psychiatric out-patients. Coping during the waiting period was typically accomplished by emotion-focused strategies. Qualitative data suggested the delayed-results clinic structure may facilitate psychological preparation for test results.

Journal Article↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Effect of attention therapy on reading comprehension.

This study quantified the influence of visual attention therapy on the reading comprehension of Grade 6 children with moderate reading disabilities (RD) in the absence of specific reading remediation. Thirty students with below-average reading scores were identified using standardized reading comprehension tests. Fifteen children were placed randomly in the experimental group and 15 in the control group. The Attention Battery of the Cognitive Assessment System was administered to all participants. The experimental group received 12 one-hour sessions of individually monitored, computer-based attention therapy programs; the control group received no therapy during their 12-week period. Each group was retested on attention and reading comprehension measures. In order to stimulate selective and sustained visual attention, the vision therapy stressed various aspects of arousal, activation, and vigilance. At the completion of attention therapy, the mean standard attention and reading comprehension scores of the experimental group had improved significantly. The control group, however, showed no significant improvement in reading comprehension scores after 12 weeks. Although uncertainties still exist, this investigation supports the notion that visual attention is malleable and that attention therapy has a significant effect on reading comprehension in this often neglected population.

Attention↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Psychological androgyny and preference in loss-framed gambles of medical students: possible implications for resource utilization.

Physician decisions concerning allocation of health care resources to patients are highly variable and poorly understood. Psychological androgyny theory (PAT) has been employed as a model of the interpersonal and task activities required of physicians for care of their patients. Several studies have successfully predicted physician resource utilization using measures derived from PAT. Using a sample of 97 first-year medical students, the authors explored the relationship between PAT and risk preference in loss-framed gambles in order to elucidate the process whereby variables derived from PAT predict resource utilization. As hypothesized, students selecting the certain loss had significantly higher mean androgyny scores than did students selecting uncertainty. Research involving these constructs is integrated in the context of a theoretical "causal model," which highlights issues deserving of future research.

Choice Behavior↗

PubMed2004

Diagnostic accuracy of the palliative prognostic score in hospitalized patients with advanced cancer.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the predictive accuracy of the Palliative Prognostic (PaP) score in patients with advanced cancer under the care of an oncologist. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The PaP score was calculated in 100 consecutive patients with advanced cancer hospitalized under the care of a medical or radiation oncologist at a university teaching hospital in Australia. The attending oncologist predicted the survival duration for the purpose of the scoring. The positive predictive value of the PaP score was evaluated. Survival analysis was performed to compare the survival of the three prognostic groups. RESULTS: Assessable survival data were available for 98 patients. The overall median survival was 12 weeks (interquartile range, 7 to 25 weeks). The PaP score divided the heterogeneous patient sample into three isoprognostic groups related to the chance of surviving 1 month, with 64 patients in group A (> 70% chance), 32 patients in group B (30% to 70% chance), and four patients in group C (< 30% chance). The estimated median survival of the three groups was 17 weeks (95% CI, 12 to 26 weeks), 7 weeks (95% CI, 4 to 12 weeks), and less than 1 week (95% CI, < 1 to 3 weeks), respectively. These survival differences were highly significant (log-rank test of trend, chi1(2) = 25.65; P < .0001). The 1-month survival of the groups was 97%, 59%, and 25%, respectively. CONCLUSION: When oncologists' survival estimates are used, the PaP score is able to identify accurately three isoprognostic patient groups, irrespective of the cancer type. The PaP score may help reduce the uncertainty of formulating a prognosis in patients with advanced cancer.

Adult↗