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Predictors, prodromes and incidence of postpartum depression.

The purpose of this study was to determine the incidence of clinically significant depression occurring between 1 and 4 months postpartum and to investigate whether somatic complaints, subsyndromal depressive symptoms, or birth-related concerns among non-depressed women at 1 month were predictive of postpartum depression. This is a prospective cohort study of 465 women from the Wisconsin Maternity Leave and Health Project (WMLHP). Women who were not depressed at 1 month postpartum were reassessed 3 months later for depression occurring at any time in the interval between 1 and 4 months postpartum. Depression was defined as either meeting the criteria for major depression on the National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH) Diagnostic interview Schedule (DIS) or scoring above 15 on the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). Physical symptoms were assessed by an adapted Health Responses Scale. Other measures were developed specifically for the WMLHP. Of 465 women, 27 (5.8%) became clinically depressed between 1 and 4 months postpartum. In a logistic regression analysis, four variables (maternal age, depression during pregnancy, thoughts of death and dying at 1 month postpartum, and difficulty falling asleep at 1 month postpartum) were predictive of depression at 4 months postpartum. Breast-feeding, mode of delivery, family income, parity and mother's education did not predict depression. The existence of subsyndromal depressive symptoms, particularly thoughts of death and dying, may represent a prodromal phase of depression and should alert clinicians to the possibility of future postpartum depression. Women with a history of depression during pregnancy should be monitored for signs of postpartum depression for a minimum of 4 months. Obstetricians are in a unique position during the postpartum check-up to screen women for these predictors of future postpartum depression and possibly to avert the development of a clinically significant depressive episode.

Adult↗

Predictors and prevalence of erectile dysfunction in a racially diverse population.

BACKGROUND: To our knowledge, the burden of disease attributed to erectile dysfunction (ED) has not been adequately quantified across a complete spectrum of age and race using a global disease definition, as recommended by the National Institutes of Health consensus statement. To obtain a better understanding of the national estimates of prevalence and risk factors for ED, we analyzed data from the 2001-2002 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. METHODS: The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey collects data by household interview. The sample design is a stratified, multistage, probability sample of clusters of persons representing the civilian noninstitutionalized population. Data include medical histories in which specific queries are made regarding urological symptoms (including ED). These items were selected for analysis in 3566 men, 20 years and older. RESULTS: In men 20 years and older, ED affected almost 1 in 5 respondents. Hispanic men were more likely to report ED (odds ratio [OR], 1.89), after controlling for other factors. The prevalence of ED increased dramatically with advanced age; 77.5% of men 75 years and older were affected. In addition, there were several modifiable risk factors that were independently associated with ED, including diabetes mellitus (OR, 2.69), obesity (OR, 1.60), current smoking (OR, 1.74), and hypertension (OR, 1.56). CONCLUSIONS: The burden of ED on the US population is significant. Hispanic men had an elevated risk for ED, a finding that requires confirmation in prospective studies. Obesity, hypertension, smoking, and diabetes mellitus are significantly associated with ED risk. Mitigation of these risk factors may ameliorate the burden of ED.

Adult↗

Raloxifene for postmenopausal women with systemic lupus erythematosus: a pilot randomized controlled study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the effects of raloxifene on disease activity and bone mineral density (BMD) in postmenopausal women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: Postmenopausal women with osteopenia and inactive SLE were randomly assigned to receive either raloxifene (60 mg/day) plus elemental calcium (1,200 mg/day) or elemental calcium alone (control). Patients with a history of thromboembolism or antiphospholipid antibody positivity were excluded. BMD at various sites was serially measured, and lupus activity was serially assessed using the Safety of Estrogens in Lupus Erythematosus: National Assessment-Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SELENA-SLEDAI). RESULTS: The study group comprised 33 patients (16 assigned to receive raloxifene and 17 controls, mean +/- SD age 53.8 +/- 5.3 years). Age, body mass index, and baseline BMD values did not differ significantly between the 2 groups of patients. All patients were receiving low-dose prednisolone. After 12 months, femoral neck BMD (mean +/- SD -2.6 +/- 1.0%; P = 0.02) and lumbar spine BMD (-3.3 +/- 0.8%; P = 0.001) decreased significantly in the controls but not in the raloxifene group. No patient had a major flare of lupus, but mild/moderate flares occurred in 4 raloxifene-treated and 6 control patients (P = 0.79). The total area under the curve of SELENA-SLEDAI scores was not significantly different between the 2 groups. A significant increase in the high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level and a reduction in the low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level were observed in the raloxifene group but not in controls. One patient in the raloxifene group (6%) withdrew from the study because of hot flushes. No thromboembolic events were reported. CONCLUSION: Raloxifene was well tolerated in Chinese patients with SLE who had inactive disease and in whom hypercoagulability was not identified. Raloxifene maintained femoral neck and spinal BMD in patients receiving corticosteroids.

Bone Density↗

Cocaine dependence with and without PTSD among subjects in the National Institute on Drug Abuse Collaborative Cocaine Treatment Study.

OBJECTIVE: This study examined the prevalence of lifetime traumatic events and current symptoms of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) among treatment-seeking cocaine-dependent outpatients and compared patients with and without PTSD on current substance use, psychopathology, and sociodemographic characteristics. METHOD: The subjects were 122 adult cocaine-dependent outpatients participating in a treatment outcome study of psychosocial therapy. In addition to standard self-report and interview measures of psychopathology and substance use, the subjects completed the Trauma History Questionnaire and the PTSD Checklist before entering treatment. RESULTS: These patients experienced a large number of lifetime traumatic events (mean = 5.7); men experienced more general disasters and crime-related traumas than women, and women experienced more physical and sexual abuse than men. According to self-report measures, 20.5% of the subjects currently met the DSM-III-R criteria for PTSD; the rate of PTSD was 30.2% among women and 15.2% among men. Patients with PTSD had significantly higher rates of co-occurring axis I and axis II disorders, interpersonal problems, medical problems, resistance to treatment, and psychopathology symptoms than patients without PTSD. Psychopathology symptoms represented the most consistent difference between the two groups and provided the best prediction of PTSD status in a logistic regression. However, the groups did not differ significantly in current substance use or sociodemographic characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: These findings underscore the value of screening substance abusers for PTSD, because it can identify a small but substantial number who might require additional treatment. Further studies of the relationship between PTSD and substance abuse appear warranted.

Adult↗

Exposure to air pollution is associated with lung hyperinflation in healthy children and adolescents in Southwest Mexico City: a pilot study.

Air pollution produces adverse health effects. The consequences of lifelong daily exposures to atmospheric pollutants upon the respiratory apparatus of healthy children are of considerable clinical importance. We investigated the association between exposure to a highly polluted urban environment with a complex mixture of air pollutants-ozone and particulate matter the predominant ones-and chest x-ray abnormalities in 59 healthy Mexican children who are lifelong residents of Southwest Metropolitan Mexico City (SWMMC), with a negative history of tobacco exposure and respiratory illnesses. Their clinical results and x-ray findings were compared to those of 19 Mexican control children, residents of a low-pollution area, with a similar negative history of tobacco exposure and respiratory illnesses. Ozone concentrations in SWMMC exceeded the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for O(3): 0.08 ppm as 1-h maximal concentration, not to be exceeded more than 4 times a year, on 71% of days in 1986 and 95% in 1997, with values as high as 0.48 ppm. Ozone maximal peaks are usually recorded between 2 and 5 pm coinciding with children's outdoor physical activities. Children in the control group reported no upper or lower respiratory symptomatology. Every SWMMC child complained of upper and/or lower respiratory symptoms, including epistaxis, nasal dryness and crusting, cough, shortness of breath, and chest discomfort. Children aged 7-13 yr had the most symptomatology, while 5- to 6-year olds and adolescents with the lowest number of statistically significant outdoor exposure hours had less respiratory symptoms. Bilateral symmetric mild lung hyperinflation was significantly associated with exposure to the SWMMC atmosphere (p = .0004). Chronic and sustained inhalation of a complex mixture of air pollutants, including ozone and particulate matter (PM), is associated with lung hyperinflation, suggestive of small airway disease, in a population of clinically healthy children and adolescents. Small airways are a target of air pollutants in SWMMC children, with ozone and PM being most likely responsible, based on experimental animal, controlled-chamber, and epidemiological data available. Our main concern is the potential likelihood for the development of chronic lung disease in this highly exposed population.

Adolescent↗

A national register of historic and contemporary anthrax foci.

Anthrax in Russia has for a long time posed a serious problem for public health and veterinary services. At the beginning of the century, 40-60 thousand cases of this infection were annually reported in the country in agricultural animals and about 10-20 thousand cases in people where each fourth (25%) was dying. In the Russian Federation the registration of anthrax foci is obligatory for veterinary as well as for sanitary-epidemiological services. So our initial project, funded by the International Technical and Scientific Center in Moscow, has envisaged the collection of all data of known anthrax foci, including the village name, agricultural council, region, oblast and year of occurrence. The objective is to assemble a reference handbook, "Register of stable anthrax sites in the Russian Federation", containing organized information on more than 10 000 anthrax foci occurring during the past 100 years. Such a study makes it possible to identify regions characterized by the highest concentrations of stationary anthrax sites in Russia, to identify trends in expressed activity of such sites through the periodic emergence of disease in humans and animals, and to determine the factors contributing to the formation of such trends. In doing this, it makes it possible to develop contingency plans for different risk locations (i.e. high risk of persistent infection, high risk of sporadic occurrence, low risk areas, etc.) in terms of anthrax in Russia, to identify high risk areas and develop a differentiated strategy of vaccination and other control strategies, and to develop preventive recommendations to reduce risk in high risk areas. It is now important to develop the second step of the project: to develop in depth studies of particular clusters to determine which factors are associated with Russian anthrax outbreaks. Maps will greatly enhance the value of this work in terms of spatial analysis. Furthermore, this supplementary project will allow the incorporation of powerful Geographic Information System (GIS) electronic mapping technology so that natural geographic features, such as soil type, climate, etc., can be compared with anthrax distributions in Russia using standard GIS and statistical analysis. At the present time, it is imperative to develop a detailed understanding of the world's distribution of anthrax and what geographic factors determine its prevalence.

Anthrax↗

A report from the NIDDK Liver Transplantation Database.

The development and pilot phase of the NIDDK LTD project has been successfully completed by recruiting and uniformly evaluating at baseline and follow-up of 176 candidates and 101 transplant patients from 5 LTD Clinical Centers (Baylor University Medical Center, Mayo Clinic, University of California at Los Angeles, University of Minnesota, and University of Pittsburgh). The first set of analyses presented in this report describes the characteristics of the candidates, recipients and donors who were enrolled in the LTD pilot study. Other findings must be regarded as trends until more data become available. Candidates who presented with fulminant or subacute liver failure as well as those with lupoid type chronic active hepatitis had the highest selection rate for transplantation while those with malignancy and alcoholic cirrhosis had the lowest. Overall, little selection occurred on the basis of age alone. Early posttransplantation recovery characterized by prolonged ICU stay, or by death or retransplantation in the ICU, were significantly influenced by operative and recipient factors. Generally, when function of other organ systems was impaired, the event rates were higher. Abnormal neurological status represented the greatest risk. For the ICU course, patients with fulminant disease fared the worst and cirrhotics the best. Long operation (greater than 8 hrs) and blood use in excess of 3,000 ml had 2-3 times the risk for long ICU stay or adverse ICU events. Surprisingly, donor and harvesting factors also played a significant role in the early posttransplantation course. Such trends were shown for drug abuser donors and for rapid hepatectomy time. The harvesting surgeon's assessment of the donor and the graft had good predictive value of the ICU course. Finally, patients who required retransplantation within 6 weeks more often had donors with histories of longer hospitalization and fewer grafts that were deemed excellent or good at harvest.

Databases, Bibliographic↗

[Atherogenic food habits of population groups in a metropolitan area of southeastern Brazil].

This present study is one part of the project "Atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases, lipemic disorders, hypertension, obesity and diabetes mellitus in a population of the metropolitan area of S. Paulo, Brazil" undertaken in Cotia county. An alimentary inquiry based on the alimentary history of the individual was carried out among a subsample of the population (568 individuals). The objectives of the inquiry are the following: a) the identification of the atherogenic potential of the diets of different human groups, stratified according to social class and b) the analysis of consumption differentials of some nutrients, which confer atherogenicity to the diet, as between social classes. The consumption differentials were analyzed as between men and women, by social class and taking the 50th percentile (P50) of the sample as the standard of reference, with regard to the following dietary constituents: energy, total proteins, proteins of animal origin, percentages of protein calories (P%), fatty acids, fats (F%) and carbohydrates (CH%). Also, according to this criterion, some diet profiles were analyzed in the light of the recommendations of the National Cholesterol Education Program (NEP) as regards the calorie supplied by fats (F%), saturated fatty acids (SFA%), carbohydrates (CH%) and cholesterol (> 300 mg/day). The following were the findings obtained: the consumption differentials were more pronounced among the men. The social class which presented the largest percentages above the P50 of the sample, with regard to energy, total proteins, fats and carbohydrates, were the non-specialized workers, i.e. the manual laborers who have a high expenditure of energy, an that of small property owners and shop-keepers who lead a sedentary life. The class of the greatest acquisitive power and highest educational level presented a moderate consumption of these constituents. On the other hand, the consumption of the proteins of animal origin, above the P50, among men and women, maintained a direct relationship with socioeconomic level. The proportion of calories coming from fats (F%) and protein (P%) was directly proportional to the acquisitive power of the class, while that of carbohydrates (CH%) presented an inverse relationship. On the other hand, the consumption of cholesterol in excess of 300 mg/day was found to between 37 and 50% and 20 and 32% for men and women, respectively. The percentage of diets with more than 30% of calories coming from fats (F%) varied from 25 to 40% for men and 45 to 50% for women. The participation of the saturated fatty acids (SFA%) in proportions greater or equal to 10 was relatively low for both sexes: being of 5 to 17% for the men and of less than 10% for the women. The percentages of cases in the relationship saturated to unsaturated fatty acids (SFA/UFA) maintaining values less than 1% was also low for the population in general, being of 7 and 22% for the men and less than 10% for the women. It is concluded that diet probably is an important risk factor in cardiovascular diseases, lipemic disorders, obesity and hypertension, for a large part of the population, mainly for the small property owners and shop-keepers, is viable.

Brazil↗

Heat or eat: the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program and nutritional and health risks among children less than 3 years of age.

OBJECTIVES: Public funding for the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program has never been sufficient to serve more than a small minority of income-eligible households. Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program funding has not increased with recent rapidly rising energy costs, harsh winter conditions, or higher child poverty rates. Although a national performance goal for the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program is to increase the percentage of recipient households having > or = 1 member < or = 5 years of age, the association of income-eligible households' receipt of the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program with indicators of well-being in young children has not been evaluated previously. The goal of the current study was to evaluate the association between a family's participation or nonparticipation in the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program and the anthropometric status and health of their young children. METHODS: In the ongoing Children's Sentinel Nutrition Assessment Project from June 1998 through December 2004, caregivers with children < 3 years of age in 2 emergency departments and 3 primary care clinics in 5 urban sites participated in cross-sectional surveys regarding household demographics, child's lifetime history of hospitalizations, and, for the past 12 months, household public assistance program participation and household food insecurity, measured by the US Food Security Scale. This scale, in accordance with established procedures, classifies households as food insecure if they report that they cannot afford enough nutritious food for all of the members to lead active, healthy lives. On the day of the interview, children's weight, length, and whether the children were admitted acutely to the hospital from the emergency departments were documented. The study sample consisted only of Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program income-eligible renter households without private insurance who also participated in > or = 1 other means-tested program. RESULTS: In this sample of 7074 caregivers, 16% of families received the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program, similar to the national rate of 17%. Caregivers who received the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program were more likely to be single (63% vs 54%), US born (77% vs 68%), and older (mother's mean age: 28.1 vs 26.7 years) but were less likely to be employed (44% vs 47%). Households who received the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program were more likely to receive Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (85% vs 80%), Supplemental Security Income (13% vs 9%), Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (38% vs 23%), and food stamps (59% vs 37%) and to live in subsidized housing (38% vs 19%) compared with nonrecipients. Children in families participating in the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program were older than children in nonparticipating families (13.6 vs 12.5 months), were less likely to be uninsured (5% vs 9%), and were more likely to have had a low birth weight < or = 2500 g (17% vs 14%). Families participating in the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program reported more household food insecurity (24% vs 20%) There were no significant group differences between recipients and nonrecipients in caregiver's education or child's gender. After controlling for these potentially confounding variables, including receipt of other means-tested programs, compared with children in recipient households, those in nonrecipient households had greater adjusted odds of being at aggregate nutritional risk for growth problems, defined as children with weight-for-age below the 5th percentile or weight-for-height below the 10th percentile, with significantly lower mean weight-for-age z scores calculated from age- and gender-specific values from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2000 reference data. However, in adjusted analyses, children aged 2 to 3 years in recipient households were not more likely to be overweight (BMI > 95th percentile) than those in nonrecipient households. Rates of age-adjusted lifetime hospitalization excluding birth and the day of the interview did not differ between Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program recipient groups. Among the 4445 of 7074 children evaluated in the 2 emergency departments, children from eligible households not receiving the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program had greater adjusted odds than those in recipient households of acute hospital admission on the day of the interview. CONCLUSIONS: Even within a low-income renter sample, Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program benefits seem to reach families at the highest social and medical risk with more food insecurity and higher rates of low birth-weight children. Nevertheless, after adjustment for differences in background risk, living in a household receiving the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program is associated with less anthropometric evidence of undernutrition, no evidence of increased overweight, and lower odds of acute hospitalization from an emergency department visit among young children in low-income renter households compared with children in comparable households not receiving the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program. The Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program in many states shuts down early each winter when their funding is exhausted. From a clinical perspective, pediatric health providers caring for children from impoverished families should consider encouraging families of these children to apply for the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program early in the season before funding is depleted. From a public policy perspective, although this cross-sectional study design can only demonstrate associations and not causation, these findings suggest that, particularly as fuel costs and children's poverty rates increase, expanding the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program funding and meeting the national Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program performance goal of increasing the percentage of recipient households with young children might potentially benefit such children's growth and health.

Child, Preschool↗

[The physician-patient relationship in post-modernism].

The doctor-patient relationship represents a particular link that goes beyond formality and it is projected in time, space and emotionalism. It takes place in the midst of a cultural, social, physiological, scientific and technical context which at the same time is conditioned by local, regional, national and foreign influences as a consequence of globalization. Different ethnical groups, social stratification, economic structures, philosophical concepts, religious beliefs and moral values play a pivotal role. The technological advances have shown an exponential increase during the last forty years. This phenomenon was accompanied by deep changes that varied from philosophical to strictly technical aspects which were significatively intensified during the post Second World War period. The consequences have been unfortunate for physicians and particularly for patients. Those consequences came out by philosophical reviews, the economical liberalism and neoliberalism development, a new concept for science, the priorization of technique development together with changes in both ethical value scales and economic & politic power hegemonies. The great reports of philosophy have tried to justify these social changes. The end of modern meta discourses such as Iluminism, Idealism, and Marxism, incited the liberal and neoliberal discourse. Knowledge has been affected not only in the research field but in the teaching field as well. Today, the discourse in vogue is the performance. The "organic conjugation" of technique and profit precedes its union with science. The State disengagement in managing the great social problems in many countries, the globalization and the concentration of the capital has redefined the power. Neither the patient nor the medicine escapes from this reality. The final results are generations of physicians quite right informed but unable to solve or even face the minimum problems of a patient, and what is worst, they run the risk of feeling frustrated and resentful. Everything is thought and done through technique, and there is a fact that appears to justify this action "The malpractice judgement industry". The economical monopoly of private or sindical Healthcare Providers and self-managed Hospitals projects are rapidly and notoriously modifying the medical labour market. There seems to exist only one element that the doctor and the patient have in common in this new culture: loneliness. There is also a human communication failure that separates them: the patient is in more need of human comprehension than ever before and the doctor has a cultural inability to offer it. To sum up, the relationship between the doctor and the patient is still a theme of deep preoccupation, even more nowadays when everything seems to indicate that this relationship has suffered a significant impairment.

History, 19th Century↗

Sankara Nethralaya-Diabetic Retinopathy Epidemiology and Molecular Genetic Study (SN-DREAMS 1): study design and research methodology.

PURPOSE: To describe the methodology of the Sankara Nethralaya-Diabetic Retinopathy Epidemiology and Molecular Genetic Study (SN-DREAMS 1), an ongoing population-based study to estimate the prevalence of diabetes and diabetic retinopathy in urban Chennai, Tamil Nadu, South India, and also to elucidate the clinical, anthropometric, biochemical and genetic risk factors associated with diabetic retinopathy. METHODS: In this ongoing study, we anticipate recruiting a total of 5830 participants. Eligible patients, over the age of 40 years, are enumerated using the multistage random sampling method. Demographic data, socioeconomic status, physical activity, risk of sleep apnea, dietary habits, and anthropometric measurements are collected. A detailed medical and ocular history and a comprehensive eye examination, including stereo fundus photographs, are taken at the base hospital. Biochemical investigations (total serum cholesterol, high-density lipoproteins, serum triglycerides, hemoglobin, glycosylated hemoglobin HbA1c) and genetic studies of eligible subjects are conducted. A computerized database is created for the records. CONCLUSION: The study is expected to result in an estimate of the prevalence of diabetes and diabetic retinopathy and a better understanding of biochemical and genetic risk factors associated with diabetic retinopathy in an urban South Indian population. Worldwide, the prevalence of diabetes mellitus, in particular type II diabetes, is rising at an alarming rate. The World Health Organization (WHO) and International Diabetes Federation (IDF) have predicted that the number of cases of adult-onset diabetes would more than double by 2030 from the present level of 171 million to 366 million-an increase of 214%.1 In developed countries, this increase in diabetic population would be around 42% and in developing countries, particularly in India, it is even higher; i.e. 150%.1 In India, the prevalence of diabetes mellitus in the urban population is around 12.1%, as reported by the national urban diabetes study2 conducted in six major cities. Studies have shown the prevalence of diabetes to be higher among the high-income groups (25.5%) as compared to low-income groups (12.6%).3,4,5 The assessment of socioeconomic status was based on income,6, 7 education,2, 7 occupation2 or caste6-which are not representative of the actual socioeconomic status. In the present study, however, the sample was stratified on socioeconomic scoring. This scoring was calculated on the basis of several parameters such as the residence being rented or owned, the number of rooms in the house, the highest educational status, the highest salary, the highest occupation, material possessions (cycle, TV, audio, car, etc.) and house/land value. To the best of our knowledge, this kind of comprehensive socioeconomic scoring has not been done before for prevalence studies on diabetic retinopathy in the general population.

Anthropometry↗

The effectiveness of the Gail model in estimating risk for development of breast cancer in women under 40 years of age.

Epidemiologic studies have provided information on risk factors for breast cancer. Gail and associates identified five risk factors using the Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project (BCDDP) population and developed a model to calculate a composite relative risk (RR). This model is commonly used to counsel women regarding their risk for breast cancer and was used by the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast Project (NSABP) for eligibility for the Breast Cancer Prevention Trial. Because the BCDDP population was composed almost entirely of women 40 years of age or older, our purpose was to evaluate the effectiveness of the Gail model in estimating the risk of breast cancer for women under 40 in the clinical setting. The Gail risk factors were assessed for 124 patients under the age of 40 treated for either ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) or invasive breast cancer at the Lahey Hitchcock Medical Center between 1983 and 1995. The RR was calculated using the Gail model. For comparison, two cohorts of women under the age of 40 were used: 107 randomly selected patients who underwent a breast biopsy because of a benign condition and 129 nurses from our institution who responded to a questionnaire that included reproductive and family history information as used in the Gail model. The RR calculated was the RR that existed at the time of the surgical consultation for a suspicious breast lesion. The Tarone-Ware method was used to analyze statistical significance of differences between distribution. Contingency tables were analyzed using Miettinen's modification of Fisher's exact test. No differences were found between the median RR for all groups. Only 2 of the 124 patients with breast cancer had a RR of 5 or more (the RR required to enter the Breast Cancer Prevention Trial). The distribution of age at menarche (AGEMEN) was the same for each group. No difference was found for the distribution of age at first live birth (AGEFLB) between those with breast cancer and those with a benign biopsy or the control group. The number of breast biopsies (NBIOPS) was higher in patients with a benign breast biopsy. No difference was found in the distribution of number of first-degree relatives with breast cancer (NUMREL). Overall the Gail model failed to differentiate those women about to have cancer diagnosed from two control populations. The Gail model is not useful in identifying immediate risk of breast cancer in women under 40 and should not be used for that purpose.

Adult↗

The Toronto Tri-Hospital Gestational Diabetes Project. A preliminary review.

In this study, we assessed maternal-fetal outcomes in untreated patients with increasing carbohydrate intolerance not meeting the current criteria for the diagnosis of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), examined the relationship between birth weight and mode of delivery among women with untreated borderline GDM, treated overt GDM, and normoglycemia, and established more efficient screening strategies for detection of GDM. This was a prospective analytic cohort study in which nondiabetic women aged > or = 24 years were eligible for enrollment. A 50-g glucose challenge test (GCT) and a 100-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) were administered at 26 and 28 weeks gestational age, respectively. Risk factors for unfavorable maternal-fetal outcomes were recorded. Time since the last meal prior to the screening test was recorded, as well. Caregivers and patients were blinded to glucose values except when test results met the National Diabetes Data Group criteria for GDM. Maternal and fetal outcomes, including the mode of the delivery, were recorded in the postpartum period. Of 4,274 patients screened, 3,836 (90%) continued to the diagnostic oral glucose tolerance test. GDM was seen in 145 women. Increasing carbohydrate intolerance in women without overt gestational diabetes was associated with a significantly increased incidence of cesarean section, preeclampsia, macrosomia, and need for phototherapy, as well as an increased length of maternal and neonatal hospital stay. Multivariate analysis showed that increasing carbohydrate intolerance remained an independent predictor for various unfavorable outcomes, but the strength of the associations was diminished. Compared with normoglycemic control subjects, the untreated borderline GDM group had increased rates of macrosomia (28.7 vs. 13.7%, P < 0.001) and cesarean delivery (29.6 vs. 20.2%, P = 0.03). Usual care of known GDM patients normalized birth weights, but the cesarean delivery rate was about 33%, whether macrosomia was present or absent. An increased risk of cesarean delivery among treated patients compared with normoglycemic control subjects persisted after adjustment for multiple maternal risk factors. As for the screening tests, time since the last meal had a marked effect on mean plasma glucose. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis allowed the selection of the most efficient cut points for the GCT based on the time since the last meal. These cut points were 8.2, 7.9, and 8.3 mmol/l (1 mmol/l = 18.015 mg/dl) for elapsed postprandial time of < 2, 2-3, and > 3 h, respectively. With this change from the current threshold of 7.8 mmol/l, the number of patients with a positive screening test dropped from 18.5 to 13.7%. There was an increase in positive predictive value from 14.4 to 18.7%. The overall rate of patient misclassification fell from 18.0 to 13.1%. In conclusion, increasing maternal carbohydrate intolerance in pregnant women without GDM is associated with a graded increase in adverse maternal and fetal outcomes. Infant macrosomia is an important factor in high cesarean delivery rates for women with untreated borderline GDM. Although detection and treatment of GDM normalizes birth weights, rates of cesarean delivery remain inexplicably high. Recognition of GDM may lead to a lower threshold for surgical delivery. The efficiency of screening for GDM can be enhanced by adjusting the current GCT threshold of 7.8 mmol/l to new values related to time since the last meal before screening. Further analyses are underway to elucidate whether maternal risk factors can be used to achieve additional efficiency gains in screening.

Birth Weight↗