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Modelling the effects of biological intervention in a dynamical gene network.

Cellular response to environmental and internal signals can be modeled by dynamical gene regulatory networks (GRN). In the literature, three main classes of gene network models can be distinguished: (1) non-quantitative (or data-based) models which do not describe the probability distribution of gene expressions; (2) quantitative models which fully describe the probability distribution of all genes co-expression; and (3) mechanistic models which allow for a causal interpretation of gene interactions. We propose two rigorous frameworks to model gene alteration in a dynamical GRN, depending on whether the network model is quantitative or mechanistic. We explain how these models can be used for design of experiment, or, if additional alteration data are available, for validation purposes or to improve the parameter estimation of the original model. We apply these methods to the Gaussian graphical model, which is quantitative but non-mechanistic, and to mechanistic models of Bayesian networks and penalized linear regression.

Gene Regulatory Networks

Penalized Cumulative Probability Model for a Continuous Outcome Subject to Detection Limits.

Mixed-type outcome data occur when the outcome variable's distribution is a mixture of both continuous and discrete ordinal variables. Such mixed-type outcomes are common in biomedical, psychological, and the health sciences, particularly for variables having either a detection or quantitation limit. When interest lies in identifying a combination of genomic features associated with a mixed-type outcome, any method used would require a variable selection strategy for high-dimensional data. Unfortunately, few variable selection methods exist for modeling a mixed-type outcome when the covariate space is high dimensional. This study develops a high-dimensional penalized cumulative probability model (CPM), to allow for the identification of genomic features associated with mixed-type outcome of interest. We demonstrated how such model may be estimated using the iterative penalization procedure-the generalized monotone incremental forward stagewise (GMIFS) algorithm. The Model-X knockoffs procedure was combined with the estimation algorithm to control the false discovery rates (FDR) when performing variable selection. Through extensive simulation studies, our penalized CPM was shown to outperform alternative methods in terms of controlled variable selection performance by achieving high statistical power with the FDR being controlled at the target level. We demonstrate the utility of our method by applying it to predict estimated glomeruli filtration rate (eGFR) in kidney transplant recipients at 24 months post-transplant using baseline gene expression data as predictors. Our CPM model identified five genes associated with this mixed-type outcome which have important links to renal disease, which may provide prognostic guidance for kidney transplantation recipients.

Models, Statistical

ReMeDy: A Flexible Statistical Framework for Region-Based Detection of DNA Methylation Dysregulation.

Region-based epigenome-wide association studies have demonstrated improved statistical power and biological interpretability compared with probe-wise analyses of DNA methylation data. However, most existing region-based methods characterize methylation dysregulation primarily through changes in mean methylation levels associated with a phenotype of interest. Substantial evidence indicates that phenotype-associated methylation alterations may also manifest through changes in methylation variability or through joint shifts in mean and variability. Despite this, no existing statistical framework jointly models mean-variance methylation changes in a region-based manner. We propose ReMeDy, a flexible statistical framework that uses a hierarchical likelihood approach within a generalized linear model setting to identify differentially methylated regions, variably methylated regions, and regions exhibiting joint differential and variable methylation at a genome-wide scale. Unlike existing models, ReMeDy operates directly on biologically defined co-methylated regions, allowing it to naturally capture spatial correlation inherent in DNA methylation array data, while avoiding reliance on heuristic, user-defined tuning parameters such as smoothing spans and kernel bandwidths that can substantially influence results and introduce subjectivity. Through extensive simulation studies and comprehensive benchmarking against popular models, we demonstrate that ReMeDy maintains false discovery and Type-I error rates at nominal levels while achieving consistently higher statistical power across a wide range of realistic scenarios. Application to population-level DNA methylation data further shows that ReMeDy identifies biologically meaningful regions and pathways implicated in complex human diseases that are not captured by conventional mean-based analyses alone. ReMeDy is implemented as an open-source R package and is freely available at https://github.com/SChatLab/ReMeDy.

DNA Methylation

An integrated multiscale air quality modelling framework for industrial park pollution: Linking local emissions to regional transport.

Capturing the spatiotemporal distribution of pollutants in industrial parks remains challenging for regional air quality models because of their coarse resolution (3 km), resulting in uncertainties in local emission quantification. To address this, we developed the Integrated Multiscale Air Quality Modelling System for Industry (IAQMS-Industry), coupling the regional Nested Air Quality Prediction Modelling System (NAQPMS) with a city-scale chemical transport model. This framework integrates point-source locations and Gaussian plume dispersion to simulate particulate matter with a diameter smaller than 2.5 micrometres (PM2.5) at 100 m resolution. Applied to the Beijing Yi Zhuang and Tangshan industrial parks and evaluated against observations. The coupled model achieved a normalized mean bias (NMB) ranging from 3.1 % to 6.2 %, improving upon NAQPMS (-16.9 % to -7.7 %). Spatial analysis revealed that coarse regional grids underestimated the PM2.5​ concentrations at industrial sites by smoothing gradients, whereas IAQMS-Industry successfully resolved spatial patterns. Industrial point emissions accounted for 22.9 %-26.4 % of PM2.5 in the coupled model, which was significantly greater than the regional model estimates of 1.6 %-13.7 %. These findings indicate that regional models overestimate pollutant dispersion processes in industrial parks while underestimating local industrial impacts. By explicitly resolving point-source dynamics and linking them to regional transport, IAQMS-Industry provides a robust tool for designing targeted emission controls in industrial cities and balancing local air quality improvements with minimized regional pollution outflow. This study underscores the necessity of multiscale modelling for accurate source apportionment and informed environmental governance in industrial zones.

Air Pollution

Modelling peak microbial pollution events caused by combined sewer overflows in a source-to-sea system.

Predicting peak microbial pollution events in downstream coastal bathing waters caused by combined sewer overflows (CSOs) is essential for protecting public health. In urban areas, wastewater effluents, CSOs, and surface runoff can contribute to elevated microorganism loads to downstream waters. These pressures are likely to be intensified by growing population density and more frequent heavy rainfalls due to climate change. This study developed a process-based model to simulate Escherichia coli (E. coli) emissions, transport, and fate from the initial sources to coastal beaches. A three-year retrospective simulation (2017-2019) shows that E. coli concentrations in CSO discharges varied widely across the catchment (4.6 - 7.3 (log10 CFU 100 ml-1)). 99th percentile E. coli concentrations (4.0 (log10 CFU 100 ml-1)) at the inland water outlet were dominated by local CSO emissions, whereas 90th percentile E. coli concentrations (3.6 (log10 CFU 100 ml-1)) reflected cumulative upstream contributions from both CSO and effluent emissions. With the simulation accuracy of 89%, the model reliably reproduced the E. coli dynamics on the downstream beach and showed strong performance in representing peak concentrations based on Complementary Cumulative Distribution Function (CCDF) analysis. The process-based model enables quantitative tracking of source contributions and identification of pollution hotspots, providing support for mitigation measures. The study lays down a source-to-sea modelling framework for representing pollution transport across the aquatic continuum and provides a transferable tool for microbial pollution forecasting and climate adaptation planning.

Climate projection

Challenges and future directions in AI-driven biomaterials for microbiome-associated oral infectious diseases: A systematic review.

Oral biofilm-induced antimicrobial resistance is the core pathogenic mechanism of microbiome-associated oral infectious diseases (dental caries, periodontitis, peri-implantitis, and endodontic infection). Traditional therapies and biomaterials are limited by poor biofilm penetration, drug resistance induction, single functionality, and inadequate adaptation to dynamic oral microenvironmental changes (e.g., pH fluctuations, salivary rinsing, masticatory stimulation). Artificial intelligence (AI) has transformed the field by integrating materials science, microbiology, and stomatology data. Via machine learning, deep learning, and multi-physics simulation, AI optimizes biomaterial physicochemical properties, decodes microenvironmental signals, constructs precise sensing-response loops, and supports the full chain of material design, performance prediction, and action simulation, advancing treatment from empirical intervention to precision regulation. This systematic review retrieved literature from PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science (January 2016-January 2026) using keywords across three dimensions: AI, biomaterials, and oral microbiome. Following inclusion/exclusion criteria, 99 articles were included. It elaborates on five core mechanisms of AI-driven oral biomaterials (precise oral microbiome analysis, targeted material design/optimization, performance prediction/simulation, targeted delivery/intervention, effect evaluation/dynamic regulation), analyzes their applications in microbiome-targeted biomaterial research and development (R&D) and clinical practice for the four major oral infectious diseases, addresses technical bottlenecks (insufficient targeting specificity and precision of biomaterials, poor stability and durability in complex oral microenvironments, inadequate biofilm disruption capacity, and clinical translation obstacles), and proposes future directions (multimodal design to enhance targeting specificity, structural and component optimization to improve stability/durability, development of multi-mechanism synergistic biofilm disruption strategies, strengthening translational research for clinical application, and deep integration of AI in the full chain of biomaterial R&D). This work provides comprehensive theoretical and practical support for the R&D, optimization, and clinical translation of AI-driven microbiome-targeted oral biomaterials.

Humans

Recovering membrane interaction kinetics of single molecules from 3D tracking data.

Interactions between cytosolic biomolecules and the bacterial inner membrane are fundamental to many cellular processes, yet directly measuring their binding kinetics in living cells remains challenging. Conventional 2D single-molecule tracking analyses can be insufficient, particularly when membrane association does not markedly alter the diffusion rate. Here, we present a method to recover membrane interaction kinetics from 3D single-molecule trajectories in rod-shaped bacteria. Using simulated 3D tracking data, we identify membrane-associated motion by quantifying how well short trajectory segments follow the circular curvature of the cell membrane. The resulting measure is further analyzed using a hidden Markov modeling framework, enabling robust discrimination between cytosolic and membrane-bound states and capturing the dynamics of state transitions without requiring diffusion-rate changes or direct colocalization with membrane markers. This work establishes a general framework for extracting membrane interaction kinetics from 3D single-molecule tracking data in live bacteria and highlights the value of realistic microscopy simulations for quantitative interpretation and systematic bias assessment.

Kinetics

Effectiveness of STK Spray® for semen stain localization on solid surfaces: A specificity and sensitivity study.

Semen identification is a crucial step in sexual assault cases. The aim of this study was to assess STK Spray®, a presumptive test for semen, under controlled conditions including, simulated crime scene stains detection. Easy to use, it can be sprayed directly onto different surfaces and visualized under UV light. Several tests were performed on five different substrates (ceramic tile, drywall, metal, wood, and faux leather). The spray was able to enhance semen fluorescence, especially in diluted samples, with characteristic "globular" spots. Although it showed good specificity, false positives could be obtained with 10% bleach. The fluorescence signals were quantified using ImageJ™ and showed a statistically significant substrate-dependent variability. Mixture analysis indicated that saliva did not interfere with detection of semen, while urine partially suppressed the signal and blood markedly affected its interpretation. Simulation tests with UV lamp comparisons confirmed the importance of choosing the right detection method and the utility of this presumptive test in combination with additional immunochromatographic tests. A preliminary signal retention test showed stable fluorescence for up to two years when stains were stored appropriately. Finally, complete DNA profiles (100% of alleles) were obtained from all samples (n = 24) after exposure to the reagent and UV light. Because of its ability to enhance semen signal, especially on specific surfaces, and its rapidity of use and detection, STK Spray® may represent a useful aid in the preliminary screening phase.

Humans

Cost-effectiveness analysis of omeprazole for preventing esophageal stricture in patients with Zargar grade 2b and 3a corrosive esophageal injuries: A trial-based economic evaluation.

BACKGROUND: Corrosive esophageal injury frequently results in esophageal stricture requiring repeated endoscopic dilatation and substantial healthcare expenditure. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of omeprazole plus standard treatment compared with standard treatment alone for preventing esophageal stricture in adult patients with Zargar grade 2b and 3a corrosive esophageal injuries. METHODS: A trial-based economic evaluation was conducted alongside a randomized controlled trial from the healthcare provider and patient perspectives. Twenty patients were randomized to receive either standard treatment alone (n = 10) or standard treatment plus omeprazole (n = 10). Direct medical costs were analyzed using the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Deterministic one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis using Monte Carlo simulation were performed. RESULTS: The incidence of corrosive esophageal stricture was 20% (2/10) in the omeprazole group and 70% (7/10) in the standard treatment group (relative risk, 0.29; 95% confidence interval, 0.08-1.05; Fisher's exact test, P = .070). Omeprazole plus standard treatment reduced healthcare costs by THB 4642.30 per patient from the provider perspective and THB 5476.60 per patient from the patient perspective. The intervention remained the dominant strategy across all deterministic sensitivity analyses. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that 68.3% and 78.8% of simulations favored omeprazole from the provider and patient perspectives, respectively. CONCLUSION: Omeprazole plus standard treatment may represent a cost-effective strategy for adult patients with Zargar grade 2b and 3a corrosive esophageal injuries. However, these findings should be considered preliminary and require confirmation in larger multicenter randomized controlled trials.

Humans

Meniscal preservation in the age of biologics: toward a quantitative decision algorithm for personalized repair.

BACKGROUND: Despite advances in arthroscopic repair and biologic augmentation, surgical indication for meniscal tears remains heterogeneous. No standardized framework currently integrates biomechanical, clinical, and biological determinants to guide repair versus resection. PURPOSE: To develop a quantitative decision model-the Meniscal Preservation Score (MPS)-that unifies biomechanical and biological evidence to stratify reparability potential and standardize treatment selection in meniscal surgery. METHODS: A systematic evidence synthesis conducted in accordance with PRISMA 2020 reporting standards of studies published from 2000 to 2025 in PubMed, Embase, and Scopus identified key determinants of meniscal healing. Five consistent predictors-patient age, vascularity, tear morphology, associated pathology, and activity profile-were weighted through a two-round modified Delphi consensus among ten experienced knee surgeons. The resulting 0-9-point MPS was incorporated into a stepwise decision tree linking lesion morphology, biological context, and surgical strategy. Conceptual validation used 50 simulated cases and a retrospective cohort of 45 patients to test agreement between algorithm recommendations and expert surgical decisions. RESULTS: The MPS achieved 86% concordance with expert judgment in simulation and 84% agreement in clinical validation. In this retrospective exploratory cohort, cases in which surgical management was concordant with MPS recommendations demonstrated higher mean IKDC scores at 24 months and lower observed reoperation rates. These findings should be interpreted as associative rather than causal, as treatment allocation was not controlled and discordant cases may have represented inherently more complex pathology. CONCLUSION: The MPS represents an evidence-informed decision-support framework designed to systematize reparability assessment. While exploratory analyses suggest structural coherence with expert reasoning, prospective implementation and external validation are required before clinical adoption as a predictive tool. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: conceptual model with exploratory validation.

Humans

Educational interventions to improve medical students' bad news communication skills: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: This systematic review aimed to both determine whether educational interventions improve medical students' ability and/or confidence in Bad News Communication (BNC), as well as assess the relative efficacy of instructional formats. METHODS: Performed according to the PRISMA guidelines, four databases were searched for articles describing education-based interventions to improve medical student's BNC ability and/or confidence, published in English between 2001 and 2024. Data on students' self-reported or observer-assessed level of competence/ability in BNC (primary outcome), and students' self-assessed confidence in BNC skills (secondary outcomes), were analysed. Meta regression explained the influence of several categorical moderators on heterogeneity in relation to intervention effects on competence/ability. RESULTS: 27 studies met the criteria for inclusion in the systematic review and 17 studies for the meta-analysis. Interventions described in controlled studies were associated with a moderate and significant increase in BNC ability (13 data sets; standardized mean difference [SMD] = 1.09, 95% CI = 0.52 - 1.66). Interventions detailed in pre-post design studies were associated with a significant increase in BNC ability (20 data sets; SMD = 0.92, 95% CI = 0.52 - 1.32), and student confidence/comfort in their BNC skills (12 data sets; SMD = 1.16, 95% CI = 0.57 - 1.75). Subgroup analysis demonstrated better skills/competence outcomes in studies that included simulation-based training (SBT). CONCLUSIONS: Educational interventions improve the BNC ability and confidence of medical students. Interventions should include an SBT element as this leads to greater improvements in BNC ability. Further research is needed to determine to what extent these interventions translate to positive patient outcomes. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: Diverse educational programme, especially those including simulation-based training, are effective in improving BNC skills, although the longetivity of these improvements is at present unclear. Therefore, we recommend that refresher courses or practice opportunities should be scheduled throughout students' medical education to ensure retention of BNC skills.

Humans

Ageing effects on chemical, physical, mechanical, and morphological properties of clear aligners - a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Clear aligner (CA) therapy has experienced rapid use over the past two decades to treat orthodontic malocclusions. However, evidence on CA material degradation in the oral environment remains limited and often focuses on single brands or isolated material properties. OBJECTIVES: To investigate CA ageing characteristics across different materials and brands and evaluate the chemical, physical, mechanical, and morphological changes following simulated or intraoral ageing. SEARCH METHODS: Five databases (PubMed, Web of Science, MEDLINE [Ovid], ProQuest, and Scopus) were searched to 18 March 2026, with no restrictions. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Studies assessing CA properties after intraoral use or simulated ageing (thermocycling, cyclic loading, or liquid immersion) were included. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Study selection followed PRISMA 2020. RoB was assessed using QUIN for purely in vitro studies, JBI for cohort in vivo studies, and Cochrane RoB 2 for RCTs. Results were synthesised narratively and organised by property domain, as substantial methodological heterogeneity precluded formal meta-analysis. Where protocols were comparable, a simple pooled weighted mean was calculated and presented graphically. RESULTS: Ninety-five studies were included. RoB was low in eight studies, moderate in sixty-two, and high in twenty-five. Chemical composition remained largely stable during ageing, though some brands showed trace elemental release. Physical, mechanical, and morphological properties showed material-dependent deterioration. Pooled discolouration was greatest with coffee (weighted mean ΔE = 70.9), versus tea (ΔE = 18.4) and red wine (ΔE = 11.5), with Invisalign® consistently exceeding the clinically perceptible threshold. Force decay of 40-90% typically occurred within 48 h. Thermoplastic polyurethane (TPU)-based and directly printed aligners (DPAs) generally showed greater susceptibility than polyethylene terephthalate glycol-modified (PETG)-based aligners, though findings on hardness, roughness, and stiffness were inconsistent. CONCLUSIONS: CA materials undergo clinically relevant degradation during use, particularly in TPU-based and DPAs aligners. Clinicians may need to prioritise material-specific protocols, reinforce dietary and cleaning instructions, and consider force decay when determining aligner replacement intervals. PROSPERO number: CRD420251110248.

Humans

Clinical applications of digital twin technology in In Vitro Fertilisation.

BACKGROUND: Digital twin technology, originating from aerospace and manufacturing industries, has emerged as a transformative tool in healthcare. In vitro fertilisation (IVF) faces persistent challenges including suboptimal embryo selection, unpredictable treatment outcomes, and limited personalisation of protocols. Despite advances in assisted reproductive technology, existing literature exhibits fragmentation: artificial intelligence applications in embryo selection, ovarian stimulation, and endometrial assessment have been developed independently without systematic integration into comprehensive treatment frameworks. Digital twin technology offers unprecedented opportunities to create virtual replicas of biological systems, enabling real-time monitoring, predictive modelling, and personalised treatment strategies. AIM: This narrative review aims to critically examine the current applications of digital twin technology in IVF, evaluate its potential benefits and limitations, synthesize existing evidence into an integrative conceptual model, and identify future directions for implementation in reproductive medicine. METHOD: A comprehensive narrative review was conducted using PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and IEEE Xplore databases. A narrative review approach was selected over systematic review to accommodate the heterogeneity of evidence types in this emerging field, including theoretical frameworks, simulation studies, and proof-of-concept implementations that would be excluded from systematic reviews. Search terms included "digital twin," "IVF," "in vitro fertilisation," "assisted reproductive technology," "embryo selection," and "predictive modelling." Studies published between 2015 and 2025 were included, focusing on original research articles, systematic reviews, and proof-of-concept studies describing digital twin applications in reproductive medicine. RESULTS: Digital twin technology in IVF demonstrates significant potential across multiple domains including embryo development simulation, ovarian response prediction, endometrial receptivity modelling, and personalised stimulation protocols. Current applications integrate artificial intelligence, machine learning algorithms, time-lapse imaging, and omics data to create comprehensive virtual models. Early evidence suggests improvements in embryo selection accuracy, ovarian response prediction, and treatment protocol optimization, though large-scale randomized controlled trials remain limited. Implementation challenges include data integration complexity, computational requirements, regulatory considerations, and validation requirements. CONCLUSION: Digital twin technology represents a paradigm shift in IVF practice, offering personalised, predictive, and precision medicine approaches. This review synthesizes existing evidence to propose an integrative conceptual model for digital twin implementation across the IVF treatment spectrum, identifies critical knowledge gaps, and establishes research priorities to advance clinical translation. Despite current limitations, continued advancement promises improved success rates and patient outcomes.

Humans

Sulfonic Ion-Exchange Resins as Versatile Tools for the Oxidative Degradation of Chemical and Biological Hazardous Agents.

Commercial sulfonic styrene-divinylbenzene ion-exchange resins are activated with aqueous H2O2 to generate metal-free decontamination systems that combine strong Brønsted acidity with immobilized oxidizing capability. Among five tested materials, Amberlyst 15 dry showed the best performance in terms of oxidant immobilization capacity and promoting the oxidative degradation of the sulfur mustard simulant (2-chloroethyl)ethyl sulfide, CEES, and the organophosphorus pesticide malathion under very mild conditions. Control experiments with K2CO3-exchanged resin demonstrate that efficient decontamination requires the synergy between surface acidity and peroxide functionality. The activated resins also display rapid biocidal activity, strongly reducing viable Escherichia coli and Staphylococcus aureus and completely suppressing the infectivity of HSV-1 and SARS-CoV-2 within min. These findings identify peroxide-activated sulfonic resins as simple, sustainable, regenerable, and versatile tools for efficient combined hazardous chemical and biological decontamination.

Oxidation-Reduction

The return of measles: a dangerous comeback.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Measles has reemerged as a significant global public health threat, with increasing morbidity and mortality associated with declining vaccination rates. This review summarizes current global outbreaks, history of measles, vaccination and elimination status, vaccine hesitancy, and outbreak response and lessons learned highlighting different novel digital epidemiological tools. RECENT FINDINGS: Measles continues to surge worldwide with an estimated 11 million infections in 2024, which is more than prepandemic levels. Developing and developed countries are both facing measles outbreaks, with the United States at risk of losing measles elimination status. Recent studies have showed that worldwide percentages of two-dose measles vaccination were lower than 95% that is required to interrupt measles transmission in all WHO regions. Novel epidemiological tools such as interactive simulators, real-time use of dynamic models, serosurveillance, and others are transforming measles outbreak response and enable earlier outbreak detection, tracking, and targeted public health interventions. SUMMARY: Vaccine hesitancy is one of the top global health threats and developing a tailored evidence-based approach is necessary to establish and maintain measles elimination.

Humans

Evolution of Precision Oncology, Personalized Medicine, and Molecular Tumor Boards.

With multiple molecular targeted therapies available for patients with cancer that correspond to a specific genetic alteration, the selection of the best treatment is essential to ensure therapeutic efficacy. Molecular tumor boards (MTBs) play a key role in this process to deliver personalized medicine to patients with cancer in a multidisciplinary manner. Historically, personalized medicine has been offered to patients with advanced cancer, but the incorporation of molecular targeted therapies and immunotherapy into the perioperative setting requires clinicians to understand the role of the MTB. Evidence is accumulating to support feasibility and survival benefit in patients treated with matched therapy.

Humans