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Epidermal growth factor receptor, c-MET, beta-catenin, and p53 expression as prognostic indicators in stage II colon cancer: a tissue microarray study.

PURPOSE: Through the use of molecular markers, it may be possible to identify aggressive tumor phenotypes and tailor therapies to treat them. This approach would be particularly useful for stage II colon cancer. The purpose of this study was to define the prognostic value of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), c-MET, beta-catenin, and p53 protein expression in TNM stage II colon cancer using tissue microarray technology. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: In this study, we retrospectively analyzed, resected, and otherwise untreated paraffin-embedded specimens from 134 consecutive patients with Tumor-Node-Metastasis stage II colonic carcinomas for EGFR, c-MET, beta-catenin, and p53 protein expression by immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: Thirty-five percent, 77, and 65% of tumors exhibited strong (+2 and +3 immunopositivity) expression of EGFR, c-MET, and beta-catenin, respectively. Fifty-four percent exhibited nuclear staining for p53 in >10% of the tumor cells. Univariate analysis revealed that increased nuclear p53 expression (P = 0.001), strong membranous EGFR expression (P = 0.04), and lymphovascular invasion (P = 0.01) were significantly related to disease recurrence and that p53 (P = 0.02) and EGFR (P = 0.05) expression were associated with decreased survival. Increased nuclear p53 expression also correlated with the presence of distal metastasis (P = 0.027). No significant association was seen between c-MET expression and prognosis, whereas a strong trend was detected between loss of beta-catenin (P = 0.065) expression and poor outcome. Multivariate analysis indicated that p53 (P = 0.04), EGFR (P = 0.05), and lymphovascular invasion (P = 0.03) were independent predictors of recurrence and that p53 (P = 0.02) and EGFR (P = 0.01) expression were both associated with poor survival. CONCLUSIONS: This retrospective tumor microarray study, restricted to Tumor-Node-Metastasis stage II colon cancer patients who did not undergo adjuvant therapy, supports the use of EGFR and p53 as biological markers, which may assist in predicting disease recurrence and survival.

Adult↗

Blood group as a prognostic indicator in breast cancer.

A retrospective analysis of 1001 patients with invasive breast cancer showed a difference in survival between patients with different blood groups. Analysis of time from operation to local recurrence and to general recurrence reinforced this finding. The difference between blood groups became increasingly significant after accepted prognostic factors were allowed for. Patients at particularly high risk of early death or general recurrence were those with blood groups B and AB, those with group AB having a greater relative local recurrence rate.

ABO Blood-Group System↗

Molecular markers in blood as surrogate prognostic indicators of melanoma recurrence.

Improvement is needed in the ability to evaluate the prognosis of melanoma patients who are clinically disease-free but likely to develop recurrent metastatic disease. The detection of circulating melanoma cells in blood is a potential surrogate marker of subclinical residual disease. We assessed the prognostic clinical utility of a multimarker melanoma reverse transcriptase-PCR (RT-PCR) assay using blood of 46 patients who were clinically disease-free. All patients were followed up for more than 4 years for disease recurrence. There was a significant correlation between number of RT-PCR markers present in blood and American Joint Committee on Cancer stage (P = 0.009). The number of RT-PCR markers detected in blood was an independent prediction factor of disease recurrence in a Cox proportional hazard model (P = 0.02). A risk factor model using American Joint Committee on Cancer stage and number of positive RT-PCR markers significantly predicted disease recurrence in 2, 3, and 4 years of follow-up. These studies demonstrate that molecular detection of circulating melanoma cells may be of significant prognostic value in determining early disease recurrence and may be useful for stratifying patients for adjuvant therapy.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

Overexpression of p53 protein is an independent prognostic indicator in human endometrial carcinoma.

The important role of the p53 gene in tumour progression and cellular response to DNA damage has prompted investigation of the clinical significance of alterations to this gene. We examined both p53 overexpression and mutation of the gene in endometrial carcinoma in order to evaluate the prognostic significance of these changes. Of 122 endometrial carcinomas, 33 (27%) showed overexpression of p53 in the nucleus and 66 (54%) in the cytoplasm. Mutation in the p53 gene was found in 16 (13%) cases but showed no significant association with patient survival. Nuclear p53 overexpression was associated with poor survival (48% vs 80% alive in negative tumours 5 years post operatively, P < 0.001). In contrast, cytoplasmic p53 overexpression was associated with better survival (85% vs 55%, P < 0.001). When patients were separated into prognostic subgroups according to established clinical markers, these associations remained significant within most subgroups examined. In multivariate analysis adjusted for surgical stage, histological grade and type and vascular invasion, both nuclear p53 overexpression [hazard ratio 4.9 (95% CI 1.3-17.6). P = 0.016] and cytoplasmic overexpression [0.25 (0.06-0.98), P = 0.047] were independent prognostic factors. Immunohistochemical assessment of p53 overexpression in the nucleus and cytoplasm could provide useful prognostic information for the management of patients with endometrial cancer.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

Survival and prognostic indicators in compensated and decompensated cirrhosis.

Six-year survival of cirrhosis was assessed in a series of 1155 consecutive patients (751 men, 404 women). Among the men, 33% were alcoholics and 18% were HBsAg positive; corresponding figures for the women were 15% and 6% respectively. Features of decompensation at first presentation were observed in 63% of the patients. Six-year survival was 54% in compensated and 21% in decompensated patients. No significant differences in survival were found between alcoholics and nonalcoholics. Leading causes of death were liver failure (49%), hepatocellular carcinoma (22%), and bleeding (13%). The prognostic role of 21 variables was evaluated separately in compensated and decompensated patients by the Cox's regression model. The following variables were found to be significant predictors of death risk in compensated patients: male sex, HBsAg positivity, age, prothrombin time prolongation, and esophageal varices. In decompensated disease the significant indicators of death risk were: hepatocellular carcinoma, encephalopathy, hemorrhage, SGOT, esophageal varices, gamma globulins, prothrombin time prolongation, continued abuse of alcohol, HBsAg positivity, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase, and cholinesterase. A simple prognostic index based upon the relative risk coefficient of the significant variables is suggested.

Carcinoma, Hepatocellular↗

The use of the lectin Helix pomatia agglutinin (HPA) as a prognostic indicator and as a tool in cancer research.

Progress in treatment for cancer has enabled extension of the disease-free interval, and of the quality of life for patients, but there has been very little improvement in overall survival rates. The main reason for this has been the ineffectiveness of current therapies to kill all the cancer cells once they have spread to distant sites to form metastatic deposits. One marker which has proved to be useful in identifying those cancers which have the potential to spread is the lectin Helix pomatia agglutinin (HPA). In clinical studies, HPA binding to primary tumours in tissue sections has been of prognostic value in breast, colon and gastric cancer, while no prognostic significance for HPA could be detected in tumours of the head and neck. These studies hence indicate that HPA is best suited to recognise a glycotope on adenocarcinomas. In several studies, HPA reactivity is equal or superior to other classical markers of metastatic potential. Since HPA is a marker of prognosis at the level of individual tumour cells, human tumour cell lines were screened for their HPA positivity. When transplanted into severe combined immunodeficient (scid) mice, HPA positive human breast and colon cancer cells metastasised while HPA negative cancer cell lines in general did not. In order to define HPA binding glycotopes at the molecular level, isolated cell membrane glycoproteins were exposed to labelled HPA on nitrocellulose membranes after Western blotting procedure. The majority of the isolated cell membrane glycoproteins bound HPA indicating that not a single HPA binding glycoprotein exists, which is associated with the metastatic phenotype. Functional investigations using the human/scid mouse chimeras will aid in the identification of those HPA positive glycoproteins which are functionally involved in the metastatic cascade.

Animals↗

Prognostic indicators in low back pain.

Nearly four per cent of the population over the age of 15 years in a Danish general practice reported episodes of low back pain at least once a year. A one-year follow-up of 72 patients provided data regarding symptoms, length of absence from work, use of analgesics and bed rest. An indication of the prognosis was reached by relating these data to the history (including occupation), symptoms and signs noted at the initial interview. The following factors indicated a long or relapsing course:1. More than three previous episodes of low back pain.2. Gradual onset of symptoms.3. Pain referred distal to the femur.4. More than four weeks' delay in reporting symptoms.Other factors of prognostic significance were difficulty in moving, onset in relation to work, absence from work, positive straight leg raising test and unilateral pain in the loin.

Adolescent↗

Prognostic indicators in children with IgA nephropathy--report of the Southwest Pediatric Nephrology Study Group.

Investigators in 13 pediatric nephrology centers reviewed clinical and pathological features in 218 children and adolescents with IgA nephropathy (IgAN), with particular emphasis on 80 patients who had follow-up periods of at least 4 years. Potential prognostic markers in the 80 children were compared between 12 (15%) who developed end-stage renal disease (ESRD) versus 68 who did not. The relationship between clinical and pathological features and the subsequent development of ESRD was examined using stepwise linear discriminant analysis in addition to standard univariate analysis. Seven variables were found to be predictive of ESRD: the presence of glomerular sclerotic changes, especially when this was associated with proliferation or sclerosis in 20% or more of the glomeruli; black race; hypertension at biopsy; proteinuria at biopsy; age at presentation; crescents; male sex. Using the resulting discriminant function, development of ESRD could be correctly predicted in 95% of the subjects. We conclude that ESRD is more common in American children with IgAN than was realized previously. Risk factors previously documented in adult studies have been confirmed, especially the presence of glomerular sclerosis, proteinuria, and hypertension.

Adolescent↗

Risk of cardiovascular death in elderly patients with possible heart failure. B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and the aminoterminal fragment of ProBNP (N-terminal proBNP) as prognostic indicators in a 6-year follow-up of a primary care population.

UNLABELLED: Heart failure is common in the elderly population and carries a serious prognosis. We evaluated EDTA-plasma B-type natriuretic peptide (brain natriuretic peptide, BNP) and the aminoterminal fragment of proBNP (N-terminal proBNP) as prognostic markers in elderly primary care patients with symptoms of heart failure. METHODS: From 474 patients attending primary care for symptoms of dyspnea, fatigue and/or peripheral edema, blood was sampled in plastic tubes containing EDTA to measure BNP by non-extraction immunoradiometric assay and N-terminal proBNP by non-extraction radioimmunoassay. Patients were evaluated with respect to history and function by NYHA classification and Doppler echocardiography. Follow-up time was 6 years. Cox regression analysis was performed to identify the weight of risk variables. CONCLUSION: Total 6-year mortality was 20% (102 patients out of 510), and cardiovascular (CV) mortality was 14% (71 patients, 70% of total mortality). BNP and N-terminal proBNP were essentially equally useful as prognostic markers. In patients with the highest quartiles of plasma concentration of BNP and N-terminal proBNP, respectively, the risk of cardiovascular mortality was 10 and 4.8 times, respectively, higher than that in those in the lowest quartile. Peptide concentrations varied widely within all functional groups including those with normal echocardiographic findings. Plasma concentrations of BNP and N-terminal proBNP give important prognostic information concerning risk of cardiovascular mortality. Cost-effective "clinical pathways" should be outlined for patients with elevated peptide concentrations.

Aged↗

Identification of prognostic indicators for patient outcomes in extensor tendinopathy at the elbow.

Extensor tendinopathy is a degenerative overuse condition involving the common extensor tendon at the lateral humeral epicondyle. The diagnosis and management of this condition are clinically based. Our aims were to determine if through patient history and clinical examination we could ascertain prognostic factors affecting time to symptom resolution in extensor tendinopathy. Symptomatic patients (N=28) had a thorough history and examination, and rehabilitation monitored regularly for 6 months. Patient outcomes at 6 months were then correlated with specific factors on initial presentation. Factors implicated as having prognostic significance regarding patient outcomes were a current history of manual work (P=0.04, effect size -0.29), and a current history of weekly participation in racquet sports (P=0.01, effect size -0.41). These individual factors had a significantly decreased chance of symptom resolution at the 6-month stage, and when combined had an effect size of -0.6 (P=0.001). Negative patient outcomes may be related to current high and repetitive levels of tendon stress, and rest from recreational and occupational use of wrist extensor tendons may be necessary to enhance the chances of complete symptom resolution. Enforced rest has monetary and quality-of-life implications, but is probably preferable to an incomplete recovery and prolonged tendon pain and dysfunction.

Adult↗

Prognostic indicators of alcoholism treatment outcome.

This literature review is a systematic attempt to isolate the personal characteristics of alcoholics generally associated with their prognosis. Forty-five studies which met certain standards for inclusion are summarized here. The description of each study and its corresponding list of characteristics of alcoholics investigated for prognostic value are reported in tables. The tables do not reveal stable predictors across the studies, though some personal characteristics are more generally of predictive value than are others. A number of reasons for the absence of predictor stability are discussed--among them the possibility that certain treatments may work best with certain alcoholic patients.

Age Factors↗

Neopterin as a prognostic indicator in patients with carcinoma of the uterine cervix.

In vitro, neopterin, a pyrazinopyrimidine compound, is excreted by human monocytes-macrophages after induction by supernatants from activated T-lymphocytes or by recombinant gamma-interferon. In vivo, it represents a noninvasive test for activation of cellular immune reactions. To evaluate the prognostic value of pretherapeutic urinary neopterin levels and of serial neopterin measurements during follow-up in women with cervical cancer, 1088 urine specimens from 186 consecutive patients were analyzed. Clinical assessments were made without knowledge of the results of neopterin assays (a "blinded" assessment). During the observation period (June 1980 to March 1984), 27 relapses, 18 metastases, and 26 deaths were seen. The prognostic significance of pretherapeutic neopterin and other possible prognostic clinical and laboratory parameters was tested by the univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards model using a stratification according to stage and surgical treatment. The combination of age at diagnosis, pretherapeutical hemoglobin, leukocyte count, and neopterin was found to predict survival best. On the basis of this result, risk groups were identified exhibiting markedly different survival behavior. A highly significant association was found between serial neopterin measurements and the risk for a relapse, metastasis, or death. The data suggest that urinary neopterin levels might be a useful adjuvant parameter in monitoring women with cervical cancer.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Expressions of Ku70 and DNA-PKcs as prognostic indicators of local control in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

PURPOSE: The objective of this study was to determine whether the expressions of the two components of DNA-dependent protein kinase, Ku70 and DNA-protein kinase catalytic subunit (DNA-PKcs), influence the response to radiotherapy (RT) and outcome of treatment of nondisseminated nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in patients who received definitive RT. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Sixty-six patients with NPC who were treated with radiotherapy alone or with concurrent chemotherapy between June 1995 and December 2001 were divided into groups based on the levels of immunoreactivity for Ku70 and DNA-PKcs in pretreatment biopsy specimens. The overexpression of Ku70 or DNA-PKcs groups included patients whose biopsy specimens showed at least 50% immunopositive tumor cells; patients in which less than 50% of the tumor cells in the biopsy tissues were immunopositive were placed in the low Ku70 and DNA-PKcs groups. The immunoreactivities for Ku70 and DNA-PKcs were retrospectively compared with the sensitivity of the tumor to radiation and the patterns of therapy failure. Univariate analyses were performed to determine the prognostic factors that influenced locoregional control of NPC. RESULTS: The 5-year locoregional control rate was significantly higher in the low Ku70 group (Ku-) (85%) than in the high Ku70 group (Ku+) (42%) (p = 0.0042). However, there were no differences in the metastases-free survival rates between the 2 groups (Ku70+, 82%; Ku70- 78%; p = 0.8672). Univariate analysis indicated that the overexpression of Ku70 surpassed other well-known predictive clinicopathologic parameters as an independent prognostic factor for locoregional control. Eighteen of 22 patients who had locoregional recurrences of the tumor displayed an overexpression of Ku70. No significant association was found between the level of DNA-PKcs expression and the clinical outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that the level of Ku70 expression can be used as a molecular marker to predict the response to RT and the locoregional control after RT and concurrent chemotherapy in patients with nondisseminated NPC.

Adult↗

Arterial ketone body ratio as a prognostic indicator in acute heart failure.

The arterial ketone body ratio (AKBR), an established clinical tool that reflects hepatic mitochondrial oxidation-reduction potential, predicts the outcome of patients with shock and multiple organ failure and the postoperative outcome in patients who have undergone major liver or heart surgery. The purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic significance of AKBR in patients with acute heart failure. The subjects of this study were 52 patients with acute heart failure. The following parameters were analyzed after Cox univariate hazard analysis was performed: AKBR, plasma norepinephrine, left ventricular ejection fraction, cardiac index, pulmonary arterial wedge pressure, sex, age, human atrial natriuretic peptide, endothelin-1, and cholesterol. The follow-up period was 30 weeks with cardiac death as the end point. Stepwise multivariate proportional hazard analysis revealed that AKBR was the most significant predictor of death, followed by norepinephrine and human atrial natriuretic peptide. Curve-fitting analysis revealed that the relationship between log (norepinephrine) and AKBR could best be described by two distinct lines, with their intersection at AKBR = 0.7 and norepinephrine = 418. With these results we conducted Kaplan-Meier analysis for AKBR > or = 0.7 and AKBR <0.7. The survival rate in patients with AKBR > or = 0.7 was 100%, whereas that in patients with AKBR <0.7 was 15% (p < 0.0001, log-rank analysis). These results indicate that AKBR is a novel independent predictor of death in heart failure.

Acute Disease↗

Psychological, social, and somatic prognostic indicators in old patients undergoing long-term dialysis.

We prospectively studied the influence of 29 demographic, social, psychological, and somatic factors on survival of 78 patients over age 70 years receiving long-term dialysis. Three years after the prospective evaluation, 54% of the patients had died. Only four factors, all psychosocial, were prognostically important. The patients who survived rated higher on the Karnofsky scale (85 vs 78 points), gained less weight between dialyses (1.5 vs 1.9 kg), more often underwent home dialysis (44% vs 21%), and less often wished for transplantation (28% vs 57%). In stepwise and multiple regression analysis, home dialysis and Karnofsky scale resulted in best fit. No somatic variable predicted outcome. Thirty-one patients were reinterviewed three years later. At that time, more patients were depressed and had a lower income, fewer wanted a transplant, and five had lost their living companion. There was a decrease in the number of patients who cooked their own meals, spent time outdoors, went to church, or had hobbies. Activity on the Karnofsky scale decreased from 87 to 84 points. The home dialysis patients' perceived health decreased from 3.9 to 3.4 points. Our study shows that psychosocial, but not somatic variables, are prognostically important in survival of older patients undergoing dialysis, and there is a measurable decline in these variables during a three-year follow-up period.

Age Factors↗

Prognostic indicators of tumor response to Staphylococcus aureus Cowan strain I plasma perfusion.

Ten tumor-bearing dogs were treated with passage of autologous plasma over fixed Staphylococcus aureus Cowan strain I. Five similar dogs were treated identically except for the exposure to S. aureus. These animals have been assessed to identify positive and negative prognostic variables for response. Nonresponder treated animals had significantly larger chest wall tumor bulk than did the responder and control groups (P less than .01). Responder animals had fewer initial circulating immune complexes than did the nonresponders, though each group had similar reductions in immune complexes with therapy. Nonresponder animals had smaller volumes of plasma processed per kilogram of body weight per procedure than did controls (P = .016), whereas responder and control animals had similar volumes processed per kilogram of body weight per procedure (P = .84). These data suggest that the response observed in our original series was significantly related to the larger amount of plasma treated per procedure and suggest that a factor may be eluted from the S. aureus cartridge that mediates this response.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Use of rectal cancer position as a prognostic indicator.

The hypothesis of this study was that the position of rectal cancer within the circumference of the rectum influences mortality. Tumor position was prospectively documented in 181 patients with rectal carcinoma by two examiners. The results were analyzed for correlation to survival using the Lifetest model and for multivariate correlation using the Cox regression model. An anterior tumor location was present in 43 patients and was found to have a significantly higher survival rate than other positions. Two-thirds of anterior tumors were of pathologically favorable Dukes' stages. Fifty-five patients had posterior tumors with decreased survival rates, two-thirds of which were of unfavorable stages. Circumferential position in 61 patients was most predictive of poorer outcome, with a relative risk of death being increased by 4.6 times (P = 0.014) and a 5-year survival rate of 68.8 per cent; 85 per cent of these tumors were of pathologically unfavorable stages. The 5-year survival rate for the whole group, which included 181 patients with all histopathological stages except those with distant metastases at presentation, was 78.5 per cent. This ranking of survival rates was found to be consistent in each category with the postoperatively determined Dukes' stage, which carried a prognostic significance of P = 0.0001. We conclude that tumor position is a significant indicator of prognosis available before surgery for rectal cancer.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Neurone specific enolase and S100 protein as possible prognostic indicators in melanoma.

Fourteen cases of primary melanoma and 25 of their subsequent metastases were stained for Neurone Specific Enolase (NSE) and S100 protein. Intensity of staining for NSE and S100 protein broadly corresponded in 11 of the primary lesions and was disparate in three. Staining intensity for NSE or S100 was independent of tumour thickness. Primary lesions showing marked or moderate staining for NSE and S100 protein took a shorter time to metastasize than those showing slight or no staining. Assessment of staining intensity for NSE and S100 thus identified prognostic categories corresponding to disease free interval obtained by division according to tumour thickness. Staining intensity for S100 protein appears to give a clearer indication as to expectation of disease free interval. Staining intensity in individual cases showed an increase both for NSE and S100 protein between primary and metastatic lesions. The data presented are not sufficient to assign statistical significance but may lead to the incorporation of functional studies into the pathological assessment of malignant melanocytic lesions. The simultaneous occurrence of a functional neuronal and Schwann cell marker in melanoma is discussed.

Adult↗