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High-versus low-dose ACE inhibitor therapy in chronic heart failure.

OBJECTIVE: To discuss the controversy associated with the optimal dosing of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors in the management of patients with systolic heart failure; specifically, to review data related to the use of high-dose ACE inhibitors related to both neurohormonal and clinical outcomes associated with doses similar to, lower than, and higher than those used in the large, randomized clinical trials. DATA SOURCES: Primary, review, and meta-analysis articles were identified by MEDLINE search (1987-September 2002) and through secondary sources. STUDY SELECTION AND DATA EXTRACTION: All of the articles identified from the data sources were evaluated, and all information deemed relevant was included in this discussion. All available comparative dose trials, both prospective and retrospective, were evaluated for clinical and neurohormonal outcomes. DATA SYNTHESIS: The majority of data comparing the effect of high- with low-dose ACE inhibitors on neurohormonal outcomes demonstrate dose-related reduction in various neurohormonal measurements including plasma ACE, aldosterone, atrial natriuretic peptide, B-type natriuretic peptide, and interleukin-6 levels. Clinical endpoints including New York Heart Association class and heart failure-related hospitalizations were reduced by higher doses, but a dose-related survival benefit has not been demonstrated. Differences in duration of therapy and study design may account for variability in neurohormonal and morbidity results among various studies. CONCLUSIONS: Despite documented underutilization in clinical practice of doses of ACE inhibitors demonstrated in large controlled trials to improve morbidity and mortality, clinicians should attempt to reach these target doses if possible in patients with heart failure. Higher doses may improve surrogate markers for heart failure without impacting survival.

Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors↗

Medicare contracting risk/Medicare risk contracting: a life-cycle view from twelve markets.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the evolution of the Medicare HMO program from 1996 to 2001 in 12 nationally representative urban markets by exploring how the separate and confluent influences of government policy initiatives and health plans' strategic aims and operational experience affected the availability of HMOs to Medicare beneficiaries. DATA SOURCE: Qualitative data gathered from 12 nationally representative urban communities with more than 200,000 residents each, in tandem with quantitative information from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and other sources. STUDY DESIGN: Detailed interview protocols, developed as part of the multiyear, multimethod Community Tracking Study of the Center for Studying Health System Change, were used to conduct three rounds of interviews (1996, 1998, and 2000-2001) with health plans and providers in 12 nationally representative urban communities. A special focus during the third round of interviews was on gathering information related to Medicare HMOs' experience in the previous four years. This information was used to build on previous research to develop a longitudinal perspective on health plans' experience in Medicare's HMO program. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: From 1996 to 2001, the activities and expectations of health plans in local markets underwent a rapid and dramatic transition from enthusiasm for the Medicare HMO product, to abrupt reconsideration of interest corresponding to changes in the Balanced Budget Act of 1997, on to significant retrenchment and disillusionment. Policy developments were important in their own right, but they also interacted with shifts in the strategic aims and operational experiences of health plans that reflect responses to insurance underwriting cycle pressures and pushback from providers. CONCLUSION: The Medicare HMO program went through a substantial reversal of fortune during the study period, raising doubts about whether its downward course can be altered. Market-level analysis reveals that virtually all momentum for the program has been lost and that enrollment is shrinking back to the levels and locations found in the mid-1990s.

Contract Services↗

Towards the automatic generation of biomedical sources schema.

Biologists and physicians need to access biological and medical data for their experimentations and researches. This information is available on the Internet and is scattered over many heterogeneous data sources. Collecting information is consequently tedious, time consuming and must be improved. To cope with this difficulty, our overall objective is to realize a mediator-based system to integrate heterogeneous biomedical data sources. This requires first an automatic generation of source schema, which is the goal of this work. For that, we describe an algorithm which is based on information extraction. It consists of the extraction of meta-information from each source to infer their schema. Our system enables users to access relevant and specific data, which are up-to-date. To solve the semantic heterogeneity of data sources, we are considering the creation of an ontology. Finally, the management of source evolution is discussed

Algorithms↗

Measurement of the bioavailability of aescin-containing extracts.

OBJECTIVE: In horse chestnut seed extracts (HCSE), the triterpene saponin mixture aescin is considered the active principle. The bioavailability and pharmacokinetics of different HCSE preparations have been studied under single and repeated applications using a radioimmunological method (RIA) developed to identify beta-aescin, one of the pharmacologically active fractions of the saponin mixture. In this paper, the available pharmacokinetic data are reviewed and the observed heterogenicity between comparable studies is discussed. DATA SOURCES: Pharmacokinetic data from 5 single- and 4 multiple-dose bioequivalence studies with HCSE-containing products, were measured by the same analytical laboratory using the same RIA. EVALUATION: In studies where procedures were identical the pharmacokinetic data of beta-aescin show high variations. Even under steady-state conditions a considerable variability for the same HCSE product is obtained. CONCLUSION: Formal reasons like study design and medications can be ruled out as a source of pharmacokinetic variation. In extracts of herbal drugs like HCS, the relative concentration of the individual saponin fractions can considerably differ from batch to batch. For immunological methods, identification of such antigens with intermolecular variability, e.g., the structural aescin analogs, is of unknown validity. Therefore the shape of the concentration-time curve would only show an approximation of the time course but not for the absolute concentrations. A specific validation procedure for the RIA must be developed, otherwise a LC-MS/MS-method of sufficient sensitivity should be elaborated.

Area Under Curve↗

Small area variations in health care delivery in Maryland.

OBJECTIVE: Our purpose is a descriptive analysis of variations in hospital use among small areas of Maryland. DATA SOURCE: The data are Maryland patient discharge records from acute care hospitals for 1985-1987 and small area population estimates by age, gender, race, and income. FINDINGS: The common finding was excess geographic variability among Maryland's 115 areas. The hypothesis of uniform rates was rejected for most DRGs, including low-variation mastectomy and hernia repair. Clustering of high-use rates occurred in neighboring areas for orthopedic, vascular, and elective procedures. Admission rates for most nondiscretionary procedures and medical DRGs were reduced in affluent areas while discretionary surgery increased with income level. Elective procedures had extreme variation and were related to income. Coronary artery disease rates declined with income while coronary artery procedure rates increased, indicating that access and patient selection were factors in the use of coronary bypass and angioplasty. CONCLUSIONS: The issue is not the ubiquitous variation among small areas but its extent and identification of geographic patterns. Hospital use is related to demography, morbidity, medical resources, access, selection for care, and physician practice patterns. Heterogeneity of these factors ensures that uniform delivery of health care rarely holds. There is little evidence that incidence of surgical disease is the main source of variation in use of discretionary surgery. Rather, variations reflect differing medical opinion on appropriate use. Without evaluation, excessive use cannot be distinguished from underservice. Morbidity explains the variability of nondiscretionary surgery and conditions related to lifestyle. Access plays an important role for discretionary surgery. Geographic analysis can identify variation and relate incidence to socioeconomic and specific local effects. Hospital data do not permit direct assessment of appropriate care. Understanding the reasons for variation requires information beyond incidence data. The challenge is to identify and explain small area variations or to fix them.

Catchment Area, Health↗

Update on the diagnostic radiologist employment market: findings through 2004.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this article is to summarize the latest information concerning the diagnostic radiologist employment market. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Three sources of data are presented and compared with previous data: vacancies in academic radiology departments as of July; the ratio of job listings to job seekers at a major placement service; and the number of positions advertised in Radiology and the American Journal of Roentgenology. RESULTS: Vacancies in academic radiology departments averaged 3.9 in 2004, down 29%, and decreased for all subspecialties as compared with 2001, but the number of vacancies remained very similar to that for 2003. Job listings per job seeker were 1.1 in 2004, stable over the past 2 years but at the lowest level since 1997. The overall number of positions advertised declined by 14% in 2003 compared with 2002 and by an additional 17% in 2004, reaching the lowest level since 1998. In 2004, 45.3% of positions advertised were academic. Comparing 2003-2004 with 2001-2002, all geographic regions exhibited absolute declines in advertisements except the Northeast, which showed a 1.5% increase. Absolute increases occurred for musculoskeletal and emergency radiology positions. Statistically significant proportional decreases occurred for general radiology, vascular/interventional radiology, and pediatric radiology. CONCLUSION: Three separate data sources confirm a substantial and broad-based multiyear decline in the strength of the demand for diagnostic radiologists, with some shifting in relative demand for subspecialties. It is not clear if the decrease continued in 2004 or if 2004 demand was similar to that of 2003. Data are relative and do not indicate the employment market is weak in absolute terms.

Advertising↗

Chemotherapy administration and data collection in an EORTC collaborative group--can we trust the results?

As part of a phase II study of the EORTC Soft Tissue and Bone Sarcoma Group, 15 centres took part in a programme to evaluate the quality of treatment delivered and data collected. The centres were visited and facilities for treatment and data management were reviewed. Source data in randomly selected patient hospital records were compared with information which had previously been completed on case record forms and returned to the EORTC Data Centre. The review included 71% of the patients entered into the study and 76% of the treatment cycles. Chemotherapy was prepared by nurses or clinicians in 58% and by pharmacists in 42% of the centres and was administered by specialist nurses in 67% of the hospitals. 8776 items were checked with source data. 3.4% were incorrect, 0.2% were missing and 30% could not be verified as correct (mainly related to the lack of recording of toxicity data in hospital records). The mean doses of chemotherapy delivered and treatment intervals were those stipulated in the protocol but 21% of the cycles were delayed for avoidable reasons. Several modifications to the procedures for running chemotherapy trials were suggested by this survey including the use of a systematic checklist for recording toxicity and chemotherapy administration and the development of quality assurance programmes in other collaborative groups and single centres to ensure that published results are credible.

Adult↗

Antidepressant use: concordance between self-report and claims records.

BACKGROUND: Researchers need valid methods to assess whether patients are taking their antidepressant medications. Two important sources of data on drug exposure are patients' self-reports and pharmacy claims. OBJECTIVE: To compare self-report and claims data for antidepressant exposure. RESEARCH DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis. SUBJECTS: This study comprised 422 contemporaneous self-report and claims data points obtained from 164 unique patients in a longitudinal depression study in which patients completed up to five surveys during an 18-month period. MEASURES: For the self-report measure, the following question was asked: Do you now take any prescription medicines for depression? Using claims data, patients were considered to be using an antidepressant if they had filled at least one antidepressant prescription in the 90 days before survey dates. RESULTS: Self-report and claims agreed in 85% (358/422) of cases, with a kappa of 0.69. Eighty-eight percent (56/64) of discrepant cases using other study data sources was resolved. Reasons for discrepancies included the use of medications for conditions other than depression (32/64), recent AD discontinuations (6/64), samples usage (3/64), and low-frequency/PRN use (7/64). CONCLUSIONS: Self-report and claims showed good concordance, but they reflect different truths. Self-report identifies medications intended primarily for the treatment of depressive disorders, whereas claims data identify use of medicines with antidepressant effects. Our assessment of discordant cases showed self-report to be more valid than claims to assess current antidepressant use for depression therapy.

Adolescent↗

Moderate drinking and health. Implications of recent evidence.

OBJECTIVE: To address three questions (Is moderate drinking good for health? Should people drink to prevent heart disease? What is moderate drinking?) and to examine and compare two recent Canadian guidelines on low-risk drinking in the context of counseling patients. DATA SOURCES: English-language data sources were searched, particularly peer-reviewed health and social science literature and recent expert reports. STUDY SELECTION: Studies and reports were selected for their scientific merit and direct relevance to the three questions addressed and to the formulation of guidelines on low-risk drinking. SYNTHESIS: While moderate drinking might protect some older people against coronary heart disease, it is associated with increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke, certain cancers, accidents and injuries, and a range of social problems. For most health outcomes, risk increases as consumption of alcohol increases. CONCLUSIONS: While the data have limitations, they provide a basis for formulating guidelines on low-risk drinking. The two Canadian guidelines, one developed from the perspective of health recovery, the other from the perspective of health promotion, complement each other in the context of counseling patients.

Accidents↗

Effective HIV treatment and the employment of HIV(+) adults.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) helps HIV-infected patients return to work, remain employed, and maintain hours of work. DATA SOURCE: Longitudinal data from a national probability sample of HIV+ patients older than 18 years old who made at least one visit in the contiguous United States in early 1996. STUDY DESIGN: We consider the effect of HAART on three employment outcomes: (1) returning to work within six months of treatment, conditional on not working pretreatment; (2) remaining employed within six months of treatment, conditional on working pretreatment; (3) hours of work conditional on working at the second follow-up survey. We use a bivariate probit model to jointly model employment and treatment with HAART for the first two outcomes and the two-stage least squares method for hours of work. State policies regarding prescription drug coverage are used as instrumental variables for HAART to account for a key source of potential bias-the more severely ill tend to have the most difficulty working, but are also the most likely to be on HAART. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Our results indicate that HAART increases the probability of remaining employed by HIV patients and hours of work for those working within six months of treatment. In the case of remaining employed, the employment effect (an increase from 58 percent to 94 percent in the probability of remaining employed) is statistically significant and the related incremental income is sizable compared to the incremental costs of HAART. Sensitivity analyses demonstrate that the results are robust to different specifications for insurance coverage. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who are working are more likely to remain employed because of treatment with HAART. HAART prescribed to patients in less advanced stages of the infection may lead to the greatest gain in employment.

Adult↗

Evaluation of different biological data and computational classification methods for use in protein interaction prediction.

Protein-protein interactions play a key role in many biological systems. High-throughput methods can directly detect the set of interacting proteins in yeast, but the results are often incomplete and exhibit high false-positive and false-negative rates. Recently, many different research groups independently suggested using supervised learning methods to integrate direct and indirect biological data sources for the protein interaction prediction task. However, the data sources, approaches, and implementations varied. Furthermore, the protein interaction prediction task itself can be subdivided into prediction of (1) physical interaction, (2) co-complex relationship, and (3) pathway co-membership. To investigate systematically the utility of different data sources and the way the data is encoded as features for predicting each of these types of protein interactions, we assembled a large set of biological features and varied their encoding for use in each of the three prediction tasks. Six different classifiers were used to assess the accuracy in predicting interactions, Random Forest (RF), RF similarity-based k-Nearest-Neighbor, Naïve Bayes, Decision Tree, Logistic Regression, and Support Vector Machine. For all classifiers, the three prediction tasks had different success rates, and co-complex prediction appears to be an easier task than the other two. Independently of prediction task, however, the RF classifier consistently ranked as one of the top two classifiers for all combinations of feature sets. Therefore, we used this classifier to study the importance of different biological datasets. First, we used the splitting function of the RF tree structure, the Gini index, to estimate feature importance. Second, we determined classification accuracy when only the top-ranking features were used as an input in the classifier. We find that the importance of different features depends on the specific prediction task and the way they are encoded. Strikingly, gene expression is consistently the most important feature for all three prediction tasks, while the protein interactions identified using the yeast-2-hybrid system were not among the top-ranking features under any condition.

Computational Biology↗

Implications of the prevalence of stunting, overweight and obesity amongst South African primary school children: a possible nutritional transition?

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between stunting and levels of overweight/obesity among South African school children, using two definitions of overweight and obesity, based on the WHO and International Obesity Task Force (IOTF) criteria. DESIGN: Cross-sectional descriptive analysis of the nutritional status of primary school children, using primary data from a rural community-based study undertaken in 1995 and secondary data from the South African National Primary Schools (SANPS) survey conducted in 1994. Stunting was measured according to the WHO definition of -2 Z scores height-for-age. Two sets of criteria were used to measure overweight and obesity-the WHO/NCHS standard based on the 85th and 95th centiles and the IOTF criteria. SETTING: The primary data source was from a rural KwaZulu-Natal community based survey. The secondary data source SANPS consisted of data at National and Provincial level; for this study only data from the province of KwaZulu-Natal was considered. SUBJECTS: Primary school children aged between 8 and 11 y of age; 802 from the primary data source and 24 391 from the secondary source. RESULTS: Moderate stunting ranged from 2.9 to 40.2%, and mild stunting ranged from 31.4 to 75%. The prevalence of overweight ranged from 0.4 to 13.3% (WHO criteria) and from 0.4 to 11.9% using the IOTF criteria; while obesity ranged from 0.1 to 3.7% (WHO) and from 0.1 to 1.5% (IOTF criteria). The prevalence of overweight and obesity was observed to be higher using the WHO definition than that of IOTF (0.05 0.55, in all cases). The levels of agreement in all cases were less for obesity than overweight (both ranged from 0.55 to 1.0). Females were observed to have higher kappa levels than their male counterparts; they also had higher prevalence levels of overweight and obesity across age and geographical group. Uniformly high levels of both mild and moderate stunting were observed both nationally and provincially. However, no excess relative risk of being overweight if stunted was observed in this study (P>0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Caution must be applied when using either definition for obesity. However, very high levels of agreement occur for overweight. There is no obvious relationship between overweight and stunting in this study, but high levels of mild stunting were observed. Regular clinical and epidemiological monitoring of nutritional status needs to be undertaken in South Africa to examine possible future trends of overweight/obesity and their relationship with stunting, and for comparisons with global trends.

Age Distribution↗

Valuation of medical resource units collected in health economic studies.

This paper reviews the issues that are critical for the valuation of medical resources in the context of health economic studies. There are several points to consider when undertaking the valuation of medical resources. The perspective of the analysis should be established before determining the valuation process. Future costs should be discounted to present values, and time and effort spent in assigning a monetary value to a medical resource should be proportional to its importance in the analysis. Prices vary considerably based on location of the service and the severity of the illness episode. Because of the wide variability in pricing data, sensitivity analysis is an important component of validation of study results. A variety of data sources have been applied to the valuation of medical resources. Several types of data are reviewed in this paper, including claims data, national survey data, administrative data, and marketing research data. Valuation of medical resources collected in clinical trials is complex because of the lack of standardization of the data sources. A national pricing data source for health economic valuation would greatly facilitate study analysis and make comparisons between results more meaningful.

Economics, Medical↗

Colorectal cancer trends by race and anatomic subsites, 1975 to 1991.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether colorectal cancer rates among black men and women show the abrupt declines seen in whites since the mid-1980s and to determine how the cancer trends vary by anatomic subsites. DATA SOURCES: Mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics, Hyattsville, Md, and incidence and survival data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program of the National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Md. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Trends in incidence, survival, and mortality rates. RESULTS: For white men and women, cancer incidence rates declined for the right colon, left colon, and rectum after 1985. Stage-specific incidence rates for white men and women for each subsite had generally similar patterns. Distant-disease incidence rates declined beginning in the late 1970s, whereas regional-disease rates increased until the early to mid-1980s and then declined. An exception is the right colon in men, for which the incidence rates of distant disease did not decline, although the regional-disease pattern was similar to other sites. For blacks, colorectal cancer incidence rates changed little in the 1980s for men or women. In particular, there were no significant declines in the cancer incidence rates of the colorectum or of subsites after 1985. Black colorectal cancer mortality trends showed gender and age differences. Black men had significantly increasing colorectal cancer mortality rates from 1975 through 1992, but the increase after 1985 was observed only in men 65 years of age and older. The colorectal cancer mortality rates did not increase overall in black women in the 1980s, but the mortality rates increased slightly in women 65 years of age and older while declining in women younger than 65 years. CONCLUSIONS: For whites, the trends in colorectal cancer rates by anatomic subsite support the contention that early-detection procedures, such as sigmoidoscopy and colonoscopy, are contributing to the declines in incidence and mortality rates since 1985. The absence in blacks of significant declines in colorectal incidence or mortality rates since 1985 suggests the need for a greater emphasis on early-detection programs in the black community, particularly for elderly blacks.

Black People↗

Detection of cervical metastasis. A meta-analysis comparing computed tomography with physical examination.

BACKGROUND: Despite extensive coverage in recent literature, controversy continues with regard to the relative sensitivities of computed tomography (CT) and physical examination (PE). OBJECTIVE: To identify a statistically significant consensus. DATA SOURCES: Initially, data were reviewed on 47 consecutive patients with head and neck cancer on whom a total of 53 neck dissections were performed. These data were combined with findings from a 15-year MEDLINE review of the English-language literature, including references. STUDY SELECTION: All publications that contained a direct comparison of CT with PE, with appropriate data availability, were included. DATA EXTRACTION: Multiple-observer independent extraction was used. A total of 647 neck dissections were included in the meta-analysis. The definition of metastasis varied minimally among studies as follows: (1) nodal size, greater than 10 to 15 mm; (2) multiplicity of 8- to 10-mm nodes; or (3) evidence of necrosis. Necks were compared for positivity or negativity rather than for the actual nodal staging. In all cases, a final determination was made by results of histopathologic examination of surgical specimens. DATA SYNTHESES: The results in this review favored CT over PE but were not statistically significant by use of the Fisher exact test. A combination of the present study's data with those of the literature review yielded the following meta-analysis results: sensitivity, 83% (CT) vs 74% (PE) (P = .002); specificity, 83% (CT) vs 81% (PE) (P = .7); and accuracy, 83% (CT) vs 77% (PE) (P = .006). Overall, PE identified 75% of pathologic cervical adenopathy; this detection rate increased to 91% with the addition of CT. The results of sensitivity analysis confirmed homogeneity across study designs. CONCLUSIONS: Computed tomography is a more sensitive indicator of cervical metastasis than PE. More importantly, these diagnostic modalities were additive, with CT significantly enhancing the detection rates of PE alone. All patients who are at risk for cervical metastasis should have CT or equivalent radiographic imaging performed prior to therapeutic intervention. Future studies correlating CT detection rates to the primary site and staging are needed before more specific conclusions can be drawn.

Head and Neck Neoplasms↗

Changes in the general surgical workload, 1991-1999.

HYPOTHESIS: The volume and types of procedures performed by general surgeons have changed from 1991 to 1999. Data Source Medicare data from 1991 through 1999. METHODS: Procedures from the Medicare database were defined as "general surgical" if the yearly volume performed by general surgeons exceeded 1000 cases. These procedures were divided into major and minor procedures. The total volume performed by all surgeons and the volume of cases performed by general surgeons were tabulated for each procedure. Procedures were also grouped into families. For major surgery, representative procedures with the highest volumes were selected for each family. For minor surgery, multiple high-volume procedures within families were selected and analyzed. RESULTS: The volumes for each major surgical family were totaled. Although the volume of representative major general surgical procedures performed by all surgeons rose by 17 544 cases, the volume performed by general surgeons decreased by 8846 cases (1.8%). The total and general surgical volumes for cholecystectomy and appendectomy increased, but the volumes for breast surgery, hernia repair, splenectomy, and colon resection decreased. The total volume increased but the general surgical volume decreased for vascular surgery, pulmonary surgery, and major amputations. CONCLUSIONS: From 1991 to 1999, there has been a decrease in the volume of major procedures performed by general surgeons. Part of this loss relates to reduced general surgical involvement in subspecialty surgery, but there were also reductions in colon surgery, breast surgery, hernia repairs, and splenectomy. The volume of appendectomies and cholecystectomies increased. The volume of minor procedures performed by general surgeons increased slightly, with gains in vascular and endoscopic surgery.

General Surgery↗

Medical migration and the physician workforce. International medical graduates and American medicine.

OBJECTIVE: Because of the size and growth of the international medical graduate (IMG) contribution to graduate medical education (GME) in the United States, and subsequently to the US physician workforce, it is essential to understand the demographics and patterns of IMG training and practice as well as the routes of entry into the United States. DATA SOURCES: Published data from the American Medical Association, the American Osteopathic Association, and the Association of American Medical Colleges; tabular runs of county-level data contained on the Bureau of Health Professions' Area Resource File. RESULTS: The majority of IMGs who participate in GME in the United States ultimately enter US practices. A significant proportion of exchange visitors eventually enter into permanent practice in the United States, contrary to the intent of the J-1 visa-based GME training as an international educational exchange program. International medical graduates gravitate toward initial residency programs in internal medicine and pediatrics, many of which have unfilled positions; however, IMGs subspecialize at a disproportionately high rate, reducing their net contribution to the generalist pool. Patterns of ultimate practice location of IMGs parallel the patterns of US medical graduates (USMGs). CONCLUSIONS: In recent years, participation of IMGs in GME and practice has increased significantly. Most IMGs in GME are not exchange visitors, but are either permanent residents or US citizens. Patterns of specialization and location of IMGs ultimately mirror those of USMGs. National IMG policy must be examined in light of the projected surplus of physicians in the United States. The best option for long-term control of the number of physicians in practice, USMG or IMG, is a system of specifying the number of GME positions nationally.

Education, Medical, Graduate↗

Trends in tobacco smoking and consequences on health in France.

OBJECTIVE: This paper describes the trends in tobacco sales and smoking prevalence in the French population, estimates the consequences of smoking on the mortality of this population, and discusses governmental actions: anti-tobacco campaigns, a ban on advertising, restriction of smoking in public places, and price increases. DATA SOURCES: Sales data were collected from the French tobacco monopoly, smoking prevalence data from surveys conducted by several institutes, and mortality statistics by cause from the Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale. RESULTS: Tobacco sales increased from 3 g per adult per day at the beginning of the century to a maximum of 6.8 g in 1975, then decreased by 10% between 1991 and 1996. Since the early 1950s, the proportion of smokers has been on the decline in the male population and on the increase in the female population. In France, 60,000 deaths are attributable to tobacco smoking. These deaths represent 12% of the total mortality. The advertising ban has been enforced and the recent price increase has led to a drop in sales. CONCLUSIONS: The consequences of tobacco smoking on the health of the female French population will increase for another 30 years, because of the increase in female smoking observed in the recent past, whereas the epidemic is leveling off in the male population.

Adult↗