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Material deprivation and leading causes of death by gender: evidence from a nationwide small area study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between material deprivation and 10 leading causes of death by gender. DESIGN: Small area cross sectional ecological study using two dimensions of material deprivation (Index 1 and Index 2) drawn from 1991 census and cause specific mortality data aggregated for 1987-1995. SETTING: 2218 small areas in Spain. MAIN RESULTS: Strong detrimental associations of two deprivation indices were found with top six leading causes of death for men and top seven leading causes of death for women, except breast cancer. For men, the highest percentages of excess mortality (between 40% and 60%) were found for smoking and alcohol related causes of death such as lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, and cirrhosis while for women the highest percentages of excess mortality (between 40% and 60%) were found for diet related causes such as diabetes and ischaemic heart disease. CONCLUSIONS: Health inequality is a widespread phenomenon in the majority of the top leading causes of deaths of the nation. Increasing levels of deprivation indices are associated with mortality risk differently by both cause and gender. Results suggest that deprivation effects mainly captured by Index 2 may manifest largely as unfavourable health behaviours leading to gender specific sets of causes of deaths. Findings of this study are consistent with the idea that material deprivation determines health inequality through both an increase of general susceptibility to ill health, leading to excess mortality in a wide range of causes, and a set of specific factors, resulting in an increased risk of death from a specific set of causes in each gender.

Cause of Death↗

[Aids as underlying and associated causes of death, State of S. Paulo, Brazil, 1998].

OBJECTIVES: To describe the Aids mortality according to its underlying and associated causes of death in the State of S. Paulo in 1998. METHODS: Mortality and population data for 1998 were obtained from the State Data Analysis System Department (Fundação Sistema Estadual de Análise de Dados - Seade). Causes of death were coded according to the Tenth Revision of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems. RESULTS: Aids was the underlying cause in 4,619 deaths, corresponding to the 10th leading cause of death (2.0%) and a mortality rate of 13.1/100,000 population. Male/female death ratio and rate ratios were respectively 2.4 and 2.5. Aids was the second leading cause of death among men aged 20--34 and women aged 25--34 years. Median age at death for women (34.1+/-12.2 years old) was lower than men (36.4+/-10.7 years old) - p<0,001. The main associated causes of Aids deaths were respiratory insufficiency (36.1%), pneumonia (27.0%), tuberculosis (19.6%), septicemia (18.6%), toxoplasmosis (12.2%), P. carinii pneumonia (8.3%) and cachexia (7.9%). Aids was an associated cause of death in additional 84 cases. The main underlying causes of these deaths were malignant neoplasms (28/84), conditions secondary to alcohol abuse (23/84) and diabetes mellitus (7/84). The median age at death due to Aids as an underlying cause (35.7+/-11.2 years old) was lower than the age at death with Aids as an associated cause (39.9+/-11.8 years old - p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Multiple causes of death allow to track part of the Aids natural history and provide additional data to develop adequate and specific preventive actions.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗

Social class and all-cause mortality in an urban population of North India.

BACKGROUND: There is a rapid emergence of cardiovascular disease in India with economic development, leading to an increase in mortality due to these diseases. The exact causes of death in India, however, are not known. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We studied randomly selected death records from 2222 (1385 men and 837 women) victims, aged 25-64 years, out of 3034 death records during 1999-2001 at the Municipal Corporation, Moradabad. All the families of these victims could be contacted individually to find out the causes of death, by scientists/doctors-administered pre-tested verbal autopsy questionnaires, completed with the help of spouses and local treating doctors practising in the concerned lane. Social classes were assessed by a questionnaire based on attributes of per capita income, occupation, education, housing and ownership of consumer luxury items in the household. RESULTS: Causes of mortality included infectious diseases (41.1%, n = 915) such as tuberculosis, pneumonia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diarrhea/dysentery, hepatitis B, and inflammatory brain infections as the commonest causes of death in the urban population of North India. The second most common causes of death were circulatory diseases (29.1%, n = 646), including heart attacks (10.0%), strokes (7.8%), valvular heart disease (7.2%, n = 160), sudden cardiac death, and inflammatory cardiac disease (each 2.0%, n = 44). Malignant neoplasm (5.8%, n = 131), injury (14.0%, n = 313), including accidents, fire and falls, and poisonings were also quite common causes of death. Miscellaneous causes of death were noted in 9.1% (n = 202) death records, including diabetes mellitus (2.2%, n = 49), suicides (1.8%, n = 41), congenital anomalies (1.0, n = 37), dental caries infections (1.9, n = 42), and burns (1.3%, n = 33). Pregnancy and perinatal causes (0.72%, n = 15) were not commonly recorded in our study. Circulatory diseases as the cause of mortality were statistically significantly more common among higher social classes (1-3) than in lower social classes (4 and 5) whose members died more often due to infections. Heart attacks, strokes, hypertension, diabetes and obesity were statistically significantly more common among higher social classes (1-3) as compared to classes 3 and 4, but tobacco intake showed only minor differences among various classes. CONCLUSIONS: This study indicates that circulatory diseases, injury and malignant diseases have become the major causes of death in India, after infections. Members of social classes 1-3 died more often due to circulatory diseases and members in lower social classes died more often due to infections. Urbanization with rapid changes in diet and lifestyle in various social classes, and possibly aging of the population seem to be responsible for the double burden of diseases, related to under- and over-nutrition, causing death in a developing economy. Monitoring of blood pressure and heart rate around the clock for 7 days, with data analysed chronobiologically can detect abnormal circadian patterns associated with a large increase in cardiovascular disease risk, greater than hypertension itself, allowing the institution of prophylactic treatment. Such prehabilitation may be particularly useful to curb the increasing burden of cardiovascular diseases in both developed and developing countries.

Adult↗

Estimates of the years-of-life-lost due to the top nine causes of death in rural areas of major states in India in 1995.

BACKGROUND: Years-of-life-lost (YLL) contribute nearly two-thirds of the disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) worldwide and are especially Important for India where infant and child mortality is still high. These were estimated for India under the Global Burden of Disease study for the year 1990. No estimates are available for the different states of India. We aimed to prepare state-wise estimates of YLL for different causes of death in rural areas and to determine the causes responsible for a higher burden in different states. METHOD: Percentage deaths of the top 9 causes reported in the Registrar-General's Survey of Causes of Deaths (Rural)--1995 in 13 major states of India and different age groups was applied to the expected number of total deaths. The life lost according to the standard life-table was age-weighted and discounted using the methodology of the Global Burden of Disease 1990 study. The causes of death were based on lay reporting which otherwise seem reliable. RESULTS: The all-cause YLL in rural India in 1995 were 207 per 1,000 population. The minimum was 74 in Kerala and maximum 276 in Madhya Pradesh. Pneumonia was the top cause responsible for 15 YLL. The inter-state variation was high as Tamil Nadu had only 1.6 and Uttar Pradesh 30.5 YLL from this cause. Cancers were a uniform burden across the states. Heart attack, and bronchitis and asthma cut across the more and less developed states. Suicides were a heavy burden in Andhra Pradesh and vehicular accidents in Haryana and Rajasthan. Bihar, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Orissa, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh had communicable and nutritional conditions as predominant causes while Kerala and Punjab had non-communicable diseases as the predominant cause of YLL due to premature mortality. CONCLUSION: These results provide a new perspective about the causes of death that need more attention in rural areas of different states of India. These will also help prioritize areas which require more inputs at the state-level and hence will be useful for health policymakers.

Adolescent↗

[Causes of neonatal death in the community of Valencia (Spain)].

Objectives To describe the causes of neonatal mortality in the Community of Valencia (VC) and to compare two registration systems for causes of death: that of the Spanish Society of Neonatology and that of the Word Health Organization's "Statistical Bulletin of Deaths (SBD)".MethodsData related to death from the SSN's mortality form, which orders all the diagnoses according to their severity, and data from the SBD, which uses sequential criteria (basic, intermediate or immediate cause of death) were obtained. Both systems were joined in a single form. Data from 19 hospitals in the Community of Valencia (1998-99) were collected. Two features were compared: a) "single cause of death" meaning the first diagnosis of the SSN system versus the "basic cause" of the SBD; and b) "multidiagnosis", which compares all the diagnoses mentioned anywhere in either of the two systems.ResultsA total of 206 neonatal deaths were included. When using the "basic cause" criterion the most common causes of death were malformations (31 %), respiratory distress syndrome (20 %) and extreme prematurity (10 %). However, when applying the "first diagnosis" criterion, the most common causes were respiratory distress syndrome (34 %), malformations (33 %) and asphyxia (9 %). These differences were statistically significant. When the causes of death were compared using the "multidiagnosis" criterion the differences were greater.ConclusionsThe two systems differ qualitatively and quantitatively. The SSN form is useful for studying prevalent morbidity among deaths as well as other parameters, but it may fail to identify the causes of death. The SBD uses more explicit criteria for the causes of death. Thus, both systems should be complementary.

Cause of Death↗

Birth weight-specific causes of infant mortality, United States, 1980.

To describe underlying causes of infant death by birth weight, we used data from the 1980 National Infant Mortality Surveillance project and aggregated International Classification of Diseases codes into seven categories: perinatal conditions, infections, congenital anomalies, injuries, sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), other known causes, and nonspecific or unknown causes. Compared with heavier infants, infants with birth weights of 500-2,499 grams (g) are at increased risk of both neonatal and postneonatal death for virtually all causes. Sixty-two percent of neonatal deaths (under 28 days of life) were attributed to "conditions arising in the perinatal period," as defined using codes from the International Classification of Diseases. Prematurity-low birth weight and respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) were the leading causes of such deaths among infants with birth weights of 500-2,499 g, while birth trauma-hypoxia-asphyxia and other perinatal respiratory conditions were the leading causes among heavier infants. For all birth weight groups, congenital anomalies were the second leading cause, representing 27 percent of neonatal deaths. Although perinatal conditions caused nearly one-third of postneonatal deaths (28 days to under 1 year of life) among infants with birth weights of 500-1,499 g, for the other birth weight groups these conditions were much less important; predominant causes of postneonatal death were sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), congenital anomalies, infections, and injuries. Black infants had a roughly twofold higher risk of neonatal and postneonatal death than did white infants for all causes except congenital anomalies, which occurred with almost equal frequency in blacks and whites. However, for infants with birth weights of 500-2,499 g, blacks had lower risks of neonatal death from RDS and congenital anomalies. Between 1960 (the latest year for which national birth weight-specific mortality statistics had been available) and 1980, SIDS emerged as a major diagnostic rubric. Otherwise, except for infections and congenital anomalies among infants with birth weights of 500-1,499 g, all causes of death declined in frequency among all birth weight groups.

Birth Weight↗

Race and cause specific survival with prostate cancer: influence of clinical stage, Gleason score, age and treatment.

PURPOSE: We assess the influence of race on stage stratified cause specific survival of men with prostate cancer, and Gleason score, age at diagnosis and treatment on potential racial differences in survival. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 524 black and 396 white men were diagnosed with prostate cancer at a Veterans Affairs Medical Center between January 1982 and December 1992. Clinical stage was determined by retrospective review of the medical records and Gleason score of biopsy material as assigned by a single uropathologist. Of 611 patients who died the cause of death was determined by retrospective or prospective review of hospital records in 493 and by review of the death certificates in 102. In 16 cases the cause of death was indeterminate. Median potential followup was 112 months (range 60 to 182) and median period of observation was 61 months (range 1 to 182). RESULTS: Cause specific survival with stage T1b-2 cancer was lower in 231 black than in 264 white men of all ages (p = 0.02) and lower in 110 black than in 170 white men younger than in 70 years at diagnosis (p = 0.04). Gleason 7 to 10 cancer, which was associated with a less favorable cause specific survival compared to Gleason 2 to 6 cancer (p <0.0001), was more common in black than in white men with stage T1b-2 cancer of all ages (p = 0.01) and younger than 70 years at diagnosis (p = 0.04). No or unknown treatment status, which was associated with a less favorable cause specific survival compared to treatment (p = 0.05), was more common in black than in white men with stage T1b-2 cancer of all ages (p = 0.0005) but not significantly different when stratified by age. In men of all ages racial differences in cause specific survival were not significant when adjusted for age and Gleason score (p = 0.14) or age, Gleason score and treatment status (p = 0.17). In men younger than 70 years racial differences in cause specific survival were not significant when adjusted for age and Gleason score (p = 0.22). There were no significant racial differences in overall or age stratified all cause survival of men with stage T1b-2 cancer. There were no significant differences in overall or age stratified cause specific or all cause survival of 112 black and 58 white men with stage T3-4 cancer, or 181 and 74, respectively, with metastatic cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicate that local stage prostate cancer is more lethal in black than in white men and the difference is most pronounced in men younger than 70 years. The survival disadvantage of black men with local stage cancer is due in part to a propensity for development of less differentiated and more aggressive malignancies.

Age Factors↗

Effects of tyrphostins and genistein on the circulatory failure and organ dysfunction caused by endotoxin in the rat: a possible role for protein tyrosine kinase.

1 Here we compared the effects of various inhibitors of the activity of protein tyrosine kinase on (i) the expression of the activity of the inducible isoform of nitric oxide (NO) synthase (iNOS) caused by endotoxin (lipopolysaccharide, LPS) in cultured macrophages, (ii) the induction of iNOS and cyclooxygenase 2 (COX-2) protein and activity in rats with endotoxaemia, and (iii) the circulatory failure and organ dysfunction caused by LPS in the anesthetized rat. 2 Activation of murine cultured macrophages with LPS (1 microgram ml-1) resulted, within 24 h, in a significant increase in nitrite (an indicator of the formation of NO) in the cell supernatant. This increase in nitrate was attenuated by the tyrphostins AG126, AG556, AG490 or AG1641 or by genistein in a dose-dependent fashion (IC50: approximately 15 microM). In contrast, tyrphostin A1 (an analogue of tyrphostin AG126) or daidzein (an analogue of genistein) had no effect on the rise in nitrite caused by LPS. 3 Administration of LPS (E. coli, 10 mg kg-1, i.v.) caused hypotension and a reduction of the pressor responses elicited by noradrenaline (NA, 1 microgram kg-1, i.v.). Pretreatment of rats with the tyrphostins AG126, AG490, AG556, AG1641 or A1 attenuated the circulatory failure caused by LPS. Although genistein attenuated the vascular hyporeactivity to NA, it did not affect the hypotension caused by LPS. Daidzein did not affect the circulatory failure caused by LPS. 4 Endotoxaemia for 360 min resulted in rises in the serum levels of (i) urea and creatinine (indicators of renal failure), (ii) alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), bilirubin and gamma-glutamyl transferase (gamma GT) (indicators of liver injury/dysfunction), lipase (an indicator of pancreatic injury) as well as lactate (an indicator of tissue hypoxia). None of the tyrosine kinase inhibitors tested had a significant effect on the rise i the serum levels of urea, but the tyrphostins AG126, AG556 or A1 significantly attenuated the rises in the serum level of creatinine caused by LPS. In addition, all tyrphostins and genistein attenuated the liver injury/failure, the pancreatic injury, the hypoglycaemia and the lactic acidosis caused by LPS. In contrast, daidzein did not reduce the organ injury/dysfunction or the lactic acidosis caused by LPS. 5 Injection of LPS resulted (within 90 min) in a substantial increase in the serum level of tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF alpha), which was attenuated by pretreatment of LPS-rats with any of the tyrphostins used. Genistein, but not daidzein, also reduced the rise in the serum levels of TNF alpha caused by LPS. Endotoxaemia for 6 h also resulted in a substantial increase in the expression of iNOS and COX-2 protein and activity in the lung, which was attenuated by pretreatment of LPS-rats with the tyrphostins AG126, AG556 or genistein, but not by daidzein. 6 Thus, tyrphostins (AG126, AG556, AG1641 or A1) and genistein, but not daidzein (inactive analogue of genistein), prevent the (i) circulatory failure, (ii) the multiple organ dysfunction (liver and pancreatic dysfunction/injury lactacidosis, hypoglycaemia), as well as (iii) the induction of iNOS and COX-2 protein and activity in rats with endotoxic shock.

Acidosis, Lactic↗

Complexities in ETS-domain transcription factor function and regulation: lessons from the TCF (ternary complex factor) subfamily. The Colworth Medal Lecture.

The ETS-domain transcription factor family can be divided into a series of subfamilies. Elk-1 represents the founding member of the ternary complex factor (TCF) subfamily. By focusing on the TCF subfamily, we can demonstrate the complexities that exist in the function and regulation of ETS-domain transcription factors. This article focuses on Elk-1 in detail and summarizes the functions of other TCFs. The key themes covered include the domain structure of the TCFs, the mechanisms of complex formation with serum response factor, regulation of TCFs by mitogen-activated protein kinase cascades, and transcriptional regulatory properties of the TCFs. Finally, the emerging role of the TCFs in vivo is discussed. A picture is developing indicating that, while these proteins exhibit significant sequence and functional conservation, key differences in their structure and regulation are being identified which may relate to unique functions of these proteins in vivo.

Amino Acid Sequence↗

Prevalence and causes of severe visual impairment and blindness in children in Mongolia.

BACKGROUND: Reliable epidemiological data on the prevalence and causes of visual loss in children are difficult to obtain, but are essential for planning. No such data are available from Mongolia. AIM: To determine the prevalence and causes of severe visual impairment and blindness (SVI/BL) in children from a defined area of Mongolia, using several methods of identification. METHODS: Children with presenting visual acuities of <6/60 in the better eye who lived in 10 of the 18 provinces (Aimaks) were identified 1) by family doctors 2) in the school for the blind 3) by visiting eye departments in the capital. All eligible children were examined (or data extracted from hospital records) and the cause of visual loss determined using the WHO classification system. RESULTS: Sixty-four children with SVI/BL before refraction were identified who lived in the 10 study Aimaks. They were recruited by family doctors (52); by home visits (3); from hospital records (4); or from the school for the blind (5). The prevalence of SVI/BL before refraction was 0.19/1,000 children (95% CI 0.16-0.22), decreasing to 0.16/1,000 after refraction (95% CI 0.13-0.19) but there was considerable variation from Aimak to Aimak. The major causes of SVI/BL were lesions of the lens (34%), central nervous system disorders (19%), lesions of the whole globe (e.g. microphthalmos) (14%), and retinal conditions (12.5%). Hereditary factors were responsible for 27% of causes, and 17% of children were blind following acquired conditions of childhood. The underlying cause could not be determined in 48%. The causes of SVI/BL was analysed in a further 16 children who lived outside the study Aimaks to compare the causes in children in special education with those not in schooling, and by age. CONCLUSION: The prevalence estimate obtained was lower than anticipated, and possible reasons are discussed. The pattern of causes of SVI/BL is similar to that in children in schools for the blind in China, but is very different from other Asian countries. Meningococcal meningitis was the most common preventable cause of SVI/BL, and immunisation is being considered. Other preventable causes were rare, and the majority of children needing surgical intervention had already been identified and referred for treatment. The control of blindness in children could possibly be improved by better management of conditions requiring surgery, and by the provision of low vision devices.

Adolescent↗

Chest pain in hospitalized patients: cause-specific and gender-specific differences.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this prospective cardiological-linguistic study was to assess cause-specific and gender-specific differences in the reported symptoms and description of chest pain. METHODS: In patients hospitalized because of chest pain, location, radiation, quality of chest pain, pain precipitating and relieving factors, and additional symptoms were assessed. The cause of chest pain was assessed as either coronary or noncoronary. Patients' pain descriptions were taped for linguistic narrative analysis and transcribed according to ethnomethodological standards. RESULTS: The cause of chest pain was assessed as coronary in 43 (18 females, 25 males, mean age 63 years) and noncoronary in 49 (30 females, 19 males, mean age 62 years) patients. Only few cause-related differences in the symptoms were found. In patients with a coronary cause, the location of chest pain was more often retrosternal (93% vs. 71%, p = 0.0078), in the right arm (23% vs. 6%, p = 0.0186), and less often in the back (28% vs. 51%, p = 0.0241) than in patients with a noncoronary cause of chest pain. Coronary patients more often had a pressing pain quality (81% vs. 61%, p = 0.034), less often pain precipitated by respiration (16% vs. 45%, p = 0.0032), and vertigo (21% vs. 43%, p = 0.0252) than noncoronary patients. The women were older than the men (mean age 65.6 vs. 59.0 years, p = 0.01). Women with a coronary cause more often had a gradual pain onset (78% vs. 48%, p = 0.0488) and relief by rest (78% vs. 40%, p = 0.0139) than men with a coronary cause. Linguistic analysis revealed that men presented themselves as interested in the cause of the chest pain, observing and describing pain concretely, whereas women presented themselves as prevailingly pain enduring, describing their pain diffusely. CONCLUSIONS: Cause-related and gender-related differences in symptoms are too unspecific to distinguish between coronary and noncoronary causes. The strong gender differences in self-presentation and description of chest pain might be an explanation for underdiagnosis and undertreatment of women with coronary heart disease and should be considered when taking the clinical history of a female patient.

Aged↗

Opinions in Denmark on the causes of peptic ulcer disease. A survey among Danish physicians and patients.

The aim of the study was to investigate opinions among Danish patients and physicians on causes of peptic ulcer disease. Fifty-nine patients with an ulcer history and 77 physicians with a special interest in gastroenterology participated. They were given a questionnaire listing 16 possible causes of peptic ulcer and indicated for each whether they believed it was a contributory cause of the disease. The patients stated 0-10 causes each (median, 4), and the physicians 3-12 causes (median, 6) (p < 0.01). Younger physicians stated more causes than did the older ones (p < 0.01), and female physicians stated more causes than did their male colleagues (p < 0.01). Seventy-five per cent of the patients indicated that psychologic factors, such as grief, anxiety, and stress, were contributory causes of peptic ulcer disease, whereas only around 40% believed that coffee/tea, alcohol, smoking, side effects of medicine, and working conditions played a causal role. Around 95% of the physicians indicated that medical drugs and smoking were contributory causes of peptic ulcer disease, and around 80% that alcohol and psychologic factors were so. Only 30-40% of the physicians believed that coffee/tea, food habits, infection, and working conditions could play a causal role in ulcer disease. It is concluded that the opinion on causal agents in peptic ulcer disease differ considerably among both patients and physicians. Opinions on causes of diseases may influence the way we treat and advise our patients, and attempts should thus be made to unify our knowledge and interpretations of causes of diseases to reach more solid ground in counselling our patients.

Adult↗

HIV infection as leading cause of death among young adults in US cities and states.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the extent to which human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection has become the leading cause of death among young adults (25 to 44 years of age) in US states and cities of at least 100,000 population. DESIGN: Analysis of underlying causes of death using national vital statistics for 1990 by state and city. Deaths caused by HIV were defined as those with underlying cause assigned a code number of 042, 043, or 044, as established by the National Center for Health Statistics. RESULTS: Infection with HIV was the leading cause of death among young men in five states, causing 29% of their deaths in New York, 28% in New Jersey, 24% in California and Florida, and 16% in Massachusetts. Among young women, HIV was not the leading cause of death in any state. Among young men, HIV infection was the leading cause of death in 64 cities, with the proportion of deaths due to HIV ranging from 16% in Bridgeport, Conn, to 61% in San Francisco, Calif. Among young women, HIV infection was the leading cause of death in nine cities, with the proportion of deaths due to HIV ranging from 15% in Baltimore, Md, to 43% in Newark, NJ. CONCLUSION: In many US communities, HIV infection is the leading cause of death among young men and women, causing a large proportion of deaths in this age group.

Adult↗

ICD coding changes and discontinuities in trends in cause-specific mortality in six European countries, 1950-99.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate how often coding changes between and within revisions of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) complicate the description of long-term trends in cause-specific mortality. METHODS: Data on cause-specific mortality between 1950 and 1999 for men and women aged 60 and older were obtained from Denmark, England and Wales, Finland, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden. Data were obtained by five-year age groups. We constructed a concordance table using three-digit ICD codes. In addition we evaluated the occurrence of mortality discontinuities by visually inspecting cause-specific trends and country-specific background information. Evaluation was also based on quantification of the discontinuities using a Poisson regression model (including period splines). We compared the observed trends in cause-specific mortality with the trends after adjustment for the discontinuities caused by changes to coding. FINDINGS: In 45 out of 416 (10.8 %) instances of ICD revisions to cause-specific mortality codes, significant discontinuities that were regarded as being due to ICD revisions remained. The revisions from ICD-6 and ICD-7 to ICD-8 and a wide range of causes of death, with the exception of the specific cancers, were especially affected. Incidental changes in coding rules were also important causes of discontinuities in trends in cause-specific mortality, especially in England and Wales, Finland and Sweden. Adjusting for these discontinuities can lead to significant changes in trends, although these primarily affect only limited periods of time. CONCLUSION: Despite using a carefully constructed concordance table based on three-digit ICD codes, mortality discontinuities arising as a result of coding changes (both between and within revisions) can lead to substantial changes in long-term trends in cause-specific mortality. Coding changes should therefore be evaluated by researchers and, where necessary, controlled for.

Aged↗

Actual causes of death in the United States, 2000.

CONTEXT: Modifiable behavioral risk factors are leading causes of mortality in the United States. Quantifying these will provide insight into the effects of recent trends and the implications of missed prevention opportunities. OBJECTIVES: To identify and quantify the leading causes of mortality in the United States. DESIGN: Comprehensive MEDLINE search of English-language articles that identified epidemiological, clinical, and laboratory studies linking risk behaviors and mortality. The search was initially restricted to articles published during or after 1990, but we later included relevant articles published in 1980 to December 31, 2002. Prevalence and relative risk were identified during the literature search. We used 2000 mortality data reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to identify the causes and number of deaths. The estimates of cause of death were computed by multiplying estimates of the cause-attributable fraction of preventable deaths with the total mortality data. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Actual causes of death. RESULTS: The leading causes of death in 2000 were tobacco (435 000 deaths; 18.1% of total US deaths), poor diet and physical inactivity (365 000 deaths; 15.2%) [corrected], and alcohol consumption (85 000 deaths; 3.5%). Other actual causes of death were microbial agents (75 000), toxic agents (55 000), motor vehicle crashes (43 000), incidents involving firearms (29 000), sexual behaviors (20 000), and illicit use of drugs (17 000). CONCLUSIONS: These analyses show that smoking remains the leading cause of mortality. However, poor diet and physical inactivity may soon overtake tobacco as the leading cause of death. These findings, along with escalating health care costs and aging population, argue persuasively that the need to establish a more preventive orientation in the US health care and public health systems has become more urgent.

Accidents, Traffic↗

[Exactness of mortality statistics by external and natural causes of death with medico-legal intervention in Catalonia, 1996].

OBJECTIVE: Deaths due to external and natural causes with forensic intervention require medical-legal autopsy. In order to be included in the mortality statistics the results are reported in the statistical document MNP52. The accuracy of cause of death depends on the characteristics of the document, the point at which it is completed (after the death or after the autopsy) and the person that completes it. The objective is to determine the accuracy of external and natural causes of death with forensic intervention, reported in the official statistical documents by a medical-legal autopsy report of these deaths occurred in Catalonia in 1996. METHODS: Two samplings were undertaken--one for natural causes and another for external causes--that were stratified by sex and judicial district. The information sources were the Mortality Register of Catalonia for the statistical documents and the criminal courts for the medical-legal autopsy, toxicological and pathological reports. We calculated the index of agreement, the sensitivity or detection rate (DR) and the positive predictive value of confirmation rate (CR), and their respective 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: The index of agreement was 72.3% (IC 95%: 68.7-75.9). The DR for external causes groups was 65.9% (60.6-71.2) and the CR was 69% (63.6-71.2). For natural causes the DR was 79.4% (74.7-84.2) and the CR was 75.5% (70.7-80.5). CONCLUSION: In deaths with forensic intervention, the official statistical documents do not correctly report external causes of death, and statistics for natural causes of death approach acceptable levels of accuracy. The results are mainly due to deficits in reporting and certifying these causes in the official statistics.

Algorithms↗

Analysis of causes of death in liver transplant recipients who survived more than 3 years.

Few studies have examined causes of death in long-term survivors of orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). We reviewed causes of death among 299 adult liver transplant recipients who survived more than 3 years after OLT at 2 centers. Thirty-eight of the 299 patients subsequently died. Nonhepatic causes accounted for 22 of 38 late deaths (58%). Death caused by malignancies occurred in 9 patients between 3.3 and 8.0 years after OLT. Eight patients died of cardiovascular complications. The 6 patients who died of myocardial infarction had risk factors for coronary artery disease. Hepatic failure caused by recurrent liver disease or chronic rejection accounted for 16 of 38 late deaths (42%). These 16 patients were younger than patients who died of nonhepatic complications (mean ages, 50.7 v 62.1 years; P =.001). However, the mean interval between OLT and death was similar among patients who died of nonhepatic versus hepatic causes. Nine patients had recurrent liver disease leading to death, and 8 of 9 patients had recurrent chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Chronic rejection resulting in graft failure and death occurred in 7 patients. In summary, de novo malignancies and cardiovascular complications accounted for more than half the late deaths. Patients who died of nonhepatic causes were significantly older than patients who died of hepatic causes. Chronic rejection and recurrent HCV infection accounted for the majority of hepatic causes of death. With longer follow-up, graft failure resulting from recurrent HCV infection will become the major cause of death in late survivors.

Adult↗

Applying verbal autopsy to determine cause of death in rural Vietnam.

AIMS: Verbal autopsy (VA) is an attractive method for ascertaining causes of death in settings where the proportion of people who die under medical care is low. VA has been widely used to determine causes of childhood and maternal deaths, but has had limited use in assessing causes in adults and across all age groups. The objective was to test the feasibility of using VA to determine causes of death for all ages in Bavi District, Vietnam, in 1999, leading to an initial analysis of the mortality pattern in this area. METHODS: Trained lay field workers interviewed a close caretaker of the deceased using a combination closed/open-ended questionnaire. RESULTS: A total of 189 deaths were studied. Diagnoses were made by two physicians separately, with good agreement (kappa = 0.84) and then combined to reach one single underlying cause of death for each case. The leading causes of death were cardiovascular and infectious diseases (accounting for 20.6% and 17.9% of the total respectively). Drowning was very prevalent in children under 15 (seven out of nine cases of drowning were in this age group). DISCUSSION: One month seemed an acceptable minimum recall period to ensure mourning procedures were over. A combination VA questionnaire was an appropriate instrument provided it was supported by adequate training of interviewers. Two physicians were appropriate for making the diagnoses but predefined diagnostic methods for common causes should be developed to ensure more replicable results and comparisons, as well as to observe trends of mortality over time. The causes of death in this study area reflect a typical pattern for developing countries that are in epidemiological transition. No maternal deaths and a low infant mortality rate may be the result of improvements in maternal and child health in this study area. Using the VA gave more precise causes of death than those reported at death registration. Although the validity of the VA method used has not been fully assessed, it appeared to be an appropriate method for ascertaining causes of death in the study area.

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