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PubMed2026

Differences in Radiological Risk Perceptions Following Online and In-Person Workshops.

Nuclear energy is widely regarded as a critical part of the pathway toward a secure, low-carbon electricity grid, yet long-term management of used nuclear fuel remains a persistent challenge. Although technically viable options for interim and consolidated storage exist, public concern and community opposition - rooted in historical distrust and risk perception - continue to complicate siting decisions. In response, recent federal efforts have emphasized collaboration-based approaches and community engagement, though empirical evidence on the effectiveness of different engagement strategies remains limited. This study examines how the structure and delivery of community engagement influence changes in public attitudes toward hosting interim used nuclear fuel storage facilities. Using survey data from 13 educational workshops around the United States, we evaluate: (1) the inclusion of trust-building content prior to technical content, and (2) engagement format, comparing online and in-person workshops. Analyses focus on participant changes in perceptions of safety, risk, and support for hosting, using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test and other non-parametric hypothesis tests on surveys conducted before and after workshops. Results indicate that workshop participation is associated with some measurable attitude changes, with significant (p < 0.05) differences in response variability for some questions across workshop formats. In particular, when comparing nuclear energy to other clean energy sources, in-person workshop participants are substantially more likely to gain a more favorable opinion of nuclear energy than online participants. These findings contribute empirical evidence on how trust-building and delivery mode shape outcomes in public engagement on complex and contested energy policy issues such as storage of used nuclear fuel.

nuclear fuel cycle↗
PubMed2002

Statistical evaluation of SAGE libraries: consequences for experimental design.

Since the introduction of serial analysis of gene expression (SAGE) as a method to quantitatively analyze the differential expression of genes, several statistical tests have been published for the pairwise comparison of SAGE libraries. Testing the difference between the number of specific tags found in two SAGE libraries is hampered by the fact that each SAGE library is only one measurement: the necessary information on biological variation or experimental precision is not available. In the currently available tests, a measure of this variance is obtained from simulation or based on the properties of the tag distribution. To help the user of SAGE to decide between these tests, five different pairwise tests have been compared by determining the critical values, that is, the lowest number of tags that, given an observed number of tags in one library, needs to be found in the other library to result in a significant P value. The five tests included in this comparison are SAGE300, the tests described by Madden et al. (Oncogene 15: 1079-1085, 1997) and by Audic and Claverie (Genome Res 7: 986-995, 1997), Fisher's Exact test, and the Z test, which is equivalent to the chi-squared test. The comparison showed that, for SAGE libraries of equal as well as different size, SAGE300, Fisher's Exact test, Z test, and the Audic and Claverie test have critical values within 1.5% of each other. This indicates that these four tests will give essentially the same results when applied to SAGE libraries. The Madden test, which can only be used for libraries of similar size, is, with 25% higher critical values, more conservative, probably because the variance measure in its test statistic is not appropriate for hypothesis testing. The consequences for the choice of SAGE library sizes are discussed.

Databases, Genetic↗
PubMed2002

Enhanced pedigree error detection.

Accurate information on the relationships among individuals in a study is critical for valid linkage analysis. We extend the MLLR, EIBD, AIBS and IBS tests for detection of misspecified relationships to a broader range of relative pairs, and we improve the two-stage screening procedure for analyzing large data sets. We have developed software, PREST, which calculates the test statistics and performs the corresponding hypothesis tests for relationship misclassification in general outbred pedigrees. When a potential pedigree error is detected, our companion program, ALTERTEST, can be used to determine which relationships are compatible with the genotype data. Both programs are now freely available on the web.

Computer Simulation↗
PubMed1986

Statistical quality control methods in standardization of BCG vaccines.

The quality control of the BCG vaccine lacks the requirements of exact statistical methods, although the principles of bioassay have been required in the control of other biological products for a long time. For a remedy and to eliminate controversies in the interpretation of the laboratory results of BCG products valid statistical control is needed. In the four major laboratory test systems generally used to control: the viability of the BCG products, the residual virulence of the BCG strains, the allergenic potency and 4) the immunogenic potency of the BCG vaccines the following statistical methods should be required: estimations of the unbiased point and 95% confidence interval of the viable units 10(6)/ml, the mean residual virulence, the mean allergizing and protective capacity in appropriate models, the expressions of the relative potency of the in vitro viability and the in vivo test systems to a Reference Preparation, hypothesis tests using the unbiased estimates for the comparison of the estimated parameters of the controlled vaccines (Anova) and testing the stability of the viability (Regranal), multiple comparison with the ranked estimates to diminish Type I error in rejected null hypotheses, test of concordance between the sets of ranked parameters of the different test systems. Valid models will promote the standardization of the BCG vaccine, will ensure the objective statistical inference of the control results, the interpretation of the immunogenicity and reactogenicity of the BCG vaccines and the understanding of the epidemiological processes in tuberculosis.

Animals↗
PubMed1986

Quantitative methods in the tuberculosis epidemiology and in the evaluation of BCG vaccination programs.

Controversies concerning the protective efficacy of the BCG vaccination result mostly from the fact that quantitative methods have not been used in the evaluation of the BCG programs. Therefore, to eliminate the current controversy an unconditional requirement is to apply valid biostatistical models to analyse the results of the BCG programs. In order to achieve objective statistical inferences and epidemiological interpretations the following conditions should be fulfilled: data for evaluation have to be taken from epidemiological trials exempt from sampling error, since the morbidity rates are not normally distributed an appropriate normalizing transformation is needed for point and confidence interval estimations, only unbiased point estimates (dependent variables) could be used in valid models for hypothesis tests, in cases of rejected null hypothesis the ranked estimates of the compared groups must be evaluated in a multiple comparison model in order to diminish the Type I error in the decision. The following quantitative methods are presented to evaluate the effectiveness of BCG vaccination in Hungary: linear regression analysis, stepwise regression analysis and log-linear analysis.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1996

Effect sizes and p values: what should be reported and what should be replicated?

Despite publication of many well-argued critiques of null hypothesis testing (NHT), behavioral science researchers continue to rely heavily on this set of practices. Although we agree with most critics' catalogs of NHT's flaws, this article also takes the unusual stance of identifying virtues that may explain why NHT continues to be so extensively used. These virtues include providing results in the form of a dichotomous (yes/no) hypothesis evaluation and providing an index (p value) that has a justifiable mapping onto confidence in repeatability of a null hypothesis rejection. The most-criticized flaws of NHT can be avoided when the importance of a hypothesis, rather than the p value of its test, is used to determine that a finding is worthy of report, and when p approximately equal to .05 is treated as insufficient basis for confidence in the replicability of an isolated non-null finding. Together with many recent critics of NHT, we also urge reporting of important hypothesis tests in enough descriptive detail to permit secondary uses such as meta-analysis.

Psychophysiology↗
PubMed1998

Is the decline in diagnoses of schizophrenia caused by the disappearance of a seasonal aetiological agent? An epidemiological study in England and Wales.

BACKGROUND: Studies from several countries have shown a decline, in the last few decades, of the number of admissions with a diagnosis of schizophrenia. This could be due to a fall in the incidence of schizophrenia, but it also could be due to confounding factors. The hypothesis tested in the study is that the incidence of schizophrenia is actually falling because of a decrease in the presence of a seasonal aetiological agent. METHODS: The hypothesis was tested by analysing the dates of birth of the patients discharged with a diagnosis of schizophrenia from NHS hospitals in England and Wales and would be confirmed by an appropriate change in the seasonality of the births over time. RESULTS: Evidence of seasonality has been observed in the schizophrenic births, but with no significant change over time. CONCLUSIONS: The fall in first admissions with a diagnosis of schizophrenia does not seem to be due to a change in the prevalence of a seasonal aetiological factor. Therefore, either there has been a reduction in incidence due to a change in a non-seasonal agent, or the incidence of schizophrenia is not changing and the fall in first admissions is due to confounding factors.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2003

How Bayes tests of molecular phylogenies compare with frequentist approaches.

MOTIVATION: The desire to compare molecular phylogenies has stimulated the design of numerous tests. Most of these tests are formulated in a frequentist framework, and it is not known how they compare with Bayes procedures. I propose here two new Bayes tests that either compare pairs of trees (Bayes hypothesis test, BHT), or test each tree against an average of the trees included in the analysis (Bayes significance test, BST). RESULTS: The algorithm, based on a standard Metropolis-Hastings sampler, integrates nuisance parameters out and estimates the probability of the data under each topology. These quantities are used to estimate Bayes factors for composite vs. composite hypotheses. Based on two data sets, the BHT and BST are shown to construct similar confidence sets to the bootstrap and the Shimodaira Hasegawa test, respectively. This suggests that the known difference among previous tests is mainly due to the null hypothesis considered.

Algorithms↗
PubMed1999

A new approach to improving illumination in the nose during endonasal surgery.

Despite improvements in light sources the problem of illumination during endonasal surgery persists. This is particularly so in the presence of blood which absorbs light and renders the operative field dark as a consequence. This paper describes a series of in vitro experiments that show how improved illumination is possible using readily available, inexpensive, sterilisable and flexible materials. The hypothesis tested was that white coloured materials, when placed into the nasal cavity during endonasal surgery, improve illumination of the operative field by reflecting light onto the area of surgical interest. This hypothesis was tested with the use of a light proof box into which were introduced blood coloured and reflective materials. The light reflected back from a fixed blood coloured surface within the box was measured. The introduction of white materials into the box provided greater illumination than blue or foil surfaces.

Endoscopy↗
PubMed1995

Transitions between modes of inquiry in a rule discovery task.

Scientists obtain their knowledge about the world through one of two major modes of inquiry--observation of naturally occurring phenomena and active experimentation. Both modes of inquiry have been extensively researched in studies of hypothesis testing behaviour and scientific inquiry, the first in studies employing the reception paradigm, the second in studies employing the selection/generation paradigm. The prevalence of both paradigms and their correspondence to well-established modes of scientific inquiry led to the hypothesis that subjects, if allowed, would employ both modes of inquiry. The variables affecting the choice of one mode rather than the other and the transitions between the two modes were expected to shed new light on the process of scientific inquiry. To test this hypothesis, 27 adults and 27 eighth-graders were set three rule-discovery problems, in a computer environment that allowed free transitions between item reception and generation. Item generation was significantly more prevalent in the adult sample, but almost all the adults and approximately half the children employed both modes of inquiry in at least one problem. When both modes of inquiry were employed, the reception mode tended to precede the generation mode. An inverse relationship was observed between item generation and the proportion of positive instances supplied by the environment. Individual inquiry styles were evident in both age groups. These results call attention to the need for a theory incorporating both modes of inquiry as integral components of the inquiry process. They also demonstrate the utility of empirical investigations that let subjects freely choose which mode to employ at any point of the inquiry process.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1983

Lung cancer, stomach cancer, and smoking status among coal miners. A preliminary test of a hypothesis.

This paper presents an empirical test of the hypothesis of Meyer et al, who propose inhaled carcinogens to be a risk for both stomach and lung cancer, stomach cancer occurring in persons with nonimpaired lungs and lung cancer occurring in persons with impaired lungs. Based upon a case-referent study comparing 46 white male coal miners who died from stomach cancer in the United States with age-matched miners who died from lung cancer and with reference miners who died from other cancers or from noncancer, nonaccident causes, the present study failed to confirm the Meyer hypothesis. The data suggest a reverse relationship than that postulated, namely, that airway obstruction may be a precondition for stomach cancer and normal pulmonary function a precondition for lung cancer. Different dust agents were found to be involved with cancers at the different sites. For coal miners with airway obstruction, greater years of coal mine dust exposure were found to pose a slightly elevated stomach cancer risk (odds ratio 3.64, not significant), while, for miners with normal ventilatory function, cigarette smoking posed a disproportionately elevated lung cancer risk (odds ratio 7.00, not significant).

Adult↗
PubMed1983

Relationship between pressure passivity and subependymal/intraventricular hemorrhage as assessed by pulsed Doppler ultrasound.

A prospective study was undertaken using a range-gated, pulsed Doppler velocimeter to study flowpressure relationships in the anterior cerebral artery. Serial velocity and pressure studies were performed with each infant serving as his or her own control. The hypothesis tested was that ill preterm infants sustaining subependymal/intraventricular hemorrhage would have absent autoregulation. The hypothesis has been tested in 88 studies on 32 infants. Of 32 infants studied, 15 were judged to be pressure passive; nine of these children bled. The other 17 infants were not pressure passive; eight of these children bled (P greater than .05). From these studies, it may be concluded that the pressure passive state is not the final common link in the genesis of subependymal/intravertricular hemorrhage. Pulsed Doppler ultrasound may provide an extremely useful noninvasive technique for studying both the arterial and venous sides of the cerebral circulation.

Blood Flow Velocity↗
PubMed1996

Incompetency to stand trial and mental health treatment: a case study testing the subversion hypothesis.

This study is a test of the so-called subversion hypothesis, which posits that mentally disordered persons who commit minor offenses are prosecuted primarily for the purpose of imposing mental health treatment on them through evaluation and treatment for incompetency to stand trial. These persons, according to the subversion hypothesis, find themselves in the criminal process because they do not meet the stringent civil commitment standards, but do meet the less stringent criteria for a disorderly conduct prosecution. The findings, based on 893 disorderly conduct prosecutions in a single jurisdiction over a two-year period, do not lend general support to the subversion hypothesis.

Case-Control Studies↗
PubMed2001

Likelihood ratio tests for a mixture of two von Mises distributions.

It is proposed that the orientation of elongate objects, such as bones, may be used to identify the flow direction of ancient river deposits. If true, elongate objects could be of great value when ancient bedforms such as ripples and dunes are not visible. Two sandstone quarries were investigated wherein the paleoflow direction was determined from both bedforms and elongate dinosaur bones. A mixture of two von Mises distributions captures the observation that elongate bones transported under unidirectional flow conditions will align both parallel and perpendicular to the flow direction. Likelihood ratio tests for a mixture of two von Mises distributions are given. The power of these tests is investigated by simulation since the direction of dinosaur bones agrees with the primary bedforms if the hypothesis test comparing the dominant mean direction of the bones to the paleoflow direction fails to reject. The likelihood ratio test on the dominant mean direction has reasonable power. If the two mean directions in the mixture distribution are pi apart, a more powerful likelihood ratio test can be used. The likelihood ratio test on the hypothesis that the two mean directions are exactly pi apart is useful in determining if the assumptions of the more powerful test are satisfied.

Animals↗
PubMed2003

Analysis of clustered matched-pair data for a non-inferiority study design.

Hypothesis testing of matched-pair data has been adapted for equivalence (one- and two-sided) study designs; however, a statistical problem arises when more than one measurement is recorded for each study subject. Ignoring the correlation between the repeated measurements per subject may underestimate the standard error of the parameter estimate. A method of testing for non-inferiority or equivalence of clustered matched-pair data is not yet available. This paper proposes a Wald-type test statistic for a non-inferiority hypothesis and applies it to the comparison of two diagnostic procedures.

Computer Simulation↗
PubMed2003

Permutation tests for classification: towards statistical significance in image-based studies.

Estimating statistical significance of detected differences between two groups of medical scans is a challenging problem due to the high dimensionality of the data and the relatively small number of training examples. In this paper, we demonstrate a non-parametric technique for estimation of statistical significance in the context of discriminative analysis (i.e., training a classifier function to label new examples into one of two groups). Our approach adopts permutation tests, first developed in classical statistics for hypothesis testing, to estimate how likely we are to obtain the observed classification performance, as measured by testing on a hold-out set or cross-validation, by chance. We demonstrate the method on examples of both structural and functional neuroimaging studies.

Algorithms↗
PubMed2005

Detecting periodic patterns in unevenly spaced gene expression time series using Lomb-Scargle periodograms.

MOTIVATION: Periodic patterns in time series resulting from biological experiments are of great interest. The commonly used Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) algorithm is applicable only when data are evenly spaced and when no values are missing, which is not always the case in high-throughput measurements. The choice of statistic to evaluate the significance of the periodic patterns for unevenly spaced gene expression time series has not been well substantiated. METHODS: The Lomb-Scargle periodogram approach is used to search time series of gene expression to quantify the periodic behavior of every gene represented on the DNA array. The Lomb-Scargle periodogram analysis provides a direct method to treat missing values and unevenly spaced time points. We propose the combination of a Lomb-Scargle test statistic for periodicity and a multiple hypothesis testing procedure with controlled false discovery rate to detect significant periodic gene expression patterns. RESULTS: We analyzed the Plasmodium falciparum gene expression dataset. In the Quality Control Dataset of 5080 expression patterns, we found 4112 periodic probes. In addition, we identified 243 probes with periodic expression in the Complete Dataset, which could not be examined in the original study by the FFT analysis due to an excessive number of missing values. While most periodic genes had a period of 48 h, some had a period close to 24 h. Our approach should be applicable for detection and quantification of periodic patterns in any unevenly spaced gene expression time-series data.

Algorithms↗
PubMed1997

Creative hypothesis generating in psychology: some useful heuristics.

To correct a common imbalance in methodology courses, focusing almost entirely on hypothesis-testing issues to the neglect of hypothesis-generating issues which are at least as important, 49 creative heuristics are described, divided into 5 categories and 14 subcategories. Each of these heuristics has often been used to generate hypotheses in psychological research, and each is teachable to students. The 49 heuristics range from common sense perceptiveness of the oddity of natural occurrences to use of sophisticated quantitative data analyses in ways that provoke new insights.

Journal Article↗