[Methods of analysis and prognostication of a number of indicators in tuberculosis].
The paper proposes procedures for analyzing and predicting the rates of total morbidity due to tuberculosis and the time of its cure. Original procedures for identifying the factors that most substantially influence total tuberculosis morbidity rates (incidence rates) are described. A statistically significant regression equation was derived to predict tuberculosis morbidity in the cities and towns of the Rostov region (the determination rate R2 = 0.95; the mean weighed predictive error is no more than 5%, with 1-2% in the cities). A total approach to statistical assessment of the impact of concomitant diseases on the clinical recovery rates is proposed. Estimates indicated that there is alpha negative statistically significant correlation between the rapidity of recovery and the presence of concomitant pathology (alcoholism). A statistical correlation between the indices of regression of active tuberculosis was assessed. In 96% of cases, transition of active tuberculosis to inactive one can be judged from the values of only two factors. A functional relationship has been derived, which defines the onset of the phase of inactive tuberculosis with accuracy sufficient for practical purposes.