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PubMed1990

[Life expectancy and "premature mortality" in the Democratic Republic of Germany. An analysis from the surgical viewpoint].

An analysis was made of medical statistics on life and death, over the past decades, with reference being made to some key data of the national economy. The period under review had largely been a phase of stagnation, though progress was recordable by substantial criteria in some important areas of surgery, despite restrictions on finding, equipment, and personnel. This analysis, hopefully, will be helpful in proper appraisal of public health performance in the period under review. An additional analysis will have to show, if life expectancy and premature mortality, the two parameters analysed in this study, can be improved, in the future, solely by amendments to the organisational setup, financing, and strategy of the national health system.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2005

The contribution of specific diseases to educational disparities in disability-free life expectancy.

OBJECTIVES: We examined the contribution that specific diseases, as causes of both death and disability, make to educational disparities in disability-free life expectancy (DFLE). METHODS: We used disability data from the Belgian Health Interview Survey (1997) and mortality data from the National Mortality Follow-Up Study (1991-1996) to assess education-related disparities in DFLE and to partition these differences into additive contributions of specific diseases. RESULTS: The DFLE advantage of higher-educated compared with lower-educated persons was 8.0 years for men and 5.9 years for women. Arthritis (men, 1.3 years; women, 2.2 years), back complaints (men, 2.1 years), heart disease/stroke (men, 1.5 years; women, 1.6 years), asthma/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (men, 1.2 years; women, 1.5 years), and "other diseases" (men, 2.4 years) contributed the most to this difference. CONCLUSIONS: Disabling diseases, such as arthritis, back complaints, and asthma/COPD, contribute substantially to differences in DFLE by education. Public health policy aiming to reduce existing disparities in the DFLE and to improve population health should not only focus on fatal diseases but also on these nonfatal diseases.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Factors explaining disability-free life expectancy in Japan: the proportion of older workers, self-reported health status, and the number of public health nurses.

BACKGROUND: Disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) data for 47 prefectures in Japan were reported in 1999; however, few studies have identified the factors associated with the length of the DFLE. The objective of this study was to elucidate the primary factors that explain differences in DFLEs in Japan. METHODS: In our ecological study, 47 prefectures in Japan were used as units of analysis. The DFLEs for men and women at 65 years of age (DFLE65), calculated by Hashimoto et al using Sullivan's method, were set as dependent variables. From various national surveys, 181 factors associated with demographics, socioeconomic status, health status and health behaviors, medical environment, social relationships, climate, and other areas were gathered as independent variables. Pearson's or Spearman's correlation coefficients were calculated to screen independent variables potentially associated with the DFLE65s. Then, multivariate linear regression analyses were conducted for the selected 24 independent variables after adjusting for the proportion of older people (65 years or more) and population density. RESULTS: Multivariate linear regression analyses revealed that the large number of public health nurses per 100,000 population, a good self-reported health status, and a high proportion of older workers were significantly associated with long DFLE65s for both genders. CONCLUSIONS: These three factors could potentially explain the differences in DFLE of the older population in Japan.

Aged↗
PubMed1994

Parathyroid hormone-related protein and life expectancy in hypercalcemic cancer patients.

We determined the effect of raised serum levels of midregional (53-84) parathyroid hormone-related protein (PTHrP) on life expectancy in 59 cancer patients with first presentation of hypercalcemia. The patients were stratified according to the serum PTHrP levels measured on day 0 after fluid repletion prior to bisphosphonate therapy. Twenty-nine patients were assigned to group N (PTHrP < or = 21 pmol/L) and 30 to group E (PTHrP > 21 pmol/L). Breast cancers were more common in group N, squamous cell cancers predominated in group E (p < 0.02). More patients with normal PTHrP had skeletal metastases, whereas group E was characterized by a higher incidence of prognostically unfavorable visceral involvement (p < 0.001). Bisphosphonates (pamidronate or BM.210955) were administered on day 0. Within one week, normocalcemia (serum calcium < or = 2.6 mmol/L) was restored in 96% of patients in group N, compared to 70% of patients in group E (p < 0.01). On day 12, 7 patients with elevated PTHrP were still hypercalcemic. Although a comparable number of patients in the two groups received cytostatic treatment after day 12, objective tumor responses were seen only in group N (n = 6; p < 0.05). Calculated from the first occurrence of hypercalcemia, the median survival was 66 days in group N and 33 days in group E (log-rank test: p = 0.0456; Wilcoxon-Breslow test: p = 0.0475). We conclude that in hypercalcemia of malignancy raised serum levels of PTHrP indicate a reduced hypocalcemic response to bisphosphonates, a more advanced tumor state and, therefore, an extremely poor prognosis.

Adult↗
PubMed1995

Sex differential in life expectancy in Japan and Scotland: age and causes of death.

The contribution of age groups and causes of death to the sex difference in life expectancy (SDLE) at birth in Japan and Scotland was estimated for the period 1965-1990. The purpose was to determine the particular age groups and causes of death responsible for the opposite trend of SDLE in the two countries. SDLE has been widening and narrowing in Japan and Scotland, respectively. The availability of complete and reliable data for these two developed countries facilitated the study. A method of decomposing the total SDLE into age and cause of death components was employed. About 40-60% contribution to SDLE was observed for ages after 65 years. Marked increase in the contribution of the 75+ age group and marked decrease in the contribution of ages 45-64 for Japan and Scotland, respectively, had a major effect on the widening and narrowing of SDLE in the two countries, respectively. The contribution of diseases of the circulatory system was the maximum until 1980 in Japan (< or = 1.8 years or 33.6%; cerebrovascular disease alone < or = 23.4%) and until 1990 in Scotland (< or = 3.1 years or 47.0%; ischemic heart disease alone < or = 42.0%). In Japan, the contribution of malignancy had a marked increased from 0.7 year (12.3%) to 2.0 years (32.6%), particularly for the trachea, bronchus and lung, while there was only a small increase in Scotland from 1.0 year (16.6%) to 1.2 years (19.8%) with an increase in the negative contribution of female breast malignancy. In Japan, the contribution of diseases of the respiratory system increased considerably from 0.5 year (8.5%) to 1.1 years (18.1%) while it decreased in Scotland from 1.0 year (16.5%) to 0.6 year (10.7%). About 60-75% of SDLE is due to the above three groups of causes of death. Malignancy and diseases of the respiratory system had a persistently increased contribution in Japan with resultant widening of SDLE by 0.9 year. Diseases of the circulatory system have always had a high contribution. On the contrary, in Scotland the contribution of diseases of the circulatory system and malignancy was practically unchanged and diseases of the respiratory system had a decrease with a consequent narrowing of SDLE by 0.4 year. Further epidemiological study is necessary to detect and analyze in detail the internal gradients (environmental and genetic-biological) of major contributor diseases to SDLE in Japan and Scotland.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1996

Life expectancy of diabetic patients undergoing vitreous surgery.

BACKGROUND: Patients with advanced diabetic eye disease are commonly in poor general health. In addition to the ocular status, life expectancy is an important factor in the decision whether and how to perform vitreous surgery. The present study investigates mortality and risk factors for survival in diabetic patients following vitrectomy. METHODS: The follow up of 332 consecutive patients who underwent vitrectomy for complications of diabetic retinopathy between 1990 and 1994 was studied retrospectively. Survival and risk factors for survival were analysed using the Kaplan-Meier life table method and for multivariate analysis the Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: The 5 year survival rate was 68%. Absence of heart disease was the most important predicting factor for survival. Fifty per cent of the patients with heart disease had died within 3.5 years. Patients without heart disease had a 5 year survival rate of 90%. Other significant, independent risk factors were age and presence of nephropathy. CONCLUSION: In diabetic patients undergoing vitrectomy the presence of heart disease indicates a poor prognosis for survival. This should be taken into consideration for indications and strategies in cases of vitrectomy.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Morphological analysis and classification of latent prostate cancer using a 3-dimensional computer algorithm: analysis of tumor volume, grade, tumor doubling time and life expectancy.

PURPOSE: We estimate the potential clinical significance of prostate cancers found at autopsy provided the individual had lived to the projected lifespan based on life expectancy tables. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used 3-dimensional computer models of 59 autopsy prostates that contained clinically undetected carcinoma to determine tumor volumes. Using doubling times of 2, 3, 4 and 6 years, carcinoma volumes at autopsy were extrapolated through patient projected lifespans. The carcinomas were then classified as clinically insignificant or significant according to Mayo Clinic criteria. RESULTS: In 13 patients less than 60 years old, using doubling times of 2, 3, 4 and 6 years, clinically significant tumors were identified in 13 (100%), 10 (77%), 7 (54%) and 7 (54%), respectively. In 46 patients 60 years old or greater significant tumors were identified in 32 (70%), 22 (48%), 21 (46%) and 18 (39%), respectively. A statistical difference (p <0.0001) was found between the mean tumor volume (0.20 +/- 0.10 cc) of 43 organ confined carcinomas and the mean tumor volume (3.26 +/- 3.58 cc) of 16 extracapsular tumors. No capsule perforation was found in tumors with Gleason sums of 4 or less. However, capsule perforation was present in 8 of 31 tumors (25.8%) with Gleason sums of 5 or 6, and 8 of 11 tumors (72.7%) with Gleason scores of 7 or 8. CONCLUSIONS: Prostatic carcinomas that remain clinically insignificant throughout life are likely to have doubling times greater than 4 years. The subset of carcinomas that emerge as clinically significant are likely to have doubling times less than 3 years. Therefore, an accurate method to measure doubling time at diagnosis could, provide an objective indicator to guide clinical management.

Adult↗
PubMed1990

[Educational status and life expectancy].

The article provides a foundation for the necessity of studying the social differentiation of mortality, in particular the influence of educational status and character of labour on length of life. It is indicated that higher indices of length of life are found among populations with high educational status and among people engaged in intellectual pursuits. The description is given of the methodological approaches to the construction of life expectancy tables according to the educational status and character of labour.

Adult↗
PubMed1997

[Impact of smoking on mortality of the Swiss population and 1988/1993 life expectancy].

The elaboration of new mortality tables by the Swiss statistical office has allowed to estimate the impact of different pathology or risk factors on the average life duration of the resident population in Switzerland. Thus, attributable death of the smoking habits have for effect to decrease the life expectancy of swiss citizens of 2.9 years for men and 0.7 years for women, for the period 1988/1993. The calculation of mortality rates attributable to this factor of risk shows nevertheless that the risk of death has decreased since the end of years 1960 for all quinquennial age groups between 35 and 74 years. The smoking habits would be responsible of approximately 16% of deaths observed in the swiss population and 20% of premature deaths (between 25 and 64 years). The present analysis shows furthermore that different evolutions of the mortality associated with the smoking habits characterize men and women.

Adult↗
PubMed1978

Life expectancy without surgery in tetralogy of Fallot.

All published autopsy cases of patients with tetralogy of Fallot who died without surgical treatment were studied to determine the life expectancy of such persons. In addition, the data from a study of persons with tetralogy alive in Denmark in 1949 were reanalyzed. The survival data from these two sources were remarkably similar, indicating that 66 percent of persons with tetralogy of Fallot not treated surgically live to age 1 year, 49 percent to age 3 years and 24 percent to age 10 years; thereafter, the hazard function (or instantaneous risk of death) remains constant. The chance of survival is significantly less when pulmonary atresia, rather than stenosis, is present.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1992

[Active life expectancy in Taiwan: compression or expansion?].

"This paper applies the multiple-decrement life table to the analysis of mortality and self-reported disability [for Taiwan], annually from 1986 until 1989.... It was found that during this period of time, the shifts in 'mortality' and 'disability' curves conform to the compression hypothesis. The area in between the two curves [has] shrunk in the 4 year period.... The sex differential in disability has been examined. It is concluded that though at the younger ages women tend to spend less person-years in disability, the situation is quite different at older ages. Women tend to have greater chance [of] and longer duration suffering from disability at old age than men." (SUMMARY IN ENG)

Adult↗
PubMed1996

Life expectancy in men who have never smoked and those who have smoked continuously: 15 year follow up of large cohort of middle aged British men.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the life expectancy in a representative sample of men who have never smoked and of those who have smoked all their adult lives. DESIGN: 15 year follow up of a large representative cohort of British men in the British regional heart study and use of national mortality statistics for 1992. SUBJECTS: 7735 middle aged British men aged 40-59 at the time of screening (between 1978 and 1980). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mortality from all causes and from smoking related causes. RESULTS: 1624 men had never smoked at the time of screening and did not take up smoking during the study. 127 of them died during follow up. 3151 men began smoking before they were 30 and were still smoking at the time of screening. Of these, 751 had stopped smoking five years after screening; they were excluded from the analysis five years after the date they had stopped. 560 of the lifelong smokers died during follow up. When study estimates were combined with those from national mortality statistics for men aged 20-40, only an estimated 42% (95% confidence interval 36% to 50%) of lifelong smokers alive at the age of 20 would be alive at 73, compared with 78% (74% to 82%) of lifelong non-smokers. CONCLUSION: These estimates present the effects of smoking on mortality in a way that is easily communicated to patients and the general public in health promotion initiatives.

Adult↗