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New method to census primate groups: estimating group density of Japanese macaques by point census.

We devised a new method to estimate the density of primate groups in habitats that preclude the use of a line-transect census because the ground is too steep. We combined point census and group follows. From the number of groups counted at a fixed point for an hour, n, group density D was calculated: D = lambda n / pi. Lambda, the detectability constant, was a constant when distance-dependent detectability g(y) was regressed on a half-normal model: g(y) = e (-lambda y(2)) and can be estimated by combining the information of group follow and point census. Using this method, we estimated the group density of Japanese macaques in Yakushima. A census area of 7 km(2) was divided into 28 grid squares (500 m x 500 m). One observer was positioned at a point in each grid square, and those points were censused simultaneously for 4-6 days from 0600-0700 to 1500-1600 hr. Four troops were followed for 144 hr during the point census. Distance-dependent detectability closely correlated with the half-normal model. The detectability constant varied with the time of day, but it was not influenced by troop identity or topography. Group density was calculated to be 1.48 +/- 0.61 and 0.701 +/- 0.432 groups/km(2) in the disturbed and undisturbed areas, respectively (95% confidence limit). "True" group density estimated by home range data was within the confidence limit calculated by a point census in the home range of the troops for two troops, suggesting that this method was valid. This method is applicable to other species as long as at least one group can be followed, because it satisfies the fundamental assumptions of point census, and the detectability does not seem to be biased by troop or topography.

Animals↗

Bromazepam in generalized anxiety. Randomized, multi-practice comparisons with both chlorprothixene and placebo.

Bromazepam was compared with placebo and with chlorprothixene in a randomized, double-blind group-comparative multicenter trial in general practice. Two hundred and forty-five patients with generalized anxiety disorder (DSM-III 1980) were treated for 2 weeks with two daily doses of bromazepam, 3 mg or chlorprothixene, 15 mg or placebo. Median reductions in Hamilton Anxiety rating were 12 (bromazepam), 10.3 (chlorprothixene) and 7.3 (placebo). The study revealed significant superiority of bromazepam over placebo (median differences 3.3, 95% confidence limits: 0.3 and 6.1) but not over chlorprothixene (median difference 1.4, 95% confidence limits -0.8 and +3.5). Significantly higher rates of tiredness, sedation and hypersomnia were found on bromazepam and chlorprothixene compared to placebo. Tolerance was rated as "at least good" in 85.6% on bromazepam, in 86% on chlorprothixene and in 87.8% on placebo. Neither previous psychopharmacological treatment nor presence of psychosocial stress were of perceptible influence. Bromazepam and chlorprothixene are both superior to placebo in generalized anxiety states treated in general practice, but spontaneous improvements/placebo effects are substantial.

Adolescent↗

Course of tricuspid atresia in the Fontan era.

Tricuspid atresia is an uncommon form of congenital heart disease and long-term survival was rare before the Fontan era. It was thought that the long-term survival of patients with tricuspid atresia would be improved by the introduction of the Fontan procedure and its subsequent modifications. This study reviews the clinical course of 84 patients with tricuspid atresia identified in the first year of life in the Fontan era. Prior palliative operations, their results and their ultimate application for the Fontan procedure were considered. Eleven patients died before surgical intervention and 5 did not undergo catheterization or echocardiographic confirmation before death. Five children underwent the Fontan procedure without prior palliation and 1 child does not require palliation at the present time. Sixty-seven patients (80%) had surgical procedures before evaluation for the suitability of a Fontan operation. Thirty-four patients had a second surgical palliation and 9 patients had a third palliation. The surgical mortalities for the first, second and third palliative surgery were 17.9, 17.6 and 0%, respectively. Thirty-two patients (38%) underwent the Fontan procedure and 2 deaths occurred (6%). An estimate of the probability of surviving for 1 year was 64% (95% confidence limits 54 to 74%) and that of 8 years was 55% (95% confidence limits 44 to 66%).

Blood Vessel Prosthesis↗

Depressive symptoms in women in the six months after miscarriage.

This study, the first systematic investigation of the psychiatric impact of miscarriage, tests whether miscarriage markedly increases depressive symptoms in the 6 months after loss. We interviewed 382 miscarrying women entering the study at 2 weeks, 6 weeks, or 6 months after loss and, for comparison, 283 pregnant women and 318 community women not recently pregnant. Among women interviewed 2 weeks after miscarriage the proportion highly symptomatic on the Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression scale was 3.4 times that of pregnant women (95% confidence limits 2.0 and 5.0) and 4.3 times that of community women (95% confidence limits 3.0 and 5.8). Among women first interviewed 6 weeks and 6 months after miscarriage the proportion highly symptomatic was three times that of the community women. Women reinterviewed at 6 weeks and 6 months did not have elevated symptom levels, a result attributed to the unintended therapeutic and test effects of study interviews. Interviews were fully structured, readily administered by telephone by nonmedical personnel. The possibility that such interviews afford miscarrying women substantial psychologic benefits merits future investigation.

Abortion, Spontaneous↗

Comparison of cardiovascular reflex tests and blood pressure measurement in prediction of pregnancy-induced hypertension.

A changed pressor response to some cardiovascular reflex tests and an increase in midtrimester blood pressure has been reported to precede the appearance of hypertension in pregnancy-induced hypertensive disorders (PIH). In order to compare the value of midtrimester blood pressure with the cardiovascular reflex tests, in predicting the risk of PIH, the Valsalva manoeuvre, the orthostatic test, the deep breathing test and the isometric handgrip test were performed prospectively in 94 women studied once at 21-29 weeks of pregnancy. Eight subjects developed PIH 3-12 weeks after the testing. The resting blood pressure in midpregnancy was related to PIH later in pregnancy. The most powerful measures were the supine diastolic resting blood pressure (odds ratio, 1.24; 95% confidence limits, 1.08-1.43) and the mean arterial pressure (odds ratio, 1.25; 95% confidence limits, 1.09-1.44). Signs of autonomic dysfunction were found in 37% of the patients developing PIH and in 8% of the healthy remaining subjects (P = 0.04). The results show that the preclinical stage of PIH is associated with some changes in the neural hemodynamic control. However, cardiovascular reflex tests do not add much information on the risk of PIH compared with measuring of the resting blood pressure during mid-pregnancy.

Adult↗

Intraluminal antibiotic regimen for patients undergoing transrectal needle biopsy of prostate.

Twenty-five consecutive patients who had an abnormal prostate examination were subjected to transrectal biopsy of the prostate gland. The day prior to biopsy the patients were started on a modification of the Nichols-Condon bowel preparation utilizing only neomycin and erythromycin base. Although none of the patients became febrile, 3 patients had a positive post-biopsy blood culture (2 anaerobic and 1 aerobic). None of the 24 patients with a negative pre-biopsy urine culture had a positive post-biopsy culture. This regimen effectively reduces the reported incidence of both fever (95% confidence limit of 0 to 13.7% for the true proportion) and bacteremia (95% confidence limit of 2.6 to 31.2% for the true proportion).

Bacteriuria↗

Diet, central obesity and prevalence of hypertension in the urban population of south India.

Central obesity is a strong predictor of higher prevalence of diabetes, hypertension and coronary artery disease among Indian immigrants to Britain. To test this hypothesis in Indians, 1569 adults, between 25 and 64 years of age, from 750 randomly selected households (representative of 0.52 million population of Trivandrum city, Kerala) were selected for this study. The response rate was roughly 95% and the sample consisted of 1497 individuals (737 males and 760 females). The survey methods included dietary diaries for 7-day food intake record, blood pressure measurements using a mercury sphygmo-manometer and anthropometric measurements. The prevalence rates of hypertension between 25 and 64 years was 189/1000 (95% confidence limits 85-360) and between 45 and 64 years was 335/1000 (95% confidence limits 210-460) which is higher than in Western populations. The prevalence was higher in males than females in the younger age groups and comparable in both sexes in the upper age groups. The prevalence of central obesity was significantly higher among male (77.2 vs. 48.9%) and female (84.0 vs. 51.4%) hypertensives compared to non-hypertensive subjects; however, mean body weight, body mass index and waist-hip ratio (WHR) were lower among Indian men compared to a British comparison group. Thus, comparison of Indian men with Britons showed that obesity, salt and alcohol intake, sedentariness, smoking and dietary fat intake do not explain the cause of higher prevalence of hypertension among South Indian men from Kerala.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Adult↗

The acute toxicity of endosulfan to fresh-water organisms.

A static bioassay is performed for measuring the short-term (96 h) toxicity of endosulfan to juvenile catfish Clarias batrachus, insect nymph Enallagma sp. and frog tadpoles of Rana tigrina. Median Tolerance Limit, Slope Function, Confidence Limit, and Presumable Harmless Concentration were computed. The results showed that frog tadpoles are more susceptible to endosulfan than insect nymph and catfish. Morphological changes and behavioural alterations were evaluated as symptoms of endosulfan toxicity.

Animals↗

Sample size calculation should be performed for design accuracy in diagnostic test studies.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Guidelines for conducting studies and reading medical literature on diagnostic tests have been published: Requirements for the selection of cases and controls, and for ensuring a correct reference standard are now clarified. Our objective was to provide tables for sample size determination in this context. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: In the usual situation, where the prevalence Prev of the disease of interest is <0.50, one first determines the minimal number Ncases of cases required to ensure a given precision of the sensitivity estimate. Computations are based on the binomial distribution, for user-specified type I and type II error levels. The minimal number N(controls) of controls is then derived so as to allow for representativeness of the study population, according to Ncontrols=Ncases [(1-Prev)/Prev]. RESULTS: Tables give the values of Ncases corresponding to expected sensitivities from 0.60 to 0.99, acceptable lower 95% confidence limits from 0.50 to 0.98, and 5% probability of the estimated lower confidence limit being lower than the acceptable level. CONCLUSION: When designing diagnostic test studies, sample size calculations should be performed in order to guarantee the design accuracy.

Biomedical Research↗

Ten-year follow-up for male twins divided into high- or low-risk groups for ischemic heart disease based on risk factors measured 25 years previously.

PURPOSE: To undertake medical follow-up in white males in the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) twin study, previously divided on the basis of cardiovascular disease risk factors. METHODS: Tree structured survival analysis (TSSA) used at a mean age of 63 years to classify twins into high and low risk subgroups for ischemic heart disease (IHD) found that subjects at a mean age of 48 years were at highest risk with high systolic blood pressures and low high density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. Low risk subjects had lower blood pressures, better pulmonary function tests, and a negative family history for IHD or low post load plasma glucose levels. Medical record review was performed ten years later at the 4th Examination of the NHLBI twin cohort conducted in 1995-1997. RESULTS: The percentage of men in the NHLBI twin study who died nearly tripled (from 9.3% to 25.8%) in the ten-year period between the ages of 63 and 73 years. Deaths have tended to remain higher in DZ than MZ twins (27.8% versus 23.7%). At Exam 4, the relative risk of IHD (fatal or non-fatal) was 5.24 times higher for those in the high risk group than those in the low risk class (95% confidence limit 2.72-10.07, p < 0.0001 and 5.86 for any cardiovascular disease (95% confidence limit 3.03-11.33). The proportion of deaths from IHD in subjects with a high risk profile at entry was 51.7%, and 70.0% had died from all cardiovascular related disease. CONCLUSION: The present results indicate TSSA remained effective in classifying subjects into subgroups with greater risk of morbidity and mortality related to cardiovascular disease after ten additional years.

Aged↗

[Drug dependence, smoking and fetal growth retardation].

Illicit drug abuse, as well as smoking, are known risk factors in the development of intrauterine growth retardation. In an attempt to clarify the influence of these two aetiological factors, a retrospective analysis was carried out. 35 drug- and nicotine-addicted pregnant women were compared to 104 smokers and 101 non-smoking controls with regard to foetal outcome. Relative risk estimates for intrauterine growth retardation of the drug and nicotine group were 3.14 (95% confidence limits 1.88-5.25; p = 0.0001) whereas the smoking group had 1.39 (95% confidence limits 0.96-2.02; p = 0.0482) compared to non-smoking controls. The foetal outcome was best in the latter group: children of drug-addicted mothers had a considerably higher morbidity and mortality rate. This study shows an almost threefold risk for intrauterine growth retardation in drug-addicts who smoke, compared to nicotine abuse alone.

Acid-Base Equilibrium↗

Risk of cirrhosis and primary liver cancer in alpha 1-antitrypsin deficiency.

Previous reports have suggested an association between homozygous alpha 1-antitrypsin deficiency, cirrhosis, and primary liver cancer. To assess the risk of these complications we conducted a retrospective study based on 17 autopsied cases of alpha 1-antitrypsin deficiency identified during the period 1963 to 1982 in the city of Malmö, Sweden. During the study period, autopsies were performed in 38,250, or 68.2 percent, of all patients in the city who died. From the homozygote frequency in the population, 21 of these were expected to have alpha 1-antitrypsin deficiency. The disease had been diagnosed in 20, and autopsies had been performed in 17 (1 child and 16 adults). Each autopsied case was matched with four controls selected from the same autopsy register, and the Mantel-Haenszel odds ratio (ORmh) was calculated. The results indicated a strong relation between alpha 1-antitrypsin deficiency and cirrhosis (ORmh = 7.8; 95 percent confidence limits, 2.4 to 24.7) and primary liver cancer (ORmh = 20; 95 percent confidence limits, 3.5 to 114.3). When data were stratified according to sex, these associations were statistically significant only for male patients. We conclude that men with alpha 1-antitrypsin deficiency may be at higher risk for cirrhosis and primary liver cancer. The apparent male predominance suggests the additive effects of exogenous factors.

Aged↗

Relation between the frequency of colorectal adenoma and the serum cholesterol level.

Several investigators have reported an association between low serum cholesterol levels and an increased frequency of colorectal cancer. Because low cholesterol levels may be a result of an established cancer, we have investigated the relation between serum cholesterol levels and the frequency of colorectal adenomas, which are thought to be precursors of colon cancer. We prospectively studied 1083 consecutive patients who underwent colonoscopy (241 of whom were excluded because of malignant disease, chronic inflammatory bowel disease, familial polyposis, or partial colectomy). In the remaining 842 patients, analysis of covariance was performed to evaluate the contribution of serum cholesterol to the risk of colorectal adenoma. Serum cholesterol levels were significantly and positively associated with the frequency of colorectal adenoma in subjects of both sexes. After adjustment for age and body-mass index, this positive association remained significant between the top quintile and the lowest quintile for serum cholesterol, with regard to the total study group (odds ratio, 2.0; 95 percent confidence limits, 1.1 and 3.6) and men only (odds ratio, 2.2; 95 percent confidence limits, 1.0 and 4.8). We conclude that there is not an inverse correlation between serum cholesterol levels and the risk of colorectal adenomas; on the contrary, there appears to be a small positive association.

Adenoma↗

A single intravenous infusion of gamma globulin as compared with four infusions in the treatment of acute Kawasaki syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of acute Kawasaki syndrome with a four-day course of intravenous gamma globulin, together with aspirin, has been demonstrated to be safe and effective in preventing coronary-artery lesions and reducing systemic inflammation. We hypothesized that therapy with a single, very high dose of gamma globulin would be at least as effective as the standard regimen. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter, randomized, controlled trial involving 549 children with acute Kawasaki syndrome. The children were assigned to receive gamma globulin either as a single infusion of 2 g per kilogram of body weight over 10 hours or as daily infusions of 400 mg per kilogram for four consecutive days. Both treatment groups received aspirin (100 mg per kilogram per day through the 14th day of illness, then 3 to 5 mg per kilogram per day). RESULTS: The relative prevalence of coronary abnormalities, adjusted for age and sex, among patients treated with the four-day regimen, as compared with those treated with the single-infusion regimen, was 1.94 (95 percent confidence limits, 1.01 and 3.71) two weeks after enrollment and 1.84 (95 percent confidence limits, 0.89 and 3.82) seven weeks after enrollment. Children treated with the single-infusion regimen had lower mean temperatures while hospitalized (day 2, P less than 0.001; day 3, P = 0.004), as well as a shorter mean duration of fever (P = 0.028). Furthermore, in the single-infusion group the laboratory indexes of acute inflammation moved more rapidly toward normal, including the adjusted serum albumin level (P = 0.004), alpha 1-antitrypsin level (P = 0.007), and C-reactive protein level (P = 0.017). Lower IgG levels on day 4 were associated with a higher prevalence of coronary lesions (P = 0.005) and with a greater degree of systemic inflammation. The two groups had a similar incidence of adverse effects (including new or worsening congestive heart failure in nine children), which occurred in 2.7 percent of the children overall. All the adverse effects were transient. CONCLUSIONS: In children with acute Kawasaki disease, a single large dose of intravenous gamma globulin is more effective than the conventional regimen of four smaller daily doses and is equally safe.

Acute Disease↗

Influence of early postoperative enteral nutrition versus placebo on cell-mediated immunity, as measured with the Multitest CMI.

BACKGROUND: Patients who become anergic after surgery have a very high death rate, mainly due to infectious complications. It has earlier been shown that preoperative skin testing has predictive value for the clinical outcome in gastrointestinal surgery. This study investigated the effect of early postoperative enteral nutrition versus placebo on cell-mediated immunity with the Multitest CMI and correlated the results to the clinical outcome and to the preoperative nutritional status. METHODS: Sixty patients were randomized to receive either enteral nutrition or placebo. All patients were stratified in accordance with preoperative nutritional status. CMI tests were applied 2 days before surgery and days 1 and 5 postoperatively. All tests were applied and recorded by the same investigator. RESULTS: No significant differences in the score were seen between the groups. Nine patients were malnourished. No significant difference was seen preoperatively with regard to nutritional status, but the malnourished patients had a lower median value on the 3rd postoperative day. In patients with complications the preoperative median CMI score was 17.0 mm (95% confidence limits, 10.5-24 mm), and in patients without complications 9.5 mm (95% confidence limits, 5.5-16 mm). This result is significant and unexpected. Ten patients were anergic preoperatively, and three of these developed complications (30%). The overall complication rate was 27 of 60 (45%). A change in immunologic status from responding preoperatively to anergy postoperatively was significantly associated with severe complications (P = 0.043). CONCLUSIONS: Early enteral nutrition does not influence the CMI score. Preoperative anergy was not related to increased mortality/morbidity, whereas the change in CMI response towards anergy was significant.

Adult↗

An investigation into the distribution of radial immunodiffusion quality control data.

Quality control data from routine radial immunodiffusion assays for IgG, IgA, IgM, C3, C4 and alpha1-antitrypsin were tested by the Kolmogorov--Smirnov procedure for gaussian distribution. All but alpha1-antitrypsin were nongaussian in type. Further analysis of these date by plotting on log-normal probability paper showed them to have a log-normal distribution. Treatment of the date by either gaussian or nonparametric statistical methods produced little difference in confidence limits. It does not appear necessary to use nonparametric methods to calculate confidence limits from quality control data for the procedures studied.

Complement C3↗

"Exact" and approximate methods for analysis of total error in radiation measurements.

Radiation measurement results are typically stated as an estimated activity concentration with an associated 95% error bound. Very frequently, however, the error bound cited at the "95% confidence level" is nothing more than counting error and, especially at higher levels of activity, counting error may constitute a gross understatement of the total error that should reasonably be attributed to the measurement. This paper compares the measurement confidence limits obtained using a typical approximate error propagation procedure with the "exact" confidence limits. A Monte Carlo error propagation method is also considered. The results of the three methods are compared using 222Rn measurement procedures for illustrative purposes.

Monte Carlo Method↗

Patient and injury characteristics in abusive abdominal injuries.

OBJECTIVE: To identify patient and injury characteristics associated with suspected child abuse in the setting of blunt abdominal trauma. PATIENTS: We extracted from the National Pediatric Trauma Registry phases 2 and 3 (October 1995 to April 2001; N = 106,135) all cases of blunt abdominal injury, excluding motor vehicle injuries, in patients aged 0 to 4 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Independent variables included age, mortality, nutritional status, and injury type. The dependent variable was suspected child abuse. RESULTS: Six hundred sixty-four cases were analyzed. The median age of patients was 2.6 years; 11.4% were undernourished. The 3 most common mechanisms of injury were suspected child abuse (40.5%), fall (36.6%), and struck-not child abuse (9.7%). Hepatic injury (46.1%) was the most common intra-abdominal injury, followed by splenic (26%), hollow viscous (17.9%), and pancreatic (8.6%) injuries. Eighty-four percent of deaths were related to suspected child abuse. There was a greater proportion of children with suspected child abuse in every patient and injury characteristics studied than all other mechanisms combined. In a regression model including age, undernourishment, pancreatic injury, hollow viscous injury, traumatic brain injury, and mortality, all variables were significantly associated with suspected abuse. Hollow viscous injury had the highest odds ratio (OR, 9.5; confidence limits, 5.7, 15.8), whereas traumatic brain injury had the lowest (OR, 3.6; confidence limits, 2.4, 5.6). CONCLUSIONS: Young children with severe pancreatic or hollow viscous injuries or severe abdominal injuries in the context of either brain injury or undernourishment should be evaluated for the possibility that these injuries resulted from abuse. Increasing the awareness of the possibility of child abuse associated with a set of injury characteristics may allow for more consistent and complete medical evaluation.

Abdominal Injuries↗