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PubMed2004

Laboratory variables and stratification of metastatic colorectal cancer patients: recommendations for therapeutic trials and for clinical practice guidelines.

OBJECTIVE: To identify, through a systematic review of the literature, the laboratory variables that, in addition to performance status and to the degree of tumor invasion, would allow a more accurate stratification of metastatic colorectal cancer patients who participate in chemotherapy trials, with or without radiotherapy. SECONDARY AIM: To compare the results of our systematic review with the recommendations made in current clinical practice guidelines, and with the results of related systematic reviews. METHODS: Update of two recently published systematic reviews, without metaanalysis, following the recommendations of the International Federation of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine, and taking into account the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials statement. RESULTS: Of 877 publications retrieved, reasonable exclusion and inclusion criteria allow us to include 15 studies in our systematic review, thus confirming the low quality of clinical research in laboratory medicine. Four variables were most often found "significant" in multivariate statistical analysis: pretherapeutic levels of laboratory tests (13/15, 87%), degree of tumor invasion (9/13, 69%), treatment, or response to treatment (6/9, 67%), and performance status (8/13, 62%). The laboratory variable whose measurements are quite often recommended in the 10 clinical practice guidelines or in the four related systematic reviews that we retrieved are carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and liver function tests to a lesser extent. CONCLUSIONS: Available evidence supports the recommendation that in all metastatic colorectal cancer patients who participate in therapeutic trials, the following pretreatment laboratory variables should be systematically measured: blood cell counts, and haemoglobin, plasma prothrombin time, serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP), lactate dehydrogenase, transaminases, albumin, bilirubin, and CEA. If other tests were to be added, gamma glutamyl transferase, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate might perhaps be proposed. Further studies would be necessary to support the addition to this list, of other tests [e.g., cancer antigen (CA) 19-9]. Rather than using laboratory variables according to arbitrary thresholds, it seems recommendable to use them as continuous variables, and if possible, in terms of kinetics. Many clinical practice guidelines do not use levels of evidence in order to grade the strength of their recommendations, but rather seem to be based on experts opinions which are not always in agreement with the results of systematic reviews.

Antineoplastic Agents↗
PubMed2006

Influence of the number of malignant regional lymph nodes detected by endoscopic ultrasonography on survival stratification in esophageal adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The nodal staging of esophageal cancer accounts for the absence or presence of metastatic lymph nodes (N0 or N1, respectively). Surgical data suggest that patients have worse survival when esophagectomy specimens contain higher numbers of regional malignant lymph nodes. It has been proposed that the staging system for esophageal cancer be modified to include the number of malignant lymph nodes. The aim of this study was to determine the influence of the number of malignant-appearing regional lymph nodes detected on endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) on survival in patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma. METHODS: Historical case series involved patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma who underwent EUS staging at a single center between 1994 and 2004. Endoscopy reports were reviewed to determine the number of malignant-appearing periesophageal lymph nodes seen on EUS examination. Subjects were categorized as having 0, 1-2, or >2 periesophageal lymph nodes. A regional cancer registry prospectively obtained survival data. RESULTS: Among 85 patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma, the Kaplan-Meier curves showed distinct survival advantages in those with fewer malignant-appearing regional lymph nodes (P=.0008). The median survivals were 66 months, 14.5 months, and 6.5 months for 0, 1-2, and >2 malignant-appearing lymph nodes, respectively. Survival was also influenced by celiac lymph nodes and tumor length, both of which were associated with increased number of malignant nodes. CONCLUSIONS: The number of malignant-appearing periesophageal lymph nodes detected by EUS is associated with improved survival stratification in patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma and should be considered in the presurgical staging of esophageal cancer.

Adenocarcinoma↗
PubMed2006

Risk stratification by treadmill exercise echocardiography.

BACKGROUND: Although exercise echocardiography (EE) has value for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD), it's not clear whether it may be useful for risk assessment in all categories of patients. To determine whether: 1) there is an incremental value of EE over clinical, exercise and resting echocardiographic variables for the prediction of events according to the pre-test probability of CAD; and 2) the number, location of the diseased territories, and nature of the disease affect the risk stratification, we studied 2436 patients referred for EE that were followed for 2.1 +/- 1.5 years. METHODS: Based on a pre-test score, previous myocardial infarction (MI) or revascularizations, 1242 patients were considered as having high, 1038 moderate, and 156 low pre-test probability. RESULTS: There were 89 hard events (myocardial infarction or cardiovascular death) in the 1203 patients with abnormal EE vs. 31 events in the 1233 with normal EE (p < 0.0001). Gender, Mets, heart rate x blood pressure, resting wall motion score index and number of involved territories at exercise were independently associated to hard events (final Chi-square = 170, incremental p value of exercise echo <0.0001). The incremental value of exercise echo over other variables was found in patients with the different pre-test probabilities. CONCLUSIONS: Exercise echocardiography has incremental value over clinical, exercise and resting echocardiographic variables in patients with different pre-test probabilities of CAD.

Coronary Artery Disease↗
PubMed2005

Extranodal nasal type NK/T-cell lymphoma: elucidating clinical prognostic factors for risk-based stratification of therapy.

The purpose of this study was to define distinctive clinical features of "nasal" and "nasal-type" NK/T cell lymphomas by assessing prognostic factors. The anatomic definition of extranasal NK/T cell lymphoma has been vague resulting in variable definitions of extranasal sites by different groups. We analysed the clinical behavior of 90 NK/T cell lymphoma patients and attempted to elucidate the prognostic factors for risk-based stratification of therapy. We observed no significant difference between "nasal" and "nasal-type" NK/T cell lymphomas in regards to clinical features and survival using the conventional anatomic classification. We suggest the categorisation of the two subtypes of NK/T cell lymphoma as follows: UNKTL (upper aerodigestive tract NK/T cell lymphoma) including all lymphomas confined to nasal cavity, nasopharynx, and the upper aerodigestive tract and EUNKTL (extra-upper aerodigestive tract NK/T cell lymphoma) group to include all sites other than the UNKTL group. The EUNKTL group in this study had advanced stage at diagnosis, higher LDH, higher IPI score, poorer performance and inferior response to the anthracycline-based chemotherapy with statistical significance. There was a significant difference in survival rate between EUNKTL and UNKTL group (20.0%, 54.0%, respectively, P = 0.0068). More aggressive treatment should be sought for this particular group of patients for EUNKTL patients.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Risk stratification with cardiac troponin I in patients undergoing elective coronary artery bypass surgery.

OBJECTIVE: Cardiac troponin I (cTnI) is a highly sensitive and specific marker for postoperative prediction of patients outcome after coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG). Whether preoperatively elevated cTnI levels similarly predict the outcome in patients scheduled for elective CABG is currently unknown. METHODS: Therefore, a possible correlation between preoperative cTnI levels and perioperative major adverse events and in-hospital mortality after CABG was investigated. CTnI was measured within 24h before surgery in 1405 out of 3124 consecutive elective CABG patients. Out of these patients, 1178 had a preoperative cTnI level below 0.1ng/ml (group 1), 163 patients had a cTnI level between 0.11 and 1.5ng/ml (group 2), and 64 patients had a cTnI level above 1.5ng/ml (group 3). CTnI levels, electrocardiograms, clinical data, adverse events and in-hospital mortality were recorded prospectively. Patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction less than 7 days before surgery were excluded from the study. RESULTS: Perioperative myocardial infarction (PMI) occurred in 69/1178 patients (5.9%) in group 1, 14/163 patients (8.6%; odds ratio (OR) 1.5, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.8-2.8) in group 2, and 11/64 patients (17.2%; OR 3.3, CI: 1.6-7.0) in group 3 (overall: P<0.001, Cochran-Armitage trend test). Low cardiac output syndrome (LCOS) occurred in 19/1178 patients (1.6%), 9/163 (5.5%; OR 3.6, CI: 1.5-8.5), and 7/64 patients (10.9%; OR 7.5, CI: 2.7-19.8) (overall: P<0.001, group 1 vs. group 2: P<0.002), respectively. In-hospital mortality was 1.7% in group 1 and 3.1% in group 2, but 6.3% (OR 3.9, CI: 1.1-12.5) in group 3 (overall: P<0.01, group 1 vs. group 2: P=NS). Intensive care and hospital stay were significantly longer in group 3 compared to groups 1 and 2. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis confirmed the statistically significant relationship between cTnI and PMI, LCOS and in-hospital mortality, respectively (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Risk stratification by measurement of cTnI levels within 24h before elective CABG clearly identifies a subgroup of patients with increased risk for postoperative adverse outcome and in-hospital mortality.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Carbon monoxide lung diffusion capacity improves risk stratification in patients without airflow limitation: evidence for systematic measurement before lung resection.

OBJECTIVE: In many centers, carbon monoxide lung diffusion capacity (DLCO) is still not routinely measured in all patients but only in patients with airflow limitation. The objective of the study was to assess the degree of correlation between forced expiratory volume in 1s (FEV1) and DLCO, and verify whether a low predicted postoperative DLCO (ppoDLCO) could have a role in predicting complications in patients without airflow limitation. METHODS: We analyzed 872 patients submitted to lung resection between January 2000 and December 2004 in two units measuring systematically DLCO before operation. Correlation between FEV1 and DLCO was assessed in the entire dataset and in different subsets of patients. A number of variables were then tested for a possible association with postoperative cardiopulmonary complications in patients with FEV1>80% by univariate analysis. Variables with p<0.10 at univariate analysis were used as independent variables in a stepwise logistic regression analysis (dependent variable: presence of cardiopulmonary morbidity), which was in turn validated by bootstrap analysis. RESULTS: The correlation coefficients between FEV1 and DLCO in the entire dataset and in different subsets of lung resection candidates (stratified by age, gender, cause of operation, airflow limitation) were all below 0.5, showing a modest degree of correlation. Two hundred and nineteen of the 508 patients (43%) with FEV1>80% had DLCO<80%. Moreover, in patients with FEV1>80%, logistic regression analysis showed that ppoDLCO<40% was a significant and reliable predictor of postoperative complications (p=0.004). CONCLUSION: The modest correlation between FEV1 and DLCO and the capacity of ppoDLCO to discriminate between patients with and without complications in subjects with a normal FEV1, warrants the routine measurement of DLCO in all candidates for lung resection, irrespective of their FEV1 value, in order to improve surgical risk stratification.

Aged↗
PubMed2004

Natriuretic peptides for risk stratification of patients with acute coronary syndromes.

Natriuretic peptides (BNP and NT-proBNP) have been shown to be useful tools for risk stratification of patients with acute myocardial ischemia encompassing the whole spectrum of acute coronary syndromes (ACS), particularly for prediction of mortality. Both BNP and NT-proBNP possess several characteristics of the ideal biomarker, showing independent and incremental prognostic value above traditional clinical, electrocardiographic, and biochemical (particularly troponin) risk indicators. Specifically, in ACS patients, BNP and NT-proBNP have powerful prognostic value both in patients without a history of previous heart failure or without clinical or instrumental signs of left ventricular dysfunction on admission or during hospital stay. They can also be easily and rapidly measured in an emergency context. We have performed a meta-analysis of available studies concerning the prognostic value of natriuretic peptides. Our results show that the prognostic value of natriuretic peptides is similar: (1) both at short- and long-term; (2) when natriuretic peptides are measured at first patient contact or during hospital stay; (3) for BNP or NT-proBNP; and (4) in patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction or no ST elevation ACS. These data suggest that natriuretic peptide measurement should be integrated into routine evaluation of patients with an ACS.

Angina, Unstable↗
PubMed2005

Stress echocardiography is superior to exercise ECG in the risk stratification of patients presenting with acute chest pain with negative Troponin.

OBJECTIVE: To compare exercise electrocardiography (ExECG) and stress echocardiography (SE) in the risk stratification of patients presenting to hospital with cardiac-sounding chest pain, non-diagnostic ECGs and negative cardiac Troponin. METHODS: Patients presenting with acute chest pain were prospectively randomised to early ExECG or SE. A post-test likelihood of CAD was determined by the pre-test likelihood and the result of the stress test. Patients with a low post-test likelihood of CAD were discharged; those with a high post-test probability were considered for coronary angiography. All others were managed according to standard hospital protocols. RESULTS: A total of 302 patients underwent either ExECG or SE. SE identified significantly more patients with a low post-test probability of CAD (80% vs 31%, p<0.0001) and significantly fewer patients with an intermediate post-test likelihood of CAD compared to ExECG (3% vs 47%; p<0.0001). Significantly fewer patients undergoing SE were referred for further tests to exclude or refute the diagnosis of CAD (16% vs 52%; p<0.0001). In total, 36 (12%) had flow limiting CAD demonstrated by coronary angiography. Significant CAD was seen in fewer patients with a positive ExECG than with a positive SE (56% vs 84% (p=0.12)). Event rates were low for both modalities in patients with low post-test probability (3.5% for SE vs 5.1% for ExECG; p=ns) though the number of patients identified as low risk was higher if SE was performed. CONCLUSION: Despite negative cardiac Troponin, 12% of patients with acute chest pain had significant CAD. SE is superior to ExECG in discriminating between those patients with a low and intermediate risk of CAD and correctly identified patients with significant CAD, as well as conferring an excellent prognosis in those considered low risk. SE significantly reduces the requirement for further tests to diagnose CAD compared to ExECG.

Analysis of Variance↗
PubMed2004

Immediate Risk-Stratification Improves Survival (IRIS): study protocol.

BACKGROUND: To date, the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) has been shown to be effective for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death only in selected groups of patients in the chronic phase after myocardial infarction. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Immediate Risk-Stratification Improves Survival (IRIS) Study compares ICD therapy with no ICD therapy in selected high risk patients early after myocardial infarction. Special emphasis is placed on optimal acute and long term medical therapy in all patients including metoprolol CR/ZOK. The hypothesis is tested that use of the ICD reduces overall mortality. For that purpose, consecutive acute ST elevation or non-ST elevation myocardial infarction patients are collected in a registry. From this denominator, patients are screened, and enrolled early after myocardial infarction (day 5 to day 31) if they exhibit both a reduced left ventricular ejection fraction < or =40% and a heart rate > or =100 bpm on the first available electrocardiogram (criterion I), or non-sustained ventricular tachycardia at a rate > or =150 bpm during Holter (criterion II). CONCLUSIONS: IRIS is a large scale prospective, randomized trial to evaluate the benefit of ICD therapy for reduction of total mortality in patients considered at high risk of sudden death early after acute myocardial infarction.

Clinical Protocols↗
PubMed2004

Positive effects of conjugated equine estrogen on triglyceride metabolism in oophorectomized women based on a stratification analysis of pretreatment values.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects of conjugated equine estrogen (CEE) on the triglyceride (TG) metabolism in oophorectomized women based on a stratified analysis. DESIGN: Randomized, clinical study. SETTING: Menopause Clinic of Kyushu University Hospital. PATIENT(S): Three hundred oophorectomized women. INTERVENTION(S): Three hundred oophorectomized women were randomly divided into two groups and treated by the following regimens for a year: group 1 received calcium alone, group 2 received 0.625 mg/day of CEE and calcium. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): The changes in serum lipid profile were analyzed according to the individual initial levels in each group. Apolipoprotein E was also measured. RESULT(S): A greater reduction in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels was observed in group 2 women with higher initial levels. For high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) a greater increase was observed in group 2 women with lower initial levels. Although TG levels increased as a whole in group 2, a reduction was observed in the high-TG groups. The initial values of apolipoprotein E were higher in the high-TG groups and decreased to greater amounts in group 2 patients. CONCLUSION(S): Administration of CEE induced positive changes in the serum lipid profile according to the individual initial levels, including levels of TG. Therefore, changes in the TG levels shown by the stratification may be related to the apolipoprotein E changes that are observed following CEE replacement.

Apolipoproteins E↗
PubMed2005

The prognostic use of right heart catheterization data in patients with advanced heart failure: how relevant are invasive procedures in the risk stratification of advanced heart failure in the era of neurohormones?

BACKGROUND: Right heart catheterization long has been a routine investigation in advanced heart failure, and its measurements have been linked variably to prognosis. However, in the modern era, newer potential markers of prognosis are coming to light. This study reconsiders the use of right heart catheterization data and compares their use to that of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), a neurohormone linked with prognosis in chronic heart failure. METHODS: We assessed prospectively the prognostic potential of baseline right heart catheterization data in 97 consecutive patients with advanced heart failure referred to the Scottish Cardiopulmonary Transplant Unit for consideration of cardiac transplantation. Patients underwent baseline routine investigation, including right heart catheterization and blood draws for NT-proBNP analysis. Patients were observed for a median of 370 days. RESULTS: The primary end-point of all-cause mortality was reached in 17 patients (17.5%), and the secondary end-point of all-cause mortality or urgent cardiac transplantation was reached in 21 (21.6%) patients. Univariate predictors of all-cause mortality included pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP), pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP), and NT-proBNP concentration greater than their median values. Univariate predictors of the secondary end-point included right atrial pressure, PASP, PAWP, and NT-proBNP concentration greater than their median values, and left ventricular ejection fraction, cardiac output, and cardiac index less than their median values. In multivariate analyses, however, only NT-proBNP concentration remained an independent predictor of all-cause mortality. Both NT-proBNP concentration and PAWP were independent predictors of all-cause mortality and of the need for urgent cardiac transplantation. CONCLUSION: Baseline data from routine right heart catheterization are of limited prognostic use in advanced heart failure. A baseline NT-proBNP concentration is a superior, non-invasive method of risk stratification in this era of measuring neurohormones.

Cardiac Catheterization↗
PubMed2006

Prognostic stratification of women with chronic heart failure referred for heart transplantation: relevance of gender as compared with gender-related characteristics.

BACKGROUND: Few studies are available regarding prognostic stratification of women with severe chronic heart failure (CHF). Although women seem to have a better outcome than men, this may be due to favorable baseline characteristics. METHODS: We analyzed a cohort of CHF patients referred for heart transplantation (HT) who underwent clinical/laboratory/instrumental evaluation. Women and men were frequency matched for baseline age (53 +/- 14 vs 53 +/- 9 years, p = 0.92), left ventricular ejection fraction (33 +/- 10 vs 31 +/- 8%, p = 0.90) and ischemic etiology (17 vs 22%, p = 0.50). RESULTS: A total of 198 patients were analyzed (109 women matched to 89 men). In addition to matching parameters, prevalence of severe symptoms, diabetes and hypertension were also comparable (p > or = 0.25). After 3 years, cardiovascular death or need for HT (CD/HT) event-free survival was 78 +/- 4% in women and 50 +/- 6% in men (p = 0.005). On multivariate analysis, female gender was associated with a lower risk of CD/HT (relative risk [RR] 0.52; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.30 to 0.89; p = 0.017), independently of symptoms, blood pressure (BP), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD) and mitral regurgitation (MR). Nevertheless, CD/HT event-free survival at 3 years was 49 +/- 9% for women with New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class III or IV status, who presented with either severe MR, mean BP < or =60 mm Hg or LVEDD > or =35 mm/m2. CONCLUSIONS: In advanced CHF, women patients seem to have a better prognosis irrespective of baseline characteristics, supporting the hypothesis that female gender is protective against myocardial injury. However, women with severe symptoms accompanied by either hypotension, severe left ventricular enlargement or MR are at high risk and deserve cautious follow-up and consideration for HT.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Significance of inducible ventricular flutter/fibrillation in risk stratification in patients with coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Although inducible ventricular fibrillation (VF) has been used as an indication for prophylactic implantation of cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), the significance of inducible VF remains controversial. METHODS: Among 364 CAD patients who underwent electrophysiologic (EP) study for risk stratification, 23 patients, 12 without any history of VF or cardiac arrest (group A) and 11 with previously documented VF or cardiac arrest (group B), exhibited inducible ventricular flutter (VFL) or VF and subsequently underwent ICD implantation. Additionally, 11 CAD patients without previous VF or cardiac arrest, who had no inducible ventricular tachyarrhythmias but received an ICD, were included for comparison (group C). RESULTS: During 2 years of follow-up, 1 (8%), 5 (45%), and 1 (9%) patients had appropriate ICD shocks in groups A, B, and C, respectively. The survival free from appropriate ICD shocks was significantly lower in group B compared to groups A and C (p<0.05). There were no significant differences in age, sex, ejection fraction (EF), or induction protocol between groups A and B or between groups A and C. CONCLUSIONS: In CAD patients with inducible VFL/VF, patients without any history of VF or cardiac arrest had significantly lower incidence of appropriate ICD shocks when compared to those with such clinical events. Conversely, in CAD patients without any history of VF or cardiac arrest, incidence of appropriate ICD shocks was similar regardless of inducible VFL/VF. Inducible VFL/VF is therefore not useful as an indication for prophylactic ICD implantation in this patient population.

Aged↗
PubMed2004

Bedside programmed ventricular stimulation for sudden death risk stratification.

BACKGROUND: Patients with myocardial infarction and left ventricular dysfunction are at risk for sudden death. This research was conducted to determine the applicability and safety of a bedside programmed stimulation protocol to determine the risk for sudden death in these patients. METHODS: Four hundred and twelve patients with acute myocardial infarction were studied. Left ventricular ejection fraction was evaluated by means of an echocardiogram. Ventricular arrhythmia, late potentials and heart rate variability were determined by means of Holter recordings. Fifty patients (60 +/- 14-year-old; 85% male) presented a left ventricular ejection fraction lower than 0.40 (0.36 +/- 0.10) associated with late potentials, low heart rate variability or ventricular arrhythmia greater than Lown I. After a central venous access was placed under fluoroscopy guidance and ECG monitoring, a quadripolar catheter was advanced to the right ventricular apex to perform programmed ventricular stimulation with up to three extrastimuli. The patients were followed-up to determine in-hospital morbidity and/or mortality. RESULTS: No patient suffered complications. Ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation was induced in six patients. All of them received amiodarone and in five an automatic cardioverter-defibrillator was implanted. After a 22 +/- 6 month follow-up, five patients had received appropriate discharges from the implanted device and none had suffered from arrhythmic sudden death. CONCLUSION: Bedside programmed stimulation is a safe and useful means for sudden death risk stratification in post myocardial infarction patients. It moreover presents the advantage of being cheaper than conventionally used procedures.

Death, Sudden↗
PubMed2005

New cut-off values of cardiac markers for risk stratification of angina pectoris.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this present prospective study was to investigate the accuracy of cardiac markers for the prediction of subsequent cardiac events (cardiac death, acute myocardial infarction and recurrent ischemia requiring coronary revascularization). METHODS: Fibrinogen, cardiac troponin T, troponin I, creatine phosphokinase myocardial fraction, C-reactive protein and myoglobin at baseline and after 6 h were measured on 154 patients (109 male, 63+/-11 years) with chest pain. Receiver operator characteristic analyses were performed to determine cut-off points of cardiac markers in prediction of adverse events. RESULTS: The following cut-off values for prediction of cardiac events were calculated: troponin I at baseline 0.3 ng/ml (predictive accuracy=0.870), troponin I at 6 h 0.50 ng/ml (p.a.=0.909); troponin T at baseline 0.05 ng/ml (p.a.=0.643), troponin T at 6 h 0.05 ng/ml (p.a.=0.612), creatine phosphokinase myocardial fraction at baseline 2.0 ng/ml (p.a.=0.721), creatine phosphokinase myocardial fraction at 6 h 2.5 ng/ml (p.a.=0.734), myoglobin at baseline 23 ng/ml (p.a.=0.623), myoglobin at 6 h 26 ng/ml (p.a.=0.617), C-reactive protein at baseline 0.31 mg/dl (p.a.=0.662), C-reactive protein at 6 h 0.55 mg/dl (p.a.=0.682), and fibrinogen at baseline 360 mg/dl (p.a.=0.701). The combination of baseline troponin I with different parameters resulted in a higher sensitivity of up to 98%, with a similar predictive accuracy, but a lower specificity. Additive measurements of cardiac troponin I at 6 h to baseline cardiac troponin T and I proved to be the best combination for prediction of subsequent cardiac events. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in cut-off levels of cardiac markers and inflammatory parameters results in a high accuracy of risk stratification in patients with chest pains. Combination of these measurements might further help in the identification of patients who would benefit from early coronary revascularization.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Ventricular tachycardia in arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia/cardiomyopathy: clinical presentation, risk stratification and results of long-term follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Not all patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia/cardiomyopathy (ARVD/C) are at risk for sudden cardiac death. The aim of the study was to evaluate the risk stratification in patients with ARVD/C. METHODS AND RESULTS: Programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS) was performed in 34 ARVD/C patients. Twenty-two, 7 and 4 patients had documented sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia (smVT), non-smVT and ventricular fibrillation, respectively. One patient experienced syncope only. An implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) was implanted in 11 patients inducible in smVT with hemodynamic compromise, in 4 patients with documented ventricular fibrillation and in one patient with non-smVT (194 ms tachycardia cycle length) (ICD group, n = 16). Ten patients were left without any antiarrhythmic therapy, 5 patients received antiarrhythmic drugs and 3 patients underwent successful VT ablation (non-ICD group, n = 18). Thirteen patients had an abnormal signal averaged ECG. During 6.5 +/- 2.4 years 69% of ICD patients received appropriate discharges and one non-ICD patient had a hemodynamically tolerated smVT recurrence (no sudden cardiac death in both groups). Comparison between the cycle lengths of clinical VT, induced VT and follow-up VT revealed a strong relationship (R = 0.62-0.88). On multivariate analysis abnormal signal averaged ECG and decreased left ventricular ejection fraction were statistically significant predictors for VT recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: In ARVD/C the tachycardia cycle length of clinical VT, PVS-induced VT and follow-up VT correlate well implicating that a PVS-guided approach does not provide additional information. Spontaneous arrhythmia in combination with clinical presentation allows identification of patients in need for an ICD.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2005

Risk stratification for arrhythmic death after myocardial infarction: current perspective and future direction.

The number of patients eligible for implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation is large and growing. Results of the Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial-II, Comparison of Medical Therapy, Pacing, and Defibrillation in Heart Failure trial, and Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial will have a major impact on health care expenditure and economics in all countries. Therefore, one of the most important challenges in today's cardiology is finding more specific and accurate risk stratification strategies (rather than simply ejection fraction) for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death in patients who have suffered myocardial infarction. We hereby reviewed the existing data on potential risk stratifiers and assessed their impact on every day decision making and patient selection for ICD implantation.

Algorithms↗
PubMed2006

Admission B-type natriuretic peptide assessment improves early risk stratification by Killip classes and TIMI risk score in patients with acute ST elevation myocardial infarction treated with primary angioplasty.

BACKGROUND: TIMI risk score for ST elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI) and Killip classes are simple tools for early risk stratification. AIM: This study aims to evaluate the hypothesis that admission of BNP adds prognostic information to Killip classes and TIMI risk score in patients with STEMI treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: BNP concentrations in blood samples obtained on admission in 126 consecutive patients (mean age 58.8+/-10.7 years old) with STEMI were assessed with means of point-of-care test before PCI. A 42-day follow-up for total mortality was performed. RESULTS: BNP levels increased significantly with increasing Killip classes and TIMI risk score. Addition of BNP to Killip classes and to TIMI risk score increased area under the ROC from 0.704 to 0.887 and from 0.852 to 0.918, respectively. There was a significant increase in mortality in the subgroups by Killip classes and BNP: 1.1% for Killip I and BNP < 331 mg/ml; 16% for Killip I or BNP > or = 331 mg/ml; 55.6% for Killip I and BNP > or = 331 mg/ml; p<0.0001; and in subgroups by TIMI risk score and BNP: 0% for TIMI risk score < 4 and BNP < 331 pg/ml; 2.8% for TIMI risk score > or = 4 and BNP < 331 pg/ml; 12.5% for TIMI risk score < 4 and BNP > or = 331 pg/ml; and 50% for TIMI risk score > or = 4 and BNP > or = 331 pg/ml; (p<0.0001). In multivariate model BNP was a prognostic variable for mortality, independent from TIMI risk score. CONCLUSIONS: Admission of BNP adds significant prognostic information beyond that of Killip classes and TIMI risk score in patients with STEMI treated with PCI.

Adult↗